# 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

## Overview

Popular vote
Republican
59.59%
Democratic
39.05%
Other
1.36% :
House seats
Republican
83.33%
Democratic
16.67% :

### By district

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky by district:
| District | Republican | Republican | Democratic | Democratic | Others | Others | Total | Total | Result |
| District | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Result |
| District 1 | 172,167 | 68.59% | 78,849 | 31.41% | 0 | 0.00% | 251,016 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 171,700 | 66.72% | 79,964 | 31.07% | 5,681 | 2.21% | 257,345 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 3 | 101,930 | 36.57% | 173,002 | 62.07% | 3,788 | 1.36% | 278,720 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 4 | 162,946 | 62.24% | 90,536 | 34.58% | 8,330 | 3.18% | 261,812 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 5 | 172,093 | 78.94% | 45,890 | 21.05% | 34 | 0.02% | 218,017 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 6 | 154,468 | 51.00% | 144,736 | 47.79% | 3,684 | 1.22% | 302,888 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| Total | 935,304 | 59.58% | 612,977 | 39.05% | 21,517 | 1.37% | 1,569,798 | 100.0% | |

## District 1

Incumbent Republican James Comer, who had represented the district since 2016, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 73% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+23.

### Republican primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* James Comer, incumbent U.S. representative

### Democratic primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Paul Walker, professor

##### Eliminated in primary

* Alonzo Pennington, musician

#### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Paul Walker | 51,094 | 74.6 |
| | Democratic | Alonzo Pennington | 17,398 | 25.4 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 68,492 | 100.0 |

### General election
#### Results

Kentucky's 1st congressional district, 2018 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | James Comer (incumbent) | 172,167 | 68.6 |
| | Democratic | Paul Walker | 78,849 | 31.4 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 251,016 | 100.0 |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |

## District 2

Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected unopposed in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+19.

### Republican primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Brett Guthrie, incumbent U.S. representative

### Democratic primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Hank Linderman, musician

##### Eliminated in primary

* Brian Pedigo, teacher and farmer
* Rane Eir Olivia Sessions, veteran and former intern for William D. Ford
* Grant Short, pilot, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016

#### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Hank Linderman | 14,516 | 30.0 |
| | Democratic | Brian Pedigo | 13,866 | 28.7 |
| | Democratic | Rane Eir Olivia Sessions | 10,501 | 21.7 |
| | Democratic | Grant Short | 9,470 | 19.6 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 48,353 | 100.0 |

### General election
#### Results

Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, 2018 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Brett Guthrie (incumbent) | 171,700 | 66.7 |
| | Democratic | Hank Linderman | 79,964 | 31.1 |
| | Independent | Thomas Loecken | 5,681 | 2.2 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 257,345 | 100.0 |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |

## District 3

Incumbent Democrat John Yarmuth, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+6.

### Democratic primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* John Yarmuth, incumbent U.S. representative

### Republican primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Vickie Yates Glisson, lawyer and former state health secretary

##### Eliminated in primary

* Mike Craven, Ford worker
* Rhonda Palazzo, realtor

##### Withdrawn

* Waymen Eddings

#### Primary results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Vickie Yates Glisson | 11,239 | 49.1 |
| | Republican | Mike Craven | 6,163 | 26.9 |
| | Republican | Rhonda Palazzo | 5,511 | 24.0 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 22,913 | 100.0 |

### General election
#### Results

Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, 2018 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | John Yarmuth (incumbent) | 173,002 | 62.1 |
| | Republican | Vickie Yates Glisson | 101,930 | 36.6 |
| | Libertarian | Gregory Boles | 3,788 | 1.4 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 278,720 | 100.0 |
| | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold |

## District 4

Incumbent Republican Thomas Massie, who had represented the district since 2012, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+18.

### Republican primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Thomas Massie, incumbent U.S. representative

### Democratic primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Seth Hall, health insurance worker

##### Eliminated in primary

* Christina Lord
* Patti Piatt, business executive

#### Primary results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Seth Hall | 17,859 | 40.8 |
| | Democratic | Patti Piatt | 16,441 | 37.5 |
| | Democratic | Christina Lord | 9,509 | 21.7 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 43,809 | 100.0 |

### General election
#### Results

Kentucky's 4th congressional district, 2018 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Thomas Massie (incumbent) | 162,946 | 62.2 |
| | Democratic | Seth Hall | 90,536 | 34.6 |
| | Independent | Mike Moffett | 8,318 | 2.2 |
| | Independent | David Goodwin (write-in) | 12 | 0.0 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 261,812 | 100.0 |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |

## District 5

Incumbent Republican Hal Rogers, who had represented the district since 1981, ran for re-election. He was re-elected unopposed in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+31.

### Republican primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Hal Rogers, incumbent U.S. representative

##### Eliminated in primary

* Gerardo Serrano

#### Primary results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Hal Rogers (incumbent) | 75,405 | 84.2 |
| | Republican | Gerardo Serrano | 14,177 | 15.8 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 89,582 | 100.0 |

### Democratic primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Kenneth Stepp, attorney

##### Eliminated in primary

* Scott Sykes

#### Primary results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Kenneth Stepp | 33,584 | 58.7 |
| | Democratic | Scott Sykes | 23,637 | 41.3 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 57,221 | 100.0 |

### General election
#### Results

Kentucky's 5th congressional district, 2018 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Hal Rogers (incumbent) | 172,093 | 78.9 |
| | Democratic | Kenneth Stepp | 45,890 | 21.0 |
| | Independent | Bill Ray (write-in) | 34 | 0.1 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 218,017 | 100.0 |

## District 6

Incumbent Republican Andy Barr, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+9.

### Republican primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Andy Barr, incumbent U.S. representative

##### Eliminated in primary

* Chuck Eddy

#### Primary results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Andy Barr (incumbent) | 40,514 | 83.8 |
| | Republican | Chuck Eddy | 7,858 | 16.2 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 48,372 | 100.0 |

### Democratic primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Amy McGrath, retired U.S. Marine fighter pilot

##### Eliminated in primary

* Jim Gray, mayor of Lexington and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016
* Theodore Green
* Daniel Kemph, business analyst
* Reggie Thomas, state senator
* Geoff Young, perennial candidate

#### Campaign

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee included Kentucky's 6th congressional district on its initial list of Republican-held seats considered targets in 2018. McGrath's campaign announcement video, entitled "Told Me", in which she spoke of her Navy service (being the first female Marine to fly a McDonnell Douglas F/F-18 in combat), attracted much national attention.
The DCCC opted to support Jim Gray in the primary.

#### Endorsements

Labor unions
* United Steelworkers
Organizations
* LGBTQ Victory Fund
Newspapers
* Lexington Herald-Leader
U.S. senators
* Kirsten Gillibrand, former U.S. senator from New York (2009–present)
U.S. representatives
* Seth Moulton, U.S. representative from Massachusetts's 6th congressional district (2015–present)
Organizations
* VoteVets
* With Honor
Individuals
* Nancy Jo Kemper, former executive director of the Kentucky Council of Churches and nominee for this seat in 2016

#### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jim Gray | Amy McGrath | Reggie Thomas | Other | Undecided |
| Garin Hart Yang (D-McGrath) | April 17–19, 2018 | 400 | ±5.0% | 35% | 42% | 6% | 3% | 14% |
| Mellman Group (D-Gray) | March 3–6, 2018 | 400 | ±4.9% | 52% | 19% | 6% | — | 23% |

#### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Amy McGrath | 48,859 | 48.7 |
| | Democratic | Jim Gray | 40,684 | 40.5 |
| | Democratic | Reggie Thomas | 7,226 | 7.2 |
| | Democratic | Geoff Young | 1,574 | 1.6 |
| | Democratic | Daniel Kemph | 1,240 | 1.2 |
| | Democratic | Theodore Green | 835 | 0.8 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 100,418 | 100.0 |

### General election
#### Endorsements

U.S. executive branch officials
* Donald Trump, president of the United States
U.S. senators
* Kirsten Gillibrand, former U.S. senator from New York (2009–present)
U.S. representatives
* Seth Moulton, U.S. representative from Massachusetts's 6th congressional district (2015–present)
Organizations
* Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program
* VoteVets
* With Honor

#### Polling

Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Andy Barr (R) | Amy McGrath (D) | Other | Undecided |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | November 1–4, 2018 | 438 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 44% | 2% | 10% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Barr) | October 6–8, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | – | – |
| Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath) | September 30 – October 2, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 51% | – | – |
| Pulse Opinion Research | September 12–17, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 47% | 2% | 3% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 6–8, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | – | 7% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R-CLF) | September 4–6, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath) | July 7–10, 2018 | 461 | ± 4.6% | 43% | 50% | – | 7% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R-CLF) | June 6–7, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 38% | 51% | – | 11% |
| DCCC (D) | April 30–May 2, 2018 | 508 | ± 4.4% | 37% | 52% | – | 8% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath) | February 5–7, 2018 | 401 | ± 5.0% | 48% | 44% | – | – |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Andy Barr (R) | Generic Democrat | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | February 12–13, 2018 | 662 | ± 3.8% | 42% | 44% | – | 14% |

#### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538 | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |

#### Results

Kentucky's 6th congressional district, 2018 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Andy Barr (incumbent) | 154,468 | 51.0 |
| | Democratic | Amy McGrath | 144,736 | 47.8 |
| | Libertarian | Frank Harris | 2,150 | 0.7 |
| | Independent | Rikka Wallin | 1,011 | 0.3 |
| | Independent | James Germalic | 523 | 0.2 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 302,890 | 100.0 |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |