# 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana

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vte :
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana were held on November 8, 2022, to elect two U.S. Representatives from Montana, one from each of its congressional districts. Prior to this election cycle, Montana had one at-large district, represented by Republican Matt Rosendale. However, during the 2020 redistricting cycle, Montana regained the 2nd district that it lost in 1993.
As a result, Montana became the first state relegated from multi-district to at-large status that reclaimed a second representative in the House of Representatives, in which Rosendale ran for re-election.

## Overview
### District

| District | Republican | Republican | Democratic | Democratic | Others | Others | Total | Total | Result |
| District | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Result |
| District 1 | 120,285 | 49.73% | 112,271 | 46.42% | 9,305 | 3.85% | 241,861 | 100.00% | Republican gain |
| District 2 | 120,899 | 56.57% | 42,905 | 20.08% | 49,892 | 23.35% | 213,696 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| Total | 241,184 | 52.94% | 155,176 | 34.06% | 59,197 | 12.99% | 455,557 | 100.00% | |
Popular vote
Republican
52.94%
Democratic
34.06%
Independent
10.30%
Libertarian
2.70% :
House seats
Republican
100.00% :

## District 1

The 1st district is based in mountainous Western Montana, including the cities of Missoula, Bozeman and Butte. Prior to redistricting in 2021, it was represented along with the rest of the state by at-large district representative Matt Rosendale. Since Rosendale ran for re-election in the 2nd district, this district was an open seat.

### Republican primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Ryan Zinke, former U.S. Secretary of the Interior and former U.S. Representative from Montana's at-large congressional district

##### Eliminated in primary

* Mitch Heuer
* Matthew Jette, teacher and perennial candidate
* Albert Olszewski, former state senator, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and for Governor of Montana in 2020
* Mary Todd, pastor

#### Endorsements

U.S. Executive Branch officials
* Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)
U.S. Senators
* Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–present)
* Steve Daines, U.S. Senator from Montana (2015–present) and former U.S. Representative for Montana's at-large congressional district (2013–2015)
State officials
* Greg Gianforte, Governor of Montana (2021–present) and former U.S. Representative for Montana's at-large congressional district (2017–2021)
Organizations
* Congressional Leadership Fund
U.S. Representative
* Matt Rosendale, U.S. Representative for Montana's at-large congressional district (2021–present)

#### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Ryan Zinke | 35,601 | 41.7 |
| | Republican | Albert Olszewski | 33,927 | 39.7 |
| | Republican | Mary Todd | 8,915 | 10.4 |
| | Republican | Matthew Jette | 4,973 | 5.8 |
| | Republican | Mitch Heuer | 1,953 | 2.3 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 85,369 | 100.0 |

### Democratic primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Monica Tranel, former Olympian and nominee for District 4 of the Montana Public Service Commission in 2020

##### Eliminated in primary

* Cora Neumann, public health expert, founder of the Global First Ladies Alliance and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020
* Tom Winter, former state representative and candidate for Montana's at-large congressional district in 2020

##### Withdrew

* Laurie Bishop, state representative

##### Declined

* Kimberly Dudik, former state representative and candidate for Montana Attorney General in 2020
* Shane Morigeau, state senator and nominee for Montana State Auditor in 2020 (running for re-election)
* Whitney Williams, businesswoman, daughter of former U.S. Representative Pat Williams, and candidate for Governor of Montana in 2020

#### Endorsements

Statewide officials
* Brian Schweitzer, former governor of Montana (2005–2013)
State legislators
* Mike Jopek, former state representative (2004–2010)
* Dan Weinberg, former state senator (2004–2008)
Organizations
* League of Conservation Voters
Labor unions
* Montana Federation of Public Employees
U.S. Representative
* Ro Khanna, U.S. Representative for California's 17th congressional district (2017–present)
Organization
* Brand New Congress
* Progressive Change Campaign Committee

#### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Monica Tranel | 37,138 | 64.9 |
| | Democratic | Cora Neumann | 15,396 | 26.9 |
| | Democratic | Tom Winter | 4,723 | 8.2 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 57,257 | 100.0 |

### Libertarian primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* John Lamb, farmer and business owner

### General election
#### Debate

2022 Montana's 1st congressional district debate :
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian |
| Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | | | |
| Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Ryan Zinke | Monica Tranel | John Lamb |
| 1 | Oct. 1, 2022 | KTVQ | Donna Kelly | | P | P | N |

#### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Lean R | October 19, 2022 |
| Inside Elections | Lean R | October 7, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R | October 19, 2022 |
| Politico | Likely R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP | Likely R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News | Lean R | October 18, 2022 |
| DDHQ | Likely R | September 29, 2022 |
| 538 | Likely R | November 8, 2022 |
| The Economist | Likely R | September 28, 2022 |

#### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ryan Zinke (R) | Monica Tranel (D) | John Lamb (L) | Undecided |
| MSU Billings | October 3–14, 2022 | <343 (V) | ± 5.9% | 34% | 25% | 17% | 20% |
| Victoria Research (D) | September 14–19, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 40% | 8% | 11% |
| Impact Research (D) | September 14–19, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 43% | 3% | 9% |

#### Results

2022 Montana's 1st congressional district election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Ryan Zinke | 123,102 | 49.65% |
| | Democratic | Monica Tranel | 115,265 | 46.49% |
| | Libertarian | John Lamb | 9,593 | 3.87% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 247,960 | 100.00% |
| | Republican win (new seat) | Republican win (new seat) | Republican win (new seat) | Republican win (new seat) |

##### County results

Source
| | Ryan Zinke Republican | Ryan Zinke Republican | Monica Tranel Democratic | Monica Tranel Democratic | John Lamb Libertarian | John Lamb Libertarian | Margin | Margin | Total |
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Beaverhead | 3,004 | 66.36% | 1,330 | 29.38% | 193 | 4.26% | 1,674 | 36.98% | 4,527 |
| Deer Lodge | 1,510 | 37.96% | 2,256 | 56.71% | 212 | 5.33% | -746 | -18.75% | 3,978 |
| Flathead | 29,290 | 61.37% | 16,571 | 34.72% | 1,864 | 3.91% | 12,719 | 26.65% | 47,725 |
| Gallatin | 22,288 | 42.18% | 28,747 | 54.40% | 1,810 | 3.43% | -6,459 | -12.22% | 52,845 |
| Glacier | 1,213 | 39.49% | 1,748 | 56.90% | 111 | 3.61% | -535 | -17.42% | 3,072 |
| Granite | 1,149 | 64.48% | 533 | 29.91% | 100 | 5.61% | 616 | 34.57% | 1,782 |
| Lake | 7,389 | 55.48% | 5,388 | 40.46% | 541 | 4.06% | 2,001 | 15.02% | 13,318 |
| Lincoln | 6,687 | 71.65% | 2,200 | 23.57% | 446 | 4.78% | 4,487 | 48.08% | 9,333 |
| Madison | 3,290 | 65.39% | 1,483 | 29.48% | 258 | 5.13% | 1,807 | 35.92% | 5,031 |
| Mineral | 1,458 | 66.76% | 580 | 26.56% | 146 | 6.68% | 878 | 40.20% | 2,184 |
| Missoula | 18,846 | 33.33% | 35,991 | 63.66% | 1,703 | 3.01% | -17,145 | -30.32% | 56,540 |
| Pondera | 461 | 64.57% | 227 | 31.79% | 26 | 3.64% | 234 | 32.77% | 714 |
| Powell | 1,762 | 68.48% | 639 | 24.83% | 172 | 6.68% | 1,123 | 43.65% | 2,573 |
| Ravalli | 15,158 | 64.32% | 7,523 | 31.92% | 886 | 3.76% | 7,635 | 32.40% | 23,567 |
| Sanders | 4,549 | 68.67% | 1,615 | 24.38% | 460 | 6.94% | 2,934 | 44.29% | 6,624 |
| Silver Bow | 5,048 | 35.68% | 8,434 | 59.62% | 665 | 4.70% | -3,386 | -23.93% | 14,147 |

## District 2

The 2nd district encompasses much of the state east of the Continental Divide, including the cities of Billings, Great Falls and Helena. Incumbent Matt Rosendale, a Republican who was elected in the at-large district with 56.4% of the vote in 2020, sought re-election in this district.
This was the first U.S. congressional election where the Democratic nominee finished third since the 2018 Maine Senate race.

### Republican primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Matt Rosendale, incumbent U.S. Representative from Montana's at-large congressional district

##### Eliminated in primary

* Kyle Austin, healthcare company owner
* James Boyette, sales manager
* Charles Walking Child, activist

##### Declined

* Russell Fagg, former Yellowstone County district judge, former state representative, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018
* Tim Fox, former Montana Attorney General and candidate for Governor of Montana in 2020
* Brad Johnson, chair of the Montana Public Service Commission and former Montana Secretary of State

#### Endorsements

U.S. Executive Branch officials
* Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)
Organizations
* Tea Party Express

#### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Matt Rosendale (incumbent) | 73,453 | 75.7 |
| | Republican | Kyle Austin | 11,930 | 12.3 |
| | Republican | Charles Walking Child | 5,909 | 6.1 |
| | Republican | James Boyette | 5,712 | 5.9 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 97,004 | 100.0 |

### Democratic primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Penny Ronning, former Billings city councilor

##### Eliminated in primary

* Skylar Williams, student

##### Deceased

* Mark Sweeney, state senator (died May 6, 2022; remained on ballot)

##### Withdrawn

* Jack Ballard, outdoor writer and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020

##### Declined

* Steve Bullock, former governor of Montana, candidate for President of the United States in 2020, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020
* Mike Cooney, former lieutenant governor of Montana and nominee for Governor of Montana in 2020

#### Endorsements

Organizations
* Vote Common Good

#### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Penny Ronning | 21,983 | 58.5 |
| | Democratic | Mark Sweeney † | 8,586 | 22.8 |
| | Democratic | Skylar Williams | 7,029 | 18.7 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 37,598 | 100.0 |

### Libertarian primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Sam Rankin, lawyer, real estate broker, and perennial candidate

##### Eliminated in primary

* Roger Roots, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2014
* Samuel Thomas

#### Results

Libertarian primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Libertarian | Sam Rankin | 958 | 47.0 |
| | Libertarian | Samuel Thomas | 554 | 27.2 |
| | Libertarian | Roger Roots | 526 | 25.8 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 2,038 | 100.0 |

### Independents
#### Candidates
##### Declared

* Gary Buchanan, financial advisor and former director of the Montana Department of Commerce

##### Disqualified

* Curt Zygmond, beer brewing intern

#### Endorsements

State officials
* Bob Brown, former Montana Secretary of State (2001–2005) and Republican nominee for governor in 2004
* Monica Lindeen, former Montana State Auditor (2009–2017) (Democratic)
* Marc Racicot, former governor of Montana (1993–2001) (Republican)
State legislators
* Dorothy Bradley, former state representative (1971–1979, 1985–1993) and nominee for governor in 1992 (Democratic)
* Dave Lewis, former state senator and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2004 (Republican)
* Jim Peterson, former majority leader of the Montana Senate and former president of the Montana Stockgrowers Association (Republican)
Local politicians
* Susan Good Geise, former Lewis and Clark County commissioner and former chair of the Montana Republican Party (Libertarian)
Labor unions
* AFL-CIO
* Montana Federation of Public Employees

### General election
#### Debate

2022 Montana's 2nd congressional district debate :
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian | Independent |
| Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | | | | |
| Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Matt Rosendale | Penny Ronning | Sam Rankin | Gary Buchanan |
| 1 | Oct. 1, 2022 | KTVQ | | | P | P | N | P |

#### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Solid R | November 16, 2021 |
| Inside Elections | Solid R | November 19, 2021 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | November 17, 2021 |
| Politico | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538 | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |

#### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Matt Rosendale (R) | Penny Ronning (D) | Gary Buchanan (I) | Sam Rankin (L) | Undecided |
| MSU Billings | October 3–14, 2022 | <343 (V) | ± 5.9% | 35% | 17% | 21% | 5% | 17% |

#### Results

2022 Montana's 2nd congressional district election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Matt Rosendale (incumbent) | 121,979 | 56.56% |
| | Independent | Gary Buchanan | 47,195 | 21.88% |
| | Democratic | Penny Ronning | 43,480 | 20.16% |
| | Libertarian | Sam Rankin | 3,018 | 1.40% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 215,672 | 100.00% |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |

##### County results

Source
| | Matt Rosendale Republican | Matt Rosendale Republican | Gary Buchanan Independent | Gary Buchanan Independent | Penny Ronning Democratic | Penny Ronning Democratic | Sam Rankin Libertarian | Sam Rankin Libertarian | Margin | Margin | Total |
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Big Horn | 1,476 | 45.47% | 505 | 15.56% | 1,214 | 37.40% | 51 | 1.57% | 262 | 8.07% | 3,246 |
| Blaine | 1,040 | 56.06% | 208 | 11.21% | 587 | 31.64% | 20 | 1.08% | 453 | 24.42% | 1,855 |
| Broadwater | 2,417 | 70.47% | 559 | 16.30% | 399 | 11.63% | 55 | 1.60% | 1,858 | 54.17% | 3,430 |
| Carbon | 3,294 | 56.47% | 1,420 | 24.34% | 1,030 | 17.66% | 89 | 1.53% | 1,874 | 32.13% | 5,833 |
| Carter | 663 | 87.35% | 46 | 6.06% | 37 | 4.87% | 13 | 1.71% | 617 | 81.29% | 759 |
| Cascade | 15,634 | 53.76% | 6,397 | 22.00% | 6,638 | 22.83% | 410 | 1.41% | 8,996 | 30.94% | 29,079 |
| Chouteau | 1,463 | 63.89% | 390 | 17.03% | 395 | 17.25% | 42 | 1.83% | 1,068 | 46.64% | 2,290 |
| Custer | 2,959 | 64.88% | 684 | 15.00% | 848 | 18.59% | 70 | 1.53% | 2,111 | 46.28% | 4,561 |
| Daniels | 601 | 78.98% | 68 | 8.94% | 80 | 10.51% | 12 | 1.58% | 521 | 68.46% | 761 |
| Dawson | 2,583 | 72.68% | 425 | 11.96% | 524 | 14.74% | 22 | 0.62% | 2,059 | 57.93% | 3,554 |
| Fallon | 1,053 | 84.85% | 87 | 7.01% | 94 | 7.57% | 7 | 0.56% | 959 | 77.28% | 1,241 |
| Fergus | 3,808 | 70.19% | 927 | 17.09% | 619 | 11.41% | 71 | 1.31% | 2,881 | 53.11% | 5,425 |
| Garfield | 586 | 89.06% | 46 | 6.99% | 18 | 2.74% | 8 | 1.22% | 540 | 82.07% | 658 |
| Golden Valley | 348 | 78.03% | 53 | 11.88% | 37 | 8.30% | 8 | 1.79% | 295 | 66.14% | 446 |
| Hill | 2,703 | 52.58% | 871 | 16.94% | 1,463 | 28.46% | 104 | 2.02% | 1,240 | 24.12% | 5,141 |
| Jefferson | 3,752 | 57.91% | 1,615 | 24.93% | 1,031 | 15.91% | 81 | 1.25% | 2,137 | 32.98% | 6,479 |
| Judith Basin | 784 | 71.66% | 170 | 15.54% | 127 | 11.61% | 13 | 1.19% | 614 | 56.12% | 1,094 |
| Lewis and Clark | 14,237 | 42.72% | 11,201 | 33.61% | 7,422 | 22.27% | 463 | 1.39% | 3,036 | 9.11% | 33,323 |
| Liberty | 660 | 71.97% | 134 | 14.61% | 117 | 12.76% | 6 | 0.65% | 526 | 57.36% | 917 |
| McCone | 770 | 83.06% | 59 | 6.36% | 92 | 9.92% | 6 | 0.65% | 678 | 73.14% | 927 |
| Meagher | 628 | 68.78% | 176 | 19.28% | 89 | 9.75% | 20 | 2.19% | 452 | 49.51% | 913 |
| Musselshell | 1,793 | 79.37% | 256 | 11.33% | 183 | 8.10% | 27 | 1.20% | 1,537 | 68.04% | 2,259 |
| Park | 4,236 | 46.98% | 2,146 | 23.80% | 2,487 | 27.58% | 148 | 1.64% | 1,749 | 19.40% | 9,017 |
| Petroleum | 235 | 81.31% | 39 | 13.49% | 13 | 4.50% | 2 | 0.69% | 196 | 67.82% | 289 |
| Phillips | 1,376 | 78.40% | 159 | 9.06% | 203 | 11.57% | 17 | 0.97% | 1,173 | 66.84% | 1,755 |
| Pondera | 1,081 | 67.31% | 282 | 17.56% | 215 | 13.39% | 28 | 1.74% | 799 | 49.75 | 1,606 |
| Powder River | 724 | 80.53% | 108 | 12.01% | 62 | 6.90% | 5 | 0.56% | 616 | 68.52% | 899 |
| Prairie | 467 | 76.68% | 62 | 10.18% | 72 | 11.82% | 8 | 1.31% | 395 | 64.86% | 609 |
| Richland | 2,941 | 78.34% | 234 | 6.23% | 530 | 14.12% | 49 | 1.31% | 2,411 | 64.22% | 3,754 |
| Roosevelt | 1,396 | 54.15% | 166 | 6.44% | 969 | 37.59% | 47 | 1.82% | 427 | 16.56% | 2,578 |
| Rosebud | 1,747 | 64.56% | 413 | 15.26% | 516 | 19.07% | 30 | 1.11% | 1,231 | 45.49% | 2,706 |
| Sheridan | 1,097 | 68.09% | 130 | 8.07% | 353 | 21.91% | 31 | 1.92% | 744 | 46.18% | 1,611 |
| Stillwater | 3,214 | 70.98% | 768 | 16.96% | 488 | 10.78% | 58 | 1.28% | 2,446 | 54.02% | 4,528 |
| Sweet Grass | 1,276 | 68.57% | 362 | 19.45% | 205 | 11.02% | 18 | 0.97% | 914 | 49.11% | 1,861 |
| Teton | 1,917 | 65.88% | 485 | 16.67% | 479 | 16.46% | 29 | 1.00% | 1,432 | 49.21% | 2,910 |
| Toole | 1,212 | 73.14% | 222 | 13.40% | 194 | 11.71% | 29 | 1.75% | 990 | 59.75% | 1,657 |
| Treasure | 307 | 72.75% | 91 | 21.56% | 22 | 5.21% | 2 | 0.47% | 216 | 51.18% | 422 |
| Valley | 2,217 | 68.85% | 429 | 13.32% | 512 | 15.90% | 62 | 1.93% | 1,705 | 52.95% | 3,220 |
| Wheatland | 576 | 68.49% | 168 | 19.98% | 84 | 9.99% | 13 | 1.55% | 408 | 48.51% | 841 |
| Wibaux | 357 | 81.32% | 45 | 10.25% | 33 | 7.52% | 4 | 0.91% | 312 | 71.07% | 439 |
| Yellowstone | 32,351 | 53.23% | 14,589 | 24.00% | 12,999 | 21.39% | 840 | 1.38% | 17,762 | 29.22% | 60,779 |