# 2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

Elections in Massachusetts :
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Federal government
U.S. President
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U.S. Senate
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U.S. House
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2024 :
State government
Governor
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State House
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Governor's Council
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Ballot measures
1980: Proposition 2½
2002: English Language Education in Public Schools
2006: 2008
Greyhound Protection
Sensible Marijuana Policy
State Income Tax Repeal
2010: No Sales Tax for Alcohol
Sales Tax Relief
Comprehensive Permits and Regional Planning
2012: Right to Repair
Death with Dignity
Medical Marijuana
2014: Automatic Gas Tax Increase Repeal
Expansion of Bottle Deposits
Casino Repeal
Paid Sick Days
2016: Expand Slot Machine Gaming
Charter School Expansion
Farm Animal Confinement
Legalization, Regulation and Taxation of Marijuana
2018: Gender Identity Anti-Discrimination
2020: pending :
Boston
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Springfield
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Worcester
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Massachusetts portal :
vte :
The 2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Massachusetts voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Massachusetts has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
Prior to the election, Massachusetts was widely considered a state Biden would win or a safe blue state. On election day, Biden easily carried Massachusetts with a 33-point margin, the largest margin whereby any nominee had carried the state since Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide. Massachusetts was one of three states where Biden won every county, the other two being Rhode Island and Hawaii.
Massachusetts voted 29% more Democratic than the national average.

## Primary elections

Presidential preference primaries were scheduled for March 3, 2020, for each of the political parties with state ballot access.

### Democratic primary

Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden were among the declared major Democratic candidates. Elizabeth Warren, one of the two current senators from Massachusetts, formed an exploratory committee in December 2018 and declared her intention to run in February 2019.
2020 Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary :
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
| Joe Biden | 473,861 | 33.41 | 37 |
| Bernie Sanders | 376,990 | 26.58 | 30 |
| Elizabeth Warren | 303,864 | 21.43 | 24 |
| Michael Bloomberg | 166,200 | 11.72 | |
| Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | 38,400 | 2.71 | |
| Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | 17,297 | 1.22 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 10,548 | 0.74 | |
| Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | 6,923 | 0.49 | |
| Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | 6,762 | 0.48 | |
| Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 2,708 | 0.19 | |
| Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 1,257 | 0.09 | |
| John Delaney (withdrawn) | 675 | 0.05 | |
| Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 617 | 0.04 | |
| Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 426 | 0.03 | |
| Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 305 | 0.02 | |
| All Others | 1,941 | 0.14 | |
| No Preference | 5,345 | 0.38 | |
| Blank ballots | 4,061 | 0.29 | |
| Total | 1,418,180 | 100% | 91 |

### Republican primary

Massachusetts governor Charlie Baker declined to run, as did Utah Senator and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney.
2020 Massachusetts Republican presidential primary :
| Candidate | Popular vote | Popular vote | Delegates |
| Candidate | Count | Percentage | Delegates |
| Donald Trump (incumbent) | 239,115 | 86.32 | 41 |
| Bill Weld | 25,425 | 9.18 | 0 |
| Joe Walsh (withdrawn) | 3,008 | 1.09 | 0 |
| Rocky De La Fuente | 675 | 0.24 | 0 |
| No Preference | 4,385 | 1.58 | 0 |
| Blank ballots | 2,242 | 0.81 | 0 |
| All Others | 2,152 | 0.78 | 0 |
| Total | 277,002 | 100% | 41 |

### Libertarian primary

A number of Libertarian candidates declared for the race, including New Hampshire State Representative Max Abramson, Adam Kokesh, Vermin Supreme and former Libertarian National Committee vice-chair Arvin Vohra.
Massachusetts Libertarian presidential primary, March 3, 2020 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
| All others | 958 | 25.0% |
| No preference | 804 | 21.0% |
| Vermin Supreme | 399 | 10.4% |
| Jacob Hornberger | 369 | 9.6% |
| Dan Behrman | 294 | 7.7% |
| Kim Ruff (withdrawn) | 224 | 5.8% |
| Arvin Vohra | 151 | 3.9% |
| Ken Armstrong | 145 | 3.8% |
| Jo Jorgensen | 141 | 3.7% |
| Sam Robb | 127 | 3.3% |
| Adam Kokesh | 125 | 3.3% |
| Max Abramson | 98 | 2.6% |
| Total | 3,835 | 100% |

### Green primary

Massachusetts Green Party presidential primary, March 3, 2020 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | National delegates |
| Dario Hunter | 224 | 16.9 | 2 |
| Howie Hawkins | 217 | 16.4 | 1 |
| Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza-Curry | 141 | 10.6 | 1 |
| Kent Mesplay | 55 | 4.1 | 0 |
| David Rolde | 4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Write-In | 369 | 27.8 | 0 |
| No Preference | 316 | 23.8 | 7 |
| Total | 1326 | 100.00% | 11 |

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | September 10, 2020 |
| Inside Elections | Safe D | September 4, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | July 14, 2020 |
| Politico | Safe D | September 8, 2020 |
| RCP | Safe D | August 3, 2020 |
| Niskanen | Safe D | July 26, 2020 |
| CNN | Safe D | August 3, 2020 |
| The Economist | Safe D | September 2, 2020 |
| 270towin | Safe D | August 2, 2020 |
| ABC News | Safe D | July 31, 2020 |
| NBC News | Safe D | August 6, 2020 |
| 538 | Safe D | September 9, 2020 |

### Polling
#### Graphical summary

Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided | Margin |
| 270 to Win | October 17 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 65.0% | 28.7% | 6.3% | Biden +36.3 |
| RealClearPolitics | July 31 – August 27, 2020 | September 15, 2020 | 64.0% | 28.3% | 7.7% | Biden +35.7 |
| FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 64.6% | 28.9% | 6.5% | Biden +35.8 |
| Average | Average | Average | 64.5% | 28.6% | 6.8% | Biden +35.9 |
Polls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
| MassInc | Oct 23–30, 2020 | 929 (LV) | – | 28% | 62% | - | - | 8% | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,848 (LV) | – | 28% | 70% | - | - | – | – |
| YouGov/UMass Amherst | Oct 14–21, 2020 | 713 (LV) | – | 29% | 64% | - | - | 3% | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,655 (LV) | – | 32% | 66% | - | - | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,286 (LV) | – | 29% | 69% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Emerson College/WHDH | Aug 25–27, 2020 | 763 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 31% | 69% | - | - | – | – |
| MassINC/WBUR | Aug 6–9, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 27% | 63% | - | - | 5% | 4% |
| UMass/YouGov | Jul 31 – Aug 7, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 5.9% | 28% | 61% | - | - | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,509 (LV) | – | 26% | 72% | - | - | – | 2% |
| MassINC | Jul 17–20, 2020 | 797 (RV) | – | 23% | 55% | - | - | 10% | 12% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,091 (LV) | – | 27% | 71% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Emerson College/7 News | May 4–5, 2020 | 740 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 33% | 67% | - | - | – | – |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov | Apr 27 – May 1, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 30% | 58% | - | - | 7% | 4% |
| Emerson College | Apr 4–7, 2019 | 761 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 31% | 69% | - | - | – | – |
Former candidates :
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Bernie Sanders (D) | Undecided |
| Emerson College | Apr 4–7, 2019 | 761 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 36% | 64% | – |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump (R) | Elizabeth Warren (D) | Undecided |
| Emerson College | Apr 4–7, 2019 | 761 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 37% | 63% | – |

### Results

2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris | 2,382,202 | 65.60 | +4.62 |
| | Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence | 1,167,202 | 32.14 | –0.67 |
| | Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen | 47,013 | 1.29 | –2.93 |
| | Green | Howie Hawkins Angela Walker | 18,658 | 0.51 | –0.95 |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 16,327 | 0.45 | –1.07 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 3,631,402 | 100% | +1.49 |
| | Democratic win | Democratic win | Democratic win | Democratic win | Democratic win |

#### By county

| County | Joe Biden Democratic | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total votes cast |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total votes cast |
| Barnstable | 91,994 | 61.20% | 55,311 | 36.79% | 3,020 | 2.01% | 36,683 | 24.41% | 150,325 |
| Berkshire | 51,705 | 72.44% | 18,064 | 25.31% | 1,606 | 2.25% | 33,641 | 47.13% | 71,375 |
| Bristol | 153,377 | 54.92% | 119,872 | 42.92% | 6,030 | 2.16% | 33,505 | 12.00% | 279,279 |
| Dukes | 9,914 | 77.47% | 2,631 | 20.56% | 253 | 1.97% | 7,283 | 56.91% | 12,798 |
| Essex | 267,198 | 63.44% | 144,837 | 34.39% | 9,175 | 2.17% | 122,361 | 29.05% | 421,210 |
| Franklin | 30,030 | 70.73% | 11,201 | 26.38% | 1,227 | 2.89% | 18,829 | 44.35% | 42,458 |
| Hampden | 125,948 | 57.73% | 87,318 | 40.02% | 4,911 | 2.25% | 38,630 | 17.71% | 218,177 |
| Hampshire | 63,362 | 72.12% | 22,281 | 25.36% | 2,211 | 2.52% | 41,081 | 46.76% | 87,854 |
| Middlesex | 617,196 | 71.47% | 226,956 | 26.28% | 19,425 | 2.25% | 390,240 | 45.19% | 863,577 |
| Nantucket | 5,241 | 71.74% | 1,914 | 26.20% | 151 | 2.06% | 3,327 | 45.54% | 7,306 |
| Norfolk | 273,312 | 67.03% | 125,294 | 30.73% | 9,145 | 2.24% | 148,018 | 36.30% | 407,751 |
| Plymouth | 173,630 | 57.53% | 121,227 | 40.17% | 6,959 | 2.30% | 52,403 | 17.36% | 301,816 |
| Suffolk | 270,522 | 80.64% | 58,613 | 17.47% | 6,327 | 1.89% | 211,909 | 63.17% | 335,462 |
| Worcester | 248,773 | 57.58% | 171,683 | 39.74% | 11,558 | 2.68% | 77,090 | 17.84% | 432,014 |
| Totals | 2,382,202 | 65.60% | 1,167,202 | 32.14% | 81,998 | 2.26% | 1,215,000 | 33.46% | 3,631,402 |
* Democratic — +10-12.5%
* Democratic — +7.5-10%
* Democratic — +5-7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5-5%
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Democratic — +10-12.5%
* Democratic — +7.5-10%
* Democratic — +5-7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5-5%
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%

#### By congressional district

Biden won all nine congressional districts, breaking 60% of the vote in eight of them.
| District | Trump | Biden | Representative |
| 1st | 36.9% | 61.1% | Richard Neal |
| 2nd | 36% | 61.8% | Jim McGovern |
| 3rd | 34.6% | 63.4% | Lori Trahan |
| 4th | 33.7% | 64.5% | Joe Kennedy III |
| 4th | 33.7% | 64.5% | Jake Auchincloss |
| 5th | 23.9% | 74.5% | Katherine Clark |
| 6th | 35.6% | 62.6% | Seth Moulton |
| 7th | 13.3% | 85.3% | Ayanna Pressley |
| 8th | 32.2% | 66.2% | Stephen Lynch |
| 9th | 40.3% | 57.9% | Bill Keating |

## Analysis

Massachusetts has been a Democratic-leaning state since 1928, and a Democratic stronghold since 1960, and has maintained extremely large Democratic margins since 1996. This remained true in 2020, with Massachusetts being one of six states (along with Hawaii, Vermont, Maryland, California, and New York) to give Biden over 60% of the vote. Massachusetts is ethnically diverse, highly urbanized, highly educated, and among the least religious states.
Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength came from winning 74% of college-educated voters, which carries particular weight in Massachusetts, as the state contains the highest proportion of graduates of any state in the country. Trump's slip among suburban white voters led Biden to carry almost every municipality in the Greater Boston area by at least 60% or more, while Trump carried only several towns on the South Shore and in Central Massachusetts. Biden won 298 of the 351 municipalities. Biden swept all demographic groups, garnering 63% of whites, 84% of Latinos, 58% of Catholics, 56% of Protestants, and 86% of Jewish voters. Additionally, Biden won 52% of whites without a college degree within the state, one of Trump's strongest demographics elsewhere in the country. While Biden overwhelmingly carried Latino voters in the state, Trump improved on his 2016 performance in heavily Hispanic cities such as Lawrence, Chelsea, and Holyoke. Trump had the worst vote share in Massachusetts of any Republican nominee since Bob Dole in 1996, and slightly underperformed George W. Bush's 32.5% vote share in 2000.
Massachusetts was one of five states in the nation in which Biden's victory margin was larger than 1 million raw votes, the others being California, Maryland, New York and Illinois.