# 2019 Dutch Senate election

The 2019 election to the Senate of the Netherlands was held on 27 May 2019, two months after the provincial elections.
Forum for Democracy, which took part for the first time, became the largest party. This was later undone by several party splits.

## Electoral system

The Senate consists of 75 members elected every four years by the members of the States-Provincial of the country's twelve provinces, and, following a law change in 2017, electoral colleges representing the special municipalities of Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba, who are in turn elected directly by the citizens two months earlier in the 2019 provincial and electoral college elections. The seats are distributed in one nationwide constituency using party-list proportional representation.
The value of each elector's vote is determined by the population of the province or special municipality which the elector represents, at a ratio of approximately 1 vote per 100 residents.
| Province | Members | Population | Votes | Value per member |
| South Holland | 55 | 3,674,146 | 36,740 | 668 |
| North Holland | 55 | 2,853,488 | 29,095 | 519 |
| North Brabant | 55 | 2,544,995 | 25,465 | 463 |
| Gelderland | 55 | 2,071,913 | 20,735 | 377 |
| Utrecht | 49 | 1,342,194 | 13,426 | 274 |
| Overijssel | 47 | 1,156,373 | 11,562 | 246 |
| Limburg | 47 | 1,116,127 | 11,139 | 237 |
| Friesland | 43 | 647,740 | 6,493 | 151 |
| Groningen | 43 | 584,094 | 5,848 | 136 |
| Drenthe | 41 | 492,179 | 4,920 | 120 |
| Flevoland | 41 | 416,431 | 4,182 | 102 |
| Zeeland | 39 | 383,073 | 3,822 | 98 |
| Bonaire | 9 | 20,104 | 198 | 22 |
| Sint Eustatius | 5 | 3,138 | 30 | 6 |
| Saba | 5 | 1,915 | 20 | 4 |

## Seat projections

| Polling firm | Date(s) | VVD | CDA | D66 | PVV | SP | PvdA | GL | CU | PvdD | SGP | 50+ | OSF | DENK | FVD |
| ANP projection | 21 Mar 2019 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Ipsos exit poll | 20 Mar 2019 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| Peil.nl exit poll | 20 Mar 2019 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 |
| Peil.nl | 19 Mar 2019 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| I&O Research | 15–18 Mar 2019 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| Kantar Public | 14–17 Mar 2019 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
| I&O Research | 8–12 Mar 2019 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| Ipsos | 8–11 Mar 2019 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| I&O Research | 22–26 Feb 2019 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| Ipsos | 22–25 Feb 2019 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 2015 election | 26 May 2015 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | – | – |

## Results
### Electors

Results of the 20 March 2019 Dutch Provincial and Senate Electoral College elections :
| Party or alliance | Party or alliance | Party or alliance | Party or alliance | Votes | % | Seats | +/– |
| | Forum for Democracy | Forum for Democracy | Forum for Democracy | 1,057,030 | 14.51 | 86 | New |
| | People's Party for Freedom and Democracy | People's Party for Freedom and Democracy | People's Party for Freedom and Democracy | 1,017,937 | 13.97 | 80 | –9 |
| | CDA-affiliated | | Christian Democratic Appeal | 805,862 | 11.06 | 72 | –17 |
| | CDA-affiliated | | Bonaire Patriotic Union | 1,530 | 0.02 | 2 | New |
| | CDA-affiliated | | Democratic Party (Sint Eustatius) | 366 | 0.01 | 5 | New |
| | CDA-affiliated | Total | Total | 807,758 | 11.09 | 79 | –10 |
| | GroenLinks | GroenLinks | GroenLinks | 783,006 | 10.75 | 61 | +31 |
| | PvdA-affiliated | | Labour Party | 619,906 | 8.51 | 53 | –10 |
| | PvdA-affiliated | | Bonaire Democratic Party | 2,166 | 0.03 | 3 | New |
| | PvdA-affiliated | Total | Total | 622,072 | 8.54 | 56 | –7 |
| | D66-affiliated | | Democrats 66 | 567,363 | 7.79 | 41 | –26 |
| | D66-affiliated | | Bonaire People's Movement | 3,097 | 0.04 | 4 | New |
| | D66-affiliated | Total | Total | 570,460 | 7.83 | 45 | –22 |
| | Party for Freedom | Party for Freedom | Party for Freedom | 504,948 | 6.93 | 40 | –26 |
| | Socialist Party | Socialist Party | Socialist Party | 430,096 | 5.90 | 35 | –35 |
| | CU–SGP | | Christian Union | 353,443 | 4.85 | 31 | +2 |
| | CU–SGP | | Reformed Political Party | 179,899 | 2.47 | 14 | –4 |
| | CU–SGP | | CU–SGP joint list in North Brabant | 19,466 | 0.27 | 1 | –1 |
| | CU–SGP | Total | Total | 552,808 | 7.59 | 46 | –3 |
| | Party for the Animals | Party for the Animals | Party for the Animals | 317,104 | 4.35 | 20 | +2 |
| | 50PLUS-affiliated | | 50PLUS | 265,215 | 3.64 | 17 | +3 |
| | 50PLUS-affiliated | | Party for the North | 10,527 | 0.14 | 2 | +1 |
| | 50PLUS-affiliated | Total | Total | 275,742 | 3.79 | 19 | +4 |
| | OSF-affiliated | | Local Brabant | 25,485 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 |
| | OSF-affiliated | | Frisian National Party | 23,662 | 0.32 | 4 | 0 |
| | OSF-affiliated | | Groningers' Interests | 18,556 | 0.25 | 3 | 0 |
| | OSF-affiliated | | Local Limburg | 18,474 | 0.25 | 2 | +1 |
| | OSF-affiliated | | Elderly Party North Holland | 18,307 | 0.25 | 0 | –1 |
| | OSF-affiliated | | Local Parties South Holland | 11,648 | 0.16 | 0 | New |
| | OSF-affiliated | | Local Parties Gelderland – Code Orange | 11,053 | 0.15 | 0 | New |
| | OSF-affiliated | | Party for Zeeland | 10,619 | 0.15 | 2 | +1 |
| | OSF-affiliated | | Locally Strong | 9,344 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 |
| | OSF-affiliated | | U26 Municipalities | 6,530 | 0.09 | 0 | New |
| | OSF-affiliated | | Frisian Provincial Interests | 5,345 | 0.07 | 0 | New |
| | OSF-affiliated | Total | Total | 159,023 | 2.18 | 13 | +1 |
| | Denk | Denk | Denk | 121,753 | 1.67 | 4 | New |
| | Code Orange | Code Orange | Code Orange | 24,047 | 0.33 | 0 | New |
| | NIDA | NIDA | NIDA | 11,347 | 0.16 | 0 | New |
| | Seniors Brabant | Seniors Brabant | Seniors Brabant | 9,687 | 0.13 | 0 | New |
| | Elderly Appeal - Heart for Brabant | Elderly Appeal - Heart for Brabant | Elderly Appeal - Heart for Brabant | 6,719 | 0.09 | 0 | New |
| | Independent Party Drenthe | Independent Party Drenthe | Independent Party Drenthe | 3,777 | 0.05 | 0 | New |
| | Natural Frisian | Natural Frisian | Natural Frisian | 2,917 | 0.04 | 0 | New |
| | Jesus Lives | Jesus Lives | Jesus Lives | 2,323 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| | Senior Interests | Senior Interests | Senior Interests | 1,414 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 |
| | Politically Active Elders | Politically Active Elders | Politically Active Elders | 1,283 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 |
| | Respect! | Respect! | Respect! | 976 | 0.01 | 0 | New |
| | Windward Islands People's Movement | Windward Islands People's Movement | Windward Islands People's Movement | 547 | 0.01 | 4 | New |
| | Saba Labour Party | Saba Labour Party | Saba Labour Party | 110 | 0.00 | 1 | New |
| Total | Total | Total | Total | 7,284,884 | 100.00 | 589 | +19 |
| Valid votes | Valid votes | Valid votes | Valid votes | 7,284,884 | 99.41 | | |
| Invalid/blank votes | Invalid/blank votes | Invalid/blank votes | Invalid/blank votes | 43,014 | 0.59 | | |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 7,327,898 | 100.00 | | |
| Registered voters/turnout | Registered voters/turnout | Registered voters/turnout | Registered voters/turnout | 13,047,950 | 56.16 | | |
| Source: Kiesraad: European Netherlands (Provincial), Bonaire (EC), Saba (EC), Sint Eustatius (EC) ||||||||

### Senate

Rutte III lost its majority in the senate.
| Party | Party | Unweighted vote | Unweighted vote | Weighted vote | Weighted vote | Weighted vote | Seats | Seats |
| Party | Party | Votes | % | Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− |
| | Forum for Democracy | 87 | 14.80 | 27,473 | 15.87 | New | 12 | +12 |
| | People's Party for Freedom and Democracy | 78 | 13.27 | 26,157 | 15.11 | –0.68 | 12 | –1 |
| | Christian Democratic Appeal | 76 | 12.93 | 19,756 | 11.41 | –4.20 | 9 | –3 |
| | GroenLinks | 65 | 11.05 | 19,363 | 11.18 | +5.92 | 8 | +4 |
| | Democrats 66 | 50 | 8.50 | 15,154 | 8.75 | –3.00 | 7 | –3 |
| | Labour Party | 56 | 9.52 | 14,921 | 8.62 | –2.43 | 6 | –2 |
| | Party for Freedom | 38 | 6.46 | 11,298 | 6.53 | –5.05 | 5 | –4 |
| | Socialist Party | 35 | 5.95 | 10,179 | 5.88 | –6.40 | 4 | –5 |
| | Christian Union | 33 | 5.61 | 8,707 | 5.03 | –0.58 | 4 | +1 |
| | Party for the Animals | 20 | 3.40 | 6,550 | 3.78 | +0.62 | 3 | +1 |
| | 50PLUS | 18 | 3.06 | 5,251 | 3.03 | +0.57 | 2 | ±0 |
| | Reformed Political Party | 15 | 2.55 | 4,493 | 2.60 | –0.38 | 2 | ±0 |
| | Independent Senate Group | 13 | 2.21 | 2,265 | 1.31 | –0.26 | 1 | ±0 |
| | DENK | 4 | 0.68 | 1,563 | 0.90 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | Blank list | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| Total | Total | 588 | 100.00 | 173,121 | 100.00 | – | 75 | ±0 |
| Valid votes | Valid votes | 588 | 99.83 | 173,121 | 100.00 | | | |
| Invalid/blank votes | Invalid/blank votes | 1 | 0.17 | 4 | 0.00 | | | |
| Total votes | Total votes | 589 | 100.00 | 173,125 | 100.00 | | | |
| Registered voters/turnout | Registered voters/turnout | 589 | 100.00 | 173,125 | 100.00 | | | |
| Sources |||||||||

### Results summary

Popular vote
FvD
14.51%
VVD
13.97%
CDA
11.09%
GL
10.75%
PvdA
8.54%
D66
7.83%
PVV
6.93%
SP
5.90%
CU
4.85%
PvdD
4.35%
50PLUS
3.64%
SGP
2.47%
OSF
2.18%
Denk
1.67%
CU-SGP (NB)
0.27%
Others
1.05% :
Unweighted Electoral vote
FvD
14.80%
VVD
13.27%
CDA
12.93%
GL
11.05%
PvdA
9.52%
D66
8.50%
PVV
6.46%
SP
5.95%
CU
5.61%
PvdD
3.40%
50PLUS
3.06%
SGP
2.55%
OSF
2.21%
Denk
0.68% :
Weighted Electoral vote
FvD
15.87%
VVD
15.11%
CDA
11.41%
GL
11.18%
D66
8.75%
PvdA
8.62%
PVV
6.53%
SP
5.88%
CU
5.03%
PvdD
3.78%
50PLUS
3.03%
SGP
2.60%
OSF
1.31%
Denk
0.90% :