# 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina

Elections in North Carolina :
Federal government
U.S. President
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2024 :
State executive
Gubernatorial elections
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Council of State elections
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Secretary of State elections
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State legislature
State Senate elections
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State House elections
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State judiciary
Judicial elections
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Ballot measures
2012Amendment 1 :
Mayoral elections
Charlotte mayoral elections
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Cary mayoral elections
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Durham mayoral elections
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Fayetteville mayoral elections
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Greensboro mayoral elections
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Raleigh mayoral elections
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Winston-Salem mayoral elections
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2024 :
vte :
The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.
While Republican presidential candidates won close victories in 2012, 2016, and 2020, even as polls indicated a narrow win by Democrat Joe Biden in 2020, at the state level, Democrat Roy Cooper won the 2016 and 2020 gubernatorial elections. Because of these results, the presidential election was expected to be competitive. Today a purple to slightly red state, North Carolina was targeted by both parties in 2024, with major news organizations marking the state as a tossup or slightly leaning towards the Republican candidate Donald Trump, who would go on to carry the state with a margin similar to his 2016 result. Incumbent president Biden was initially poised to run for re-election, but withdrew on July 21 and endorsed his vice president Kamala Harris.
Despite North Carolina Republicans struggling down ballot, especially due to controversial Republican gubernatorial nominee Mark Robinson, Trump won the state by 3.21%, Trump's win kept it in the Republican column for the fourth election cycle in a row and Trump won the state himself for the third straight election. North Carolina remains the only battleground state that Trump won all three times.

## Primary elections
### Democratic primary

In North Carolina, candidates can make the primary ballot either by being nominated by the state party or by filing a nominating petition with at least 10,000 signatures. The North Carolina Democratic Party submitted only Joe Biden as a candidate, and no candidate submitted 10,000 signatures by the December 22, 2023 deadline.
The cancellation was criticized by the Dean Phillips campaign, who started an online petition to get his candidacy on the ballot and threatened legal challenges. Marianne Williamson and Cenk Uygur also criticized the moves.
In addition to the candidates on the ballot, the "No Preference" option appeared on the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian Presidential Preference Primary ballots. In 2012, when President Barack Obama did not face primary opposition in North Carolina, approximately twenty percent of voters opted for the "No Preference" option.
The North Carolina Democratic presidential primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
North Carolina Democratic primary, March 5, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total |
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 609,680 | 87.27% | 113 | | |
| No Preference | 88,900 | 12.73% | | | |
| Total: | 698,580 | 100.00% | 132 | | 132 |

### Republican primary

The North Carolina Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
North Carolina Republican primary, March 5, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Donald Trump | 793,978 | 73.84% | 62 | | 62 |
| Nikki Haley | 250,838 | 23.33% | 12 | | 12 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 14,740 | 1.37% | | | |
| No Preference | 7,448 | 0.69% | | | |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 3,418 | 0.32% | | | |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 3,166 | 0.29% | | | |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 916 | 0.09% | | | |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 727 | 0.07% | | | |
| Total: | 1,075,231 | 100.00% | 74 | | 74 |

### Libertarian primary

The North Carolina Libertarian primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Ten candidates were presented on the ballot.
North Carolina Libertarian primary, March 5, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
| None of the Above | 2,058 | 40.5% |
| Chase Oliver | 676 | 13.3% |
| Jacob Hornberger | 357 | 7.0% |
| Joshua Smith | 354 | 7.0% |
| Michael Rectenwald | 195 | 3.8% |
| Charles Ballay | 183 | 3.6% |
| Lars Mapstead | 176 | 3.5% |
| Mike ter Maat | 137 | 2.7% |
| Other | 946 | 18.7% |
| Total: | 5,082 | 100.0% |
| Source: |||

## General election
### Events and rule changes

Voters must now show a voter ID at the polls and provide a copy of their ID with their mail-in ballots. Mail-in ballots received after election day also will not be counted. There will also be more partisan poll-watchers. The laws are similar to others passed in Republican-controlled states which Democrats have criticized as voter suppression. Common Cause North Carolina and the League of Women Voters of North Carolina have been educating voters on the new rules.
On September 12, 2024, the Republican National Committee sued to block the use of digital IDs, popular with students at the University of North Carolina, as a form of voter ID. The plaintiffs sought a temporary restraining order, and alleged that the digital IDs did not comply with the state's voter identification requirements and were susceptible to fraud. On September 20, 2024, Wake County Superior Court Judge Keith Gregory rejected the request for a temporary restraining order, stating that the Republican National Committee had not "advanced any credible link between the State Board's approval of Mobile One Cards and a heightened risk of ineligible voters casting illegal votes."
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was granted the status of presidential candidate in July 2024 for North Carolina after state authorities recognised the political party he founded, 'We the People', which allowed Kennedy to qualify using 13,757 signatures, instead of the 82,542 signatures required for a candidate with no party. The North Carolina Democratic Party filed a lawsuit alleging that Kennedy was improperly using his party to avoid higher qualification requirements, but this lawsuit against Kennedy was unsuccessful. On August 27, Kennedy asked state authorities to remove him as a presidential candidate in North Carolina; on August 28, the We the People party officially made the same request to state authorities; both requests were initially denied due to ballots already being printed and upcoming deadlines, with North Carolina law mandating that absentee ballots should be mailed by authorities from September 6.
Kennedy responded by launching a lawsuit demanding to be removed as a presidential candidate in North Carolina, with Kennedy previously saying that "by staying on the ballot in the battleground states, I would likely hand the election over to the Democrats", while Kennedy remained as a presidential candidate in non-battleground states and indicated that his lawsuit to become a presidential candidate in New York would continue. While Wake County Superior Court ruled against Kennedy, he appealed and the North Carolina Court of Appeals ruled for Kennedy on September 6, ordering for authorities to reprint ballots without Kennedy as a candidate. The North Carolina Supreme Court affirmed the Court of Appeals' decision on September 9, so authorities went to reprint the ballots, which delayed the mailing date from the originally stipulated September 6 date to become September 20 for military and overseas voters and September 24 for other voters.

### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| CNN | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| CNalysis | Tilt D (flip) | November 4, 2024 |
| The Economist | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| 538 | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| Inside Elections | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |
| NBC News | Tossup | November 4, 2024 |

### Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided | Margin |
| 270ToWin | October 23 – November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 47.3% | 48.6% | 4.1% | Trump +1.3% |
| 538 | through November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 47.4% | 48.3% | 4.3% | Trump +0.9% |
| Silver Bulletin | through November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 47.7% | 48.8% | 3.5% | Trump +1.1% |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 47.9% | 49.4% | 2.7% | Trump +1.5% |
| Average | Average | Average | 47.6% | 48.8% | 3.6% | Trump +1.2% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,815 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,815 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 50.5% | 49.5% | – |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 50.2% | 49.8% | – |
| AtlasIntel | November 3–4, 2024 | 1,219 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Patriot Polling | November 1–3, 2024 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 49% | – |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | November 1–2, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| AtlasIntel | November 1–2, 2024 | 1,310 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 2, 2024 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 2, 2024 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 28 – November 2, 2024 | 1,010 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 28 – November 2, 2024 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| ActiVote | October 17 – November 2, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 49% | – |
| Morning Consult | October 23 − November 1, 2024 | 1,056 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| AtlasIntel | October 30–31, 2024 | 1,373 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2024 | 987 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2024 | 949 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 25–30, 2024 | 751 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel | October 25–29, 2024 | 1,665 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | October 25–28, 2024 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| Fox News | October 24–28, 2024 | 1,113 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Fox News | October 24–28, 2024 | 872 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| SurveyUSA | October 23–26, 2024 | 853 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| CES/YouGov | October 1–25, 2024 | 2,330 (A) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| CES/YouGov | October 1–25, 2024 | 2,308 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 21–22, 2024 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 21–22, 2024 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Marist College | October 17–22, 2024 | 1,410 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| Marist College | October 17–22, 2024 | 1,226 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| SoCal Strategies (R) | October 20–21, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 19–20, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| High Point University/SurveyUSA | October 17–20, 2024 | 1,164 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 16–20, 2024 | 755 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 16–20, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| AtlasIntel | October 12–17, 2024 | 1,674 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Elon University | October 10–17, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Morning Consult | October 6−15, 2024 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| The Washington Post/Schar School | September 30 – October 15, 2024 | 965 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| The Washington Post/Schar School | September 30 – October 15, 2024 | 965 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 10–14, 2024 | 1,031 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 50% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 9–14, 2024 | 1,042 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 46% | 3% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | October 10–13, 2024 | 1,085 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 45% | 6% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R) | October 6–9, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Emerson College | October 5–8, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| Emerson College | October 5–8, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| The Wall Street Journal | September 28 – October 8, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| ActiVote | September 7 – October 6, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 51% | – |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | September 29–30, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 25–29, 2024 | 953 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| The Washington Post | September 25–29, 2024 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| The Washington Post | September 25–29, 2024 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) | September 23–29, 2024 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| High Point University | September 20–29, 2024 | 814 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| High Point University | September 20–29, 2024 | 589 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Emerson College | September 27–28, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| Emerson College | September 27–28, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| RMG Research | September 25–27, 2024 | 780 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| RMG Research | September 25–27, 2024 | 780 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| AtlasIntel | September 20–25, 2024 | 1,173 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 51% | 1% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | September 19–25, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | September 19–25, 2024 | 889 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 50% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | September 19–25, 2024 | 828 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| Fox News | September 20−24, 2024 | 991 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 50% | 2% |
| Fox News | September 20−24, 2024 | 787 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| Marist College | September 19−24, 2024 | 1,507 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Marist College | September 19−24, 2024 | 1,348 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| The Bullfinch Group | September 20–23, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | September 19−22, 2024 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | September 17–21, 2024 | 682 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | September 17–21, 2024 | 682 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Meredith College | September 18−20, 2024 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Victory Insights | September 16−18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Emerson College | September 15–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Emerson College | September 15–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Morning Consult | September 9−18, 2024 | 1,314 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | September 11–17, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| TIPP Insights | September 11–13, 2024 | 973 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| Elon University | September 4−13, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | September 11–12, 2024 | 1,094 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Quantus Insights (R) | September 11–12, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Quantus Insights (R) | September 11–12, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 4–8, 2024 | 940 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 50% | 3% |
| Morning Consult | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,369 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| SurveyUSA | September 4–7, 2024 | 900 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | September 5–6, 2024 | 692 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | September 5–6, 2024 | 619 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Patriot Polling | September 1–3, 2024 | 804 (RV) | – | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | August 29–31, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| ActiVote | August 6–31, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Emerson College | August 25–28, 2024 | 775 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| Emerson College | August 25–28, 2024 | 775 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| SoCal Strategies (R) | August 26–27, 2024 | 612 (LV) | – | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | August 23–26, 2024 | 645 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | August 23–26, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Fox News | August 23–26, 2024 | 999 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| | August 23, 2024 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. |
| | August 22, 2024 | Democratic National Convention concludes | Democratic National Convention concludes | Democratic National Convention concludes | Democratic National Convention concludes | Democratic National Convention concludes |
| High Point University/SurveyUSA | August 19–21, 2024 | 1,053 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| High Point University/SurveyUSA | August 19–21, 2024 | 941 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Spry Strategies (R) | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| | August 19, 2024 | Democratic National Convention begins | Democratic National Convention begins | Democratic National Convention begins | Democratic National Convention begins | Democratic National Convention begins |
| Focaldata | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 50% | – |
| The New York Times/Siena College | August 9–14, 2024 | 655 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | August 9–14, 2024 | 655 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | August 6–8, 2024 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Navigator Research (D) | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 403 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| | August 6, 2024 | Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| | July 21, 2024 | Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. |
| | July 15–19, 2024 | Republican National Convention | Republican National Convention | Republican National Convention | Republican National Convention | Republican National Convention |
| | July 13, 2024 | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Jill Stein Green | Cornel West Independent | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Others/ Undecided | Margin |
| Race to the WH | through October 2, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | 47.1% | 47.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | — | 3.3% | Trump +0.8% |
| 270toWin | October 1 – 11, 2024 | October 11, 2024 | 46.6% | 47.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 4.1% | Trump +0.4% |
| Average | Average | Average | 47.0% | 47.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 3.3% | Trump +0.5% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,815 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 48% | 46% | 1% | 1% | – | 4% |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,815 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 49.0% | 48.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | – | – |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 49% | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | 2% |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2024 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 49.2% | 49.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | – | – |
| AtlasIntel | November 3–4, 2024 | 1,219 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| AtlasIntel | November 1–2, 2024 | 1,310 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 47% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 28 – November 2, 2024 | 1,010 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 9% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | October 28 – November 2, 2024 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 48% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| Focaldata | October 3 – November 1, 2024 | 1,787 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | – | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Focaldata | October 3 – November 1, 2024 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 46% | 50% | – | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Focaldata | October 3 – November 1, 2024 | 1,987 (A) | – | 46% | 48% | – | 2% | 1% | 4% |
| AtlasIntel | October 30–31, 2024 | 1,373 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 47% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 28–31, 2024 | 1,123 (LV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2024 | 987 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 47% | 0% | 1% | – | 4% |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2024 | 949 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 48% | 0% | 1% | – | 2% |
| AtlasIntel | October 25–29, 2024 | 1,665 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | – | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| East Carolina University | October 24–29, 2024 | 1,250 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| CNN/SSRS | October 23–28, 2024 | 750 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 25–27, 2024 | 770 (LV) | – | 48% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov | October 16–23, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 20–22, 2024 | 679 (LV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 16–20, 2024 | 755 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 46% | – | 1% | 3% | 1% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 16–20, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 48% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 16–18, 2024 | 843 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | – | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| AtlasIntel | October 12–17, 2024 | 1,674 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 50% | 0% | 1% | 0% | – |
| Cygnal (R) | October 6–15, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 47% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 12–14, 2024 | 620 (LV) | – | 48% | 46% | – | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 10–14, 2024 | 1,031 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 49% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 27 – October 2, 2024 | 753 (LV) | – | 47% | 45% | – | 1% | 0% | 7% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 25–29, 2024 | 953 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| East Carolina University | September 23–26, 2024 | 1,005 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel | September 20–25, 2024 | 1,173 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 51% | 1% | 1% | 0% | – |
| CNN/SSRS | September 20–25, 2024 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | September 19–25, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | 1% | 2% | – | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | September 19–25, 2024 | 889 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | – | 1% | 3% | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | September 19–25, 2024 | 828 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | – | 0% | 2% | 2% |
| Fox News | September 20−24, 2024 | 991 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Fox News | September 20−24, 2024 | 787 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | September 17–21, 2024 | 682 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 46% | – | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | September 17–21, 2024 | 682 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 45% | – | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| Meredith College | September 18–20, 2024 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 16–19, 2024 | 868 (LV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | September 11–17, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Cygnal (R) | September 15–16, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 6–9, 2024 | 495 (LV) | – | 44% | 45% | – | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 4–8, 2024 | 940 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 49% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| YouGov | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 46% | 0% | 1% | – | 6% |
| East Carolina University | August 26–28, 2024 | 920 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 25–28, 2024 | 1,071 (LV) | – | 45% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | August 23–26, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | – | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | August 23–26, 2024 | 645 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | – | 1% | 2% | 1% |
| Fox News | August 23–26, 2024 | 999 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
| Fox News | October 24–28, 2024 | 1,113 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Fox News | October 24–28, 2024 | 872 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – |
| The Wall Street Journal | September 28 – October 8, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 45% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) | September 23–29, 2024 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Spry Strategies (R) | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 3% | – | 1% | – | 4% |
| Focaldata | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 47% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| Focaldata | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 47% | 6% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| Focaldata | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (A) | ± 3.7% | 43% | 47% | 7% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 12–15, 2024 | 601 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | 2% | – | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | August 9–14, 2024 | 655 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 45% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 4% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | August 9–14, 2024 | 655 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| YouGov Blue (D) | August 5–9, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 46% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| Navigator Research (D) | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 403 (LV) | – | 44% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 1% | – | 5% |
| Cygnal (R) | August 4–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | 4% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 714 (LV) | – | 44% | 41% | 4% | – | 0% | 1% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | 5% | – | 0% | 4% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 22–24, 2024 | 586 (LV) | – | 46% | 43% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 17–20, 2024 | 573 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 44% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| Quantus Insights (R) | September 11–12, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 17–20, 2024 | 573 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| Emerson College | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| Echelon Insights | July 1–8, 2024 | 610 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 1–5, 2024 | 696 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| Spry Strategies (R) | June 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| East Carolina University | May 31 – June 3, 2024 | 1,332 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R) | May 29 – June 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | May 26–27, 2024 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 43% | 6% |
| Change Research (D) | May 13–18, 2024 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| Prime Group | May 9–16, 2024 | 472 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| High Point University | May 5–9, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 42% | 14% |
| Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
| Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 48% | – |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 641 (LV) | – | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | 8% |
| Mason-Dixon | April 9–13, 2024 | 635 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University | April 4–8, 2024 | 1,401 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| High Point University | March 22–30, 2024 | 829(RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 42% | 14% |
| The Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| Marist College | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 51% | 48% | 1% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 699 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| SurveyUSA | March 3–9, 2024 | 598 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Cygnal (R) | March 6–7, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 40% | 15% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
| Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Meredith College | January 26–31, 2024 | 760 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 39% | 17% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 39% | 13% |
| Meredith College | November 1–5, 2023 | 755 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 40% | 22% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 736 (LV) | – | 43% | 38% | 20% |
| Change Research (D) | September 1–5, 2023 | 914 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| Prime Group | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 54% | 46% | – |
| Prime Group | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 45% | 37% | 18% |
| Opinion Diagnostics | June 5–7, 2023 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 40% | 18% |
| Cygnal (R) | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Differentiators (R) | January 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Emerson College | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | October 7–8, 2022 | 606 (RV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| SurveyUSA | September 28 – October 2, 2022 | 918 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Emerson College | September 15–16, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
| East Carolina University | September 7–10, 2022 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | August 4–6, 2022 | 656 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 39% | 17% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R) | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| East Carolina University | May 19–20, 2022 | 635 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 37% | 16% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 17–20, 2024 | 573 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 42% | 2% | – | 2% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 16–18, 2024 | 461 (LV) | – | 45% | 39% | 5% | – | 1% | 10% |
| Emerson College | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 38% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| YouGov | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 40% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 8–10, 2024 | 420 (LV) | – | 44% | 42% | 4% | – | 1% | 9% |
| Echelon Insights | July 1–8, 2024 | 610 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 41% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 1–5, 2024 | 696 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | June 8–11, 2024 | 534 (LV) | – | 43% | 40% | 7% | – | 1% | 9% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R) | May 29 – June 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 32% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 10% |
| Prime Group | May 9–16, 2024 | 472 (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 1% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 38% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 36% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 8% |
| Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Meeting Street Insights (R) | April 25–28, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 35% | 11% | – | 2% | 12% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 38% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University | April 4–8, 2024 | 1,401 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 41% | 38% | 12% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| The Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 34% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 699 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 39% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 35% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| East Carolina University | February 9–12, 2024 | 1,207 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 44% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 32% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 34% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
| Spry Strategies (R) | June 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 37% | 8% | 10% |
| Change Research (D) | May 13–18, 2024 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 38% | 11% | 10% |
| Cygnal (R) | May 4–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 38% | 9% | 10% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 2–4, 2024 | 700 (LV) | – | 44% | 37% | 7% | 12% |
| Meredith College | April 11–17, 2024 | 711 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 39% | 9% | 11% |
| Cygnal (R) | April 7–8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 39% | 7% | 11% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | March 14–17, 2024 | 642 (LV) | – | 43% | 39% | 8% | 10% |
| Marist College | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 43% | 11% | – |
| North Star Opinion Research (R) | January 30 – February 4, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 32% | 16% | 13% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | December 28–30, 2023 | 1,220 (LV) | – | 37% | 33% | 11% | 19% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 620 (LV) | – | 44% | 35% | 8% | 13% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 736 (LV) | – | 41% | 38% | 9% | 14% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 33% | 9% | 2% | 14% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 641 (LV) | – | 45% | 39% | 16% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 641 (LV) | – | 50% | 40% | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Roy Cooper vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Roy Cooper Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 17–20, 2024 | 573 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 41% | 3% | 2% | 9% |
Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 34% | 17% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| East Carolina University | February 9–12, 2024 | 1,207 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 32% | 40% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 16% |
| Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 31% | 33% | 19% | 2% | 2% | 13% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 620 (LV) | – | 36% | 33% | 12% | 18% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| Opinion Diagnostics | June 5–7, 2023 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 40% | 13% |
| Cygnal (R) | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
| Differentiators (R) | January 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 44% | 7% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other | Undecided |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 620 (LV) | – | 38% | 34% | 12% | 4% | 12% |
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Pence Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| Cygnal (R) | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 41% | 20% |

### Results

2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Donald TrumpJD Vance | 2,898,424 | 50.86% | +0.93% |
| | Democratic | Kamala HarrisTim Walz | 2,715,378 | 47.65% | −0.94% |
| | Green | Jill SteinButch Ware | 24,762 | 0.43% | +0.21% |
| | Libertarian | Chase OliverMike ter Maat | 22,125 | 0.39% | −0.49% |
| | Justice for All | Cornel WestMelina Abdullah | 12,099 | 0.21% | +0.21% |
| | Constitution | Randall TerryStephen Broden | 6,863 | 0.12% | −0.02% |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 19,494 | 0.33% | +0.09% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 5,699,145 | 100.00% | N/A |

#### By county

| County | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total |
| Alamance | 47,937 | 53.36% | 40,624 | 45.22% | 1,270 | 1.41% | 7,313 | 8.14% | 89,831 |
| Alexander | 16,404 | 79.33% | 4,060 | 19.64% | 213 | 1.03% | 12,344 | 59.69% | 20,677 |
| Alleghany | 4,900 | 75.43% | 1,533 | 23.60% | 63 | 0.97% | 3,367 | 51.83% | 6,496 |
| Anson | 5,525 | 50.80% | 5,253 | 48.30% | 97 | 0.89% | 272 | 2.50% | 10,875 |
| Ashe | 11,629 | 71.55% | 4,431 | 27.26% | 193 | 1.19% | 7,198 | 44.29% | 16,253 |
| Avery | 7,181 | 75.68% | 2,220 | 23.40% | 88 | 0.93% | 4,961 | 52.28% | 9,489 |
| Beaufort | 17,296 | 65.09% | 9,049 | 34.05% | 227 | 0.85% | 8,247 | 31.04% | 26,572 |
| Bertie | 3,840 | 41.80% | 5,279 | 57.47% | 67 | 0.73% | -1,439 | -15.67% | 9,186 |
| Bladen | 10,035 | 59.86% | 6,620 | 39.49% | 109 | 0.65% | 3,415 | 20.37% | 16,764 |
| Brunswick | 67,658 | 61.86% | 40,557 | 37.08% | 1,163 | 1.06% | 27,101 | 24.78% | 109,378 |
| Buncombe | 59,016 | 36.77% | 98,662 | 61.47% | 2,832 | 1.76% | -39,646 | -24.70% | 160,510 |
| Burke | 32,130 | 70.08% | 13,272 | 28.95% | 445 | 0.97% | 18,858 | 41.13% | 45,847 |
| Cabarrus | 63,746 | 53.03% | 54,494 | 45.34% | 1,962 | 1.63% | 9,252 | 7.69% | 120,202 |
| Caldwell | 33,009 | 75.81% | 10,146 | 23.30% | 385 | 0.88% | 22,863 | 52.51% | 43,540 |
| Camden | 4,716 | 74.81% | 1,522 | 24.14% | 66 | 1.05% | 3,194 | 50.67% | 6,304 |
| Carteret | 32,508 | 70.95% | 12,813 | 27.97% | 496 | 1.08% | 19,695 | 42.98% | 45,817 |
| Caswell | 7,445 | 61.84% | 4,493 | 37.32% | 102 | 0.85% | 2,952 | 24.52% | 12,040 |
| Catawba | 59,577 | 68.39% | 26,569 | 30.50% | 963 | 1.11% | 33,008 | 37.89% | 87,109 |
| Chatham | 22,507 | 43.03% | 29,014 | 55.48% | 780 | 1.49% | -6,507 | -12.45% | 52,301 |
| Cherokee | 13,883 | 77.89% | 3,686 | 20.68% | 255 | 1.43% | 10,197 | 57.21% | 17,824 |
| Chowan | 4,587 | 60.74% | 2,895 | 38.33% | 70 | 0.93% | 1,692 | 22.41% | 7,552 |
| Clay | 5,761 | 74.55% | 1,899 | 24.57% | 68 | 0.88% | 3,862 | 49.98% | 7,728 |
| Cleveland | 34,654 | 67.02% | 16,603 | 32.11% | 449 | 0.87% | 18,051 | 34.91% | 51,706 |
| Columbus | 17,592 | 66.63% | 8,648 | 32.76% | 162 | 0.61% | 8,944 | 33.87% | 26,402 |
| Craven | 33,477 | 59.60% | 22,011 | 39.18% | 685 | 1.22% | 11,466 | 20.42% | 56,173 |
| Cumberland | 59,840 | 42.59% | 78,631 | 55.96% | 2,042 | 1.45% | -18,791 | -13.37% | 140,513 |
| Currituck | 13,235 | 73.31% | 4,604 | 25.50% | 214 | 1.19% | 8,631 | 47.81% | 18,053 |
| Dare | 14,792 | 58.71% | 10,074 | 39.98% | 330 | 1.31% | 4,718 | 18.73% | 25,196 |
| Davidson | 67,959 | 72.72% | 24,150 | 25.84% | 1,343 | 1.44% | 43,809 | 46.88% | 93,452 |
| Davie | 19,398 | 72.25% | 6,988 | 26.03% | 464 | 1.73% | 12,410 | 46.22% | 26,850 |
| Duplin | 14,677 | 64.10% | 8,057 | 35.19% | 164 | 0.72% | 6,620 | 28.91% | 22,898 |
| Durham | 32,853 | 18.16% | 144,450 | 79.85% | 3,609 | 1.99% | -111,597 | -61.69% | 180,912 |
| Edgecombe | 9,355 | 38.26% | 14,900 | 60.95% | 193 | 0.79% | -5,545 | -22.69% | 24,448 |
| Forsyth | 87,292 | 42.64% | 114,145 | 55.76% | 3,289 | 1.61% | -26,853 | -13.12% | 204,726 |
| Franklin | 23,938 | 56.10% | 18,167 | 42.58% | 562 | 1.32% | 5,771 | 13.52% | 42,667 |
| Gaston | 73,828 | 61.91% | 44,062 | 36.95% | 1,366 | 1.15% | 29,766 | 24.96% | 119,256 |
| Gates | 3,538 | 60.29% | 2,268 | 38.65% | 62 | 1.06% | 1,270 | 21.64% | 5,868 |
| Graham | 3,883 | 81.25% | 839 | 17.56% | 57 | 1.19% | 3,044 | 63.69% | 4,779 |
| Granville | 17,383 | 54.15% | 14,365 | 44.75% | 356 | 1.11% | 3,018 | 9.40% | 32,104 |
| Greene | 4,965 | 58.76% | 3,437 | 40.67% | 48 | 0.57% | 1,528 | 18.09% | 8,450 |
| Guilford | 109,077 | 38.27% | 171,118 | 60.03% | 4,858 | 1.70% | -62,041 | -21.76% | 285,053 |
| Halifax | 9,778 | 40.80% | 14,014 | 58.48% | 173 | 0.72% | -4,236 | -17.68% | 23,965 |
| Harnett | 39,440 | 61.86% | 23,472 | 36.81% | 845 | 1.33% | 15,968 | 25.05% | 63,757 |
| Haywood | 23,393 | 61.80% | 13,913 | 36.76% | 545 | 1.44% | 9,480 | 25.04% | 37,851 |
| Henderson | 39,497 | 56.45% | 29,361 | 41.96% | 1,116 | 1.59% | 10,136 | 14.49% | 69,974 |
| Hertford | 3,561 | 36.18% | 6,191 | 62.90% | 91 | 0.92% | -2,630 | -26.72% | 9,843 |
| Hoke | 10,547 | 46.33% | 11,896 | 52.25% | 324 | 1.42% | -1,349 | -5.92% | 22,767 |
| Hyde | 1,465 | 60.51% | 931 | 38.46% | 25 | 1.03% | 534 | 22.05% | 2,421 |
| Iredell | 72,801 | 65.66% | 36,739 | 33.14% | 1,335 | 1.20% | 36,062 | 32.52% | 110,875 |
| Jackson | 11,796 | 53.76% | 9,746 | 44.42% | 400 | 1.82% | 2,050 | 9.34% | 21,942 |
| Johnston | 74,878 | 60.06% | 48,116 | 38.59% | 1,684 | 1.35% | 26,762 | 21.47% | 124,678 |
| Jones | 3,409 | 62.40% | 2,007 | 36.74% | 47 | 0.86% | 1,402 | 25.66% | 5,463 |
| Lee | 17,489 | 58.14% | 12,245 | 40.71% | 347 | 1.15% | 5,244 | 17.43% | 30,081 |
| Lenoir | 14,564 | 52.95% | 12,700 | 46.18% | 239 | 0.87% | 1,864 | 6.77% | 27,503 |
| Lincoln | 40,183 | 72.29% | 14,842 | 26.70% | 557 | 1.00% | 25,341 | 45.59% | 55,582 |
| Macon | 14,981 | 68.30% | 6,675 | 30.43% | 278 | 1.27% | 8,306 | 37.87% | 21,934 |
| Madison | 8,275 | 60.75% | 5,090 | 37.37% | 256 | 1.88% | 3,185 | 23.38% | 13,621 |
| Martin | 6,601 | 54.83% | 5,360 | 44.52% | 79 | 0.66% | 1,241 | 10.31% | 12,040 |
| McDowell | 17,520 | 74.06% | 5,911 | 24.99% | 224 | 0.95% | 11,609 | 49.07% | 23,655 |
| Mecklenburg | 187,770 | 32.51% | 376,454 | 65.19% | 13,281 | 2.30% | -188,684 | -32.68% | 577,505 |
| Mitchell | 6,843 | 77.39% | 1,915 | 21.66% | 84 | 0.95% | 4,928 | 55.73% | 8,842 |
| Montgomery | 9,044 | 68.48% | 4,055 | 30.71% | 107 | 0.81% | 4,989 | 37.77% | 13,206 |
| Moore | 39,617 | 64.12% | 21,436 | 34.69% | 737 | 1.19% | 18,181 | 29.43% | 61,790 |
| Nash | 26,431 | 50.37% | 25,508 | 48.61% | 532 | 1.01% | 923 | 1.76% | 52,471 |
| New Hanover | 67,949 | 48.98% | 68,814 | 49.60% | 1,971 | 1.42% | -865 | -0.62% | 138,734 |
| Northampton | 3,905 | 42.38% | 5,239 | 56.85% | 71 | 0.77% | -1,334 | -14.47% | 9,215 |
| Onslow | 54,960 | 67.29% | 25,684 | 31.44% | 1,037 | 1.27% | 29,276 | 35.85% | 81,681 |
| Orange | 20,806 | 23.70% | 65,444 | 74.53% | 1,557 | 1.77% | -44,638 | -50.83% | 87,807 |
| Pamlico | 5,229 | 65.56% | 2,676 | 33.55% | 71 | 0.89% | 2,553 | 32.01% | 7,976 |
| Pasquotank | 10,537 | 51.80% | 9,549 | 46.94% | 257 | 1.26% | 988 | 4.86% | 20,343 |
| Pender | 26,042 | 66.93% | 12,460 | 32.02% | 407 | 1.05% | 13,582 | 34.91% | 38,909 |
| Perquimans | 5,278 | 68.85% | 2,269 | 29.60% | 119 | 1.55% | 3,009 | 39.25% | 7,666 |
| Person | 13,509 | 61.30% | 8,295 | 37.64% | 232 | 1.05% | 5,214 | 23.66% | 22,036 |
| Pitt | 40,403 | 46.37% | 45,595 | 52.33% | 1,132 | 1.30% | -5,192 | -5.96% | 87,130 |
| Polk | 8,107 | 62.04% | 4,827 | 36.94% | 134 | 1.03% | 3,280 | 25.10% | 13,068 |
| Randolph | 59,357 | 78.09% | 15,951 | 20.99% | 700 | 0.92% | 43,406 | 57.10% | 76,008 |
| Richmond | 11,931 | 60.04% | 7,787 | 39.18% | 155 | 0.78% | 4,144 | 20.86% | 19,873 |
| Robeson | 29,647 | 63.39% | 16,728 | 35.77% | 395 | 0.84% | 12,919 | 27.62% | 46,770 |
| Rockingham | 33,447 | 67.44% | 15,676 | 31.61% | 472 | 0.95% | 17,771 | 35.83% | 49,595 |
| Rowan | 50,807 | 67.39% | 23,788 | 31.55% | 799 | 1.06% | 27,019 | 35.84% | 75,394 |
| Rutherford | 25,456 | 73.42% | 8,914 | 25.71% | 300 | 0.87% | 16,542 | 47.71% | 34,670 |
| Sampson | 18,178 | 64.46% | 9,797 | 34.74% | 226 | 0.80% | 8,381 | 29.72% | 28,201 |
| Scotland | 7,767 | 53.10% | 6,754 | 46.18% | 105 | 0.72% | 1,013 | 6.92% | 14,626 |
| Stanly | 27,518 | 74.95% | 8,881 | 24.19% | 315 | 0.86% | 18,637 | 50.76% | 36,714 |
| Stokes | 21,548 | 79.29% | 5,380 | 19.80% | 247 | 0.91% | 16,168 | 59.49% | 27,175 |
| Surry | 28,565 | 76.16% | 8,613 | 22.96% | 330 | 0.88% | 19,952 | 53.20% | 37,508 |
| Swain | 4,311 | 61.13% | 2,643 | 37.48% | 98 | 1.39% | 1,668 | 23.65% | 7,052 |
| Transylvania | 11,492 | 55.30% | 8,972 | 43.18% | 316 | 1.52% | 2,520 | 12.12% | 20,780 |
| Tyrrell | 1,057 | 60.16% | 680 | 38.70% | 20 | 1.14% | 377 | 21.46% | 1,757 |
| Union | 86,271 | 61.91% | 51,168 | 36.72% | 1,916 | 1.37% | 35,103 | 25.19% | 139,355 |
| Vance | 8,614 | 42.87% | 11,292 | 56.20% | 186 | 0.93% | -2,678 | -13.33% | 20,092 |
| Wake | 236,735 | 36.22% | 402,984 | 61.66% | 13,861 | 2.12% | -166,249 | -25.44% | 653,580 |
| Warren | 3,976 | 39.71% | 5,872 | 58.64% | 165 | 1.65% | -1,896 | -18.93% | 10,013 |
| Washington | 2,768 | 46.57% | 3,138 | 52.79% | 38 | 0.64% | -370 | -6.22% | 5,944 |
| Watauga | 15,254 | 46.09% | 17,225 | 52.05% | 616 | 1.86% | -1,971 | -5.96% | 33,095 |
| Wayne | 31,580 | 57.67% | 22,618 | 41.30% | 564 | 1.03% | 8,962 | 16.37% | 54,762 |
| Wilkes | 28,812 | 79.33% | 7,194 | 19.81% | 314 | 0.86% | 21,618 | 59.52% | 36,320 |
| Wilson | 19,750 | 49.32% | 19,909 | 49.72% | 386 | 0.96% | -159 | -0.40% | 40,045 |
| Yadkin | 16,439 | 80.60% | 3,739 | 18.33% | 219 | 1.07% | 12,700 | 62.27% | 20,397 |
| Yancey | 7,509 | 66.55% | 3,635 | 32.22% | 139 | 1.23% | 3,874 | 34.33% | 11,283 |
| Totals | 2,898,423 | 50.86% | 2,715,375 | 47.65% | 85,343 | 1.49% | 183,048 | 3.21% | 5,699,141 |

#### Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

* Anson (largest municipality: Wadesboro)
* Nash (largest municipality: Rocky Mount)
* Pasquotank (largest municipality: Elizabeth City)
* Democratic — +2.5-5%
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%
* Democratic  Hold Republican  Hold  Gain from Democratic

#### By congressional district

Trump won 11 of 14 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
| 1st | 51.06% | 47.97% | Don Davis |
| 2nd | 31.92% | 66.21% | Deborah Ross |
| 3rd | 60.33% | 38.52% | Greg Murphy |
| 4th | 26.53% | 71.81% | Valerie Foushee |
| 5th | 58.22% | 40.40% | Virginia Foxx |
| 6th | 58.11% | 41.10% | Addison McDowell |
| 7th | 56.31% | 42.52% | David Rouzer |
| 8th | 59.14% | 39.58% | Mark Harris |
| 9th | 57.50% | 41.71% | Richard Hudson |
| 10th | 58.18% | 40.51% | Pat Harrigan |
| 11th | 53.96% | 44.50% | Chuck Edwards |
| 12th | 25.99% | 72.22% | Alma Adams |
| 13th | 57.97% | 41.11% | Brad Knott |
| 14th | 57.06% | 41.94% | Tim Moore |

## Analysis

Although a Southern Bible Belt state, North Carolina has been competitive since the late 2000s – a trend primarily attributed to population growth – as the state has been narrowly decided in every presidential election by less than a 4% margin since 2008, when Barack Obama very narrowly carried the state and became the only Democratic presidential candidate to do so since Jimmy Carter of neighboring Georgia in 1976. However, Republicans have won every single federal statewide race in North Carolina since 2010. It flipped back into the GOP column in 2012 and has been narrowly won by Republican nominee Donald Trump in the past two cycles. This presidential election marks the first time since 2012 that the winning candidate won the election with an absolute majority of the vote.
Trump's margin of victory was more than double that of his 2020 margin, though it was slightly less than his 2016 margin. His 50.86% of the vote was the highest percentage won in the state since 2004. This marked the fifth consecutive election where North Carolina was decided by less than 5%, the longest ongoing such streak out of any state. Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying New Hanover County since Dwight D. Eisenhower in 1956. This is the first time since 2008 the state voted for the winner of the national popular vote. Anson County voted Republican for the first time since 1972 and Pasquotank County since 1988.
Potentially due to the effects of Hurricane Helene, Western North Carolina was one of the few areas of the country to swing towards the Democrats between 2020 and 2024. Despite over 90% of American counties shifting toward Trump during this time period, ten counties in the region bucked this trend and supported Harris to a greater extent than Joe Biden.