# 2015 Hamburg state election

The 2015 Hamburg state election was held on 15 February 2015 to elect the members of the 21st Hamburg Parliament. The incumbent Social Democratic Party (SPD) government led by First Mayor Olaf Scholz lost its majority. The SPD subsequently formed a coalition government with The Greens, and Scholz continued in office.

## Parties

The table below lists parties represented in the 20th Hamburg Parliament.
| Name | Name | Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | 2011 result | 2011 result |
| Name | Name | Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | Votes (%) | Seats |
| | SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | Social democracy | Olaf Scholz | 48.42% | 62 / 121 |
| | CDU | Christian Democratic Union of Germany Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands | Christian democracy | Dietrich Wersich | 21.88% | 28 / 121 |
| | Grüne | Alliance 90/The Greens Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | Green politics | Katharina Fegebank | 11.16% | 14 / 121 |
| | FDP | Free Democratic Party Freie Demokratische Partei | Classical liberalism | Katja Suding | 6.65% | 9 / 121 |
| | Linke | The Left Die Linke | Democratic socialism | Dora Heyenn | 6.40% | 8 / 121 |

## Opinion polling

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | Linke | AfD | Others | Lead |
| 2015 state election | 15 Feb 2015 | – | 45.6 | 15.9 | 12.3 | 7.4 | 8.5 | 6.1 | 4.2 | 29.7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11–12 Feb 2015 | 1,113 | 47 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 8.5 | 5 | 4.5 | 30 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3–5 Feb 2015 | 1,176 | 45 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 9.5 | 5 | 4.5 | 26 |
| Infratest dimap | 3–4 Feb 2015 | 1,001 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 5.5 | 9 | 5.5 | 5 | 28 |
| Infratest dimap | 23–27 Jan 2015 | 1,000 | 44 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 24 |
| Universität Hamburg | 5–21 Jan 2015 | 235 | 44.6 | 22.6 | 14.9 | 2.8 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 22.0 |
| INSA | 7–13 Jan 2015 | 1,000 | 42 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 19 |
| Infratest dimap | 9–12 Jan 2015 | 1,000 | 43 | 22 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21 |
| Universität Hamburg | 5 Nov–23 Dec 2014 | 511 | 39.7 | 20.6 | 21.8 | 2.8 | 8.9 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 19.1 |
| mafo.de | 15 Dec 2014 | 500 | 42 | 22 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 20 |
| Infratest dimap | 5–9 Dec 2014 | 1,005 | 43 | 24 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 19 |
| GESS | 24 Oct–3 Nov 2014 | 1,002 | 45 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 |
| mafo.de | 9 May 2014 | 500 | 38.5 | 22.6 | 13.7 | 2.9 | 7.8 | 5.8 | 8.7 | 15.9 |
| GESS | 27 Jan–4 Feb 2014 | 1,003 | 48 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 8 | ? | ? | 24 |
| Infratest dimap | 9–13 Jan 2014 | 1,000 | 42 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 17 |
| Universität Hamburg | 8 May–24 Jun 2013 | 636 | 43 | 21 | 18 | 4 | 8 | – | 2 | 22 |
| GESS | 29 Jan–4 Feb 2013 | 1,003 | 51 | 23 | 13 | 2 | 4 | – | 5 | 28 |
| Universität Hamburg | 16 Apr–3 Aug 2012 | 468 | 42.0 | 20.8 | 21.5 | 4.4 | 4.5 | – | 6.9 | 21.2 |
| GESS | 7–14 Feb 2012 | 1,006 | 52 | 21 | 12 | 2 | 5 | – | ? | 31 |
| Infratest dimap | 13–18 Jan 2012 | 1,000 | 51 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 4 | – | 8 | 31 |
| YouGov | 21 Nov–2 Dec 2011 | 1,031 | 44 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 7 | – | 12 | 23 |
| Psephos | 1–9 Jun 2011 | 1,003 | 47 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 7 | – | 5 | 27 |
| 2011 state election | 20 Feb 2011 | – | 48.4 | 21.9 | 11.2 | 6.7 | 6.4 | – | 5.5 | 26.5 |

## Election result

Summary of the 15 February 2015 election results for the Hamburg Parliament :
| Party | Party | Statewide list | Statewide list | Statewide list | Constituency list | Constituency list | Constituency list | Total seats | +/– |
| Party | Party | Votes | % | Seats | Votes | % | Seats | Total seats | +/– |
| | Social Democratic Party (SPD) | 1,611,274 | 45.64 | 23 | 1,440,847 | 41.02 | 35 | 58 | 4 |
| | Christian Democratic Union (CDU) | 561,377 | 15.90 | 2 | 690,479 | 19.66 | 18 | 20 | 8 |
| | Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne) | 432,713 | 12.26 | 2 | 515,900 | 14.69 | 13 | 15 | 1 |
| | The Left (Linke) | 300,567 | 8.51 | 7 | 325,909 | 9.28 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| | Free Democratic Party (FDP) | 262,157 | 7.43 | 8 | 222,736 | 6.34 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| | Alternative for Germany (AfD) | 214,833 | 6.09 | 8 | 217,144 | 6.18 | 0 | 8 | New |
| | Pirate Party Germany (Piraten) | 54,802 | 1.55 | 0 | 65,358 | 1.86 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| | Die PARTEI | 31,710 | 0.90 | 0 | 5,278 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| | New Liberals | 18,464 | 0.52 | 0 | | | | 0 | New |
| | Ecological Democratic Party | 13,621 | 0.39 | 0 | 3,140 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| | National Democratic Party | 11,293 | 0.32 | 0 | 9,542 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| | Pensioners Party | 9,937 | 0.28 | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 |
| | Hamburg Citizens' List | 7,349 | 0.21 | 0 | | | | 0 | New |
| | Independents | | | | 6,773 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| | Citizens' Participation | | | | 3,174 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | New |
| | HaraAlt | | | | 2,107 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | New |
| | Human Economics Party | | | | 1,448 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| | Social Politics | | | | 1,161 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | New |
| | Why Not! | | | | 1,131 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | New |
| Total | Total | 3,530,097 | 100.00 | 50 | 3,512,127 | 100.00 | 71 | 121 | – |
| Valid votes | Valid votes | 3,530,097 | 99.42 | | 3,512,127 | 99.41 | | | |
| Invalid/blank votes | Invalid/blank votes | 20,648 | 0.58 | | 20,854 | 0.59 | | | |
| Total votes | Total votes | 3,550,745 | 100.00 | | 3,532,981 | 100.00 | | | |
| Registered voters/turnout | Registered voters/turnout | | 56.5 | | | 56.5 | | 0.8 | |
| Source: ||||||||||
Popular Vote
SPD
45.64%
CDU
15.90%
B'90/GRÜNE
12.26%
DIE LINKE
8.51%
FDP
7.43%
AfD
6.09%
PIRATEN
1.55%
Other
2.62% :
Bürgerschaft seats
SPD
47.93%
CDU
16.53%
B'90/GRÜNE
12.40%
DIE LINKE
9.09%
FDP
7.44%
AfD
6.61% :