# 2022 Vermont gubernatorial election

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vte :
The 2022 Vermont gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Vermont. Incumbent Republican governor Phil Scott won re-election to a fourth term in a landslide, defeating Democratic nominee Brenda Siegel.
This race was one of six Republican-held governorships up for election in 2022 in a state carried by Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election. During the 2022 season, Scott enjoyed one of the highest approval ratings of any governor in the nation, and was expected to easily win reelection. As such, he carried every municipality in the state, this time with the largest margin in a Vermont gubernatorial race since Howard Dean's landslide in 1996. Scott's 47-point victory margin was the largest for a Republican candidate since 1950, even while Democratic congressman Peter Welch won the concurrent U.S. Senate election by a 40-point margin. This was the second most lopsided election of the 2022 Gubernatorial election cycle, only behind the election in Wyoming.

## Republican primary
### Candidates
#### Nominee

* Phil Scott, incumbent governor

#### Eliminated in primary

* Stephen Bellows, landscaping contractor
* Peter Duval, engineer and former Underhill selectman

#### Declined

* H. Brooke Paige, historian and perennial candidate (running for multiple statewide offices)

### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Phil Scott (incumbent) | 20,319 | 68.56% |
| | Republican | Stephen C. Bellows | 5,402 | 18.22% |
| | Republican | Peter Duval | 3,627 | 12.24% |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 290 | 0.98% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 29,638 | 100.0% |

## Progressive primary
### Candidates
#### Withdrew after winning primary

* Susan Hatch Davis, former state representative

#### Replacement nominee

* Brenda Siegel, nonprofit executive, candidate for governor in 2018, and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2020 (cross-endorsement of Democratic nominee)

### Results

Progressive primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Progressive | Susan Hatch Davis | 470 | 87.36% |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 68 | 12.64% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 538 | 100.0% |

## Democratic primary
### Candidates
#### Nominee

* Brenda Siegel, nonprofit executive, candidate for governor in 2018, and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2020

#### Declined

* Becca Balint, President pro tempore of the Vermont Senate (running for U.S. House)
* T. J. Donovan, former Vermont Attorney General
* Molly Gray, Lieutenant Governor of Vermont (ran for U.S. House)
* Jill Krowinski, Speaker of the Vermont House of Representatives (running for re-election)
* Doug Racine, former lieutenant governor of Vermont and candidate for governor in 2002 and 2010

### Endorsements

Federal politicians
* Peter Welch, U.S. representative for Vermont's at-large congressional district
State politicians
* Becca Balint, president pro tempore of the Vermont Senate
* Howard Dean, former governor of Vermont and former chair of the Democratic National Committee

### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Brenda Siegel | 56,287 | 85.92% |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 9,227 | 14.08% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 65,514 | 100.0% |

## Independents
### Candidates
#### Declared

* Peter Duval, engineer and former Underhill selectman
* Kevin Hoyt, candidate for governor in 2020
* Bernard Peters, perennial candidate

## Write-ins

Due to Vermont's completely unrestricted write-in laws, many high school students across the United States were legally able to run for governor.

### Candidates
#### Declared

* Jackson Williams, high school student from Las Vegas
* Landon Best, high school student from Indiana

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Solid R | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections | Solid R | July 22, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | August 18, 2022 |
| Politico | Solid R | November 3, 2022 |
| RCP | Safe R | November 1, 2022 |
| Fox News | Solid R | August 22, 2022 |
| 538 | Solid R | August 26, 2022 |
| Elections Daily | Safe R | November 7, 2022 |

### Polling

Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Phil Scott (R) | Brenda Siegel (D/P) | Other | Undecided |
| Data for Progress (D) | October 21–26, 2022 | 1,039 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 65% | 24% | 5% | 6% |
| University of New Hampshire | September 29 – October 3, 2022 | 865 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 31% | 9% | 13% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | September 3–7, 2022 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 68% | 15% | 5% | 12% |
| University of New Hampshire | July 21–25, 2022 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 60% | 16% | 8% | 16% |
Phil Scott vs. generic opponent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Phil Scott (R) | Generic Opponent | Undecided |
| University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 583 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 25% | 24% |

### Results

2022 Vermont gubernatorial election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Phil Scott (incumbent) | 202,147 | 70.91% | +0.75 |
| | Democratic/Progressive | Brenda Siegel | 68,248 | 23.94% |
| | Independent | Kevin Hoyt | 6,022 | 2.06% | +0.80 |
| | Independent | Peter Duval | 4,723 | 1.62% | N/A |
| | Independent | Bernard Peters | 2,315 | 0.79% | N/A |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 1,346 | 0.46% | +0.02 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 284,801 | 100% | |
| Rejected ballots | Rejected ballots | Rejected ballots | 255 | | |
| Blank ballots | Blank ballots | Blank ballots | 6,899 | | |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 291,955 | 57.62% | |
| Registered electors | Registered electors | Registered electors | 506,666 | | |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |