# 2024 United States presidential election in Tennessee

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Elections in Tennessee :
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2024 :
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Let's Move Nashville :
Local elections
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Jackson Mayoral elections
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Murfreesboro Mayoral elections
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Nashville Mayoral elections
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2023 :
Government :
vte :
The 2024 United States presidential election in Tennessee took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Tennessee voters have chosen electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Tennessee has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
Prior to the election, all major news organizations once again considered Tennessee a safe red state; the state has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000, including by double-digit margins since 2004.
On election night, Tennessee voted Republican for former president Donald Trump by a wide margin for the third time in a row, with him winning the state by 29.7%, a considerable increase from his 23.2% victory in 2020 and to a lesser extent his 26% victory in 2016. He received more than 1.96 million Tennessee votes which was a record for votes cast for any candidate in state history. This is the best performance from a Republican candidate for a presidential election in Tennessee since Richard Nixon's 37.9% victory in 1972.

## Primary elections
### Democratic primary

The Tennessee Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. President Biden won the state in a landslide, earning all 63 pledged delegates
Tennessee Democratic primary, March 5, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total |
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 122,803 | 92.14% | 63 | | 63 |
| Uncommitted | 10,475 | 7.86% | 0 | | 0 |
| Total: | 133,278 | 100.00% | 63 | 7 | 70 |

### Republican primary

The Tennessee Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former president Donald J. Trump was challenged by Nikki Haley, the only other major candidate remaining in the Republican primaries. Trump won the state in a landslide, defeating Haley by 57.8 points and earning all 58 delegates.
Tennessee Republican primary, March 5, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Donald Trump | 446,850 | 77.33% | 58 | 0 | 58 |
| Nikki Haley | 112,958 | 19.55% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 7,947 | 1.38% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Uncommitted | 4,884 | 0.85% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,874 | 0.32% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,714 | 0.30% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 722 | 0.13% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 533 | 0.09% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Stuckenberg | 352 | 0.06% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 577,834 | 100.00% | 58 | 0 | 58 |

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Cook Political Report | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
| 538 | Solid R | June 11, 2024 |
| RCP | Solid R | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |

### Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| ActiVote | October 5−28, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 62% | 38% | – |
| ActiVote | September 24 – October 16, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 62% | 38% | – |
| ActiVote | July 26 – August 29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 63% | 37% | – |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
| Targoz Market Research | September 27 – October 8, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 54% | 35% | 5% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Targoz Market Research | September 27 – October 8, 2024 | 971 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 56% | 35% | 5% | – | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Donald J. Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 510 (LV) | – | 59% | 35% | 6% |
| Targoz Market Research | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 1,139 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 60% | 31% | 9% |
| Targoz Market Research | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 974 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 55% | 31% | 14% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 216 (RV) | – | 58% | 34% | 8% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 201 (LV) | – | 59% | 34% | 7% |
| Targoz Market Research | December 14–28, 2023 | 1,139 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 61% | 30% | 9% |
| Targoz Market Research | December 14–28, 2023 | 929 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 63% | 31% | 5% |
| Siena College | November 5–10, 2023 | 805 (A) | ± 3.8% | 49% | 20% | 31% |
| Targoz Market Research | October 5–16, 2023 | 1,075 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 59% | 29% | 12% |
| Targoz Market Research | October 5–16, 2023 | 835 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 61% | 30% | 9% |
| Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 410 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| Targoz Market Research | June 14–22, 2023 | 1,120 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 32% | 17% |
| Targoz Market Research | June 14–22, 2023 | 1,046 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 34% | 11% |
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University | April 19–23, 2023 | 502 (RV) | – | 42% | 26% | 31% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| Targoz Market Research | June 20 – July 1, 2024 | 1,152 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 55% | 28% | 7% | 10% |
| Targoz Market Research | June 20 – July 1, 2024 | 962 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 58% | 28% | 5% | 9% |
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University | April 26 – May 9, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 29% | 8% | 16% |
| Targoz Market Research | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 1,139 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 25% | 16% | 11% |
| Targoz Market Research | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 974 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 28% | 15% | 10% |
| Targoz Market Research | December 14–28, 2023 | 1,187 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 48% | 23% | 17% | 12% |
| Targoz Market Research | December 14–28, 2023 | 929 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 25% | 16% | 8% |
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University | November 14 – December 2, 2023 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 26% | 12% | 17% |
| Targoz Market Research | October 5–16, 2023 | 1,164 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 18% | 22% | 14% |
| Targoz Market Research | October 5–16, 2023 | 872 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 23% | 19% | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin as an Independent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Joe Manchin Independent | Other / Undecided |
| Targoz Market Research | October 5–16, 2023 | 1,118 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 52% | 21% | 5% | 22% |
| Targoz Market Research | October 5–16, 2023 | 844 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 53% | 23% | 6% | 18% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 510 (LV) | – | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 510 (LV) | – | 55% | 31% | 14% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| Targoz Market Research | June 14–22, 2023 | 1,120 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 32% | 22% |
| Targoz Market Research | June 14–22, 2023 | 977 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 52% | 36% | 11% |
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University | April 19–23, 2023 | 502 (RV) | – | 33% | 24% | 40% |

### Results

2024 United States presidential election in Tennessee :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Donald TrumpJD Vance | 1,966,865 | 64.19% | +3.53% |
| | Democratic | Kamala HarrisTim Walz | 1,056,265 | 34.47% | −2.98% |
| | Independent | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn)Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn) | 21,535 | 0.70% | N/A |
| | Green | Jill SteinSamson Kpadenou | 8,967 | 0.29% | +0.14% |
| | Independent | Jay BowmanDe Bowman | 5,865 | 0.19% | N/A |
| | Socialism and Liberation | Claudia De la CruzKarina Garcia | 3,457 | 0.11% | +0.03% |
| | Socialist Workers | Rachele FruitDennis Richter | 988 | 0.03% | −0.05% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 3,063,942 | 100.00% | |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |

#### By county

| County | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total |
| Anderson | 24,582 | 67.26% | 11,525 | 31.53% | 441 | 1.21% | 13,057 | 35.73% | 36,548 |
| Bedford | 15,772 | 78.51% | 4,122 | 20.52% | 196 | 0.97% | 11,650 | 57.99% | 20,090 |
| Benton | 5,886 | 81.07% | 1,317 | 18.14% | 57 | 0.79% | 4,569 | 62.93% | 7,260 |
| Bledsoe | 5,254 | 84.87% | 891 | 14.39% | 46 | 0.74% | 4,363 | 70.48% | 6,191 |
| Blount | 50,699 | 73.24% | 17,664 | 25.52% | 861 | 1.24% | 33,035 | 47.72% | 69,224 |
| Bradley | 38,836 | 78.86% | 9,852 | 20.01% | 558 | 1.13% | 28,984 | 58.85% | 49,246 |
| Campbell | 13,115 | 84.46% | 2,305 | 14.84% | 108 | 0.70% | 10,810 | 69.62% | 15,528 |
| Cannon | 5,682 | 82.58% | 1,132 | 16.45% | 67 | 0.97% | 4,550 | 66.13% | 6,881 |
| Carroll | 9,547 | 80.35% | 2,233 | 18.79% | 102 | 0.86% | 7,314 | 61.56% | 11,882 |
| Carter | 20,167 | 81.15% | 4,454 | 17.92% | 231 | 0.93% | 15,713 | 63.23% | 24,852 |
| Cheatham | 14,987 | 72.26% | 5,464 | 26.34% | 290 | 1.40% | 9,523 | 45.92% | 20,741 |
| Chester | 6,206 | 81.91% | 1,286 | 16.97% | 85 | 1.12% | 4,920 | 64.94% | 7,577 |
| Claiborne | 11,463 | 84.70% | 1,971 | 14.56% | 100 | 0.74% | 9,492 | 70.14% | 13,534 |
| Clay | 3,117 | 82.90% | 614 | 16.33% | 29 | 0.77% | 2,503 | 66.57% | 3,760 |
| Cocke | 13,105 | 83.67% | 2,415 | 15.42% | 143 | 0.91% | 10,690 | 68.25% | 15,663 |
| Coffee | 19,174 | 76.91% | 5,440 | 21.82% | 318 | 1.27% | 13,734 | 55.09% | 24,932 |
| Crockett | 4,674 | 78.94% | 1,196 | 20.20% | 51 | 0.86% | 3,478 | 58.74% | 5,921 |
| Cumberland | 27,399 | 79.09% | 6,996 | 20.20% | 247 | 0.71% | 20,403 | 58.89% | 34,642 |
| Davidson | 102,256 | 35.26% | 181,862 | 62.70% | 5,918 | 2.04% | −79,606 | −27.44% | 290,036 |
| Decatur | 4,596 | 84.08% | 819 | 14.98% | 51 | 0.94% | 3,777 | 69.10% | 5,466 |
| DeKalb | 7,599 | 80.87% | 1,706 | 18.16% | 91 | 0.97% | 5,893 | 62.71% | 9,396 |
| Dickson | 19,002 | 75.39% | 5,913 | 23.46% | 289 | 1.15% | 13,089 | 51.93% | 25,204 |
| Dyer | 11,603 | 80.61% | 2,707 | 18.81% | 84 | 0.58% | 8,896 | 61.80% | 14,394 |
| Fayette | 16,756 | 70.71% | 6,720 | 28.36% | 220 | 0.93% | 10,036 | 42.35% | 23,696 |
| Fentress | 8,555 | 87.56% | 1,149 | 11.76% | 67 | 0.68% | 7,406 | 75.80% | 9,771 |
| Franklin | 15,016 | 76.12% | 4,529 | 22.96% | 183 | 0.92% | 10,487 | 53.16% | 19,728 |
| Gibson | 16,346 | 75.51% | 5,100 | 23.56% | 202 | 0.93% | 11,246 | 51.95% | 21,648 |
| Giles | 10,394 | 77.07% | 2,974 | 22.05% | 119 | 0.88% | 7,420 | 55.02% | 13,487 |
| Grainger | 9,630 | 86.52% | 1,432 | 12.87% | 68 | 0.61% | 8,198 | 73.65% | 11,130 |
| Greene | 25,586 | 82.28% | 5,145 | 16.55% | 364 | 1.17% | 20,441 | 65.73% | 31,095 |
| Grundy | 5,334 | 84.29% | 948 | 14.98% | 46 | 0.73% | 4,386 | 69.31% | 6,328 |
| Hamblen | 20,154 | 79.03% | 5,132 | 20.12% | 215 | 0.85% | 15,022 | 58.91% | 25,501 |
| Hamilton | 97,195 | 55.72% | 74,437 | 42.67% | 2,806 | 1.61% | 22,758 | 13.05% | 174,438 |
| Hancock | 2,558 | 87.96% | 334 | 11.49% | 16 | 0.55% | 2,224 | 76.47% | 2,908 |
| Hardeman | 5,793 | 61.63% | 3,527 | 37.53% | 79 | 0.84% | 2,266 | 24.10% | 9,399 |
| Hardin | 10,293 | 85.11% | 1,704 | 14.09% | 97 | 0.80% | 8,589 | 71.02% | 12,094 |
| Hawkins | 22,066 | 84.01% | 3,987 | 15.18% | 213 | 0.81% | 18,079 | 68.83% | 26,266 |
| Haywood | 3,286 | 49.40% | 3,311 | 49.77% | 55 | 0.83% | −25 | −0.37% | 6,652 |
| Henderson | 10,083 | 83.70% | 1,902 | 15.79% | 62 | 0.51% | 8,181 | 67.91% | 12,047 |
| Henry | 11,629 | 77.14% | 3,286 | 21.80% | 161 | 1.06% | 8,343 | 55.34% | 15,076 |
| Hickman | 8,265 | 80.17% | 1,968 | 19.09% | 76 | 0.74% | 6,297 | 61.08% | 10,309 |
| Houston | 2,989 | 78.45% | 773 | 20.29% | 48 | 1.26% | 2,216 | 58.16% | 3,810 |
| Humphreys | 6,400 | 77.44% | 1,767 | 21.38% | 97 | 1.18% | 4,633 | 56.06% | 8,264 |
| Jackson | 4,586 | 80.80% | 1,040 | 18.32% | 50 | 0.88% | 3,546 | 62.48% | 5,676 |
| Jefferson | 21,068 | 81.61% | 4,503 | 17.44% | 244 | 0.95% | 16,565 | 64.17% | 25,815 |
| Johnson | 6,829 | 84.29% | 1,212 | 14.96% | 61 | 0.75% | 5,617 | 69.33% | 8,102 |
| Knox | 130,815 | 58.96% | 87,516 | 39.45% | 3,533 | 1.59% | 43,299 | 19.51% | 221,864 |
| Lake | 1,493 | 77.00% | 429 | 22.12% | 17 | 0.88% | 1,064 | 54.88% | 1,939 |
| Lauderdale | 5,633 | 68.15% | 2,571 | 31.10% | 62 | 0.75% | 3,062 | 37.05% | 8,266 |
| Lawrence | 16,429 | 84.11% | 2,939 | 15.05% | 165 | 0.84% | 13,490 | 69.06% | 19,533 |
| Lewis | 4,852 | 82.38% | 991 | 16.83% | 47 | 0.79% | 3,861 | 65.55% | 5,890 |
| Lincoln | 13,208 | 81.89% | 2,782 | 17.25% | 138 | 0.86% | 10,426 | 64.64% | 16,128 |
| Loudon | 25,226 | 75.96% | 7,625 | 22.96% | 358 | 1.08% | 17,601 | 53.00% | 33,209 |
| Macon | 8,958 | 86.69% | 1,277 | 12.36% | 98 | 0.95% | 7,681 | 74.33% | 10,333 |
| Madison | 23,385 | 58.52% | 16,115 | 40.32% | 464 | 1.16% | 7,270 | 18.20% | 39,964 |
| Marion | 10,788 | 77.43% | 3,026 | 21.72% | 119 | 0.85% | 7,762 | 55.71% | 13,933 |
| Marshall | 12,426 | 77.85% | 3,390 | 21.24% | 146 | 0.91% | 9,036 | 56.61% | 15,962 |
| Maury | 37,376 | 71.75% | 14,145 | 27.15% | 569 | 1.10% | 23,231 | 44.60% | 52,090 |
| McMinn | 19,673 | 81.73% | 4,207 | 17.48% | 192 | 0.79% | 15,466 | 64.25% | 24,072 |
| McNairy | 9,437 | 83.76% | 1,727 | 15.33% | 103 | 0.91% | 7,710 | 68.43% | 11,267 |
| Meigs | 5,085 | 83.37% | 968 | 15.87% | 46 | 0.76% | 4,117 | 67.50% | 6,099 |
| Monroe | 18,526 | 82.99% | 3,608 | 16.16% | 189 | 0.85% | 14,918 | 66.83% | 22,323 |
| Montgomery | 47,795 | 58.46% | 32,736 | 40.04% | 1,224 | 1.50% | 15,059 | 18.42% | 81,755 |
| Moore | 3,060 | 83.74% | 542 | 14.83% | 52 | 1.43% | 2,518 | 68.91% | 3,654 |
| Morgan | 7,427 | 86.76% | 1,054 | 12.31% | 79 | 0.93% | 6,373 | 74.45% | 8,560 |
| Obion | 10,596 | 82.14% | 2,221 | 17.22% | 83 | 0.64% | 8,375 | 64.92% | 12,900 |
| Overton | 9,042 | 81.69% | 1,931 | 17.45% | 96 | 0.86% | 7,111 | 64.24% | 11,069 |
| Perry | 3,139 | 84.47% | 558 | 15.02% | 19 | 0.51% | 2,581 | 69.45% | 3,716 |
| Pickett | 2,441 | 82.63% | 487 | 16.49% | 26 | 0.88% | 1,954 | 66.14% | 2,954 |
| Polk | 7,302 | 83.67% | 1,356 | 15.54% | 69 | 0.79% | 5,946 | 68.13% | 8,727 |
| Putnam | 25,554 | 73.14% | 8,991 | 25.73% | 394 | 1.13% | 16,563 | 47.41% | 34,939 |
| Rhea | 11,974 | 82.90% | 2,312 | 16.01% | 158 | 1.09% | 9,662 | 66.89% | 14,444 |
| Roane | 21,011 | 76.65% | 6,073 | 22.15% | 328 | 1.20% | 14,938 | 54.50% | 27,412 |
| Robertson | 26,260 | 74.88% | 8,428 | 24.03% | 382 | 1.09% | 17,832 | 50.85% | 35,070 |
| Rutherford | 88,811 | 60.15% | 56,656 | 38.37% | 2,189 | 1.48% | 32,155 | 21.78% | 147,656 |
| Scott | 8,608 | 89.62% | 942 | 9.81% | 55 | 0.57% | 7,666 | 79.81% | 9,605 |
| Sequatchie | 6,522 | 82.66% | 1,292 | 16.38% | 76 | 0.96% | 5,230 | 66.28% | 7,890 |
| Sevier | 35,207 | 80.07% | 8,322 | 18.93% | 441 | 1.00% | 26,885 | 61.14% | 43,970 |
| Shelby | 118,917 | 36.42% | 201,759 | 61.80% | 5,821 | 1.78% | −82,842 | −25.38% | 326,497 |
| Smith | 7,655 | 81.99% | 1,595 | 17.08% | 86 | 0.93% | 6,060 | 64.91% | 9,336 |
| Stewart | 5,389 | 81.40% | 1,160 | 17.52% | 71 | 1.08% | 4,229 | 63.88% | 6,620 |
| Sullivan | 58,154 | 76.98% | 16,624 | 22.01% | 763 | 1.01% | 41,530 | 54.97% | 75,541 |
| Sumner | 68,767 | 70.34% | 27,874 | 28.51% | 1,120 | 1.15% | 40,893 | 41.83% | 97,761 |
| Tipton | 20,303 | 75.95% | 6,178 | 23.11% | 252 | 0.94% | 14,125 | 52.84% | 26,733 |
| Trousdale | 3,359 | 79.02% | 856 | 20.14% | 36 | 0.84% | 2,503 | 58.88% | 4,251 |
| Unicoi | 6,876 | 80.51% | 1,578 | 18.48% | 87 | 1.01% | 5,298 | 62.03% | 8,541 |
| Union | 7,384 | 85.18% | 1,216 | 14.03% | 69 | 0.79% | 6,168 | 71.15% | 8,669 |
| Van Buren | 2,718 | 83.25% | 524 | 16.05% | 23 | 0.70% | 2,194 | 67.20% | 3,265 |
| Warren | 13,192 | 77.53% | 3,647 | 21.43% | 176 | 1.04% | 9,545 | 56.10% | 17,015 |
| Washington | 42,299 | 69.08% | 18,131 | 29.61% | 804 | 1.31% | 24,168 | 39.47% | 61,234 |
| Wayne | 6,016 | 88.07% | 762 | 11.16% | 53 | 0.77% | 5,254 | 76.91% | 6,831 |
| Weakley | 10,541 | 78.70% | 2,725 | 20.34% | 128 | 0.96% | 7,816 | 58.36% | 13,394 |
| White | 10,717 | 82.88% | 2,105 | 16.28% | 109 | 0.84% | 8,612 | 66.60% | 12,931 |
| Williamson | 94,562 | 65.36% | 47,695 | 32.97% | 2,411 | 1.67% | 46,867 | 32.39% | 144,668 |
| Wilson | 56,425 | 69.44% | 23,855 | 29.36% | 974 | 1.20% | 32,570 | 40.08% | 81,254 |
| Totals | 1,966,865 | 64.19% | 1,056,265 | 34.47% | 40,812 | 1.34% | 910,600 | 29.72% | 3,063,942 |
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%
* Republican — +10-12.5%
* Democratic — +2.5-5%  Democratic — +0-2.5%  No trend  Republican — +0-2.5%  Republican — +2.5-5%

#### By congressional district

Trump won 8 of 9 congressional districts.
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
| 1st | 78.41% | 20.57% | Diana Harshbarger |
| 2nd | 66.24% | 32.38% | Tim Burchett |
| 3rd | 67.29% | 31.40% | Chuck Fleischmann |
| 4th | 71.19% | 27.61% | Scott DesJarlais |
| 5th | 58.22% | 40.18% | Andy Ogles |
| 6th | 66.96% | 31.80% | John W. Rose |
| 7th | 60.31% | 38.24% | Mark E. Green |
| 8th | 70.25% | 28.63% | David Kustoff |
| 9th | 27.77% | 70.44% | Steve Cohen |

## Analysis

A fast-growing Southern state in the heart of the Bible Belt, no Democrat has won Tennessee's electoral votes since Bill Clinton of neighboring Arkansas, who shared the ticket with favorite son Al Gore, in 1996, nor has it been contested at the presidential level since 2000, when Gore narrowly lost his home state by less than 4 points. The last Democratic presidential candidate to win at least 40% of the state vote was Barack Obama in 2008, and Republicans have occupied all statewide offices in Tennessee since 2011.
Tennessee handed Republican Donald Trump a decisive victory, doing so by a margin of 910,600 votes, making it his third-largest state win in terms of vote count, following Texas and Florida, which are also in the South. This election marks the third consecutive cycle in which a presidential candidate secured over 60% of the Tennesseean vote. Notably, Trump improved his margins in every county and gained significant support across all demographics, performing better in suburban, rural, and urban areas.
Trump was able to increase his support in the Nashville metropolitan area, particularly in the suburban counties of Williamson, Rutherford, Wilson, Sumner, and Cheatham, performing similarly to his 2016 results. He gained ground in every county and even recaptured some support in the Democratic strongholds of Shelby and Davidson Counties, respectively home to Memphis and Nashville, as well as in moderately-red Hamilton County (Chattanooga) and safely-red Knox County (Knoxville).
Trump also came close to flipping majority-Black Haywood County, losing it by just 25 votes. Notably, Haywood County voted Republican in the Senate and congressional race on the same ballot. This was the closest the county has come to voting Republican in a presidential race since 1972.

### By Grand Division

Trump won all three of Tennessee's Grand Divisions—West, Middle, and East Tennessee. Middle and East Tennessee are solidly Republican, while West Tennessee, owing to its high Black population, was formerly loyal to the Democrats. It has become competitive for Republicans in recent elections. In 2020, Trump had won it with 49.43% to Biden's 49.06%. Democrats had previously won West Tennessee in 2004, 2008, and 2012.
| Grand Division | Trump | Harris |
| West | 53.36% | 45.25% |
| Middle | 62.84% | 35.75% |
| East | 71.28% | 27.51% |

### Davidson County

Davidson County, home to Tennessee's state capital Nashville, voted decisively for Kamala Harris, who received 62.7% of the vote. The county has not supported a Republican presidential candidate since George H. W. Bush in 1988. Notably, Donald Trump performed surprisingly well in some of Nashville's urban core. He lost Downtown Nashville, home to landmarks like Broadway and the Country Music Hall of Fame and Museum, by only 7.8%—a significant improvement from his 24.6% loss there in 2020.
Trump's strongest performance in Davidson County came from its rural northern areas, such as Joelton. He also won in parts of southern Davidson County, including suburban areas like Forest Hills and Belle Meade.

### Knox County

Knox County, home to Knoxville, voted comfortably for Donald Trump, who received 59.0% of the vote. This result continues the county’s long-standing Republican tradition, as it has not supported a Democratic presidential candidate since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1940. Despite this Republican stronghold, Kamala Harris performed notably well in Knoxville’s urban core, winning the city by an 11.4% margin. However, this was a decline from Joe Biden’s 16% victory in the city during the 2020 election.
Donald Trump's victory in Knox County was largely driven by his overwhelming support in the suburban and rural areas, which offset Harris’s success in the city. Outside of Knoxville, Trump dominated nearly all precincts, with his strongest showing in the rural northern parts of the county. These regions played a pivotal role in securing his comfortable win.

### Shelby County

Shelby County, home to Memphis, and the most populated county in Tennessee voted decisively for Kamala Harris, who received 61.8% of the vote. The county has not supported a Republican presidential candidate since George H. W. Bush in 1988. Harris’s win in the county was driven largely by the predominantly Black, Democratic-leaning population of Memphis, which forms the county's urban core.
Donald Trump’s performance in Shelby County, however, showed a stark demographic and geographical divide. His strongest support came from the county's eastern suburban areas, including Bartlett, Collierville, and Germantown. These predominantly white, suburban communities often lean more conservative, reflecting national trends. Additionally, Trump found success in northern parts of the county, such as Millington, further illustrating the political diversity within Shelby County's electorate.