# 2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania

"none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see [[WP:SDNONE]]
Elections in Pennsylvania :
Federal government
U.S. President
1789
1792
1796
1800
1804
1808
1812
1816
1820
1824
1828
1832
1836
1840
1844
1848
1852
1856
1860
1864
1868
1872
1876
1880
1884
1888
1892
1896
1900
1904
1908
1912
1916
1920
1924
1928
1932
1936
1940
1944
1948
1952
1956
1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2008
2016
2020
2024
U.S. Senate
1788
1791
1793 sp
1794 sp
1795
1796
1797
1801
1801 sp
1802
1806
1808
1808 sp
1809 sp
1812
1814
1814 sp
1818
1820
1824
1826
1830
1831 sp
1832
1834 sp
1836
1840 sp
1843
1845
1845 sp
1849
1851
1856
1857
1861
1861 sp
1863
1867
1869
1873
1875
1877 sp
1879
1881
1885
1887
1891
1893
1897
1899
1901 sp
1903
1905
1905 sp
1908
1909
1909 sp
1911
1914
1916
1920
1922
1922 sp
1926
1928
1930 sp
1932
1934
1938
1940
1944
1946
1950
1952
1956
1958
1962
1964
1968
1970
1974
1976
1980
1982
1986
1988
1991 sp
1992
1994
1998
2000
2004
2006
2010
2012
2016
2018
2022
2024
2028
U.S. House of Representatives
1788
1791
1792
1794
1796
5th sp
1797
5th sp
1798
1st sp
4th sp
1800
8th sp
1801
4th sp
8th sp
12th sp
1802
1804
10th sp
1805
4th sp
11th sp
1806
1st sp
1808
1st sp
1809
1st sp
1810
1812
1813
3rd sp
5th sp
7th sp
13th sp
15th sp
1814
2nd sp
3rd sp
1815
1st sp
3rd sp
9th sp
1816
9th sp
1817
10th sp
1818
4th sp
6th sp
1820
5th sp
7th sp
1821
5th sp
10th sp
1822
1st sp
6th sp
7th sp
14th sp
1824
8th sp
13th sp
1825
16th sp
1826
2nd sp
7th sp
13th sp
18th sp
1827
2nd sp
1828
1829
8th sp
16th sp
1830
1831
11th sp
1832
1833
1st sp
1834
1836
13th sp
24th sp
1837
3rd sp
1838
9th sp
1839
14th sp
1840
13th sp
22nd sp
1841
2nd sp
13th sp
20th sp
18th sp
Jun
Dec
1842
17th sp
21st sp
1843
1844
12th sp
13th sp
21st sp
1846
1848
6th sp
1850
11th sp
15th sp
1852
1854
8th sp
1856
1857
12th sp
1858
8th sp
1860
8th sp
1861
2nd sp
12th sp
1862
7th sp
1864
1866
1867
12th sp
1868
9th sp
20th sp
1870
1872
13th sp
1874
23rd sp
1876
12th sp
1878
1880
1882
1884
19th sp
1885
19th sp
1886
1888
1890
3rd sp
4th sp
1892
1893
2nd sp
8th sp
1894
at-large sp
1895
15th sp
1896
1897
25th sp
1898
23rd sp
1899
9th sp
1900
5th sp
1901
10th sp
1902
17th sp
1903
4th sp
1904
3rd sp
1906
2nd sp
3rd sp
12th sp
1907
2nd sp
1908
1910
1911
2nd sp
14th sp
1912
1st sp
1914
1916
1917
28th sp
1918
1919
22nd sp
1920
3rd sp
1921
at-large sp
1922
1924
1926
1927
1st sp
1928
8th sp
1929
12th sp
1930
1931
2nd sp
1932
6th sp
18th sp
20th sp
1933
9th sp
1934
1936
1937
18th sp
1938
1939
4th sp
1940
1941
15th sp
1942
11th sp
12th sp
33rd sp
1943
2nd sp
23rd sp
1944
2nd sp
17th sp
1946
10th sp
23rd sp
33rd sp
1947
8th sp
1948
1949
22nd sp
26th sp
1950
1951
8th sp
14th sp
33rd sp
1952
1954
1956
2nd sp
30th sp
1957
13th sp
1958
4th sp
21st sp
1960
17th sp
18th sp
1961
16th sp
1962
1963
15th sp
23rd sp
1964
5th sp
1966
1968
1970
9th sp
1971
18th sp
1972
27th sp
1974
12th sp
1976
1st sp
1978
1980
11th sp
12th sp
1981
3rd sp
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1991
2nd sp
1992
1994
1996
1998
1st sp
2000
2001
9th sp
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
12th sp
2012
2014
2016
2nd sp
2018
7th sp
15th sp
18th sp
2019
12th sp
2020
2022
2024 :
State government
Governor
1790
1793
1796
1799
1802
1805
1808
1811
1814
1817
1820
1823
1826
1829
1832
1835
1838
1841
1844
1847
1848
1851
1854
1857
1860
1863
1866
1869
1872
1875
1878
1882
1886
1890
1894
1898
1902
1906
1910
1914
1918
1922
1926
1930
1934
1938
1942
1946
1950
1954
1958
1962
1966
1970
1974
1978
1982
1986
1990
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014
2018
2022
2026
Lieutenant Governor
1874
1878
1882
1886
1890
1894
1898
1902
1906
1910
1914
1918
1922
1926
1930
1934
1938
1942
1946
1950
1954
1958
1962
1966
1970
1974
1978
1982
1986
1990
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014
2018
2022
Attorney General
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Auditor General
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
State Treasurer
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
State Senate
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
State House of Representatives
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024 :
Elections by year
State elections
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025 :
Philadelphia
Mayoral elections
1839
1840
1841
1842
1843
1844
1845
1846
1847
1848
1849
1850
1851
1852
1853
1854
1856
1858
1860
1862
1865
1868
1871
1874
1877
1881
1884
1887
1891
1895
1899
1903
1907
1911
1915
1919
1923
1927
1931
1935
1939
1943
1947
1951
1955
1959
1963
1967
1971
1975
1979
1983
1987
1991
1995
1999
2003
2007
2011
2015
2019
2023
City Council elections
1951
1954 sp.
1955
1959
1963
2015
2019
2022–23 sp.
2023
Other municipal elections
1951
1953
1955
1957
1959
1961
1963
2023 :
Pittsburgh
Mayors
1909
1913
1917
1921
1925
1929
1933
1937
1941
1945
1949
1953
1957
1959
1961
1965
1969
1973
1977
1981
1985
1989
1993
1997
2001
2005
2007
2009
2013
2017
2021
2025 :
Allentown
Mayors
1977
1981
1985
1989
1993
1997
2001
2005
2009
2013
2017
2019 sp
2021
2025 :
Lancaster
Mayors
2009
2017
2021
2025 :
Harrisburg
Mayors
1969
1973
1977
1981
1985
1989
1993
1997
2001
2005
2009
2013
2017
2021
2025 :
Government :
vte :
The 2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Pennsylvania voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Pennsylvania has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.
Pennsylvania held the largest electoral prize of all major swing states in 2024. As such, it was generally forecasted that the winner of the state was highly likely to win the entire election. According to statistician Nate Silver, the state's winner was estimated to have a 90% chance of winning the presidency. Major news organizations marked it as a tossup in the lead-up to the election.
Trump won Pennsylvania with 50.4% of the vote to Kamala Harris's 48.7%, defeating her by a margin of roughly 1.7% and flipping the state. This was the largest margin of victory for a Republican candidate since 1988, as well as the first time since that election that a Republican won over 50% of the state vote. Trump's victory is seen to have contributed to down-ballot victories for Republicans who won the races for the US Senate, Attorney General, Treasurer and Auditor General. Trump received more than 3.5 million votes, the most cast for any candidate in Pennsylvania history.

## Primary elections
### Democratic primary

Pennsylvania Democratic primary, April 23, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total |
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 926,633 | 88.2% | 159 | | 159 |
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 68,310 | 6.5% | | | |
| Write-in votes | 55,611 | 5.3% | | | |
| Total: | 1,050,554 | 100.0% | 159 | 27 | 186 |

### Republican primary

Pennsylvania Republican primary, April 23, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Donald Trump | 790,690 | 82.8% | 16 | 46 | 62 |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 157,228 | 16.5% | | | |
| Write-in votes | 10,387 | 1.2% | | | |
| Unprojected delegates: | Unprojected delegates: | Unprojected delegates: | | 5 | 5 |
| Total: | 958,305 | 100.0% | 16 | 51 | 67 |

## General election
### Voting law changes

In 2022, no-excuse mail-in voting was upheld by the Pennsylvania Supreme Court. Automatic voter registration was enacted in 2023, helping to register citizens when getting a driver's license.

### Trump assassination attempt

On July 13, 2024, Trump was shot and wounded in an assassination attempt while holding a campaign rally west of Butler, Pennsylvania. The former president was struck in the right ear while on stage and was surrounded by Secret Service agents until the shooter was killed by members of the Counter Assault Team. One rally-goer, Corey D. Comperatore of Sarver, PA, died and two others were critically injured.

### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D | November 4, 2024 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| CNN | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| CNalysis | Lean D | November 4, 2024 |
| The Economist | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| 538 | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| Inside Elections | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| NBC News | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |

### Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided | Margin |
| 270ToWin | October 23 – November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.2% | 48.2% | 3.6% | Tie |
| 538 | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 47.9% | 47.7% | 4.4% | Harris +0.2% |
| Silver Bulletin | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.0% | 48.1% | 3.9% | Trump +0.1% |
| Real Clear Politics | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.5% | 48.9% | 2.6% | Trump +0.4% |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.0% | 48.8% | 3.2% | Trump +0.8% |
| Average | Average | Average | 48.12% | 48.34% | 3.8% | Trump +0.22% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 2,333 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 2,333 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 52% | 48% | – |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 2,103 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 51% | 46% | 3% |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 2,103 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 52% | 48% | – |
| AtlasIntel | November 3–4, 2024 | 1,840 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Research Co. | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | November 1–3, 2024 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Patriot Polling | November 1–3, 2024 | 903 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | November 1–2, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel | November 1–2, 2024 | 2,049 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 2, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 2, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer | October 29 – November 2, 2024 | 1,527 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 47% | 5% |
| The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer | October 29 – November 2, 2024 | 1,527 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | October 25 – November 2, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | October 25 – November 2, 2024 | 699 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| ActiVote | October 10 – November 2, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50.5% | 49.5% | – |
| SoCal Strategies (R) | October 30–31, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| AtlasIntel | October 30–31, 2024 | 1,738 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R) | October 29–31, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2024 | 982 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2024 | 956 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 48% | 1% |
| Morning Consult | October 22−31, 2024 | 1,395 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | October 27–30, 2024 | 460 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Marist College | October 27–30, 2024 | 1,558 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| Marist College | October 27–30, 2024 | 1,400 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Echelon Insights | October 27–30, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 52% | 2% |
| AtlasIntel | October 25–29, 2024 | 1,299 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 50% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 25–28, 2024 | 849 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Fox News | October 24–28, 2024 | 1,310 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Fox News | October 24–28, 2024 | 1,057 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 24–28, 2024 | 2,186 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| CBS News/YouGov | October 22–28, 2024 | 1,273 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 49% | 1% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 26–27, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 25–27, 2024 | 1,116 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R) | October 22–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| CES/YouGov | October 1–25, 2024 | 3,708 (A) | – | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| CES/YouGov | October 1–25, 2024 | 3,685 (LV) | – | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| Emerson College | October 21–22, 2024 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Emerson College | October 21–22, 2024 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 20–22, 2024 | 1,586 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) | October 18−22, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Quantus Insights (R) | October 17−20, 2024 | 840 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 16–20, 2024 | 866 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 16–20, 2024 | 812 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | October 9−20, 2024 | 890 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | October 9−20, 2024 | 583 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | October 17−19, 2024 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
| The Bullfinch Group | October 11−18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| The Bullfinch Group | October 11−18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel | October 12–17, 2024 | 2,048 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 50% | 3% |
| Rose Institute/YouGov | October 7–17, 2024 | 1,062 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Rose Institute/YouGov | October 7–17, 2024 | 1,043 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Morning Consult | October 6−15, 2024 | 1,395 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| The Washington Post/Schar School | September 30 – October 15, 2024 | 707 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| The Washington Post/Schar School | September 30 – October 15, 2024 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 9–13, 2024 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 50% | 3% |
| The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer | October 7–10, 2024 | 857 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 47% | 4% |
| The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer | October 7–10, 2024 | 857 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| American Pulse Research & Polling | October 2–10, 2024 | 1,193 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 49.5% | 50.5% | – |
| TIPP Insights | October 7–9, 2024 | 1,079 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| TIPP Insights | October 7–9, 2024 | 803 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R) | October 6–9, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 7–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Emerson College | October 5–8, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Emerson College | October 5–8, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| The Wall Street Journal | September 28 – October 8, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Research Co. | October 5–7, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Research Co. | October 5–7, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 3–7, 2024 | 1,412 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Hunt Research | October 2–7, 2024 | 1,037 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Center for Working Class Politics/YouGov | September 24 – October 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R) | September 24 – October 2, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R) | September 28–29, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Patriot Polling | September 27–29, 2024 | 816 (RV) | – | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| The Bullfinch Group | September 26–29, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | September 26–29, 2024 | 1,090 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) | September 23–29, 2024 | 408 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Emerson College | September 27–28, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Emerson College | September 27–28, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| AtlasIntel | September 20–25, 2024 | 1,775 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 48% | 51% | 1% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | September 19–25, 2024 | 474 (LV) | – | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | September 19–25, 2024 | 993 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | September 19–25, 2024 | 924 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 46% | 3% |
| ActiVote | September 1–25, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 48% | – |
| Fox News | September 20−24, 2024 | 1,021 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Fox News | September 20−24, 2024 | 775 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | September 17–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies | September 19–23, 2024 | 400 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | September 19–22, 2024 | 1,202 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | September 19–22, 2024 | 1,202 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) | September 16–22, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| RMG Research | September 18–20, 2024 | 783 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| RMG Research | September 18–20, 2024 | 783 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 49% | 3% |
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | September 16–19, 2024 | 450 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Emerson College | September 15–18, 2024 | 880 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Emerson College | September 15–18, 2024 | 880 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| MassINC Polling Group | September 12−18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 47% | 1% |
| Morning Consult | September 9−18, 2024 | 1,756 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Marist College | September 12−17, 2024 | 1,663 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| Marist College | September 12−17, 2024 | 1,476 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| The Washington Post | September 12−16, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| The Washington Post | September 12−16, 2024 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 12−16, 2024 | 1,331 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 46% | 2% |
| The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer | September 11−16, 2024 | 1,082 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer | September 11−16, 2024 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| Suffolk University/USA Today | September 11−16, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | September 14−15, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| | September 10, 2024 | The presidential debate between Harris and Trump hosted by ABC | The presidential debate between Harris and Trump hosted by ABC | The presidential debate between Harris and Trump hosted by ABC | The presidential debate between Harris and Trump hosted by ABC | The presidential debate between Harris and Trump hosted by ABC |
| Morning Consult | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,910 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| co/efficient (R) | September 4–6, 2024 | 889 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| CBS News/YouGov | September 3–6, 2024 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Patriot Polling | September 1–3, 2024 | 857 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | August 28–30, 2024 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Wick Insights | August 27–29, 2024 | 1,607 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Emerson College | August 25–28, 2024 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Emerson College | August 25–28, 2024 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 49% | 1% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | August 23–26, 2024 | 803 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | August 23–26, 2024 | 758 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 48% | 1% |
| SoCal Strategies (R) | August 23, 2024 | 713 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| SoCal Strategies (R) | August 23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| | August 23, 2024 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. |
| YouGov | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
| YouGov | August 15–23, 2024 | – (LV) | ± 6.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| | August 22, 2024 | Democratic National Convention concludes | Democratic National Convention concludes | Democratic National Convention concludes | Democratic National Convention concludes | Democratic National Convention concludes |
| Institute for Global Affairs/YouGov | August 15–22, 2024 | 350 (A) | ± 6.0% | 40% | 44% | 16% |
| ActiVote | August 5–22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 49% | – |
| Fabrizio Ward (R) | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Spry Strategies (R) | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | August 18–19, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | August 13–17, 2024 | 1,312 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Focaldata | August 6–16, 2024 | 719 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Cygnal (R) | August 14–15, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Emerson College | August 13–14, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Emerson College | August 13–14, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Quinnipiac University | August 8–12, 2024 | 1,738 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| The Bullfinch Group | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | August 6–9, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | August 6–9, 2024 | 693 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | August 6–8, 2024 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Navigator Research (D) | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) | July 29 – August 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 29–30, 2024 | 627 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| GQR Research (D) | July 26–30, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Quantus Insights (R) | July 27–28, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 24–28, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| The Bullfinch Group | July 23–25, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Fox News | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,034 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Emerson College | July 22–23, 2024 | 850 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Emerson College | July 22–23, 2024 | 850 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 51% | – |
| | July 21, 2024 | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. |
| North Star Opinion Research (R) | July 20–23, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 9% |
| SoCal Strategies (R) | July 20–21, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| | July 19, 2024 | Republican National Convention concludes | Republican National Convention concludes | Republican National Convention concludes | Republican National Convention concludes | Republican National Convention concludes |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
| | July 15, 2024 | Republican National Convention begins | Republican National Convention begins | Republican National Convention begins | Republican National Convention begins | Republican National Convention begins |
| | July 13, 2024 | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 45% | 51% | 4% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 812 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 50% | 7% |
| Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 49% | 11% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Jill Stein Green | Cornel West Independent | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Others/ Undecided | Margin |
| Race to the WH | through October 28, 2024 | November 2, 2024 | 48.0% | 47.5% | 1.0% | — | 0.6% | 2.9% | Harris +0.5% |
| 270toWin | October 17 – 28, 2024 | November 2, 2024 | 47.9% | 47.9% | 0.8% | — | 0.7% | 2.7% | Tie |
| Average | Average | Average | 47.95% | 47.7% | 0.9% | — | 0.65% | 2.8% | Harris +0.25% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 2,333 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 48% | 45% | 1% | 1% | – | 5% |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 2,333 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 50% | 47% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 2,103 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 50% | 46% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 2,103 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 51.0% | 47.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | – | – |
| AtlasIntel | November 3–4, 2024 | 1,840 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 48% | 49% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| Survation | November 1–4, 2024 | 941 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Survation | November 1–4, 2024 | 915 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 50.6% | 47.8% | – | 0.9% | 0.7% | – |
| AtlasIntel | November 1–2, 2024 | 2,049 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 49% | – | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer | October 29 – November 2, 2024 | 1,527 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer | October 29 – November 2, 2024 | 1,527 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 47% | – | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| Focaldata | October 3 – November 1, 2024 | 2,373 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | – | 1% | 1% | – |
| Focaldata | October 3 – November 1, 2024 | 2,119 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | – |
| Focaldata | October 3 – November 1, 2024 | 2,373 (A) | – | 49% | 47% | – | 1% | 2% | 1% |
| AtlasIntel | October 30–31, 2024 | 1,738 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 49% | – | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Data for Progress (D) | October 25–31, 2024 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2024 | 982 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 46% | 0% | 1% | – | 5% |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2024 | 956 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 46% | 0% | 0% | – | 5% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 28–31, 2024 | 1,596 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | – | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| Suffolk University/USA Today | October 27–30, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 49% | – | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| Echelon Insights | October 27–30, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 51% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| The Washington Post | October 26–30, 2024 | 1,204 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| The Washington Post | October 26–30, 2024 | 1,204 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel | October 25–29, 2024 | 1,299 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | – | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 24–28, 2024 | 2,186 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 46% | 47% | – | 2% | 1% | 4% |
| CNN/SSRS | October 23–28, 2024 | 819 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 48% | – | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 25–27, 2024 | 1,116 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | – | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R) | October 22–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov | October 16–23, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 20–22, 2024 | 1,586 (LV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 16–20, 2024 | 866 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | – | 0% | 2% | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 16–20, 2024 | 812 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | – | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | October 9–20, 2024 | 890 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 45% | – | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 16–18, 2024 | 1,256 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | – | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel | October 12–17, 2024 | 2,048 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 50% | – | 2% | 0% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 12–14, 2024 | 1,649 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | – | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer | October 7–10, 2024 | 857 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 45% | – | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer | October 7–10, 2024 | 857 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 45% | – | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| American Pulse Research & Polling | October 2–10, 2024 | 1,193 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | – | 2% | 0% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 8–9, 2024 | 707 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | – | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| TIPP Insights | October 7–9, 2024 | 1,079 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | 1% | 1% | – | 4% |
| TIPP Insights | October 7–9, 2024 | 803 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | 2% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov | October 2–9, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | – | 1% | 0% | 8% |
| J.L. Partners | October 5–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 3–7, 2024 | 1,412 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Hunt Research | October 2–7, 2024 | 1,037 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 27 – October 2, 2024 | 5,686 (LV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| The Bullfinch Group | September 26–29, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 46% | – | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel | September 20–25, 2024 | 1,775 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 48% | 51% | – | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | September 19–25, 2024 | 993 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 44% | – | 0% | 4% | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | September 19–25, 2024 | 924 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 45% | – | 0% | 3% | 1% |
| Fox News | September 20−24, 2024 | 1,021 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | – | 1% | 2% | 3% |
| Fox News | September 20−24, 2024 | 775 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | – | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | September 17–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | – | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 16–19, 2024 | 1,086 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov | September 11–19, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| MassINC Polling Group | September 12−18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 46% | − | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 12−16, 2024 | 1,331 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 45% | − | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | September 4–15, 2024 | 890 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 6–9, 2024 | 801 (LV) | – | 45% | 45% | – | 0% | 1% | 9% |
| YouGov | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | 0% | 1% | – | 8% |
| Wick Insights | August 27–29, 2024 | 1,607 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| CNN/SSRS | August 23–29, 2024 | 789 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 47% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 25–28, 2024 | 1,071 (LV) | – | 46% | 45% | – | 1% | 0% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | August 23–26, 2024 | 803 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | August 23–26, 2024 | 758 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 45% | – | 2% | 1% | 1% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | September 19–25, 2024 | 474 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | 1% | 3% |
| Remington Research Group (R) | September 16–20, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | 1% | 4% |
| The Washington Post | September 12−16, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 47% | 1% | 4% |
| The Washington Post | September 12−16, 2024 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 47% | 1% | 4% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
| Fox News | October 24–28, 2024 | 1,310 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 46% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Fox News | October 24–28, 2024 | 1,057 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| The Wall Street Journal | September 28 – October 8, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 46% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) | September 23–29, 2024 | 408 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer | September 11−16, 2024 | 1,082 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 45% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer | September 11−16, 2024 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 49% | 45% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| YouGov | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 41% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| YouGov | August 15–23, 2024 | – (LV) | ± 5.9% | 48% | 46% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Spry Strategies (R) | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 4% | – | 1% | – | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | August 13–17, 2024 | 1,312 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 45% | 5% | 0% | 1% | – | 3% |
| Focaldata | August 6–16, 2024 | 719 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 47% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| Focaldata | August 6–16, 2024 | 719 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 46% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| Focaldata | August 6–16, 2024 | 719 (A) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 47% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| Cygnal (R) | August 14–15, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 44% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 12–15, 2024 | 825 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Emerson College | August 13–14, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University | August 8–12, 2024 | 1,738 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 48% | 45% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| The Bullfinch Group | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 41% | 6% | 2% | 0% | – | 6% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | July 31 – August 11, 2024 | 920 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 43% | 6% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | August 6–9, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 5% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | August 6–9, 2024 | 693 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 44% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Navigator Research (D) | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 48% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 0% | – | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 743 (LV) | – | 44% | 46% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 24–28, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 3% | – | 1% | 4% | 2% |
| The Bullfinch Group | July 23–25, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 44% | 6% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 22–24, 2024 | 851 (LV) | – | 42% | 46% | 5% | – | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| Fox News | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,034 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% |
| Emerson College | July 22–23, 2024 | 850 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| | July 21, 2024 | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 17–18, 2024 | 624 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 45% | 4% | – | 2% | – | 6% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 42% | 7% | 0% | 3% | – | 8% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 43% | 6% | 0% | 2% | – | 7% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
| Z to A Research (D) | August 23–26, 2024 | 613 (LV) | – | 46% | 46% | 5% | 3% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R) | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 43% | 3% | 11% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) | July 29 – August 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 45% | 45% | 4% | 6% |
| Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) | July 22–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 3% | 7% |
| | July 21, 2024 | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. |
| Civiqs | July 13–16, 2024 | 536 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 44% | 46% | 5% | 5% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| SoCal Strategies (R) | August 23, 2024 | 713 (LV) | – | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| SoCal Strategies (R) | August 23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | – | 41% | 46% | 13% |
| SoCal Strategies (R) | July 20–21, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 17–18, 2024 | 624 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| Emerson College | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Echelon Insights | July 1–8, 2024 | 612 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 47% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 1–5, 2024 | 794 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 51% | 5% |
| Emerson College | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Cygnal (R) | June 27–28, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| The Bullfinch Group | June 14–19, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.46% | 45% | 44% | 12% |
| Emerson College | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Emerson College | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 923 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| KAConsulting (R) | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Prime Group | May 9–16, 2024 | 487 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 812 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 730 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 1,023 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 1,023 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | April 24–30, 2024 | 1,398 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 51% | – |
| CBS News/YouGov | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,288 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Muhlenberg College | April 15–25, 2024 | 417 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 41% | 44% | 15% |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 628 (LV) | – | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Kaplan Strategies | April 20–21, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 46% | 13% |
| Fox News | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,141 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| The Bullfinch Group | March 29 – April 3, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 44% | 18% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | March 20–31, 2024 | 870 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,305 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 40% | 46% | 14% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,305 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,305 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 51% | − |
| The Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Echelon Insights | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| CNN/SSRS | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,132 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Emerson College | March 10–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| Emerson College | March 10–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 52% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Fox News | March 7–11, 2024 | 1,149 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | February 27 – March 7, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Chism Strategies | February 6–8, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 32% | 40% | 28% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | January 22–25, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | January 17–28, 2024 | 507 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| Focaldata | January 17–23, 2024 | 834 (A) | – | 38% | 46% | 16% |
| Focaldata | January 17–23, 2024 | – (LV) | – | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| Focaldata | January 17–23, 2024 | – (LV) | – | 49% | 51% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | January 15–21, 2024 | 745 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
| Quinnipiac University | January 4–8, 2024 | 1,680 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| The Bullfinch Group | December 14–18, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Change Research/Future Majority (D) | December 3–7, 2023 | (RVs) | – | 40% | 46% | 14% |
| Muhlenberg College | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 42% | 41% | 17% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | November 16–19, 2023 | 1,382 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 37% | 41% | 22% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | November 16–19, 2023 | 1,284 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 39% | 41% | 20% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 816 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | (600 LV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | October 11–22, 2023 | 873 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 44% | 42% | 14% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 807 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 900 (LV) | – | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 430 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 36% | 45% | 19% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 28 – October 2, 2023 | 1,725 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | September 19–28, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | September 25–26, 2023 | 673 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| National Public Affairs | September 14–17, 2023 | 622 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | August 9–20, 2023 | 723 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 42% | 40% | 18% |
| Prime Group | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 50% | 50% | – |
| Prime Group | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 38% | 43% | 19% |
| Quinnipiac University | June 22–26, 2023 | 1,584 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | June 17–19, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | March 27 – April 7, 2023 | 643 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 36% | 35% | 29% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | February 19–26, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 904 (RV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 52% | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Emerson College | September 23–26, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 828 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Emerson College | August 22–23, 2022 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R) | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | July 19–21, 2022 | 712 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 41% | 17% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | February 15–16, 2022 | 635 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 40% | 15% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| Emerson College | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 3% |
| YouGov | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 43% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 38% | 41% | 8% | 0% | 2% | 11% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 42% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 9% |
| Echelon Insights | July 1–8, 2024 | 612 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 42% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 1–5, 2024 | 794 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 44% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| Cygnal (R) | June 27–28, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 7% |
| Emerson College | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 12% |
| Marist College | June 3–6, 2024 | 1,181 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 47% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| KAConsulting (R) | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 39% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 7% |
| Prime Group | May 9–16, 2024 | 487 (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 812 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 730 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 1,023 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 36% | 40% | 10% | 0% | 1% | 13% |
| The New York Times/Siena College/The Philadelphia Inquirer | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 1,023 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | 41% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 12% |
| Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Fox News | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,141 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 8% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| The Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 10% |
| Emerson College | March 10–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 44% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 10% |
| Fox News | March 7–11, 2024 | 1,149 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Axis Research | February 25–27, 2024 | 601 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 40% | 39% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 20% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University | January 4–8, 2023 | 1,680 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 41% | 39% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 39% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | November 16–19, 2023 | 1,382 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 35% | 40% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 14% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | November 16–19, 2023 | 1,284 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 37% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 17–18, 2024 | 624 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 46% | 4% | 2% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 16–18, 2024 | 688 (LV) | – | 41% | 45% | 4% | 1% | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 8–10, 2024 | 719 (LV) | – | 40% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | June 8–11, 2024 | 456 (LV) | – | 42% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 2–4, 2024 | 635 (LV) | – | 41% | 43% | 7% | 0% | 9% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | March 20–31, 2024 | 870 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 8% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,305 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 40% | 44% | 8% | 2% | 6% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,305 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 42% | 46% | 9% | 3% | − |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | March 14–17, 2024 | 775 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | 7% | 1% | 7% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | January 17–28, 2024 | 494 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 37% | 8% | 2% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
| Civiqs | July 13–16, 2024 | 536 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 42% | 46% | 6% | 6% |
| 1983 Labs | June 28–30, 2024 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 46% | 3% | 10% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 39% | 8% | 12% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 923 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 42% | 7% | 8% |
| Muhlenberg College | April 15–25, 2024 | 417 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 35% | 35% | 18% | 12% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,305 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 39% | 45% | 7% | 6% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,305 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 40% | 45% | 8% | 7% |
| The Bullfinch Group | March 22–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 41% | 7% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | December 28–30, 2023 | 1,069 (LV) | – | 39% | 40% | 9% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 887 (LV) | – | 37% | 44% | 7% | 10% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | November 16–19, 2023 | 1,382 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 36% | 40% | 8% | 16% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | November 16–19, 2023 | 1,284 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 38% | 41% | 8% | 13% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6 | 35% | 35% | 23% | 7% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.6 | 36% | 36% | 21% | 7% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 900 (LV) | – | 39% | 39% | 9% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
| CNN/SSRS | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,132 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 38% | 40% | 16% | 4% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 41% | 8% | 1% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 628 (LV) | – | 47% | 42% | 11% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 628 (LV) | – | 40% | 41% | 19% |
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 42% | 51% | 7% |
| Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 33% | 48% | 19% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Fox News | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,034 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 42% | 50% | 8% |
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | JB Pritzker Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 37% | 50% | 13% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Josh Shapiro Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Fox News | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,034 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 44% | 2% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Muhlenberg College | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 48% | 37% | 15% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Josh Shapiro Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 17–18, 2024 | 624 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 43% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pete Buttigieg Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 41% | 50% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Muhlenberg College | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 38% | 48% | 14% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 39% | 49% | 12% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | September 19–28, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 887 (LV) | – | 36% | 26% | 18% | 20% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| Axis Research | February 25–27, 2024 | 601 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 39% | 19% | 13% | 1% | 1% | 27% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Muhlenberg College | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 41% | 39% | 20% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | May 2–8, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 39% | 12% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | June 17–19, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 828 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 887 (LV) | – | 37% | 34% | 13% | 12% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | May 2–8, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 38% | 20% |

### Results

2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Donald TrumpJD Vance | 3,543,308 | 50.20 | +1.51 |
| | Democratic | Kamala HarrisTim Walz | 3,423,042 | 48.49 | −1.36 |
| | Green | Jill SteinButch Ware | 34,538 | 0.49 | +0.47 |
| | Libertarian | Chase OliverMike ter Maat | 33,318 | 0.47 | −0.67 |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 24,526 | 0.35 | +0.06 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 7,058,732 | 100.00 | N/A |

#### By county

| County | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total votes cast |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total votes cast |
| Adams | 40,248 | 66.12% | 19,842 | 32.60% | 781 | 1.28% | 20,406 | 33.52% | 60,871 |
| Allegheny | 283,595 | 39.18% | 429,916 | 59.40% | 10,288 | 1.42% | -146,321 | -20.22% | 723,799 |
| Armstrong | 28,296 | 76.05% | 8,553 | 22.99% | 360 | 0.96% | 19,743 | 53.06% | 37,209 |
| Beaver | 56,837 | 59.71% | 37,196 | 39.07% | 1,161 | 1.22% | 19,641 | 20.64% | 95,194 |
| Bedford | 23,658 | 83.84% | 4,336 | 15.37% | 224 | 0.79% | 19,322 | 68.47% | 28,218 |
| Berks | 116,677 | 55.45% | 91,125 | 43.31% | 2,624 | 1.24% | 25,552 | 12.14% | 210,426 |
| Blair | 46,352 | 71.16% | 18,127 | 27.83% | 661 | 1.01% | 28,225 | 43.33% | 65,140 |
| Bradford | 22,937 | 73.53% | 7,990 | 25.62% | 265 | 0.85% | 14,947 | 47.91% | 31,192 |
| Bucks | 198,722 | 49.39% | 198,431 | 49.32% | 5,196 | 1.29% | 291 | 0.07% | 402,349 |
| Butler | 79,773 | 65.45% | 40,661 | 33.36% | 1,444 | 1.19% | 39,112 | 32.09% | 121,878 |
| Cambria | 49,408 | 69.25% | 21,177 | 29.68% | 760 | 1.07% | 28,231 | 39.57% | 71,345 |
| Cameron | 1,654 | 74.27% | 538 | 24.16% | 35 | 1.57% | 1,116 | 50.11% | 2,227 |
| Carbon | 23,708 | 66.90% | 11,394 | 32.15% | 334 | 0.95% | 12,314 | 34.75% | 35,436 |
| Centre | 38,829 | 47.85% | 41,119 | 50.67% | 1,205 | 1.48% | -2,290 | -2.82% | 81,153 |
| Chester | 137,299 | 42.06% | 184,281 | 56.45% | 4,849 | 1.49% | -46,982 | -14.39% | 326,429 |
| Clarion | 15,036 | 76.00% | 4,562 | 23.06% | 185 | 0.94% | 10,474 | 52.94% | 19,783 |
| Clearfield | 30,481 | 75.23% | 9,647 | 23.81% | 387 | 0.96% | 20,834 | 51.42% | 40,515 |
| Clinton | 12,965 | 69.83% | 5,395 | 29.06% | 207 | 1.11% | 7,570 | 40.77% | 18,567 |
| Columbia | 21,190 | 64.78% | 11,083 | 33.88% | 436 | 1.34% | 10,107 | 30.90% | 32,709 |
| Crawford | 29,685 | 69.04% | 12,858 | 29.90% | 456 | 1.06% | 16,827 | 39.14% | 42,999 |
| Cumberland | 80,267 | 53.85% | 66,255 | 44.45% | 2,546 | 1.70% | 14,012 | 9.40% | 149,068 |
| Dauphin | 69,474 | 46.29% | 78,327 | 52.19% | 2,280 | 1.52% | -8,853 | -5.90% | 150,081 |
| Delaware | 123,421 | 37.49% | 201,324 | 61.15% | 4,470 | 1.36% | -77,903 | -23.66% | 329,215 |
| Elk | 12,543 | 72.87% | 4,483 | 26.04% | 187 | 1.09% | 8,060 | 46.83% | 17,213 |
| Erie | 68,866 | 49.91% | 67,456 | 48.89% | 1,657 | 1.20% | 1,410 | 1.02% | 137,979 |
| Fayette | 43,633 | 68.67% | 19,548 | 30.76% | 362 | 0.57% | 24,085 | 37.91% | 63,543 |
| Forest | 1,902 | 71.50% | 724 | 27.22% | 34 | 1.28% | 1,178 | 44.28% | 2,660 |
| Franklin | 59,604 | 70.82% | 23,543 | 27.97% | 1,016 | 1.21% | 36,061 | 42.85% | 84,163 |
| Fulton | 7,039 | 86.03% | 1,102 | 13.47% | 41 | 0.50% | 5,937 | 72.56% | 8,182 |
| Greene | 12,319 | 71.47% | 4,592 | 26.64% | 325 | 1.89% | 7,727 | 44.83% | 17,236 |
| Huntingdon | 17,627 | 75.96% | 5,368 | 23.13% | 211 | 0.91% | 12,259 | 52.83% | 23,206 |
| Indiana | 29,215 | 69.01% | 12,697 | 29.99% | 425 | 1.00% | 16,518 | 39.02% | 42,337 |
| Jefferson | 18,235 | 78.66% | 4,707 | 20.30% | 241 | 1.04% | 13,528 | 58.36% | 23,183 |
| Juniata | 9,721 | 80.08% | 2,290 | 18.86% | 128 | 1.06% | 7,431 | 61.22% | 12,139 |
| Lackawanna | 56,261 | 48.12% | 59,510 | 50.90% | 1,154 | 0.98% | -3,249 | -2.78% | 116,925 |
| Lancaster | 166,261 | 57.20% | 120,119 | 41.32% | 4,292 | 1.48% | 46,142 | 15.88% | 290,672 |
| Lawrence | 31,347 | 66.34% | 15,440 | 32.67% | 468 | 0.99% | 15,907 | 33.67% | 47,255 |
| Lebanon | 48,282 | 65.26% | 24,734 | 33.43% | 970 | 1.31% | 23,548 | 31.83% | 73,986 |
| Lehigh | 91,207 | 47.91% | 96,317 | 50.60% | 2,844 | 1.49% | -5,110 | -2.69% | 190,368 |
| Luzerne | 92,444 | 59.10% | 62,504 | 39.96% | 1,484 | 0.94% | 29,940 | 19.14% | 156,432 |
| Lycoming | 41,961 | 70.11% | 17,216 | 28.77% | 669 | 1.12% | 24,745 | 41.34% | 59,846 |
| McKean | 14,401 | 72.92% | 5,115 | 25.90% | 234 | 1.18% | 9,286 | 47.02% | 19,750 |
| Mercer | 37,761 | 64.45% | 20,145 | 34.38% | 685 | 1.17% | 17,616 | 30.07% | 58,591 |
| Mifflin | 17,184 | 77.69% | 4,735 | 21.41% | 201 | 0.90% | 12,449 | 56.28% | 22,120 |
| Monroe | 42,676 | 49.77% | 42,007 | 48.99% | 1,069 | 1.24% | 669 | 0.78% | 85,752 |
| Montgomery | 198,311 | 37.91% | 317,103 | 60.62% | 7,724 | 1.47% | -118,792 | -22.71% | 523,138 |
| Montour | 5,944 | 59.76% | 3,862 | 38.83% | 141 | 1.41% | 2,082 | 20.93% | 9,947 |
| Northampton | 89,817 | 50.26% | 86,655 | 48.49% | 2,223 | 1.25% | 3,162 | 1.77% | 178,695 |
| Northumberland | 30,240 | 69.30% | 12,863 | 29.48% | 532 | 1.22% | 17,377 | 39.82% | 43,635 |
| Perry | 19,073 | 73.87% | 6,385 | 24.73% | 361 | 1.40% | 12,688 | 49.14% | 25,819 |
| Philadelphia | 144,311 | 19.94% | 568,571 | 78.57% | 10,728 | 1.49% | -424,260 | -58.63% | 723,610 |
| Pike | 21,537 | 61.48% | 13,132 | 37.49% | 362 | 1.03% | 8,405 | 23.99% | 35,031 |
| Potter | 7,334 | 80.43% | 1,675 | 18.37% | 109 | 1.20% | 5,659 | 62.06% | 9,118 |
| Schuylkill | 51,665 | 70.43% | 20,882 | 28.46% | 814 | 1.11% | 30,783 | 41.97% | 73,361 |
| Snyder | 14,664 | 73.02% | 5,239 | 26.09% | 178 | 0.89% | 9,425 | 46.93% | 20,081 |
| Somerset | 31,993 | 78.06% | 8,596 | 20.97% | 398 | 0.97% | 23,397 | 57.09% | 40,987 |
| Sullivan | 2,721 | 72.95% | 976 | 26.17% | 33 | 0.88% | 1,745 | 46.78% | 3,730 |
| Susquehanna | 16,114 | 71.71% | 6,093 | 27.11% | 264 | 1.18% | 10,021 | 44.60% | 22,471 |
| Tioga | 16,272 | 75.17% | 5,100 | 23.56% | 274 | 1.27% | 11,172 | 51.61% | 21,646 |
| Union | 12,969 | 61.01% | 8,015 | 37.71% | 273 | 1.28% | 4,954 | 23.30% | 21,257 |
| Venango | 18,883 | 70.44% | 7,624 | 28.44% | 302 | 1.12% | 11,259 | 42.00% | 26,809 |
| Warren | 14,345 | 68.99% | 6,212 | 29.88% | 235 | 1.13% | 8,133 | 39.11% | 20,792 |
| Washington | 75,929 | 62.26% | 44,910 | 36.82% | 1,117 | 0.92% | 31,019 | 25.44% | 121,956 |
| Wayne | 20,071 | 68.00% | 9,150 | 31.00% | 295 | 1.00% | 10,921 | 37.00% | 29,516 |
| Westmoreland | 135,008 | 63.65% | 74,904 | 35.32% | 2,186 | 1.03% | 60,104 | 28.33% | 212,098 |
| Wyoming | 10,222 | 67.72% | 4,680 | 31.00% | 193 | 1.28% | 5,542 | 36.72% | 15,095 |
| York | 154,884 | 61.92% | 91,926 | 36.75% | 3,326 | 1.33% | 62,958 | 25.17% | 250,136 |
| Totals | 3,543,308 | 50.20% | 3,423,042 | 48.50% | 91,919 | 1.30% | 120,266 | 1.70% | 7,058,269 |

#### Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

* Bucks (largest city: Bensalem)
* Erie (largest city: Erie)
* Monroe (largest city: East Stroudsburg)
* Northampton (largest city: Bethlehem)
* Democratic — +5-7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5-5%
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%
* Republican — +10-12.5%
* Republican — +12.5-15%
* Republican — +>15%
* Democratic  Hold Republican  Hold  Flip

#### By congressional district

Trump won 9 of 17 congressional districts, with the remaining eight going to Harris, including one that elected a Republican.
| District | Harris | Trump | Representative |
| 1st | 50% | 49% | Brian Fitzpatrick |
| 2nd | 67% | 32% | Brendan Boyle |
| 3rd | 88% | 11% | Dwight Evans |
| 4th | 57% | 42% | Madeleine Dean |
| 5th | 64% | 35% | Mary Gay Scanlon |
| 6th | 55% | 44% | Chrissy Houlahan |
| 7th | 48% | 51% | Susan Wild (118th Congress) |
| 7th | 48% | 51% | Ryan Mackenzie (119th Congress) |
| 8th | 45% | 54% | Matt Cartwright (118th Congress) |
| 8th | 45% | 54% | Rob Bresnahan (119th Congress) |
| 9th | 31% | 69% | Dan Meuser |
| 10th | 47% | 52% | Scott Perry |
| 11th | 39% | 60% | Lloyd Smucker |
| 12th | 59% | 40% | Summer Lee |
| 13th | 27% | 72% | John Joyce |
| 14th | 33% | 66% | Guy Reschenthaler |
| 15th | 31% | 69% | Glenn Thompson |
| 16th | 38% | 61% | Mike Kelly |
| 17th | 52% | 47% | Chris Deluzio |

## Analysis

A Northeastern swing state within the Rust Belt, Pennsylvania was seen as a pure toss-up this cycle. In 2016, Republican Donald Trump narrowly carried the state by 0.7% in his upset sweep of the Rust Belt and the first Republican presidential victory in Pennsylvania since 1988, but four years later lost the state to Democratic nominee Joe Biden by 1.2% as the latter defeated the former nationwide.
Compared to 2020, Trump gained in nearly every county except for a few scattered around the interior of the state. His strongest gains were concentrated in Northeastern Pennsylvania, which, prior to his first run in 2016, was Democratic and historically had an economy focused around coal mining. He also made notable gains in the Philadelphia area, even in the suburban counties that had shifted against him in both of his past runs.
Trump placed first in 58 counties, four more than he did in 2020. He won Erie and Northampton counties, which voted for him in 2016 and Biden in 2020. He was the first Republican to win Bucks since George H. W. Bush in 1988, and to win Monroe since George W. Bush in 2004.

### Exit poll data

2024 presidential election in Pennsylvania voter demographics :
| Demographic subgroup | Trump | Harris | % of total vote |
| Ideology ||||
| Liberals | 6 | 93 | 25 |
| Moderates | 43 | 56 | 41 |
| Conservatives | 91 | 8 | 34 |
| Party ||||
| Democrats | 5 | 95 | 36 |
| Republicans | 91 | 9 | 40 |
| Independents | 52 | 45 | 23 |
| Gender ||||
| Men | 58 | 41 | 48 |
| Women | 44 | 56 | 52 |
| Race/ethnicity ||||
| White | 56 | 44 | 83 |
| Black | 10 | 89 | 8 |
| Latino | 41 | 59 | 6 |
| Asian | n/a | n/a | 1 |
| All other races | n/a | n/a | 2 |
| Gender by race/ethnicity ||||
| White men | 60 | 39 | 41 |
| White women | 51 | 48 | 42 |
| Black men | 24 | 72 | 3 |
| Black women | 3 | 97 | 6 |
| Latino men | n/a | n/a | 2 |
| Latina women | n/a | n/a | 4 |
| All other races | n/a | n/a | 3 |
| Age ||||
| 18–29 years old | 44 | 55 | 12 |
| 30–44 years old | 47 | 52 | 26 |
| 45–64 years old | 54 | 45 | 36 |
| 65 and older | 52 | 48 | 25 |
| First time voter ||||
| Yes | n/a | n/a | 7 |
| No | 51 | 48 | 93 |
| 2020 presidential vote ||||
| Biden | 5 | 94 | 44 |
| Trump | 97 | 3 | 44 |
| Another candidate | n/a | n/a | 2 |
| Did not vote | 54 | 45 | 8 |
| Education ||||
| No college degree | 58 | 41 | 59 |
| College graduate | 39 | 60 | 41 |
| Education by race ||||
| White college graduates | 42 | 58 | 35 |
| White no college degree | 65 | 34 | 47 |
| Non-white college graduates | 24 | 74 | 6 |
| Non-white no college degree | 26 | 73 | 11 |
| Area type ||||
| Urban | 30 | 69 | 21 |
| Suburban | 51 | 47 | 58 |
| Rural | 67 | 32 | 22 |
| Biden job approval ||||
| Strongly disapprove | 96 | 3 | 44 |
| Somewhat disapprove | 40 | 57 | 12 |
| Somewhat approve | 5 | 95 | 25 |
| Strongly approve | 3 | 97 | 17 |
| Feeling about the way things are going in U.S. ||||
| Angry | 74 | 25 | 31 |
| Dissatisfied | 55 | 44 | 40 |
| Satisfied | 15 | 84 | 20 |
| Enthusiastic | n/a | n/a | 6 |
| Quality of candidate that mattered most ||||
| Has ability to lead | 72 | 28 | 35 |
| Can bring needed change | 64 | 35 | 23 |
| Has good judgment | 20 | 79 | 20 |
| Cares about people like me | 19 | 79 | 17 |
| Vote for president mainly ||||
| For your candidate | 53 | 46 | 78 |
| Against their opponent | 36 | 62 | 19 |
| Issue regarded as most important ||||
| Democracy | 23 | 77 | 31 |
| Economy | 75 | 24 | 31 |
| Abortion | 23 | 77 | 15 |
| Immigration | 82 | 16 | 13 |
| Foreign policy | n/a | n/a | 3 |
| Democracy threatened in the United States ||||
| Democracy in the U.S. very threatened | 60 | 39 | 39 |
| Democracy in the U.S. somewhat threatened | 46 | 54 | 34 |
| Democracy in the U.S. somewhat secure | 40 | 59 | 19 |
| Democracy in the U.S. very secure | n/a | n/a | 6 |
| Confident election being conducted fairly and accurately ||||
| Very confident | 17 | 82 | 41 |
| Somewhat confident | 64 | 34 | 33 |
| Not very confident | 93 | 6 | 16 |
| Not at all confident | n/a | n/a | 5 |
| Condition of the nation's economy ||||
| Poor | 92 | 7 | 31 |
| Not so good | 50 | 49 | 36 |
| Good | 7 | 92 | 27 |
| Excellent | n/a | n/a | 4 |
| Family's financial situation today ||||
| Worse than four years ago | 83 | 16 | 48 |
| About the same | 22 | 78 | 29 |
| Better than four years ago | 8 | 92 | 22 |
| Abortion should be ||||
| Legal in all cases | 17 | 82 | 32 |
| Legal in most cases | 44 | 56 | 32 |
| Illegal in most cases | 93 | 5 | 24 |
| Illegal in all cases | n/a | n/a | 6 |
| Union Household ||||
| Yes | 44 | 56 | 20 |
| No | 50 | 49 | 80 |
| View of fracking in your state ||||
| Favor | 69 | 30 | 54 |
| Oppose | 18 | 81 | 37 |