# 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

"none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see [[WP:SDNONE]]
Elections in Wisconsin :
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vte :
The 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Wisconsin voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wisconsin awarded ten electoral votes in the Electoral College.
Wisconsin was considered to be a crucial battleground in 2024, with almost all major news organizations marking the state as a tossup. The Wisconsin Green Party attained ballot access after not appearing in 2020.
Trump won Wisconsin with 49.6% of the vote, the highest percentage a Republican candidate has received in Wisconsin since Reagan's 1984 landslide. When Wisconsin was called for Trump, a number of networks simultaneously declared Trump the president-elect, winning a second, non-consecutive term.
Trump's victory in the state made him the first Republican candidate to carry Wisconsin twice since Ronald Reagan did so in 1980 and 1984. He also received nearly 1.7 million votes, a record for a candidate in the history of the state.
As of 2024, Wisconsin has, together with Michigan and Pennsylvania, the longest-running active streak among states of voting for the winning presidential candidate, having done so in the latest five presidential elections. The results also extended it to nine consecutive presidential elections where the winning party did not differ between those three states. This was the first election since 2012 where Wisconsin voted to the left of the nation as a whole. This was also the first time that Door County voted for the losing candidate of the presidential election since 1992, and it is one of the few counties in Wisconsin to vote more liberal than it did in 2020.

## Primary elections
### Democratic primary

The Wisconsin Democratic primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside contests in Connecticut, New York, and Rhode Island.
Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 2, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total |
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 512,379 | 88.6% | 82 | | 82 |
| Uninstructed | 48,373 | 8.4% | | | |
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 17,730 | 3.1% | | | |
| Total: | 578,482 | 100.0% | 82 | 13 | 95 |

### Republican primary

The Wisconsin Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside contests in Connecticut, New York, and Rhode Island.
Wisconsin Republican primary, April 2, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Donald Trump | 477,103 | 78.97% | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 76,841 | 12.72% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 20,124 | 3.33% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Uninstructed | 13,057 | 2.16% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 9,771 | 1.62% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 5,200 | 0.86% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Write-ins | 2,081 | 0.34% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 604,177 | 100.00% | 41 | 0 | 41 |

## General election
### Campaign
#### Convention

The Republican Party held their presidential nomination convention in the Wisconsin city of Milwaukee, where Donald Trump and JD Vance were formally nominated as the GOP ticket. This year marked the first time that Milwaukee hosted the Republican National Convention. The Democratic National Convention was selected for Milwaukee in 2020 but much of the convention activity was cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

### Candidates

The following candidates have qualified for the general election ballot:
* Kamala Harris — Democratic
* Donald Trump — Republican
* Chase Oliver — Libertarian
* Randall Terry — Constitution
* Jill Stein — Green
* Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — Independent
* Cornel West — Independent
* Claudia De la Cruz — Independent

### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D | November 4, 2024 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| CNN | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| CNalysis | Lean D | November 4, 2024 |
| The Economist | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| 538 | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| Inside Elections | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| NBC News | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |

### Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided | Margin |
| 270ToWin | October 23 – November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.8% | 47.7% | 3.5% | Harris +1.1% |
| 538 | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.3% | 47.3% | 4.4% | Harris +1.0% |
| Silver Bulletin | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.7% | 47.7% | 3.6% | Harris +1.0% |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.4% | 48.7% | 2.9% | Trump +0.3% |
| Average | Average | Average | 48.6% | 47.9% | 3.5% | Harris +0.7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,727 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,727 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 51% | 49% | – |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,549 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,549 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 51% | 49% | – |
| AtlasIntel | November 3–4, 2024 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Research Co. | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | November 1–3, 2024 | 1,086 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Patriot Polling | November 1–3, 2024 | 835 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | November 1–2, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel | November 1–2, 2024 | 728 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 2, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 2, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | October 25 – November 2, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | October 25 – November 2, 2024 | 786 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 25 – November 2, 2024 | 1,305 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 25 – November 2, 2024 | 1,305 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| ActiVote | October 10 – November 1, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 49% | – |
| AtlasIntel | October 30–31, 2024 | 673 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R) | October 29–31, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2024 | 889 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2024 | 876 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| Morning Consult | October 22−31, 2024 | 540 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| TIPP Insights | October 28–30, 2024 | 1,038 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| TIPP Insights | October 28–30, 2024 | 831 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Marist College | October 27–30, 2024 | 1,444 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Marist College | October 27–30, 2024 | 1,330 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Echelon Insights | October 27–30, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Quantus Insights (R) | October 28–29, 2024 | 637 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| SoCal Strategies (R) | October 28–29, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 25–29, 2024 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 50% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel | October 25–29, 2024 | 1,470 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| CNN/SSRS | October 23–28, 2024 | 736 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 51% | 45% | 4% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 26–27, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| CES/YouGov | October 1–25, 2024 | 1,552 (A) | – | 51% | 46% | 3% |
| CES/YouGov | October 1–25, 2024 | 1,542 (LV) | – | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| Marquette University Law School | October 16–24, 2024 | 834 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Marquette University Law School | October 16–24, 2024 | 834 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 49% | – |
| Marquette University Law School | October 16–24, 2024 | 753 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Marquette University Law School | October 16–24, 2024 | 753 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| Emerson College | October 21–22, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Emerson College | October 21–22, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 17–21, 2024 | 1,108 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | October 18−20, 2024 | 1,083 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 16–20, 2024 | 635 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 16–20, 2024 | 624 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| The Bullfinch Group | October 11−18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| The Bullfinch Group | October 11−18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 7% |
| AtlasIntel | October 12–17, 2024 | 932 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| RMG Research | October 10−16, 2024 | 787 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| RMG Research | October 10−16, 2024 | 787 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Morning Consult | October 6−15, 2024 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| The Washington Post/Schar School | September 30 – October 15, 2024 | 695 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| The Washington Post/Schar School | September 30 – October 15, 2024 | 695 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| Patriot Polling | October 12–14, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 9–14, 2024 | 1,004 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 8–9, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R) | October 6–9, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Emerson College | October 5–8, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 5–8, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| The Wall Street Journal | September 28 – October 8, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Research Co. | October 5–7, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Research Co. | October 5–7, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 3–7, 2024 | 1,073 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Arc Insights | October 2–6, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R) | September 24 – October 2, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | September 28–30, 2024 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) | September 23–29, 2024 | 408 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| ActiVote | August 29 – September 29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 48% | – |
| The New York Times/Siena College | September 21–26, 2024 | 680 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | September 21–26, 2024 | 680 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Marquette University Law School | September 18–26, 2024 | 882 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Marquette University Law School | September 18–26, 2024 | 882 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 48% | – |
| Marquette University Law School | September 18–26, 2024 | 798 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Marquette University Law School | September 18–26, 2024 | 798 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 48% | – |
| AtlasIntel | September 20–25, 2024 | 1,077 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | September 19–25, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | September 19–25, 2024 | 849 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | September 19–25, 2024 | 785 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 48% | 1% |
| Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies | September 19–23, 2024 | 400 (LV) | – | 51% | 45% | 4% |
| RMG Research | September 17–23, 2024 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | September 19−22, 2024 | 1,071 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 1% |
| Emerson College | September 15–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Emerson College | September 15–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| MassINC Polling Group | September 12−18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 53% | 46% | 1% |
| Morning Consult | September 9−18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 44% | 6% |
| Marist College | September 12−17, 2024 | 1,312 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| Marist College | September 12−17, 2024 | 1,194 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 12–16, 2024 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | September 11–14, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | September 11–12, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Morning Consult | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 638 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| co/efficient (R) | September 4–6, 2024 | 917 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| CBS News/YouGov | September 3–6, 2024 | 946 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 49% | – |
| Marquette University Law School | August 28 – September 5, 2024 | 822 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Marquette University Law School | August 28 – September 5, 2024 | 822 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 52% | 48% | – |
| Marquette University Law School | August 28 – September 5, 2024 | 738 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 49% | 44% | 7% |
| Marquette University Law School | August 28 – September 5, 2024 | 738 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 52% | 48% | – |
| Patriot Polling | September 1–3, 2024 | 826 (RV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | August 28–30, 2024 | 1,083 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Emerson College | August 25–28, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Emerson College | August 25–28, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | August 23–26, 2024 | 648 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 44% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | August 23–26, 2024 | 701 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 44% | 4% |
| | August 23, 2024 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. |
| YouGov | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.3% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| YouGov | August 15–23, 2024 | – (LV) | ± 5.9% | 51% | 46% | 3% |
| | August 19–22, 2024 | Democratic National Convention | Democratic National Convention | Democratic National Convention | Democratic National Convention | Democratic National Convention |
| BK Strategies | August 19–21, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R) | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Spry Strategies (R) | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | August 13–19, 2024 | 1,099 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Focaldata | August 6–16, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 48% | – |
| Quantus Insights (R) | August 14–15, 2024 | 601 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| TIPP Insights | August 12–14, 2024 | 1,015 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| TIPP Insights | August 12–14, 2024 | 976 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| The Bullfinch Group | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | August 6–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Navigator Research (D) | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 404 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | August 5–8, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | August 5–8, 2024 | 661 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 50% | 46% | 3% |
| | August 6, 2024 | Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. |
| RMG Research | July 31 – August 5, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Marquette University Law School | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Marquette University Law School | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Marquette University Law School | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Marquette University Law School | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 24–28, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Fox News | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Emerson College | July 22–23, 2024 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Emerson College | July 22–23, 2024 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 49% | – |
| | July 21, 2024 | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. |
| | July 15–19, 2024 | Republican National Convention | Republican National Convention | Republican National Convention | Republican National Convention | Republican National Convention |
| | July 13, 2024 | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R) | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
| Emerson College | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,727 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 45% | 45% | 2% | 1% | – | 7% |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,727 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 48.0% | 47.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | – | – |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,549 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 47% | 47% | 2% | 1% | – | 3% |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,549 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 48.1% | 48.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | – | – |
| AtlasIntel | November 3–4, 2024 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| AtlasIntel | November 1–2, 2024 | 728 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 49% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 25 – November 2, 2024 | 1,305 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 45% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 5% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 25 – November 2, 2024 | 1,305 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 45% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| Focaldata | October 3 – November 1, 2024 | 1,799 (LV) | – | 50% | 47% | – | 0% | 1% | 2% |
| Focaldata | October 3 – November 1, 2024 | 1,613 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 51% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Focaldata | October 3 – November 1, 2024 | 1,799 (A) | – | 49% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel | October 30–31, 2024 | 673 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 49% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 28–31, 2024 | 932 (LV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2024 | 889 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 45% | 0% | 3% | – | 4% |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2024 | 876 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 45% | 0% | 2% | – | 4% |
| AtlasIntel | October 25–29, 2024 | 1,470 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 25–27, 2024 | 746 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 20–22, 2024 | 557 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R) | October 19–22, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 17–21, 2024 | 1,108 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 48% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 16–20, 2024 | 635 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 47% | – | 1% | 3% | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 16–20, 2024 | 624 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 47% | – | 1% | 3% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 16–18, 2024 | 622 (LV) | – | 47% | 46% | – | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 12–14, 2024 | 641 (LV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 3–7, 2024 | 1,073 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 27 – October 2, 2024 | 533 (LV) | – | 47% | 46% | – | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | September 21–26, 2024 | 680 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 45% | – | 1% | 2% | 4% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | September 21–26, 2024 | 680 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | – | 1% | 2% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | September 19–25, 2024 | 849 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | – | 1% | 2% | 1% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | September 19–25, 2024 | 785 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 47% | – | 0% | 1% | 2% |
| Remington Research Group (R) | September 16–20, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 16–19, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 12–16, 2024 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 6–9, 2024 | 626 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| YouGov | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 900 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 44% | 1% | 1% | – | 7% |
| CNN/SSRS | August 23–29, 2024 | 976 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 44% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 25–28, 2024 | 672 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | – | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | August 23–26, 2024 | 648 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | August 23–26, 2024 | 701 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Jill Stein Green | Cornel West Independent | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Others/ Undecided | Margin |
| Race to the WH | through October 7, 2024 | October 13, 2024 | 47.7% | 46.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | Harris +1.4% |
| 270toWin | October 2 – 11, 2024 | October 11, 2024 | 47.0% | 45.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 3.1% | Harris +1.3% |
| Average | Average | Average | 47.4% | 46.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.6% | Harris +1.4% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
| TIPP Insights | October 28–30, 2024 | 1,038 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 44% | 3% | 1% | 1% | – | 5% |
| TIPP Insights | October 28–30, 2024 | 831 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | 3% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
| Echelon Insights | October 27–30, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 48% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| CNN/SSRS | October 23–28, 2024 | 736 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 51% | 45% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| Marquette University Law School | October 16–24, 2024 | 834 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Marquette University Law School | October 16–24, 2024 | 753 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% |
| USA Today/Suffolk University | October 20–23, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel | October 12–17, 2024 | 932 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 48% | 1% | – | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| The Wall Street Journal | September 28 – October 8, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) | September 23–29, 2024 | 408 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| Marquette University Law School | September 18–26, 2024 | 882 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 44% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Marquette University Law School | September 18–26, 2024 | 798 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 44% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| AtlasIntel | September 20–25, 2024 | 1,077 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | – |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | September 19–25, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 48% | 46% | 0% | 1% | 2% | – | 3% |
| MassINC Polling Group | September 12−18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 45% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | September 11–14, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| Marquette University Law School | August 28 – September 5, 2024 | 822 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Marquette University Law School | August 28 – September 5, 2024 | 738 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Z to A Research (D) | August 23–26, 2024 | 518 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | 2% | – | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| YouGov | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 40% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 9% |
| YouGov | August 15–23, 2024 | – (LV) | ± 5.9% | 49% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | August 13–19, 2024 | 1,099 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| Focaldata | August 6–16, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 44% | 4% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| Focaldata | August 6–16, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 42% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| Focaldata | August 6–16, 2024 | 700 (A) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 43% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 12–15, 2024 | 469 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| The Bullfinch Group | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 40% | 3% | 1% | 1% | – | 6% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | August 5–8, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 42% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | August 5–8, 2024 | 661 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Navigator Research (D) | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 404 (LV) | – | 48% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 597 (LV) | – | 43% | 43% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| Marquette University Law School | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 43% | 8% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Marquette University Law School | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 45% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 24–28, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 6% | – | 0% | 3% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 22–24, 2024 | 523 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | 5% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Fox News | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | 1% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| Spry Strategies (R) | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 42% | 3% | 2% | 7% |
| Emerson College | July 22–23, 2024 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
| Fabrizio Ward (R) | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 42% | 4% | 7% |
| Civiqs | July 13–16, 2024 | 514 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 48% | 48% | 2% | 2% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Marquette University Law School | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| Marquette University Law School | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Emerson College | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 11–12, 2024 | 653 (V) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R) | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Echelon Insights | July 1–8, 2024 | 617 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 1–5, 2024 | 695 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| SoCal Strategies (R) | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 490 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | June 28 – July 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 50% | 5% |
| Emerson College | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Marquette University Law School | June 12–20, 2024 | 871 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Marquette University Law School | June 12–20, 2024 | 871 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Marquette University Law School | June 12–20, 2024 | 784 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Marquette University Law School | June 12–20, 2024 | 784 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 49% | – |
| Emerson College | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Emerson College | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 338 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 40% | 38% | 22% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 290 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 40% | 41% | 19% |
| KAConsulting (R) | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Prime Group | May 9–16, 2024 | 488 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 45% | 9% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Quinnipiac University | May 2–6, 2024 | 1,457 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 50% | 44% | 6% |
| Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 52% | – |
| Kaplan Strategies | April 20–21, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 48% | 14% |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 518 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| CBS News/YouGov | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,226 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Fox News | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,198 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Marquette University Law School | April 3–10, 2024 | 814 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Marquette University Law School | April 3–10, 2024 | 814 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Marquette University Law School | April 3–10, 2024 | 736 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Marquette University Law School | April 3–10, 2024 | 736 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 49% | 51% | – |
| North Star Opinion Research (R) | April 6–9, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| The Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Echelon Insights | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Emerson College | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
| Emerson College | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 52% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–14, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| Emerson College | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| Kaplan Strategies | February 23, 2024 | 941 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 41% | 20% |
| Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Fox News | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Focaldata | January 17–23, 2024 | 863 (A) | – | 38% | 43% | 19% |
| Focaldata | January 17–23, 2024 | – (LV) | – | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| Focaldata | January 17–23, 2024 | – (LV) | – | 49% | 51% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 681 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| J.L. Partners | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Emerson College | October 30 - November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
| Emerson College | October 30 - November 4, 2023 | 819 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Marquette University Law School | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Marquette University Law School | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | 48% | 1% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 532 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 40% | 42% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | September 25–26, 2023 | 673 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Prime Group | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 53% | 47% | – |
| Prime Group | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 37% | 40% | 23% |
| Marquette University Law School | June 8–13, 2023 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
| Marquette University Law School | June 8–13, 2023 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 43% | 4% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 17–20, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | 9% |
| Emerson College | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Emerson College | September 16–18, 2022 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 52% | 6% |
| Marquette University Law School | October 26–31, 2021 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 16–18, 2024 | 470 (LV) | – | 42% | 42% | 6% | – | 1% | 9% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | July 15–17, 2024 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 46% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| Emerson College | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| YouGov | July 4–12, 2024 | 900 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 38% | 43% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R) | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 11% | – | 3% | 12% |
| Echelon Insights | July 1–8, 2024 | 617 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 42% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 1–5, 2024 | 695 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 39% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | June 28 – July 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 44% | 9% | – | 3% | 6% |
| Marquette University Law School | June 12–20, 2024 | 871 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 43% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| Marquette University Law School | June 12–20, 2024 | 784 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Emerson College | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| J.L. Partners | June 5–10, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| KAConsulting (R) | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 42% | 42% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
| Prime Group | May 9–16, 2024 | 488 (RV) | – | 44% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 2% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 14% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 40% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| Quinnipiac University | May 2–6, 2024 | 1,457 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 40% | 39% | 12% | 1% | 4% | 4% |
| Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Fox News | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,198 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Marquette University Law School | April 3–10, 2024 | 814 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 40% | 41% | 13% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Marquette University Law School | April 3–10, 2024 | 736 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 41% | 42% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R) | April 6–9, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 37% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 9% |
| The Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 38% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Emerson College | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–14, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| Emerson College | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 41% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
| Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 37% | 40% | 16% | 2% | 4% | 1% |
| Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 39% | 41% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 1% |
| Fox News | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 42% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 43% | 10% | 0% | 2% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 681 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 40% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 13% |
| J.L. Partners | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 37% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
| Civiqs | July 13–16, 2024 | 514 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 47% | 3% | 3% |
| P2 Insights | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 45% | 4% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 338 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 38% | 31% | 13% | 18% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 290 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 40% | 35% | 12% | 13% |
| P2 Insights | May 13−21, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 44% | 7% | 7% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 37% | 35% | 22% | 6% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 37% | 35% | 21% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 13% | 2% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| CBS News/YouGov | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,226 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 48% | 8% | 0% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 518 (LV) | – | 42% | 48% | 10% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 518 (LV) | – | 41% | 41% | 18% |
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Emerson College | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 19% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Fox News | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 46% | 7% |
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | JB Pritzker Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Josh Shapiro Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Fox News | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% |
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pete Buttigieg Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 46% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 33% | 45% | 22% |
| Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 57% | 2% |
| Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 35% | 46% | 19% |
| Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 57% | 1% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 39% | 52% | 9% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 39% | 53% | 8% |
| Marquette University Law School | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 36% | 41% | 23% |
| Marquette University Law School | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 53% | 3% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Marquette University Law School | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| Marquette University Law School | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 50% | 1% |
| Marquette University Law School | June 8–13, 2023 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| Marquette University Law School | June 8–13, 2023 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 17–20, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |

### Results

2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Donald TrumpJD Vance | 1,697,626 | 49.60% | +0.58 |
| | Democratic | Kamala HarrisTim Walz | 1,668,229 | 48.74% | −0.81 |
| | Independent | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn)Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn) | 17,740 | 0.52% | N/A |
| | Green | Jill SteinButch Ware | 12,275 | 0.36% | +0.33 |
| | Libertarian | Chase OliverMike ter Maat | 10,511 | 0.31% | −0.86 |
| | Constitution | Randall TerryStephen Broden | 4,044 | 0.12% | −0.04 |
| | Independent | Cornel WestMelina Abdullah | 2,753 | 0.08% | N/A |
| | Socialism and Liberation | Claudia De la CruzKarina Garcia | 2,035 | 0.06% | +0.06 |
| | Independent | Peter Sonski (Write-in)Lauren Onak (Write-in) | 561 | 0.02% | −0.14 |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 7,144 | 0.21% | +0.02 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 3,422,918 | 100.00% | N/A |

#### By county

| County | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total |
| Adams | 7,763 | 60.26% | 4,443 | 34.49% | 676 | 5.25% | 3,320 | 25.77% | 12,882 |
| Ashland | 4,191 | 46.80% | 4,612 | 51.50% | 152 | 1.70% | -421 | -4.70% | 8,955 |
| Barron | 16,726 | 62.39% | 8,941 | 33.35% | 1,142 | 4.26% | 7,785 | 29.04% | 26,809 |
| Bayfield | 4,860 | 43.24% | 6,107 | 54.33% | 273 | 2.43% | -1,247 | -11.09% | 11,240 |
| Brown | 79,132 | 52.99% | 67,937 | 45.49% | 2,264 | 1.52% | 11,195 | 7.50% | 149,333 |
| Buffalo | 5,213 | 64.36% | 2,765 | 34.14% | 122 | 1.51% | 2,448 | 30.22% | 8,100 |
| Burnett | 7,008 | 64.83% | 3,665 | 33.90% | 137 | 1.27% | 3,343 | 30.93% | 10,810 |
| Calumet | 19,488 | 59.21% | 12,927 | 39.27% | 501 | 1.52% | 6,561 | 19.94% | 32,916 |
| Chippewa | 23,399 | 60.82% | 14,573 | 37.88% | 499 | 1.30% | 8,826 | 22.94% | 38,471 |
| Clark | 10,481 | 68.32% | 4,509 | 29.39% | 350 | 2.28% | 5,972 | 38.93% | 15,340 |
| Columbia | 17,988 | 51.52% | 16,388 | 46.94% | 538 | 1.54% | 1,600 | 4.58% | 34,914 |
| Crawford | 5,113 | 56.16% | 3,860 | 42.39% | 132 | 1.45% | 1,253 | 13.77% | 9,105 |
| Dane | 85,454 | 23.35% | 273,995 | 74.88% | 6,480 | 1.77% | -188,541 | -51.53% | 365,929 |
| Dodge | 33,067 | 65.74% | 16,518 | 32.84% | 715 | 1.42% | 16,549 | 32.90% | 50,300 |
| Door | 10,099 | 48.22% | 10,565 | 50.44% | 280 | 1.34% | -466 | -2.22% | 20,944 |
| Douglas | 11,732 | 46.49% | 13,073 | 51.81% | 429 | 1.70% | -1,341 | -5.32% | 25,234 |
| Dunn | 14,726 | 57.35% | 10,643 | 41.45% | 309 | 1.20% | 4,083 | 15.90% | 25,678 |
| Eau Claire | 27,728 | 43.89% | 34,400 | 54.45% | 1,049 | 1.66% | -6,672 | -10.56% | 63,177 |
| Florence | 2,356 | 74.60% | 783 | 24.79% | 19 | 0.60% | 1,573 | 49.81% | 3,158 |
| Fond du Lac | 37,272 | 63.68% | 20,495 | 35.02% | 760 | 1.30% | 16,777 | 28.66% | 58,527 |
| Forest | 3,382 | 66.35% | 1,681 | 32.98% | 34 | 0.67% | 1,701 | 33.37% | 5,097 |
| Grant | 15,922 | 58.31% | 10,966 | 40.16% | 418 | 1.53% | 4,956 | 18.15% | 27,306 |
| Green | 10,843 | 49.12% | 10,903 | 49.39% | 330 | 1.49% | -60 | -0.27% | 22,076 |
| Green Lake | 7,458 | 67.48% | 3,449 | 31.21% | 145 | 1.31% | 4,009 | 36.27% | 11,052 |
| Iowa | 6,631 | 45.18% | 7,750 | 52.80% | 296 | 2.02% | -1,119 | -7.62% | 14,677 |
| Iron | 2,557 | 62.61% | 1,487 | 36.41% | 40 | 0.98% | 1,070 | 26.20% | 4,084 |
| Jackson | 6,204 | 59.07% | 4,157 | 39.58% | 141 | 1.34% | 2,047 | 19.49% | 10,502 |
| Jefferson | 28,771 | 57.37% | 20,574 | 41.03% | 801 | 1.60% | 8,197 | 16.34% | 50,146 |
| Juneau | 9,525 | 65.45% | 4,854 | 33.35% | 174 | 1.20% | 4,671 | 32.10% | 14,553 |
| Kenosha | 47,478 | 52.36% | 41,826 | 46.12% | 1,376 | 1.52% | 5,652 | 6.24% | 90,680 |
| Kewaunee | 8,267 | 66.22% | 4,059 | 32.51% | 158 | 1.27% | 4,208 | 33.71% | 12,484 |
| La Crosse | 32,247 | 44.63% | 39,008 | 53.98% | 1,006 | 1.39% | -6,761 | -9.35% | 72,261 |
| Lafayette | 5,256 | 59.51% | 3,469 | 39.28% | 107 | 1.21% | 1,787 | 20.23% | 8,832 |
| Langlade | 7,782 | 66.72% | 3,746 | 32.12% | 136 | 1.17% | 4,036 | 34.60% | 11,664 |
| Lincoln | 10,633 | 61.79% | 6,306 | 36.64% | 270 | 1.57% | 4,327 | 25.15% | 17,209 |
| Manitowoc | 28,200 | 60.89% | 17,399 | 37.57% | 717 | 1.55% | 10,801 | 23.32% | 46,316 |
| Marathon | 46,213 | 58.63% | 31,529 | 40.00% | 1,084 | 1.38% | 14,684 | 18.63% | 78,826 |
| Marinette | 16,670 | 68.28% | 7,415 | 30.37% | 330 | 1.35% | 9,255 | 37.91% | 24,415 |
| Marquette | 6,041 | 64.08% | 3,252 | 34.50% | 134 | 1.42% | 2,789 | 29.58% | 9,427 |
| Menominee | 296 | 18.83% | 1,266 | 80.53% | 10 | 0.64% | -970 | -61.70% | 1,572 |
| Milwaukee | 138,022 | 29.74% | 316,292 | 68.15% | 9,793 | 2.11% | -178,270 | -38.41% | 464,107 |
| Monroe | 14,563 | 62.32% | 8,476 | 36.27% | 330 | 1.41% | 6,087 | 26.05% | 23,369 |
| Oconto | 17,675 | 70.95% | 6,967 | 27.97% | 270 | 1.08% | 10,708 | 42.98% | 24,912 |
| Oneida | 14,455 | 58.06% | 10,080 | 40.49% | 360 | 1.45% | 4,375 | 17.57% | 24,895 |
| Outagamie | 60,827 | 54.34% | 49,438 | 44.17% | 1,667 | 1.49% | 11,389 | 10.17% | 111,932 |
| Ozaukee | 34,504 | 54.36% | 27,874 | 43.92% | 1,094 | 1.72% | 6,630 | 10.44% | 63,472 |
| Pepin | 2,798 | 64.26% | 1,523 | 34.98% | 33 | 0.76% | 1,275 | 29.28% | 4,354 |
| Pierce | 14,417 | 56.78% | 10,171 | 40.06% | 804 | 3.17% | 4,246 | 16.72% | 25,392 |
| Polk | 18,296 | 64.83% | 9,567 | 33.90% | 359 | 1.27% | 8,729 | 30.93% | 28,222 |
| Portage | 20,987 | 48.52% | 21,503 | 49.71% | 768 | 1.78% | -516 | -1.19% | 43,258 |
| Price | 5,763 | 65.07% | 3,005 | 33.93% | 88 | 0.99% | 2,758 | 31.14% | 8,856 |
| Racine | 56,347 | 52.33% | 49,721 | 46.17% | 1,618 | 1.50% | 6,626 | 6.16% | 107,686 |
| Richland | 5,207 | 55.85% | 3,985 | 42.74% | 131 | 1.41% | 1,222 | 13.11% | 9,323 |
| Rock | 40,218 | 45.54% | 46,642 | 52.82% | 1,450 | 1.64% | -6,424 | -7.28% | 88,310 |
| Rusk | 5,660 | 68.44% | 2,516 | 30.42% | 94 | 1.14% | 3,144 | 38.02% | 8,270 |
| St. Croix | 35,537 | 58.60% | 23,870 | 39.36% | 1,235 | 2.04% | 11,667 | 19.24% | 60,642 |
| Sauk | 18,798 | 50.02% | 18,172 | 48.35% | 614 | 1.63% | 626 | 1.67% | 37,584 |
| Sawyer | 6,422 | 57.65% | 4,599 | 41.28% | 119 | 1.07% | 1,823 | 16.37% | 11,140 |
| Shawano | 15,850 | 67.45% | 7,336 | 31.22% | 314 | 1.34% | 8,514 | 36.23% | 23,500 |
| Sheboygan | 38,763 | 57.37% | 27,735 | 41.05% | 1,064 | 1.57% | 11,028 | 16.32% | 67,562 |
| Taylor | 8,209 | 73.39% | 2,823 | 25.24% | 154 | 1.38% | 5,386 | 48.15% | 11,186 |
| Trempealeau | 9,661 | 60.08% | 6,219 | 38.68% | 199 | 1.24% | 3,442 | 21.40% | 16,079 |
| Vernon | 8,807 | 53.03% | 7,514 | 45.24% | 288 | 1.73% | 1,293 | 7.79% | 16,609 |
| Vilas | 9,837 | 60.97% | 6,119 | 37.92% | 179 | 1.11% | 3,718 | 23.05% | 16,135 |
| Walworth | 36,603 | 60.40% | 23,161 | 38.22% | 833 | 1.37% | 13,442 | 22.18% | 60,597 |
| Washburn | 6,962 | 63.42% | 3,867 | 35.22% | 149 | 1.36% | 3,095 | 28.20% | 10,978 |
| Washington | 61,604 | 67.40% | 28,504 | 31.18% | 1,299 | 1.42% | 33,100 | 36.22% | 91,407 |
| Waukesha | 162,768 | 59.02% | 108,478 | 39.33% | 4,541 | 1.65% | 54,290 | 19.69% | 275,787 |
| Waupaca | 20,093 | 66.09% | 9,947 | 32.72% | 363 | 1.19% | 10,146 | 33.37% | 30,403 |
| Waushara | 9,625 | 67.01% | 4,571 | 31.82% | 167 | 1.16% | 5,054 | 35.19% | 14,363 |
| Winnebago | 49,179 | 51.57% | 44,660 | 46.83% | 1,532 | 1.61% | 4,519 | 4.74% | 95,371 |
| Wood | 24,997 | 59.21% | 16,599 | 39.32% | 620 | 1.47% | 8,398 | 19.89% | 42,216 |
| Totals | 1,697,626 | 49.60% | 1,668,229 | 48.74% | 57,063 | 1.67% | 29,397 | 0.86% | 3,422,918 |

#### County that flipped from Democratic to Republican

* Sauk (largest municipality: Baraboo)
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Democratic  Hold Republican  Hold  Gain from Democratic

#### By congressional district

Trump won 6 of 8 congressional districts.
| District | Harris | Trump | Representative |
| 1st | 46.89% | 51.39% | Bryan Steil |
| 2nd | 69.16% | 29.12% | Mark Pocan |
| 3rd | 45.46% | 52.84% | Derrick Van Orden |
| 4th | 74.68% | 23.28% | Gwen Moore |
| 5th | 38.15% | 60.24% | Scott L. Fitzgerald |
| 6th | 41.02% | 57.46% | Glenn Grothman |
| 7th | 37.94% | 60.40% | Tom Tiffany |
| 8th | 41.17% | 57.40% | Tony Wied |