# 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas

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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Kansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts.
The state congressional delegation changed from a 4–0 Republican majority to a 3–1 Republican majority, the first time the Democrats won a house seat in the state since 2008.

## Overview

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas by district:
| District | Republican | Republican | Democratic | Democratic | Others | Others | Total | Total | Result |
| District | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Result |
| District 1 | 153,082 | 68.15% | 71,558 | 31.85% | 0 | 0.00% | 224,640 | 100% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 126,098 | 47.64% | 123,859 | 46.79% | 14,731 | 5.57% | 264,688 | 100% | Republican hold |
| District 3 | 139,762 | 43.91% | 170,518 | 53.57% | 8,021 | 2.52% | 318,301 | 100% | Democratic gain |
| District 4 | 144,248 | 59.44% | 98,445 | 40.56% | 0 | 0.00% | 242,693 | 100% | Republican hold |
| Total | 563,190 | 53.62% | 464,380 | 44.21% | 22,752 | 2.17% | 1,050,322 | 100% | |
Popular vote
Republican
53.62%
Democratic
44.21%
Other
2.17% :
House seats
Republican
75%
Democratic
25% :

## District 1

The first district is one of the largest geographically in the nation, encompassing more than half of the area of the state. It is located in western and northern Kansas, and includes the cities of Manhattan and Salina. Republican Roger Marshall won this district in 2016 by defeating the incumbent congressman, Tim Huelskamp, in the Republican primary 57% to 43% and winning the general election.

### Republican primary

Tim Huelskamp filed a statement of candidacy with the FEC on October 17, 2016, to run for this seat in 2018. Huelskamp made no announcement about whether he was considering a potential rematch with Marshall, but sent a fundraising email attacking Marshall and soliciting donations. On June 29, 2017, it was announced that Huelskamp had accepted a position with The Heartland Institute, a conservative think tank in Arlington Heights, Illinois.

#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Roger Marshall, incumbent U.S. Representative

##### Eliminated in primary

* Nick Reinecker

##### Declined

* Tim Huelskamp, former U.S. Representative

#### Primary results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Roger Marshall (incumbent) | 64,843 | 78.7 |
| | Republican | Nick Reinecker | 17,593 | 21.3 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 82,436 | 100.0 |

### Democratic primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Alan LaPolice, former school administrator, Republican candidate for this seat in 2014 and an independent candidate in 2016

#### Primary results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Alan LaPolice | 17,195 | 100.0 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 17,195 | 100.0 |

### General election
#### Endorsements

Labor unions
* AFL-CIO

#### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Roger Marshall (R) | Alan LaPolice (D) | Undecided |
| Emerson College | October 26–28, 2018 | 221 | ± 6.6% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
| Jayhawk Consulting (D-LaPolice) | October 22–23, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.2% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
| Remington (R-Marshall) | October 8–9, 2018 | 1,432 | ± 2.6% | 60% | 26% | 14% |
| Emerson College | September 26–28, 2018 | 193 | ± 6.8% | 44% | 17% | 35% |
| Jayhawk Consulting (D-LaPolice) | September 21–22, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 33% | 23% |

#### Results

Kansas's 1st congressional district, 2018 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Roger Marshall (incumbent) | 153,082 | 68.1 |
| | Democratic | Alan LaPolice | 71,558 | 31.9 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 224,640 | 100.0 |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |

## District 2

This district is located in eastern Kansas and is anchored by the state capital, Topeka. It also includes the city of Lawrence. Incumbent Republican Lynn Jenkins had represented the district since 2009. She had beaten former six-term District congressman Jim Ryun in the primary, and incumbent Democrat, Nancy Boyda, in the general election. Jenkins was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2016.

### Republican primary
#### Campaign

Jenkins had considered running for governor instead of re-election, but decided to retire and not run for any office in 2018.
Army veteran Steve Watkins led the Republican primary campaign, securing the endorsement of President Donald Trump. However, his background and residency were challenged by fellow Republicans, citing inaccuracies in claims on his website and in his campaign, as well as his absence from the district.

#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Steve Watkins, army veteran, dog racer and engineer

##### Eliminated in primary

* Vernon Fields, Basehor City Councilman
* Steve Fitzgerald, state senator
* Kevin Jones, state representative
* Doug Mays, former Kansas House speaker
* Dennis Pyle, state senator
* Caryn Tyson, state senator

##### Withdrawn

* Matt Bevens
* Tyler Tannahill

#### Endorsements

Organizations
* Kansans for Life
Organizations
* Kansans for Life
Organizations
* Kansans for Life
* Kansas Farm Bureau
* The Madison Project
* Maggie's List
* Susan B. Anthony List
U.S. Presidents
* Donald J. Trump, 45th President of the United States
U.S. Representatives
* Roger Marshall, US Representative (KS-01)
Organizations
* With Honor

#### Primary results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Steve Watkins | 20,052 | 26.5 |
| | Republican | Caryn Tyson | 17,749 | 23.5 |
| | Republican | Kevin Jones | 11,201 | 14.8 |
| | Republican | Steve Fitzgerald | 9,227 | 12.2 |
| | Republican | Dennis Pyle | 9,126 | 12.1 |
| | Republican | Doug Mays | 6,221 | 8.2 |
| | Republican | Vernon J. Fields | 1,987 | 2.6 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 75,563 | 100.0 |

### Democratic primary

Former Kansas State House Minority Leader and 2014 gubernatorial nominee Paul Davis ran unopposed. When Davis ran against incumbent governor Sam Brownback in 2014, he had carried the 2nd district.

#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Paul Davis, former Minority Leader of the Kansas House of Representatives and nominee for Governor in 2014

##### Withdrawn

* Nathan Schmidt

#### Primary results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Paul Davis | 38,846 | 100.0 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 38,846 | 100.0 |

### Libertarian primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Kelly Standley, business developer

### General election
#### Endorsements

U.S. Presidents
* Donald J. Trump, 45th President of the United States
U.S. Representatives
* Roger Marshall, US Representative (KS-01)
Organizations
* With Honor
Labor unions
* AFL-CIO
Organizations
* Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program
Newspapers
* The Kansas City Star

#### Debates

* Complete video of debate, October 18, 2018

#### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve Watkins (R) | Paul Davis (D) | Kelly Standley (L) | Other | Undecided |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 27–30, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.8% | 37% | 41% | 7% | – | 15% |
| Change Research (D) | October 27–29, 2018 | 902 | – | 45% | 44% | – | – | – |
| Emerson College | October 26–28, 2018 | 231 | ± 6.5% | 48% | 41% | – | – | 8% |
| Emerson College | September 26–28, 2018 | 243 | ± 6.4% | 31% | 35% | 4% | 3% | 28% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 13–15, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.8% | 44% | 45% | – | – | 12% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Paul Davis (D) | Steve Fitzgerald (R) | Other | Undecided |
| The Mellman Group (D) | June 13–18, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 39% | 34% | – | 27% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Paul Davis (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | February 12–13, 2018 | 711 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 44% | – | 14% |

#### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 | Lean D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |

#### Results

Kansas's 2nd congressional district, 2018 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Steve Watkins | 126,098 | 47.6 |
| | Democratic | Paul Davis | 123,859 | 46.8 |
| | Libertarian | Kelly Standley | 14,731 | 5.6 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 264,688 | 100.0 |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |

## District 3

The district is based in the Kansas City metropolitan area and surrounding suburbs in eastern Kansas. Cities include Kansas City and Overland Park. Incumbent Republican Kevin Yoder had represented the district since 2011. Yoder was re-elected with 51% of the vote in 2016. Yoder lost to his Democratic challenger, attorney Sharice Davids, who became one of the first Native American women ever elected to Congress.

### Republican primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Kevin Yoder, incumbent representative

##### Eliminated in primary

* Trevor Keegan
* Joe Myers

#### Primary results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Kevin Yoder (incumbent) | 53,130 | 68.1 |
| | Republican | Trevor Keegan | 14,574 | 18.7 |
| | Republican | Joe Myers | 10,268 | 13.2 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 77,972 | 100.0 |

### Democratic primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Sharice Davids, attorney, mixed martial artist, and former White House Fellow

##### Eliminated in primary

* Mike McCamon, businessman
* Tom Niermann, teacher
* Jay Sidie, financial counselor and nominee for this seat in 2016
* Brent Welder, attorney
* Sylvia Williams, former financial services manager

##### Withdrawn

* Chris Haulmark (dropped out to run for the Kansas House of Representatives)
* Reggie Marselus, retired union official and candidate for this seat in 2014 & 2016
* Joe McConnell, businessman and Iraq War veteran
* Andrea Ramsey, attorney and former healthcare executive

#### Endorsements

U.S. Representatives
* Raul Ruiz, US Representative (D-CA-25)
Labor unions
* AFL-CIO
Organizations
* Congressional Hispanic Caucus
* EMILY's List
* Equality Kansas
* Gay & Lesbian Victory Fund
* LPAC
* Run with Pride
Newspapers
* The Kansas City Star
Local officials
* Sollie Flora, Mission City Councilmember
* Chad Herring, Prairie Village City Councilmember
* Mike Kelly, Mayor of Roeland Park
* Jori Nelson, Prairie Village City Councilmember
* Heather Ousley, Shawnee Mission School District School Board At-Large Member
* Tucker Poling, Prairie Village City Councilmember
U.S. Representatives
* Jim Slattery, former Congressman (D-KS-2)
State legislators
* Barbara Bollier, state senator (R-7)
* Cindy Neighbor, state representative (D-18)
* Brett Parker, state representative (D-29)
Labor unions
* United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America St. Louis-Kansas City Regional Council
* United Transportation Union (SMART-TD KS)
Organizations
* Mainstream Coalition
Local officials
* Kay Barnes, former Mayor of Kansas City, MO
* Al Frisby, City Councilman - Merriam
* Logan Heley, City Councilman - Overland Park
* Jen Hill, City Councilwoman - Roeland Park
* Carol Marinovich, former Mayor of Kansas City, KS
* Andrew Osman, City Councilman - Leawood
* Hillary Parker Thomas, City Councilwoman - Mission
U.S. Senators
* Bernie Sanders, United States Senator (I-VT)
U.S. Representatives
* Bruce Braley, former Congressman (D-IA-1)
* Ro Khanna, US Representative (D-CA-17)
* Patrick Murphy, former congressman (D-FL-18)
* Mark Pocan, US Representative (D-WI-2)
* Jamie Raskin, US Representative (D-MD-8)
Statewide officials
* Jason Kander, former Missouri Secretary of State, founder of Let America Vote, candidate for Mayor of Kansas City in 2019, and host of Majority 54
Labor unions
* Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers and Trainmen
* Brotherhood of Maintenance of Way Employees
* International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers Local 10
* International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers-Transportation Division
* International Brotherhood of Boilermakers
* International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 56
* International Union of Bricklayers and Allied Craftworkers Local 15
* International Union of Painters and Allied Trades DC 3
* Laborers International Union of North America
* National Nurses United
* Service Employees International Union MO/KS State Council
Organizations
* Brand New Congress
* Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC
* Demand Universal Healthcare
* End Citizens United
* Justice Democrats
* Our Revolution
* The People for Bernie Sanders
* Political Revolution
* Progressive Change Campaign Committee
Individuals
* Lee Kinch, former Kansas Democratic Party chairman
* Nathaniel McLaughlin, former Wyandotte County NAACP President, candidate for Kansas Insurance Commissioner
* Killer Mike, rapper and social justice activist
* Wandra Minor, former Johnson County NAACP President
* Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democratic candidate for NY-14
* Angela Ramsey, former candidate for this seat
* Alvin Sykes, civil rights activist
* Cenk Uygur, journalist, activist, founder of Justice Democrats
* Cornel West, author, academic, activist and honorary chair of the Democratic Socialists of America
* Shailene Woodley, actress and activist

#### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sharice Davids | Tom Niermann | Brent Welder | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | August 2–3, 2018 | 543 | ± 4.2% | 21% | 15% | 35% | 12% | 17% |

#### Primary results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Sharice Davids | 23,379 | 37.3 |
| | Democratic | Brent Welder | 21,190 | 33.9 |
| | Democratic | Tom Niermann | 8,939 | 14.3 |
| | Democratic | Mike McCamon | 4,354 | 6.9 |
| | Democratic | Sylvia Williams | 2,955 | 4.7 |
| | Democratic | Jay Sidie | 1,790 | 2.9 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 62,607 | 100.0 |

### General election
#### Endorsements

Federal officials
* Mike Pence, Vice President of the United States
* Donald Trump, President of the United States
Organizations
* National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program
Federal officials
* Joe Biden, former Vice President of the United States
* Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States
* Kathleen Sebelius, former Governor of Kansas and former United States Secretary of Health and Human Services
U.S. Representatives
* Raul Ruiz, US Representative (D-CA-25)
State legislators
* Cindy Holscher, state representative
* Laura Kelly, state senator and 2018 nominee for governor
Labor unions
* AFL-CIO
Organizations
* Congressional Hispanic Caucus
* Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program
* EMILY's List
* End Citizens United
* Equality Kansas
* Gay & Lesbian Victory Fund
* League of Conservation Voters Action Fund
* LPAC
* Run with Pride
Newspapers
* The Kansas City Star
Local officials
* Sollie Flora, Mission City Councilmember
* Chad Herring, Prairie Village City Councilmember
* Mike Kelly, Mayor of Roeland Park
* Jori Nelson, Prairie Village City Councilmember
* Heather Ousley, Shawnee Mission School District School Board At-Large Member
* Tucker Poling, Prairie Village City Councilmember

#### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kevin Yoder (R) | Sharice Davids (D) | Chris Clemmons (L) | Undecided |
| Emerson College | October 26–28, 2018 | 262 | ± 6.3% | 43% | 55% | – | 1% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 14–17, 2018 | 503 | ± 4.7% | 39% | 48% | 3% | 11% |
| Emerson College | September 26–28, 2018 | 246 | ± 6.4% | 41% | 47% | 2% | 10% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 20–23, 2018 | 494 | ± 4.7% | 43% | 51% | – | 6% |
| Remington Research (R-Yoder) | September 18–20, 2018 | 610 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | – | – |
| Global Strategy Group (D-Davids) | August 13–15, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 46% | 4% | 7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kevin Yoder (R) | Brent Welder (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | February 14–15, 2018 | 315 | ± 5.5% | 42% | 49% | – | 9% |

#### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |

#### Results

Kansas's 3rd congressional district, 2018 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Sharice Davids | 170,518 | 53.6 |
| | Republican | Kevin Yoder (incumbent) | 139,762 | 43.9 |
| | Libertarian | Chris Clemmons | 8,021 | 2.5 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 318,301 | 100.0 |
| | Democratic gain from Republican | Democratic gain from Republican | Democratic gain from Republican | Democratic gain from Republican |

## District 4

The fourth district is based in southern Kansas, including Wichita and the surrounding suburbs. Incumbent Republican Ron Estes had represented the district since 2017. Estes was elected with 52.5% of the vote in 2017.
Prior to Estes, Mike Pompeo represented the district. Pompeo had been nominated as Director of the Central Intelligence Agency in the Donald Trump administration. After Pompeo was confirmed, a special election was held for the remainder of Pompeo's term. Ron Estes won the special election on April 11, 2017.

### Republican primary

The Republican Party selected a nominee during a Republican Party primary election which took place on August 7, 2018. The Republican primary was open to registered voters who were either unaffiliated or registered as Republicans.

#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Ron Estes, incumbent U.S. Representative

##### Eliminated in primary

* Ron M. Estes (different candidate with similar name), high level manager at Boeing for 40 years including working on the International Space Station project

##### Declined

* Susan Wagle, Kansas Senate President

#### Campaign

Because there were two Republican candidates named Ron Estes, the names appeared on the ballot as "Rep. Ron Estes" and "Ron M. Estes", which some criticized as breaking a state law that prohibits identifying an incumbent on the ballot.

#### Primary results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Ron Estes (incumbent) | 57,522 | 81.4 |
| | Republican | Ron M. Estes | 13,159 | 18.6 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 70,681 | 100.0 |

### Democratic primary

The Democratic Party selected a nominee during a Democratic Party primary election that took place on August 7, 2018. The primary was open to registered voters who were either unaffiliated or registered as Democrats.

#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* James Thompson, civil rights attorney, military veteran and nominee for this seat in 2017

##### Eliminated in primary

* Laura Lombard, businesswoman and CEO of ImEpik (online workforce training services)

#### Campaign

Senator Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez campaigned for Democrat James Thompson on July 20, 2018, after the national Democratic party would not support him. Laura Lombard criticized the state's decision to list incumbent Ron Estes as "Rep. Ron Estes" on the ballot, because she believes it breaks state laws which prohibit a candidate from being identified as an incumbent on the ballot.

#### Endorsements

U.S. Senators
* Bernie Sanders, United States Senator (I-VT)
Labor unions
* AFL-CIO
Individuals
* Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democratic candidate for NY-14

#### Primary results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | James Thompson | 20,261 | 65.2 |
| | Democratic | Laura Lombard | 10,797 | 34.8 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 31,058 | 100.0 |

### General election
#### Endorsements

U.S. Senators
* Bernie Sanders, United States Senator (I-VT)
Labor unions
* AFL-CIO
Individuals
* Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democratic candidate for NY-14

#### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ron Estes (R) | James Thompson (D) | Undecided |
| Emerson College | October 26–28, 2018 | 262 | ± 6.3% | 63% | 33% | 4% |
| Emerson College | September 26–28, 2018 | 256 | ± 6.4% | 50% | 26% | 20% |
| Change Research (D-Thompson) | July 17–19, 2018 | 1,896 | ± 2.25% | 42% | 38% | 20% |

#### Results

Kansas's 4th congressional district, 2018 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Ron Estes (incumbent) | 144,248 | 59.4 |
| | Democratic | James Thompson | 98,445 | 40.6 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 242,693 | 100.0 |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |