# 2025 Lisbon local election

The 2025 Lisbon local election will be held in September or October 2025 to elect the members of the Lisbon City Council
Carlos Moedas is expected to run for a second term as mayor of Lisbon, while the Socialist Party, led by Alexandra Leitão, the Left Bloc, LIVRE and PAN are currently discussing a coalition in order to defeat the center-right coalition.

## Background

The 2021 Lisbon local election was the biggest surprise of that year's nationwide local elections as Carlos Moedas, the candidate of the centre-right coalition led by the Social Democratic Party, managed to be elected Mayor of Lisbon and put an end to 14 years of Socialist rule. Against all expectations, the centre-right coalition managed to retake the capital by winning 34.3 percent of the votes and 7 councillors. The Socialist Party, in coalition with LIVRE, led by incumbent Mayor Fernando Medina, narrowly lost, achieving 33.3% of the votes and 7 councillors. Meanwhile, the Unitary Democratic Coalition, led for the third time by João Ferreira, had a slight increase in its vote share to 10.5% of the votes and keeping their 2 councillors, while the Left Bloc led by Beatriz Gomes Dias won 6.2% of the votes and kept their sole seat.
Despite his victory, Carlos Moedas had to seek understandings and deals with the other parties represented in the City Council in order to govern.

## Electoral system

Each party or coalition must present a list of candidates. The lists are closed and the seats in each municipality are apportioned according to the D'Hondt method. Unlike in national legislative elections, independent lists are allowed to run.

## Parties and candidates

| Party/Coalition | Party/Coalition | Party/Coalition | Political position | Candidate | 2021 result | 2021 result |
| Party/Coalition | Party/Coalition | Party/Coalition | Political position | Candidate | Votes (%) | Seats |
| | AD | Democratic Alliance Aliança Democrática PPD/PSD, CDS–PP, MPT, PPM | Centre-right | Carlos Moedas | 34.3% | 7 / 17 |
| | PS | Socialist Party Partido Socialista | Centre-left | Alexandra Leitão | 33.3% | 6 / 17 |
| | L | FREE LIVRE | Center-left to left-wing | TBD | 33.3% | 1 / 17 |
| | CDU | Unitary Democratic Coalition Coligação Democrática Unitária PCP, PEV | Left-wing to far-left | João Ferreira | 10.5% | 2 / 17 |
| | BE | Left Bloc Bloco de Esquerda | Left-wing to far-left | Carolina Serrão | 6.2% | 1 / 17 |
| | CH | Enough! Chega! | Right-wing to far-right | Bruno Mascarenhas | 4.4% | 0 / 17 |
| | IL | Liberal Initiative Iniciativa Liberal | Centre-right to right-wing | TBD | 4.2% | 0 / 17 |
| | E | Rise Up Ergue-te | Far-right | José Pinto Coelho | 0.1% | 0 / 17 |
| | ND | New Right Nova Direita | Right-wing | Ossanda Liber | — | — |

## Opinion polling

| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | AD | PS | L | CDU | BE | CH | IL | PAN | O | Lead |
| 2024 EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | — | 27.9 (5) | 26.7 (5) | 7.5 (1) | 4.9 (1) | 6.1 (1) | 7.6 (1) | 14.7 (3) | 1.4 (0) | 3.2 (0) | 1.2 |
| 2024 Legislative election | 10 Mar 2024 | — | 32.3 (7) | 26.2 (5) | 7.7 (1) | 3.5 (0) | 5.1 (1) | 11.7 (2) | 7.5 (1) | 2.1 (0) | 3.9 (0) | 6.1 |
| 2022 Legislative election | 30 Jan 2022 | — | 29.8 (6) | 36.4 (7) | 3.8 (0) | 4.7 (1) | 4.7 (0) | 5.6 (1) | 10.6 (2) | 1.8 (0) | 2.6 (0) | 6.6 |
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | — | 34.3 7 | 33.3 7 | 33.3 7 | 10.5 2 | 6.2 1 | 4.4 0 | 4.2 0 | 2.7 0 | 4.4 0 | 1.0 |