# 2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi

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The 2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Mississippi, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith won reelection to a full term against Democratic nominee Mike Espy, in a rematch of the 2018 special election. Despite being outspent nearly four to one, Hyde-Smith won by a ten-point margin; however, she underperformed Republican president Donald Trump in the concurrent presidential election by around 6 points.

## Republican primary
### Candidates
#### Nominee

* Cindy Hyde-Smith, incumbent U.S. senator

#### Declined

* Gerard Gibert, businessman and vice chairman of the Mississippi Lottery Board
* Chris McDaniel, incumbent state senator and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014 and 2018
* Josh Randle, former president of the Miss America Organization

### Endorsements
#### Organizations

* Maggie's List

### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Cindy Hyde-Smith (incumbent) | 235,463 | 100.0% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 235,463 | 100.0% |

## Democratic primary
### Candidates
#### Nominee

* Mike Espy, former United States Secretary of Agriculture, former U.S. representative for Mississippi's 2nd congressional district, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018

#### Eliminated in primary

* Tobey Bartee, former military intelligence officer and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018
* Jensen Bohren, teacher, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018

#### Declined

* J. P. Hughes Jr., state representative and candidate for lieutenant governor of Mississippi in 2019
* Brandon Presley, member of the Mississippi Public Service Commission

### Endorsements
#### Organizations

* DSCC
* Flip the Senate
* Human Rights Campaign

### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Mike Espy | 250,496 | 93.12% |
| | Democratic | Tobey Bartee | 11,148 | 4.14% |
| | Democratic | Jensen Bohren | 7,345 | 2.74% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 268,989 | 100.0% |

## Other candidates
### Libertarian Party
#### Nominee

* Jimmy Edwards

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Likely R | October 29, 2020 |
| Inside Elections | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos | Safe R | October 30, 2020 |
| Politico | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP | Lean R | October 23, 2020 |
| DDHQ | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| 538 | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
| Economist | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |

### Endorsements
#### Executive Branch officials

* Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017-2021)

#### Organizations

* Campaign for Working Families
* Huck PAC
* NRA Political Victory Fund
* Susan B. Anthony List
* United States Chamber of Commerce

#### Executive Branch officials

* Joe Biden, 47th vice president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009)
* Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)

#### U.S. senators

* Elizabeth Warren, senator from Massachusetts since 2013

#### U.S. representatives

* Bennie Thompson, representative from MS-2 since 1993

#### State officials

* Stacey Abrams, former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives

#### Notable individuals

* Andrew Yang, former 2020 Democratic presidential primary candidate

#### Organizations

* Center for Biological Diversity
* Congressional Black Caucus PAC
* Feminist Majority PAC

#### Unions

* Mississippi AFL-CIO
* National Education Association

### Polling

Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) | Mike Espy (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Data For Progress | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 562 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 47% | 4% | – |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | October 23–26, 2020 | 507 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 52% | 44% | 3% | 2% |
| The Progress Campaign (D) | October 23, 2020 | – (V) | – | 48% | 43% | – | – |
| Tyson Group (R) | August 28–30, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 40% | – | 18% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) | July 30 – August 9, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 42% | 3% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | May 27–28, 2020 | 871 (V) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 41% | – | 10% |
| Impact Management Group (R) | May 4–7, 2020 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 58% | 31% | 3% | 9% |
| Tyson Group (R) | March 10–12, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 54% | 28% | – | 18% |
| The Progress Campaign (D) | March 3–7, 2020 | 826 (V) | – | 52% | 44% | – | 4% |
| Mason-Dixon | February 26–28, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 43% | – | 4% |
| Chism Strategies | January 3–7, 2020 | 618 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 36% | – | 20% |

### Results

United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2020 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Cindy Hyde-Smith (incumbent) | 709,511 | 54.11% | +0.48% |
| | Democratic | Mike Espy | 578,691 | 44.13% | −2.24% |
| | Libertarian | Jimmy Edwards | 23,152 | 1.77% | N/A |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 1,311,354 | 100.00% | |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |

#### By county

By county :
| County | Cindy Hyde-Smith Republican | Cindy Hyde-Smith Republican | Mike Espy Democratic | Mike Espy Democratic | Jimmy Edwards Libertarian | Jimmy Edwards Libertarian | Margin | Margin | Total votes |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total votes |
| Adams | 5,416 | 39.37 | 8,190 | 59.53 | 152 | 1.10 | -2,774 | -20.16 | 13,758 |
| Alcorn | 11,616 | 74.29 | 3,641 | 23.29 | 378 | 2.42 | 7,975 | 51.01 | 15,635 |
| Amite | 4,347 | 60.62 | 2,750 | 38.35 | 74 | 1.03 | 1,597 | 22.27 | 7,171 |
| Attala | 4,888 | 55.42 | 3,824 | 43.36 | 108 | 1.22 | 1,064 | 12.06 | 8,820 |
| Benton | 2,320 | 54.21 | 1,868 | 43.64 | 92 | 2.15 | 452 | 10.56 | 4,280 |
| Bolivar | 4,317 | 31.40 | 9,330 | 67.86 | 102 | 0.74 | -5,013 | -36.46 | 13,749 |
| Calhoun | 4,341 | 65.86 | 2,138 | 32.44 | 112 | 1.70 | 2,203 | 33.42 | 6,591 |
| Carroll | 3,716 | 64.93 | 1,923 | 33.60 | 84 | 1.47 | 1,793 | 31.33 | 5,723 |
| Chickasaw | 3,913 | 47.96 | 4,134 | 50.67 | 112 | 1.37 | -221 | -2.71 | 8,159 |
| Choctaw | 2,811 | 66.78 | 1,320 | 31.36 | 78 | 1.85 | 1,491 | 35.42 | 4,209 |
| Claiborne | 555 | 12.37 | 3,907 | 87.05 | 26 | 0.58 | -3,352 | -74.69 | 4,488 |
| Clarke | 5,169 | 61.93 | 3,053 | 36.58 | 125 | 1.50 | 2,116 | 25.35 | 8,347 |
| Clay | 4,006 | 38.95 | 6,171 | 59.99 | 109 | 1.06 | -2,165 | -21.05 | 10,286 |
| Coahoma | 2,133 | 25.05 | 6,337 | 74.41 | 46 | 0.54 | -4,204 | -49.37 | 8,516 |
| Copiah | 6,062 | 46.96 | 6,730 | 52.13 | 118 | 0.91 | -668 | -5.17 | 12,910 |
| Covington | 5,604 | 59.80 | 3,637 | 38.81 | 131 | 1.40 | 1,967 | 20.99 | 9,372 |
| DeSoto | 43,171 | 56.76 | 31,115 | 40.91 | 1,768 | 2.33 | 12,056 | 15.85 | 76,054 |
| Forrest | 16,079 | 50.81 | 14,871 | 46.99 | 695 | 2.20 | 1,208 | 3.82 | 31,645 |
| Franklin | 2,833 | 63.56 | 1,570 | 35.23 | 54 | 1.21 | 1,263 | 28.34 | 4,457 |
| George | 8,811 | 80.72 | 1,844 | 16.89 | 260 | 2.38 | 6,967 | 63.83 | 10,915 |
| Greene | 4,395 | 76.84 | 1,196 | 20.91 | 129 | 2.25 | 3,199 | 55.93 | 5,720 |
| Grenada | 5,654 | 51.72 | 5,120 | 46.84 | 157 | 1.44 | 534 | 4.88 | 10,931 |
| Hancock | 14,537 | 70.02 | 5,651 | 27.22 | 573 | 2.76 | 8,886 | 42.80 | 20,761 |
| Harrison | 43,180 | 57.04 | 30,367 | 40.12 | 2,152 | 2.84 | 12,813 | 16.93 | 75,699 |
| Hinds | 23,661 | 23.65 | 75,467 | 75.44 | 910 | 0.91 | -51,806 | -51.77 | 100,038 |
| Holmes | 1,230 | 15.25 | 6,798 | 84.30 | 36 | 0.45 | -5,568 | -69.05 | 8,064 |
| Humphreys | 1,023 | 24.43 | 3,135 | 74.88 | 29 | 0.69 | -2,112 | -50.44 | 4,187 |
| Issaquena | 309 | 45.37 | 367 | 53.89 | 5 | 0.73 | -58 | -8.52 | 681 |
| Itawamba | 8,818 | 82.04 | 1,680 | 15.63 | 251 | 2.33 | 7,138 | 66.41 | 10,749 |
| Jackson | 33,608 | 61.93 | 19,334 | 35.63 | 1,325 | 2.44 | 14,274 | 26.30 | 54,267 |
| Jasper | 4,102 | 46.88 | 4,556 | 52.07 | 92 | 1.05 | -454 | -5.19 | 8,750 |
| Jefferson Davis | 2,400 | 38.70 | 3,758 | 60.59 | 44 | 0.71 | -1,358 | -21.90 | 6,202 |
| Jefferson | 476 | 12.15 | 3,428 | 87.54 | 12 | 0.31 | -2,952 | -75.38 | 3,916 |
| Jones | 19,917 | 66.43 | 9,422 | 31.43 | 641 | 2.14 | 10,495 | 35.01 | 29,980 |
| Kemper | 1,720 | 36.40 | 2,965 | 62.75 | 40 | 0.85 | -1,245 | -26.35 | 4,725 |
| Lafayette | 12,127 | 51.90 | 10,806 | 46.25 | 432 | 1.85 | 1,321 | 5.65 | 23,365 |
| Lamar | 19,588 | 68.88 | 8,157 | 28.68 | 693 | 2.44 | 11,431 | 40.20 | 28,438 |
| Lauderdale | 17,082 | 54.89 | 13,537 | 43.50 | 501 | 1.61 | 3,545 | 11.39 | 31,120 |
| Lawrence | 4,222 | 64.00 | 2,318 | 35.14 | 57 | 0.86 | 1,904 | 28.86 | 6,597 |
| Leake | 4,991 | 54.21 | 4,123 | 44.79 | 92 | 1.00 | 868 | 9.43 | 9,206 |
| Lee | 22,739 | 61.70 | 13,372 | 36.28 | 745 | 2.02 | 9,367 | 25.42 | 36,856 |
| Leflore | 2,914 | 26.72 | 7,936 | 72.76 | 57 | 0.52 | -5,022 | -46.04 | 10,907 |
| Lincoln | 11,378 | 67.72 | 5,256 | 31.28 | 168 | 1.00 | 6,122 | 36.44 | 16,802 |
| Lowndes | 13,010 | 47.79 | 13,843 | 50.85 | 369 | 1.36 | -833 | -3.06 | 27,222 |
| Madison | 30,038 | 53.42 | 25,374 | 45.12 | 823 | 1.46 | 4,664 | 8.29 | 56,235 |
| Marion | 7,821 | 64.19 | 4,177 | 34.28 | 187 | 1.53 | 3,644 | 29.91 | 12,185 |
| Marshall | 6,904 | 43.96 | 8,590 | 54.69 | 212 | 1.35 | -1,686 | -10.74 | 15,706 |
| Monroe | 10,516 | 60.89 | 6,441 | 37.29 | 314 | 1.82 | 4,075 | 23.59 | 17,271 |
| Montgomery | 2,738 | 53.81 | 2,264 | 44.50 | 86 | 1.69 | 474 | 9.32 | 5,088 |
| Neshoba | 7,797 | 67.03 | 3,602 | 30.96 | 234 | 2.01 | 4,195 | 36.06 | 11,633 |
| Newton | 6,659 | 65.77 | 3,290 | 32.49 | 176 | 1.74 | 3,369 | 33.27 | 10,125 |
| Noxubee | 1,178 | 22.07 | 4,138 | 77.53 | 21 | 0.39 | -2,960 | -55.46 | 5,337 |
| Oktibbeha | 8,592 | 43.45 | 10,870 | 54.97 | 313 | 1.58 | -2,278 | -11.52 | 19,775 |
| Panola | 7,425 | 47.60 | 7,953 | 50.99 | 220 | 1.41 | -528 | -3.39 | 15,598 |
| Pearl River | 17,814 | 75.33 | 5,053 | 21.37 | 780 | 3.30 | 12,761 | 53.96 | 23,647 |
| Perry | 4,204 | 71.24 | 1,555 | 26.35 | 142 | 2.41 | 2,649 | 44.89 | 5,901 |
| Pike | 8,044 | 46.37 | 9,048 | 52.15 | 257 | 1.48 | -1,004 | -5.79 | 17,349 |
| Pontotoc | 10,803 | 75.52 | 3,164 | 22.12 | 337 | 2.36 | 7,639 | 53.40 | 14,304 |
| Prentiss | 7,651 | 72.22 | 2,714 | 25.62 | 229 | 2.16 | 4,937 | 46.60 | 10,594 |
| Quitman | 883 | 27.27 | 2,307 | 71.25 | 48 | 1.48 | -1,424 | -43.98 | 3,238 |
| Rankin | 48,502 | 68.82 | 20,315 | 28.82 | 1,664 | 2.36 | 28,187 | 39.99 | 70,481 |
| Scott | 5,933 | 55.28 | 4,649 | 43.31 | 151 | 1.41 | 1,284 | 11.96 | 10,733 |
| Sharkey | 663 | 30.40 | 1,511 | 69.28 | 7 | 0.32 | -848 | -38.88 | 2,181 |
| Simpson | 7,381 | 62.43 | 4,303 | 36.40 | 138 | 1.17 | 3,078 | 26.04 | 11,822 |
| Smith | 6,202 | 74.64 | 1,977 | 23.79 | 130 | 1.57 | 4,225 | 50.85 | 8,309 |
| Stone | 5,609 | 71.38 | 2,051 | 26.10 | 198 | 2.52 | 3,558 | 45.28 | 7,858 |
| Sunflower | 2,623 | 27.08 | 7,020 | 72.48 | 42 | 0.43 | -4,397 | -45.40 | 9,685 |
| Tallahatchie | 2,309 | 40.59 | 3,316 | 58.29 | 64 | 1.25 | -1,007 | -17.70 | 5,689 |
| Tate | 8,071 | 61.98 | 4,694 | 36.05 | 256 | 1.97 | 3,377 | 25.93 | 13,021 |
| Tippah | 7,394 | 73.69 | 2,432 | 24.24 | 208 | 2.07 | 4,962 | 49.45 | 10,034 |
| Tishomingo | 7,216 | 79.59 | 1,594 | 17.58 | 256 | 2.82 | 5,622 | 62.01 | 9,066 |
| Tunica | 814 | 22.78 | 2,717 | 76.04 | 42 | 1.18 | -1,903 | -53.26 | 3,573 |
| Union | 9,572 | 75.63 | 2,660 | 21.02 | 424 | 3.35 | 6,912 | 54.61 | 12,656 |
| Walthall | 4,005 | 56.54 | 2,993 | 42.25 | 86 | 1.21 | 1,012 | 14.29 | 7,084 |
| Warren | 9,912 | 47.18 | 10,853 | 51.65 | 246 | 1.17 | -941 | -4.48 | 21,011 |
| Washington | 4,891 | 26.94 | 13,155 | 72.46 | 109 | 0.60 | -8,264 | -45.52 | 18,155 |
| Wayne | 5,984 | 59.35 | 3,954 | 39.22 | 144 | 1.43 | 2,030 | 20.13 | 10,082 |
| Webster | 4,067 | 75.62 | 1,198 | 22.28 | 113 | 2.10 | 2,869 | 53.35 | 5,378 |
| Wilkinson | 1,295 | 31.76 | 2,702 | 66.27 | 80 | 1.96 | -1,407 | -32.06 | 4,077 |
| Winston | 4,846 | 52.32 | 4,303 | 46.45 | 114 | 1.23 | 543 | 5.86 | 9,263 |
| Yalobusha | 3,415 | 52.47 | 3,005 | 46.17 | 88 | 1.35 | 410 | 6.30 | 6,508 |
| Yazoo | 4,551 | 43.62 | 5,804 | 55.63 | 79 | 0.76 | -1,253 | -12.01 | 10,434 |
| Totals | 709,511 | 54.11 | 578,691 | 44.13 | 23,152 | 1.77 | 130,820 | 9.98 | 1,311,354 |

#### By congressional district

Hyde-Smith won three of four congressional districts.
| District | Hyde-Smith | Espy | Representative |
| 1st | 60% | 38% | Trent Kelly |
| 2nd | 33% | 66% | Bennie Thompson |
| 3rd | 58% | 41% | Michael Guest |
| 4th | 63% | 34% | Steven Palazzo |