# Opinion polling for the 2024 Romanian presidential election

In the run-up to the 2024 Romanian presidential election, which took place on 24 November (first round) and which would have taken place on 8 December 2024, various polling companies and organisations in Romania conducted a series of opinion polls to measure and track voting intentions of the electorate. All polls proved unable to project the victory of Călin Georgescu in the first round, after which the Constitutional Court anulled the resulst, with a new presidential election planned for May 2025 from which Georgescu has been barred from running.

## Second round
### Georgescu vs Lasconi (annulled)

| Poll | Date | Sample | Georgescu Ind. | Lasconi USR |
| IRES | 17 - 20 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | 63.0 | 37.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 28 Nov–5 Dec 2024 | 5.505 | 46.4 | 48.6 |
| Sociopol | 3–4 Dec 2024 | 1.200 | 63.0 | 37.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 1–4 Dec 2024 | 2.116 | 47.0 | 43.8 |
| Curs | 1 Dec 2024 | 24.629 | 57.8 | 42.2 |
| Sociopol | 27–29 Nov 2024 | 1.000 | 60.0 | 40.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 26–28 Nov 2024 | 2.116 | 45.3 | 47.5 |

## First round
### After the deadline for submitting candidacies to BEC (5 October 2024)

| Poll | Date | Sample | Georgescu Ind. | Lasconi USR | Ciolacu PSD | Simion AUR | Ciucă PNL | Geoană Ind. | Kelemen UDMR | Diaconescu Ind. | Terheș PNCR | Birchall Ind. | Orban FD | Others |
| Election (annulled first round) | 24 Nov 2024 | 9.242.186 | 22.9 | 19.2 | 19.1 | 13.9 | 8.8 | 6.3 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| AtlasIntel | 20–22 Nov 2024 | 1.692 | 8.1 | 17.8 | 23.7 | 16.9 | 14.3 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Verifield for USR | 20–21 Nov 2024 | 1.803 | 10.6 | 19.0 | 24.5 | 19.0 | 8.6 | 7.9 | 3.4 | 5.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | — | 0.6 |
| AtlasIntel | 15–20 Nov 2024 | 2.003 | 6.2 | 15.3 | 24.3 | 15.4 | 12.1 | 7.0 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| INSOMAR | 14–20 Nov 2024 | 1.042 | 6.8 | 12.7 | 24.4 | 16.2 | 15.6 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 3.8 | — | — | — |
| Verifield for USR | 8–14 Nov 2024 | 968 | 4.9 | 17.1 | 26.3 | 18.8 | 7.3 | 8.1 | 4.7 | 6.8 | 2.8 | — | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| INSCOP | 7–12 Nov 2024 | 1.100 | 5.4 | 14.3 | 25.3 | 19.1 | 9.1 | 13.3 | 4.1 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| BCS | 7–10 Nov 2024 | 1.157 | 5.8 | 14.3 | 27.1 | 11.9 | 17.7 | 7.6 | 5.7 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 1.0 | — |
| Sociopol | 4–8 Nov 2024 | 1.001 | — | 12.0 | 29.0 | 21.0 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | — | — | — |
| CIRA | 1–6 Nov 2024 | 1.150 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 29.0 | 17.0 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | — | — | 1.0 | — | — |
| Verifield for USR | 1–6 Nov 2024 | 1.064 | 4.6 | 15.7 | 25.9 | 21.2 | 8.5 | 13.2 | 2.9 | 4.4 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| CURS | 30 Oct–5 Nov | 1.067 | — | 12.0 | 28.0 | 17.0 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | — | 1.0 |
| Argument | 18-23 Oct 2024 | 1.100 | — | 15.9 | 26.8 | 18.4 | 12.9 | 14.6 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 3.6 |
| Sociopol | 14-18 Oct 2024 | 1.003 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 26.0 | 20.0 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | — | 1.0 | — |
| INSCOP | 11-18 Oct 2024 | 1.106 | — | 15.0 | 24.1 | 20.7 | 8.2 | 18.1 | 3.8 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0.3 |
| CURS | 11-16 Oct 2024 | 1.006 | — | 14.0 | 26.0 | 17.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Verifield for USR | 7-9 Oct 2024 | 1.009 | — | 17.1 | 23.4 | 19.8 | 6.2 | 17.2 | 3.8 | 7.6 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Sociopol | 7-9 Oct 2024 | 1.004 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 19.0 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — |

### Before the deadline for submitting candidacies to BEC (5 October 2024)

| Poll | Date | Sample | Geoană Ind. | Ciolacu PSD | Simion AUR | Ciucă PNL | Șoșoacă S.O.S. | Drulă/Lasconi USR | Kelemen UDMR | Cioloș REPER | Kövesi Ind. | Others |
| INSOMAR-Avangarde | 15–27 Sep 2024 | 1.100 | 15.0 | 30.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | — | — | — |
| CURS | 10–23 Sep 2024 | 1.067 | 16.0 | 29.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | — | — | — | — |
| INSCOP | 11–16 Sep 2024 | 1.102 | 20.8 | 20.5 | 12.4 | 5.6 | 12.5 | 16.0 | 3.6 | — | — | — |
| FlashData | 5–13 Sep 2024 | 1.100 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 19.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | — | — | — | 7.0 |
| Sociopol | 26 Aug-3 Sep 2024 | 1,005 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | — | — | — |
| Verifield for USR | Aug 2024 | — | 21.0 | 17.2 | 14.1 | 7.3 | 13.9 | 15.3 | 2.3 | | | 8.8 |
| The Center for International Research and Analyses | 24–30 Aug 2024 | 1,099 | 14.0 | 25.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | — | — | 5.0 |
| CURS | 6–22 Aug 2024 | 1,067 | 15.0 | 32.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | — | — | — | 4.0 |
| ARA for Antena3 | 9–26 Jul 2024 | 1,009 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | — | — | — | 14.0 |
| CURS | 18–26 Jul 2024 | 1,067 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | — | — | — |
| Sociopol | 9–17 Jul 2024 | 1,002 | 15.0 | 25.0 | 19.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | — | — | — |
| CURS | 26 Jun–2 Jul 2024 | 1,067 | 17.0 | 30.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | — | — | 2.0 |
| INSCOP | 19–27 June 2024 | 1,100 | 26.7 | 17.8 | 11.2 | 11.9 | 13.4 | 14.3 | 3.4 | — | — | 1.2 |
| CSPS | June 2024 | 1,013 | 24.0 | 16.0 | 28.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | — | — | — |
| INSCOP | 20–25 May 2024 | 1,100 | 23.7 | 18.2 | 13.5 | 11.5 | 12.5 | 8.6 | 5.5 | — | — | 6.4 |
| AtlasIntel | 5–9 April 2024 | 1,764 | 33.6 | — | 11.8 | — | 10.7 | 10.9 | 1.4 | 6.9 | — |
| AtlasIntel | 5–9 April 2024 | 1,764 | 27 | 9.6 | 12.6 | 5 | 10.6 | 11.3 | 0.7 | 6.1 | — |
| AtlasIntel | 5–9 April 2024 | 1,764 | 27.3 | 9.2 | 12.4 | — | 9.8 | 13.6 | 3.0 | 6.4 | — | - |
| INSCOP | 14 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | 26.0 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | — | 3.0 | — | 9.0 | - |
| INSCOP Research | 16–24 Jan 2024 | 1,100 | 26.5 | 18.9 | 13.3 | 11.4 | 14.0 | 5.9 | 3.6 | 5.1 | - | 1.3 |
| Snap Market Research | 3–8 Jan 2024 | 998 | 12 | 29 | 13 | 8 | 14 | — | 5 | — | 10 | 9 |

### Opinion polls with Geoană (2023)

| Poll | Date | Sample | Geoană Ind. | Ciolacu PSD | Simion AUR | Ciucă PNL | Șoșoacă S.O.S. | Drulă USR | Lasconi USR | Orban FD | Kelemen UDMR | Cioloș REPER | Kövesi Ind. | Hellvig Ind. | Others |
| INSCOP | 20–27 Nov 2023 | 1,100 | 26.2 | 20.8 | 14.0 | 12.1 | 14.4 | 4.2 | — | — | 2.4 | 3.9 | — | — | 1.9 |
| INSCOP | 23 Oct–2 Nov 2023 | 1,100 | 27.7 | 21.8 | 18.9 | — | 10.5 | — | 12.1 | — | 3.1 | 4.3 | — | — | — |
| AtlasIntel | 20–29 Oct 2023 | 2,000 | 20.4 | 10.3 | 7.7 | 0.7 | 13.3 | 6.9 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 10.9 | 6.4 | 13.4 |
| INSCOP | 15–22 Sep 2023 | 1,550 | 25.3 | 19.5 | 18.7 | 11.2 | 10.1 | 5.6 | — | — | 2.7 | 4.1 | — | — | 3.4 |
| AtlasIntel | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,000 | 22.6 | — | 10.6 | 4.9 | 6.1 | 8.0 | — | 3.8 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 16.4 | 0.4 | 20.9 |
| AtlasIntel | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,000 | 14.6 | 6.2 | 9.7 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 4.5 | — | 5.1 | 2.9 | 5.1 | 16.9 | 0.5 | 24.2 |
| Election | Nov 2019 | — | — | 22.26 | — | 37.82 | — | 15.02 | 15.02 | — | 3.87 | — | — | — | — |

### Opinion polls without Geoană (2023)

| Poll | Date | Sample | Ciucă PNL | Ciolacu PSD | Drulă USR | Kelemen UDMR | Kövesi Ind. | Simion AUR | Șoșoacă S.O.S. | Cioloș REPER | Orban FD | Hellvig Ind. | Others |
| INSCOP | 20–27 Nov 2023 | 1,100 | 14.1 | 27.4 | 7.1 | 2.7 | — | 18.0 | 19.1 | 6.7 | — | — | 4.9 |
| AtlasIntel | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,000 | 8.0 | 13.3 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 15.7 | 10.4 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 24.1 |
| Election | Nov 2019 | — | 37.82 | 22.26 | 15.02 | 3.87 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |

### Opinion polls with potential candidates (before 2023)

| Poll | Date | Sample | Cîțu | Orban | Ciolacu | Barna | Cioloș | Drulă | Diaconescu | Kelemen | Simion | Șoșoacă | Geoană | Dragnea PAINE/ApP | Others |
| Gazeta Civică | 15–31 Jul 2021 | 1,112 | 11.0 | — | 4.0 | — | — | 22.0 | — | 5.0 | — | — | 33.0 | — | 6.0 |
| INSOMAR | 1–8 May 2021 | 1,030 | — | 12.03 | 16.1 | 22.00 | 13.4 | — | 8.3 | — | 14.2 | 4.0 | — | 6.6 | 3.37 |
| INSOMAR | 8–11 Feb 2021 | 1,030 | 3.0 | 11.4 | 23.0 | 21.0 | 12.6 | — | — | 3.0 | 17.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 8.96 |
| Election | Nov 2019 | | 37.82 | 37.82 | 22.26 | 15.02 | 15.02 | 15.02 | 5.72 | 3.87 | 0.34 | 0.34 | — | — | 14.97 |

### The first round among Romanian citizens from the Republic of Moldova

| Poll | Date | Sample | Geoană Ind. | Ciolacu PSD | Simion AUR | Ciucă PNL | Șoșoacă S.O.S. | Drulă USR | Kelemen UDMR | Cioloș REPER | Piedone PUSL | Others/ N/A |
| iDATA | 22 – 26 Apr 2024 | 1,006 | 15.0 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 6.1 | 58.0 |
| iDATA | 22 – 26 Apr 2024 | 1,006 | 34.6 | 7.1 | 5.5 | 7.8 | 11.1 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 12.7 | 14.1 | — |
| CBS-Research | 6 – 13 Apr 2024 | 1,008 | 14.1 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 0.9 | — | — | — | 72.8 |
| CBS-Research | 6 – 13 Apr 2024 | 1,008 | 51.9 | 17.3 | 3.7 | 15.0 | 14.0 | 3.3 | — | — | — | — |

## Hypothetical second round
### Geoană vs Ciolacu

| Poll | Date | Sample | Geoană Ind. | Ciolacu PSD |
| INSCOP | 19 - 27 June 2024 | 1,100 | 63.7 | 36.3 |
| INSCOP | 14 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | 61.0 | 39.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 20–29 Oct 2023 | 2,000 | 64.9 | 35.1 |

### Geoană vs Simion

| Poll | Date | Sample | Geoană Ind. | Simion AUR |
| INSCOP | 14 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | 75.0 | 25.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 20–29 Oct 2023 | 2,000 | 71.8 | 28.2 |
| INSCOP | 15–22 Sep 2023 | 1,550 | 63.5 | 36.5 |
| AtlasIntel | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,000 | 69.5 | 30.5 |

### Geoană vs Ciucă

| Poll | Date | Sample | Geoană Ind. | Ciucă PNL |
| INSCOP | 19–27 June 2024 | 1,100 | 63.9 | 36.1 |
| AtlasIntel | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,000 | 76.2 | 23.8 |

### Geoană vs Kövesi

| Poll | Date | Sample | Geoană Ind. | Kövesi Ind. |
| INSCOP | 14 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | 66.0 | 34.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 20–29 Oct 2023 | 2,000 | 61.2 | 38.8 |
| AtlasIntel | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,000 | 53.1 | 46.9 |

### Geoană vs Lasconi

| Poll | Date | Sample | Geoană Ind. | Lasconi USR |
| INSCOP | 19 - 27 June 2024 | 1,200 | 66.2 | 33.8 |

### Ciolacu vs Simion

| Poll | Date | Sample | Ciolacu PSD | Simion AUR |
| AtlasIntel | 20–29 Oct 2023 | 2,000 | 69.5 | 30.5 |
| INSCOP | 15–22 Sep 2023 | 1,550 | 58.8 | 41.2 |
| AtlasIntel | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,000 | 54.1 | 45.9 |

### Ciolacu vs Lasconi

| Poll | Date | Sample | Ciolacu PSD | Lasconi USR |
| INSCOP | 19–27 June 2024 | 2,000 | 58.0 | 42.0 |

### Ciolacu vs Drulă

| Poll | Date | Sample | Ciolacu PSD | Drulă USR |
| AtlasIntel | 20–29 Oct 2023 | 2,000 | 50.4 | 49.6 |

### Ciolacu vs Ciucă

| Poll | Date | Sample | Ciolacu PSD | Ciucă PNL |
| INSCOP | 14 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | 63.0 | 37.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,000 | 51.7 | 48.3 |

### Ciolacu vs Kövesi

| Poll | Date | Sample | Kövesi Ind. | Ciolacu PSD |
| AtlasIntel | 20–29 Oct 2023 | 2,000 | 58.6 | 41.4 |
| AtlasIntel | 27–30 Jan 2023 | 2,000 | 57.8 | 42.2 |

## Trust in politicians

| Poll | Date | Sample | Geoană Ind. | Ciolacu PSD | Simion AUR | Ciucă PNL | Șoșoacă S.O.S. | Lasconi USR | Kelemen UDMR | Cioloș REPER | Kövesi Ind. | Others |
| INSCOP Research | 19–27 June 2024 | 1,100 | 33.4 | 23.6 | 18.0 | 21.4 | 20.2 | 21.3 | 8.5 | - | - | - |