# 2020 United States presidential election in Utah

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The 2020 United States presidential election in Utah was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Utah voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Utah had six electoral votes in the Electoral College.
Prior to the election, all leading news organizations projected Utah as leaning towards Trump, or a safe red state. Throughout the campaign, Trump did not exceed 60% in a single poll conducted. Some polls even showed the president leading by single digits against Biden, likely indicating a closer than normal contest in this traditionally Republican stronghold. In past elections, Utah has often given massive support to Republican candidates, including having awarded George W. Bush and Mitt Romney over 70% of the vote in 2004 and 2012, respectively.
In 2020, Trump won Utah with 58.1% of the vote and a margin of 20.5%, which although an improvement on his 18.1% margin over Hillary Clinton in 2016, is still relatively narrow compared to the performance of past Republican nominees. He performed strongly in rural areas, as well as in some larger counties like Utah (Provo), Davis (Farmington), and Weber (Ogden). Trump improved over his 45.5% plurality win in 2016, due in part to the lack of a strong third-party presence, as Evan McMullin had earned 21.5% of the vote in 2016 but did not run in 2020; he endorsed Biden. The election was far more of a two-party contest in 2020, with third parties receiving 4.2% of the vote, compared to 27% in 2016. Despite this, the Associated Press reported a less partisan and more cooperative cultural environment in Utah compared to other states during the election.
With no major third-party challenges, Trump improved his vote share by 13% while Biden improved on Hillary Clinton's 2016 results by 10.3 percentage points. Biden's improvement garnered him the highest percentage by a Democratic presidential nominee in Utah since Lyndon Johnson won with 54.9% of the vote in 1964, as Biden overtook the vote shares of Hubert Humphrey in 1968, Barack Obama in 2008, and Jimmy Carter in 1976 (the only other Democratic nominees to surpass a third of the state's vote since 1964). Biden's greatest support came from Salt Lake County, the state's most populous county, where he won 53.7%, the first outright majority for a Democratic nominee in the county since Johnson in 1964. Biden also won Summit County (Park City), which, along with Salt Lake, was one of two counties in the state Hillary Clinton had carried in 2016 (and the only one where she had won a majority); and he flipped Grand County (Moab), which had voted Democratic in 1992 and 2008.
Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Utah came from Mormons. 53% of voters identified as Mormons, and Trump received 72% of their votes. Trump also won the suburban areas, which make up 57% of the state, with 54% of the vote.
Utah was one of the six states (along with Arkansas, Nevada, California, Florida, and Hawaii) as well as the District of Columbia, in which Trump's share of the vote increased from 2016.

## Primary elections
### Republican primary

The Republican primary was held on March 3, 2020. Utah politicians Jon Huntsman and Mitt Romney both declined to run against Trump.
2020 Utah Republican presidential primary :
| Candidate | Votes | % | Estimated delegates |
| Donald Trump (incumbent) | 302,751 | 87.79% | 40 |
| Bill Weld | 23,652 | 6.86% | 0 |
| Joe Walsh (withdrawn) | 7,509 | 2.18% | 0 |
| Matthew John Matern | 5,751 | 1.67% | 0 |
| Robert Ardini | 3,971 | 1.15% | 0 |
| Bob Ely | 1,218 | 0.35% | 0 |
| Total | 344,852 | 100% | 40 |

### Democratic primary

The Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020. Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, and former Vice President Joe Biden were among the major declared candidates.
2020 Utah Democratic presidential primary :
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
| Bernie Sanders | 79,728 | 36.14 | 16 |
| Joe Biden | 40,674 | 18.44 | 7 |
| Elizabeth Warren | 35,727 | 16.20 | 3 |
| Michael Bloomberg | 33,991 | 15.41 | 3 |
| Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | 18,734 | 8.49 | |
| Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | 7,603 | 3.45 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 1,704 | 0.77 | |
| Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 950 | 0.43 | |
| Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | 703 | 0.32 | |
| Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 220 | 0.10 | |
| Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 159 | 0.07 | |
| Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 138 | 0.06 | |
| Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | 55 | 0.02 | |
| Other candidates | 196 | 0.09 | |
| Total | 220,582 | 100% | 29 |

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| Inside Elections | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| Politico | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| RCP | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| Niskanen | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| CNN | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| The Economist | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| CBS News | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| 270towin | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| ABC News | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| NPR | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| NBC News | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| 538 | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |

### Polling
#### Aggregate polls

| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided | Margin |
| 270 to Win | October 23–31, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 41.0% | 50.5% | 8.5% | Trump +9.5 |
| FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.1% | 51.9% | 6.0% | Trump +9.8 |
| Average | Average | Average | 41.6% | 51.2% | 7.2% | Trump +9.6 |

#### Polls

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,586 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 55% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,783 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
| Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune | Oct 15–24, 2020 | 660 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 44% | – | – | 5% | – |
| RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics | Oct 12–17, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 38% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune | Sep 26 – Oct 4, 2020 | 1,214 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 40% | – | – | 10% | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,192 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | – | – | – | 2% |
| RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics | Sep 7–12, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 53% | 35% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 893 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | – | 2% |
| RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News | Jul 27 – Aug 1, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 31% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 11% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,037 (LV) | – | 58% | 40% | – | – | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 412 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | – | 1% |
| Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy.com/KUTV 2 | May 9–15, 2020 | 1,099 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 41% | – | – | 9% | 5% |
| Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News | Apr 15–21, 2020 | 964 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 32% | – | – | 8% | 9% |
| Y2 Analytics | Mar 21–30, 2020 | 1,266 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 41% | – | – | 7% | 5% |
| Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News | Feb 24 – Mar 1, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 33% | – | – | 8% | 8% |
| Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News | Jan 15–22, 2020 | 1,017 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 31% | – | – | 13% | 7% |
| Y2 Analytics | Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 | 149 (RV) | – | 36% | 35% | – | – | 14% | 5% |
Former candidates :
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Michael Bloomberg (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News | Jan 15–22, 2020 | 1,017 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 32% | 11% | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Cory Booker (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Y2 Analytics | Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 | 153 (RV) | – | 31% | 43% | 23% | 3% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Pete Buttigieg (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News | Jan 15–22, 2020 | 1,017 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 25% | 13% | 14% |
| Y2 Analytics | Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 | 144 (RV) | – | 48% | 28% | 15% | 9% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Kamala Harris (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Y2 Analytics | Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 | 144 (RV) | – | 48% | 33% | 15% | 5% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Amy Klobuchar (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News | Jan 15–22, 2020 | 1,017 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 23% | 14% | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Beto O'Rourke (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Y2 Analytics | Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 | 140 (RV) | – | 41% | 27% | 25% | 7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Bernie Sanders (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News | Feb 24 – Mar 1, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 33% | 9% | 7% |
| Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News | Jan 15–22, 2020 | 1,017 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 31% | 13% | 6% |
| Y2 Analytics | Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 | 153 (RV) | – | 38% | 44% | 14% | 5% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Elizabeth Warren (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News | Feb 24 – Mar 1, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 28% | 12% | 10% |
| Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News | Jan 15–22, 2020 | 1,017 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 28% | 12% | 10% |
| Y2 Analytics | Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 | 144 (RV) | – | 39% | 36% | 19% | 6% |
Hypothetical polling :
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Generic Democrat | Other | Undecided |
| Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News | Jan 16–30, 2020 | 2,174 (LV) | – | 47% | 31% | 12% | 10% |
| Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News | Sep 25 – Oct 8, 2019 | 944 (LV) | – | 41% | 33% | 16% | 10% |
| Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News | Jun 27 – Jul 17, 2019 | 2,464 (LV) | – | 38% | 30% | 18% | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Generic Opponent | Undecided |
| Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce | Feb 28 – Mar 11, 2020 | 798 (LV) | ± 3.47% | 52% | 45% | 3% |
| Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce | Oct 3–10, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce | Jun 11 – Jul 1, 2019 | 801 (LV) | – | 45% | 52% | 4% |

### Results

2020 United States presidential election in Utah :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence | 865,140 | 58.13% | +12.59% |
| | Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris | 560,282 | 37.65% | +10.19% |
| | Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen | 38,447 | 2.58% | −0.92% |
| | Independent | Kanye West Michelle Tidball | 7,213 | 0.48% | − |
| | Constitution | Don Blankenship William Mohr | 5,551 | 0.37% | −0.34% |
| | Green | Howie Hawkins Angela Walker | 5,053 | 0.34% | −0.49% |
| | Independent | Brock Pierce Karla Ballard | 2,623 | 0.18% | − |
| | Independent | Joe McHugh Elizabeth Storm | 2,229 | 0.15% | − |
| | Socialism and Liberation | Gloria La Riva Sunil Freeman | 1,139 | 0.08% | − |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 612 | 0.04% | -0.38% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 1,488,289 | 100.00% | - |

#### By county

| County | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Kanye West Independent | Kanye West Independent | Don Blankenship Constitution | Don Blankenship Constitution | Howie Hawkins Green | Howie Hawkins Green | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total votes cast |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total votes cast |
| Beaver | 2,695 | 86.94% | 357 | 11.52% | 23 | 0.74% | 7 | 0.23% | 4 | 0.13% | 6 | 0.19% | 8 | 0.26% | 2,338 | 75.42% | 3,100 |
| Box Elder | 21,548 | 78.87% | 4,473 | 16.37% | 614 | 2.25% | 112 | 0.41% | 134 | 0.49% | 55 | 0.20% | 384 | 1.41% | 17,075 | 62.50% | 27,320 |
| Cache | 38,032 | 65.17% | 16,650 | 28.53% | 1,796 | 3.08% | 230 | 0.39% | 351 | 0.60% | 217 | 0.37% | 1,082 | 1.86% | 21,382 | 36.64% | 58,358 |
| Carbon | 6,693 | 71.05% | 2,392 | 25.39% | 151 | 1.60% | 44 | 0.47% | 22 | 0.23% | 18 | 0.19% | 100 | 1.06% | 4,301 | 45.91% | 9,420 |
| Daggett | 496 | 79.74% | 111 | 17.85% | 7 | 1.13% | 2 | 0.32% | 2 | 0.32% | 0 | 0.00% | 4 | 0.64% | 385 | 61.89% | 622 |
| Davis | 104,135 | 60.04% | 57,411 | 33.10% | 5,004 | 2.89% | 1,012 | 0.58% | 827 | 0.48% | 597 | 0.34% | 4,448 | 2.56% | 46,724 | 26.94% | 173,434 |
| Duchesne | 7,513 | 87.75% | 843 | 9.85% | 107 | 1.25% | 18 | 0.21% | 21 | 0.25% | 9 | 0.11% | 51 | 0.60% | 6,670 | 77.90% | 8,562 |
| Emery | 4,207 | 85.89% | 572 | 11.68% | 47 | 0.96% | 15 | 0.31% | 4 | 0.08% | 8 | 0.16% | 45 | 0.91% | 3,635 | 74.21% | 4,898 |
| Garfield | 2,158 | 78.99% | 514 | 18.81% | 37 | 1.35% | 2 | 0.07% | 3 | 0.11% | 11 | 0.40% | 7 | 0.26% | 1,644 | 60.18% | 2,732 |
| Grand | 2,248 | 43.19% | 2,806 | 53.91% | 62 | 1.19% | 19 | 0.37% | 5 | 0.10% | 23 | 0.44% | 42 | 0.81% | -558 | -10.72% | 5,205 |
| Iron | 18,989 | 75.64% | 4,892 | 19.49% | 666 | 2.65% | 94 | 0.37% | 88 | 0.35% | 78 | 0.31% | 297 | 1.18% | 14,097 | 56.15% | 25,104 |
| Juab | 5,087 | 86.18% | 645 | 10.93% | 91 | 1.54% | 13 | 0.22% | 16 | 0.27% | 5 | 0.08% | 46 | 0.79% | 4,442 | 75.72% | 5,903 |
| Kane | 2,998 | 71.30% | 1,083 | 25.76% | 51 | 1.21% | 15 | 0.36% | 16 | 0.38% | 8 | 0.19% | 34 | 0.81% | 1,915 | 45.54% | 4,205 |
| Millard | 5,404 | 87.30% | 624 | 10.08% | 64 | 1.03% | 16 | 0.26% | 26 | 0.42% | 5 | 0.08% | 51 | 0.83% | 4,780 | 77.22% | 6,190 |
| Morgan | 5,181 | 78.43% | 1,086 | 16.44% | 160 | 2.42% | 35 | 0.53% | 21 | 0.32% | 13 | 0.20% | 110 | 1.67% | 4,095 | 61.99% | 6,606 |
| Piute | 773 | 88.44% | 86 | 9.84% | 7 | 0.80% | 3 | 0.34% | 1 | 0.11% | 0 | 0.00% | 4 | 0.45% | 687 | 78.60% | 874 |
| Rich | 1,157 | 84.51% | 180 | 13.15% | 14 | 1.02% | 4 | 0.29% | 3 | 0.22% | 2 | 0.15% | 9 | 0.66% | 977 | 71.36% | 1,369 |
| Salt Lake | 230,174 | 42.11% | 289,906 | 53.04% | 12,219 | 2.24% | 2,590 | 0.47% | 1,570 | 0.29% | 2,203 | 0.40% | 7,919 | 1.45% | -59,732 | -10.93% | 546,581 |
| San Juan | 3,535 | 51.20% | 3,113 | 45.09% | 99 | 1.43% | 45 | 0.65% | 28 | 0.41% | 17 | 0.25% | 67 | 0.97% | 422 | 6.11% | 6,904 |
| Sanpete | 10,459 | 82.19% | 1,794 | 14.10% | 215 | 1.69% | 39 | 0.31% | 50 | 0.39% | 19 | 0.15% | 149 | 1.18% | 8,665 | 68.09% | 12,725 |
| Sevier | 9,052 | 87.35% | 1,084 | 10.46% | 133 | 1.28% | 28 | 0.27% | 31 | 0.30% | 14 | 0.14% | 21 | 0.20% | 7,968 | 76.89% | 10,363 |
| Summit | 10,252 | 39.00% | 15,244 | 57.99% | 367 | 1.40% | 86 | 0.33% | 25 | 0.10% | 65 | 0.25% | 250 | 0.93% | -4,992 | -18.99% | 26,289 |
| Tooele | 21,014 | 66.67% | 8,943 | 28.37% | 958 | 3.04% | 152 | 0.48% | 181 | 0.57% | 81 | 0.26% | 189 | 0.60% | 12,071 | 38.30% | 31,518 |
| Uintah | 13,261 | 86.28% | 1,663 | 10.82% | 226 | 1.47% | 37 | 0.24% | 56 | 0.36% | 29 | 0.19% | 98 | 0.67% | 11,598 | 75.46% | 15,370 |
| Utah | 192,812 | 66.69% | 76,033 | 26.30% | 10,377 | 3.59% | 1,680 | 0.58% | 1,375 | 0.48% | 853 | 0.30% | 5,971 | 2.07% | 116,779 | 40.39% | 289,101 |
| Wasatch | 10,795 | 60.68% | 6,187 | 34.78% | 352 | 1.98% | 86 | 0.48% | 53 | 0.30% | 45 | 0.25% | 272 | 1.52% | 4,608 | 25.90% | 17,790 |
| Washington | 67,294 | 73.82% | 20,530 | 22.52% | 1,742 | 1.91% | 298 | 0.33% | 220 | 0.24% | 187 | 0.21% | 889 | 0.98% | 46,764 | 51.30% | 91,160 |
| Wayne | 1,229 | 75.40% | 365 | 22.39% | 9 | 0.55% | 7 | 0.43% | 3 | 0.18% | 3 | 0.18% | 14 | 0.85% | 864 | 53.01% | 1,630 |
| Weber | 65,949 | 58.54% | 40,695 | 36.13% | 2,849 | 2.53% | 524 | 0.47% | 415 | 0.37% | 482 | 0.43% | 1,735 | 1.54% | 25,254 | 22.41% | 112,649 |
| Totals | 865,140 | 57.45% | 560,282 | 37.20% | 38,447 | 2.55% | 7,213 | 0.48% | 5,551 | 0.37% | 5,053 | 0.34% | 24,296 | 1.61% | 304,858 | 20.25% | 1,505,982 |
* Democratic — +12.5-15%
* Democratic — +10-12.5%
* Democratic — +5-7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5-5%
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%
* Republican — +10-12.5%
* Republican — +12.5-15%
* Republican — +>15%
* Democratic — +12.5-15%
* Democratic — +10-12.5%
* Democratic — +5-7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5-5%
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%
* Republican — +10-12.5%
* Republican — +12.5-15%
* Republican — +>15%
* Democratic  Hold  Gain from Republican Republican  Hold
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
* Grand (largest municipality: Moab)

#### By congressional district

Trump won all four congressional districts.
| District | Trump | Biden | Representative |
| 1st | 64.2% | 31.6% | Rob Bishop |
| 1st | 64.2% | 31.6% | Blake Moore |
| 2nd | 56.1% | 40.2% | Chris Stewart |
| 3rd | 60.3% | 35.2% | John Curtis |
| 4th | 52.4% | 43.3% | Ben McAdams |
| 4th | 52.4% | 43.3% | Burgess Owens |