# 2024 United States Senate election in Washington

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The 2024 United States Senate election in Washington was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Washington. Democratic incumbent Senator Maria Cantwell was elected to her fifth term, winning over Republican physician Raul Garcia.

## Primary election

The blanket primary election was held on August 6, 2024.

### Democratic candidates
#### Advanced to general

* Maria Cantwell, incumbent U.S. senator

#### Eliminated in primary

* Paul Giesick, blue collar worker

### Republican candidates
#### Advanced to general

* Raul Garcia, physician and candidate for governor in 2020

#### Eliminated in primary

* Goodspaceguy, amateur astronomer and perennial candidate
* Isaac Holyk, software development company CEO and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022
* Scott Nazarino, financial consultant and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016
* Mel Ram, private investigator

#### Declined

* John Guenther, retired state employee and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 (ran for U.S. House)

### Third party and independent candidates
#### Eliminated in primary

* Thor Amundson (Independent), project expediter and perennial candidate
* Henry Dennison (Socialist Workers), political organizer and perennial candidate
* Chuck Jackson (Independent), merchant mariner and perennial candidate
* David Tilton (Independent), data analyst

### Endorsements

Organizations
* American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC)
* EMILY's List
* Feminist Majority PAC
* Humane Society Legislative Fund
* Jewish Democratic Council of America
* Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs
* J Street PAC
* League of Conservation Voters
* Natural Resources Defense Council
* National Women's Political Caucus
* Planned Parenthood Action Fund
* Population Connection Action Fund
Labor unions
* National Education Association
* Washington State Labor Council
Newspapers
* The Seattle Times
* The Stranger
Tribes
* Confederated Tribes of the Colville Reservation
U.S. representatives
* Dave Reichert (WA-08) (2005–2019)
Statewide officials
* Daniel J. Evans, former governor of Washington (1965–1977)
* Rob McKenna, former attorney general of Washington (2005–2013)
* Ralph Munro, former secretary of state of Washington (1981–2001)
* Sam Reed, former secretary of state of Washington (2001–2013)
State legislators
* Dino Rossi, former state senator (1997–2003, 2012, 2016–2017)
Local officials
* Bruce Dammeier, Pierce County Executive
Organizations
* Mainstream Republicans of Washington
Political parties
* Washington State Republican Party
* Spokane County Republican Party

### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 :
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Maria Cantwell (D) | $11,651,974 | $5,128,836 | $7,093,030 |
| Raul Garcia (R) | $558,646 | $394,077 | $164,568 |
| Isaac Holyk (R) | $6,846 | $7,278 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission ||||

### Results

Cantwell won 28 counties out of 39, including 9 out of the state's 10 most populous ones. She performed especially well in the most populous King County, as well as San Juan and Jefferson counties.
Blanket primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Maria Cantwell (incumbent) | 1,114,327 | 57.18% |
| | Republican | Raul Garcia | 431,182 | 22.13% |
| | Republican | Scott Nazarino | 111,386 | 5.72% |
| | Republican | Isaac Holyk | 110,701 | 5.68% |
| | Republican | Mel Ram | 86,956 | 4.46% |
| | Independent | Chuck Jackson | 21,055 | 1.08% |
| | Independent | David Tilton | 17,561 | 0.90% |
| | Democratic | Paul Giesick | 17,433 | 0.89% |
| | Republican | Goodspaceguy | 16,826 | 0.86% |
| | Independent | Thor Amundson | 10,587 | 0.54% |
| | Socialist Workers | Henry Dennison | 7,840 | 0.40% |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 2,862 | 0.15% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 1,948,716 | 100.0% |

## General election
### Debate

2024 United States Senate election in Washington debate :
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
| Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | | |
| Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Maria Cantwell | Raul Garcia |
| 1 | Oct. 8, 2024 | Gonzaga University KSPS-TV The Black Lens The Spokesman-Review Washington State Debate Coalition | Orion Donovan Smith | TVW | P | P |

### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Inside Elections | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | November 9, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Safe D | June 8, 2024 |
| Elections Daily | Safe D | May 4, 2023 |
| CNalysis | Solid D | November 21, 2023 |
| RealClearPolitics | Solid D | August 5, 2024 |
| Split Ticket | Safe D | October 23, 2024 |
| 538 | Solid D | October 23, 2024 |

### Polling

Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Maria Cantwell (D) | Raul Garcia (R) | Undecided | Margin |
| 270ToWin | October 20 - November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 55.5% | 38.0% | 6.5% | Cantwell +17.5% |
| TheHill/DDHQ | through November 3, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 57.8% | 38.9% | 3.3% | Cantwell +18.9% |
| Average | Average | Average | 56.7% | 38.5% | 4.8% | Cantwell +18.2% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Maria Cantwell (D) | Raul Garcia (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Research Co. | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 58% | 38% | – | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | October 16–17, 2024 | 571 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 38% | – | 9% |
| SurveyUSA | October 9–14, 2024 | 703 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 55% | 32% | – | 13% |
| Cascade PBS/Elway Research | September 3–6, 2024 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 55% | 33% | 4% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | July 24–25, 2024 | 581 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 32% | 6% | 7% |
| SurveyUSA | July 10–13, 2024 | 564 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 58% | 37% | – | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | May 15–16, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 38% | – | 9% |
| Cascade PBS/Elway Research | May 13–16, 2024 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 39% | 30% | 1% | 30% |
| Echelon Insights (R) | March 18–21, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 44% | 36% | – | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | February 13–14, 2024 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 37% | – | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | November 14–15, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 51% | 38% | – | 11% |
| Elway Research | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 23% | 9% | 25% |
Maria Cantwell vs. Jaime Herrera Beutler
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Maria Cantwell (D) | Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | June 7–8, 2023 | 773 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 37% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | March 7–8, 2023 | 874 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 35% | 14% |

### Results

2024 United States Senate election in Washington :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Democratic | Maria Cantwell (incumbent) | 2,252,577 | 59.09% | +0.66% |
| | Republican | Raul Garcia | 1,549,187 | 40.64% | −0.93% |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 10,627 | 0.28% | N/A |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 3,812,391 | 100.00% | N/A |
| | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold |
* Republican — >15%
* Republican — +12.5−15%
* Republican — +10−12.5%
* Republican — +7.5−10%
* Republican — +5−7.5%
* Republican — +2.5−5%
* Republican — +0−2.5%
* Democratic — +0−2.5%
* Democratic — +2.5−5%
* Democratic — +5−7.5%
* Democratic — +7.5-10%
* Democratic — +10−12.5%
* Democratic — +12.5−15%  Democratic—+>15%

#### By county

By county :
| County | Maria Cantwell Democratic | Maria Cantwell Democratic | Raul Garcia Republican | Raul Garcia Republican | Write-In | Write-In | Total |
| County | % | # | % | # | % | # | Total |
| Adams | 31.44% | 1,627 | 67.71% | 3,504 | 0.85% | 44 | 5,175 |
| Asotin | 39.70% | 4,386 | 59.98% | 6,627 | 0.33% | 36 | 11,049 |
| Benton | 40.52% | 39,595 | 59.16% | 57,804 | 0.32% | 313 | 97,712 |
| Chelan | 45.89% | 18,884 | 53.87% | 22,168 | 0.23% | 96 | 41,148 |
| Clallam | 53.96% | 25,487 | 45.86% | 21,663 | 0.18% | 83 | 47,233 |
| Clark | 53.57% | 142,669 | 46.08% | 122,712 | 0.34% | 918 | 266,299 |
| Columbia | 30.81% | 745 | 68.57% | 1,658 | 0.62% | 15 | 2,418 |
| Cowlitz | 42.42% | 24,329 | 57.28% | 32,854 | 0.30% | 171 | 57,354 |
| Douglas | 38.32% | 7,892 | 61.37% | 12,637 | 0.31% | 64 | 20,593 |
| Ferry | 35.80% | 1,431 | 64.00% | 2,558 | 0.20% | 8 | 3,997 |
| Franklin | 40.71% | 12,538 | 59.13% | 18,212 | 0.16% | 50 | 30,800 |
| Garfield | 30.82% | 413 | 69.10% | 926 | 0.07% | 1 | 1,340 |
| Grant | 33.20% | 11,664 | 66.59% | 23,390 | 0.21% | 74 | 35,128 |
| Grays Harbor | 48.90% | 18,061 | 50.82% | 18,772 | 0.28% | 105 | 36,938 |
| Island | 57.28% | 29,216 | 42.50% | 21,677 | 0.22% | 114 | 51,007 |
| Jefferson | 72.28% | 17,621 | 27.52% | 6,708 | 0.20% | 49 | 24,378 |
| King | 75.06% | 828,204 | 24.64% | 271,832 | 0.31% | 3,370 | 1,103,406 |
| Kitsap | 59.55% | 91,348 | 40.24% | 61,734 | 0.21% | 327 | 153,409 |
| Kittitas | 42.98% | 11,028 | 56.73% | 14,556 | 0.28% | 73 | 25,657 |
| Klickitat | 45.42% | 5,962 | 54.28% | 7,125 | 0.30% | 40 | 13,127 |
| Lewis | 36.10% | 15,912 | 63.60% | 28,030 | 0.30% | 132 | 44,074 |
| Lincoln | 26.96% | 1,889 | 72.77% | 5,099 | 0.27% | 19 | 7,007 |
| Mason | 49.39% | 17,593 | 50.15% | 17,865 | 0.45% | 162 | 35,620 |
| Okanogan | 44.81% | 9,022 | 54.93% | 11,060 | 0.25% | 51 | 20,133 |
| Pacific | 52.46% | 7,273 | 47.26% | 6,552 | 0.27% | 38 | 13,863 |
| Pend Oreille | 32.67% | 2,721 | 67.05% | 5,585 | 0.28% | 23 | 8,329 |
| Pierce | 54.96% | 235,829 | 44.83% | 192,366 | 0.21% | 899 | 429,094 |
| San Juan | 74.38% | 9,466 | 25.26% | 3,214 | 0.36% | 46 | 12,726 |
| Skagit | 53.82% | 34,472 | 45.96% | 29,438 | 0.22% | 143 | 64,053 |
| Skamania | 45.28% | 3,206 | 54.44% | 3,855 | 0.28% | 20 | 7,081 |
| Snohomish | 58.85% | 239,059 | 40.90% | 166,117 | 0.25% | 1,020 | 406,196 |
| Spokane | 47.86% | 132,644 | 51.84% | 143,680 | 0.30% | 842 | 277,166 |
| Stevens | 29.59% | 8,138 | 70.06% | 19,270 | 0.35% | 96 | 27,504 |
| Thurston | 59.92% | 96,086 | 39.79% | 63,796 | 0.29% | 462 | 160,344 |
| Wahkiakum | 44.18% | 1,305 | 55.55% | 1,641 | 0.27% | 8 | 2,954 |
| Walla Walla | 47.06% | 13,621 | 52.83% | 15,293 | 0.11% | 32 | 28,946 |
| Whatcom | 61.53% | 83,355 | 38.26% | 51,836 | 0.21% | 290 | 135,481 |
| Whitman | 54.62% | 10,698 | 45.21% | 8,856 | 0.17% | 34 | 19,588 |
| Yakima | 44.24% | 37,188 | 55.34% | 46,517 | 0.43% | 359 | 84,064 |
| Total | 59.09% | 2,252,577 | 40.64% | 1,549,187 | 0.28% | 10,627 | 3,812,391 |

#### By congressional district

Cantwell won seven of 10 congressional districts, with the remaining three going to Garcia, including one that elected a Democrat.
| District | Cantwell | Garcia | Representative |
| 1st | 63% | 37% | Suzan DelBene |
| 2nd | 61% | 39% | Rick Larsen |
| 3rd | 49% | 50% | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez |
| 4th | 41% | 58% | Dan Newhouse |
| 5th | 45% | 54% | Cathy McMorris Rodgers (118th Congress) |
| 5th | 45% | 54% | Michael Baumgartner (119th Congress) |
| 6th | 59% | 41% | Derek Kilmer (118th Congress) |
| 6th | 59% | 41% | Emily Randall (119th Congress) |
| 7th | 86% | 13% | Pramila Jayapal |
| 8th | 52% | 48% | Kim Schrier |
| 9th | 71% | 28% | Adam Smith |
| 10th | 59% | 41% | Marilyn Strickland |