# 2020 United States presidential election in Minnesota

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vte :
The 2020 United States presidential election in Minnesota was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Minnesota voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald J. Trump, and running mate Vice President Michael R. Pence against the DFL nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Minnesota has ten electoral votes in the Electoral College.
Prior to the election, 15 out of 16 news organizations predicting the election projected Minnesota as leaning towards Biden. Biden ultimately carried the state by a 7.12% margin, significantly improving over Hillary Clinton's narrow 1.52% margin in 2016. Biden's win marked the twelfth consecutive Democratic presidential win in the state, which has not voted for a Republican for president since 1972.
Biden flipped four counties Trump carried in 2016: Clay, Nicollet, Blue Earth, and Winona, all of which were won by Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012. The key to Biden's success was his strong performance in the Twin Cities metropolitan area, where he outperformed FDR, LBJ, Obama and Clinton. His vote share in Hennepin County, home of Minneapolis, was the highest of any presidential nominee since Republican Theodore Roosevelt in 1904. He also improved on Clinton's performance in the Iron Range, although his performance in the region was still well below what Democrats had historically earned between the New Deal realignment and the 2016 election. In addition, Biden managed to flip Minnesota's 2nd congressional district, based in the Twin Cities' southern suburbs and exurbs, from Trump.
Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden carried 51% of White Minnesotans, as well as 58% of college educated voters and 55% of voters from union households. Trump's strength was concentrated in rural areas, while Biden performed better in urban and suburban areas.
Biden became the first Democrat to win the White House without carrying Koochiching or Mahnomen Counties since those counties were formed in 1906; the first Democrat to win without Traverse County since Grover Cleveland in 1892; the first to win without Kittson, Norman, Itasca, or Beltrami Counties since Woodrow Wilson in 1912; the first to win without Swift County since Wilson in 1916; the first to win without Lac qui Parle County since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1944; the first to win without Chippewa, Freeborn, Mower, or Rice Counties since John F. Kennedy in 1960 and the first to win without Fillmore County since Jimmy Carter in 1976. This is the first time since 1964 in which Minnesota voted more Republican than New Hampshire.

## Primary elections
### Republican primary

The Republican primary took place on March 3, 2020. Donald Trump and Bill Weld were among the declared Republican candidates.
2020 Minnesota Republican presidential primary :
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
| Donald Trump (incumbent) | 137,275 | 97.7 | 39 |
| Bill Weld (write-in) | 443 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Rocky De La Fuente (write-in) | 16 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Other write-ins | 2,821 | 2.0 | 0 |
| Total | 140,555 | 100.0 | 39 (of 39) |

### Democratic primary

The Democratic primary took place on March 3, 2020. Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, and former Vice President Joe Biden were among the major declared candidates. Amy Klobuchar, U.S. Senator from Minnesota since 2007, expressed interest in running, and formally declared her candidacy in February 2019, but then withdrew prior to Minnesota's race.
Biden won the most delegates.
2020 Minnesota Democratic presidential primary :
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
| Joe Biden | 287,553 | 38.64 | 38 |
| Bernie Sanders | 222,431 | 29.89 | 27 |
| Elizabeth Warren | 114,674 | 15.41 | 10 |
| Michael Bloomberg | 61,882 | 8.32 | |
| Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | 41,530 | 5.58 | |
| Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | 7,616 | 1.02 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 2,504 | 0.34 | |
| Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 1,749 | 0.24 | |
| Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | 551 | 0.07 | |
| Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 315 | 0.04 | |
| Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 226 | 0.03 | |
| Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 197 | 0.03 | |
| John Delaney (withdrawn) | 172 | 0.02 | |
| Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 114 | 0.02 | |
| Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | 72 | 0.01 | |
| Uncommitted | 2,612 | 0.35 | |
| Total | 744,198 | 100% | 75 |

### Libertarian caucuses

The Libertarian Party of Minnesota used ranked-choice voting to tabulate the results of their caucus. After 7 rounds, Jacob Hornberger was declared the winner.
Minnesota Libertarian presidential caucus, February 25, 2020 :
| Candidate | Round 1 | Round 1 | Round 1 | Round 7 | Round 7 | Round 7 |
| Candidate | Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % |
| Jacob Hornberger | 37 | 38.1% | + 10 | 47 | 59.5% |
| Jo Jorgensen | 12 | 12.4% | + 20 | 32 | 40.5% |
| Vermin Supreme | 11 | 11.3% | - 11 | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Adam Kokesh | 6 | 6.2% | - 6 | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| John Monds | 6 | 6.2% | - 6 | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Lincoln Chafee | 6 | 6.2% | - 6 | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Mark Whitney | 6 | 6.2% | - 6 | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| N.O.T.A. | 4 | 4.1% | - 4 | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Arvin Vohra | 2 | 2.1% | - 2 | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Ken Armstrong | 2 | 2.1% | - 2 | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Sam Robb | 2 | 2.1% | - 2 | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Keenan Wallace Dunham | 1 | 1.0% | - 1 | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Sorinne Ardeleanu | 1 | 1.0% | - 1 | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Abrahamson [sic] (write-in) | 1 | 1.0% | - 1 | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Dan "Taxation is Theft" Behrman | 0 | 0.0% | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Jedi Hill | 0 | 0.0% | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Souraya Faas | 0 | 0.0% | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Steven Richey | 0 | 0.0% | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Round 1 Total | 97 | 100.0% | Round 7 Total | 79 | 100.0% |
Minnesota Libertarian vice presidential caucus, February 25, 2020 :
| Candidate | Round 1 | Round 1 | Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 2 | Round 2 |
| Candidate | Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % |
| Jeff Wood | 32 | 40.0% | + 0 | 32 | 52.5% |
| Spike Cohen | 29 | 36.3% | + 0 | 29 | 47.5% |
| NOTA | 19 | 23.8% | - 19 | Eliminated | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Round 1 Total | 80 | 100.0% | Round 2 Total | 61 | 100.0% |

## General election
### Final predictions

| Source | Ranking |
| The Cook Political Report | Lean D |
| Inside Elections | Likely D |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely D |
| Politico | Lean D |
| RCP | Tossup |
| Niskanen | Likely D |
| CNN | Lean D |
| The Economist | Likely D |
| CBS News | Lean D |
| 270towin | Likely D |
| ABC News | Lean D |
| NPR | Lean D |
| NBC News | Lean D |
| FiveThirtyEight | Solid D |

### Polling

Graphical summary

#### Aggregate polls

| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden DFL | Donald J. Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided | Margin |
| 270 to Win | October 27 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 51.6% | 41.8% | 6.6% | Biden +9.8 |
| Real Clear Politics | October 12–27, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.0% | 43.7% | 8.3% | Biden +4.3 |
| FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 51.8% | 42.7% | 5.5% | Biden +9.2 |
| Average | Average | Average | 50.5% | 42.7% | 6.8% | Biden +7.8 |
Polls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald J. Trump Republican | Joe Biden DFL | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,031 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 41% | 56% | - | - | – | – |
| Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 54% | - | - | 1% | 4% |
| Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,259 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 51% | 4% | 2% | 1% | – |
| Swayable | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 466 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 43% | 53% | 4% | 0% | – | – |
| Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 883 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling | Oct 29–30, 2020 | 770 (V) | – | 43% | 54% | - | - | 2% | 1% |
| Targoz Market Research/PollSmart | Oct 25–30, 2020 | 1,138 (LV) | – | 44% | 53% | - | - | 3% | – |
| St. Cloud State University | Oct 10–29, 2020 | 372 (A) | ± 6.7% | 39% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,498 (LV) | – | 42% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
| SurveyUSA/KSTP/ABC6 News | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 649 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 5% | 6% |
| Gravis Marketing | Oct 24–26, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 39% | 53% | - | - | – | 8% |
| Trafalgar Group | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,065 (LV) | ± 2.92% | 45% | 48% | 2% | - | 4% | 1% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 840 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 53% | - | - | 3% | 1% |
| SurveyUSA/KSTP | Oct 16–20, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 5% | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
| Morning Consult | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 864 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| Change Research/MinnPost | Oct 12–15, 2020 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% |
| David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 200 (LV) | – | 41% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
| Morning Consult | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 898 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| SurveyUSA/ABC6 News | Oct 1–6, 2020 | 929 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 47% | - | - | 3% | 10% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,808 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Suffolk University | Sep 20–24, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 47% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 6% |
| Mason-Dixon/StarTribune /MPR News/KARE 11 | Sep 21–23, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–17, 2020 | 718 (LV) | ± 3.66% | 42% | 51% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| ABC/Washington Post | Sep 8–13, 2020 | 615 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 57% | - | - | 1% | 1% |
| Morning Consult | Sep 4–13, 2020 | 643 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 6% |
| YouGov/CBS | Sep 9–11, 2020 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 2% | 6% |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 8–10, 2020 | 814 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 50% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| SurveyUSA | Sep 4–7, 2020 | 553 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 4% | 7% |
| Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 649 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 44% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| PPP | Sep 3–4, 2020 | 877 (V) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 3% | 1% |
| Harper Polling/Jason Lewis | Aug 30 – Sep 1, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 45% | 48% | – | – | – | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,939 (LV) | – | 43% | 56% | - | - | – | 1% |
| Morning Consult | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 647 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Trafalgar Group | Aug 15–18, 2020 | 1,141 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 4% | - | 1% | 2% |
| Morning Consult | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 615 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
| Emerson College | Aug 8–10, 2020 | 733 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
| David Binder Research | Jul 30–31, 2020 | 200 (LV) | – | 36% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,288 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Morning Consult | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 662 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
| Trafalgar Group | Jul 23–25, 2020 | 1,129 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 49% | 2% | - | 3% | 2% |
| Public Policy Polling/Giffords | Jul 22–23, 2020 | 1,218 (V) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | 6% |
| FOX News | Jul 18–20, 2020 | 776 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 51% | - | - | 6% | 6% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 860 (LV) | – | 42% | 57% | - | - | – | 1% |
| Gravis Marketing | Jun 19, 2020 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 58% | - | - | – | – |
| Morning Consult | May 27– Jun 5, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
| Harper Polling/Jason Lewis | May 26–28, 2020 | 510 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | – | – | – | 8% |
| Morning Consult | May 17–26, 2020 | 647 (LV) | – | 42% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
| Mason-Dixon/StarTribune /MPR News/KARE 11 | May 18–20, 2020 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 49% | - | - | – | 7% |
| Morning Consult | May 7–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 38% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
| Mason-Dixon/StarTribune | Oct 14–16, 2019 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 50% | - | - | – | 12% |
Former candidates :
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald J. Trump (R) | Amy Klobuchar (DFL) | Other | Undecided |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc./StarTribune | Oct 14–16, 2019 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 55% | – | 7% |
| DFM Research | Feb 26 – Mar 3, 2019 | 550 (A) | ± 4.2% | 35% | 52% | 7% | 6% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald J. Trump (R) | Bernie Sanders (DFL) | Other | Undecided |
| Mason-Dixon/StarTribune | Oct 14–16, 2019 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 49% | – | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald J. Trump (R) | Elizabeth Warren (DFL) | Other | Undecided |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc./StarTribune | Oct 14–16, 2019 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 51% | – | 11% |
Hypothetical polling :
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald J. Trump (R) | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
| KFF/Cook Political Report | Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 | 958 (RV) | ± 4% | 28% | 41% | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling | Oct 4–6, 2019 | 1,175 (V) | – | 42% | 52% | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | Jun 15–16, 2018 | 717 (V) | – | 41% | 51% | 8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald J. Trump (R) | Generic Democrat | Howard Schultz (I) | Undecided |
| DFM Research | Feb 26 – Mar 3, 2019 | 550 (A) | ± 4.2% | 35% | 45% | 6% | 15% |

### Results

2020 United States presidential election in Minnesota :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Democratic (DFL) | Joe Biden Kamala Harris | 1,717,077 | 52.40% | +5.96% |
| | Republican | Donald J. Trump Michael R. Pence | 1,484,065 | 45.28% | +0.35% |
| | Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen | 34,976 | 1.07% | −2.77% |
| | Green | Howie Hawkins Angela Walker | 10,033 | 0.31% | −0.95% |
| | Independent | Kanye West Michelle Tidball | 7,940 | 0.24% | − |
| | Independent | Brock Pierce Karla Ballard | 5,651 | 0.17% | − |
| | Alliance | Rocky De La Fuente Darcy Richardson | 5,611 | 0.17% | − |
| | Socialism and Liberation | Gloria La Riva Sunil Freeman | 1,210 | 0.04% | − |
| | Socialist Workers | Alyson Kennedy Malcolm Jarrett | 643 | 0.02% | −0.04% |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 9,965 | 0.3% | -0.6% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 3,277,171 | 100% | |
| | Democratic (DFL) hold | Democratic (DFL) hold | Democratic (DFL) hold | Democratic (DFL) hold |

#### By county

| County | Joe Biden DFL | Joe Biden DFL | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total votes cast |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total votes cast |
| Aitkin | 3,607 | 35.98% | 6,258 | 62.42% | 160 | 1.60% | -2,651 | -26.44% | 10,025 |
| Anoka | 100,893 | 47.79% | 104,902 | 49.69% | 5,337 | 2.52% | -4,009 | -1.90% | 211,132 |
| Becker | 6,589 | 33.96% | 12,438 | 64.11% | 374 | 1.93% | -5,849 | -30.15% | 19,401 |
| Beltrami | 11,426 | 47.24% | 12,188 | 50.39% | 575 | 2.37% | -762 | -3.15% | 24,189 |
| Benton | 7,280 | 32.70% | 14,382 | 64.61% | 598 | 2.69% | -7,102 | -31.91% | 22,260 |
| Big Stone | 1,053 | 35.41% | 1,863 | 62.64% | 58 | 1.95% | -810 | -27.23% | 2,974 |
| Blue Earth | 18,330 | 50.84% | 16,731 | 46.41% | 990 | 2.75% | 1,599 | 4.43% | 36,051 |
| Brown | 4,753 | 32.48% | 9,552 | 65.27% | 330 | 2.25% | -4,799 | -32.79% | 14,635 |
| Carlton | 10,098 | 49.58% | 9,791 | 48.07% | 480 | 2.35% | 307 | 1.51% | 20,369 |
| Carver | 30,774 | 46.37% | 34,009 | 51.25% | 1,578 | 2.38% | -3,235 | -4.88% | 66,361 |
| Cass | 6,342 | 34.68% | 11,620 | 63.54% | 327 | 1.78% | -5,278 | -28.86% | 18,289 |
| Chippewa | 2,226 | 33.67% | 4,250 | 64.29% | 135 | 2.04% | -2,024 | -30.62% | 6,611 |
| Chisago | 11,806 | 34.15% | 21,916 | 63.40% | 848 | 2.45% | -10,110 | -29.25% | 34,570 |
| Clay | 16,357 | 50.74% | 15,043 | 46.66% | 839 | 2.60% | 1,314 | 4.08% | 32,239 |
| Clearwater | 1,260 | 26.76% | 3,372 | 71.62% | 76 | 1.62% | -2,112 | -44.86% | 4,708 |
| Cook | 2,496 | 65.58% | 1,203 | 31.61% | 107 | 2.81% | 1,293 | 33.97% | 3,806 |
| Cottonwood | 1,834 | 30.03% | 4,165 | 68.20% | 108 | 1.77% | -2,331 | -38.17% | 6,107 |
| Crow Wing | 13,726 | 34.17% | 25,676 | 63.91% | 771 | 1.92% | -11,950 | -29.74% | 40,173 |
| Dakota | 146,155 | 55.73% | 109,638 | 41.81% | 6,466 | 2.46% | 36,517 | 13.92% | 262,259 |
| Dodge | 4,079 | 33.47% | 7,783 | 63.86% | 325 | 2.67% | -3,704 | -30.39% | 12,187 |
| Douglas | 7,868 | 32.56% | 15,799 | 65.38% | 498 | 2.06% | -7,931 | -32.82% | 24,165 |
| Faribault | 2,531 | 31.98% | 5,191 | 65.59% | 192 | 2.43% | -2,660 | -33.61% | 7,914 |
| Fillmore | 4,551 | 37.48% | 7,301 | 60.14% | 289 | 2.38% | -2,750 | -22.66% | 12,141 |
| Freeborn | 6,889 | 40.96% | 9,578 | 56.95% | 351 | 2.09% | -2,689 | -15.99% | 16,818 |
| Goodhue | 11,806 | 41.23% | 16,052 | 56.06% | 778 | 2.71% | -4,246 | -14.83% | 28,636 |
| Grant | 1,300 | 35.58% | 2,269 | 62.10% | 85 | 2.32% | -969 | -26.52% | 3,654 |
| Hennepin | 532,623 | 70.46% | 205,973 | 27.25% | 17,373 | 2.29% | 326,650 | 43.21% | 755,969 |
| Houston | 4,853 | 42.42% | 6,334 | 55.37% | 253 | 2.21% | -1,481 | -12.95% | 11,440 |
| Hubbard | 4,462 | 34.42% | 8,202 | 63.26% | 301 | 2.32% | -3,740 | -28.84% | 12,965 |
| Isanti | 7,138 | 29.45% | 16,491 | 68.05% | 606 | 2.50% | -9,353 | -38.60% | 24,235 |
| Itasca | 10,786 | 40.61% | 15,239 | 57.37% | 536 | 2.02% | -4,453 | -16.76% | 26,561 |
| Jackson | 1,745 | 29.99% | 3,948 | 67.85% | 126 | 2.16% | -2,203 | -37.86% | 5,819 |
| Kanabec | 2,774 | 30.02% | 6,278 | 67.93% | 190 | 2.05% | -3,504 | -37.91% | 9,242 |
| Kandiyohi | 8,440 | 36.12% | 14,437 | 61.78% | 490 | 2.10% | -5,997 | -25.66% | 23,367 |
| Kittson | 1,006 | 38.12% | 1,546 | 58.58% | 87 | 3.30% | -540 | -20.46% | 2,639 |
| Koochiching | 2,659 | 38.41% | 4,131 | 59.68% | 132 | 1.91% | -1,472 | -21.27% | 6,922 |
| Lac Qui Parle | 1,446 | 35.79% | 2,528 | 62.57% | 66 | 1.64% | -1,082 | -26.78% | 4,040 |
| Lake | 3,647 | 50.64% | 3,393 | 47.11% | 162 | 2.25% | 254 | 3.53% | 7,202 |
| Lake of the Woods | 671 | 27.87% | 1,704 | 70.76% | 33 | 1.37% | -1,033 | -42.89% | 2,408 |
| Le Sueur | 5,672 | 33.73% | 10,775 | 64.07% | 371 | 2.20% | -5,103 | -30.34% | 16,818 |
| Lincoln | 937 | 30.08% | 2,121 | 68.09% | 57 | 1.83% | -1,184 | -38.01% | 3,115 |
| Lyon | 4,634 | 35.94% | 7,979 | 61.89% | 280 | 2.17% | -3,345 | -25.95% | 12,893 |
| McLeod | 6,413 | 30.64% | 13,986 | 66.81% | 534 | 2.55% | -7,573 | -36.17% | 20,933 |
| Mahnomen | 1,112 | 48.26% | 1,142 | 49.57% | 50 | 2.17% | -30 | -1.31% | 2,304 |
| Marshall | 1,295 | 25.33% | 3,721 | 72.78% | 97 | 1.89% | -2,426 | -47.45% | 5,113 |
| Martin | 3,305 | 30.02% | 7,480 | 67.94% | 224 | 2.04% | -4,175 | -37.72% | 11,009 |
| Meeker | 3,867 | 28.58% | 9,359 | 69.18% | 303 | 2.24% | -5,492 | -40.60% | 13,529 |
| Mille Lacs | 4,404 | 29.98% | 9,952 | 67.75% | 333 | 2.27% | -5,548 | -37.77% | 14,689 |
| Morrison | 4,367 | 22.33% | 14,821 | 75.78% | 370 | 1.89% | -10,454 | -53.45% | 19,558 |
| Mower | 8,899 | 46.00% | 10,025 | 51.82% | 421 | 2.18% | -1,126 | -5.82% | 19,345 |
| Murray | 1,449 | 29.60% | 3,363 | 68.69% | 84 | 1.71% | -1,914 | -39.09% | 4,896 |
| Nicollet | 9,622 | 50.31% | 9,018 | 47.15% | 485 | 2.54% | 604 | 3.16% | 19,125 |
| Nobles | 2,933 | 33.65% | 5,600 | 64.26% | 182 | 2.09% | -2,667 | -30.61% | 8,715 |
| Norman | 1,404 | 40.80% | 1,953 | 56.76% | 84 | 2.44% | -549 | -15.96% | 3,441 |
| Olmsted | 49,491 | 54.16% | 39,692 | 43.43% | 2,202 | 2.41% | 9,799 | 10.73% | 91,385 |
| Otter Tail | 11,958 | 32.85% | 23,800 | 65.39% | 641 | 1.76% | -11,842 | -32.54% | 36,399 |
| Pennington | 2,568 | 35.29% | 4,532 | 62.28% | 177 | 2.43% | -1,964 | -26.99% | 7,277 |
| Pine | 5,419 | 33.87% | 10,256 | 64.10% | 326 | 2.03% | -4,837 | -30.23% | 16,001 |
| Pipestone | 1,306 | 26.44% | 3,553 | 71.92% | 81 | 1.64% | -2,247 | -45.48% | 4,940 |
| Polk | 5,439 | 34.88% | 9,865 | 63.26% | 290 | 1.86% | -4,426 | -28.38% | 15,594 |
| Pope | 2,477 | 35.27% | 4,417 | 62.90% | 128 | 1.83% | -1,940 | -27.63% | 7,022 |
| Ramsey | 211,620 | 71.50% | 77,376 | 26.14% | 6,981 | 2.36% | 134,244 | 45.36% | 295,977 |
| Red Lake | 691 | 31.47% | 1,454 | 66.21% | 51 | 2.32% | -763 | -34.74% | 2,196 |
| Redwood | 2,355 | 28.43% | 5,771 | 69.66% | 158 | 1.91% | -3,416 | -41.23% | 8,284 |
| Renville | 2,496 | 30.71% | 5,467 | 67.26% | 165 | 2.03% | -2,971 | -36.55% | 8,128 |
| Rice | 17,402 | 48.76% | 17,464 | 48.94% | 820 | 2.30% | -62 | -0.18% | 35,686 |
| Rock | 1,556 | 29.69% | 3,583 | 68.38% | 101 | 1.93% | -2,027 | -38.69% | 5,240 |
| Roseau | 2,188 | 25.98% | 6,065 | 72.02% | 168 | 2.00% | -3,877 | -46.04% | 8,421 |
| St. Louis | 67,704 | 56.64% | 49,017 | 41.01% | 2,810 | 2.35% | 18,687 | 15.63% | 119,531 |
| Scott | 40,040 | 45.52% | 45,872 | 52.15% | 2,053 | 2.33% | -5,832 | -6.63% | 87,965 |
| Sherburne | 18,065 | 32.48% | 36,222 | 65.13% | 1,325 | 2.39% | -18,157 | -32.65% | 55,612 |
| Sibley | 2,417 | 28.60% | 5,864 | 69.38% | 171 | 2.02% | -3,447 | -40.78% | 8,452 |
| Stearns | 31,879 | 37.58% | 50,959 | 60.07% | 1,997 | 2.35% | -19,080 | -22.49% | 84,835 |
| Steele | 7,917 | 37.47% | 12,656 | 59.90% | 555 | 2.63% | -4,739 | -22.43% | 21,128 |
| Stevens | 1,922 | 37.80% | 3,044 | 59.86% | 119 | 2.34% | -1,122 | -22.06% | 5,085 |
| Swift | 1,784 | 34.35% | 3,316 | 63.86% | 93 | 1.79% | -1,532 | -29.51% | 5,193 |
| Todd | 3,286 | 24.79% | 9,753 | 73.57% | 218 | 1.64% | -6,467 | -48.78% | 13,257 |
| Traverse | 661 | 35.46% | 1,172 | 62.88% | 31 | 1.66% | -511 | -27.42% | 1,864 |
| Wabasha | 4,696 | 35.78% | 8,153 | 62.13% | 274 | 2.09% | -3,457 | -26.35% | 13,123 |
| Wadena | 2,023 | 26.35% | 5,520 | 71.90% | 134 | 1.75% | -3,497 | -45.55% | 7,677 |
| Waseca | 3,496 | 33.65% | 6,624 | 63.76% | 269 | 2.59% | -3,128 | -30.11% | 10,389 |
| Washington | 89,165 | 53.46% | 73,764 | 44.23% | 3,857 | 2.31% | 15,401 | 9.23% | 166,786 |
| Watonwan | 1,987 | 38.20% | 3,103 | 59.66% | 111 | 2.14% | -1,116 | -21.46% | 5,201 |
| Wilkin | 1,026 | 29.91% | 2,328 | 67.87% | 76 | 2.22% | -1,302 | -37.96% | 3,430 |
| Winona | 13,333 | 49.07% | 13,227 | 48.68% | 613 | 2.25% | 106 | 0.39% | 27,173 |
| Wright | 28,430 | 34.49% | 51,973 | 63.05% | 2,023 | 2.46% | -23,543 | -28.56% | 82,426 |
| Yellow Medicine | 1,688 | 30.54% | 3,734 | 67.55% | 106 | 1.91% | -2,046 | -37.01% | 5,528 |
| Totals | 1,717,077 | 52.40% | 1,484,065 | 45.28% | 76,029 | 2.32% | 233,012 | 7.12% | 3,277,171 |
* Democratic — +10-12.5%
* Democratic — +7.5-10%
* Democratic — +5-7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5-5%
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%
* Republican — +10-12.5%
* Republican — +12.5-15%
* Republican — +>15%
* Democratic — +10-12.5%
* Democratic — +7.5-10%
* Democratic — +5-7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5-5%
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%
* Republican — +10-12.5%
* Republican — +12.5-15%
* Republican — +>15%
* Democratic  Hold  Gain from Republican Republican  Hold
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
* Blue Earth (largest municipality: Mankato)
* Clay (largest municipality: Moorhead)
* Nicollet (largest municipality: North Mankato)
* Winona (largest municipality: Winona)

#### By congressional district

Biden and Trump each won four of the state's eight congressional districts. Neither won any district in Minnesota represented by the other party in the House of Representatives, although incumbent Democrat Collin Peterson was unseated in the Trump-won 7th district.
| District | Biden | Trump | Representative |
| 1st | 44% | 54% | Jim Hagedorn |
| 2nd | 52% | 45% | Angie Craig |
| 3rd | 58% | 39% | Dean Phillips |
| 4th | 67% | 30% | Betty McCollum |
| 5th | 80% | 18% | Ilhan Omar |
| 6th | 39% | 59% | Tom Emmer |
| 7th | 34% | 64% | Collin Peterson |
| 7th | 34% | 64% | Michelle Fischbach |
| 8th | 42% | 56% | Pete Stauber |

## Analysis

After narrowly losing the state in 2016, the Trump campaign identified Minnesota as an offensive target in 2020; polls of Minnesota voters throughout the campaign, however, showed Biden leading. Throughout the summer leading up to the election, the Twin Cities metropolitan area was the epicenter of Black Lives Matter protests, in light of the murder of George Floyd having taken place in Minneapolis.
Trump attempted to court white suburban Minnesotans with law and order messaging by using images of rioting in campaign ads and claiming that Biden would "destroy suburbia". These efforts failed, as Biden massively improved on Hillary Clinton's performance in the Twin Cities suburbs. With his resounding victories in Hennepin and Ramsey counties, Biden became the first Democrat to win over 70% of the vote in any Minnesota county since Minnesotan Hubert Humphrey did in Carlton, Lake, and St. Louis Counties (the core of the heavily unionized Iron Range region) in 1968.

### Voter demographics

Edison Research exit poll :
| Demographic subgroup | Biden | Trump | No Answer | % of Voters |
| Party |||||
| Democrat | 95 | 4 | N/A | 35 |
| Republican | 8 | 91 | N/A | 34 |
| Independent | 55 | 40 | N/A | 31 |
| Gender |||||
| Men | 47 | 50 | 3 | 46 |
| Women | 58 | 41 | 1 | 54 |
| Race |||||
| White | 51 | 47 | 2 | 87 |
| Black | 77 | 21 | 2 | 4 |
| Latino | 60 | 38 | 2 | 4 |
| Asian | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| Other | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3 |
| Gender by race/ethnicity |||||
| White men | 44 | 53 | 3 | 45 |
| White women | 57 | 42 | 1 | 55 |
| Black men | 69 | 30 | 1 | 6 |
| Black women | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| Latino men (of any race) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3 |
| Latino women (of any race) | 63 | 35 | 2 | 4 |
| All other races | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3 |
| Marital status |||||
| Married | 49 | 50 | 1 | 59 |
| Not married | 58 | 39 | 3 | 41 |
| Age |||||
| 18–24 years old | 66 | 29 | N/A | 8 |
| 25–29 years old | 64 | 30 | N/A | 6 |
| 30–39 years old | 54 | 43 | 3 | 15 |
| 40–49 years old | 52 | 47 | 1 | 13 |
| 50–64 years old | 51 | 48 | N/A | 29 |
| 65 and older | 48 | 51 | 1 | 30 |
| Sexual orientation |||||
| LGBT | N/A | N/A | N/A | 5 |
| Heterosexual | 51 | 47 | 2 | 95 |
| Education |||||
| College graduate | 65 | 34 | N/A | 43 |
| No college degree | 45 | 53 | 1 | 57 |
| Education by race/ethnicity |||||
| White college graduates | 62 | 35 | 3 | 39 |
| White no college degree | 42 | 57 | N/A | 48 |
| Non-white college graduates | 73 | 25 | 3 | 4 |
| Non-white no college degree | 64 | 32 | 4 | 9 |
| Income |||||
| Under $30,000 | 58 | 40 | 2 | 16 |
| $30,000–$49,999 | 55 | 39 | 6 | 19 |
| Over $200,000 | 58 | 42 | N/A | 9 |
| Racism in the U.S is |||||
| The most important problem | 85 | 14 | 1 | 9 |
| An important problem | 62 | 35 | 3 | 65 |
| Area Type |||||
| Urban | 68 | 29 | 1 | 44 |
| Suburban | 42 | 56 | 2 | 34 |
| Rural | 46 | 52 | 2 | 16 |
| Source: CNN |||||