# Opinion polling for the 2016 Irish general election

Numerous polls of support for political parties in Ireland were taken between the 2011 general election and the 2016 general election, held on Friday, 26 February 2016. The article also contains polls taken after the election while a government was being formed.
Two main tables of opinion polls are shown below. The top table lists opinion polls taken in 2016, the election year, and includes all political parties with Dáil representation, plus the Green Party. The second table, for polls from the last general election in 2011 up to 2015, does not break out Renua or the Social Democrats, which were both founded in 2015.

## 2016
### Color key

Exit poll
| Date | Source/Link | Polling Agency | FG | Lab | FF | SF | AAA -PBP | RI | SD | GP | Others |
| 26 February 2016 | General election | — | 25.5 | 6.6 | 24.3 | 13.8 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 17.9 |
| 26 February 2016 | RTÉ | Behaviour & Attitudes | 24.8 | 7.1 | 21.1 | 16.0 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 16.6 |
| 26 February 2016 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 26.1 | 7.8 | 22.9 | 14.9 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 16.1 |
| 23 February 2016 | Paddy Power | Red C | 30 | 7 | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16 |
| 22 February 2016 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 28 | 6 | 23 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 21 February 2016 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown | 27 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 |
| 21 February 2016 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 30 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| 21 February 2016 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 30 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 16 February 2016 | The Irish Sun | Red C | 26 | 9 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 18 |
| 13 February 2016 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 28 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 February 2016 | Paddy Power | Red C | 30 | 8 | 18 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 February 2016 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 28 | 8 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 February 2016 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 31 | 10 | 17 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 February 2016 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown | 27 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 |
| 4 February 2016 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 28 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 |
| 30 January 2016 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 29 | 10 | 17 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 |
| 16 January 2016 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 30 | 9 | 19 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 |
| 16 January 2016 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 31 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 |
| 25 February 2011 | General election | — | 36.1 | 19.4 | 17.4 | 9.9 | 2.2 | — | — | 1.8 | 14.2 |

## 2011–2015
### Poll results

| Date | Source/Link | Polling Agency | FG | Lab | FF | SF | GP | AAA-PBP | Others |
| 19 December 2015 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 32 | 9 | 17 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 18 |
| 13 December 2015 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 31 | 8 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 18 |
| 2 December 2015 | Paddy Power | Red C | 28 | 9 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 19 |
| 26 November 2015 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 30 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 18 |
| 21 November 2015 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 31 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 19 |
| 14 November 2015 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 26 | 7 | 20 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 16 |
| 7 November 2015 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown | 29 | 7 | 24 | 21 | 1 | — | 19 |
| 24 October 2015 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 30 | 7 | 20 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
| 18 October 2015 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 24 | 8 | 19 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 21 |
| 23 September 2015 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 28 | 8 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 21 |
| 12 September 2015 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 28 | 10 | 18 | 16 | — | — | 28 |
| 15 August 2015 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 27 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 23 |
| 30 July 2015 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown | 24 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 23 |
| 26 July 2015 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 25 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 28 |
| 18 July 2015 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 24 | 8 | 18 | 17 | — | — | 32 |
| 27 June 2015 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown | 29 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 |
| 24 June 2015 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 28 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | — | 25 |
| 15 June 2015 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 24 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | | 26 |
| 30 May 2015 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 28 | 10 | 19 | 21 | 3 | — | 19 |
| 14 May 2015 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 28 | 7 | 20 | 21 | — | — | 24 |
| 26 April 2015 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 25 | 8 | 19 | 22 | 1 | — | 24 |
| 5 April 2015 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown | 25 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 28 March 2015 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 27 | 10 | 18 | 17 | 2 | — | 26 |
| 26 March 2015 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 24 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 3 | — | 25 |
| 11 March 2015 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 27 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 3 | — | 23 |
| 21 February 2015 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 24 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 3 | — | 27 |
| 14 February 2015 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown | 25 | 6 | 19 | 26 | 1 | — | 23 |
| 19 January 2015 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 24 | 9 | 19 | 20 | 2 | — | 26 |
| 13 January 2015 | RTÉ (Today with Sean O'Rourke) | Red C | 24 | 8 | 18 | 21 | 1 | — | 28 |
| 21 December 2014 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 24 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 1 | — | 29 |
| 18 December 2014 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown | 22 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 2 | — | 32 |
| 17 December 2014 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 21 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 2 | — | 28 |
| 4 December 2014 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 19 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 3 | — | 29 |
| 23 November 2014 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 22 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 3 | — | 27 |
| 2 November 2014 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown | 22 | 7 | 20 | 26 | 2 | — | 23 |
| 26 October 2014 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 25 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 3 | — | 25 |
| 26 October 2014 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 26 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 2 | — | 28 |
| 9 October 2014 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 24 | 9 | 20 | 24 | — | — | 23 |
| 21 September 2014 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown | 25 | 9 | 21 | 22 | 1 | — | 23 |
| 14 September 2014 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 28 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 2 | — | 23 |
| 17 August 2014 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 24 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 1 | — | 24 |
| 3 August 2014 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown | 25 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 1 | — | 23 |
| 29 June 2014 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 25 | 7 | 18 | 22 | 2 | — | 26 |
| 12 June 2014 | Paddy Power | Red C | 22 | 4 | 18 | 22 | 2 | — | 32 |
| 7 June 2014 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown | 20 | 5 | 20 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
| 23 May 2014 | European election | — | 22.3 | 5.3 | 22.3 | 19.5 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 23.9 |
| 23 May 2014 | Local elections | — | 24.0 | 7.2 | 25.3 | 15.2 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 25.5 |
| 19 May 2014 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown | 20 | 6 | 21 | 23 | 2 | — | 27 |
| 1 May 2014 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 25 | 11 | 21 | 18 | — | — | 25 |
| 19 April 2014 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown | 29 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 2 | — | 21 |
| 19 April 2014 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 21 | 9 | 20 | 20 | 4 | — | 26 |
| 3 April 2014 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 25 | 8 | 25 | 21 | — | — | 21 |
| 30 March 2014 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 26 | 9 | 22 | 21 | — | — | 22 |
| 28 February 2014 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown | 27 | 8 | 21 | 22 | 2 | — | 20 |
| 22 February 2014 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 30 | 9 | 19 | 18 | — | — | 24 |
| 22 February 2014 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 29 | 11 | 22 | 16 | — | — | 22 |
| 24 January 2014 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown | 30 | 12 | 26 | 16 | 1 | — | 15 |
| 22 January 2014 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 27 | 9 | 23 | 16 | — | — | 25 |
| 9 January 2014 | Paddy Power | Red C | 28 | 10 | 22 | 18 | — | — | 22 |
| 15 December 2013 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 30 | 11 | 21 | 15 | 3 | — | 21 |
| 10 December 2013 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 30 | 9 | 22 | 21 | — | — | 18 |
| 24 November 2013 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 29 | 12 | 22 | 15 | 2 | — | 20 |
| 17 November 2013 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown | 27 | 9 | 24 | 21 | 1 | — | 18 |
| 7 November 2013 | Paddy Power | Red C | 25 | 9 | 24 | 16 | 2 | — | 24 |
| 23 October 2013 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 29 | 9 | 23 | 17 | — | — | 23 |
| 1 October 2013 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 26 | 6 | 22 | 23 | 2 | — | 21 |
| 28 September 2013 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown Lansdowne | 28 | 10 | 27 | 19 | 1 | — | 15 |
| 21 September 2013 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 25 | 11 | 21 | 18 | 3 | — | 23 |
| 16 September 2013 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 27 | 10 | 23 | 17 | 4 | — | 19 |
| 1 September 2013 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown Lansdowne | 27 | 8 | 25 | 21 | 1 | — | 18 |
| 18 August 2013 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown Lansdowne | 29 | 8 | 28 | 19 | 1 | — | 15 |
| 7 July 2013 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown Lansdowne | 26 | 8 | 29 | 19 | — | — | 19 |
| 30 June 2013 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 28 | 12 | 22 | 17 | — | — | 21 |
| 14 June 2013 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 24 | 9 | 26 | 21 | 2 | — | 18 |
| 13 June 2013 | Paddy Power | Red C | 30 | 10 | 24 | 16 | — | — | 20 |
| 2 June 2013 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown Lansdowne | 27 | 11 | 27 | 17 | — | — | 18 |
| 26 May 2013 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 26 | 11 | 26 | 16 | — | — | 21 |
| 19 May 2013 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown Lansdowne | 23 | 12 | 26 | 19 | 1 | — | 18 |
| 28 April 2013 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 28 | 11 | 25 | 16 | 2 | — | 18 |
| 14 April 2013 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown Lansdowne | 24 | 12 | 27 | 16 | 2 | — | 18 |
| 31 March 2013 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 27 | 7 | 23 | 15 | 2 | — | 25 |
| 24 March 2013 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 28 | 13 | 24 | 14 | 1 | — | 20 |
| 17 March 2013 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown Lansdowne | 25 | 9 | 29 | 20 | 1 | — | 16 |
| 2 March 2013 | Irish Independent | Millward Brown Lansdowne | 24 | 11 | 23 | 21 | 2 | — | 20 |
| 24 February 2013 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 28 | 12 | 26 | 16 | 2 | — | 16 |
| 18 February 2013 | Irish Independent | Millward Brown Lansdowne | 25 | 13 | 27 | 20 | 1 | — | 15 |
| 8 February 2013 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 25 | 10 | 26 | 18 | 1 | — | 20 |
| 27 January 2013 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 28 | 11 | 21 | 19 | 2 | — | 19 |
| 21 January 2013 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 26 | 11 | 24 | 19 | 3 | — | 18 |
| 10 January 2013 | Paddy Power | Red C | 29 | 13 | 21 | 16 | 3 | — | 18 |
| 2 December 2012 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 28 | 14 | 20 | 17 | 3 | — | 18 |
| 18 November 2012 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 30 | 12 | 22 | 14 | 3 | — | 19 |
| 28 October 2012 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 34 | 13 | 19 | 17 | 2 | — | 15 |
| 18 October 2012 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 31 | 12 | 21 | 20 | 2 | — | 14 |
| 23 September 2012 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 32 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 2 | — | 16 |
| 16 September 2012 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 31 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 2 | — | 19 |
| 24 June 2012 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 32 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 2 | — | 17 |
| 27 May 2012 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown Lansdowne | 36 | 12 | 17 | 20 | 1 | — | 14 |
| 26 May 2012 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 30 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 2 | — | 16 |
| 25 May 2012 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 32 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 2 | — | 15 |
| 23 May 2012 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 33 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 2 | — | 18 |
| 18 May 2012 | Paddy Power | Red C | 32 | 13 | 18 | 20 | 2 | — | 15 |
| 18 May 2012 | Irish Independent | Millward Brown Lansdowne | 34 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 1 | — | 17 |
| 13 May 2012 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 29 | 13 | 19 | 21 | 2 | — | 16 |
| 29 April 2012 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 32 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 15 |
| 17 April 2012 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 33 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 5 | — | 18 |
| 20 April 2012 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 33 | 13 | 14 | 21 | 2 | — | 17 |
| 30 March 2012 | Paddy Power | Red C | 35 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 2 | — | 18 |
| 25 March 2012 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 34 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 2 | — | 15 |
| 4 March 2012 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 30 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 2 | — | 17 |
| 20 February 2012 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 33 | 13 | 16 | 20 | 2 | — | 16 |
| 29 January 2012 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 30 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 3 | — | 18 |
| 12 January 2012 | Paddy Power | Red C | 33 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 2 | — | 18 |
| 12 December 2011 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 29 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 3 | — | 18 |
| 4 December 2011 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 32 | 15 | 18 | 15 | 1 | — | 19 |
| 25 October 2011 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 36 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 1 | — | 14 |
| 23 October 2011 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 31 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 2 | — | 20 |
| 18 October 2011 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 35 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 1 | — | 16 |
| 7 October 2011 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 35 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 2 | — | 12 |
| 2 October 2011 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 34 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 3 | — | 17 |
| 25 September 2011 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 33 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 2 | — | 19 |
| 17 September 2011 | Sunday Independent | Millward Brown Lansdowne | 40 | 20 | 10 | 11 | 2 | — | 17 |
| 4 September 2011 | The Sunday Times | Behaviour & Attitudes | 44 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 2 | — | 12 |
| 21 July 2011 | The Irish Times | Ipsos MRBI | 38 | 18 | 18 | 10 | 2 | — | 14 |
| 22 June 2011 | Irish Independent | Millward Brown Lansdowne | 42 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 1 | — | 12 |
| 29 May 2011 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 41 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 3 | — | 10 |
| 10 April 2011 | The Sunday Business Post | Red C | 39 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 2 | — | 14 |
| 25 February 2011 | General election | — | 36.1 | 19.4 | 17.4 | 9.9 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 14.2 |

## Polling Companies

Four companies carry out national and sectoral opinion polls in Ireland. They use different methodologies, which can have a bearing on overall accuracy.
Normally the sample size for a national poll is in the very low thousands with a margin of error of ~ 3%
The methodologies used by the four companies are:
| Polling Agency | Methodology | Own Statement on Sampling (with page number) |
| BandA | Face To Face(In Home) | (Page 3) |
| IpSoS/MRBI | Telephone(Random Autodial) | (Description section at bottom) |
| Millward Brown | Face To Face (In Home) | (Page 2) |
| RedC | Telephone(Random Autodial) | (Page 2) |

## Footnotes

* ↑ "Others" includes Independent Alliance 2%
* ↑ "Others" includes Independent Alliance 4% .Others also includes 3% who indicated they would vote Independent/Other but were undecided as to precisely whom.
* ↑ Millward Brown does not break out Independent Alliance
* ↑ "Others" includes Independent Alliance 3%
* ↑ "Others" includes Independent Alliance 5%, Workers' Party 1%
* ↑ "Others" includes Independent Alliance 5%
* ↑ "Others" includes Independent Alliance 3%
* ↑ "Others" includes Independent Alliance 4%
* ↑ "Others" includes Independent Alliance 4%, Workers' Party 1%
* ↑ "Others" includes Independent Alliance 2%
* ↑ "Others" includes Independent Alliance 3%
* ↑ "Others" includes Workers' Party 2%, and Independent Alliance 3%
* ↑ Socialist Party 1.2% and People Before Profit 1% in 2011, they have combined since the 2014 Local Elections, where they ran separately, as the Anti Austerity Alliance-People Before Profit Party abbreviated initially as AAA-PBP and latterly as AAA only.
* ↑ "Others" includes Social Democrats 2% and Renua 2%
* ↑ "Others" includes Social Democrats 1%, Workers' Party 1%, Independent Alliance 2% and Renua 1%
* ↑ "Others" includes Social Democrats 3%, Independent Alliance 2% and Renua 1%
* ↑ "Others" includes Independent Alliance 3%, Renua 2% and Social Democrats 2%
* ↑ "Others" includes Social Democrats 3% and Renua 1%
* ↑ "Others" includes Independent Alliance 2%, Renua 1% and Social Democrats 1%
* 1 2 3 "Others" includes Renua 1%
* ↑ "Others" includes Renua 2% and Social Democrats 1%
* ↑ "Others" includes Independent Alliance 5%, Renua 2%, Social Democrats 1% and Workers' Party 1%
* ↑ "Others" includes Independent Alliance 3%, Renua 2% and Social Democrats 1%
* ↑ "Others" includes Workers' Party 2%, Renua 2% and Social Democrats 1%
* ↑ 2% reported as Socialist Party
* ↑ "Others" includes Renua 1% and Social Democrats 0.5%
* 1 2 "Others" includes Renua 1%. The "Others" figure of 27% reported by RTÉ also included 2% Greens.)
* 1 2 "Others" includes Renua 1%. The "Others" figure of 28% reported by RTÉ also included 2% Greens.)
* 1 2 "Others" includes Renua (1%) and the Socialist Party (less than 1%). The "Others" figure of 26% reported by RTÉ also included 1% Greens.)
* ↑ Less than 1%, included in "Others"
* ↑ "Others" includes Renua 2%
* 1 2 "Others" includes Renua 2%. The "Others" figure of 28% reported by Breaking News also included 2% Greens.)
* ↑ "Others" includes Renua 1% (The reported "others" figure of 30% also included 3% Greens.)
* 1 2 The "Others" figure of 24% reported by The Irish Times also included 1% Greens.)
* ↑ "Others" includes 1% for Renua, which had not been named at that point.
* 1 2 Contested as separate parties
* 1 2 Others figure of 24% includes 3% for the Green Party
* ↑ Less than 1%; included in "Others".
* 1 2 "Independents and other parties" had 19% of the core vote, adjusted to 22% excluding undecided voters. The Green Party was 2 percentage points of the 19% core vote.
* ↑ Socialist Party 1.2% and People Before Profit 1%