# 2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election

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vte :
The 2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Arkansas, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican governor Asa Hutchinson won re-election to a second term, winning by more than 33 percentage points and carrying all but seven counties, marking the largest winning margin of any Republican gubernatorial candidate in Arkansas history.

## Republican primary
### Candidates
#### Declared

* Asa Hutchinson, incumbent governor
* Jan Morgan, gun range owner

#### Declined

* Tim Griffin, lieutenant governor and former U.S. representative (running for re-election)
* Leslie Rutledge, attorney general (running for re-election)
* John Thurston, land commissioner (running for Secretary of State)

### Endorsements
#### Federal officials

* Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States

#### Organizations

* National Rifle Association of America

#### Newspapers

* Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Asa Hutchinson | Jan Morgan | Undecided |
| Hendrix College | April 17–19, 2018 | 676 | ± 3.8% | 58% | 31% | 12% |

### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Asa Hutchinson (incumbent) | 145,251 | 69.7 |
| | Republican | Jan Morgan | 63,009 | 30.3 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 208,260 | 100.0 |

## Democratic primary
### Candidates
#### Declared

* Jared Henderson, former Arkansas executive director of Teach For America
* Leticia Sanders, hairdresser

#### Declined

* Keith Ingram, Minority Leader of the Arkansas Senate
* Jay Martin, former Majority Leader of the Arkansas House of Representatives
* Kevin Smith, mayor of Helena-West Helena, Arkansas, former Majority Whip of the Arkansas Senate, former Democratic candidate in 1996 United States Senate election in Arkansas

### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Jared Henderson | 68,340 | 63.4 |
| | Democratic | Leticia Sanders | 39,382 | 36.6 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 107,722 | 100.0 |

## Independents
### Candidates
#### Declined

* Bobby Bones, radio host

## Libertarian primary
### Candidates
#### Declared

* Mark West (Libertarian), pastor and nominee for AR-01 in 2016

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | October 26, 2018 |
| The Washington Post | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Rothenberg Political Report | Safe R | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
| Daily Kos | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Politico | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Governing | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |

#### Notes

* ↑ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

### Debates

| Dates | Location | Hutchinson | Henderson | West | Link |
| September 12, 2018 | Little Rock, Arkansas | Didn't participate | Participant | Participant | Full debate - YouTube |
| October 12, 2018 | Conway, Arkansas | Participant | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Asa Hutchinson (R) | Jared Henderson (D) | Mark West (L) | Other | Undecided |
| University of Arkansas | October 1–28, 2018 | 618 | ± 3.9% | 59% | 35% | – | 6% | – |
| Hendrix College | October 18–19, 2018 | 528 | ± 4.3% | 60% | 24% | 5% | – | 11% |
| Hendrix College | September 5–7, 2018 | 1,701 | ± 2.4% | 60% | 25% | 6% | – | 9% |
| Mason-Dixon | March 21–24, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 63% | 24% | – | – | 13% |

### Results

2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Asa Hutchinson (incumbent) | 582,406 | 65.33% | +9.89% |
| | Democratic | Jared Henderson | 283,218 | 31.77% | −9.72% |
| | Libertarian | Mark West | 25,885 | 2.90% | +0.98% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 891,509 | 100.00% | N/A |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |

#### Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

* Ashley (largest city: Crossett)
* Bradley (largest city: Warren)
* Clark (largest city: Arkadelphia)
* Dallas (largest city: Fordyce)
* Desha (largest city: Dumas)
* Drew (largest city: Monticello)
* Jackson (largest city: Newport)
* Lafayette (largest city: Stamps)
* Lincoln (largest city: Star City)
* Little River (largest city: Ashdown)
* Mississippi (largest city: Osceola)
* Monroe (largest city: Clarendon)
* Nevada (largest city: Prescott)
* Ouachita (largest city: Camden)
* Pike (largest city: Glenwood)
* Woodruff (largest city: Augusta)

#### By congressional district

Hutchinson won all four congressional districts.
| District | Hutchinson | Henderson | Representative |
| 1st | 69% | 27% | Rick Crawford |
| 2nd | 59% | 39% | French Hill |
| 3rd | 66% | 31% | Steve Womack |
| 4th | 69% | 28% | Bruce Westerman |