# 2024 United States Senate election in Minnesota

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vte :
The 2024 United States Senate election in Minnesota was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Minnesota. Democratic incumbent Amy Klobuchar won a fourth term in office, defeating Republican former basketball player Royce White. Primary elections took place on August 13, 2024.

## Background

Minnesota is considered to be a slightly to moderately blue state at the federal level. In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden carried Minnesota by about seven percentage points. Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide executive offices, and both state legislative chambers.
Klobuchar was first elected in 2006, defeating former U.S. Representative Mark Kennedy. She won re-election in 2012 and 2018 by large margins.
This race was considered to be clearly favoring Klobuchar, as she had won all three of her previous Senate elections by more than 20 points and typically over-performs other down-ballot candidates.

## Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary
### Candidates
#### Nominee

* Amy Klobuchar, incumbent U.S. senator

#### Eliminated in primary

* Steve Carlson, business consultant and perennial candidate
* Ahmad Hassan, businessman and perennial candidate
* George Kalberer, financial management executive and candidate for Minnesota's 1st congressional district in 2022
* Ole Savior, artist and perennial candidate

### Endorsements

U.S representatives
* Gabby Giffords, former U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)
Organizations
* AIPAC
* EMILY's List
* End Citizens United
* Feminist Majority PAC
* Giffords
* Jewish Democratic Council of America
* J Street PAC
* Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs
* League of Conservation Voters
* Let America Vote
* Natural Resources Defense Council
* Planned Parenthood Action Fund
* Population Connection Action Fund
Political parties
* Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party

### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 24, 2024 :
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Amy Klobuchar (DFL) | $18,972,719 | $16,340,965 | $6,567,231 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission ||||

#### Results

Klobuchar swept the primary, earning more than 90% of the vote in every county of the state. She recorded her best performance in Pope County, while her worst performance was in Anoka County. There, she came the closest to slipping below 90%, having won 90.00471% of the vote.
Democratic (DFL) primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic (DFL) | Amy Klobuchar (incumbent) | 305,055 | 94.29% |
| | Democratic (DFL) | Steve Carlson | 9,535 | 2.95% |
| | Democratic (DFL) | Ahmad Hassan | 4,891 | 1.51% |
| | Democratic (DFL) | Ole Savior | 2,478 | 0.77% |
| | Democratic (DFL) | George Kalberer | 1,578 | 0.49% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 323,540 | 100.0% |

## Republican primary
### Candidates
#### Nominee

* Royce White, former NBA player and candidate for Minnesota's 5th congressional district in 2022

#### Eliminated in primary

* John Berman, engineer and perennial candidate
* Loner Blue, retiree and convicted felon
* Joe Fraser, banker
* Alycia Gruenhagen, food co-op manager and Democratic candidate for Minnesota's 7th congressional district in 2020 and 2022
* Patrick Munro, landscaping company owner and perennial candidate
* Raymond Petersen, truck driver
* Christopher Seymore, teacher and perennial candidate

#### Declined

* Michelle Benson, former state senator (2011–2023) and candidate for governor in 2022
* Paul Gazelka, former Majority Leader of the Minnesota Senate (2017–2021) from the 9th district (2011–2023) and candidate for governor in 2022
* Walter Hudson, state representative (2023–present)
* Scott Jensen, former state senator (2017–2021) and nominee for governor in 2022
* Erik Paulsen, former U.S. representative from Minnesota's 3rd congressional district (2009–2019)
* Kendall Qualls, healthcare technology executive, nominee for Minnesota's 3rd congressional district in 2020, and candidate for governor in 2022
* Jim Schultz, lawyer and nominee for attorney general in 2022
* Ryan Wilson, medical device research company CEO and nominee for state auditor in 2022

### Endorsements

U.S. Senators
* Rudy Boschwitz, former U.S. Senator from Minnesota (1978–1991)
* Norm Coleman, former U.S. Senator from Minnesota (2003–2009)
Statewide officials
* Tim Pawlenty, former governor of Minnesota (2003–2011)
Organizations
* Republican Jewish Coalition
U.S. Representatives
* Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative from FL-01
Individuals
* Steve Bannon, former White House Chief Strategist and podcast host
* Alex Jones, Infowars owner and host
* Kari Lake, former KSAZ-TV news anchor
* Mike Lindell, CEO of MyPillow
Political parties
* Minnesota Republican Party

### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 24, 2024 :
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Joe Fraser (R) | $68,438 | $45,860 | $22,578 |
| Royce White (R) | $132,721 | $79,782 | $52,940 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission ||||

### Results

* White—20–30%
* White—30–40%
* White—40–50%
* White—50–60%
* Fraser—20–30%
* Fraser—30–40%
* Gruenhagen—30–40%
* Gruenhagen—40–50%
* White—30–40%
* White—40–50%
Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Royce White | 74,814 | 38.50% |
| | Republican | Joe Fraser | 56,909 | 29.29% |
| | Republican | Raymond Petersen | 16,237 | 8.36% |
| | Republican | Alycia Gruenhagen | 15,017 | 7.73% |
| | Republican | John Berman | 14,158 | 7.29% |
| | Republican | Patrick Munro | 9,444 | 4.86% |
| | Republican | Christopher Seymore | 5,020 | 2.58% |
| | Republican | Loner Blue | 2,727 | 1.40% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 194,336 | 100.0% |

## Third-party and independent candidates
### Candidates
#### Declared

* Joyce Lacey (Independence—Alliance), guardianship advocate and Republican candidate for governor in 2022
* Rebecca Whiting (Libertarian), farmer

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Inside Elections | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | November 9, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Safe D | August 26, 2024 |
| Elections Daily | Safe D | May 4, 2023 |
| CNalysis | Solid D | November 21, 2023 |
| RealClearPolitics | Solid D | August 5, 2024 |
| Split Ticket | Safe D | October 30, 2024 |
| 538 | Solid D | October 31, 2024 |

### Polling

Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Amy Klobuchar (DFL) | Royce White (R) | Undecided | Margin |
| RealClearPolitics | October 16 - November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 52.0% | 39.0% | 9.0% | Klobuchar +13.0% |
| 538 | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 51.2% | 38.4% | 10.4% | Klobuchar +12.8% |
| 270toWin | October 16 - November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 49.7% | 36.0% | 14.3% | Klobuchar +13.7% |
| Average | Average | Average | 51.0% | 37.8% | 11.2% | Klobuchar +13.2% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Amy Klobuchar (DFL) | Royce White (R) | Other | Undecided |
| AtlasIntel | November 1–4, 2024 | 2,065 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 53% | 41% | 4% | 2% |
| Research Co. | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 38% | 3% | 4% |
| ActiVote | October 8–31, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 56% | 44% | – | – |
| Chism Strategies | October 28–30, 2024 | 534 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 35% | 3% | 11% |
| SurveyUSA | October 24–28, 2024 | 728 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 35% | 3% | 10% |
| Embold Research | October 16–22, 2024 | 1,734 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 52% | 40% | 2% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 12–14, 2024 | 544 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 35% | 5% | 19% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 27 – October 2, 2024 | 551 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 38% | 6% | 11% |
| SurveyUSA | September 23–26, 2024 | 646 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 53% | 35% | 5% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 16–19, 2024 | 703 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 34% | 7% | 17% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | September 16–18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 40% | 1% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 6–9, 2024 | 617 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 36% | 5% | 16% |
| Embold Research | September 4–8, 2024 | 1,616 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 52% | 41% | – | 7% |
| SurveyUSA | August 27–29, 2024 | 635 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | 36% | 4% | 11% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 25–28, 2024 | 426 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 34% | 8% | 18% |
| SurveyUSA | July 23–25, 2024 | 656 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 55% | 33% | 4% | 8% |
| Fox News | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,071 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | 40% | – | 2% |
| Emerson College | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 37% | 4% | 10% |
| SurveyUSA | June 12–16, 2024 | 626 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 35% | 4% | 12% |
Amy Klobuchar vs. Joe Fraser
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Amy Klobuchar (DFL) | Joe Fraser (R) | Other | Undecided |
| SurveyUSA | July 23–25, 2024 | 656 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 33% | 4% | 10% |
| Emerson College | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 37% | 5% | 10% |
| SurveyUSA | June 12–16, 2024 | 626 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 36% | 4% | 11% |
| SurveyUSA | May 8–11, 2024 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 34% | 5% | 12% |
| SurveyUSA | April 3–7, 2024 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 34% | 6% | 10% |
| SurveyUSA | February 23–28, 2024 | 1,603 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 33% | 5% | 14% |

### Results

2024 United States Senate election in Minnesota :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Democratic (DFL) | Amy Klobuchar (incumbent) | 1,792,441 | 56.20% | −4.11% |
| | Republican | Royce White | 1,291,712 | 40.50% | +4.29% |
| | Libertarian | Rebecca Whiting | 55,215 | 1.73% | N/A |
| | Independence | Joyce Lacey | 46,377 | 1.45% | N/A |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 3,578 | 0.11% | +0.07% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 3,189,323 | 100.00% | N/A |
| | Democratic (DFL) hold | Democratic (DFL) hold | Democratic (DFL) hold | Democratic (DFL) hold | Democratic (DFL) hold |
* Republican — >15%
* Republican — +12.5−15%
* Republican — +10−12.5%
* Republican — +7.5−10%
* Republican — +5−7.5%
* Republican — +2.5−5%
* Republican — +0−2.5%
* Democratic — +0−2.5%
* Democratic — +2.5−5%
* Democratic — +5−7.5%
* Democratic — +7.5-10%
* Democratic — +10−12.5%
* Democratic — +12.5−15%
* Democratic — >15%

#### Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

* Aitkin (largest city: Aitkin)
* Big Stone (largest city: Ortonville)
* Chippewa (Largest city: Montevideo)
* Fillmore (largest city: Spring Valley)
* Freeborn (largest city: Albert Lea)
* Itasca (largest city: Grand Rapids)
* Goodhue (Largest city: Red Wing)
* Grant (Largest city: Elbow Lake)
* Houston (Largest city: La Crescent)
* Kandiyohi (Largest city: Willmar)
* Kittson (Largest city: Hallock)
* Koochiching (Largest city: International Falls)
* Lac qui Parle (largest city: Madison)
* Le Sueur (Largest city: Le Sueur)
* Lyon (Largest city: Marshall)
* Pennington (Largest city: Thief River Falls)
* Pine (largest city: Pine City)
* Pope (Largest city: Glenwood)
* Red Lake (Largest city: Red Lake Falls)
* Renville (Largest city: Olivia)
* Stearns (Largest city: St. Cloud)
* Steele (Largest city: Owatonna)
* Stevens (Largest city: Morris)
* Swift (largest city: Benson)
* Traverse (Largest city: Wheaton)
* Wabasha (Largest city: Lake City)
* Waseca (Largest city: Waseca)
* Watonwan (Largest city: St. James)
* Wilkin (Largest city: Breckenridge)
* Yellow Medicine (Largest city: Granite Falls)

#### By congressional district

Klobuchar won 5 of 8 congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.
| District | Klobuchar | White | Representative |
| 1st | 49% | 48% | Brad Finstad |
| 2nd | 57% | 40% | Angie Craig |
| 3rd | 63% | 34% | Dean Phillips (118th Congress) |
| 3rd | 63% | 34% | Kelly Morrison (119th Congress) |
| 4th | 70% | 26% | Betty McCollum |
| 5th | 82% | 15% | Ilhan Omar |
| 6th | 45% | 52% | Tom Emmer |
| 7th | 40% | 57% | Michelle Fischbach |
| 8th | 48% | 49% | Pete Stauber |