# 32nd Alberta general election

The 32nd Alberta general election will be held in Alberta, Canada, to elect the members of the Legislative Assembly of Alberta. According to Alberta's Election Act, it is scheduled for October 18, 2027, but that does not affect the powers of the lieutenant governor of Alberta to dissolve the legislature before that time, in accordance with the usual conventions of the Westminster parliamentary system.

## Timeline
### 2023

* May 29: The United Conservative Party (UCP) wins a majority government in the 31st Alberta general election, with the Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP) forming the Official Opposition. No other parties win seats in the election.
* June 9: The UCP Cabinet is sworn in.
* June 20: Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills MLA Nathan Cooper is elected Speaker of the Legislative Assembly.
* September 18: Jordan Wilkie resigns as Green Party leader.
* October 15: Barry Morishita resigns as Alberta Party leader.

### 2024

* January 16: Rachel Notley announces intention to resign as NDP leader before the next election. She will remain as leader until a leadership race chooses a successor.
* May 30: Bill 21 receives royal assent, changing the next fixed election date to October 18, 2027.
* June 22: Naheed Nenshi is elected leader of the Alberta NDP.
* July 1: Shannon Phillips resigns as MLA for Lethbridge-West, triggering a by-election.
* October 9: Jennifer Johnson, who appeared on the ballot as a UCP candidate in the last provincial election but was disavowed by the party during the campaign due to controversial comments, is returned back to the UCP caucus.
* November 20: By-election for the riding of Lethbridge-West called for December 18.
* December 5: Bill 31 receives royal assent, allowing the Electoral Boundaries Commission to add 2 more seats in the next redistribution.
* December 18: The 2024 Lethbridge-West provincial by-election is held, with the NDP's Rob Miyashiro elected.
* December 30: Rachel Notley resigns as MLA for Edmonton-Strathcona, triggering a by-election.

### 2025

* January 23: Naheed Nenshi acclaimed as Alberta NDP's by-election candidate in Edmonton-Strathcona.
* March 7: Lesser Slave Lake MLA Scott Sinclair is removed from the UCP Caucus over comments made criticizing the budget.

## Opinion polls

| Pollster | Client | Dates conducted | Source | UCP | NDP | Green | Alberta | Liberal | WLC | WIP | Others | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead |
| Leger | N/A | Jan 24–26, 2025 | | 51% | 36% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 1% | — | 2% | 3.1% | 1,002 | Online | 15% |
| Cardinal Research | N/A | Sep 17–28, 2024 | | 50% | 43% | 2% | 1% | — | — | — | 4% | 2.5% | 1,553 | Telephone | 7% |
| Leger | N/A | Aug 2–5, 2024 | | 48% | 40% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | — | 2% | 3.1% | 1,005 | Online | 8% |
| Sovereign North Strategies | Western Standard | Jul 6–11, 2024 | | 47% | 46% | 1% | 4% | — | — | 2% | — | 2.4% | 2,861 | Telephone | 1% |
| Abacus Data | N/A | Jun 25–28, 2024 | | 54% | 40% | — | — | — | — | — | 6% | 3.31% | 1,000 | Online | 14% |
| | | June 22, 2024 | Naheed Nenshi elected leader of the Alberta NDP. | Naheed Nenshi elected leader of the Alberta NDP. | Naheed Nenshi elected leader of the Alberta NDP. | Naheed Nenshi elected leader of the Alberta NDP. | Naheed Nenshi elected leader of the Alberta NDP. | Naheed Nenshi elected leader of the Alberta NDP. | Naheed Nenshi elected leader of the Alberta NDP. | Naheed Nenshi elected leader of the Alberta NDP. | Naheed Nenshi elected leader of the Alberta NDP. | Naheed Nenshi elected leader of the Alberta NDP. | Naheed Nenshi elected leader of the Alberta NDP. | Naheed Nenshi elected leader of the Alberta NDP. | Naheed Nenshi elected leader of the Alberta NDP. |
| Leger | N/A | May 22–25, 2024 | | 47% | 43% | — | 6% | — | — | — | 4% | 3.1% | 1,009 | Online | 4% |
| Leger | N/A | Mar 22–24, 2024 | | 46% | 44% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | — | 2% | 3.1% | 1,002 | Online | 2% |
| Abacus Data | N/A | Mar 14–21, 2024 | | 55% | 40% | — | 2% | — | — | — | 2% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Online | 15% |
| Pallas Data | N/A | Mar 12–13, 2024 | | 52% | 45% | — | — | — | — | — | 3% | 3.3% | 868 | IVR | 7% |
| Leger | N/A | Mar 8–11, 2024 | | 49% | 41% | — | 6% | — | — | — | 4% | 3.1% | 1,001 | Online | 8% |
| Leger | N/A | Feb 9–12, 2024 | | 49% | 42% | — | 5% | — | — | — | 4% | 3.1% | 1,002 | Online | 7% |
| Leger | N/A | Jan 19–22, 2024 | | 51% | 40% | — | — | — | — | — | 9% | 3.1% | 1,001 | Online | 11% |
| Leger | N/A | Jan 12–15, 2024 | | 50% | 43% | — | 3% | — | — | — | 4% | 3.1% | 1,012 | Online | 7% |
| Angus Reid | N/A | Nov 24 – Dec 1, 2023 | | 53% | 40% | — | 3% | 2% | — | — | 1% | 5% | 392 | Online | 13% |
| Leger | N/A | Oct 27–30, 2023 | | 46% | 47% | — | 5% | — | — | — | 2% | 3.1% | 1,001 | Online | 1% |
| Leger | N/A | Sep 15–18, 2023 | | 49% | 39% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | — | 2% | 3.1% | 1,001 | Online | 10% |
| 2023 general election | 2023 general election | May 29, 2023 | | 52.63% | 44.05% | 0.76% | 0.71% | 0.24% | 0.24% | 0.05% | 1.32% | — | — | — | 8.58% |