# 2024 United States House of Representatives election ratings

"none" is preferred when the title alone is adequate; see [[WP:SDNONE]]
The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections were held on November 5, 2024, to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. The six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories will also be elected. Numerous federal, state, and local elections, including the 2024 U.S. Senate elections and 2024 presidential election, were also held on this date.

## Election ratings
### Latest published ratings for competitive seats

Several sites and individuals publish ratings of competitive seats. The 93 seats listed below are considered competitive (not "safe" or "solid") by at least one of the rating groups. Of the remaining 342 seats, 167 are considered "safe" Democratic, and 175 "safe" Republican. These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) is one example of this metric). Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election.
In total there are 435 seats in the House of Representatives, 218 are needed for a majority, while 290 seats are needed for a two-thirds supermajority (if all members are sitting and voting).
Graphical summary of national polls
Most election ratings use:
* Tossup: no advantage
* Tilt (sometimes used): very slight advantage
* Lean: significant, but not overwhelming advantage
* Likely: strong, but not certain advantage
* Safe or Solid: outcome is nearly certain
The following are the latest published ratings for competitive seats.
| District | CPVI | Incumbent | Last result | Cook Nov. 1, 2024 | IE Oct. 31, 2024 | Sabato Nov. 4, 2024 | ED Nov. 4, 2024 | CNalysis Nov. 4, 2024 | DDHQ Oct. 28, 2024 | RCP Oct. 26, 2024 | 538 Nov. 5, 2024 | Fox Oct. 29, 2024 | ST Oct. 26, 2024 | Result |
| Alabama 2 | D+4 | New seat | – | Likely D (flip) | Likely D (flip) | Likely D (flip) | Safe D (flip) | Solid D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Likely D (flip) | Likely D (flip) | Likely D (flip) | Likely D (flip) | Figures (flip) |
| Alaska at-large | R+8 | Mary Peltola | 55.0% D | Tossup | Tilt R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Tilt D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Lean D | Tossup | Begich (flip) |
| Arizona 1 | R+2 | David Schweikert | 50.4% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Lean R | Lean D (flip) | Tilt R | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup | Tossup | Schweikert |
| Arizona 2 | R+6 | Eli Crane | 53.8% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Crane |
| Arizona 4 | D+2 | Greg Stanton | 56.1% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Stanton |
| Arizona 6 | R+3 | Juan Ciscomani | 50.7% R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R | Tilt R | Likely R | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Ciscomani |
| California 3 | R+4 | Kevin Kiley | 53.6% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Kiley |
| California 9 | D+5 | Josh Harder | 54.8% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Solid D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D | Harder |
| California 13 | D+4 | John Duarte | 50.2% R | Tossup | Tilt D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Tilt D (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Likely D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Gray (flip) |
| California 21 | D+9 | Jim Costa | 54.2% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Costa |
| California 22 | D+5 | David Valadao | 51.5% R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R | Tilt D (flip) | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Valadao |
| California 27 | D+4 | Mike Garcia | 53.2% R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D (flip) | Lean R | Tilt D (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Whitesides (flip) |
| California 40 | R+2 | Young Kim | 56.8% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Kim |
| California 41 | R+3 | Ken Calvert | 52.3% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Lean R | Lean R | Tilt R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup | Tossup | Calvert |
| California 45 | D+2 | Michelle Steel | 52.4% R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R | Tilt D (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tran (flip) |
| California 47 | D+3 | Katie Porter (retiring) | 51.7% D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean R (flip) | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Min |
| California 49 | D+3 | Mike Levin | 52.6% D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Levin |
| Colorado 3 | R+7 | Open seat | 50.1% R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Hurd |
| Colorado 5 | R+9 | Doug Lamborn (retiring) | 56.0% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Very Likely R | Safe R | Lean R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Crank |
| Colorado 8 | EVEN | Yadira Caraveo | 48.4% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Tilt D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Evans (flip) |
| Connecticut 5 | D+3 | Jahana Hayes | 50.5% D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Tossup | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Hayes |
| Florida 4 | R+6 | Aaron Bean | 60.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Bean |
| Florida 9 | D+8 | Darren Soto | 53.6% D | Likely D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Solid D | Likely D | Safe D | Soto |
| Florida 13 | R+6 | Anna Paulina Luna | 53.1% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Tilt R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Tossup | Luna |
| Florida 15 | R+4 | Laurel Lee | 58.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Very Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Lee |
| Florida 23 | D+5 | Jared Moskowitz | 51.6% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Solid D | Safe D | Lean D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Moskowitz |
| Florida 27 | EVEN | María Elvira Salazar | 57.3% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Salazar |
| Florida 28 | R+2 | Carlos A. Giménez | 63.7% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Gimenez |
| Georgia 2 | D+3 | Sanford Bishop | 55.0% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Bishop |
| Illinois 17 | D+2 | Eric Sorensen | 51.9% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Sorensen |
| Indiana 1 | D+3 | Frank J. Mrvan | 52.8% D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Tossup | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Mrvan |
| Iowa 1 | R+3 | Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 53.4% R | Tossup | Tilt D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean R | Tilt D (flip) | Likely R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Miller-Meeks |
| Iowa 2 | R+4 | Ashley Hinson | 54.1% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | Lean R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Hinson |
| Iowa 3 | R+3 | Zach Nunn | 50.2% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Lean R | Lean D (flip) | Tilt D (flip) | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Tossup | Nunn |
| Kansas 3 | R+1 | Sharice Davids | 54.9% D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Davids |
| Louisiana 6 | D+8 | Garret Graves (retiring) | 80.4% R | Solid D (flip) | Likely D (flip) | Safe D (flip) | Safe D (flip) | Solid D (flip) | Safe D (flip) | Likely D (flip) | Solid D (flip) | Solid D (flip) | Safe D (flip) | Fields (flip) |
| Maine 2 | R+6 | Jared Golden | 53.1% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Tilt D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Golden |
| Maryland 6 | D+2 | David Trone (retiring) | 54.7% D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Safe D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | McClain-Delaney |
| Michigan 3 | D+1 | Hillary Scholten | 54.9% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D | Solid D | Lean D | Tossup | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Scholten |
| Michigan 4 | R+5 | Bill Huizenga | 54.4% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Very Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Huizenga |
| Michigan 7 | R+2 | Elissa Slotkin (retiring) | 51.7% D | Lean R (flip) | Tilt R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Tilt D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Barrett (flip) |
| Michigan 8 | R+1 | Dan Kildee (retiring) | 53.1% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D | Tilt D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | McDonald Rivet |
| Michigan 10 | R+3 | John James | 48.8% R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Tilt R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | James |
| Minnesota 2 | D+1 | Angie Craig | 50.9% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Tossup | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Craig |
| Missouri 2 | R+7 | Ann Wagner | 54.9% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Wagner |
| Montana 1 | R+6 | Ryan Zinke | 49.6% R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Zinke |
| Nebraska 2 | EVEN | Don Bacon | 51.3% R | Lean D (flip) | Tilt D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Tilt D (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D (flip) | Tossup | Lean D (flip) | Bacon |
| Nevada 1 | D+3 | Dina Titus | 51.6% D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Tossup | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Titus |
| Nevada 3 | D+1 | Susie Lee | 52.0% D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Tossup | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lee |
| Nevada 4 | D+3 | Steven Horsford | 52.4% D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Tossup | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Horsford |
| New Hampshire 1 | EVEN | Chris Pappas | 54.0% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Tossup | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Pappas |
| New Hampshire 2 | D+2 | Annie Kuster (retiring) | 55.8% D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Goodlander |
| New Jersey 2 | R+5 | Jeff Van Drew | 58.9% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Van Drew |
| New Jersey 3 | D+5 | Andy Kim (retiring) | 55.5% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Conaway |
| New Jersey 5 | D+4 | Josh Gottheimer | 54.7% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Gottheimer |
| New Jersey 7 | R+1 | Thomas Kean Jr. | 51.3% R | Lean R | Tilt R | Lean R | Lean R | Tilt R | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Kean Jr. |
| New Mexico 2 | D+1 | Gabe Vasquez | 50.3% D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Tossup | Likely D | Tossup | Lean D | Vasquez |
| New York 1 | R+4 | Nick LaLota | 55.5% R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | LaLota |
| New York 2 | R+4 | Andrew Garbarino | 60.7% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Very Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Garbarino |
| New York 3 | D+3 | Tom Suozzi | 53.9% D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Safe D | Suozzi |
| New York 4 | D+5 | Anthony D'Esposito | 51.8% R | Lean D (flip) | Tilt D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Likely D (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Likely D (flip) | Likely D (flip) | Tossup | Gillen (flip) |
| New York 17 | D+3 | Mike Lawler | 50.3% R | Lean R | Tilt R | Lean R | Lean R | Tilt R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lawler |
| New York 18 | D+2 | Pat Ryan | 50.6% D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Ryan |
| New York 19 | R+1 | Marc Molinaro | 50.8% R | Tossup | Tilt D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Tilt D (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D (flip) | Riley (flip) |
| New York 22 | D+3 | Brandon Williams | 50.5% R | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Likely D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Mannion (flip) |
| North Carolina 1 | R+1 | Don Davis | 52.4% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Likely D | Tossup | Lean D | Davis |
| North Carolina 6 | R+11 | New seat | – | Solid R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | McDowell (flip) |
| North Carolina 13 | R+11 | Wiley Nickel (retiring) | 51.6% D | Solid R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Knott (flip) |
| North Carolina 14 | R+11 | Jeff Jackson (retiring) | 57.7% D | Solid R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Moore (flip) |
| Ohio 1 | D+2 | Greg Landsman | 52.8% D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Landsman |
| Ohio 9 | R+3 | Marcy Kaptur | 56.6% D | Lean D | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Solid D | Likely D | Tossup | Lean D | Kaptur |
| Ohio 13 | R+1 | Emilia Sykes | 52.7% D | Lean D | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Tossup | Likely D | Tossup | Lean D | Sykes |
| Oregon 4 | D+4 | Val Hoyle | 50.5% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Hoyle |
| Oregon 5 | D+2 | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | 50.9% R | Tossup | Tilt D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Tilt D (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Bynum (flip) |
| Oregon 6 | D+4 | Andrea Salinas | 50.0% D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Salinas |
| Pennsylvania 1 | EVEN | Brian Fitzpatrick | 54.9% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Fitzpatrick |
| Pennsylvania 7 | R+2 | Susan Wild | 51.0% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Mackenzie (flip) |
| Pennsylvania 8 | R+4 | Matt Cartwright | 51.2% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Bresnahan (flip) |
| Pennsylvania 10 | R+5 | Scott Perry | 53.8% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Lean R | Lean D (flip) | Tilt D (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Likely R | Tossup | Tossup | Perry |
| Pennsylvania 17 | EVEN | Chris Deluzio | 53.4% D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Deluzio |
| South Carolina 1 | R+7 | Nancy Mace | 56.4% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Very Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Mace |
| Tennessee 5 | R+9 | Andy Ogles | 55.8% R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Ogles |
| Texas 15 | R+1 | Monica De La Cruz | 53.3% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | De La Cruz |
| Texas 28 | D+3 | Henry Cuellar | 56.7% D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Safe D | Cuellar |
| Texas 34 | D+9 | Vicente Gonzalez | 52.7% D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Tossup | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Gonzalez |
| Virginia 1 | R+6 | Rob Wittman | 56.7% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Wittman |
| Virginia 2 | R+2 | Jen Kiggans | 51.6% R | Lean R | Tilt R | Lean R | Lean R | Tilt R | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Kiggans |
| Virginia 7 | D+1 | Abigail Spanberger (retiring) | 52.2% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Tossup | Likely D | Tossup | Lean D | Vindman |
| Virginia 10 | D+6 | Jennifer Wexton (retiring) | 53.3% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Solid D | Safe D | Tossup | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Subramanyam |
| Washington 3 | R+5 | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | 50.1% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Lean D | Tilt D | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Glusenkamp Perez |
| Washington 8 | D+1 | Kim Schrier | 53.3% D | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Schrier |
| Wisconsin 1 | R+3 | Bryan Steil | 54.1% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Steil |
| Wisconsin 3 | R+4 | Derrick Van Orden | 51.8% R | Lean R | Tilt R | Lean R | Lean R | Tilt R | Lean R | Tossup | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Van Orden |
| Overall | Overall | Overall | Overall | D – 205 R – 208 22 tossups | D – 214 R – 213 8 tossups | D – 218 R – 217 0 tossups | D – 219 R – 216 0 tossups | D – 225 R – 210 0 tossups | D – 207 R – 209 19 tossups | D - 192 R - 201 42 tossups | D - 216 R - 214 5 tossups | D - 205 R - 208 22 tossups | D - 214 R - 209 12 tossups | D - 215 R - 220 |
* ↑ "2022 Cook PVI: District Map and List". Cook Political Report. Retrieved August 7, 2022.
* ↑ "House of Representatives Results: GOP wins the majority". CNN. Retrieved February 2, 2023.
* ↑ "2024 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 4, 2024.
* ↑ "2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. October 31, 2024.
* ↑ "2024 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 24, 2024.
* ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved October 18, 2024.
* ↑ "'24 House Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 19, 2023.
* ↑ "2024 House Forecast | The Hill and DDHQ". The Hill. Retrieved October 28, 2024.
* ↑ https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/house/2024/toss-up
* ↑ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. November 2, 2024. Archived from the original on October 9, 2024. Retrieved November 2, 2024.
* ↑ https://www.foxnews.com/politics/power-rankings-arizona-trumps-lose-election-anyones-win
* ↑ https://split-ticket.org/house-2024-ratings/

### Generic ballot polls

The following is a list of generic party ballot polls conducted in advance of the 2024 House of Representatives elections.
Polling aggregates :
| Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | Democratic | Republican | Others/ Undecided | Lead |
| RealClearPolitics | October 29, 2024 | September 11 – October 24, 2024 | 46.8% | 47.6% | 5.6% | R +0.8% |
| FiveThirtyEight | October 28, 2024 | through October 8, 2024 | 46.4% | 45.7% | 7.9% | D +0.7% |
| Decision Desk HQ | October 29, 2024 | through October 8, 2024 | 46.3% | 46.4% | 7.3% | R +0.1% |
| Average | Average | Average | 46.5% | 46.6% | 6.9% | R +0.1% |

## Party listings

The two parties' campaign committees (the National Republican Congressional Committee and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee) published their own lists of targeted seats.

### Republican-held seats

On April 3, 2023, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee released their target seat list which included Republican-held seats and open seats.
* Arizona 1: David Schweikert
* Arizona 6: Juan Ciscomani
* California 3: Kevin Kiley
* California 13: John Duarte
* California 22: David Valadao
* California 27: Mike Garcia
* California 40: Young Kim
* California 41: Ken Calvert
* California 45: Michelle Steel
* Colorado 3: Open Seat
* Florida 13: Anna Paulina Luna
* Florida 27: Maria Elvira Salazar
* Iowa 1: Mariannette Miller-Meeks
* Iowa 3: Zach Nunn
* Montana 1: Ryan Zinke
* Michigan 10: John James
* Nebraska 2: Don Bacon
* New Jersey 7: Thomas Kean Jr.
* New York 1: Nick LaLota
* New York 4: Anthony D'Esposito
* New York 17: Mike Lawler
* New York 19: Marc Molinaro
* New York 22: Brandon Williams
* Oregon 5: Lori Chavez-DeRemer
* Pennsylvania 1: Brian Fitzpatrick
* Pennsylvania 10: Scott Perry
* Texas 15: Monica De La Cruz
* Virginia 2: Jen Kiggans
* Wisconsin 1: Bryan Steil
* Wisconsin 3: Derrick Van Orden

### Democratic-held seats

On March 13, 2023, the National Republican Congressional Committee released their target seat list which included Democratic-held seats and open seats. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also released its frontline members, which are bolded below, and the ones not bolded are seats targeted by the Republican committee but not in the Democratic committee frontline program:
* Alaska At-Large: Mary Peltola
* California 9: Josh Harder
* California 47: Open Seat
* California 49: Mike Levin
* Colorado 8: Yadira Caraveo
* Connecticut 5: Jahana Hayes
* Florida 9: Darren Soto
* Illinois 17: Eric Sorensen
* Indiana 1: Frank Mrvan
* Kansas 3: Sharice Davids
* Maine 2: Jared Golden
* Michigan 3: Hillary Scholten
* Michigan 7: Open Seat
* Michigan 8: Open Seat
* Minnesota 2: Angie Craig
* North Carolina 1: Don Davis
* North Carolina 13: Open Seat
* North Carolina 14: Open Seat
* New Hampshire 1: Chris Pappas
* New Mexico 2: Gabe Vasquez
* Nevada 1: Dina Titus
* Nevada 3: Susie Lee
* Nevada 4: Steven Horsford
* Ohio 1: Greg Landsman
* Ohio 9: Marcy Kaptur
* Ohio 13: Emilia Sykes
* Oregon 4: Val Hoyle
* Oregon 6: Andrea Salinas
* Pennsylvania 7: Susan Wild
* Pennsylvania 8: Matt Cartwright
* Pennsylvania 17: Chris Deluzio
* Rhode Island 2: Seth Magaziner
* Texas 34: Vicente Gonzalez
* Virginia 7: Open Seat
* Washington 3: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
* Washington 8: Kim Schrier