# 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan

"none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see [[WP:SDNONE]]
Elections in Michigan :
Federal government
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2026 :
State government
State elections
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Gubernatorial elections
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Attorney General elections
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Secretary of State elections
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Auditor General elections
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State Senate elections
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State House elections
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2024 :
Ballot proposals
1996Proposal E
2004Proposal 04-2
2006Proposal 06-2
2008Proposal 1
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Proposal 3 :
Detroit
Mayoral elections
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Mayoral elections
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Grand Rapids
Mayoral elections
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Lansing
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vte :
The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan took place that November 5 as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Michigan voters chose electors for Donald Trump and JD Vance to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.
Due to the state's nearly even partisan lean and the close margins by which it was decided in 2016 and 2020, it was considered to be one of the seven crucial swing states in 2024, though many viewed it as the most difficult of the seven for Trump to regain. However, contrary to polling data, Donald Trump flipped Michigan back into the Republican column, defeating Kamala Harris by 1.4 percentage points. This made the state 0.1% to the left of the nation at-large, making it the closest state to the national results for the second consecutive election. Michigan shares with Pennsylvania and Wisconsin the longest active streak of voting for the winning presidential candidate, having done so in the last five presidential elections. Altogether, the three states have voted for the same candidate in nine consecutive elections, dating to 1992. This was the first election since 2012 where Michigan voted to the left of the nation as a whole. It was also the first election since 1988 that Michigan voted more Republican than neighboring Wisconsin.

## Primary elections
### Democratic primary

One key issue for the Democratic nominee was retaining the support of Arab-American voters, with polls indicating that they could be alienated by the Democrats due to their pro-Israel policy.
The Michigan Democratic primary was held on February 27, 2024, as one of the earliest races of the larger Democratic primaries. Incumbent president Joe Biden won in a landslide, although he would lose two delegates and over 100,000 votes to the uncommitted option, which was fueled by pro-Palestine protest votes opposing Biden's campaign due to his handling of the Israel–Hamas war.
Michigan Democratic primary, February 27, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total |
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 625,221 | 81.1% | 115 | | 115 |
| Uncommitted | 101,623 | 13.2% | 2 | | 2 |
| Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 22,865 | 3.0% | | | |
| Dean Phillips | 20,684 | 2.7% | | | |
| Write-in votes | 178 | <0.1% | | | |
| Total: | 770,571 | 100% | 117 | 23 | 140 |

### Republican primary

Following a schism in the state Republican Party, Michigan held two Republican nominating contests. The primary was held on February 27, 2024, and awarded a small amount of delegates to former president Donald Trump, who won in a landslide, and former UN ambassador Nikki Haley. The party later held a caucus on March 2, in which Trump won the remainder of delegates.
Michigan Republican primary, February 27, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Donald Trump | 761,163 | 68.12% | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| Nikki Haley | 297,124 | 26.59% | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Uncommitted | 33,649 | 3.01% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 13,456 | 1.20% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 4,794 | 0.43% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 3,702 | 0.33% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley | 2,348 | 0.21% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 1,077 | 0.10% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 1,117,313 | 100.00% | 16 | 0 | 16 |
Michigan Republican caucus, March 2, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Donald Trump | 1,575 | 97.77% | 39 | 0 | 39 |
| Nikki Haley | 36 | 2.23% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 1,611 | 100.00% | 39 | 0 | 39 |
| Source: ||||||

## General election
### Candidates

The following candidates had qualified for the general election ballot:
* Kamala Harris — Democratic
* Donald Trump — Republican
* Chase Oliver — Libertarian
* Randall Terry — US Taxpayers
* Jill Stein — Green
* Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — Natural Law
* Joseph Kishore — Independent (Socialist Equality Party nominee)
* Cornel West — Independent
On April 18, 2024, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was nominated by Michigan's Natural Law Party. Despite suspending his campaign on August 23 and legal attempts to withdraw himself, the Michigan Supreme Court ruled that his name would remain on the ballot. Jill Stein from the Green Party also appeared on the ballot.
Additionally, voters had the option to write-in candidates who file a letter of intent by October 25.

### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D | November 4, 2024 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| CNN | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| CNalysis | Likely D | November 4, 2024 |
| The Economist | Lean D | November 5, 2024 |
| 538 | Lean D | November 4, 2024 |
| Inside Elections | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| NBC News | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |

### Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided | Margin |
| 270ToWin | October 23 – November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.6% | 46.8% | 4.6% | Harris +1.8% |
| 538 | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.0% | 47.0% | 5.0% | Harris +1.0% |
| Silver Bulletin | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.4% | 47.2% | 4.4% | Harris +1.2% |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.7% | 48.3% | 3.0% | Harris +0.4% |
| Average | Average | Average | 48.4% | 47.3% | 4.3% | Harris 1.1% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,864 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,864 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 50.1% | 49.9% | – |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,668 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,668 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 50.3% | 49.7% | – |
| AtlasIntel | November 3–4, 2024 | 1,113 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| Research Co. | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | November 1–3, 2024 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Patriot Polling | November 1–3, 2024 | 858 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | November 1–2, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| AtlasIntel | November 1–2, 2024 | 1,198 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 2, 2024 | 790 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 2, 2024 | 790 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 49% | – |
| Mitchell Research | October 29 – November 2, 2024 | 585 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 29 – November 2, 2024 | 998 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 45% | 9% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 29 – November 2, 2024 | 998 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | October 25 – November 2, 2024 | 733 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | October 25 – November 2, 2024 | 714 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| ActiVote | October 8 – November 2, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 24 – November 1, 2024 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel | October 30–31, 2024 | 1,136 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48.7% | 49.3% | 2% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R) | October 29–31, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2024 | 985 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2024 | 942 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| Morning Consult | October 22−31, 2024 | 1,108 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| Marist College | October 27–30, 2024 | 1,356 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 48% | 1% |
| Marist College | October 27–30, 2024 | 1,214 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 48% | 1% |
| Echelon Insights | October 27–30, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Mitchell Research | October 28–29, 2024 | – (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| AtlasIntel | October 25–29, 2024 | 938 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Quantus Insights (R) | October 26–28, 2024 | 844 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| The Washington Post | October 24–28, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| The Washington Post | October 24–28, 2024 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Fox News | October 24–28, 2024 | 1,275 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Fox News | October 24–28, 2024 | 988 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 26–27, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Emerson College | October 25–27, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Emerson College | October 25–27, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | October 23–27, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 47% | 1% |
| Patriot Polling | October 24–26, 2024 | 796 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| CES/YouGov | October 1–25, 2024 | 2,347 (A) | – | 52% | 45% | 3% |
| CES/YouGov | October 1–25, 2024 | 2,336 (LV) | – | 51% | 46% | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 17–21, 2024 | 1,136 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | October 18−20, 2024 | 1,090 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 16–20, 2024 | 756 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 16–20, 2024 | 705 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| The Bullfinch Group | October 11−18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 45% | 2% |
| The Bullfinch Group | October 11−18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | 6% |
| AtlasIntel | October 12–17, 2024 | 1,529 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 50% | 3% |
| RMG Research | October 10–16, 2024 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| RMG Research | October 10–16, 2024 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Morning Consult | October 6−15, 2024 | 1,065 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| The Washington Post/Schar School | September 30 – October 15, 2024 | 687 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| The Washington Post/Schar School | September 30 – October 15, 2024 | 687 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Mitchell Research | October 14, 2024 | 589 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 9–14, 2024 | 1,058 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| SoCal Strategies (R) | October 10–13, 2024 | 692 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| Michigan State University/YouGov | September 23 – October 10, 2024 | 845 (LV) | – | 52% | 48% | – |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 8–9, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R) | October 6–9, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | October 2–8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| ActiVote | September 15 – October 9, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 49% | – |
| Emerson College | October 5–8, 2024 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 5–8, 2024 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 50% | – |
| The Wall Street Journal | September 28 – October 8, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Research Co. | October 5–7, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| Research Co. | October 5–7, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 48% | 1% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 3–7, 2024 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 51% | 2% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R) | September 24 – October 2, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Mitchell Research | September 30, 2024 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | September 28–30, 2024 | 1,086 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) | September 23–29, 2024 | 404 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| RMG Research | September 24–27, 2024 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| RMG Research | September 24–27, 2024 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | September 21–26, 2024 | 688 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | September 21–26, 2024 | 688 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| AtlasIntel | September 20–25, 2024 | 918 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 51% | 2% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | September 19–25, 2024 | 416 (LV) | – | 51% | 48% | 1% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | September 19–25, 2024 | 894 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | September 19–25, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies | September 19–23, 2024 | 400 (LV) | – | 51% | 45% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | September 19−22, 2024 | 1,086 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Emerson College | September 15–18, 2024 | 875 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Emerson College | September 15–18, 2024 | 875 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| Morning Consult | September 9−18, 2024 | 1,297 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 44% | 4% |
| Marist College | September 12−17, 2024 | 1,282 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| Marist College | September 12−17, 2024 | 1,138 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 52% | 47% | 1% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 12–16, 2024 | 905 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 46% | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | September 11–12, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Mitchell Research | September 11, 2024 | 580 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Morning Consult | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,368 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| co/efficient (R) | September 4–6, 2024 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| CBS News/YouGov | September 3–6, 2024 | 1,077 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| Patriot Polling | September 1–3, 2024 | 822 (RV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Cygnal (R) | August 28 – September 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | August 28–30, 2024 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Emerson College | August 25–28, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| Emerson College | August 25–28, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 48% | 1% |
| ActiVote | July 28 – August 28, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 50% | – |
| EPIC-MRA | August 23–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | August 23–26, 2024 | 651 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | August 23–26, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| | August 23, 2024 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. |
| YouGov | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| YouGov | August 15–23, 2024 | – (LV) | ± 6.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| TIPP Insights | August 20–22, 2024 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| | August 19–22, 2024 | Democratic National Convention | Democratic National Convention | Democratic National Convention | Democratic National Convention | Democratic National Convention |
| Fabrizio Ward (R) | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | August 13–19, 2024 | 1,093 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Focaldata | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 53% | 47% | – |
| The Bullfinch Group | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | August 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | August 6–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | August 5–8, 2024 | 619 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | August 5–8, 2024 | 619 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50% | 46% | 5% |
| Navigator Research (D) | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 406 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | 6% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 42% | 4% |
| SoCal Strategies (R) | July 25–26, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Fox News | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Emerson College | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Emerson College | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 51% | – |
| | July 21, 2024 | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. |
| | July 19, 2024 | Republican National Convention concludes | Republican National Convention concludes | Republican National Convention concludes | Republican National Convention concludes | Republican National Convention concludes |
| | July 13, 2024 | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,864 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 46% | 45% | 1% | 0% | – | 8% |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,864 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 48.6% | 48.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | – | – |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,668 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 48% | 48% | 1% | 1% | – | 2% |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,668 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 49.5% | 48.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | – | – |
| AtlasIntel | November 3–4, 2024 | 1,113 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | – | 2% | 0% | – |
| AtlasIntel | November 1–2, 2024 | 1,198 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | – | 2% | 0% | 1% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 29 – November 2, 2024 | 998 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 44% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 9% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 29 – November 2, 2024 | 998 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 45% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 7% |
| Focaldata | October 3 – November 1, 2024 | 2,092 (LV) | – | 50% | 45% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Focaldata | October 3 – November 1, 2024 | 1,941 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 51% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Focaldata | October 3 – November 1, 2024 | 2,092 (A) | – | 50% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| AtlasIntel | October 30–31, 2024 | 1,136 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | – | 2% | 0% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 28–31, 2024 | 1,731 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2024 | 985 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 45% | 0% | 2% | – | 6% |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2024 | 942 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 45% | 0% | 2% | – | 5% |
| AtlasIntel | October 25–29, 2024 | 938 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | – | 2% | 0% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 25–27, 2024 | 728 (LV) | – | 49% | 48% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 20–22, 2024 | 1,115 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 17–21, 2024 | 1,136 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 46% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 16–20, 2024 | 756 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | – | 1% | 2% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 16–20, 2024 | 705 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 46% | – | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 16–18, 2024 | 1,008 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 12–14, 2024 | 682 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 3–7, 2024 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 27 – October 2, 2024 | 839 (LV) | – | 48% | 46% | – | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | September 21–26, 2024 | 688 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 46% | – | 2% | 2% | 7% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | September 21–26, 2024 | 688 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | – | 2% | 1% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | September 19–25, 2024 | 894 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | – | 1% | 2% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | September 19–25, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Remington Research Group (R) | September 16–20, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 47% | 0% | 1% | – | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 16–19, 2024 | 993 (LV) | – | 46% | 45% | – | 0% | 1% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 12–16, 2024 | 905 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 45% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 6–9, 2024 | 556 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| YouGov | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 43% | 1% | 1% | – | 7% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 25–28, 2024 | 1,071 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | August 23–26, 2024 | 651 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | – | 0% | 2% | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | August 23–26, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | – | 1% | 2% | 3% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Natural Law | Jill Stein Green | Cornel West Independent | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Others/ Undecided | Margin |
| Race to the WH | through October 7, 2024 | October 13, 2024 | 47.0% | 46.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | — | 2.7% | Harris +0.1% |
| 270toWin | October 7 – 11, 2024 | October 11, 2024 | 47.0% | 46.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | Harris +0.4% |
| Average | Average | Average | 47.0% | 46.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | Harris +0.2% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Natural Law | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
| Mitchell Research | October 29 – November 2, 2024 | 585 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 48% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – |
| Echelon Insights | October 27–30, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 47% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| EPIC-MRA | October 24–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 3% | – | – |
| Fox News | October 24–28, 2024 | 1,275 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| Fox News | October 24–28, 2024 | 988 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| CNN/SSRS | October 23–28, 2024 | 726 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 43% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 3% |
| Suffolk University/USA Today | October 24–27, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Glengariff Group | October 22–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | 4% | – | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov | October 16–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 45% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| AtlasIntel | October 12–17, 2024 | 1,529 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| Mitchell Research | October 14, 2024 | 589 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Marketing Resource Group | October 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | 3% | – | 2% | – | 6% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | October 2–8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| The Wall Street Journal | September 28 – October 8, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Glengariff Group | October 1–4, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Mitchell Research | September 30, 2024 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 47% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) | September 23–29, 2024 | 404 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 48% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel | September 20–25, 2024 | 918 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 50% | 0% | – | 2% | 0% | 1% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | September 19–25, 2024 | 416 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | 0% | 1% | 2% | – | 2% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov | September 11–19, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 43% | 2% | – | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Suffolk University/USA Today | September 16–18, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Mitchell Research | September 11, 2024 | 580 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 2% | 0% | 1% | – | 4% |
| CNN/SSRS | August 23–29, 2024 | 708 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 43% | 4% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Z to A Research (D) | August 23–26, 2024 | 518 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | 3% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| YouGov | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 42% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| YouGov | August 15–23, 2024 | – (LV) | ± 6.0% | 47% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| TIPP Insights | August 20–22, 2024 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | 2% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | August 13–17, 2024 | 1,093 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | 4% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% |
| Focaldata | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 51% | 44% | 4% | – | 1% | 0% | – |
| Focaldata | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 44% | 4% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| Focaldata | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (A) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 42% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 12–15, 2024 | 530 (LV) | – | 44% | 45% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| The Bullfinch Group | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | 5% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | August 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | August 5–8, 2024 | 619 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | August 5–8, 2024 | 619 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 48% | 43% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Navigator Research (D) | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 406 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 6% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 771 (LV) | – | 41% | 42% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | 5% | – | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Fox News | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 22–24, 2024 | 512 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | 7% | – | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| Glengariff Group | July 22–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 41% | 10% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Emerson College | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| Glengariff Group | August 26–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 5% |
| EPIC-MRA | August 23–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 7% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| Fabrizio Ward (R) | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 43% | 5% | 8% |
| Civiqs | July 13–16, 2024 | 532 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 46% | 46% | 5% | 3% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| EPIC-MRA | July 13–17, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| Emerson College | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| Marketing Resource Group | July 11–13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 39% | 25% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Echelon Insights | July 1–8, 2024 | 607 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 1–5, 2024 | 694 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Emerson College | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 12% |
| EPIC-MRA | June 21–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| Emerson College | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Emerson College | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Mitchell Research | June 3, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 636 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Mitchell Research | May 20–21, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| KAConsulting (R) | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Prime Group | May 9–16, 2024 | 482 (RV) | – | 52% | 48% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 52% | – |
| CBS News/YouGov | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,262 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 49% | – |
| Kaplan Strategies | April 20–21, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 36% | 51% | 13% |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 640 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Fox News | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Marketing Resource Group | April 8–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 42% | 22% |
| The Bullfinch Group | March 29 – April 3, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,218 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,218 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,218 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 41% | 46% | 13% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 48.5% | 51.5% | – |
| Spry Strategies (R) | March 25–28, 2024 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| The Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Echelon Insights | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
| Emerson College | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Emerson College | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 50% | – |
| CNN/SSRS | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,097 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 50% | 8% |
| Mitchell Research | March 15–16, 2024 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 8–12, 2024 | 1,487 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 698 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R) | February 22–25, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 13% |
| Kaplan Strategies | February 22−23, 2024 | 1,019 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 36% | 46% | 18% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Emerson College | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| EPIC-MRA | February 13–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Focaldata | January 17–23, 2024 | 863 (A) | – | 41% | 43% | 16% |
| Focaldata | January 17–23, 2024 | – (LV) | – | 45% | 44% | 11% |
| Focaldata | January 17–23, 2024 | – (LV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 47% | 7% |
| Target Insyght | January 4–10, 2024 | 800 (RV) | – | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Glengariff Group | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 47% | 14% |
| John Zogby Strategies | January 2–4, 2024 | 602 (LV) | – | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| CNN/SSRS | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | November 16–19, 2023 | 1,273 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 36% | 41% | 23% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | November 16–19, 2023 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 37% | 42% | 21% |
| EPIC-MRA | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | 13% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 41% | 41% | 17% |
| Marketing Resource Group | October 2–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 42% | 22% |
| Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 468 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 43% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | September 26–27, 2023 | 679 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | September 7–12, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| EPIC-MRA | August 6–11, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Emerson College | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 44% | 13% |
| Mitchell Research | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 43% | 13% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | Jul 8–10, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 45% | 44% | 9% |
| Prime Group | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 50% | 50% | – |
| Prime Group | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 40% | 43% | 17% |
| EPIC-MRA | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 17–19, 2023 | 500 (V) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 42% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | December 6–7, 2022 | 763 (V) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
| EPIC-MRA | November 30 – December 6, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Emerson College | October 12–14, 2022 | 580 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| EPIC-MRA | September 15–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | August 15–16, 2022 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | 19% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | February 1–4, 2022 | 632 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 40% | 22% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | July 15–17, 2024 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 45% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| EPIC-MRA | July 13–17, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 9% |
| Emerson College | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 44% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| YouGov | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 42% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| Echelon Insights | July 1–8, 2024 | 607 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 40% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 1–5, 2024 | 694 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 39% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 7% |
| EPIC-MRA | June 21–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| Emerson College | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Mitchell Research | June 3, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Mitchell Research | May 20–21, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| KAConsulting (R) | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 41% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 7% |
| Prime Group | May 9–16, 2024 | 482 (RV) | – | 44% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 2% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 8% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 16% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 39% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
| Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Fox News | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Marketing Resource Group | April 8–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 37% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
| The Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 39% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 8% |
| Emerson College | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Mitchell Research | March 15–16, 2024 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 44% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 8–12, 2024 | 1,487 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 36% | 41% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 698 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Emerson College | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 42% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 43% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 39% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | November 16–19, 2023 | 1,273 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 36% | 39% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 14% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | November 16–19, 2023 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 37% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| Civiqs | July 13–16, 2024 | 532 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 43% | 46% | 5% | 6% |
| 1983 Labs | June 28–30, 2024 | 563 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 45% | 5% | 9% |
| P2 Insights | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 43% | 8% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 39% | 11% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 636 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 43% | 8% | 5% |
| P2 Insights | May 13−21, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 37% | 45% | 7% | 11% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,218 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 40% | 44% | 7% | 9% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,218 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 41% | 45% | 8% | 6% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 41% | 44% | 7% | 13% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 42% | 45% | 8% | 5% |
| Spry Strategies (R) | March 25–28, 2024 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 43% | 9% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | March 14–17, 2024 | 616 (LV) | – | 39% | 41% | 6% | 14% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | December 28–30, 2023 | 832 (LV) | – | 37% | 39% | 9% | 15% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 38% | 39% | 9% | 13% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | November 16–19, 2023 | 1,273 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 35% | 40% | 9% | 16% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | November 16–19, 2023 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 36% | 41% | 8% | 11% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 31% | 34% | 26% | 9% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 34% | 34% | 25% | 7% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 38% | 40% | 7% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 45% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 16–18, 2024 | 437 (LV) | – | 41% | 42% | 6% | 1% | 10% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 8–10, 2024 | 465 (LV) | – | 43% | 42% | 6% | 0% | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | June 8–11, 2024 | 719 (LV) | – | 36% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 18% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 2–4, 2024 | 650 (LV) | – | 37% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 12% |
| CBS News/YouGov | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,262 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 43% | 9% | 3% | 0% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,218 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 40% | 43% | 10% | 1% | 6% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,218 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 42% | 44% | 11% | 3% | – |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 41% | 44% | 9% | 1% | 5% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | March 26–30, 2024 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 43% | 44% | 11% | 2% | – |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
| CNN/SSRS | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,097 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 34% | 40% | 18% | 4% | 4% |
| CNN/SSRS | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | 39% | 20% | 6% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 37% | 10% | 2% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Cornel West Green | Other / Undecided |
| Emerson College | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 43% | 4% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 640 (LV) | – | 45% | 44% | 11% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 640 (LV) | – | 42% | 41% | 17% |
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Glengariff Group | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Fox News | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 46% | 2% |
| Glengariff Group | July 22–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 52% | 45% | 3% |
| Emerson College/The Hill | Mar 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Glengariff Group | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Marketing Resource Group | October 2–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 3% |
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | JB Pritzker Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 39% | 45% | 16% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Josh Shapiro Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Fox News | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pete Buttigieg Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
| Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 15% |
| Glengariff Group | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 44% | 22% |
| CNN/SSRS | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 50% | 12% |
| EPIC-MRA | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 47% | 17% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 35% | 45% | 20% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 36% | 46% | 18% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 35% | 26% | 23% | 3% | 3% | 33% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 37% | 25% | 18% | 20% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
| CNN/SSRS | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | September 7–12, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Mitchell Research | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 31% | 25% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | July 8–10, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 44% | 46% | 7% |
| EPIC-MRA | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 17–19, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other | Undecided |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 39% | 30% | 13% | 2% | 15% |

### Results

Trump secured Michigan with 49.7% of the vote, winning 74 counties out of 83, including Macomb County, the third-most populous in the state. Conversely, Harris won seven out of Michigan's 10 most populous counties, including Wayne County, the state's largest.
2024 United States presidential election in Michigan :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Donald TrumpJD Vance | 2,816,636 | 49.73% | +1.89 |
| | Democratic | Kamala HarrisTim Walz | 2,736,533 | 48.31% | −2.31 |
| | Green | Jill SteinButch Ware | 44,607 | 0.79% | +0.54 |
| | Natural Law | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn)Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn) | 26,785 | 0.47% | +0.42 |
| | Libertarian | Chase OliverMike ter Maat | 22,440 | 0.40% | −0.69 |
| | Constitution | Randall TerryStephen Broden | 6,509 | 0.11% | 0.00 |
| | Independent | Cornel WestMelina Abdullah | 6,664 | 0.12% | N/A |
| | Independent | Joseph KishoreJerry White | 2,330 | 0.04% | N/A |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 1,682 | 0.03% | N/A |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 5,664,186 | 100.0% | |
| | Republican gain from Democratic | Republican gain from Democratic | Republican gain from Democratic | Republican gain from Democratic | Republican gain from Democratic |

#### By county

| County | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total |
| Alcona | 5,257 | 70.22% | 2,140 | 28.58% | 90 | 1.20% | 3,117 | 41.64% | 7,487 |
| Alger | 3,116 | 59.26% | 2,075 | 39.46% | 67 | 1.28% | 1,041 | 19.80% | 5,258 |
| Allegan | 45,206 | 62.77% | 25,637 | 35.60% | 1,181 | 1.63% | 19,569 | 27.17% | 72,024 |
| Alpena | 10,967 | 63.61% | 6,038 | 35.02% | 236 | 1.37% | 4,929 | 28.59% | 17,241 |
| Antrim | 10,341 | 61.15% | 6,330 | 37.43% | 241 | 1.42% | 4,011 | 23.72% | 16,912 |
| Arenac | 6,379 | 69.62% | 2,662 | 29.05% | 122 | 1.33% | 3,717 | 40.57% | 9,163 |
| Baraga | 2,779 | 64.09% | 1,488 | 34.32% | 69 | 1.59% | 1,291 | 29.77% | 4,336 |
| Barry | 25,650 | 66.31% | 12,391 | 32.03% | 642 | 1.66% | 13,259 | 34.28% | 38,683 |
| Bay | 34,792 | 56.72% | 25,767 | 42.01% | 779 | 1.27% | 9,025 | 14.71% | 61,338 |
| Benzie | 6,895 | 53.57% | 5,780 | 44.91% | 196 | 1.52% | 1,115 | 8.66% | 12,871 |
| Berrien | 44,975 | 53.12% | 38,323 | 45.26% | 1,370 | 1.62% | 6,652 | 7.86% | 84,668 |
| Branch | 14,848 | 70.41% | 5,911 | 28.03% | 330 | 1.56% | 8,937 | 42.38% | 21,089 |
| Calhoun | 38,606 | 56.29% | 28,988 | 42.26% | 996 | 1.45% | 9,618 | 14.03% | 68,590 |
| Cass | 18,505 | 66.29% | 9,050 | 32.42% | 360 | 1.29% | 9,455 | 33.87% | 27,915 |
| Charlevoix | 10,183 | 57.60% | 7,197 | 40.71% | 299 | 1.69% | 2,986 | 16.89% | 17,679 |
| Cheboygan | 10,653 | 64.73% | 5,543 | 33.68% | 261 | 1.59% | 5,110 | 31.05% | 16,457 |
| Chippewa | 11,249 | 61.18% | 6,796 | 36.96% | 342 | 1.86% | 4,453 | 24.22% | 18,387 |
| Clare | 11,772 | 68.01% | 5,273 | 30.46% | 265 | 1.53% | 6,499 | 37.55% | 17,310 |
| Clinton | 26,751 | 53.42% | 22,450 | 44.83% | 873 | 1.75% | 4,301 | 8.59% | 50,074 |
| Crawford | 5,613 | 66.14% | 2,752 | 32.43% | 122 | 1.43% | 2,861 | 33.75% | 8,487 |
| Delta | 14,109 | 64.43% | 7,462 | 34.08% | 326 | 1.49% | 6,647 | 30.35% | 21,897 |
| Dickinson | 10,324 | 67.28% | 4,763 | 31.04% | 257 | 1.68% | 5,561 | 36.24% | 15,344 |
| Eaton | 33,102 | 50.76% | 31,056 | 47.63% | 1,050 | 1.60% | 2,046 | 3.13% | 65,208 |
| Emmet | 12,465 | 54.43% | 10,005 | 43.69% | 431 | 1.88% | 2,460 | 10.74% | 22,901 |
| Genesee | 105,303 | 47.16% | 114,670 | 51.36% | 3,295 | 1.48% | -9,367 | -4.20% | 223,268 |
| Gladwin | 10,809 | 69.71% | 4,501 | 29.03% | 196 | 1.26% | 6,308 | 40.68% | 15,506 |
| Gogebic | 4,803 | 57.76% | 3,385 | 40.71% | 127 | 1.53% | 1,418 | 17.05% | 8,315 |
| Grand Traverse | 31,423 | 49.97% | 30,339 | 48.24% | 1,125 | 1.79% | 1,084 | 1.73% | 62,887 |
| Gratiot | 12,894 | 64.91% | 6,682 | 33.64% | 288 | 1.45% | 6,212 | 31.27% | 19,864 |
| Hillsdale | 18,631 | 75.04% | 5,875 | 23.66% | 322 | 1.30% | 12,756 | 51.38% | 24,828 |
| Houghton | 11,181 | 57.62% | 7,881 | 40.61% | 343 | 1.77% | 3,300 | 17.01% | 19,405 |
| Huron | 13,224 | 69.71% | 5,522 | 29.11% | 223 | 1.18% | 7,702 | 40.60% | 18,969 |
| Ingham | 50,564 | 34.10% | 94,542 | 63.75% | 3,197 | 2.15% | -43,978 | -29.65% | 148,303 |
| Ionia | 22,179 | 65.19% | 11,338 | 33.33% | 504 | 1.48% | 10,841 | 31.86% | 34,021 |
| Iosco | 10,155 | 64.46% | 5,344 | 33.92% | 255 | 1.62% | 4,811 | 30.54% | 15,754 |
| Iron | 4,501 | 64.00% | 2,441 | 34.71% | 91 | 1.29% | 2,060 | 29.29% | 7,033 |
| Isabella | 16,320 | 52.82% | 14,011 | 45.34% | 569 | 1.84% | 2,309 | 7.48% | 30,900 |
| Jackson | 50,199 | 59.88% | 32,348 | 38.59% | 1,280 | 1.53% | 17,851 | 21.29% | 83,827 |
| Kalamazoo | 58,671 | 40.15% | 84,501 | 57.83% | 2,947 | 2.02% | -25,830 | -17.68% | 146,119 |
| Kalkaska | 8,149 | 70.55% | 3,206 | 27.76% | 195 | 1.69% | 4,943 | 42.79% | 11,550 |
| Kent | 172,720 | 46.31% | 192,668 | 51.66% | 7,542 | 2.03% | -19,948 | -5.35% | 372,931 |
| Keweenaw | 896 | 55.51% | 690 | 42.75% | 28 | 1.74% | 206 | 12.76% | 1,614 |
| Lake | 4,523 | 65.27% | 2,298 | 33.16% | 109 | 1.57% | 2,225 | 32.11% | 6,930 |
| Lapeer | 38,398 | 69.18% | 16,338 | 29.43% | 772 | 1.39% | 22,060 | 39.75% | 55,508 |
| Leelanau | 8,035 | 45.34% | 9,406 | 53.08% | 279 | 1.58% | -1,371 | -7.74% | 17,720 |
| Lenawee | 33,463 | 60.74% | 20,787 | 37.73% | 843 | 1.53% | 12,676 | 23.01% | 55,093 |
| Livingston | 81,217 | 61.20% | 49,503 | 37.30% | 1,996 | 1.50% | 31,714 | 23.90% | 132,716 |
| Luce | 2,170 | 72.55% | 769 | 25.71% | 52 | 1.74% | 1,401 | 46.84% | 2,991 |
| Mackinac | 4,476 | 61.75% | 2,675 | 36.91% | 97 | 1.34% | 1,801 | 24.84% | 7,248 |
| Macomb | 284,660 | 55.81% | 214,977 | 42.15% | 10,439 | 2.04% | 69,683 | 13.66% | 510,076 |
| Manistee | 8,748 | 57.09% | 6,309 | 41.17% | 266 | 1.74% | 2,439 | 15.92% | 15,323 |
| Marquette | 17,459 | 44.76% | 20,866 | 53.49% | 684 | 1.75% | -3,407 | -8.73% | 39,009 |
| Mason | 10,830 | 59.86% | 6,973 | 38.54% | 288 | 1.60% | 3,857 | 21.32% | 18,091 |
| Mecosta | 14,445 | 64.14% | 7,688 | 34.14% | 388 | 1.72% | 6,757 | 30.00% | 22,521 |
| Menominee | 8,647 | 66.07% | 4,256 | 32.52% | 184 | 1.41% | 4,391 | 33.55% | 13,087 |
| Midland | 28,571 | 56.71% | 20,926 | 41.54% | 883 | 1.75% | 7,645 | 15.17% | 50,380 |
| Missaukee | 7,066 | 77.21% | 1,945 | 21.25% | 141 | 1.54% | 5,121 | 55.96% | 9,152 |
| Monroe | 57,405 | 62.73% | 32,622 | 35.65% | 1,479 | 1.62% | 24,783 | 27.08% | 91,506 |
| Montcalm | 23,946 | 68.72% | 10,368 | 29.75% | 531 | 1.53% | 13,578 | 38.97% | 34,845 |
| Montmorency | 4,599 | 71.85% | 1,702 | 26.59% | 100 | 1.56% | 2,897 | 45.26% | 6,401 |
| Muskegon | 47,733 | 50.15% | 46,028 | 48.36% | 1,420 | 1.49% | 1,705 | 1.79% | 95,181 |
| Newaygo | 20,630 | 70.56% | 8,131 | 27.81% | 477 | 1.63% | 12,499 | 42.75% | 29,238 |
| Oakland | 337,791 | 43.65% | 419,519 | 54.21% | 16,603 | 2.14% | -81,728 | -10.56% | 773,913 |
| Oceana | 9,547 | 64.14% | 5,085 | 34.16% | 252 | 1.70% | 4,462 | 29.98% | 14,884 |
| Ogemaw | 8,879 | 70.23% | 3,578 | 28.30% | 185 | 1.47% | 5,301 | 41.93% | 12,642 |
| Ontonagon | 2,479 | 64.49% | 1,313 | 34.16% | 52 | 1.35% | 1,166 | 30.33% | 3,844 |
| Osceola | 9,639 | 73.01% | 3,326 | 25.19% | 237 | 1.80% | 6,313 | 47.82% | 13,202 |
| Oscoda | 3,716 | 71.50% | 1,414 | 27.21% | 67 | 1.29% | 2,302 | 44.29% | 5,197 |
| Otsego | 10,693 | 66.84% | 5,052 | 31.58% | 254 | 1.58% | 5,641 | 35.26% | 15,999 |
| Ottawa | 106,133 | 59.45% | 69,653 | 39.02% | 2,727 | 1.53% | 36,480 | 20.43% | 178,513 |
| Presque Isle | 5,568 | 63.55% | 3,036 | 34.65% | 158 | 1.80% | 2,532 | 28.90% | 8,762 |
| Roscommon | 10,582 | 65.79% | 5,290 | 32.89% | 212 | 1.32% | 5,292 | 32.90% | 16,084 |
| Saginaw | 52,912 | 50.88% | 49,515 | 47.61% | 1,573 | 1.51% | 3,397 | 3.27% | 104,000 |
| St. Clair | 64,277 | 66.50% | 30,844 | 31.91% | 1,542 | 1.59% | 33,433 | 34.59% | 96,663 |
| St. Joseph | 19,403 | 66.11% | 9,452 | 32.20% | 495 | 1.69% | 9,951 | 33.91% | 29,350 |
| Sanilac | 17,080 | 73.11% | 5,957 | 25.50% | 325 | 1.39% | 11,123 | 47.61% | 23,362 |
| Schoolcraft | 3,196 | 65.25% | 1,631 | 33.30% | 71 | 1.45% | 1,565 | 31.95% | 4,898 |
| Shiawassee | 24,718 | 60.65% | 15,335 | 37.63% | 699 | 1.72% | 9,383 | 23.02% | 40,752 |
| Tuscola | 21,764 | 70.79% | 8,562 | 27.85% | 420 | 1.36% | 13,202 | 42.94% | 30,746 |
| Van Buren | 23,407 | 56.75% | 17,175 | 41.64% | 667 | 1.61% | 6,232 | 15.11% | 41,249 |
| Washtenaw | 58,844 | 26.49% | 157,152 | 70.74% | 6,173 | 2.77% | -98,308 | -44.25% | 222,170 |
| Wayne | 288,860 | 33.61% | 537,032 | 62.49% | 33,434 | 3.90% | -248,172 | -28.88% | 859,327 |
| Wexford | 12,968 | 66.51% | 6,224 | 31.92% | 307 | 1.57% | 6,744 | 34.59% | 19,499 |
| Totals | 2,816,636 | 49.64% | 2,736,533 | 48.23% | 121,316 | 2.13% | 80,103 | 1.41% | 5,674,485 |

#### By congressional district

Trump won 8 of 13 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.
| District | Harris | Trump | Representative |
| 1st | 38.65% | 59.89% | Jack Bergman |
| 2nd | 34.30% | 64.18% | John Moolenaar |
| 3rd | 52.96% | 45.12% | Hillary Scholten |
| 4th | 46.25% | 51.92% | Bill Huizenga |
| 5th | 35.63% | 62.71% | Tim Walberg |
| 6th | 60.12% | 36.93% | Debbie Dingell |
| 7th | 48.53% | 49.82% | Elissa Slotkin (118th Congress) |
| 7th | 48.53% | 49.82% | Tom Barrett (119th Congress) |
| 8th | 48.21% | 50.20% | Dan Kildee (118th Congress) |
| 8th | 48.21% | 50.20% | Kristen McDonald Rivet (119th Congress) |
| 9th | 33.17% | 65.50% | Lisa McClain |
| 10th | 45.69% | 52.24% | John James |
| 11th | 57.06% | 40.96% | Haley Stevens |
| 12th | 66.57% | 28.88% | Rashida Tlaib |
| 13th | 69.42% | 28.04% | Shri Thanedar |

## Analysis

This was the first time since 1988 in which Michigan voted more Republican than neighboring Wisconsin, and the first election since 1992 in which Michigan was not the most Democratic-leaning of the three Rust Belt swing states (including Wisconsin and Pennsylvania).
Following the 2024 election, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin hold the longest active streak among states of voting for the winning presidential candidate, having done so in the last five presidential elections. In addition, the three states have voted for the same candidate in nine consecutive presidential elections.
Trump became the first Republican candidate to win Michigan without carrying Kent County, home of Grand Rapids, since Charles Evans Hughes in 1916 and the first Republican to ever win the White House without it; Kent County had long been key to Republican victories in Michigan in past elections. Notably, Trump became the first Republican to win a plurality of the vote in Dearborn, home to a large Arab-American community, since 2000. Trump became the first Republican candidate to win Muskegon County and the Lower Peninsula since George H.W. Bush in 1988. He also became the first Republican candidate to win Michigan or the White House without carrying Leelanau County.
Though Harris carried Wayne County, her share of the vote was significantly poorer than Biden's had been in 2020, as it swung toward Trump by 9.2%. She similarly ceded ground across the state as a whole, earning a smaller percentage of the vote than Biden did in 2020 in all but seven counties, mostly concentrated in northwestern areas of the Lower Peninsula. In addition to Wayne County, Trump also achieved significant swings in his favor in Cass, Genesee, and Lake counties, all of which have somewhat notable Black populations, as well as in Isabella and Macomb counties.
Trump's best result came from rural inland Missaukee County, a county with large Dutch ancestry, while Harris recorded her strongest performance in Washtenaw County, home to the University of Michigan. Green Party candidate Stein did the best in Wayne County with 2.4% of the vote, likely owing to communities such as Dearborn and Hamtramck.
This is the first time since 2008 that the Upper and Lower Peninsula voted the same way, the first time since 1988 that the latter voted Republican, and the first time since 1984 that both of them voted Republican.