# Simcoe North (provincial electoral district)

Simcoe North is a provincial electoral district in Ontario, Canada. It was established as a provincial riding in 1996. Its population was 111,335 in 2016.

## Demographics

    According to the 2011 Canadian census for the overlapping Simcoe North (federal electoral district)
Ethnic groups: 88.5% White, 9.0% Aboriginal Languages: 90.5% English, 3.8% French, 1.4% German
Religions: 71.7% Christian (28.5% Catholic, 13.0% United Church, 10.1% Anglican, 5.6% Presbyterian, 2.9% Baptist, 1.2% Lutheran, 1.0% Pentecostal, 9.4% Other Christian), 26.9% None.
Median income: $28,718 (2010)
Average income: $37,989 (2010)

## Geography

The district includes all of the north and eastern parts of Simcoe County. The major municipalities include Midland, Orillia, Penetanguishene, Tay, Tiny, Christian Island, Severn, Ramara, Oro-Medonte and Mnjikaning First Nation. The area is 3,143 km$^2$.

## Members of Provincial Parliament

Simcoe North :
| Assembly | Years | Member | Party |
| Riding created |||||
| 1st | 1867–1871 | William Lount | Liberal |
| 2nd | 1871–1874 | William Davis Ardagh | Conservative |
| Riding dissolved |||||
| Riding created from Simcoe East and Muskoka–Georgian Bay |||||
| 37th | 1999–2003 | Garfield Dunlop | Progressive Conservative |
| 38th | 2003–2007 | Garfield Dunlop | Progressive Conservative |
| 39th | 2007–2011 | Garfield Dunlop | Progressive Conservative |
| 40th | 2011–2014 | Garfield Dunlop | Progressive Conservative |
| 41st | 2014–2015 | Garfield Dunlop | Progressive Conservative |
| 41st | 2015–2018 | Patrick Brown | Progressive Conservative |
| 41st | 2018–2018 | Patrick Brown | Independent |
| 42nd | 2018–2022 | Jill Dunlop | Progressive Conservative |
| 43rd | 2022–present | Jill Dunlop | Progressive Conservative |
| Sourced from the Ontario Legislative Assembly |||||

## Election results
### 1999–present

vte2025 Ontario general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Jill Dunlop | 24,849 | 51.38 | +1.58 |
| | Liberal | Walter Alvarez-Bardales | 13,328 | 27.56 | +10.12 |
| | New Democratic | Jordi Malcolm | 4,813 | 9.95 | –7.79 |
| | Green | Chris Carr | 3,214 | 6.65 | –2.15 |
| | New Blue | Dave Brunelle | 1,582 | 3.27 | +0.16 |
| | Libertarian | William Joslin | 579 | 1.20 | +0.51 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 48,365 | 99.21 | –0.30 |
| Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots | 387 | 0.79 | +0.30 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 48,752 | 46.57 | +0.33 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 104,695 |
| | Progressive Conservative hold | Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | –4.27 |
| Source: Elections Ontario |||||||
vte2022 Ontario general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Jill Dunlop | 23,041 | 49.80 | +2.89 |
| | New Democratic | Elizabeth Van Houtte | 8,208 | 17.74 | −10.29 |
| | Liberal | Aaron Cayden Hiltz | 8,070 | 17.44 | −0.26 |
| | Green | Krystal Brooks | 4,071 | 8.80 | +2.05 |
| | New Blue | Mark Douris | 1,438 | 3.11 | |
| | Ontario Party | Aaron MacDonald | 1,119 | 2.42 | |
| | Libertarian | William Joslin | 318 | 0.69 | +0.09 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 46,265 | 100.0 |
| Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots | 228 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 46,493 | 46.24 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 101,053 |
| | Progressive Conservative hold | Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | +6.59 |
| Source(s) "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. 2022. Archived from the original on 2023-05-18."Statistical Summary by Electoral District" (PDF). Elections Ontario. 2022. Archived from the original on 2023-05-21. |||||||
2018 Ontario general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Jill Dunlop | 25,236 | 46.92 | +2.98 |
| | New Democratic | Elizabeth Van Houtte | 15,078 | 28.03 | +12.48 |
| | Liberal | Gerry Marshall | 9,523 | 17.70 | -14.82 |
| | Green | Valerie Powell | 3,632 | 6.75 | -1.24 |
| | Libertarian | Cynthia Sneath | 320 | 0.59 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 53,789 | 100.0 |
| | Progressive Conservative gain from Independent | Progressive Conservative gain from Independent | Swing | Swing | -8.97 |
| Source: Elections Ontario |||||||
vteOntario provincial by-election, September 3, 2015 Resignation of Garfield Dunlop :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Progressive Conservative | Patrick Brown | 21,095 | 53.68 | +9.74 | $117,157.00 |
| | Liberal | Fred Larsen | 9,281 | 23.62 | –8.90 | $94,892.00 |
| | New Democratic | Elizabeth Van Houtte | 6,637 | 16.89 | +1.34 | $54,795.23 |
| | Green | Valerie Powell | 1,791 | 4.56 | –3.43 | $183.33 |
| | New Reform | James Gault | 200 | 0.51 | – | – |
| | People's Political Party | Kevin Clarke | 146 | 0.37 | – | – |
| | Libertarian | Darren Roskam | 104 | 0.26 | – | – |
| | Pauper | John Turmel | 47 | 0.12 | – | – |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 39,301 | 100.0 |
| Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | 170 | 0.43 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 39,471 | 40.71 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 96,950 |
| | Progressive Conservative hold | Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | +9.32 |
| Source(s) Elections Ontario (2015). "Official Returns from the Records, 086 Simcoe North" (PDF). Retrieved 17 November 2015. |||||||
2014 Ontario general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Garfield Dunlop | 22,179 | 43.94 | -11.22 |
| | Liberal | Fred Larsen | 16,412 | 32.52 | +10.11 |
| | New Democratic | Doris Middleton | 7,846 | 15.55 | -1.41 |
| | Green | Peter Stubbins | 4,013 | 7.99 | +2.52 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 50,451 | 100.00 |
| | Progressive Conservative hold | Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | -10.67 |
| Source: Elections Ontario |||||||
2011 Ontario general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Garfield Dunlop | 25,081 | 55.16 | +5.34 |
| | Liberal | Fred Larsen | 10,191 | 22.41 | -8.13 |
| | New Democratic | Doris Middleton | 7,710 | 16.96 | +7.77 |
| | Green | Peter Stubbins | 2,488 | 5.47 | -4.74 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 45,470 | 100.00 |
| Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | 142 | 0.31 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 45,612 | 50.98 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 89,474 |
| | Progressive Conservative hold | Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | +6.74 |
| Source: Elections Ontario |||||||
2007 Ontario general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Garfield Dunlop | 22,986 | 49.82 | +3.69 |
| | Liberal | Laura Domsy | 14,094 | 30.54 | -8.33 |
| | Green | Wayne Varcoe | 4,709 | 10.21 | +7.17 |
| | New Democratic | Andrew Hill | 4,240 | 9.19 | -1.68 |
| | Libertarian | Dane-Train Raybould | 112 | 0.24 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 46,141 | 100.00 |
| | Progressive Conservative hold | Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | +12.02 |
2003 Ontario general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Garfield Dunlop | 23,393 | 46.13 | -7.02 |
| | Liberal | Paul Sloan | 19,713 | 38.87 | -0.16 |
| | New Democratic | John Niddery | 5,515 | 10.87 | +4.95 |
| | Green | Nina Pruesse | 1,540 | 3.04 | +1.75 |
| | Family Coalition | Blaine Scott | 453 | 0.89 | |
| | Independent | Karnail Singh | 101 | 0.2 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 50,715 | 100.0 |
| | Progressive Conservative hold | Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | -3.43 |
1999 Ontario general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Progressive Conservative | Garfield Dunlop | 26,160 | 53.15 |
| | Liberal | George J. Macdonald | 19,209 | 39.03 |
| | New Democratic | Ann Billings | 2,913 | 5.92 |
| | Green | Harry Promm | 633 | 1.29 |
| | Natural Law | William Robert Ayling | 305 | 0.62 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 49,220 | 100.0 |

### 1867–1874

vte1867 Ontario general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Liberal | William Lount | 1,431 | 52.40 |
| | Conservative | A. Morrison | 1,300 | 47.60 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 2,731 | 81.91 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 3,334 |
| | Liberal pickup new district. | Liberal pickup new district. | Liberal pickup new district. | Liberal pickup new district. | Liberal pickup new district. | Liberal pickup new district. | Liberal pickup new district. |
| Source: Elections Ontario |||||||
vte1871 Ontario general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Conservative | William Davis Ardagh | 1,354 | 44.39 |
| | Liberal | Charles Cook | 1,041 | 34.13 |
| | Liberal | William Lount | 655 | 21.48 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 3,050 | 69.41 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 4,394 |
| Election voided |||||||||
| Source: Elections Ontario |||||||
vteOntario provincial by-election, January 1872 Previous election voided :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | William Davis Ardagh | 1,847 | 68.08 | +20.48 |
| | Independent | Mr. Ramsey | 866 | 31.92 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 2,713 | 100.0 | −0.66 |
| | Conservative gain from Liberal | Conservative gain from Liberal | Swing | Swing | +20.48 |
| Source: History of the Electoral Districts, Legislatures and Ministries of the Province of Ontario$^{:351}$ |||||||

## 2007 electoral reform referendum

2007 Ontario electoral reform referendum :
| Side | Votes | % |
| First Past the Post | 28,215 | 62.6 |
| Mixed member proportional | 16,883 | 37.4 |
| Total valid votes | 45,098 | 100.0 |

## Sources

* ↑ "Simcoe North - Elections Canada". Elections Ontario. Retrieved 2024-02-02.
* ↑ "National Household Survey (NHS) Profile, 2011". 8 May 2013.
* ↑ "National Household Survey (NHS) Profile, 2011". 8 May 2013.
* ↑ For a listing of each MPP's Queen's Park curriculum vitae see below: For William Lount's Legislative Assembly information see "William Lount, MPP". Parliamentary History. Toronto: Legislative Assembly of Ontario. 2017. For William Davis Ardagh's Legislative Assembly information see "William Davis Ardagh, MPP". Parliamentary History. Toronto: Legislative Assembly of Ontario. 2017. For Garfield Dunlop's Legislative Assembly information see "Garfield Dunlop, MPP". Parliamentary History. Toronto: Legislative Assembly of Ontario. 2017. For Patrick Brown's Legislative Assembly information see "Patrick Brown, MPP". Parliamentary History. Toronto: Legislative Assembly of Ontario. 2017.
* ↑ "Vote Totals From Official Tabulation" (PDF). Elections Ontario. 3 March 2025. Retrieved 4 March 2025.
* ↑ "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. p. 10. Retrieved 20 January 2019.
* ↑ Elections Ontario. "General Election Results by District, 086 Simcoe North". Retrieved 13 June 2014.
* ↑ Elections Ontario (2011). "Official return from the records / Rapport des registres officiels - Simcoe North" (PDF). Retrieved 2 June 2014.
* ↑ "Data Explorer". Elections Ontario. 1867. Retrieved March 15, 2024.
* ↑ "Data Explorer". Elections Ontario. 1871. Retrieved March 31, 2024.
* ↑ Lewis, Roderick (1968). Centennial Edition of a History of the Electoral Districts, Legislatures and Ministries of the Province of Ontario, 1867–1968. OCLC 1052682.
* Elections Ontario Past Election Results
* Map of riding for 2018 election
44°41′N 79°38′W﻿ / ﻿44.68°N 79.64°W﻿ / 44.68; -79.64