# 2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

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The 2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Oklahoma voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
Republican Donald Trump easily kept the state in the GOP column in the past two election cycles, with a 36.4% margin of victory in 2016 and 33.1% four years later. Oklahoma was expected to go for Trump a third time in 2024, and Trump ultimately carried the state by 34.26%, winning every county. It was Trump's fifth strongest state in the nation, behind North Dakota, Idaho, West Virginia, and Wyoming, respectively.
The Oklahoma State Election Board approved Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to officially appear on the ballot in the state on May 9.

## Primary elections
### Democratic primary

The Oklahoma Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Oklahoma Democratic primary, March 5, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total |
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 66,882 | 72.98% | 36 | | 36 |
| Marianne Williamson | 8,356 | 9.12% | 0 | | 0 |
| Dean Phillips | 8,182 | 8.93% | 0 | | 0 |
| Stephen Lyons | 4,441 | 4.85% | 0 | | 0 |
| Cenk Uygur | 1,974 | 2.15% | 0 | | 0 |
| Armando Perez-Serrato | 1,809 | 1.97% | 0 | | 0 |
| Total: | 91,644 | 100.00% | 40 | 4 | 40 |

### Republican primary

The Oklahoma Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Oklahoma Republican primary, March 5, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Donald Trump | 254,928 | 81.83% | 43 | | 43 |
| Nikki Haley | 49,406 | 15.86% | | | |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 3,946 | 1.27% | | | |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,095 | 0.35% | | | |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,022 | 0.33% | | | |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 431 | 0.14% | | | |
| David Stuckenberg | 397 | 0.13% | | | |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 303 | 0.10% | | | |
| Total: | 311,528 | 100.00% | 43 | | 43 |

### Libertarian primary

The Oklahoma Libertarian primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Jacob Hornberger and Chase Oliver were qualified by petition for placement on the ballot. This is the first presidential preference primary for any alternative party in the state.
Oliver and Hornberger participated in a forum at Rose State College in Midwest City, Oklahoma, on February 7, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Chase Oliver | 569 | 61.25% |
| Jacob Hornberger | 360 | 38.75% |
| Total: | 929 | 100% |
| Source: |||

## General election
### Candidates

The following presidential candidates have received ballot access in Oklahoma:
* Kamala Harris, Democratic Party
* Donald Trump, Republican Party
* Chase Oliver, Libertarian Party
* Chris Garrity, Independent
* Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Independent (withdrawn)

### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Cook Political Report | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
| 538 | Solid R | June 11, 2024 |
| RCP | Solid R | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |

### Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| ActiVote | October 3–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 67% | 33% | – |
| ActiVote | September 13 – October 19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 66% | 34% | – |
| SoonerPoll | August 24–31, 2024 | 323 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 56% | 40% | 4% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 391 (LV) | – | 53% | 40% | 7% |
| Cygnal (R) | April 11–12, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 61% | 30% | 9% |
| Emerson College | October 1–3, 2023 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 27% | 18% |
| Emerson College | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 30% | 11% |
| SoonerPoll | October 4–6, 2022 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 53% | 41% | 6% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 63% | 30% | 7% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| Cygnal (R) | April 11–12, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 3.83% | 56% | 24% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 391 (LV) | – | 46% | 43% | 11% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 391 (LV) | – | 50% | 36% | 14% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 53% | 28% | 19% |

### Results

2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Donald TrumpJD Vance | 1,036,213 | 66.16% | +0.79% |
| | Democratic | Kamala HarrisTim Walz | 499,599 | 31.90% | −0.39% |
| | Independent | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn)Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn) | 16,020 | 1.02% | N/A |
| | Libertarian | Chase OliverMike ter Maat | 9,198 | 0.59% | −0.99% |
| | Independent | Chris GarrityCody Ballard | 5,143 | 0.33% | N/A |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 1,566,173 | 100.00% | N/A |

#### By county

| County | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total |
| Adair | 5,860 | 80.76% | 1,289 | 17.76% | 107 | 1.47% | 4,571 | 63.00% | 7,256 |
| Alfalfa | 1,891 | 87.55% | 236 | 10.93% | 33 | 1.53% | 1,655 | 76.62% | 2,160 |
| Atoka | 4,832 | 85.34% | 779 | 13.76% | 51 | 0.90% | 4,053 | 71.58% | 5,662 |
| Beaver | 1,938 | 91.24% | 158 | 7.44% | 28 | 1.32% | 1,780 | 83.80% | 2,124 |
| Beckham | 6,474 | 84.32% | 1,093 | 14.24% | 111 | 1.45% | 5,381 | 70.08% | 7,678 |
| Blaine | 3,054 | 80.67% | 671 | 17.72% | 61 | 1.61% | 2,383 | 62.95% | 3,786 |
| Bryan | 13,999 | 78.59% | 3,569 | 20.04% | 244 | 1.37% | 10,430 | 58.55% | 17,812 |
| Caddo | 6,886 | 72.51% | 2,414 | 25.42% | 196 | 2.06% | 4,472 | 47.09% | 9,496 |
| Canadian | 50,551 | 69.18% | 21,038 | 28.79% | 1,485 | 2.03% | 29,513 | 40.39% | 73,074 |
| Carter | 14,945 | 76.69% | 4,277 | 21.95% | 266 | 1.36% | 10,668 | 54.74% | 19,488 |
| Cherokee | 11,637 | 65.29% | 5,826 | 32.69% | 360 | 2.02% | 5,811 | 32.60% | 17,823 |
| Choctaw | 4,633 | 82.16% | 944 | 16.74% | 62 | 1.10% | 3,689 | 65.42% | 5,639 |
| Cimarron | 860 | 91.98% | 66 | 7.06% | 9 | 0.96% | 794 | 84.92% | 935 |
| Cleveland | 67,225 | 56.35% | 49,432 | 41.44% | 2,637 | 2.21% | 17,793 | 14.91% | 119,294 |
| Coal | 2,155 | 84.91% | 345 | 13.59% | 38 | 1.50% | 1,810 | 71.32% | 2,538 |
| Comanche | 20,823 | 60.74% | 12,823 | 37.40% | 638 | 1.86% | 8,000 | 23.34% | 34,284 |
| Cotton | 2,067 | 82.48% | 392 | 15.64% | 47 | 1.88% | 1,675 | 66.84% | 2,506 |
| Craig | 4,740 | 78.27% | 1,212 | 20.01% | 104 | 1.72% | 3,528 | 58.26% | 6,056 |
| Creek | 24,098 | 76.96% | 6,643 | 21.22% | 571 | 1.82% | 17,455 | 55.74% | 31,312 |
| Custer | 7,693 | 75.66% | 2,279 | 22.41% | 196 | 1.93% | 5,414 | 53.25% | 10,168 |
| Delaware | 14,407 | 79.56% | 3,475 | 19.19% | 226 | 1.25% | 10,932 | 60.37% | 18,108 |
| Dewey | 1,984 | 89.57% | 209 | 9.44% | 22 | 0.99% | 1,775 | 80.13% | 2,215 |
| Ellis | 1,585 | 87.47% | 197 | 10.87% | 30 | 1.66% | 1,388 | 76.60% | 1,812 |
| Garfield | 16,593 | 75.96% | 4,849 | 22.20% | 402 | 1.84% | 11,744 | 53.76% | 21,844 |
| Garvin | 9,063 | 82.46% | 1,802 | 16.40% | 126 | 1.15% | 7,261 | 66.06% | 10,991 |
| Grady | 20,378 | 80.60% | 4,536 | 17.94% | 369 | 1.46% | 15,842 | 62.66% | 25,283 |
| Grant | 1,794 | 84.42% | 295 | 13.88% | 36 | 1.69% | 1,499 | 70.54% | 2,125 |
| Greer | 1,511 | 82.30% | 304 | 16.56% | 21 | 1.14% | 1,207 | 65.74% | 1,836 |
| Harmon | 709 | 80.39% | 165 | 18.71% | 8 | 0.91% | 544 | 61.68% | 882 |
| Harper | 1,284 | 88.49% | 147 | 10.13% | 20 | 1.38% | 1,137 | 78.36% | 1,451 |
| Haskell | 4,156 | 84.20% | 718 | 14.55% | 62 | 1.26% | 438 | 69.65% | 4,936 |
| Hughes | 3,744 | 80.36% | 831 | 17.84% | 84 | 1.80% | 2,913 | 62.52% | 4,659 |
| Jackson | 6,295 | 78.17% | 1,602 | 19.89% | 156 | 1.94% | 4,693 | 58.28% | 8,053 |
| Jefferson | 2,020 | 85.05% | 319 | 13.43% | 36 | 1.52% | 1,701 | 71.62% | 2,375 |
| Johnston | 3,462 | 81.84% | 684 | 16.17% | 84 | 1.99% | 2,778 | 65.67% | 4,230 |
| Kay | 12,483 | 73.81% | 4,136 | 24.45% | 294 | 1.74% | 8,347 | 49.36% | 16,913 |
| Kingfisher | 5,745 | 85.06% | 923 | 13.67% | 86 | 1.27% | 4,822 | 71.39% | 6,754 |
| Kiowa | 2,569 | 78.37% | 658 | 20.07% | 51 | 1.56% | 1,911 | 58.30% | 3,278 |
| Latimer | 3,356 | 82.28% | 681 | 16.70% | 42 | 1.03% | 2,675 | 65.58% | 4,079 |
| LeFlore | 15,333 | 81.76% | 3,184 | 16.98% | 237 | 1.26% | 12,149 | 64.78% | 18,754 |
| Lincoln | 12,495 | 80.80% | 2,712 | 17.54% | 258 | 1.67% | 9,783 | 63.26% | 15,465 |
| Logan | 17,748 | 73.49% | 5,901 | 24.44% | 500 | 2.07% | 11,847 | 49.05% | 24,149 |
| Love | 3,510 | 82.39% | 689 | 16.17% | 61 | 1.43% | 2,821 | 66.22% | 4,260 |
| McClain | 17,005 | 79.47% | 4,031 | 18.84% | 361 | 1.69% | 12,974 | 60.63% | 21,397 |
| McCurtain | 9,485 | 83.87% | 1,696 | 15.00% | 128 | 1.13% | 7,789 | 68.87% | 11,309 |
| McIntosh | 6,387 | 75.68% | 1,937 | 22.95% | 115 | 1.36% | 4,450 | 52.73% | 8,439 |
| Major | 3,087 | 88.76% | 327 | 9.40% | 64 | 1.84% | 2,760 | 79.36% | 3,478 |
| Marshall | 5,348 | 81.17% | 1,169 | 17.74% | 72 | 1.09% | 4,179 | 63.43% | 6,589 |
| Mayes | 13,514 | 77.78% | 3,529 | 20.31% | 331 | 1.91% | 9,985 | 57.47% | 17,374 |
| Murray | 4,689 | 79.68% | 1,080 | 18.35% | 116 | 1.97% | 3,609 | 61.33% | 5,885 |
| Muskogee | 16,550 | 67.95% | 7,400 | 30.38% | 407 | 1.67% | 9,150 | 37.57% | 24,357 |
| Noble | 3,853 | 77.73% | 1,009 | 20.36% | 95 | 1.92% | 2,844 | 57.37% | 4,957 |
| Nowata | 3,774 | 82.75% | 720 | 15.79% | 67 | 1.47% | 3,054 | 66.96% | 4,561 |
| Okfuskee | 3,080 | 77.23% | 854 | 21.41% | 54 | 1.35% | 2,226 | 55.82% | 3,988 |
| Oklahoma | 143,618 | 49.71% | 138,769 | 48.03% | 6,536 | 2.26% | 4,849 | 1.68% | 288,923 |
| Okmulgee | 10,100 | 70.39% | 3,979 | 27.73% | 270 | 1.88% | 6,121 | 42.66% | 14,349 |
| Osage | 14,404 | 69.83% | 5,867 | 28.44% | 357 | 1.73% | 8,537 | 41.39% | 20,628 |
| Ottawa | 8,490 | 75.95% | 2,511 | 22.46% | 177 | 1.58% | 5,979 | 53.49% | 11,178 |
| Pawnee | 5,405 | 78.56% | 1,355 | 19.69% | 120 | 1.74% | 4,050 | 58.87% | 6,880 |
| Payne | 17,962 | 61.35% | 10,560 | 36.07% | 757 | 2.59% | 7,402 | 25.28% | 29,279 |
| Pittsburg | 13,841 | 78.77% | 3,473 | 19.76% | 258 | 1.47% | 10,368 | 59.01% | 17,572 |
| Pontotoc | 10,967 | 72.27% | 3,895 | 25.67% | 312 | 2.06% | 7,072 | 46.60% | 15,174 |
| Pottawatomie | 20,915 | 72.69% | 7,266 | 25.25% | 593 | 2.06% | 13,649 | 47.44% | 28,774 |
| Pushmataha | 4,025 | 85.60% | 616 | 13.10% | 61 | 1.30% | 3,409 | 72.50% | 4,702 |
| Roger Mills | 1,548 | 89.32% | 160 | 9.23% | 25 | 1.45% | 1,388 | 80.09% | 1,733 |
| Rogers | 35,942 | 76.63% | 10,146 | 21.63% | 814 | 1.74% | 25,796 | 55.00% | 46,902 |
| Seminole | 5,951 | 73.98% | 1,951 | 24.25% | 142 | 1.77% | 4,000 | 49.73% | 8,044 |
| Sequoyah | 12,491 | 80.16% | 2,907 | 18.65% | 185 | 1.19% | 9,584 | 61.51% | 15,583 |
| Stephens | 15,092 | 81.05% | 3,236 | 17.38% | 292 | 1.57% | 11,856 | 63.67% | 18,620 |
| Texas | 4,319 | 82.96% | 793 | 15.23% | 94 | 1.81% | 3,526 | 67.73% | 5,206 |
| Tillman | 2,006 | 79.19% | 500 | 19.74% | 27 | 1.07% | 1,506 | 59.45% | 2,533 |
| Tulsa | 145,241 | 56.53% | 106,105 | 41.30% | 5,593 | 2.18% | 39,136 | 15.23% | 256,939 |
| Wagoner | 28,487 | 73.99% | 9,330 | 24.23% | 684 | 1.78% | 19,157 | 49.76% | 38,501 |
| Washington | 16,836 | 72.65% | 5,793 | 25.00% | 545 | 2.35% | 11,043 | 47.65% | 23,174 |
| Washita | 4,030 | 86.63% | 551 | 11.84% | 71 | 1.53% | 3,479 | 74.79% | 4,652 |
| Woods | 2,955 | 81.23% | 614 | 16.88% | 69 | 1.90% | 2,341 | 64.35% | 3,638 |
| Woodward | 6,231 | 85.22% | 967 | 13.22% | 114 | 1.56% | 5,264 | 72.00% | 7,312 |
| Totals | 1,036,213 | 66.16% | 499,599 | 31.90% | 30,361 | 1.94% | 536,614 | 34.26% | 1,566,173 |

#### By congressional district

Trump won all five congressional districts.
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
| 1st | 59.71% | 38.18% | Kevin Hern |
| 2nd | 77.02% | 21.40% | Josh Brecheen |
| 3rd | 71.51% | 26.66% | Frank Lucas |
| 4th | 65.51% | 32.58% | Tom Cole |
| 5th | 57.99% | 39.76% | Stephanie Bice |

## Analysis

A deeply red state entirely in the Bible Belt, Oklahoma has the longest Republican presidential voting streak of any Southern state, having not backed a Democratic presidential candidate since it was won by Lyndon B. Johnson of neighboring Texas in 1964. Since then, the state has only been contested by single digits in the nationwide victories of former Southern governors Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton (the latter from neighboring Arkansas) in 1976, 1992, and 1996. In addition, Republican presidential candidates have consistently won every county in the state starting with Texan George W. Bush in 2004 — although Oklahoma County, home to the largest city and state capital Oklahoma City, was closely decided in 2020.
Although Trump easily won Oklahoma, the state would have one of the smallest rightward shifts in the nation, shifting rightward by 1.18%. Much like in 2020, Oklahoma County was close, with Trump winning the county by less than 1.7%, though he did narrowly increase his margin in the county.