# 2020 United States Senate election in Arkansas

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vte :
The 2020 United States Senate election in Arkansas was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Arkansas, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican senator Tom Cotton won reelection to a second term, defeating Libertarian challenger Ricky Dale Harrington Jr. Though Cotton outperformed President Donald Trump in the concurrent presidential election by 4.1%, the election saw an undervote of 26,000 compared to the presidential election. Harrington's 33.5% finish was the best ever for a Libertarian candidate in a U.S. Senate election by vote percentage, surpassing Joe Miller's vote share in the 2016 Alaska race, and also by total number of votes, surpassing Michael Cloud's total in the 2002 Massachusetts race. It was also the highest vote percentage ever won by a Libertarian candidate in any U.S. statewide race, surpassing John Monds's vote share in the 2008 Georgia Public Service Commission race. Per exit polls, this largely appears to be due to many Democrats deciding to pick Harrington as there was no Democratic candidate on the ballot (82% of Democratic voters backed Harrington). Harrington won three counties, all of which were also won by Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden.

## Republican nominee

In 2018, Tom Cotton, the incumbent U.S. senator, announced that he would run for re-election in 2020. Without any opposing candidates, there was not a contested primary, so Cotton automatically won the Republican nomination.

## Libertarian nominee

Ricky Dale Harrington Jr., Christian missionary and prison chaplain, announced that he would seek the Libertarian nomination. He subsequently became the Libertarian nominee.

## Withdrawn candidates
### Democratic Party

Josh Mahony was the only candidate to file for the Democratic primary; however, he withdrew his candidacy due to a "family health concern" on November 12, 2019. Because Mahony dropped out after the filing deadline, the Democratic Party of Arkansas could only nominate a replacement if the candidate died, became seriously ill, left the state, or filed for another office. As a result, the Democratic Party of Arkansas was not able to fill the vacancy. A memo from the Cotton campaign to supporters detailed a strategy of sitting on opposition research regarding Mahony's employment history until after the filing deadline had passed.

#### Withdrawn

* Josh Mahony, nonprofit executive, former chair of the Fayetteville Airport Commission, and nominee for Arkansas's 3rd congressional district in 2018

#### Declined

* Wesley Clark, retired General, former Supreme Allied Commander of NATO, and 2004 Democratic presidential candidate

### Independents
#### Withdrawn

* Dan Whitfield, progressive activist. On June 25, 2020, Whitfield's petition to run was denied for failing to gain enough signatures, an effort that was complicated by the COVID-19 pandemic. Whitfield filed an appeal with the United States Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit in an attempt to overturn this ruling. He officially suspended his campaign on October 1.

## General election

In public comments, Harrington spoke about excessive partisanship in the election process itself and in Senate operations, such as the contentious nomination of Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court. Cotton declined to attend a debate hosted by Arkansas PBS, leaving Harrington as the sole participant. Harrington spent the debate responding to questions put to him by a panel of journalists.

### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Solid R | October 29, 2020 |
| Inside Elections | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos | Safe R | October 30, 2020 |
| Politico | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP | Safe R | October 23, 2020 |
| DDHQ | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| 538 | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Economist | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |

### Endorsements

U.S. Federal Officials
* Justin Amash, U.S. representative from Michigan's 3rd congressional district
Other individuals
* Spike Cohen, Libertarian Party's 2020 vice presidential nominee
* Jo Jorgensen, Libertarian Party's 2020 presidential nominee

### Polls

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Cotton (R) | Ricky Dale Harrington Jr. (L) | Other | Undecided |
| University of Arkansas | October 9–21, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 75% | 20% | 5% | – |
| Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics | October 11–13, 2020 | 647 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 63% | 28% | – | 10% |
| American Research Group (L) | October 7–9, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 38% | – | 13% |

### Results

United States Senate election in Arkansas, 2020 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Tom Cotton (incumbent) | 793,871 | 66.53% | +10.03% |
| | Libertarian | Ricky Dale Harrington Jr. | 399,390 | 33.47% | +31.44% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 1,193,261 | 100.00% | N/A |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |

#### By county

By county :
| County | Tom Cotton Republican | Tom Cotton Republican | Ricky Harrington Jr. Libertarian | Ricky Harrington Jr. Libertarian | Margin | Margin | Total votes |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total votes |
| Arkansas | 4,567 | 75.26 | 1,501 | 24.74 | 3,066 | 50.53 | 6,068 |
| Ashley | 5,801 | 74.85 | 1,949 | 25.15 | 3,852 | 49.70 | 7,750 |
| Baxter | 16,094 | 78.95 | 4,292 | 21.05 | 11,802 | 57.89 | 20,386 |
| Benton | 76,068 | 64.75 | 41,417 | 35.25 | 34,651 | 29.49 | 117,485 |
| Boone | 13,753 | 81.83 | 3,054 | 18.17 | 10,699 | 63.66 | 16,807 |
| Bradley | 2,485 | 69.74 | 1,078 | 30.26 | 1,407 | 39.49 | 3,563 |
| Calhoun | 1,714 | 80.02 | 428 | 19.98 | 1,286 | 60.04 | 2,142 |
| Carroll | 7,676 | 66.22 | 3,916 | 33.78 | 3,760 | 32.44 | 11,592 |
| Chicot | 1,945 | 53.23 | 1,709 | 46.77 | 236 | 6.46 | 3,654 |
| Clark | 5,089 | 63.08 | 2,978 | 36.92 | 2,111 | 26.17 | 8,067 |
| Clay | 4,196 | 82.29 | 903 | 17.71 | 3,293 | 64.58 | 5,099 |
| Cleburne | 10,602 | 84.36 | 1,966 | 15.64 | 8,636 | 68.71 | 12,568 |
| Cleveland | 2,987 | 83.98 | 570 | 16.02 | 2,417 | 67.95 | 3,557 |
| Columbia | 5,776 | 71.39 | 2,315 | 28.61 | 3,461 | 42.78 | 8,091 |
| Conway | 5,936 | 69.49 | 2,606 | 30.51 | 3,330 | 38.98 | 8,542 |
| Craighead | 26,342 | 69.45 | 11,588 | 30.55 | 14,754 | 38.90 | 37,930 |
| Crawford | 18,825 | 78.30 | 5,216 | 21.70 | 13,609 | 56.61 | 24,041 |
| Crittenden | 7,969 | 52.74 | 7,141 | 47.26 | 828 | 5.48 | 15,110 |
| Cross | 5,085 | 75.21 | 1,676 | 24.79 | 3,409 | 50.42 | 6,761 |
| Dallas | 1,730 | 68.11 | 810 | 31.89 | 920 | 36.22 | 2,540 |
| Desha | 2,299 | 57.43 | 1,704 | 42.57 | 595 | 14.86 | 4,003 |
| Drew | 4,567 | 68.05 | 2,144 | 31.95 | 2,423 | 36.10 | 6,711 |
| Faulkner | 35,278 | 65.98 | 18,192 | 34.02 | 17,086 | 31.95 | 53,470 |
| Franklin | 5,645 | 79.97 | 1,414 | 20.03 | 4,231 | 59.94 | 7,059 |
| Fulton | 4,030 | 80.89 | 952 | 19.11 | 3,078 | 61.78 | 4,982 |
| Garland | 30,420 | 69.52 | 13,336 | 30.48 | 17,084 | 39.04 | 43,756 |
| Grant | 6,883 | 84.34 | 1,278 | 15.66 | 5,605 | 68.68 | 8,161 |
| Greene | 12,820 | 81.03 | 3,002 | 18.97 | 9,818 | 62.05 | 15,822 |
| Hempstead | 4,742 | 71.63 | 1,878 | 28.37 | 2,864 | 43.26 | 6,620 |
| Hot Spring | 9,388 | 75.83 | 2,993 | 24.17 | 6,395 | 51.65 | 12,381 |
| Howard | 3,549 | 75.57 | 1,147 | 24.43 | 2,402 | 51.15 | 4,696 |
| Independence | 11,530 | 80.92 | 2,719 | 19.08 | 8,811 | 61.84 | 14,249 |
| Izard | 4,724 | 82.91 | 974 | 17.09 | 3,750 | 65.81 | 5,698 |
| Jackson | 3,732 | 75.95 | 1,182 | 24.05 | 2,550 | 51.89 | 4,914 |
| Jefferson | 11,295 | 46.84 | 12,821 | 53.16 | -1,526 | -6.33 | 24,116 |
| Johnson | 7,044 | 75.01 | 2,347 | 24.99 | 4,697 | 50.02 | 9,391 |
| Lafayette | 1,836 | 72.17 | 708 | 27.83 | 1,128 | 44.35 | 2,544 |
| Lawrence | 4,768 | 82.62 | 1,003 | 17.38 | 3,765 | 65.24 | 5,771 |
| Lee | 1,410 | 55.40 | 1,135 | 44.60 | 275 | 10.80 | 2,545 |
| Lincoln | 2,907 | 76.50 | 893 | 23.50 | 2,014 | 53.00 | 3,800 |
| Little River | 3,885 | 77.36 | 1,137 | 22.64 | 2,748 | 54.72 | 5,022 |
| Logan | 6,524 | 79.78 | 1,654 | 20.22 | 4,870 | 59.55 | 8,178 |
| Lonoke | 23,504 | 77.34 | 6,887 | 22.66 | 16,617 | 54.68 | 30,391 |
| Madison | 5,627 | 78.06 | 1,582 | 21.94 | 4,045 | 56.11 | 7,209 |
| Marion | 5,928 | 80.43 | 1,442 | 19.57 | 4,486 | 60.87 | 7,370 |
| Miller | 12,251 | 76.43 | 3,778 | 23.57 | 8,473 | 52.86 | 16,029 |
| Mississippi | 7,792 | 66.66 | 3,898 | 33.34 | 3,894 | 33.31 | 11,690 |
| Monroe | 1,717 | 63.06 | 1,006 | 36.94 | 711 | 26.11 | 2,723 |
| Montgomery | 3,116 | 81.59 | 703 | 18.41 | 2,413 | 63.18 | 3,819 |
| Nevada | 2,292 | 71.07 | 933 | 28.93 | 1,359 | 42.14 | 3,225 |
| Newton | 3,155 | 81.25 | 728 | 18.75 | 2,427 | 62.50 | 3,883 |
| Ouachita | 5,787 | 62.12 | 3,529 | 37.88 | 2,258 | 24.24 | 9,316 |
| Perry | 3,553 | 77.80 | 1,014 | 22.20 | 2,539 | 55.59 | 4,567 |
| Phillips | 2,785 | 49.16 | 2,880 | 50.84 | -95 | -1.68 | 5,665 |
| Pike | 3,594 | 85.47 | 611 | 14.53 | 2,983 | 70.94 | 4,205 |
| Poinsett | 6,092 | 82.15 | 1,324 | 17.85 | 4,768 | 64.29 | 7,416 |
| Polk | 7,083 | 84.25 | 1,324 | 15.75 | 5,759 | 68.50 | 8,407 |
| Pope | 18,411 | 76.24 | 5,739 | 23.76 | 12,672 | 52.47 | 24,150 |
| Prairie | 2,849 | 84.09 | 539 | 15.91 | 2,310 | 68.18 | 3,388 |
| Pulaski | 71,966 | 43.42 | 93,784 | 56.58 | -21,818 | -13.16 | 165,750 |
| Randolph | 5,487 | 82.07 | 1,199 | 17.93 | 4,288 | 64.13 | 6,686 |
| Saline | 41,443 | 73.33 | 15,073 | 26.67 | 26,370 | 46.66 | 56,516 |
| Scott | 3,017 | 85.59 | 508 | 14.41 | 2,509 | 71.18 | 3,525 |
| Searcy | 3,337 | 84.80 | 598 | 15.20 | 2,739 | 69.61 | 3,935 |
| Sebastian | 31,997 | 68.37 | 14,804 | 31.63 | 17,193 | 36.74 | 46,801 |
| Sevier | 4,105 | 80.35 | 1,004 | 19.65 | 3,101 | 60.70 | 5,109 |
| Sharp | 6,092 | 82.19 | 1,320 | 17.81 | 4,772 | 64.38 | 7,412 |
| St. Francis | 3,606 | 55.66 | 2,873 | 44.34 | 733 | 11.31 | 6,479 |
| Stone | 4,637 | 79.32 | 1,209 | 20.68 | 3,428 | 58.64 | 5,846 |
| Union | 11,292 | 70.46 | 4,733 | 29.54 | 6,559 | 40.93 | 16,025 |
| Van Buren | 6,135 | 80.15 | 1,519 | 19.85 | 4,616 | 60.31 | 7,654 |
| Washington | 49,361 | 53.33 | 43,205 | 46.67 | 6,156 | 6.65 | 92,566 |
| White | 24,887 | 80.91 | 5,872 | 19.09 | 19,015 | 61.82 | 30,759 |
| Woodruff | 1,694 | 70.03 | 725 | 29.97 | 969 | 40.06 | 2,419 |
| Yell | 5,363 | 80.24 | 1,321 | 19.76 | 4,042 | 60.47 | 6,684 |
| Totals | 793,871 | 66.53 | 399,390 | 33.47 | 394,481 | 33.06 | 1,193,261 |

#### By congressional district

Cotton won all four congressional districts.
| District | Cotton | Harrington Jr. | Representative |
| 1st | 74% | 26% | Rick Crawford |
| 2nd | 58% | 42% | French Hill |
| 3rd | 65% | 35% | Steve Womack |
| 4th | 72% | 28% | Bruce Westerman |