# 2028 Hessian state election

The next Hessian state parliament election is set to take place no later than 2028, It will elect the 22st Landtag of Hesse for a five-year term.
The incumbent government is the Second Rhein cabinet, headed by the Christian Democratic Union with support from the Social Democratic Party.

## Background
### Election date

Article 79 of the Constitution of Hesse stipulates that the state parliament is elected for a five years term, with a new election being called no later than the end of that period. According to Section 1 of the Hessian state election law, the election must take place on a Sunday or public holiday. The day of the election is determined by the state government by ordinance.
Since the 20th state parliament was constituted on January 18, 2019, Sunday, January 14, 2024, is the latest possible date for the election to the 21st Hessian state parliament.

### Electoral system

The Hessian Parliament sits a minimum of 110 deputies elected via Mixed-member proportional representation, those being 55 from the constituencies and 55 from the party lists. The running parties must however receive at least 5.0% of the valid votes in order to receive seats. The calculations for the distribution follows the Hare-Niemeyer method. Despite the number of 110 seats, overhang mandates and compensatory mandates often gives the diet a higher number of parliamentarians, the latest being 133 in total.

## Parties in the Landtag

Following the previous election, five parties were elected to the Landtag. Since then, the Alternative for Germany has been the only party to have suffered changes in the number of seats, as three of its members have been withdrawn from the party and the parliamentary group.
The distribution of seats in the parliament following 2023 election and its current configuration are as follows:
| Name | Name | Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | Seats | Seats | Seats | Status |
| Name | Name | Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | Votes (%) | At first sitting | Currently | Status |
| | CDU | Christian Democratic Union of Germany Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands | Christian democracy | Boris Rhein | 34.6% | 52 / 133 | 52 / 133 | Governing coalition |
| | AfD | Alternative for Germany Alternative für Deutschland | German nationalism Right-wing populism | Robert Lambrou | 18.4% | 28 / 133 | 25 / 133 | Opposition |
| | SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | Social democracy | Nancy Faeser | 15.1% | 23 / 133 | 23 / 133 | Governing coalition |
| | Grüne | Alliance 90/The Greens Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | Green politics | Tarek Al-Wazir | 14.8% | 22 / 133 | 22 / 133 | Opposition |
| | FDP | Free Democratic Party Freie Demokratische Partei | Classical liberalism | Stefan Naas | 5.0% | 8 / 133 | 8 / 133 | Opposition |
| | Ungrouped | Ungrouped | Ungrouped | Ungrouped | Ungrouped | 0 / 133 | 3 / 133 | Opposition |

## Opinion polling
### Party polling

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | CDU | AfD | SPD | Grüne | FDP | FW | Linke | BSW | Others | Lead |
| Federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | 3,580,983 | 28.9 | 17.8 | 18.4 | 12.6 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 8.7 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 10.5 |
| Forsa | 22 Nov – 11 Dec 2024 | 1,003 | 38 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 3 | – | 3 | 3 | 8 | 22 |
| INSA | 5–12 Aug 2024 | 1,000 | 32 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 14 |
| 2024 EP Election | 09 Jun 2024 | 2,553,153 | 30 | 13.6 | 16.4 | 12.9 | 6.3 | 2 | 2.5 | 4.4 | 11.9 | 13.6 |
| Infratest dimap | 18–23 Apr 2024 | 1,159 | 37 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 5 | – | – | 3 | 9 | 21 |
| INSA | 2–9 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 33 | 18 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| 2023 state election | 8 Oct 2023 | – | 34.6 | 18.4 | 15.1 | 14.8 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 3.1 | – | 5.5 | 16.2 |