# 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

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The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on May 21, 2024.

## Background

The Kentucky Supreme Court heard arguments in September 2023 in a suit alleging that the state legislature violated the state constitution by creating a partisan gerrymander in the state's congressional map by moving the state capital Frankfort to the heavily Republican 1st district. On December 14, 2023, the court affirmed a lower court ruling resulting in the case being dismissed.

## District 1

The 1st district is based in Western Kentucky and stretches into Central Kentucky, taking in Henderson, Hopkinsville, Madisonville, Paducah, Murray, and Frankfort. The incumbent is Republican James Comer, who was re-elected with 74.9% of the vote in 2022.

### Republican primary
#### Nominee

* James Comer, incumbent U.S. representative

#### Endorsements
##### Organizations

* AIPAC
* National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund

#### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024 :
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| James Comer (R) | $5,496,972 | $3,635,885 | $2,938,909 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission ||||

#### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | James Comer (incumbent) | Unopposed | Unopposed |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | — | 100.0 |

### Democratic primary
#### Nominee

* Erin Marshall, sales manager

#### Endorsements
##### Organizations

* Vote Mama
Labor unions
* Kentucky AFL-CIO

#### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024 :
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Erin Marshall (D) | $75,751 | $56,959 | $18,791 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission ||||

#### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Erin Marshall | Unopposed | Unopposed |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | — | 100.0 |

### General election
#### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Cook Political Report | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| Inside Elections | Solid R | January 3, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | November 16, 2023 |
| Elections Daily | Safe R | October 26, 2023 |
| CNalysis | Solid R | December 28, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ | Solid R | June 1, 2024 |

#### Results

Kentucky's 1st congressional district, 2024 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | James Comer (incumbent) | 252,729 | 74.7 |
| | Democratic | Erin Marshall | 85,524 | 25.3 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 338,253 | 100.0 |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |

## District 2

The 2nd district is located in west central Kentucky, and includes Bowling Green, Owensboro, Elizabethtown, and a portion of eastern Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Brett Guthrie, who was re-elected with 71.9% of the vote in 2022.

### Republican primary
#### Nominee

* Brett Guthrie, incumbent U.S. representative

#### Endorsements
##### Organizations

* AIPAC
* National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund

#### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024 :
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Brett Guthrie (R) | $1,759,114 | $1,977,765 | $1,645,468 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission ||||

#### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Brett Guthrie (incumbent) | Unopposed | Unopposed |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | — | 100.0 |

### Democratic primary
#### Nominee

* Hank Linderman, musician, perennial candidate, and nominee for this district in 2018, 2020, and 2022

#### Eliminated in primary

* William Compton, Plum Springs city commissioner and candidate for this district in 2022

#### Endorsements

Organizations
* Vote Common Good
Labor unions
* United Auto Workers

#### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024 :
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| William Compton (D) | $4,569 | $5,065 | $248 |
| Hank Linderman (D) | $7,100 | $16,533 | $9,303 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission ||||

#### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Hank Linderman | 12,515 | 57.3 |
| | Democratic | William Compton | 9,313 | 42.7 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 21,828 | 100.0 |

### General election
#### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Cook Political Report | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| Inside Elections | Solid R | January 3, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | November 16, 2023 |
| Elections Daily | Safe R | October 26, 2023 |
| CNalysis | Solid R | December 28, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ | Solid R | June 1, 2024 |

#### Results

Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, 2024 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Brett Guthrie (incumbent) | 252,826 | 73.1 |
| | Democratic | Hank Linderman | 93,029 | 26.9 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 345,855 | 100.0 |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |

## District 3

The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of Louisville Metro, which, since the merger of 2003, is consolidated with Jefferson County, though other incorporated cities, such as Shively and St. Matthews, exist within the county. The incumbent is Democrat Morgan McGarvey, who was elected with 62.0% of the vote in 2022.

### Democratic primary
#### Nominee

* Morgan McGarvey, incumbent U.S. representative

#### Eliminated in primary

* Jared Randall, high school track coach
* Geoff Young, retired state employee and perennial candidate

#### Endorsements

Organizations
* AIPAC
* BIPAC
* Humane Society Legislative Fund
* Planned Parenthood Action Fund
Labor unions
* Kentucky AFL-CIO
* United Auto Workers

#### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 :
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Morgan McGarvey (D) | $1,416,913 | $671,715 | $966,254 |
| Geoff Young (D) | $13,410 | $13,511 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission ||||

#### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Morgan McGarvey (incumbent) | 44,275 | 84.1 |
| | Democratic | Geoff Young | 5,875 | 11.2 |
| | Democratic | Jared Randall | 2,491 | 4.7 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 52,641 | 100.0 |

### Republican primary
#### Nominee

* Mike Craven, retired auto worker and perennial candidate

#### Eliminated in primary

* Dennis Ormerod, candidate for governor in 2023

#### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Mike Craven | 15,397 | 75.2 |
| | Republican | Dennis Ormerod | 5,074 | 24.8 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 20,471 | 100.0 |

### General election
#### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Cook Political Report | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
| Inside Elections | Solid D | January 3, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | November 16, 2023 |
| Elections Daily | Safe D | October 26, 2023 |
| CNalysis | Solid D | December 28, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ | Solid D | June 1, 2024 |

#### Results

Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, 2024 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Morgan McGarvey (incumbent) | 203,100 | 61.946 |
| | Republican | Mike Craven | 124,713 | 38.038 |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 51 | 0.016 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 327,864 | 100.0 |
| | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold |

## District 4

The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state along the Ohio River, including the suburbs of Cincinnati and the eastern suburbs of Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Thomas Massie, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2022.

### Republican primary
#### Nominee

* Thomas Massie, incumbent U.S. representative

#### Eliminated in primary

* Eric Deters, suspended attorney and candidate for governor in 2023
* Michael McGinnis, marketer

#### Endorsements

Executive branch officials
* Michael Flynn, U.S. National Security Advisor (2017)

##### Individuals

* Nicole Shanahan, attorney and 2024 vice-presidential nominee for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Independent)
Organizations
* National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund
* National Right to Life Committee

#### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Eric Deters | Thomas Massie | Michael McGinnis | Undecided |
| UpONE (R) | March 2–4, 2024 | 473 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 12% | 70% | 4% | 13% |

#### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024 :
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Thomas Massie (R) | $802,152 | $356,870 | $693,373 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission ||||

#### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Thomas Massie (incumbent) | 39,929 | 75.9 |
| | Republican | Michael McGinnis | 6,604 | 12.6 |
| | Republican | Eric Deters | 6,060 | 11.5 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 52,593 | 100.0 |

### General election
#### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Cook Political Report | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| Inside Elections | Solid R | January 3, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | November 16, 2023 |
| Elections Daily | Safe R | October 26, 2023 |
| CNalysis | Solid R | December 28, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ | Solid R | June 1, 2024 |

#### Results

Kentucky's 4th congressional district, 2024 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Thomas Massie (incumbent) | 278,386 | 99.6 |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 1,131 | 0.4 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 279,517 | 100.0 |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |

## District 5

The 5th district is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent is Republican House dean Hal Rogers, who was re-elected with 82.2% of the vote in 2022.

### Republican primary
#### Nominee

* Hal Rogers, incumbent U.S. representative

#### Eliminated in primary

* Dana Edwards, surgeon
* David Kraftchak, airline pilot
* Brandon Monhollen, transportation manager and candidate for this district in 2022

#### Endorsements
##### Organizations

* AIPAC
* National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund

#### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024 :
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Hal Rogers (R) | $638,917 | $354,408 | $997,474 |
| Dana Edwards (R) | $308,734 | $311,137 | $97 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission ||||

#### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Hal Rogers (incumbent) | 39,423 | 81.8 |
| | Republican | Dana Edwards | 5,112 | 10.6 |
| | Republican | Brandon Monhollen | 2,673 | 5.5 |
| | Republican | David Kraftchak | 997 | 2.1 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 48,205 | 100.0 |

### General election
#### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Cook Political Report | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| Inside Elections | Solid R | January 3, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | November 16, 2023 |
| Elections Daily | Safe R | October 26, 2023 |
| CNalysis | Solid R | December 28, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ | Solid R | June 1, 2024 |

#### Results

Kentucky's 5th congressional district, 2024 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Hal Rogers (incumbent) | 261,407 | 100.0 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 261,407 | 100.0 |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |

## District 6

The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington, Richmond, and Georgetown. The incumbent is Republican Andy Barr, who was re-elected with 62.7% of the vote in 2022.

### Republican primary
#### Nominee

* Andy Barr, incumbent U.S. representative

#### Endorsements
##### Organizations

* AIPAC
* Pro-Israel America
* National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund

### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024 :
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Andy Barr (R) | $2,871,024 | $1,104,696 | $3,807,100 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission ||||

#### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Andy Barr (incumbent) | Unopposed | Unopposed |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | — | 100.0 |

### Democratic primary
#### Nominee

* Randy Cravens, IT major incident manager and write-in candidate for this district in 2022

#### Eliminated in primary

* Todd Kelly, tree nursery owner
* Don B. Pratt, retired grocery store owner and perennial candidate
* Jonathan Richardson, nonprofit founder
* Shauna Rudd, social worker

#### Endorsements
##### Newspapers

* Lexington Herald-Leader (Democratic primary only)

#### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024 :
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Randy Cravens (D) | $2,305 | $4,397 | $1,079 |
| Todd Kelly (D) | $45,203 | $34,168 | $13,035 |
| Shauna Rudd (D) | $53,774 | $54,262 | $212 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission ||||

#### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Randy Cravens | 9,305 | 26.0 |
| | Democratic | Todd Kelly | 9,104 | 25.4 |
| | Democratic | Shauna Rudd | 8,627 | 24.1 |
| | Democratic | Jonathan Richardson | 4,433 | 12.4 |
| | Democratic | Don B. Pratt | 4,335 | 12.1 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 35,804 | 100.0 |

### General election
#### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Cook Political Report | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| Inside Elections | Solid R | January 3, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | November 16, 2023 |
| Elections Daily | Safe R | October 26, 2023 |
| CNalysis | Solid R | December 28, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ | Solid R | June 1, 2024 |

#### Results

Kentucky's 6th congressional district, 2024 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Andy Barr (incumbent) | 222,293 | 63.0 |
| | Democratic | Randy Cravens | 130,345 | 37.0 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 352,638 | 100.0 |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |