# 2022 United States House of Representatives election ratings

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections were held November 8, 2022, to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. Five of the six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories were also elected (Puerto Rico's delegate, the Resident Commissioner, serves four year terms and was last elected in 2020). Numerous federal, state, and local elections, including the 2022 U.S. Senate elections, were also held on this date.

## Election ratings
### Latest published ratings for competitive seats

Several sites and individuals publish ratings of competitive seats. The seats listed below are considered competitive (not "safe" or "solid") by at least one of the rating groups. These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) is one example of this metric). Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election.
Most election ratings use:
* Tossup: no advantage
* Tilt (sometimes used): very slight advantage
* Lean: significant, but not overwhelming advantage
* Likely: strong, but not certain advantage
* Safe or Solid: outcome is nearly certain
| District | CPVI | Incumbent | Last result | Cook Nov 7, 2022 | IE Nov 3, 2022 | Sabato Nov 7, 2022 | Politico Oct 27, 2022 | RCP Nov 6, 2022 | Fox Oct 21, 2022 | DDHQ Oct 27, 2022 | 538 Nov 8, 2022 | Econ. Nov 4, 2022 | Winner |
| Alaska at-large | R+8 | Mary Peltola | 51.5% D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Mary Peltola (D) |
| Arizona 1 | R+2 | David Schweikert | 52.2% R | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Solid R | Lean R | David Schweikert (R) |
| Arizona 2 | R+6 | Tom O'Halleran | 51.6% D | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Eli Crane (R) |
| Arizona 4 | D+2 | Greg Stanton | 61.6% D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Greg Stanton (D) |
| Arizona 6 | R+3 | Ann Kirkpatrick (retiring) | 55.1% D | Lean R (flip) | Tilt R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Juan Ciscomani (R) |
| California 3 | R+4 | New seat | – | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Kevin Kiley (R) |
| California 6 | D+7 | Ami Bera | 56.6% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Ami Bera (D) |
| California 9 | D+5 | Josh Harder | 55.2% D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Josh Harder (D) |
| California 13 | D+4 | New seat | – | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | John Duarte (R) |
| California 21 | D+9 | Jim Costa | 59.4% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Jim Costa (D) |
| California 22 | D+5 | David Valadao | 50.4% R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R | Tossup | David Valadao (R) |
| California 23 | R+8 | Jay Obernolte | 56.1% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Jay Obernolte (R) |
| California 25 | D+6 | Raul Ruiz | 60.3% D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Raul Ruiz (D) |
| California 26 | D+8 | Julia Brownley | 60.6% D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Julia Brownley (D) |
| California 27 | D+4 | Mike Garcia | 50.0% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Lean D (flip) | Mike Garcia (R) |
| California 40 | R+2 | Young Kim | 50.6% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Young Kim (R) |
| California 41 | R+3 | Ken Calvert | 57.1% R | Lean R | Solid R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Ken Calvert (R) |
| California 45 | D+2 | Michelle Steel | 51.1% R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Tossup | Michelle Steel (R) |
| California 47 | D+3 | Katie Porter | 53.5% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Katie Porter (D) |
| California 49 | D+3 | Mike Levin | 53.1% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Mike Levin (D) |
| Colorado 3 | R+7 | Lauren Boebert | 51.4% R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Lauren Boebert (R) |
| Colorado 5 | R+9 | Doug Lamborn | 57.6% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Doug Lamborn (R) |
| Colorado 7 | D+4 | Ed Perlmutter (retiring) | 59.1% D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Brittany Pettersen (D) |
| Colorado 8 | EVEN | New seat | – | Tossup | Tilt R | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Tossup | Yadira Caraveo (D) |
| Connecticut 2 | D+3 | Joe Courtney | 59.4% D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Joe Courtney (D) |
| Connecticut 3 | D+7 | Rosa DeLauro | 58.7% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Rosa DeLauro (D) |
| Connecticut 5 | D+3 | Jahana Hayes | 55.1% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Jahana Hayes (D) |
| Florida 2 | R+8 | Al Lawson (D) and Neal Dunn (R) | 65.1% D; 97.9% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Neal Dunn (R) |
| Florida 4 | R+6 | New seat | – | Solid R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Aaron Bean (R) |
| Florida 7 | R+5 | Stephanie Murphy (retiring) | 55.3% D | Solid R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Cory Mills (R) |
| Florida 9 | D+8 | Darren Soto | 56.0% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Darren Soto (D) |
| Florida 13 | R+6 | Vacant | 53.0% D | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Anna Paulina Luna (R) |
| Florida 14 | D+8 | Kathy Castor | 60.3% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Kathy Castor (D) |
| Florida 15 | R+4 | New seat | – | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Solid R | Likely R | Laurel Lee (R) |
| Florida 16 | R+7 | Vern Buchanan | 55.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Vern Buchanan (R) |
| Florida 22 | D+7 | Lois Frankel | 59.0% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Lois Frankel (D) |
| Florida 23 | D+5 | Vacant | 58.6% D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Safe D | Jared Moskowitz (D) |
| Florida 27 | EVEN | María Elvira Salazar | 51.4% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Tossup | María Elvira Salazar (R) |
| Florida 28 | R+2 | Carlos A. Giménez | 51.7% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Carlos A. Giménez (R) |
| Georgia 2 | D+3 | Sanford Bishop | 59.1% D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Tossup | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Sanford Bishop (D) |
| Georgia 6 | R+11 | New seat | – | Solid R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Rich McCormick (R) |
| Georgia 12 | R+8 | Rick W. Allen | 58.4% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Rick W. Allen (R) |
| Illinois 6 | D+3 | Sean Casten | 52.8% D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Sean Casten (D) |
| Illinois 8 | D+6 | Raja Krishnamoorthi | 73.2% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Raja Krishnamoorthi (D) |
| Illinois 11 | D+5 | Bill Foster | 63.3% D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Bill Foster (D) |
| Illinois 13 | D+3 | New seat | – | Lean D (flip) | Tilt D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Tossup | Lean D (flip) | Tossup | Likely D (flip) | Likely D (flip) | Nikki Budzinski (D) |
| Illinois 14 | D+4 | Lauren Underwood | 50.7% D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Tossup | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lauren Underwood (D) |
| Illinois 17 | D+2 | Cheri Bustos (retiring) | 52.0% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Lean D | Lean D | Eric Sorensen (D) |
| Indiana 1 | D+3 | Frank J. Mrvan | 56.6% D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Frank J. Mrvan (D) |
| Iowa 1 | R+3 | Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 49.9% R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Solid R | Likely R | Lean R | Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) |
| Iowa 2 | R+4 | Ashley Hinson | 51.2% R | Lean R | Tilt R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Lean R | Ashley Hinson (R) |
| Iowa 3 | R+3 | Cindy Axne | 48.9% D | Lean R (flip) | Tilt R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Zach Nunn (R) |
| Kansas 3 | R+1 | Sharice Davids | 53.6% D | Lean D | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Sharice Davids (D) |
| Maine 2 | R+6 | Jared Golden | 53.0% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Jared Golden (D) |
| Maryland 1 | R+11 | Andy Harris | 63.4% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Andy Harris (R) |
| Maryland 2 | D+7 | Dutch Ruppersberger | 67.7% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Dutch Ruppersberger (D) |
| Maryland 3 | D+10 | John Sarbanes | 69.2% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | John Sarbanes (D) |
| Maryland 6 | D+2 | David Trone | 58.8% D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Tossup | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup | David Trone (D) |
| Massachusetts 9 | D+6 | Bill Keating | 61.3% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Bill Keating (D) |
| Michigan 3 | D+1 | Peter Meijer (lost renomination) | 53.0% R | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Lean D (flip) | Tossup | Lean D (flip) | Lean R | Tossup | Lean D (flip) | Hillary Scholten (D) |
| Michigan 4 | R+5 | Bill Huizenga | 59.2% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Bill Huizenga (R) |
| Michigan 7 | R+2 | Elissa Slotkin | 50.9% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Elissa Slotkin (D) |
| Michigan 8 | R+1 | Dan Kildee | 54.4% D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Likely D | Lean D | Dan Kildee (D) |
| Michigan 10 | R+3 | New seat | – | Likely R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | John James (R) |
| Michigan 11 | D+7 | Haley Stevens | 50.2% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Haley Stevens (D) |
| Minnesota 1 | R+7 | Brad Finstad | 51.0% R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Brad Finstad (R) |
| Minnesota 2 | D+1 | Angie Craig | 48.2% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Angie Craig (D) |
| Minnesota 3 | D+8 | Dean Phillips | 55.6% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Dean Phillips (D) |
| Minnesota 8 | R+8 | Pete Stauber | 56.7% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Pete Stauber (R) |
| Missouri 2 | R+7 | Ann Wagner | 51.9% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Ann Wagner (R) |
| Montana 1 | R+6 | New seat | – | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Ryan Zinke |
| Nebraska 1 | R+9 | Mike Flood | 52.7% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Mike Flood (R) |
| Nebraska 2 | EVEN | Don Bacon | 50.8% R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Tossup | Don Bacon (R) |
| Nevada 1 | D+3 | Dina Titus | 61.8% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Dina Titus (D) |
| Nevada 2 | R+8 | Mark Amodei | 56.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Mark Amodei (R) |
| Nevada 3 | D+1 | Susie Lee | 48.8% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Susie Lee (D) |
| Nevada 4 | D+3 | Steven Horsford | 50.7% D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Steven Horsford (D) |
| New Hampshire 1 | EVEN | Chris Pappas | 51.3% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Chris Pappas (D) |
| New Hampshire 2 | D+2 | Annie Kuster | 53.9% D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Annie Kuster (D) |
| New Jersey 1 | D+10 | Donald Norcross | 62.5% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Donald Norcross (D) |
| New Jersey 2 | R+5 | Jeff Van Drew | 51.9% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Jeff Van Drew (R) |
| New Jersey 3 | D+5 | Andy Kim | 53.2% D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Andy Kim (D) |
| New Jersey 5 | D+4 | Josh Gottheimer | 53.2% D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Josh Gottheimer (D) |
| New Jersey 7 | R+1 | Tom Malinowski | 50.6% D | Lean R (flip) | Tilt R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Thomas Kean Jr. (R) |
| New Jersey 9 | D+8 | Bill Pascrell | 65.8% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Bill Pascrell (D) |
| New Jersey 11 | D+6 | Mikie Sherrill | 53.3% D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Mikie Sherrill (D) |
| New Mexico 1 | D+5 | Melanie Stansbury | 60.4% D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Melanie Stansbury (D) |
| New Mexico 2 | D+1 | Yvette Herrell | 53.7% R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Likely R | Tossup | Gabe Vasquez (D) |
| New Mexico 3 | D+4 | Teresa Leger Fernandez | 58.7% D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Safe D | Teresa Leger Fernandez (D) |
| New York 1 | R+3 | Lee Zeldin (retiring) | 54.9% R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Safe R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Nick LaLota (R) |
| New York 2 | R+3 | Andrew Garbarino | 52.9% R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Andrew Garbarino (R) |
| New York 3 | D+2 | Thomas Suozzi (retiring) | 56.0% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean R (flip) | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | George Santos (R) |
| New York 4 | D+5 | Kathleen Rice (retiring) | 56.1% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Anthony D'Esposito (R) |
| New York 11 | R+6 | Nicole Malliotakis | 53.2% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Nicole Malliotakis (R) |
| New York 17 | D+3 | Sean Patrick Maloney | 55.8% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Mike Lawler (R) |
| New York 18 | D+1 | Pat Ryan | 51.9% D | Lean D | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Pat Ryan (D) |
| New York 19 | EVEN | New seat | – | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Marc Molinaro (R) |
| New York 20 | D+7 | Paul Tonko | 61.2% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Paul Tonko (D) |
| New York 22 | D+1 | John Katko (retiring) | 53.1% R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Tossup | Brandon Williams (R) |
| New York 25 | D+7 | Joseph Morelle | 59.3% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Tossup | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Joseph Morelle (D) |
| New York 26 | D+8 | Brian Higgins | 69.9% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Brian Higgins (D) |
| North Carolina 1 | D+2 | G. K. Butterfield (retiring) | 54.2% D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Solid D | Likely D | Don Davis (D) |
| North Carolina 6 | D+4 | Kathy Manning | 62.3% D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Kathy Manning (D) |
| North Carolina 7 | R+8 | David Rouzer | 60.2% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | David Rouzer (R) |
| North Carolina 9 | R+6 | Richard Hudson | 53.3% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Richard Hudson (R) |
| North Carolina 11 | R+8 | Madison Cawthorn (lost renomination) | 54.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Chuck Edwards (R) |
| North Carolina 13 | R+2 | New seat | – | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Tossup | Wiley Nickel (D) |
| North Carolina 14 | D+6 | New seat | – | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Safe D | Jeff Jackson (D) |
| Ohio 1 | D+2 | Steve Chabot | 51.8% R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup | Greg Landsman (D) |
| Ohio 7 | R+7 | Bob Gibbs (retiring) | 67.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Max Miller (R) |
| Ohio 9 | R+3 | Marcy Kaptur | 63.1% D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean R (flip) | Lean D | Tossup | Marcy Kaptur (D) |
| Ohio 10 | R+4 | Mike Turner | 58.4% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Mike Turner (R) |
| Ohio 13 | R+1 | Tim Ryan (retiring) | 52.5% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Likely R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Emilia Sykes (D) |
| Ohio 15 | R+6 | Mike Carey | 58.3% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Mike Carey (R) |
| Oregon 4 | D+4 | Peter DeFazio (retiring) | 51.5% D | Lean D | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Likely D | Lean D | Val Hoyle (D) |
| Oregon 5 | D+2 | Kurt Schrader (lost renomination) | 51.9% D | Lean R (flip) | Tilt R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R) |
| Oregon 6 | D+4 | New seat | – | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Andrea Salinas (D) |
| Pennsylvania 1 | EVEN | Brian Fitzpatrick | 56.6% R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Brian Fitzpatrick (R) |
| Pennsylvania 6 | D+5 | Chrissy Houlahan | 56.1% D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Chrissy Houlahan (D) |
| Pennsylvania 7 | R+2 | Susan Wild | 51.9% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Susan Wild (D) |
| Pennsylvania 8 | R+4 | Matt Cartwright | 51.8% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Matt Cartwright (D) |
| Pennsylvania 10 | R+5 | Scott Perry | 53.3% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Lean R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Scott Perry (R) |
| Pennsylvania 12 | D+8 | Mike Doyle (retiring) | 69.3% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Summer Lee (D) |
| Pennsylvania 17 | EVEN | Conor Lamb (retiring) | 51.1% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Chris Deluzio (D) |
| Rhode Island 2 | D+4 | James Langevin (retiring) | 58.2% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Seth Magaziner (D) |
| South Carolina 1 | R+7 | Nancy Mace | 50.6% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Nancy Mace (R) |
| Tennessee 5 | R+9 | Jim Cooper (retiring) | 100.0% D | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Safe R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Andy Ogles (R) |
| Texas 15 | R+1 | New seat | – | Likely R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Monica De La Cruz (R) |
| Texas 23 | R+5 | Tony Gonzales | 50.6% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Tony Gonzales (R) |
| Texas 28 | D+3 | Henry Cuellar | 58.3% D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Henry Cuellar (D) |
| Texas 34 | D+9 | Vicente Gonzalez (D) and Mayra Flores (R) | 50.5% D; 50.9% R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D (flip) | Vicente Gonzalez (D) |
| Virginia 1 | R+6 | Rob Wittman | 58.2% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Rob Wittman (R) |
| Virginia 2 | R+2 | Elaine Luria | 51.6% D | Tossup | Tilt R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Jen Kiggans (R) |
| Virginia 5 | R+7 | Bob Good | 52.4% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Bob Good (R) |
| Virginia 7 | D+1 | Abigail Spanberger | 50.8% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Abigail Spanberger (D) |
| Virginia 10 | D+6 | Jennifer Wexton | 56.5% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Jennifer Wexton (D) |
| Washington 3 | R+5 | Jaime Herrera Beutler (lost renomination) | 56.4% R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) |
| Washington 5 | R+8 | Cathy McMorris Rodgers | 61.3% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R) |
| Washington 6 | D+6 | Derek Kilmer | 59.3% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Derek Kilmer (D) |
| Washington 8 | D+1 | Kim Schrier | 51.7% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Kim Schrier (D) |
| Washington 10 | D+7 | Marilyn Strickland | 49.3% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Marilyn Strickland (D) |
| Wisconsin 1 | R+3 | Bryan Steil | 59.3% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Bryan Steil (R) |
| Wisconsin 3 | R+4 | Ron Kind (retiring) | 51.3% D | Likely R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Solid R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Derrick Van Orden (R) |
| Overall | Overall | Overall | Overall | D – 191 R – 211 33 tossups | D – 199 R – 216 20 tossups | D – 198 R – 237 | D – 195 R – 213 27 tossups | D – 174 R – 227 38 tossups | D – 186 R – 216 33 tossups | D – 200 R – 223 12 tossups | D – 203 R – 219 13 tossups | D – 200 R – 208 27 tossups | D - 213 9 R - 222 9 |
| District | CPVI | Incumbent | Previous result | Cook | IE | Sabato | Politico | RCP | Fox | DDHQ | 538 | Econ. | Winner |
* ↑ FiveThirtyEight has three separate models for their House and Senate ratings: Lite (polling data only), Classic (polls, fundraising, and past voting patterns), and Deluxe (Classic alongside experts' ratings). This table uses the Classic model.
* ↑ Category ranges: Tossup: <60% both candidates Lean: ≥60% Likely: ≥75% Solid: ≥95%
* ↑ The Economist runs 10,000 simulations daily to determine their forecast ratings, which are based on statistical probability.
* ↑ Category ranges: Tossup ("Uncertain"): <65% both parties Lean ("Likely"): 60-85% Likely ("Very Likely"): 85-99% Safe: ≥99%

### Generic ballot polls

The following is a list of generic party ballot polls conducted in advance of the 2022 House of Representatives elections.
Polling aggregates :
| Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | Democratic | Republican | Lead |
| RealClearPolitics | November 8, 2022 | October 18 – November 6, 2022 | 45.5% | 48.0% | +2.5 |
| FiveThirtyEight | November 8, 2022 | October 26 – November 8, 2022 | 45.7% | 46.9% | +1.2 |
| Average | Average | Average | 45.6% | 47.4% | +1.8 |

## Party listings

The campaign committees for the two parties (the DCCC and NRCC) publish their own lists of targeted seats.

### Democratic-held seats

The NRCC is now targeting 85 Democratic held seats. They released their initial list February 10, 2021 and added 10 seats to the initial list on May 4, 2021 and a further 13 seats November 3, 2021 after the favorable election night results. They added eight additional seats on March 30, 2022. The first two lists were published before redistricting, but the 3rd list begins to incorporate redistricting impacts such as Colorado's 7th congressional district. Seats in bold were included in the DCCC's frontline seats in March 2021 or were added in January 2022.

### Republican-held seats

On April 6, 2021, the DCCC released their list of target seats, including open and Republican-held seats. This list was published before redistricting. Several seats were added in January 2022.