# 2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee

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Elections in Tennessee :
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Nashville Mayoral elections
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Government :
vte :
The 2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Tennessee voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Tennessee has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
Prior to the election, all major news organizations once again considered Tennessee a safe or likely red state; the state has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000, including by double-digit margins since 2004.
Trump won Tennessee with 60.66% of the vote, almost tied with his 60.72% vote share in 2016. Despite this, Biden got 37.45% of the vote, three points better than Hillary Clinton. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state Trump would win, or a safe red state. Tennessee has not supported a Democrat for president since 1996.
Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Tennessee came from a 69% showing among Southern whites, who made up 84% of the electorate. Similarly, Trump carried white born-again/Evangelical Christians by 86%–12%. The state of Tennessee is entirely covered in the Bible Belt. The only strength Biden showed was with 88% of African-American voters. 65% of voters opposed removing Confederate statues from public places in Tennessee, and these voters backed Trump by 83%–15%.

## Primary elections
### Democratic primary

The Democratic primary was on March 3, 2020. Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, and former Vice President Joe Biden were among the major declared candidates. Former vice president Joe Biden easily decided the primary, winning almost 42% of the vote and 36 delegates and benefitting from overwhelming African-American support, as well as rural support among predominantly white working-class voters. Senator Bernie Sanders took 25% of the vote gaining 22 delegates, while former mayor Michael Bloomberg reached the threshold with slightly more than 15% but was not allocated any statewide delegates due to his withdrawal the next day. Otherwise Biden would have had 33 delegates, Sanders 20 delegates and Bloomberg 10 delegates. Senator Elizabeth Warren received a single district delegate.
2020 Tennessee Democratic presidential primary :
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
| Joe Biden | 215,390 | 41.72 | 36 |
| Bernie Sanders | 129,168 | 25.02 | 22 |
| Michael Bloomberg | 79,789 | 15.46 | 5 |
| Elizabeth Warren | 53,732 | 10.41 | 1 |
| Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | 17,102 | 3.31 | |
| Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | 10,671 | 2.07 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 2,278 | 0.44 | |
| Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | 1,932 | 0.37 | |
| Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 1,650 | 0.32 | |
| Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 1,097 | 0.21 | |
| Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 953 | 0.18 | |
| Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 498 | 0.10 | |
| John Delaney (withdrawn) | 378 | 0.07 | |
| Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 239 | 0.05 | |
| Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | 182 | 0.04 | |
| Uncommitted | 1,191 | 0.23 | |
| Total | 516,250 | 100% | 64 |

### Republican primary

The Republican primary was on March 3, 2020. Incumbent President Donald Trump won the state in a landslide getting 96.5% of the vote and all 58 delegates
Former Tennessee senator Bob Corker was considered a potential primary opponent for Trump.
2020 Tennessee Republican primary :
| Candidate | Votes | % | Estimated delegates |
| Donald Trump (incumbent) | 384,266 | 96.47 | 58 |
| Joe Walsh (withdrawn) | 4,178 | 1.05 | 0 |
| Bill Weld | 3,922 | 0.98 | 0 |
| Uncommitted | 5,948 | 1.49 | 0 |
| Total | 398,314 | 100% | 58 |

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | September 10, 2020 |
| Inside Elections | Safe R | September 4, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | July 14, 2020 |
| Politico | Safe R | September 8, 2020 |
| RCP | Safe R | August 3, 2020 |
| Niskanen | Safe R | July 26, 2020 |
| CNN | Safe R | August 3, 2020 |
| The Economist | Safe R | September 2, 2020 |
| CBS News | Likely R | August 16, 2020 |
| 270towin | Safe R | August 2, 2020 |
| ABC News | Safe R | July 31, 2020 |
| NPR | Likely R | August 3, 2020 |
| NBC News | Safe R | August 6, 2020 |
| 538 | Safe R | September 9, 2020 |

### Polling

Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided | Margin |
| RealClearPolitics | Jan 28, 2020 – May 22, 2020 | September 15, 2020 | 39.0% | 53.0% | 8.0% | Trump +14.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 41.4% | 55.1% | 3.5% | Trump +13.7 |
| Average | Average | Average | 40.2% | 54.1% | 5.7% | Trump +13.9 |
Polls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,342 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 54% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
| Swayable | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 485 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 58% | 41% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,099 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | – | – | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,329 (LV) | – | 58% | 41% | – | – | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,796 (LV) | – | 59% | 40% | – | – | – | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,481 (LV) | – | 61% | 38% | – | – | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,092 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | – | – | – | 2% |
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University | May 5–22, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 42% | – | – | 5% | 2% |
| East Tennessee State University | Apr 22 – May 1, 2020 | 536 (LV) | – | 53% | 36% | – | – | 6% | 5% |
| Mason-Dixon | Jan 28–30, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 39% | – | – | – | 6% |
Former candidates :
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Michael Bloomberg (D) | Undecided |
| Mason-Dixon | Jan 28–30, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 39% | 7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Pete Buttigieg (D) | Undecided |
| Mason-Dixon | Jan 28–30, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 38% | 7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Bernie Sanders (D) | Undecided |
| Mason-Dixon | Jan 28–30, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 57% | 37% | 6% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Elizabeth Warren (D) | Undecided |
| Mason-Dixon | Jan 28–30, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 57% | 36% | 7% |

### Electoral slates

These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidates win the state:
| Donald Trump and Mike Pence Republican Party | Joe Biden and Kamala Harris Democratic Party | Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen Libertarian Party | Kanye West and Michelle Tidball Independent | Don Blankenship and William Mohr Constitution Party | Howie Hawkins and Angela Nicole Walker Green Party | Alyson Kennedy and Malcom Jarrett Socialist Workers Party | Gloria La Riva and Sunil Freeman Party for Socialism and Liberation | Rocky De La Fuente and Darcy Richardson Alliance Party | Brian T. Carroll and Amar Patel American Solidarity Party | Jade Simmons and Claudeliah Roze Independent | Tom Hoefling and Andy Prior Independent | R19 Boddie and Eric Stoneham Independent | Kasey Wells and Rachel Wells Independent |
| Paul ChapmanCindy HatcherTina BenkiserJohn StanberyBeverly Knight-HurleyMary ParksJim LooneyKathy BrysonTerry RolandScott SmithJulia Atchley-Pace | Barbara WagnerMaria BrewerMike HamptonMeryl RiceMadeline RogeroDeborah ReedAndrew BerkeGale CarsonCharles HowardKevin HuddlestonMartha Shepard | Robert HammettJustin CornettDavid TylerSuzanne EltzDaniel LewisJoshua EakleTrisha ButlerVictoria SextonJaron WeldnerHeather ScottDavid Sexton | Breanna SellarsLeeAnn AndersonSammantha AshleyClarissa LayneNicola La MattinaRicky WilliamsMike MagnussonRochelle StevensNicholas TatumIsaac FordNewton Ford | Coal LankstonTerri CokerH. James HeppingLaura MarquisJames BarlowJames BeckJoan CastleJames WebbSusan LankstonDarrell Castle | Josh BergerMartin PleasantTrevor MilesMichael PrincipeElizabeth DachowskiLeith PattonHoward SwitzerRichard GriffithJames MaynardCharles OwensJohn Miglietta | Helen WrightJahaan JonesCordelious JohnsonKristin GriffinMohd NasanClark HarrisKeith CherryErica TeelEmily DalertaJimmy SmarttCelest Farmer | Victoria HewlettDaniel CastilloJames BakerLucas ByrdRonda SheltonJanice MartinHaley RaderCassy MorrisKole OakesSebastian BaltesZen Baltes | Karrie DavisKurt DavisMarjorie LloydTimothy NelsonHeather CouchSue LitmanJeffrey LichtermanSteven PitcairnMolly HoehnJonathan EtheridgeStarla Etheridge | Juan VillalbaSarah BourqueRobert RitcheyClinton PostonJonathan SwordCaleb PostonNathan WarfHeidi ScottDavid RogersPatrick HarrisSara Taylor | Olivia McCaughanReginald JacksonColin NottageRebecca MurphySherronda BroughtonBrittany MansfieldDoris LittletonJamel CarterYolanda RobersonBrittany MurphyCandi Carter | Jesse OwenbyPaula RoffeyAlexander IonnidisJamie ChristleyCecret WilliamsDavid SchafferBryan DavisJames GoodmanJosiah WeaverSusan DavisTom Kovach | Preston SprinkleFran StidhamErnestine ThomasAmber PennyStephanie FriersonIsiah StraffordDebra RaineyJason BallardBrigitte PhilmoreJoseph FriersonTamika Wright | Bettina CohanWilliam BowlinMelissa HollowayJohn GuigneauxTiffany SnowAshley StoneWhitney TuckerMatthew BrownLacoco PirtleKim MosesKippie Lowry |

### Results

2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence | 1,852,475 | 60.66% | −0.06% |
| | Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris | 1,143,711 | 37.45% | +2.73% |
| | Independent | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen | 29,877 | 0.98% | −1.83% |
| | Independent | Kanye West Michelle Tidball | 10,279 | 0.34% | N/A |
| | Independent | Don Blankenship William Mohr | 5,365 | 0.18% | +0.12% |
| | Independent | Howie Hawkins Angela Walker | 4,545 | 0.15% | −0.49% |
| | Independent | Alyson Kennedy Malcolm Jarrett | 2,576 | 0.08% | −0.04% |
| | Independent | Gloria La Riva Sunil Freeman | 2,301 | 0.08% | N/A |
| | Independent | Rocky De La Fuente Darcy Richardson | 1,860 | 0.06% | −0.10% |
| | American Solidarity | Brian T. Carroll (write-in) Amar Patel (write-in) | 762 | 0.02% | N/A |
| | Independent | Jade Simmons (write-in) Claudeliah Roze (write-in) | 68 | 0.00% | N/A |
| | Independent | Tom Hoefling (write-in) Andy Prior (write-in) | 31 | 0.00% | N/A |
| | Independent | R19 Boddie (write-in) Eric Stoneham (write-in) | 1 | 0.00% | N/A |
| | Independent | Kasey Wells (write-in) Rachel Wells (write-in) | 0 | 0.00% | N/A |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 3,053,851 | 100.00% | |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |

#### By county

| County | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Joe Biden Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total |
| Anderson | 23,184 | 65.18% | 11,741 | 33.01% | 645 | 1.81% | 11,443 | 32.17% | 35,570 |
| Bedford | 14,354 | 75.20% | 4,453 | 23.33% | 281 | 1.47% | 9,901 | 51.87% | 19,088 |
| Benton | 5,668 | 78.07% | 1,529 | 21.06% | 63 | 0.87% | 4,139 | 57.01% | 7,260 |
| Bledsoe | 4,725 | 82.06% | 971 | 16.86% | 62 | 1.08% | 3,754 | 65.20% | 5,758 |
| Blount | 47,369 | 71.12% | 17,932 | 26.92% | 1,308 | 1.96% | 29,437 | 44.20% | 66,609 |
| Bradley | 35,204 | 76.76% | 9,851 | 21.48% | 810 | 1.76% | 25,353 | 55.28% | 45,865 |
| Campbell | 12,331 | 82.58% | 2,441 | 16.35% | 161 | 1.07% | 9,890 | 66.23% | 14,933 |
| Cannon | 5,190 | 79.15% | 1,261 | 19.23% | 106 | 1.62% | 3,929 | 59.92% | 6,557 |
| Carroll | 9,205 | 77.32% | 2,559 | 21.50% | 141 | 1.18% | 6,646 | 55.82% | 11,905 |
| Carter | 19,584 | 79.96% | 4,529 | 18.49% | 379 | 1.55% | 15,055 | 61.47% | 24,492 |
| Cheatham | 14,438 | 71.26% | 5,514 | 27.22% | 308 | 1.52% | 8,924 | 44.04% | 20,260 |
| Chester | 5,952 | 78.48% | 1,412 | 18.62% | 220 | 2.90% | 4,540 | 59.86% | 7,584 |
| Claiborne | 10,604 | 81.92% | 2,202 | 17.01% | 139 | 1.07% | 8,402 | 64.91% | 12,945 |
| Clay | 2,733 | 77.95% | 735 | 20.96% | 38 | 1.09% | 1,998 | 56.99% | 3,506 |
| Cocke | 12,162 | 81.85% | 2,533 | 17.05% | 164 | 1.10% | 9,629 | 64.80% | 14,859 |
| Coffee | 17,883 | 73.65% | 5,705 | 23.49% | 694 | 2.86% | 12,178 | 50.16% | 24,282 |
| Crockett | 4,673 | 76.43% | 1,382 | 22.60% | 59 | 0.97% | 3,291 | 53.83% | 6,114 |
| Cumberland | 25,168 | 77.97% | 6,728 | 20.84% | 383 | 1.19% | 18,440 | 57.13% | 32,279 |
| Davidson | 100,218 | 32.36% | 199,703 | 64.49% | 9,737 | 3.15% | −99,485 | −32.13% | 309,658 |
| Decatur | 4,229 | 80.69% | 904 | 17.25% | 108 | 2.06% | 3,325 | 63.44% | 5,241 |
| DeKalb | 6,672 | 78.37% | 1,750 | 20.56% | 91 | 1.07% | 4,922 | 57.81% | 8,513 |
| Dickson | 17,643 | 72.54% | 6,106 | 25.10% | 574 | 2.36% | 11,537 | 47.44% | 24,323 |
| Dyer | 11,768 | 78.04% | 3,158 | 20.94% | 153 | 1.02% | 8,610 | 57.10% | 15,079 |
| Fayette | 15,690 | 68.26% | 7,027 | 30.57% | 267 | 1.17% | 8,663 | 37.69% | 22,984 |
| Fentress | 7,441 | 85.24% | 1,214 | 13.91% | 74 | 0.85% | 6,227 | 71.33% | 8,729 |
| Franklin | 13,987 | 73.11% | 4,864 | 25.42% | 281 | 1.47% | 9,123 | 47.69% | 19,132 |
| Gibson | 16,259 | 72.80% | 5,771 | 25.84% | 305 | 1.36% | 10,488 | 46.96% | 22,335 |
| Giles | 9,784 | 74.10% | 3,298 | 24.98% | 121 | 0.92% | 6,486 | 49.12% | 13,203 |
| Grainger | 8,565 | 84.52% | 1,467 | 14.48% | 102 | 1.00% | 7,098 | 70.04% | 10,134 |
| Greene | 22,259 | 79.25% | 5,199 | 18.51% | 629 | 2.24% | 17,060 | 60.74% | 28,087 |
| Grundy | 4,802 | 82.02% | 988 | 16.87% | 65 | 1.11% | 3,814 | 65.15% | 5,855 |
| Hamblen | 18,811 | 76.37% | 5,500 | 22.33% | 320 | 1.30% | 13,311 | 54.04% | 24,631 |
| Hamilton | 92,108 | 53.83% | 75,522 | 44.14% | 3,483 | 2.03% | 16,586 | 9.69% | 171,113 |
| Hancock | 2,372 | 86.44% | 362 | 13.19% | 10 | 0.37% | 2,010 | 73.25% | 2,744 |
| Hardeman | 5,760 | 57.24% | 4,180 | 41.54% | 123 | 1.22% | 1,580 | 15.70% | 10,063 |
| Hardin | 9,559 | 82.85% | 1,775 | 15.38% | 204 | 1.77% | 7,784 | 67.47% | 11,538 |
| Hawkins | 20,405 | 82.20% | 4,083 | 16.45% | 336 | 1.35% | 16,322 | 65.75% | 24,824 |
| Haywood | 3,343 | 44.94% | 4,012 | 53.93% | 84 | 1.13% | −669 | −8.99% | 7,439 |
| Henderson | 9,797 | 81.51% | 2,092 | 17.40% | 131 | 1.09% | 7,705 | 64.11% | 12,020 |
| Henry | 11,239 | 74.69% | 3,548 | 23.58% | 260 | 1.73% | 7,691 | 51.11% | 15,047 |
| Hickman | 7,577 | 77.06% | 2,130 | 21.66% | 125 | 1.28% | 5,447 | 55.40% | 9,832 |
| Houston | 2,718 | 73.74% | 871 | 23.63% | 97 | 2.63% | 1,847 | 50.11% | 3,686 |
| Humphreys | 6,120 | 74.31% | 2,017 | 24.49% | 99 | 1.20% | 4,103 | 49.82% | 8,236 |
| Jackson | 4,118 | 77.36% | 1,135 | 21.32% | 70 | 1.32% | 2,983 | 56.04% | 5,323 |
| Jefferson | 18,651 | 78.98% | 4,654 | 19.71% | 311 | 1.31% | 13,997 | 59.27% | 23,616 |
| Johnson | 6,468 | 82.91% | 1,246 | 15.97% | 87 | 1.12% | 5,222 | 66.94% | 7,801 |
| Knox | 124,540 | 56.47% | 91,422 | 41.45% | 4,594 | 2.08% | 33,118 | 15.02% | 220,556 |
| Lake | 1,492 | 73.35% | 526 | 25.86% | 16 | 0.79% | 966 | 47.49% | 2,034 |
| Lauderdale | 5,674 | 63.29% | 3,193 | 35.62% | 98 | 1.09% | 2,481 | 27.67% | 8,965 |
| Lawrence | 15,334 | 81.92% | 3,195 | 17.07% | 189 | 1.01% | 12,139 | 64.85% | 18,718 |
| Lewis | 4,474 | 79.76% | 1,072 | 19.11% | 63 | 1.13% | 3,402 | 60.65% | 5,609 |
| Lincoln | 12,281 | 78.68% | 2,919 | 18.70% | 408 | 2.62% | 9,362 | 59.98% | 15,608 |
| Loudon | 21,713 | 73.99% | 6,948 | 23.68% | 686 | 2.33% | 14,765 | 50.31% | 29,347 |
| Macon | 8,096 | 85.34% | 1,307 | 13.78% | 84 | 0.88% | 6,789 | 71.56% | 9,487 |
| Madison | 23,943 | 55.75% | 18,390 | 42.82% | 617 | 1.43% | 5,553 | 12.93% | 42,950 |
| Marion | 9,911 | 74.77% | 3,177 | 23.97% | 168 | 1.26% | 6,734 | 50.80% | 13,256 |
| Marshall | 11,043 | 74.22% | 3,605 | 24.23% | 230 | 1.55% | 7,438 | 49.99% | 14,878 |
| Maury | 31,464 | 67.44% | 14,418 | 30.90% | 775 | 1.66% | 17,046 | 36.54% | 46,657 |
| McMinn | 18,198 | 79.66% | 4,361 | 19.09% | 285 | 1.25% | 13,837 | 60.57% | 22,844 |
| McNairy | 9,093 | 80.65% | 1,943 | 17.23% | 239 | 2.12% | 7,150 | 63.42% | 11,275 |
| Meigs | 4,467 | 80.75% | 1,008 | 18.22% | 57 | 1.03% | 3,459 | 62.53% | 5,532 |
| Monroe | 16,783 | 80.70% | 3,764 | 18.10% | 250 | 1.20% | 13,019 | 62.60% | 20,797 |
| Montgomery | 42,187 | 54.96% | 32,472 | 42.30% | 2,099 | 2.74% | 9,715 | 12.66% | 76,758 |
| Moore | 2,888 | 81.60% | 573 | 16.19% | 78 | 2.21% | 2,315 | 65.41% | 3,539 |
| Morgan | 6,930 | 84.22% | 1,167 | 14.18% | 131 | 1.60% | 5,763 | 70.04% | 8,228 |
| Obion | 10,790 | 79.80% | 2,589 | 19.15% | 142 | 1.05% | 8,201 | 60.65% | 13,521 |
| Overton | 7,918 | 78.89% | 2,033 | 20.26% | 86 | 0.85% | 5,885 | 58.63% | 10,037 |
| Perry | 2,775 | 80.95% | 615 | 17.94% | 38 | 1.11% | 2,160 | 63.01% | 3,428 |
| Pickett | 2,381 | 81.24% | 525 | 17.91% | 25 | 0.85% | 1,856 | 63.33% | 2,931 |
| Polk | 6,792 | 81.24% | 1,492 | 17.85% | 76 | 0.91% | 5,300 | 63.39% | 8,360 |
| Putnam | 23,759 | 70.73% | 9,185 | 27.34% | 649 | 1.93% | 14,574 | 43.39% | 33,593 |
| Rhea | 11,050 | 81.03% | 2,369 | 17.37% | 218 | 1.60% | 8,681 | 63.66% | 13,637 |
| Roane | 19,230 | 74.20% | 6,043 | 23.32% | 644 | 2.48% | 13,187 | 50.88% | 25,917 |
| Robertson | 24,536 | 72.77% | 8,692 | 25.78% | 489 | 1.45% | 15,844 | 46.99% | 33,717 |
| Rutherford | 81,480 | 56.63% | 59,341 | 41.24% | 3,057 | 2.13% | 22,139 | 15.39% | 143,878 |
| Scott | 8,004 | 88.42% | 986 | 10.89% | 62 | 0.69% | 7,018 | 77.53% | 9,052 |
| Sequatchie | 5,855 | 80.74% | 1,298 | 17.90% | 99 | 1.36% | 4,557 | 62.84% | 7,252 |
| Sevier | 33,783 | 77.60% | 8,721 | 20.03% | 1,031 | 2.37% | 25,062 | 57.57% | 43,535 |
| Shelby | 129,815 | 33.98% | 246,105 | 64.42% | 6,135 | 1.60% | −116,290 | −30.44% | 382,055 |
| Smith | 7,136 | 78.84% | 1,802 | 19.91% | 113 | 1.25% | 5,334 | 58.93% | 9,051 |
| Stewart | 4,950 | 78.62% | 1,232 | 19.57% | 114 | 1.81% | 3,718 | 59.05% | 6,296 |
| Sullivan | 55,860 | 75.12% | 17,272 | 23.23% | 1,225 | 1.65% | 38,588 | 51.89% | 74,357 |
| Sumner | 63,454 | 68.50% | 27,680 | 29.88% | 1,496 | 1.62% | 35,774 | 38.62% | 92,630 |
| Tipton | 20,070 | 73.49% | 6,837 | 25.04% | 401 | 1.47% | 13,233 | 48.45% | 27,308 |
| Trousdale | 2,936 | 73.44% | 1,012 | 25.31% | 50 | 1.25% | 1,924 | 48.13% | 3,998 |
| Unicoi | 6,599 | 79.44% | 1,615 | 19.44% | 93 | 1.12% | 4,984 | 60.00% | 8,307 |
| Union | 6,803 | 83.75% | 1,249 | 15.38% | 71 | 0.87% | 5,554 | 68.37% | 8,123 |
| Van Buren | 2,342 | 80.18% | 544 | 18.62% | 35 | 1.20% | 1,798 | 61.56% | 2,921 |
| Warren | 11,850 | 74.02% | 3,924 | 24.51% | 235 | 1.47% | 7,926 | 49.51% | 16,009 |
| Washington | 40,444 | 67.18% | 18,638 | 30.96% | 1,121 | 1.86% | 21,806 | 36.22% | 60,203 |
| Wayne | 5,795 | 86.89% | 820 | 12.30% | 54 | 0.81% | 4,975 | 74.59% | 6,669 |
| Weakley | 10,396 | 75.69% | 3,020 | 21.99% | 319 | 2.32% | 7,376 | 53.70% | 13,735 |
| White | 9,606 | 80.76% | 2,143 | 18.02% | 146 | 1.22% | 7,463 | 62.74% | 11,895 |
| Williamson | 86,469 | 62.20% | 50,161 | 36.08% | 2,386 | 1.72% | 36,308 | 26.12% | 139,016 |
| Wilson | 50,296 | 67.67% | 22,254 | 29.94% | 1,780 | 2.39% | 28,042 | 37.73% | 74,330 |
| Totals | 1,852,475 | 60.66% | 1,143,711 | 37.45% | 57,665 | 1.89% | 708,764 | 23.21% | 3,053,851 |
* Democratic — +10–12.5%
* Democratic — +7.5–10%
* Democratic — +5–7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5–5%
* Democratic — +0–2.5%
* Republican — +0–2.5%
* Republican — +2.5–5%
* Republican — +5–7.5%
* Republican — +7.5–10%
* Republican — +10–12.5%
* Republican — +12.5–15%
* Republican — +>15%
* Democratic — +10–12.5%
* Democratic — +7.5–10%
* Democratic — +5–7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5–5%
* Democratic — +0–2.5%
* Republican — +0–2.5%
* Republican — +2.5–5%
* Republican — +5–7.5%
* Republican — +7.5–10%
* Republican — +10–12.5%
* Republican — +12.5–15%
* Republican — +>15%

#### By congressional district

Trump won 7 of 9 congressional districts.
| District | Trump | Biden | Representative |
| 1st | 76.18% | 22.12% | Phil Roe |
| 1st | 76.18% | 22.12% | Diana Harshbarger |
| 2nd | 63.59% | 34.50% | Tim Burchett |
| 3rd | 65.31% | 32.93% | Chuck Fleischmann |
| 4th | 67.54% | 30.65% | Scott DesJarlais |
| 5th | 36.74% | 60.28% | Jim Cooper |
| 6th | 72.69% | 25.60% | John W. Rose |
| 7th | 66.88% | 31.33% | Mark E. Green |
| 8th | 65.51% | 33.09% | David Kustoff |
| 9th | 20.1% | 78.29% | Steve Cohen |

## Analysis

A Southern state in the heart of the Bible Belt, no Democrat has won Tennessee's electoral votes since Bill Clinton of neighboring Arkansas, who shared the ticket with favorite son Al Gore, in 1996, nor has it been contested at the presidential level since 2000, when Gore narrowly lost his home state by less than 4 points. The last Democratic presidential candidate to win at least 40% of the state vote was Barack Obama in 2008, and Republicans have occupied all statewide offices in Tennessee since 2011.
Winning the state by 708,764 votes, Tennessee gave Trump his largest margin of victory by the number of votes nationally. This exceeded the 631,221-vote margin by which he won in Texas, marking the first time since 1988 (when Florida provided the largest margin of victory) where Texas did not provide the Republican presidential nominee with his widest margin of votes for a statewide victory. Additionally, this is the second consecutive election in which a nominee carried over 60% of Tennessee's vote.
Biden won the same counties as Clinton did: urban Shelby and Davidson counties—anchored by Memphis and Nashville, respectively—as well as majority-Black Haywood County. In addition, Trump performed somewhat better than polls anticipated, as they had Trump leading Biden by 55%–41%. Biden also became the first Democrat to win the presidency without Hardeman County.
Despite this, Biden was able to improve his support in the Nashville metropolitan area, gaining 64.5% of the vote in Davidson County, the best Democratic performance in the county since FDR won 72.1% of the vote in 1944. At the same time, Biden also made gains in the Nashville suburban counties of Williamson, Rutherford, Wilson, Sumner, and Cheatham, performing considerably better than Hillary Clinton in 2016. For example, Biden lost Rutherford County, anchored by Murfreesboro, only by 15.4%, much lower than Clinton's 25.9-point loss in 2016. Additionally, he narrowed Trump's margins in Hamilton County—anchored by Chattanooga, the state's fourth largest city—only losing it by 9.7 points, the best Democratic performance there since Bill Clinton lost the county by 6.5% in 1996, and in Knox County—anchored by Knoxville, the state's third largest city—from a loss of 23.73% in 2016 to 15.02% in 2020. Statewide, Biden won 44.1% of the popular vote, the best Democratic percentage since Carter's 48% in 1976, consequently losing by 2.8 points. This is the first time a Democrat has even garnered 40% of the vote in Rutherford County since 2000, when favorite son Al Gore lost the county by 9.7 points while at the same time losing both his home state and the election.

### By Grand Division

Trump won all three of Tennessee's Grand Divisions—West, Middle, and East Tennessee. Middle and East Tennessee are solidly Republican, while West Tennessee, owing to its high Black population, was formerly loyal to the Democrats. It has become competitive for Republicans in recent elections. In 2016, Trump had won it with 48.93% to Clinton's 47.82%. Democrats had previously won West Tennessee in 2004, 2008, and 2012.
| Grand Division | Trump | Biden |
| West | 49.43% | 49.06% |
| Middle | 59.20% | 38.67% |
| East | 68.97% | 29.27% |