# 2020 United States presidential election in Michigan

Elections in Michigan :
Federal government
U.S. President
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11th sp
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2026 :
State government
State elections
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2020
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Gubernatorial elections
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Attorney General elections
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Secretary of State elections
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Auditor General elections
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State Senate elections
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2021 (sp)
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State House elections
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2024 :
Ballot proposals
1996Proposal E
2004Proposal 04-2
2006Proposal 06-2
2008Proposal 1
2012
Proposal 1
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Proposal 6
2015
Proposal 1
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Proposal 1
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2020
Proposal 1
Proposal 2
2022
Proposal 1
Proposal 2
Proposal 3 :
Detroit
Mayoral elections
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Flint
Mayoral elections
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Grand Rapids
Mayoral elections
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2024 :
Lansing
Mayoral elections
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vte :
The 2020 United States presidential election in Michigan was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Michigan voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against the Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate, Senator Kamala Harris of California. Michigan had 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
In 2016, Trump became the first Republican to carry Michigan since 1988, when George H. W. Bush had scored a decisive nationwide win against Michael Dukakis. Throughout the campaign, Biden touted his work on the auto bailout in manufacturing towns outside Detroit. Appearing with United Auto Workers, Biden presented a new proposal to penalize American companies for moving manufacturing and service jobs overseas and then selling their products back in the United States. Polls of Michigan throughout the campaign generally indicated a clear Biden lead. Prior to election day, most news organizations considered Michigan a likely blue state, or a state that Biden was likely to win.
Biden ultimately carried Michigan by 2.78%, a far closer margin than expected. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength in Michigan came from union households, who composed 21% of the electorate and supported Biden by 56%–42%. Biden was also able to boost minority turnout, consequently winning 93% of Black American voters. Many voters were also concerned with the COVID-19 pandemic, which had hit the state hard; 52% of voters felt the pandemic was not under control at all, and these voters broke for Biden by 82%–16%. Trump outperformed his polling average in the state, but not by enough to win. Michigan marked Biden's strongest performance in a state won by Trump in 2016, even voting to the left of Nevada which Trump lost in 2016.
Biden flipped the counties of Leelanau, Kent, and Saginaw and became the first Democrat since Woodrow Wilson in 1916 to win the presidency without winning Bay or Gogebic Counties, the first Democrat since Harry S. Truman in 1948 to win without Monroe County, the first Democrat since John F. Kennedy in 1960 to win without Lake County and the first Democrat since Jimmy Carter in 1976 to win without Calhoun, Isabella, Manistee, Shiawassee, or Van Buren Counties.
With Ohio, Florida, and Iowa backing the losing candidate for the first time since 1960, 1992, and 2000 respectively, this election established Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania as the states with the longest bellwether streak still in effect today. The last time any of them voted against the winning candidate was 2004, when all three voted for losing Democrat John Kerry.
Michigan's overall vote in for this election was 1.7% more Republican than the nation-at-large.

## Primary elections

The primary elections were held on March 10, 2020.

### Republican primary

Incumbent United States President Donald Trump was challenged by three candidates: former governor Mark Sanford of South Carolina, former congressman Joe Walsh of Illinois, and former governor Bill Weld of Massachusetts. Sanford and Walsh both withdrew prior to the primary. Michigan is the only primary state where Sanford's name remained on the ballot.
| Candidate | Votes | % | Estimated delegates |
| Donald Trump (incumbent) | 640,552 | 93.7% | 73 |
| Uncommitted | 32,743 | 4.8% | 0 |
| Bill Weld | 6,099 | 0.9% | 0 |
| Mark Sanford (withdrawn) | 4,258 | 0.6% | 0 |
| Joe Walsh (withdrawn) | 4,067 | 0.6% | 0 |
| Total | 683,431 | 100% | 73 |

### Democratic primary

Bernie Sanders and former Vice President Joe Biden were the two major declared Democratic candidates.
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
| Joe Biden | 840,360 | 52.93 | 73 |
| Bernie Sanders | 576,926 | 36.34 | 52 |
| Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) | 73,464 | 4.63 | |
| Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) | 26,148 | 1.65 | |
| Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | 22,462 | 1.41 | |
| Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | 11,018 | 0.69 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 9,461 | 0.60 | |
| Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 2,380 | 0.15 | |
| Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | 1,732 | 0.11 | |
| Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 1,536 | 0.10 | |
| Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 840 | 0.05 | |
| Joe Sestak (withdrawn) | 757 | 0.05 | |
| Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 719 | 0.05 | |
| John Delaney (withdrawn) | 464 | 0.03 | |
| Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 306 | 0.02 | |
| Uncommitted | 19,106 | 1.20 | |
| Total | 1,587,679 | 100% | 125 |

## General election
### Final predictions

| Source | Ranking |
| The Cook Political Report | Lean D (flip) |
| Inside Elections | Lean D (flip) |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D (flip) |
| Politico | Lean D (flip) |
| RCP | Tossup |
| Niskanen | Likely D (flip) |
| CNN | Lean D (flip) |
| The Economist | Likely D (flip) |
| CBS News | Lean D (flip) |
| 270towin | Lean D (flip) |
| ABC News | Lean D (flip) |
| NPR | Lean D (flip) |
| NBC News | Lean D (flip) |
| 538 | Solid D (flip) |

### Polling
#### Aggregate polls

| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided | Margin |
| 270 to Win | October 22 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.9% | 44.4% | 5.7% | Biden +5.5 |
| Real Clear Politics | October 29 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 50.0% | 45.8% | 4.2% | Biden +4.2 |
| FiveThirtyEight | until November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 51.2% | 43.2% | 5.6% | Biden +7.9 |
| Average | Average | Average | 50.4% | 44.5% | 5.1% | Biden +5.9 |

#### 2020 polls

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 4,549 (LV) | ± 2% | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 2% | 5% |
| Change Research/CNBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 383 (LV) | ± 5.01% | 44% | 51% | 3% | 1% | – | 1% |
| Swayable | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 413 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 45% | 54% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 654 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 53% | 1% | 0% | 2% | – |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 654 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 52% | - | - | 3% | 3% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 654 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 53% | - | - | 2% | – |
| Trafalgar Group | Oct 30–31 | 1,033 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 48% | 46% | 2% | - | 1% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel | Oct 30–31 | 686 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 6% | – |
| Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness | Oct 30–31 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 49% | 2% | - | – | 3% |
| Morning Consult | Oct 22–31 | 1,736 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 44.5% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Emerson College | Oct 29–30 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 3% | – |
| Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan | Oct 29–30 | 745 (V) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 54% | 1% | 0% | – | 1% |
| Targoz Market Research/PollSmart | Oct 25–30 | 993 (LV) | – | 39% | 53% | - | - | 8% | – |
| CNN/SSRS | Oct 23–30 | 907 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 53% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS | Oct 29 | 817 (LV) | ± 3.43% | 45% | 52% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 27–29 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 3% | 2% |
| RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 27–29 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 53% | - | - | 3% | 2% |
| RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 27–29 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 3% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 26–29 | 1,212 (LV) | – | 41% | 54% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| EPIC-MRA | Oct 25–28 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 48% | - | - | 5% | 6% |
| Trafalgar Group | Oct 25–28 | 1,058 (LV) | ± 2.93% | 49% | 47% | 2% | - | 1% | 1% |
| Kiaer Research | Oct 21–28 | 669 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 41% | 54% | - | - | 2% | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 7,541 (LV) | – | 45% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
| Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS | Oct 25–27 | 759 (LV) | ± 3.56% | 42% | 52% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 394 (LV) | ± 6.7% | 40% | 59% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 23–26 | 856 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 20–26 | 652 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 53% | 1% | 0% | 2% | – |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 20–26 | 652 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 52% | - | - | 3% | 3% |
| Wick Surveys | Oct 24–25 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
| Glengariff Group/Detroit News | Oct 23–25 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 49% | - | - | 2% | 4% |
| ABC/Washington Post | Oct 20–25 | 789 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 51% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| Gravis Marketing | Oct 24 | 679 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 55% | - | - | – | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC | Oct 21–22 | 804 (V) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | 6% |
| YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Oct 13–21 | 681 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 52% | - | - | 5% | – |
| Citizen Data | Oct 17–20 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| Fox News | Oct 17–20 | 1,032 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 52% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 3% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 14–20 | 686 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 52% | 2% | 0% | 2% | – |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 14–20 | 686 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 3% | 2% |
| Morning Consult | Oct 11–20 | 1,717 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC | Oct 16–19 | 718 (LV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| EPIC-MRA | Oct 15–19 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 5% | 8% |
| Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS | Oct 18 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.27% | 41% | 51% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC | Oct 15–18 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 47% | 45% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Data For Progress | Oct 15–18 | 830 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 0% | – | 3% |
| Zia Poll/Painter Communications/MIRS News | Oct 11–18 | 2,851 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | - | - | 2% | 3% |
| HarrisX/The Hill | Oct 12–15 | 1,289 (LV) | – | 43% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
| Trafalgar Group | Oct 11–14 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 47% | 46% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 10–13 | 972 (LV) | – | 42% | 51% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
| RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 8–13 | 800 (LV) | – | 42% | 48% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 8–13 | 800 (LV) | – | 39% | 51% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 8–13 | 800 (LV) | – | 44% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 7–13 | 620 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 51% | 2% | 1% | 2% | – |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 7–13 | 620 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 51% | - | - | 3% | 2% |
| EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press | Oct 8–12 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 4% | 9% |
| Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising | Oct 8–11 | 543 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 52% | - | - | 4% | 2% |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 6–11 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Morning Consult | Oct 2–11 | 1,710 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 9–10 | 827 (LV) | – | 41% | 51% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
| YouGov/CBS | Oct 6–9 | 1,190 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 52% | - | - | 2% | 0% |
| Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 30 – Oct 8 | 1,134 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| Emerson College | Oct 6–7 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 54% | - | - | 2% | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 4–6 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Opinion Insight/American Action Forum | Oct 3–6 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 2% | 3% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 29 – Oct 6 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 51% | - | - | 2% | 3% |
| Change Research/CNBC | Oct 2–4 | 676 (LV) | – | 43% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| Glengariff Group/Detroit News | Sep 30 – Oct 3 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 5% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan | Sep 30 – Oct 1 | 746 (V) | – | 44% | 50% | 2% | 1% | – | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30 | 3,297 (LV) | – | 44% | 53% | - | - | – | 3% |
| Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC | Sep 26–28 | 1,042 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 47% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–26 | 785 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 51% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Marist College/NBC | Sep 19–23 | 799 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 1% | 3% |
| ALG Research/Committee to Protect Medicare | Sep 17–23 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Trafalgar Group | Sep 20–22 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 46.7% | 46.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 3.2% |
| Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 9–22 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal | Sep 10–21 | 641 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC | Sep 18–20 | 568 (LV) | – | 43% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign | Sep 17–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Data for Progress (D) | Sep 14–19 | 455 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 42% | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | 9% |
| Data for Progress (D) | Sep 14–19 | 455 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | 6% |
| MRG | Sep 14–19 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 46% | - | - | 8% | 5% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 11–16 | 637 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 2% | 4% |
| Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising | Sep 11–15 | 517 (RV) | – | 42% | 53% | - | - | 3% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–14 | 930 (LV) | ± 3.21% | 39% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 9% |
| EPIC-MRA | Sep 10–15 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 40% | 48% | - | - | 5% | 7% |
| Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 5% |
| Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 1,455 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/CNBC | Sep 4–6 | 876 (LV) | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | 7% | – |
| Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Sep 2–3 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 53% | - | - | 3% | – |
| Glengariff Group | Sep 1–3 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 4% | 7% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Aug 30 – Sep 3 | 967 (LV) | ± 3.15% | 40% | 51% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| Opinion Insight/American Action Forum | Aug 30 – Sep 2 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 44% | 51% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31 | 2,962 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 3% |
| Morning Consult | Aug 21–30 | 1,424 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan | Aug 28–29 | 897 (V) | – | 44% | 48% | 3% | 1% | – | 3% |
| Change Research/CNBC | Aug 21–23 | 809 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Trafalgar Group | Aug 14–23 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 47% | 45% | 3% | - | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Aug 16–19 | 812 (LV) | – | 38% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising | Aug 13–17 | 631 (RV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | 3% | 1% |
| Morning Consult | Aug 7–16 | 1,212 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC | Aug 11–15 | 600 (LV) | – | 41% | 52% | - | - | – | 7% |
| Change Research/CNBC | Aug 7–9 | 413 (LV) | – | 43% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
| YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 761 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 47% | - | - | 5% | 6% |
| GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC | Jul 30 – Aug 4 | 1,245 (LV) | – | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| David Binder Research | Jul 30–31 | 200 (LV) | – | 41% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31 | 3,083 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
| EPIC-MRA | Jul 25–30 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 51% | 3% | - | - | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan | Jul 28–29 | 876 (V) | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | 6% | 3% |
| Change Research/CNBC | Jul 24–26 | 413 (LV) | – | 42% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
| Morning Consult | Jul 17–26 | 1,320 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| YouGov/CBS | Jul 21–24 | 1,156 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 7% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jul 19–24 | 811 (LV) | – | 37% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 10% |
| CNN/SSRS | Jul 18–24 | 927 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 52% | - | - | 5% | 2% |
| Gravis Marketing | Jul 22 | 754 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | 7% |
| Fox News | Jul 18–20 | 756 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 4% | 7% |
| Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC | Jul 13–16 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | - | - | – | 7% |
| Spry Strategies/American Principles Project | Jul 11–16 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 45% | - | - | – | 5% |
| Change Research/CNBC | Jul 10–12 | 824 (LV) | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling/Public Policy Polling/Giffords (D) | Jul 9–10 | 1,041 (V) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30 | 1,238 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | 3% |
| Change Research/CNBC | Jun 26–28 | 699 (LV) | – | 43% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling/Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan (D) | Jun 26–27 | 1,237 (V) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | 5% | 1% |
| Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | Jun 17–20 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 56% | - | - | 2% | 7% |
| Trafalgar Group | Jun 16–18 | 1,101 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 45% | 46% | - | - | 5% | 4% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | Jun 8–17 | 610 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 47% | - | - | 8% | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jun 14–16 | 826 (LV) | ± 3.41% | 36% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 12% |
| TargetPoint | Jun 11–16 | 1,000 (A) | – | 33% | 49% | - | - | 4% | 14% |
| Change Research/CNBC | Jun 12–14 | 353 (LV) | – | 45% | 47% | - | - | 3% | – |
| TIPP/American Greatness PAC | Jun 9–12 | 859 (LV) | – | 38% | 51% | - | - | 4% | 7% |
| Kiaer Research | May 31 – Jun 7 | 543 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 35% | 50% | - | - | 6% | 8% |
| EPIC-MRA | May 31 – Jun 4 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
| EPIC-MRA | May 30 – Jun 3 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 53% | - | - | – | 6% |
| Change Research/CNBC | May 29–31 | 620 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan | May 29–30 | 1,582 (V) | ± 2.5% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 4% | 2% |
| Morning Consult | May 17–26 | 1,325 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care | May 18–19 | 1,234 (V) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
| Change Research/Crooked Media | May 11–17 | 3,070 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 10–14 | 970 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 47% | - | - | 3% | 11% |
| Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | May 1–5 | 600 (LV) | ± 3% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | Apr 28–29 | 1,270 (V) | – | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | Apr 20–21 | 1,277 (RV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
| Fox News | Apr 18–21 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 49% | - | - | 3% | 6% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | Apr 15–20 | 612 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 38% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
| Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | Apr 9–11 | 600 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Hart Research/CAP Action | Apr 6–8 | 303 (RV) | – | 41% | 50% | - | - | 4% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling | Mar 31 – Apr 1 | 1,019 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 7% |
| SPRY Strategies | Mar 30 – Apr 1 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
| Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes | Mar 17–25 | 997 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 47% | - | - | – | 11% |
| Change Research | Mar 21–23 | 510 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | - | - | 5% | 5% |
| Marketing Resource Group | Mar 16–20 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 44% | - | - | 9% | 6% |
| Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | Mar 12–16 | 600 (RV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| AtlasIntel | Mar 7–9 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 44% | - | - | 10% | – |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | Mar 6–8 | 566 (RV) | – | 41% | 45% | - | - | 6% | 7% |
| Monmouth University | Mar 5–8 | 977 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 9% |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Mar 5–7 | 550 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 46% | 44% | - | - | – | – |
| YouGov | Feb 11–20 | 1,249 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
| Quinnipiac University | Feb 12–18 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 47% | - | - | 6% | 3% |
| Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute | Feb 6–18 | 500 (RV) | – | 43% | 43% | - | - | – | 14% |
| EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press | Jan 9–12 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | 6% |
| Glengariff Group Inc. | Jan 3–7 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | 5% |

#### 2017–2019 polls

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other | Undecided |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Dec 3–5, 2019 | 551 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 41% | 8% | 5% |
| Emerson College | Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 | 1,051 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 56% | – | – |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | Oct 13–25, 2019 | 501 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 44% | 45% | – | – |
| Target Insyght | Sep 24–26, 2019 | 800 (LV) | – | 35% | 54% | – | – |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Sep 7–9, 2019 | 529 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 42% | 17% | – |
| EPIC-MRA | Aug 17–21, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 51% | – | 8% |
| Climate Nexus | Jul 14–17, 2019 | 820 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 49% | 5% | 10% |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jun 11–13, 2019 | 587 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 46% | 11% | – |
| EPIC-MRA | Jun 8–12, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 52% | – | 7% |
| Glengariff Group | May 28–30, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | – | 4% |
| WPA Intelligence | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 42% | 45% | – | 12% |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Mar 19–21, 2019 | 530 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 45% | 4% | – |
| Emerson College | Mar 7–10, 2019 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 54% | – | – |
| Glengariff Group | Jan 24–26, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 53% | – | 5% |
| EPIC-MRA | Apr 28–30, 2018 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 52% | – | 9% |
| Zogby Analytics | Sep 2017 | 800 (V) | – | 35% | 52% | – | 13% |
Former candidates :
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Michael Bloomberg (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Quinnipiac University | Feb 12–18, 2020 | 845 (RV) | ±3.4% | 42% | 47% | 7% | 4% |
| Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute | Feb 6–18, 2020 | 500 (RV) | – | 41% | 46% | – | 13% |
| EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 49% | – | 9% |
| Glengariff Group Inc. | Jan 3–7, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 47% | – | 10% |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Dec 3–5, 2019 | 551 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 37% | 8% | 7% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Cory Booker (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Climate Nexus | Jul 14–17, 2019 | 820 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 39% | 7% | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Pete Buttigieg (D) | Other | Undecided |
| YouGov | Feb 11–20, 2020 | 1,249 (RV) | ±4.0% | 41% | 47% | – | – |
| Quinnipiac University | Feb 12–18, 2020 | 845 (RV) | ±3.4% | 44% | 45% | 8% | 3% |
| Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute | Feb 6–18, 2020 | 500 (RV) | – | 40% | 44% | – | 15% |
| EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 47% | – | 10% |
| Glengariff Group Inc. | Jan 3–7, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 45% | – | 10% |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Dec 3–5, 2019 | 551 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 37% | 8% | 6% |
| Climate Nexus | Jul 14–17, 2019 | 820 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 39% | 7% | 16% |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jun 11–13, 2019 | 587 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 40% | 16% | – |
| Glengariff Group | May 28–30, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 47% | – | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Kamala Harris (D) | Other | Undecided |
| EPIC-MRA | Aug 17–21, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 46% | – | 11% |
| Climate Nexus | Jul 14–17, 2019 | 820 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 41% | 6% | 14% |
| Glengariff Group | May 28–30, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | – | 9% |
| Emerson College | Mar 7–10, 2019 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 51% | – | – |
| Glengariff Group | Jan 24–26, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 47% | – | 10% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Amy Klobuchar (D) | Other | Undecided |
| YouGov | Feb 11–20, 2020 | 1,249 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 44% | – | – |
| Quinnipiac University | Feb 12–18, 2020 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 45% | 6% | 4% |
| Emerson College | Mar 7–10, 2019 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 53% | – | – |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Beto O'Rourke (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Mar 19–21, 2019 | 530 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 39% | 8% | – |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Bernie Sanders (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes | Mar 17–25, 2020 | 997 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 45% | – | 13% |
| Hodas & Associates/Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | Mar 12–16, 2020 | 600 (RV) | – | 44% | 49% | – | – |
| AtlasIntel | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% | – |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | Mar 6–8, 2020 | 566 (RV) | – | 42% | 43% | 7% | 8% |
| Monmouth University | Mar 5–8, 2020 | 977 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 46% | 2% | 9% |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Mar 5–7, 2020 | 550 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 48% | 41% | – | – |
| YouGov | Feb 11–20, 2020 | 1,249 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 48% | – | – |
| Quinnipiac University | Feb 12–18, 2020 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 48% | 7% | 3% |
| Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute | Feb 6–18, 2020 | 500 (RV) | – | 42% | 46% | – | 12% |
| EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 50% | – | 5% |
| Glengariff Group Inc. | Jan 3–7, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 49% | – | 5% |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Dec 3–5, 2019 | 551 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 42% | 6% | 5% |
| Emerson College | Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 | 1,051 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 57% | – | – |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | Oct 13–25, 2019 | 501 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 42% | 46% | – | – |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Sep 7–9, 2019 | 529 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | 17% | – |
| EPIC-MRA | Aug 17–21, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 48% | – | 8% |
| Climate Nexus | Jul 14–17, 2019 | 820 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 47% | 4% | 11% |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jun 11–13, 2019 | 587 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 44% | 12% | – |
| Glengariff Group | May 28–30, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | – | 5% |
| Tulchin Research (D) | Apr 14–18, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 52% | – | – |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Mar 19–21, 2019 | 530 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 45% | 6% | – |
| Emerson College | Mar 7–10, 2019 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 52% | – | – |
| Glengariff Group | Jan 24–26, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 52% | – | 6% |
| Zogby Analytics | Sep 2017 | 800 (V) | – | 36% | 54% | – | 10% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Elizabeth Warren (D) | Other | Undecided |
| YouGov | Feb 11–20, 2020 | 1,249 (RV) | ±4.0% | 43% | 46% | – | – |
| Quinnipiac University | Feb 12–18, 2020 | 845 (RV) | ±3.4% | 43% | 45% | 7% | 4% |
| EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | – | 7% |
| Glengariff Group Inc. | Jan 3–7, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 46% | – | 8% |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Dec 3–5, 2019 | 551 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 38% | 8% | 6% |
| Emerson College | Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 | 1,051 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 54% | – | – |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | Oct 13–25, 2019 | 501 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 45% | 40% | – | – |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Sep 7–9, 2019 | 529 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 41% | 17% | – |
| EPIC-MRA | Aug 17–21, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 49% | – | 8% |
| Climate Nexus | Jul 14–17, 2019 | 820 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 44% | 6% | 12% |
| Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jun 11–13, 2019 | 587 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 41% | 16% | – |
| Glengariff Group | May 28–30, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 47% | – | 9% |
| Emerson College | Mar 7–10, 2019 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 51% | – | – |
| Glengariff Group | Jan 24–26, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 46% | – | 10% |
| Zogby Analytics | Sep 2017 | 800 (V) | – | 37% | 46% | – | 17% |
| Zogby Analytics | Aug 17–23, 2017 | 803 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 35% | 51% | – | 14% |
Hypothetical polling :
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Joe Biden (D) | Justin Amash (L) | Undecided |
| Glengariff Group | May 28–30, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 45% | 10% | 6% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Joe Biden (D) | Howard Schultz (I) | Undecided |
| Emerson College | Mar 7–10, 2019 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 52% | 4% | – |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Bernie Sanders (D) | Howard Schultz (I) | Undecided |
| Emerson College | Mar 7–10, 2019 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 49% | 6% | – |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Generic Democrat (D) | Undecided |
| Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University | Mar 17–25, 2020 | 997 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 43.2% | 54.0% | 2.9% |
| Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute | Feb 6–18, 2020 | 500 (RV) | – | 38% | 50% | 11% |
| Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University | Jan 8–20, 2020 | 1,023 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 36.4% | 50.3% | 13.3% |
| KFF/Cook Political Report | Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 | 767 (RV) | ± 4% | 27% | 39% | 25% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Generic Opponent | Undecided |
| EPIC-MRA | Jul 25 - 30, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 37% | 49% | 14% |
| EPIC-MRA | May 31 – Jun 4, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 33% | 51% | 13% |
| EPIC-MRA | May 30 – Jun 3, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 38% | 51% | 8% |
| EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 34% | 44% | 22% |
| EPIC-MRA | Jun 8–12, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 32% | 45% | 23% |
| EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press | Mar 3–7, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 31% | 49% | 20% |
| Glengariff Group/WDIV/Detroit News | Jan 24–26, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 31% | 53% | 15% |

### Results

2020 United States presidential election in Michigan :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris | 2,804,040 | 50.62% | +3.35% |
| | Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence | 2,649,852 | 47.84% | +0.34% |
| | Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen | 60,381 | 1.09% | −2.50% |
| | Green | Howie Hawkins Angela Walker | 13,718 | 0.25% | −0.82% |
| | Constitution | Don Blankenship William Mohr | 7,235 | 0.13% | N/A |
| | Natural Law | Rocky De La Fuente Darcy Richardson | 2,986 | 0.05% | N/A |
| | Write-in | Brian T. Carroll | 963 | 0.02% | +0.01% |
| | Write-in | Jade Simmons | 89 | <0.01% | N/A |
| | Write-in | Tom Hoefling | 32 | <0.01% | N/A |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 6 | <0.01% | N/A |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 5,539,302 | 100.00% | |

#### By county

| County | Joe Biden Democratic | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total votes cast |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total votes cast |
| Alcona | 2,142 | 30.32% | 4,848 | 68.63% | 74 | 1.05% | −2,706 | −38.31% | 7,064 |
| Alger | 2,053 | 39.98% | 3,014 | 58.70% | 68 | 1.32% | −961 | −18.72% | 5,135 |
| Allegan | 24,449 | 36.39% | 41,392 | 61.60% | 1,354 | 2.01% | −16,943 | −25.21% | 67,195 |
| Alpena | 6,000 | 35.32% | 10,686 | 62.91% | 301 | 1.77% | −4,686 | −27.59% | 16,987 |
| Antrim | 5,960 | 37.32% | 9,748 | 61.03% | 264 | 1.65% | −3,788 | −23.71% | 15,972 |
| Arenac | 2,774 | 31.38% | 5,928 | 67.07% | 137 | 1.55% | −3,154 | −35.69% | 8,839 |
| Baraga | 1,478 | 36.52% | 2,512 | 62.07% | 57 | 1.41% | −1,034 | −25.55% | 4,047 |
| Barry | 11,797 | 32.80% | 23,471 | 65.27% | 693 | 1.93% | −11,674 | −32.47% | 35,961 |
| Bay | 26,151 | 43.34% | 33,125 | 54.90% | 1,057 | 1.76% | −6,974 | −11.56% | 60,333 |
| Benzie | 5,480 | 44.69% | 6,601 | 53.83% | 181 | 1.48% | −1,121 | −9.14% | 12,262 |
| Berrien | 37,438 | 45.34% | 43,519 | 52.71% | 1,608 | 1.95% | −6,081 | −7.37% | 82,565 |
| Branch | 6,159 | 29.94% | 14,064 | 68.36% | 350 | 1.70% | −7,905 | −38.42% | 20,573 |
| Calhoun | 28,877 | 43.57% | 36,221 | 54.65% | 1,183 | 1.78% | −5,344 | −11.08% | 66,281 |
| Cass | 9,130 | 34.79% | 16,699 | 63.63% | 413 | 1.58% | −7,569 | −28.84% | 26,242 |
| Charlevoix | 6,939 | 40.75% | 9,841 | 57.79% | 250 | 1.46% | −2,902 | −17.04% | 17,030 |
| Cheboygan | 5,437 | 34.22% | 10,186 | 64.10% | 267 | 1.68% | −4,749 | −29.88% | 15,890 |
| Chippewa | 6,648 | 37.62% | 10,681 | 60.44% | 342 | 1.94% | −4,033 | −22.82% | 17,671 |
| Clare | 5,199 | 31.91% | 10,861 | 66.65% | 235 | 1.44% | −5,662 | −34.74% | 16,295 |
| Clinton | 21,968 | 45.84% | 25,098 | 52.37% | 861 | 1.79% | −3,130 | −6.53% | 47,927 |
| Crawford | 2,672 | 33.99% | 5,087 | 64.71% | 102 | 1.30% | −2,415 | −30.72% | 7,861 |
| Delta | 7,606 | 35.93% | 13,207 | 62.39% | 354 | 1.68% | −5,601 | −26.46% | 21,167 |
| Dickinson | 4,744 | 32.46% | 9,617 | 65.80% | 254 | 1.74% | −4,873 | −33.34% | 14,615 |
| Eaton | 31,299 | 48.66% | 31,798 | 49.43% | 1,230 | 1.91% | −499 | −0.77% | 64,327 |
| Emmet | 9,662 | 43.50% | 12,135 | 54.64% | 412 | 1.86% | −2,473 | −11.14% | 22,209 |
| Genesee | 119,390 | 53.84% | 98,714 | 44.51% | 3,660 | 1.65% | 20,676 | 9.33% | 221,764 |
| Gladwin | 4,524 | 30.95% | 9,893 | 67.69% | 198 | 1.36% | −5,369 | −36.74% | 14,615 |
| Gogebic | 3,570 | 43.14% | 4,600 | 55.58% | 106 | 1.28% | −1,030 | −12.44% | 8,276 |
| Grand Traverse | 28,683 | 47.53% | 30,502 | 50.54% | 1,168 | 1.93% | −1,819 | −3.01% | 60,353 |
| Gratiot | 6,693 | 34.95% | 12,102 | 63.20% | 353 | 1.85% | −5,409 | −28.25% | 19,148 |
| Hillsdale | 5,883 | 25.25% | 17,037 | 73.11% | 382 | 1.64% | −11,154 | −47.86% | 23,302 |
| Houghton | 7,750 | 41.82% | 10,378 | 56.00% | 405 | 2.18% | −2,628 | −14.18% | 18,533 |
| Huron | 5,490 | 29.77% | 12,731 | 69.03% | 221 | 1.20% | −7,241 | −39.26% | 18,442 |
| Ingham | 94,212 | 65.18% | 47,639 | 32.96% | 2,699 | 1.86% | 46,573 | 32.22% | 144,550 |
| Ionia | 10,901 | 33.84% | 20,657 | 64.13% | 651 | 2.03% | −9,756 | −30.29% | 32,209 |
| Iosco | 5,373 | 34.92% | 9,759 | 63.42% | 255 | 1.66% | −4,386 | −28.50% | 15,387 |
| Iron | 2,493 | 36.69% | 4,216 | 62.05% | 86 | 1.26% | −1,723 | −25.36% | 6,795 |
| Isabella | 14,072 | 47.74% | 14,815 | 50.26% | 589 | 2.00% | −743 | −2.52% | 29,476 |
| Jackson | 31,995 | 39.49% | 47,372 | 58.47% | 1,647 | 2.04% | −15,377 | −18.98% | 81,014 |
| Kalamazoo | 83,686 | 58.22% | 56,823 | 39.53% | 3,237 | 2.25% | 26,863 | 18.69% | 143,746 |
| Kalkaska | 3,002 | 28.24% | 7,436 | 69.95% | 193 | 1.81% | −4,434 | −41.71% | 10,631 |
| Kent | 187,915 | 51.91% | 165,741 | 45.78% | 8,375 | 2.31% | 22,174 | 6.13% | 362,031 |
| Keweenaw | 672 | 43.16% | 862 | 55.36% | 23 | 1.48% | −190 | −12.20% | 1,557 |
| Lake | 2,288 | 36.13% | 3,946 | 62.32% | 98 | 1.55% | −1,658 | −26.19% | 6,332 |
| Lapeer | 16,367 | 31.04% | 35,482 | 67.29% | 883 | 1.67% | −19,115 | −36.25% | 52,732 |
| Leelanau | 8,795 | 52.04% | 7,916 | 46.84% | 189 | 1.12% | 879 | 5.20% | 16,900 |
| Lenawee | 20,918 | 39.13% | 31,541 | 59.01% | 993 | 1.86% | −10,623 | −19.88% | 53,452 |
| Livingston | 48,220 | 37.91% | 76,982 | 60.52% | 1,995 | 1.57% | −28,762 | −22.61% | 127,197 |
| Luce | 842 | 28.00% | 2,109 | 70.14% | 56 | 1.86% | −1,277 | −42.14% | 3,007 |
| Mackinac | 2,632 | 37.47% | 4,304 | 61.27% | 89 | 1.26% | −1,772 | −23.80% | 7,025 |
| Macomb | 223,952 | 45.31% | 263,863 | 53.39% | 6,441 | 1.30% | −39,911 | −8.08% | 494,256 |
| Manistee | 6,107 | 41.60% | 8,321 | 56.69% | 251 | 1.71% | −2,214 | −15.09% | 14,679 |
| Marquette | 20,465 | 54.50% | 16,286 | 43.37% | 799 | 2.13% | 4,179 | 11.13% | 37,550 |
| Mason | 6,802 | 39.36% | 10,207 | 59.06% | 274 | 1.58% | −3,405 | −19.70% | 17,283 |
| Mecosta | 7,375 | 34.98% | 13,267 | 62.93% | 439 | 2.09% | −5,892 | −27.95% | 21,081 |
| Menominee | 4,316 | 34.20% | 8,117 | 64.31% | 188 | 1.49% | −3,801 | −30.11% | 12,621 |
| Midland | 20,493 | 41.67% | 27,675 | 56.28% | 1,007 | 2.05% | −7,182 | −14.61% | 49,175 |
| Missaukee | 1,967 | 22.47% | 6,648 | 75.93% | 140 | 1.60% | −4,681 | −53.46% | 8,755 |
| Monroe | 32,980 | 37.78% | 52,722 | 60.39% | 1,597 | 1.83% | −19,742 | −22.61% | 87,299 |
| Montcalm | 9,703 | 30.19% | 21,815 | 67.88% | 620 | 1.93% | −12,112 | −37.69% | 32,138 |
| Montmorency | 1,628 | 27.77% | 4,171 | 71.14% | 64 | 1.09% | −2,543 | −43.37% | 5,863 |
| Muskegon | 45,643 | 49.37% | 45,133 | 48.82% | 1,668 | 1.81% | 510 | 0.55% | 92,444 |
| Newaygo | 7,873 | 28.95% | 18,857 | 69.33% | 467 | 1.72% | −10,984 | −40.38% | 27,197 |
| Oakland | 434,148 | 56.24% | 325,971 | 42.22% | 11,872 | 1.54% | 108,177 | 14.02% | 771,991 |
| Oceana | 4,944 | 35.11% | 8,892 | 63.15% | 244 | 1.74% | −3,948 | −28.04% | 14,080 |
| Ogemaw | 3,475 | 29.15% | 8,253 | 69.23% | 193 | 1.62% | −4,778 | −40.08% | 11,921 |
| Ontonagon | 1,391 | 36.51% | 2,358 | 61.89% | 61 | 1.60% | −967 | −25.38% | 3,810 |
| Osceola | 3,214 | 26.05% | 8,928 | 72.35% | 198 | 1.60% | −5,714 | −46.30% | 12,340 |
| Oscoda | 1,342 | 27.50% | 3,466 | 71.02% | 72 | 1.48% | −2,124 | −43.52% | 4,880 |
| Otsego | 4,743 | 32.10% | 9,779 | 66.19% | 253 | 1.71% | −5,036 | −34.09% | 14,775 |
| Ottawa | 64,705 | 38.35% | 100,913 | 59.81% | 3,095 | 1.84% | −36,208 | −21.46% | 168,713 |
| Presque Isle | 2,911 | 34.84% | 5,342 | 63.94% | 102 | 1.22% | −2,431 | −29.10% | 8,355 |
| Roscommon | 5,166 | 34.36% | 9,670 | 64.32% | 198 | 1.32% | −4,504 | −29.96% | 15,034 |
| Saginaw | 51,088 | 49.37% | 50,785 | 49.08% | 1,610 | 1.55% | 303 | 0.29% | 103,483 |
| St. Clair | 31,363 | 34.02% | 59,185 | 64.19% | 1,654 | 1.79% | −27,822 | −30.17% | 92,202 |
| St. Joseph | 9,262 | 33.10% | 18,127 | 64.78% | 592 | 2.12% | −8,865 | −31.68% | 27,981 |
| Sanilac | 5,966 | 26.58% | 16,194 | 72.15% | 286 | 1.27% | −10,228 | −45.57% | 22,446 |
| Schoolcraft | 1,589 | 33.49% | 3,090 | 65.12% | 66 | 1.39% | −1,501 | −31.63% | 4,745 |
| Shiawassee | 15,347 | 39.05% | 23,149 | 58.90% | 805 | 2.05% | −7,802 | −19.85% | 39,301 |
| Tuscola | 8,712 | 29.55% | 20,297 | 68.85% | 470 | 1.60% | −11,585 | −39.30% | 29,479 |
| Van Buren | 16,803 | 42.92% | 21,591 | 55.16% | 752 | 1.92% | −4,788 | −12.24% | 39,146 |
| Washtenaw | 157,136 | 72.44% | 56,241 | 25.93% | 3,554 | 1.63% | 100,895 | 46.51% | 216,931 |
| Wayne | 597,170 | 68.32% | 264,553 | 30.27% | 12,295 | 1.41% | 332,617 | 38.05% | 874,018 |
| Wexford | 5,838 | 31.92% | 12,102 | 66.16% | 352 | 1.92% | −6,264 | −34.24% | 18,292 |
| Totals | 2,804,045 | 50.55% | 2,649,864 | 47.77% | 93,277 | 1.68% | 154,181 | 2.78% | 5,547,186 |
* Democratic — +7.5–10%
* Democratic — +5–7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5–5%
* Democratic — +0–2.5%
* Republican — +0–2.5%
* Republican — +2.5–5%
* Republican — +5–7.5%
* Democratic — +7.5–10%
* Democratic — +5–7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5–5%
* Democratic — +0–2.5%
* Republican — +0–2.5%
* Republican — +2.5–5%
* Republican — +5–7.5%
* Democratic  Hold  Gain from Republican Republican  Hold
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
* Leelanau (largest municipality: Greilickville)
* Kent (largest municipality: Grand Rapids)
* Saginaw (largest municipality: Saginaw)

#### By congressional district

Despite losing the state, Trump won 8 out of the 14 congressional districts in Michigan, including one that elected a Democrat.
| District | Trump | Biden | Representative |
| 1st | 57.9% | 40.6% | Jack Bergman |
| 2nd | 55% | 43.2% | Bill Huizenga |
| 3rd | 50.7% | 47.4% | Justin Amash |
| 3rd | 50.7% | 47.4% | Peter Meijer |
| 4th | 61.1% | 37.2% | John Moolenaar |
| 5th | 47.1% | 51.4% | Dan Kildee |
| 6th | 51.3% | 46.8% | Fred Upton |
| 7th | 56.7% | 41.6% | Tim Walberg |
| 8th | 49.6% | 48.8% | Elissa Slotkin |
| 9th | 42.7% | 55.9% | Andy Levin |
| 10th | 64.2% | 34.4% | Paul Mitchell |
| 10th | 64.2% | 34.4% | Lisa McClain |
| 11th | 47.1% | 51.6% | Haley Stevens |
| 12th | 34.4% | 64.2% | Debbie Dingell |
| 13th | 20% | 78.8% | Rashida Tlaib |
| 14th | 19.6% | 79.5% | Brenda Lawrence |

## Analysis

Michigan was generally seen as one of the most critical states of the 2020 election; the state boasted a highly prized 16 electoral votes, and had been part of the blue wall since Bill Clinton won the state in 1992. It was key to Trump's surprise victory in 2016, and the Biden campaign paid heavy attention to the state throughout the campaign, looking to avoid a repeat of Hillary Clinton's unexpected collapse in the northern industrial states.
Biden would carry the state by just under 2.8%; while Biden ran well behind Barack Obama in his two campaigns, his margin of victory was nearly in-line for a Democratic candidate, only performing slightly worse than John Kerry's 3.4% margin in 2004, and Al Gore's 5.1% margin in 2000, reflecting some of the steady demographic shifts in the state. Many undecided/third-party voters that had been lost by Clinton appeared to return to the Democratic column, giving Biden enough votes to carry the state.
While Michigan returned to the Democratic column with a somewhat comfortable margin, the state's internal politics shifted rather dramatically. Trump performed strongly with white voters without a college degree, winning this group by 17 points, and this group made up about 51% of Michigan's electorate, cementing the white-working-class shift to the GOP; with men, this was even more convincing, as Trump carried white men without a college degree by 30 points. On the other hand, there was a significant suburban shift towards the Democrats; for example, Ottawa County, a suburban county outside of Grand Rapids, has traditionally been a GOP-stronghold in the state; Biden cut into Trump's margins here, and Trump carried this county with less than 60%. Trump held Macomb County, which famously helped him clinch Michigan in 2016, but carried it by only 8 points, 3 points fewer than in 2016.
Other demographic patterns remained the same. Biden won 93% of African-American voters in the state; consequently, Biden improved from Clinton's performance in Wayne County, home of Detroit. Biden's performance among black voters would carry on in other parts of the state; Biden was able to match Clinton's performance in Genesee County, and flipped back Saginaw County.
Biden performed strongly with Michigan's different religious groups; Biden was able to improve from Clinton in the vote share with Evangelical Michiganders. More importantly, Biden performed strongly with white Catholics, who make up a large portion of Michigan's electorate. Much of the state's sizable Muslim and Arab American voters backed Biden in the election, in which their support was seen as being important for helping Biden secure victory in Michigan.
Jeremy W. Peters of The New York Times wrote that "high Detroit turnout" was a crucial factor aiding Biden. African Americans in Detroit were a major demographic contributing to Joe Biden winning that state. Trump received 12,600 votes in Detroit proper, an increase from the previous election's 7,700. In percentage terms, the shift in Detroit was from Clinton 95–3 to Biden 94–5, a decreased margin from 92 points in 2016 to 89 in 2020. Biden saw increases from 2016 in Oakland and Washtenaw counties.
In Oakland County, Biden won 433,982 votes, making up 56.36% of the votes. The municipalities in Oakland County that majority-voted for Biden versus Trump included Bloomfield Township, Farmington Hills, Madison Heights, Novi, Rochester Hills, Southfield and Troy.
The number of unbalanced votes in Wayne County for 2020 was below the same number for 2016. On November 23, 2020, Michigan certified the results 3–0, with Norm Shinkle abstaining.

### Edison exit polls

2020 presidential election in Michigan by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling) :
| Demographic subgroup | Biden | Trump | % of total vote |
| Total vote | 50.62 | 47.84 | 100 |
| Ideology ||||
| Liberals | 89 | 10 | 25 |
| Moderates | 62 | 36 | 38 |
| Conservatives | 12 | 88 | 37 |
| Party ||||
| Democrats | 97 | 3 | 38 |
| Republicans | 6 | 94 | 38 |
| Independents | 51 | 45 | 23 |
| Gender ||||
| Men | 44 | 54 | 46 |
| Women | 57 | 43 | 54 |
| Race/ethnicity ||||
| White | 44 | 55 | 81 |
| Black | 92 | 7 | 12 |
| Latino | 55 | 44 | 3 |
| Asian | – | – | 1 |
| Other | – | – | 4 |
| Age ||||
| 18–24 years old | 62 | 36 | 7 |
| 25–29 years old | 59 | 37 | 4 |
| 30–39 years old | 48 | 50 | 14 |
| 40–49 years old | 49 | 49 | 15 |
| 50–64 years old | 51 | 49 | 29 |
| 65 and older | 51 | 49 | 30 |
| Sexual orientation ||||
| LGBT | – | – | 6 |
| Not LGBT | 53 | 47 | 94 |
| Education ||||
| High school or less | 49 | 50 | 20 |
| Some college education | 49 | 50 | 27 |
| Associate degree | 42 | 57 | 18 |
| Bachelor's degree | 55 | 44 | 20 |
| Postgraduate degree | 63 | 37 | 16 |
| Income ||||
| Under $30,000 | 61 | 39 | 16 |
| $30,000–49,999 | 60 | 39 | 20 |
| $50,000–99,999 | 55 | 44 | 34 |
| Over $100,000 | 47 | 51 | 30 |
| Union households ||||
| Yes | 62 | 37 | 21 |
| No | 48 | 51 | 79 |
| Issue regarded as most important ||||
| Racial inequality | 93 | 5 | 16 |
| Coronavirus | 94 | 5 | 18 |
| Economy | 14 | 86 | 39 |
| Crime and safety | 22 | 77 | 9 |
| Health care | 85 | 12 | 10 |
| Region ||||
| Wayne County | 69 | 30 | 16 |
| Southeast | 58 | 41 | 27 |
| East central | 42 | 57 | 24 |
| Southwest | 46 | 53 | 19 |
| North central/Upper Peninsula | 40 | 59 | 14 |
| Area type ||||
| Urban | 65 | 35 | 21 |
| Suburban | 48 | 51 | 58 |
| Rural | 45 | 54 | 21 |
| Family's financial situation today ||||
| Better than four years ago | 18 | 81 | 41 |
| Worse than four years ago | 90 | 9 | 15 |
| About the same | 72 | 27 | 43 |

## Aftermath

On November 5, a state judge in Michigan dismissed the Trump campaign's lawsuit requesting a pause in vote-counting to allow access to observers, as the judge noted that vote-counting had already finished in Michigan. That judge also noted the official complaint did not state "why, when, where, or by whom" an election observer was allegedly blocked from observing ballot-counting in Michigan.
On election night in Antrim County, human error miscounted an unofficial tally of Presidential votes. Next day, the County Clerk pulled the unofficial tally offline. The error was caused by using different kinds of ballots when setting up ballot scanners and result-reporting systems, which mismatched results. The Republican Clerk admitted that she made a mistake in some precincts, which mismatched precinct results. The very next day, she corrected her mistake, tabulated all ballots again and ran a final report to certify Trump's overwhelming win. Nonetheless, this error and a related lawsuit fueled multiple election conspiracy theories.
Despite pressure from the Trump campaign to hand the decision over the state's presidential electors to the Michigan State Legislature, which would have been an unprecedented maneuver in state history and was not authorized under Michigan law, the statewide results were certified in favor of the Biden/Harris ticket on November 23, with one Republican member of the Michigan Board of State Canvassers abstaining.

### Official audits

In October 2020, the Michigan Election Security Advisory Commission published recommendations for two types of postelection audits: procedural and tabulation audits. The first statewide risk-limiting audit included a hand tally of the sampled ballots, which confirmed that Biden received more votes than Trump and the share of votes each candidate received was within a fraction of a percentage point of the certified results. Another tabulation audit confirmed the election results by examining ballots cast, voting machines and the election procedures. The series of post-election audits was the most comprehensive in the state's history.
In Antrim County, the Clerk's Office was joined by a bipartisan team of clerks to perform a hand recount of every single ballot. Their recount proved that the county's election results had been accurately certified. The Republican Chairman concluded in a letter prefacing his state Senate Oversight Committee's election report: "all compelling theories that sprang forth from the rumors surrounding Antrim County are diminished so significantly as for it to be a complete waste of time to consider them further."
After eight months investigating the state's 2020 general election process, he and his Republican Committee members all voted for the Senate to adopt their report. Their report concluded, "The Committee found no evidence of widespread or systemic fraud in Michigan's prosecution of the 2020 election."

### Election law changes since then

Due to voters approving no-reason-required absentee voting in 2018 and the COVID pandemic, there was a record number of absentee voters. Michigan law at that time did not allow for the tabulating of absentee ballots until after the polling place ballots were counted. That led to days before Biden was declared the winner. In 2022, voters approved a ballot proposal making it easier to vote. In the aftermath, Michigan lawmakers made changes in election laws which, among other things, allowed cities and townships to begin tabulating absentee ballots before Election Day.