# 2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma

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The 2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Republican Senator Tom Coburn won re-election to a second term.

## Republican primary
### Candidates

* Tom Coburn, incumbent U.S. Senator
* Evelyn Rogers, librarian
* Lewis Kelly Spring, teacher

### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Tom Coburn (incumbent) | 223,997 | 90.4% |
| | Republican | Evelyn Rogers | 15,093 | 6.1% |
| | Republican | Lewis Kelly Spring | 8,812 | 3.5% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 247,902 | 100.00% |

## Democratic primary
### Candidates

* Jim Rogers, retired college professor
* Mark Myles, businessman

### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Jim Rogers | 157,955 | 65.4% |
| | Democratic | Mark Myles | 83,715 | 34.6% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 241,670 | 100.0% |

## General election
### Candidates

* Tom Coburn (R), incumbent U.S. Senator
* Ronald Dwyer (I), activist
* Jim Rogers (D), teacher
* Stephen Wallace (I), businessman

### Campaign

Coburn, a very popular incumbent, promised to self-term limit himself to two terms. Despite his popularity, he did release television advertisements. In 2009, Coburn's approval rating in a PPP poll was 59%, including a 39% approval rating among Democrats. His Democratic opponent is a perennial candidate who did little campaigning.

### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Cook Political Report | Solid R | October 26, 2010 |
| Rothenberg | Safe R | October 22, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics | Safe R | October 26, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | October 21, 2010 |
| CQ Politics | Safe R | October 26, 2010 |

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Coburn (R) | Jim Rogers (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 30, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 65% | 26% | 3% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 28, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 65% | 31% | 1% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 26, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 67% | 24% | 3% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 23, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 68% | 26% | 2% | 4% |
| SoonerPoll | October 3–7, 2010 | 755 | ± ? | 62% | 22% | 2% | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Coburn (R) | Dan Boren (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | May 13–17, 2009 | 715 | ± 3.7% | 53% | 36% | — | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Coburn (R) | Brad Henry (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | May 13–17, 2009 | 715 | ± 3.7% | 52% | 40% | — | 8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Coburn (R) | Mark Myles (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 30, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 62% | 27% | 4% | 6% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Cole (R) | Dan Boren (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | May 13–17, 2009 | 715 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 40% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Cole (R) | Brad Henry (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | May 13–17, 2009 | 715 | ± 3.7% | 44% | 43% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | J. C. Watts (R) | Dan Boren (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | May 13–17, 2009 | 715 | ± 3.7% | 46% | 41% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | J. C. Watts (R) | Brad Henry (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | May 13–17, 2009 | 715 | ± 3.7% | 45% | 44% | — | 11% |

### Fundraising

| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
| Tom Coburn (R) | $1,935,820 | $2,103,749 | $671,135 | $0 |
| Jim Rogers (D) | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission |||||

### Results

United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2010 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Tom Coburn (incumbent) | 718,482 | 70.64% | +17.87% |
| | Democratic | Jim Rogers | 265,814 | 26.13% | −15.11% |
| | Independent | Stephen Wallace | 25,048 | 2.46% | N/A |
| | Independent | Ronald F. Dwyer | 7,807 | 0.77% | N/A |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 452,668 | 44.50% | |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 1,017,151 | 100.00% | |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Swing | | |

#### Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

* Atoka (Largest city: Atoka)
* Bryan (Largest city: Durant)
* Caddo (Largest city: Anadarko)
* Coal (Largest city: Coalgate)
* Cotton (Largest city: Walters)
* Craig (Largest city: Vinita)
* Greer (Largest city: Mangum)
* Harmon (Largest city: Hollis)
* Jefferson (Largest city: Waurika)
* Johnston (Largest city: Tishomingo)
* Kiowa (Largest city: Hobart)
* Le Flore (Largest city: Poteau)
* Love (Largest city: Marietta)
* Marshall (Largest city: Madill)
* Mayes (Largest city: Pryor Creek)
* Murray (Largest city: Sulphur)
* Nowata (Largest city: Nowata)
* Okfuskee (Largest city: Okemah)
* Osage (Largest city: Hominy)
* Pittsburg (Largest city: McAlester)
* Pushmataha (Largest city: Antlers)
* Seminole (Largest city: Seminole)
* Sequoyah (Largest city: Sallisaw)
* Tillman (Largest city: Frederick)
* Cherokee (Largest city: Tahlequah)
* Choctaw (Largest city: Hugo)
* Haskell (Largest city: Stigler)
* Hughes (Largest city: Holdenville)
* Latimer (Largest city: Wilburton)
* McIntosh (Largest city: Checotah)
* Muskogee (Largest city: Muskogee)
* Okmulgee (Largest city: Okmulgee)
* Ottawa (Largest city: Miami)
* Delaware (Largest city: Grove)
* Adair (Largest city: Stilwell)