# Statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election

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Statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election, which was won by incumbent President Barack Obama, are as follows. The polls show the status between Republican nominee Mitt Romney and President Obama. Also included are three- and four-way race polls with the Republican and Democratic nominees against various third party candidates.

## Opinion polling: Obama vs Romney

Sample size key:
LV – Likely Voters
RV – Registered Voters.
Poll source key
(R) – Source polls normally for Republicans (D) – Source polls normally for Democrats

### Alabama

9 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 62%–38% (Republican in 2008) 60%–38%

### Alaska

3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 61%–35% (Republican in 2008) 59%–37%
No polls conducted

### Arizona

11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 55%–44% (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | November 2–3, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 53% | 7 | 1080 LV | ±3.0% |
| YouGov | October 31–November 3, 2012 | Obama | 44% | Romney | 52% | 8 | 702 LV | ±4.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 21, 2012 | Obama | 44% | Romney | 52% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Obama | 43% | Romney | 52% | 9 | 469 LV | ±5.4% |
| Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | October 4–10, 2012 | Obama | 44% | Romney | 42% | 2 | 523 LV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 1–3, 2012 | Obama | 44% | Romney | 53% | 9 | 595 LV | ±4.0% |
| Moore Information/HighGround (R) | September 25–26, 2012 | Obama | 42% | Romney | 46% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 25, 2012 | Obama | 42% | Romney | 52% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Purple Strategies | September 15–19, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 48% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Obama | 41% | Romney | 51% | 10 | 628 LV | Not reported |
| Public Policy Polling | September 7–9, 2012 | Obama | 44% | Romney | 53% | 9 | 993 | ±3.1% |

### Arkansas

6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 54%–45% (Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| The Arkansas Poll | October 9–14, 2012 | Obama | 31% | Romney | 58% | 27 | 642 LV | ±4% |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College | September 17, 2012 | Obama | 34.5% | Romney | 55.5% | 21 | 2228 LV | ±2% |

### California

55 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 54%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 55% | Romney | 40% | 15 | 1,575 LV | Not reported |
| Field Research | October 17–30, 2012 | Obama | 54% | Romney | 39% | 15 | 1,566 LV | ±2.6% |
| CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies | October 21–28, 2012 | Obama | 55.9% | Romney | 33% | 22.9 | 2,115 LV | ±3% |
| USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | October 15–21, 2012 | Obama | 55% | Romney | 38% | 17 | 1,400 LV | Not reported |
| Public Policy Institute of California | October 14–21, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 41% | 12 | 993 LV | ±4.0% |
| Reason-Rupe Public Opinion/Princeton Survey Research Associates International | October 11–15, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 38% | 15 | 508 LV | ±5.1% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Obama | 58% | Romney | 39% | 19 | 1169 LV | ±3.5% |
| CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies | October 7–10, 2012 | Obama | 54% | Romney | 32.9% | 21.1 | 830 LV | ±3.4% |
| SurveyUSA | October 7–9, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 39% | 14 | 539 LV | ±4.3% |
| Field Research Corporation/UC Berkeley (Field Poll) | September 5 – 17, 2012 | Obama | 58% | Romney | 34% | 24 | 848 LV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | September 9 – 16, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 39% | 14 | 995 LV | ±4.4% |
| YouGov | September 7 – 14, 2012 | Obama | 56% | Romney | 39% | 17 | 1,361 LV | Not reported |
| CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies | September 9–12, 2012 | Obama | 55.4% | Romney | 33.4% | 22 | 802 LV | ±3.5% |
| SurveyUSA | September 9–11, 2012 | Obama | 57% | Romney | 35% | 22 | 524 LV | ±4.3% |

### Colorado

9 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 52%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 3–5, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 774 LV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 46% | 6 | 1,096 LV | ±3% |
| Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs | November 2–4, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 46% | 4 | 603 LV | ±4% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 2–4, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 48% | Tied | 676 LV | ±4.3% |
| USAction/Lake Research Partners (D) | October 31–November 4, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 44% | 1 | 400 LV | ±5% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 1–3, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 973 LV | ±3.6% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 752 LV | ±4.1% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | October 31 – November 2, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 46% | Tied | 1,052 LV | ±3.4% |
| League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 31 – November 1, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 46% | 4 | 825 LV | Not reported |
| Reuters/Ipsos | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 694 LV | ±4.2% |
| Denver Post/SurveyUSA | October 28–31, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 45% | 2 | 695 LV | ±3.8% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation | October 26–31, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 48% | 2 | 764 LV | ±3.5% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | October 29–31, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 46% | 1 | 744 LV | ±4.1% |
| We Ask America | October 30, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 47% | 3 | 1,246 LV | ±2.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 29, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 50% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 28–29, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 45% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| American Research Group | October 25–28, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 23–25, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 47% | 4 | 904 LV | ±3.3% |
| Purple Strategies | October 23–25, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 46% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs | October 23–24, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 45% | 3 | 502 LV | ±4.4% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 23–24, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 48% | Tied | 1,128 LV | ±2.9% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 23–24, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 43% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 21, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 50% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 16–18, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 47% | 3 | 1000 LV | ±3.1% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 15–16, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| We Ask America | October 15, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,206 LV | ±2.9% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 5–11, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 46% | 2 | 2,089 LV | ±2.2% |
| Denver Post/SurveyUSA | October 9–10, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 614 LV | ±4.0% |
| New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac University | October 4–9, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,254 LV | ±3.0% |
| American Research Group | October 5–8, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 50% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 7, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| University Of Denver/Selzer & Co. | October 4–5, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 43% | 4 | 604 LV | ±4.0% |
| American Conservative Union/McLaughlin & Associates (R) | September 30 – October 2, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 50% | 4 | 300 LV | ±5.7% |
| We Ask America | September 25 – 27, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,273 LV | ±2.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 20–23, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 45% | 6 | 940 LV | ±3.2% |
| Purple Strategies | September 15 – 19, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 45% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 16–18, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 45% | 5 | 971 LV | ±3.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 17, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac University | September 11–17, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,497 LV | ±2.5% |
| American Research Group | September 10–12, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Project New America/Keating Research/Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D) | September 10–11, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 44% | 5 | 503 LV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 31 – September 2, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,001 LV | ±3.1% |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | September 20–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 6 | 740 | ±3.2% |

### Connecticut

7 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 54%–44% (Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 54% | Romney | 39% | 15 | 895 LV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 1 – 2, 2012 | Obama | 55% | Romney | 42% | 13 | 1,220 LV | ±2.8% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 19–22, 2012 | Obama | 55% | Romney | 41% | 14 | 1,412 LV | ±2.6% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 21, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 45% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| SurveyUSA | October 19–21, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 40% | 13 | 575 LV | ±4.2% |
| League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 15–16, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 44% | 9 | 1,015 LV | ±3.1% |
| University of Connecticut/Hartford Courant | October 11–16, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 37% | 14 | 574 LV | ±4.0% |
| Siena College Research Institute | October 4–14, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 38% | 15 | 552 LV | ±4.2% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 39% | 14 | 434 LV | ±5.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 7, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 45% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 28 – October 2, 2012 | Obama | 54% | Romney | 42% | 12 | 1,696 LV | ±2.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 24 – 26, 2012 | Obama | 54% | Romney | 41% | 13 | 801 LV | ±3.5% |
| University of Connecticut/Hartford Courant | September 11 – 16, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 32% | 21 | 508 LV | ±4.4% |
| YouGov | September 7 – 14, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 40% | 13 | 634 LV | Not reported |

### Delaware

3 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 53%–46% (Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
No polls conducted

### District of Columbia

3 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 89%–9% (Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | October 12–14, 2012 | Obama | 88% | Romney | 8% | 80 | 1,222 LV | ±2.8% |

### Florida

29 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 52%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Gravis Marketing | November 4–5, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 49% | Tied | 1,060 LV | ±3.1% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 3–5, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 769 LV | ±4% |
| Florida Times-Union/Insider Advantage | November 4, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 52% | 5 | 437 LV | ±4.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 49% | 1 | 955 LV | ±3.2% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 2–4, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 46% | Tied | 743 LV | ±4.1% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | November 1–3, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 49% | Tied | 525 LV | ±4.3% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 1–3, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 47% | Tied | 946 LV | ±3.6% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,621 LV | ±3% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | October 31 – November 2, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 46% | 2 | 985 LV | ±3.6% |
| Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) | October 30 – November 2, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 45% | 2 | 800 LV | ±3.4% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 1,545 LV | ±2.5% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 51% | 6 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| We Ask America | October 30, 2012 | Obama | 48.9% | Romney | 49.8% | 0.9 | 1,146 LV | ±3% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 30, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 50% | 3 | 549 LV | ±4.2% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 29, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 50% | 2 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
| USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 28–29, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 26–28, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 687 LV | ±3.7% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation | October 25–28, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 50% | 1 | 770 LV | ±3.5% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | October 23–28, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,073 LV | ±3% |
| WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA | October 25–27, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 47% | Tied | 595 LV | ±4.1% |
| Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) | October 24–27, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 800 LV | ±3.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 25, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 50% | 2 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 24, 2012 | Obama | 48.8% | Romney | 49.7% | 0.9 | 1,182 LV | ±2.8% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 23–24, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 45% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Sunshine State News/Voter Survey Service | October 22–24, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 51% | 5 | 1,001 LV | ±3.1% |
| Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) | October 18–21, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 47% | Tied | 800 LV | ±3.4% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 18–20, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 51% | 5 | 502 LV | ±4.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 18, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 51% | 5 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company | October 17–18, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 48% | 3 | 1,130 LV | ±3.0% |
| WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA | October 17–18, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 46% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
| WPTV News/Scripps Treasure Coast Newspapers/Public Policy Polling | October 17–18, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 800 LV | ±4% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 17–18, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 45% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation | October 17–18, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 49% | 1 | 681 LV | ±4.0% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 13–14, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 49% | 1 | 617 LV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 12–14, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 49% | 1 | 791 LV | ±3.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 11, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 51% | 4 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| American Research Group | October 8–11, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 49% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,244 LV | ±4.0% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | October 8–10, 2012 | Obama | 44% | Romney | 51% | 7 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 7–9, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 988 | ±3.1% |
| University of North Florida | October 1–9, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 45% | 4 | 653 LV | Not reported |
| We Ask America | October 4, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 49% | 3 | 1,200 LV | ±3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 4, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 49% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 30 – October 1, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 46% | 1 | 1,191 LV | ±3.3% |
| Gravis Marketing | September 29 – 30, 2012 | Obama | 49.03% | Romney | 48.42% | 0.61 | 914 LV | ±3.4% |
| WSVN-TV Miami/Suffolk University | September 27 – 30, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 43% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Southern Political Report/Florida Times-Union/InsiderAdvantage | September 24, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 46% | 3 | 540 LV | ±4.0% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | September 18 – 24, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 44% | 9 | 1,196 LV | ±3.0% |
| Washington Post | September 19–23, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 47% | 4 | 769 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 20–23, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 46% | 4 | 861 LV | ±3.3% |
| American Research Group | September 20–22, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 45% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Miami Herald/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | September 17–19, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| Purple Strategies | September 15 – 19, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company | September 16–18, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 44% | 5 | 829 LV | ±3.0% |
| Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing | September 15–16, 2012 | Obama | 47.1% | Romney | 47.7% | 0.6 | 1,728 LV | ±2.5% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 1,415 LV | Not reported |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 12, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 46% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Secure America Now/Caddell Associates/Caddell Associates/McLaughlin & Associates (R) | September 8–12, 2012 | Obama | 44% | Romney | 48% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 9–11, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 44% | 5 | 980 LV | ±3.1% |
| Consensus Communications/OnSight Inc. (R) | September 8–11, 2012 | Obama | 42% | Romney | 42% | Tied | 606 LV | ±4.0% |
| Associated Industries of Florida/McLaughlin & Associates (R) | September 9–10, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 50% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA | September 7–9, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 44% | 4 | 596 LV | ±4.1% |
| Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing | September 2, 2012 | Obama | 46.7% | Romney | 48% | 1.3 | 1,288 LV | ±2.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 31 – September 2, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,548 LV | ±2.5% |
Three-way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead Margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| We Ask America | September 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49.1% | Mitt Romney | 45.5% | Gary Johnson | 1.3% | 3.6% | 1,230 LV | ±2.82% |

### Georgia

16 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 58%–41% (Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 44% | Romney | 52% | 8 | 1,070 LV | ±3.5% |
| 20/20 Insight | October 29–31, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 52% | 6 | 1,316 LV | ±2.7% |
| WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA | October 25–28, 2012 | Obama | 44% | Romney | 52% | 8 | 574 LV | ±4.2% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution/Abt SRBI | October 8–11, 2012 | Obama | 43% | Romney | 51% | 8 | 706 LV | ±5.0% |
| Fox 5 Atlanta/Insider Advantage | September 18, 2012 | Obama | 35% | Romney | 56% | 21 | 483 LV | ±4.5% |
| YouGov | September 7 – 14, 2012 | Obama | 44% | Romney | 51% | 7 | 1,020 LV | Not reported |

### Hawaii

4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 54%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Honolulu Civil Beat/Merriman River Group | October 24–26, 2012 | Obama | 61% | Romney | 34% | 27 | 1,218 LV | ±2.8% |
| Honolulu Civil Beat/Merriman River Group | September 26–28, 2012 | Obama | 62% | Romney | 30% | 32 | 1,648 LV | ±2.4% |

### Idaho

4 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 68%–30% (Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | October 8–10, 2012 | Obama | 27% | Romney | 63% | 36 | 625 LV | ±4% |

### Illinois

20 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 55%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 57% | Romney | 38% | 19 | 1,126 LV | ±3.3% |
| We Ask America | October 30, 2012 | Obama | 57% | Romney | 41% | 16 | 1,198 LV | ±2.95% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Obama | 58% | Romney | 38% | 20 | 850 LV | ±3.9% |
| WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune | October 4–8, 2012 | Obama | 55% | Romney | 36% | 19 | 700 RV | ±3.7% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Obama | 59% | Romney | 36% | 23 | 1,086 LV | Not reported |
| We Ask America | September 5, 2012 | Obama | 54% | Romney | 37% | 17 | 1,382 LV | ±2.8% |

### Indiana

11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 60%–39% (Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 44% | Romney | 51% | 7 | 768 LV | ±4.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | November 1, 2012 | Obama | 43% | Romney | 52% | 9 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Howey Politics/DePauw University/Bellwether Research/Bellwether Research/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | October 28–30, 2012 | Obama | 41% | Romney | 51% | 10 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| Pharos Research Group | October 26–28, 2012 | Obama | 42% | Romney | 55% | 13 | 753 LV | ±3.5% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | October 24–25, 2012 | Obama | 41% | Romney | 55% | 14 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 10–11, 2012 | Obama | 41% | Romney | 54% | 13 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Howey Politics/DePauw University/Bellwether Research/Bellwether Research/Garin-Hart-Yang-Research Group | September 19–23, 2012 | Obama | 40% | Romney | 52% | 12 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 50% | 5 | 628 LV | ±4.0% |

### Iowa

6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 48% | 2 | 1,122 LV | ±2.9% |
| American Research Group | November 2–4, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 49% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,040 LV | ±3.5% |
| USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | November 1–2, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. | October 30 – November 2, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 42% | 5 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| Gravis Marketing | November 1, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 45% | 4 | 594 LV | ±4.0% |
| Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 44% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| We Ask America | October 30, 2012 | Obama | 48.8% | Romney | 47.3% | 1.5 | 1,174 LV | ±3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 30, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 49% | 1 | 750 LV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 29–30, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 45% | 5 | 676 LV | ±3.8% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 28–29, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,142 LV | ±3% |
| University of Iowa | October 18–27, 2012 | Obama | 44.4% | Romney | 45.2% | 0.8 | 320 LV | ±5.6% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 24, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 46% | 4 | 517 LV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 23–24, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 690 LV | ±3.7% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 21, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 48% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 18–19, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 660 LV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 17–19, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 49% | 1 | 869 LV | ±3.3% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 15–17, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 43% | 8 | 1,137 LV | ±2.9% |
| We Ask America | October 15, 2012 | Obama | 48.7% | Romney | 45.9% | 2.8 | 1,499 LV | ±2.6% |
| American Research Group | October 11–14, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 48% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 7, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| We Ask America | September 25–27, 2012 | Obama | 47.5% | Romney | 43.7% | 3.8 | 1,064 LV | ±3.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 24–26, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 44% | 7 | 754 LV | ±3.6% |
| American Research Group | September 20 – 23, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 44% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 19, 2012 | Obama | 44% | Romney | 47% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 16–18, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 42% | 8 | 898 LV | ±3.3% |

### Kansas

6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 62%–37% (Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

### Kentucky

8 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 60%–40% (Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Survey USA | September 11–13, 2012 | Obama | 39% | Romney | 53% | 14 | 606 LV | ±4.1% |

### Louisiana

8 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 57%–42% (Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Magellan Strategies | October 2 – 4, 2012 | Obama | 36.2% | Romney | 58.8% | 22.6 | 2,682 LV | ±1.9% |
| Clarus Research Group | September 5 – 7, 2012 | Obama | 37% | Romney | 53% | 16 | 602 LV | ±4.0% |

### Maine

4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 53%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Maine People's Resource Center | November 1–3, 2012 | Obama | 53.3% | Romney | 42.2% | 11.1 | 905 LV | ±3.26% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 1–2, 2012 | Obama | 55% | Romney | 42% | 13 | 1,633 LV | ±2.4% |
| Critical Insights | October 30–31, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 42% | 7 | 613 LV | ±4% |
| Pan Atlantic SMS Group | September 24–28, 2012 | Obama | 50.8% | Romney | 36.8% | 14 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 25, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 40% | 12 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 17–18, 2012 | Obama | 55% | Romney | 39% | 16 | 804 LV | ±3.5% |

### Maryland

10 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 56%–43% (Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 59% | Romney | 37% | 22 | 705 LV | ±4.1% |
| OpinionWorks | October 20 – 23, 2012 | Obama | 55% | Romney | 36% | 19 | 801 LV | ±3.5% |
| Washington Post | October 11 – 15, 2012 | Obama | 60% | Romney | 36% | 24 | 843 LV | ±4.0% |
| YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Obama | 58% | Romney | 37% | 21 | 498 LV | ±5.2% |
| Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies | September 17–23, 2012 | Obama | 55% | Romney | 36% | 19 | 813 RV | ±3.5% |

### Massachusetts

11 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 62%–37% (Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| The Boston Herald/University of Massachusetts Lowell | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 57% | Romney | 37% | 20 | 800 LV | ±4.1% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 57% | Romney | 37% | 20 | 811 LV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 1 – 2, 2012 | Obama | 57% | Romney | 42% | 15 | 1,089 LV | ±3% |
| MassLive.com/Western New England University | October 26 – November 1, 2012 | Obama | 58% | Romney | 40% | 18 | 535 LV | ±4% |
| Suffolk University | October 25 – 28, 2012 | Obama | 63% | Romney | 31% | 32 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire | October 24 – 28, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 38% | 14 | 583 LV | ±4.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 25, 2012 | Obama | 59% | Romney | 40% | 19 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| WBUR/MassINC Polling Group | October 21 – 22, 2012 | Obama | 56% | Romney | 36% | 20 | 516 LV | ±4.4% |
| Kimball Political Consulting | October 18 – 21, 2012 | Obama | 55% | Romney | 39% | 16 | 761 LV | ±3.48% |
| League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 15 – 16, 2012 | Obama | 57% | Romney | 39% | 18 | 709 LV | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 9 – 11, 2012 | Obama | 55% | Romney | 41% | 14 | 1,051 LV | ±3.0% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Obama | 55% | Romney | 36% | 19 | 669 LV | ±4.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 10, 2012 | Obama | 57% | Romney | 42% | 15 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| University of Massachusetts Amherst/YouGov | October 2 – 8, 2012 | Obama | 55% | Romney | 34% | 21 | 437 LV | ±5.4% |
| WBUR/MassINC Polling Group | October 5 – 7, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 36% | 16 | 501 LV | ±4.4% |
| Western New England University | September 28 – October 4, 2012 | Obama | 63% | Romney | 33% | 30 | 516 RV | ±4.3% |
| WBUR/MassINC Polling Group | September 26 – 28, 2012 | Obama | 60% | Romney | 32% | 28 | 504 LV | ±4.4% |
| Mass Insight Global Partnerships/Opinion Dynamics Corporation | September 25–30, 2012 | Obama | 60% | Romney | 34% | 26 | 405 RV | ±4.6% |
| Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire | September 21 – 27, 2012 | Obama | 57% | Romney | 30% | 27 | 502 LV | ±4.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 24, 2012 | Obama | 55% | Romney | 40% | 15 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| The Boston Herald/University of Massachusetts Lowell | September 13 – 17, 2012 | Obama | 60% | Romney | 36% | 24 | 497 LV | ±5.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 13 – 16, 2012 | Obama | 57% | Romney | 39% | 18 | 876 LV | ±3.3% |
| Suffolk University | September 13 – 16, 2012 | Obama | 64% | Romney | 31% | 33 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Obama | 55% | Romney | 39% | 16 | 825 LV | Not reported |
| MassLive.com/Western New England University | September 6 – 13, 2012 | Obama | 60% | Romney | 38% | 22 | 444 LV | ±4.6% |
| Kimball Political Consulting | September 7 – 9, 2012 | Obama | 56% | Romney | 40% | 16 | 756 LV | ±3.5% |

### Michigan

16 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | November 4, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 46% | 5 | 1,305 LV | ±2.7% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | November 1 – 3, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 47% | 5 | 502 LV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 1 – 3, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 46% | 6 | 700 LV | ±3.7% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 44% | 7 | 1,091 LV | ±3.3% |
| Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun Consulting | November 2, 2012 | Obama | 46.24% | Romney | 46.86% | 0.62 | 1,913 LV | ±2.24% |
| Rasmussen Reports | November 1, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 47% | 5 | 750 LV | ±4% |
| USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 31 – November 1, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 41% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 31 – November 1, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 46% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 30–31, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 45% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Detroit News/Glengariff Group | October 27–29, 2012 | Obama | 47.7% | Romney | 45% | 2.7 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| EPIC-MRA | October 26–29, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 42% | 6 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun Consulting | October 22–23, 2012 | Obama | 46.92% | Romney | 46.56% | 0.36 | 1,122 LV | ±2.9% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 18–20, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 43% | 9 | 551 LV | ±4.2% |
| EPIC-MRA | October 17, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 46% | 6 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 11, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 45% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 42% | 10 | 895 LV | ±3.9% |
| Lambert, Edwards & Associates/Denno Research | October 9–10, 2012 | Obama | 44.2% | Romney | 40.5% | 3.7 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Detroit News/Glengariff Group | October 6 – 8, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 42% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Capitol CorrespondentGravis Marketing | October 5 – 8, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 44% | 2 | 1,122 LV | ±3.2% |
| EPIC-MRA | October 4 – 6, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 45% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White/Baydoun Consulting | October 5, 2012 | Obama | 49.3% | Romney | 45.85% | 3.45 | 1,122 LV | ±2.93% |
| We Ask America | September 25 – 27, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 39.9% | 12.1 | 1,064 LV | ±3.1% |
| Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing | September 21 – 22, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 46.2% | 3.8 | 804 LV | ±3.3% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 20, 2012 | Obama | 54% | Romney | 42% | 12 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| National Resource Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 17–19, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 42% | 9 | 1021 LV | ±3.1% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation | September 14–18, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 44% | 8 | 754 LV | ±3.5% |
| Detroit News/Glengariff Group | September 15–17, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 38% | 14 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Marketing Resource Group | September 10–14, 2012 | Obama | 47.5% | Romney | 42.3% | 5.2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 42% | 9 | 1114 LV | Not reported |
| Foster McCollum White/Baydoun & Associates | September 12, 2012 | Obama | 45.49% | Romney | 43.65% | 1.84 | 1,156 LV | ±2.88% |
| EPIC-MRA | September 8–11, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 37% | 10 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 31 – September 2, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 44% | 7 | 815 LV | ±3.4% |

### Minnesota

10 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | November 2–3, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 45% | 8 | 1,164 LV | ±2.9% |
| KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA | November 1–3, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 41% | 11 | 556 LV | ±4.2% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 43% | 7 | 790 LV | ±3.8% |
| League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 31 – November 1, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 44% | 9 | 772 LV | Not reported |
| American Future Fund/NMB Research (R) | October 29–31, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.38% |
| KSTP-TV Minneapolis/Survey USA | October 26–28, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 43% | 7 | 574 LV | ±4.2% |
| Star Tribune Minnesota/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | October 23–25, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 44% | 3 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| St. Cloud State University | October 15–21, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 45% | 8 | 601 LV | ±5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 21, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 46% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 40% | 10 | 550 LV | ±4.3% |
| YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 44% | 8 | 683 LV | ±4.2% |
| American Future Fund/NMB Research (R) | October 7 – 8, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 43% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.38% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 5–8, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 43% | 10 | 937 LV | ±3.2% |
| Star Tribune Minnesota/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | September 10–11, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 44% | 7 | 824 LV | ±3.4% |
| KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA | September 6–9, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 40% | 10 | 551 LV | ±4.3% |

### Mississippi

6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 59%–40% (Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

### Missouri

10 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 53%–46% (Republican in 2008) 49%–49%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | November 2–3, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 53% | 8 | 835 LV | ±3.4% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 42% | Romney | 53% | 11 | 779 LV | ±3.8% |
| KSDK-TV St. Louis/KSHB-TV Kansas City/KSPR-TV Springfield/KYTV-TV Springfield/Survey USA | October 28 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 43% | Romney | 50% | 7 | 589 LV | ±4.1% |
| We Ask America | October 30, 2012 | Obama | 42.2% | Romney | 53.8% | 11.6 | 1,217 LV | ±2.9% |
| Saint Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Obama | 41% | Romney | 54% | 13 | 624 LV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 19 – 21, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 52% | 6 | 582 LV | ±4.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 12 – 13, 2012 | Obama | 43% | Romney | 54% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Wenzel Strategies | October 12 – 13, 2012 | Obama | 41.1% | Romney | 54.9% | 13.8 | 1,000 LV | ±3.07% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 1 – 3, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 51% | 6 | 700 LV | ±3.7% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 2, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 49% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| We Ask America | September 25 – 27, 2012 | Obama | 44.5% | Romney | 47.7% | 3.2 | 1,145 LV | ±2.9% |
| Missouri Scout/Chilenski Strategies | September 20, 2012 | Obama | 44% | Romney | 50% | 6 | 817 LV | ±3.4% |
| YouGov | September 7 – 14, 2012 | Obama | 43% | Romney | 50% | 7 | 734 LV | Not reported |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 11, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 48% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |

### Montana

3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 59%–39% (Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | November 2–3, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 52% | 7 | 836 LV | ±3.4% |
| Billings Gazette/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | October 29–31, 2012 | Obama | 43% | Romney | 53% | 10 | 625 LV | ±4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 29, 2012 | Obama | 43% | Romney | 53% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 15 – 16, 2012 | Obama | 43% | Romney | 53% | 10 | 806 LV | ±3.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 14, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 53% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 8 – 10, 2012 | Obama | 41% | Romney | 52% | 11 | 737 LV | ±3.6% |
| Montana Jobs, Energy, and Technology/Mellman Group (D) | September 23 – 26, 2012 | Obama | 44% | Romney | 48% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 10–11, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 50% | 5 | 656 LV | ±3.8% |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Lee Newspapers/Mason-Dixon Research & Polling | September 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 51% | Gary Johnson | 2% | 9 | 625 RV | ±4% |

### Nebraska

5 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 66%–33% (Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| We Ask America | November 1, 2012 | Obama | 41% | Romney | 54% | 13 | 1,178 LV | ±2.95% |
| Wiese Research Associates | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Obama | 38% | Romney | 52% | 14 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| Wiese Research Associates | September 17 – 20, 2012 | Obama | 40% | Romney | 51% | 11 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
2nd Congressional District
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Wiese Research Associates | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Obama | 44% | Romney | 49% | 5 | 679 LV | ±3.8% |
| Wiese Research Associates | September 17 – 20, 2012 | Obama | 44% | Romney | 44% | Tied | Not reported | Not reported |

### Nevada

6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 47% | 4 | 750 LV | ±3.6% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 45% | 4 | 732 LV | ±4.1% |
| Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) | October 29–31, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 44% | 6 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Las Vegas Review-Journal/SurveyUSA | October 23–29, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 46% | 4 | 1,212 LV | ±2.9% |
| USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 27–28, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 43% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 24, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 49% | 1 | 955 LV | ±3.2% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 23–24, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 47% | 3 | 1,042 LV | ±3% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 22–24, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 47% | 4 | 636 LV | ±3.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 23, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 48% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| American Research Group | October 19 – 22, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) | October 15–17, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 43% | 8 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 15–16, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 43% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Las Vegas Review-Journal/SurveyUSA | October 11–15, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 45% | 3 | 806 LV | ±3.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 15, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 47% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 45% | 5 | 358 LV | ±6.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 8–10, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 47% | 4 | 594 LV | ±4% |
| KSNV-Nevada/Suffolk University | October 6–9, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 45% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 8, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 47% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Las Vegas Review-Journal/SurveyUSA | October 3–8, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 46% | 1 | 1,222 LV | ±2.9% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 3, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,006 LV | ±3.1% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 23 – 25, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 984 LV | ±3.1% |
| American Research Group | September 20 – 23, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 44% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Retail Association of Nevada/Public Opinion Strategies (R) | September 19 – 20, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 46% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 18 – 20, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 43% | 9 | 501 LV | ±4.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 18, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 45% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation | September 14–18, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 46% | 3 | 741 LV | ±3.5% |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| WeAskAmerica | September 25–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52.5% | Mitt Romney | 42% | Gary Johnson | 2.3% | 10.5 | 1,152 LV | ±3.1% |

### New Hampshire

4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | November 4, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 48% | 2 | 750 LV | ±4% |
| New England College | November 3–4, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 46% | 4 | 687 LV | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 48% | 2 | 1,550 LV | ±2.5% |
| American Research Group | November 2–4, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 49% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4% |
| University of New Hampshire | November 1–4, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 48% | 3 | 789 LV | ±3.5% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 43% | 4 | 690 LV | ±4.1% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | October 31 – November 2, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 48% | Tied | 502 LV | ±4.4% |
| Gravis Marketing | November 1, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 49% | 1 | 497 LV | ±4.3% |
| New England College | October 29–31, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,017 LV | ±3.7% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 28–29, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 1,013 LV | ±3.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 26 – 28, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 874 LV | ±3.3% |
| USAction/Lake Research Partners (D) | October 24 – 28, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 42% | 5 | 400 LV | ±5% |
| USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 24 – 25, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| New England College | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 46% | 3 | 571 LV | ±4.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 23, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 50% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| American Research Group | October 19 – 22, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 49% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| USAction/Lake Research Partners (D) | October 18 – 22, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 45% | 3 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | October 17 – 21, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 42% | 9 | 773 LV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 17 – 19, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 49% | 1 | 1,036 LV | ±3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 15, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 49% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| 7 News/Suffolk University | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 47% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| American Research Group | October 9 – 11, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 50% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 9, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 48% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | September 30 – October 6, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 44% | 6 | 559 LV | ±4.1% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | September 27 – 30, 2012 | Obama | 54% | Romney | 39% | 15 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| American Research Group | September 25 – 27, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 45% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Progressive Change Campaign Committee/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 24–25, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 44% | 7 | 862 LV | ±3.3% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 23 – 25, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 44% | 7 | 1,012 | ±3.1% |
| New Hampshire Democratic Party/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) | September 15 – 19, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 45% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 18, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 48% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| American Research Group | September 15–17, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 463 LV | Not reported |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 42% | 6 | 340 LV | Not reported |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | September 4–10, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 40% | 5 | 592 LV | ±4.0% |

### New Jersey

14 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 52%–46% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 41% | 12 | 987 LV | ±3.4% |
| Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 41% | 10 | 601 LV | ±4.0% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 10 – 14, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 43% | 8 | 1,319 LV | ±2.7% |
| Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research | October 4 – 8, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 40% | 11 | 604 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rutgers University | September 27 – 30, 2012 | Obama | 56% | Romney | 39% | 17 | 645 LV | ±3.8% |
| Monmouth University | September 19 – 23, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 37% | 15 | 613 LV | ±4.0% |
| YouGov | September 7 – 14, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 40% | 12 | 1,040 LV | Not reported |
| Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research | September 9–12, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 37% | 14 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Quinnipiac University | August 27 – September 2, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 44% | 7 | 1,471 LV | ±2.6% |

### New Mexico

5 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 43% | 6 | 650 LV | Not reported |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | October 30–31, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 41% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.38% |
| Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. | October 23–25, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 41% | 9 | 662 LV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 23–24, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 44% | 9 | 727 LV | Not reported |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | October 21–22, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 42% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.38% |
| Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. | October 9–10, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 39% | 10 | 658 LV | ±3.8% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 8, 2012 | Obama | 54% | Romney | 43% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 2–3, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 43% | 9 | 778 LV | Not reported |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 27, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 40% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | September 25–27, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 40% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.38% |
| NRDC Action Fund/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 17 – 20, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 43% | 9 | 3,111 LV | ±1.8% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 43% | 8 | 293 LV | Not reported |
| League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 7–9, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 42% | 11 | 1,122 LV | ±2.9% |
| Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. | September 3–6, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 40% | 5 | 667 LV | ±3.8% |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | October 30–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.38% |
| Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. | October 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 41% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 9 | 662 LV | ±3.8% |
| Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. | October 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 39% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 10 | 658 LV | ±3.8% |
| We Ask America | September 25–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50.9% | Mitt Romney | 40.6% | Gary Johnson | 3.9% | 10.3 | 1,258 LV | ±2.58% |
| Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. | September 3–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 40% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 5 | 667 LV | ±3.8% |

### New York

29 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 58%–40% (Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 59% | Romney | 36% | 23 | 1,430 LV | ±2.8% |
| WABC-TV New York/SurveyUSA | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Obama | 62% | Romney | 33% | 29 | 554 LV | ±4.1% |
| Siena College | October 22 – 24, 2012 | Obama | 59% | Romney | 35% | 24 | 750 LV | ±3.6% |
| Marist College | October 18 – 21, 2012 | Obama | 61% | Romney | 35% | 26 | 565 LV | ±4.1% |
| YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Obama | 59% | Romney | 35% | 24 | 1,142 LV | ±3.2% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 4–9, 2012 | Obama | 62% | Romney | 34% | 28 | 1,486 LV | ±2.5% |

### North Carolina

15 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 56%–44% (Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Gravis Marketing | November 4, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 50% | 4 | 1,130 LV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 49% | Tied | 926 LV | ±3.2% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 49% | 2 | 1,500 LV | ±2.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 29 – 31, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 49% | Tied | 730 LV | ±3.6% |
| High Point University | October 22–30, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 46% | 1 | 403 LV | ±5% |
| WRAL-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSA | October 26–29, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 50% | 5 | 682 LV | ±3.8% |
| Elon University | October 21 – 26, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 45% | Tied | 1,238 LV | ±2.79% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 25, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 52% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 48% | Tied | 880 LV | ±3.3% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 24, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 53% | 8 | 1,723 LV | ±2.4% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 23 – 24, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Civitas Institute/National Research (R) | October 20–21, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 17 – 18, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 17, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 52% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 49% | 2 | 1,084 LV | ±3.0% |
| North Carolina Republican Party/Tel Opinion Research (R) | October 12–13, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 49% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 49% | 1 | 810 LV | ±3.9% |
| University of North Carolina/High Point University | September 29 – October 10, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 45% | 1 | 605 RV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 9, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 51% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 6–8, 2012 | Obama | 41.2% | Romney | 49.9% | 8.7 | 1,325 LV | ±2.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 2, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 51% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Survey USA | September 29 – October 1, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 573 LV | ±4.2% |
| American Research Group | September 28 – 30, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 50% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 27 – 30, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 48% | Tied | 981 LV | ±3.1% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 23–25, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 46% | 2 | 1,035 LV | ±3.0% |
| Civitas Institute/National Research (R) | September 18–19, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 45% | 4 | 600 RV | ±4% |
| Purple Strategies | September 15–19, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 46% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| FOX 8/High Point University | September 8–13, 15–18, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 43% | 3 | 448 RV | ±4.7% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 48% | 2 | 1,060 LV | Not reported |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 13, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 51% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 7–9, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,087 LV | ±3.0% |
| Civitas Institute/SurveyUSA | September 4–6, 2012 | Obama | 43% | Romney | 53% | 10 | 500 RV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 31 – Sept 2, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 48% | Tied | 1,012 LV | ±3.1% |

### North Dakota

3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 63%–36% (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | October 26 – 28, 2012 | Obama | 40% | Romney | 54% | 14 | 625 LV | ±4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 17 – 18, 2012 | Obama | 40% | Romney | 54% | 14 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Forum Communications/Essman Research | October 12 – 15, 2012 | Obama | 32% | Romney | 57% | 25 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | October 3 – 5, 2012 | Obama | 40% | Romney | 54% | 14 | 625 LV | ±4.0% |
| North Dakota Democratic-NPL State Party/DFM Research (D) | September 24 – 27, 2012 | Obama | 39% | Romney | 51% | 12 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |

### Ohio

18 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 51%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Gravis Marketing | November 4–5, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,316 LV | ±2.7% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 3–5, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 46% | 4 | 680 LV | ±4.3% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | November 4, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 49% | Tied | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 47% | 5 | 1,000 LV | ±3.1% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | November 2–4, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 48% | 3 | 572 LV | ±4.1% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 2–4, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 44% | 4 | 712 LV | ±4.2% |
| WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA | November 1–4, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 44% | 5 | 803 LV | ±3.5% |
| University of Cincinnati | October 31 – November 4, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 49% | 1 | 901 LV | ±3.3% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 1–3, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 45% | 1 | 1,031 LV | ±3.5% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,620 LV | ±3% |
| Columbus Dispatch | October 24 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 48% | 2 | 1,501 LV | ±2.2% |
| USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | November 1–2, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 45% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | October 31 – November 2, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 45% | 2 | 1,012 LV | ±3.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | November 1, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 49% | Tied | 750 LV | ±4% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 45% | 6 | 971 LV | ±3.1% |
| We Ask America | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Obama | 50.2% | Romney | 45.8% | 4 | 1,649 LV | ±2.6% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 47% | 3 | 796 LV | ±3.5% |
| Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) | October 30–31, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 49% | 3 | 1,281 LV | ±2.7% |
| Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 29 – 30, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 45% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| University of Cincinnati | October 25 – 30, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 46% | 2 | 1,141 LV | ±2.9% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 29, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 46% | 2 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
| USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 28 – 29, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 45% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA | October 26 – 29, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 45% | 3 | 603 LV | ±4.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 28, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 50% | 2 | 750 LV | ±4% |
| Pharos Research | October 26 – 28, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 46.3% | 2.7 | 765 LV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 26 – 28, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 47% | 4 | 718 LV | ±3.7% |
| CBS News/Quinnipiac University | October 23 – 28, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 45% | 5 | 1,100 LV | ±3% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 27, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 49% | 1 | 730 LV | ±3.6% |
| Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 44% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 46% | 4 | 741 RV | ±3.5% |
| Purple Strategies | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 44% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| American Research Group | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Time/Abt SRBI | October 22 – 23, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 44% | 5 | 783 LV | ±3% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 23, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 48% | Tied | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| USAction/Lake Research (D) | October 20 – 23, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 44% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Ohio Newspaper Organization/University of Cincinnati | October 18 – 23, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 49% | Tied | 1,015 LV | ±3.1% |
| WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA | October 20 – 22, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 44% | 3 | 609 LV | ±4.1% |
| Suffolk University | October 18 – 21, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 47% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| CBS News/Quinnipiac University | October 17–20, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 45% | 5 | 1,548 LV | ±3% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 18–20, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 48% | Tied | 550 LV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 18–20, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 532 LV | ±4.3% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 18 – 19, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 47% | Tied | 1,943 LV | ±2.2% |
| Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company | October 17–18, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 43% | 3 | 1,131 LV | ±3% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 17, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 15, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,000 LV | ±3.0% |
| WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA | October 12–15, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 42% | 3 | 613 LV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 12–13, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 46% | 5 | 880 LV | ±3.3% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 46% | 4 | 851 LV | ±4.8% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 10, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 6 – 10, 2012 | Obama | 45.1% | Romney | 45.9% | 0.8 | 1,313 LV | ±2.7% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 7 – 9, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 45% | 6 | 994 LV | ±3.1% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 8, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 46% | 1 | 1,000 LV | ±3.0% |
| WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSA | October 5 – 8, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 44% | 1 | 808 LV | ±3.5% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation | October 5–8, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 47% | 4 | 722 LV | ±3.5% |
| American Research Group | October 5 – 8, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) | October 4–5, 2012 | Obama | 47.3% | Romney | 48% | 0.7 | 1,072 LV | ±2.96% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 4, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 49% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 1, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 43% | 7 | 1,000 LV | ±3.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 30 – October 1, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 43% | 8 | 931 LV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 27 – 30, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 45% | 4 | 897 LV | ±3.3% |
| Columbus Dispatch | September 19 – 29, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 42% | 9 | 1,662 LV | ±2.2% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | September 18 – 24, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 43% | 10 | 1,162 LV | ±3.0% |
| Washington Post | September 19 – 23, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 44% | 8 | 759 LV | ±4.5% |
| Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing | September 21 – 22, 2012 | Obama | 45.2% | Romney | 44.3% | 0.9 | 594 LV | ±4.3% |
| Purple Strategies | September 15 – 19, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 44% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Ohio Newspaper Organization/University of Cincinnati | September 13 – 18, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 46% | 5 | 861 LV | ±3.3% |
| Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company | September 16–18, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 42% | 7 | 1,009 LV | ±3.0% |
| National Resource Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 14–18, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 44% | 6 | 2,890 LV | Not reported |
| Secure America Now/Caddell Associates/Caddell Associates/McLaughlin & Associates (R) | September 13–15, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 44% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 44% | 3 | 1,036 LV | Not reported |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 12, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| American Research Group | September 10–12, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 9–12, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 43% | 7 | 979 LV | ±3.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 7–9, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 45% | 5 | 1,072 LV | ±3.0% |
| Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing | September 7–8, 2012 | Obama | 47.27% | Romney | 43.19% | 4.08 | 1,548 LV | ±2.7% |
| Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing | September 2, 2012 | Obama | 43.7% | Romney | 46.8% | 3.1 | 1,381 RV | ±2.9% |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| We Ask America | October 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Gary Johnson | 1% | 1 | 1,200 LV | ±3% |
| Gravis Marketing | September 21–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 7 | 594 LV | ±4.3% |
| Gravis Marketing | September 7–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | Gary Johnson | 5% | 2 | 1,548 LV | ±2.7% |

### Oklahoma

7 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 66%–34% (Republican in 2008) 67%–34%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| SoonerPoll | October 18 – 24, 2012 | Obama | 33% | Romney | 59% | 26 | 305 LV | ±5.6% |

### Oregon

7 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | October 31 – November 1, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 46% | 6 | 921 LV | ±3.2% |
| Elway Research | October 25 – 28, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 41% | 6 | 405 LV | ±5% |
| Hoffman Research | October 24 – 25, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 42% | 5 | 615 LV | ±3.9% |
| Survey USA | October 16 – 18, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 42% | 7 | 579 LV | ±4.2% |
| Survey USA | September 10–13, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 41% | 9 | 552 LV | ±4.3% |

### Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Gravis Marketing | November 4, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,060 LV | ±3% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | November 2 – 4, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 47% | 4 | 479 LV | Not reported |
| Public Policy Polling | November 2 – 3, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 46% | 6 | 790 LV | ±3.5% |
| Morning Call/Muhlenberg College | November 1 – 3, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 46% | 3 | 430 LV | ±5% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 44% | 8 | 1,273 LV | ±3.3% |
| Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | October 29–31, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 47% | Tied | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 30, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | October 23–28, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 45% | 4 | 547 LV | ±4.2% |
| Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc. | October 23–25, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 43% | 6 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 24, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 46% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 21, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 45% | 3 | 887 LV | ±3.3% |
| Morning Call/Muhlenberg College | October 17 – 21, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 45% | 5 | 444 LV | ±5.0% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 18 – 20, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 42% | 10 | 559 LV | ±4.2% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 15, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 44% | 4 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 46% | 4 | 1,519 LV | ±2.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 44% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Morning Call/Muhlenberg College | October 10 – 14, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 45% | 4 | 438 LV | ±5.0% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 44% | 7 | 967 LV | ±4.3% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 9, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 46% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 8, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 45% | 2 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
| Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc. | October 4–8, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 42% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Siena College | October 1 – 5, 2012 | Obama | 43% | Romney | 40% | 3 | 545 LV | ±4.2% |
| Morning Call/Muhlenberg College | September 22–26, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 42% | 7 | 427 LV | ±5.0% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | September 18–24, 2012 | Obama | 54% | Romney | 42% | 12 | 1,180 LV | ±3.0% |
| Franklin and Marshall College | September 18–23, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 43% | 9 | 392 LV | ±4.9% |
| Tribune-Review/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | September 18–20, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 45% | 2 | 800 LV | ±3.46% |
| Mercyhurst University | September 12–20, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 40% | 8 | 522 LV | ±4.29% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 19, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 39% | 12 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| We Ask America | September 18, 2012 | Obama | 48.1% | Romney | 42.2% | 5.9 | 1,214 LV | ±2.8% |
| National Research Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 17–18, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 40% | 12 | 2,051 LV | ±2.2% |
| Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R) | September 15–17, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 800 LV | ±3.46% |
| Morning Call/Muhlenberg College | September 10–16, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 41% | 9 | 640 LV | ±4.0% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 43% | 9 | 1,139 LV | Not reported |
| Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc. | September 9–12, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 39% | 11 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Three-way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | October 4 – 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Gary Johnson | 3% | 2 | 725 LV | ±3.64% |
Four-way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Green | % | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
| Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R) | October 11–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 49% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 | 1,376 LV | ±2.64% |

### Rhode Island

4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 59%–39% (Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| WPRI 12/Fleming & Associates | October 24–27, 2012 | Obama | 54% | Romney | 33% | 21 | 601 LV | ±4% |
| Brown University | September 26 – October 5, 2012 | Obama | 58.2% | Romney | 32.3% | 25.9 | 471 LV | ±4.4% |
| WPRI 12/Fleming & Associates | September 26–29, 2012 | Obama | 57.3% | Romney | 33.1% | 24.2 | 501 LV | ±4.38% |

### South Carolina

9 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 58%–41% (Republican in 2008) 54%–45%

### South Dakota

3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 60%–38% (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Nielson Brothers Polling | October 31 – November 4, 2012 | Obama | 41% | Romney | 53% | 12 | 633 LV | ±3.90% |
| Nielson Brothers Polling | October 28–31, 2012 | Obama | 42% | Romney | 50% | 8 | 671 LV | ±3.78% |
| Nielson Brothers Polling | August 29 – September 6, 2012 | Obama | 39% | Romney | 54% | 15 | 509 LV | ±4.34% |
| Nielson Brothers Polling | July 19–23, 2012 | Obama | 43% | Romney | 49% | 6 | 541 LV | ±4.21% |

### Tennessee

11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 57%–43% (Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 42% | Romney | 53% | 11 | 697 LV | ±4% |
| Middle Tennessee State University | October 16 – 21, 2012 | Obama | 34% | Romney | 59% | 25 | 609 LV | ±4% |
| YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Obama | 43% | Romney | 52% | 9 | 484 LV | ±5% |
| YouGov | September 7 – 14, 2012 | Obama | 42% | Romney | 50% | 8 | 694 LV | Not reported |

### Texas

38 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 61%–38% (Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 38% | Romney | 57% | 19 | 1,563 LV | ±3.2% |
| University of Texas at Austin/Texas Tribune/YouGov | October 15 – 21, 2012 | Obama | 39% | Romney | 55% | 16 | 540 LV | ±4.22% |
| YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Obama | 41% | Romney | 55% | 14 | 958 LV | ±4.5% |
| Texas Lyceum | September 10 – 26, 2012 | Obama | 39% | Romney | 58% | 19 | 443 LV | ±4.66% |
| Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research | September 9–11, 2012 | Obama | 40% | Romney | 55% | 15 | 1,000 LV | ±3.1% |

### Utah

6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 72%–26% (Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| KSL-TV/Deseret News/Dan Jones & Associates | October 26 – November 1, 2012 | Obama | 26% | Romney | 69% | 43 | 870 LV | ±3.4% |
| Brigham Young University/Key Research | October 9–13, 2012 | Obama | 20% | Romney | 71% | 51 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| InsiderAdvantage | October 8–13, 2012 | Obama | 21% | Romney | 74% | 53 | Not reported | ±7.6% |

### Vermont

3 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 59%–39% (Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%

### Virginia

13 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 54%–46% (Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 3–5, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 46% | 2 | 828 LV | ±3.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | November 4, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 50% | 2 | 750 LV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 47% | 4 | 975 LV | ±3.1% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 2–4, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 46% | 1 | 662 LV | ±4.3% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | November 1–3, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 45% | 3 | 947 LV | ±3.6% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 46% | 2 | 1,497 LV | ±2.7% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | November 1–2, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,165 LV | ±2.9% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | October 31 – November 2, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 45% | 3 | 1,065 LV | ±3.4% |
| Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) | October 30 – November 2, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 45% | 3 | 800 LV | ±3.4% |
| We Ask America | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Obama | 48.5% | Romney | 47.6% | 0.9 | 1,069 LV | ±3% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 44% | 5 | 792 LV | ±4% |
| Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 30 – 31, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 46% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 30, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | October 23 – 28, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 1,074 LV | ±3% |
| Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) | October 25–27, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 46% | 3 | 807 LV | Not reported |
| Gravis Marketing | October 26, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 48% | Tied | 645 LV | ±3.9% |
| Roanoke College | October 23–26, 2012 | Obama | 44% | Romney | 49% | 5 | 638 LV | ±4% |
| The Washington Post | October 22–26, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 47% | 4 | 1,228 LV | ±3.5% |
| Purple Strategies | October 23 – 25, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 47% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 24, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 50% | 2 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company | October 23–24, 2012 | Obama | 45% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 1126 LV | ±3.0% |
| Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 23 – 24, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 46% | 5 | 722 LV | ±3.6% |
| Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D) | October 18 – 21, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 45% | 1 | 800 LV | ±3.46% |
| Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 18 – 19, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 18, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 50% | 3 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| Virginian-Pilot/Old Dominion University | September 19 – October 17, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 43% | 7 | 465 LV | ±3.4% |
| League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 15 – 16, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 733 LV | ±3.6% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 15, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 46% | 1 | 1,000 LV | ±3.0% |
| American Research Group | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Kimball Political Consulting | October 12 – 13, 2012 | Obama | 43% | Romney | 54% | 11 | 696 LV | ±3.7% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 45% | 1 | 743 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 11, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 49% | 2 | 750 LV | ±4.0% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | October 8–9, 2012 | Obama | 44% | Romney | 51% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 7–9, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 981 LV | ±3.1% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | October 4–9, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 46% | 5 | 1,288 LV | ±2.7% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 8, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 48% | Tied | 1,000 LV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 4–7, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 47% | 3 | 725 LV | ±3.7% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 4, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 49% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 1, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 1,000 LV | ±3.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 30 – October 1, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 46% | 2 | 969 LV | ±3.1% |
| Roanoke College | September 19 – 28, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 39% | 8 | 589 LV | ±4.0% |
| American Research Group | September 24 – 27, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| National Research Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 17–19, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 43% | 6 | 2,770 LV | ±1.9% |
| Purple Strategies | September 15 – 19, 2012 | Obama | 46% | Romney | 43% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company | September 16–18, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 43% | 7 | 1,006 LV | ±3.0% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | September 11–17, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 46% | 4 | 1,474 LV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 13–16, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 46% | 5 | 1,021 LV | ±3.1% |
| Washington Post | September 12–16, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 44% | 8 | 847 LV | ±3.5% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 44% | 4 | 753 LV | Not reported |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 13, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 9–11, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 44% | 5 | 996 LV | ±3.1% |
| Gravis Marketing | September 8–9, 2012 | Obama | 44.04% | Romney | 49.39% | 5.35 | 2,238 LV | ±2.2% |
Three-way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
| Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company | October 23–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Virgil Goode | 1% | 2 | 1,126 LV | ±3% |
| We Ask America | October 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | Gary Johnson | 2% | 3 | 1,200 LV | ±3% |
| We Ask America | September 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48.5% | Mitt Romney | 45.7% | Gary Johnson | 1.1% | 2.8 | 1,238 LV | ±2.8% |
Four-way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Constitution | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
| NBC 12 (WWBT-Richmond)/Suffolk University | September 24 – 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Gary Johnson | 1% | Virgil Goode | 1% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Five-way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Constitution | % | Green | % | Sample size | Margin of error |
| Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) | October 19–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47.1% | Mitt Romney | 49.2% | Gary Johnson | 0.4% | Virgil Goode | 0.3% | Jill Stein | 0.4% | 1,000 LV | ±3.07% |

### Washington

12 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 53%–46% (Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 54% | Romney | 40% | 14 | 837 LV | Not reported |
| Public Policy Polling | November 1 – 3, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 46% | 7 | 932 LV | ±3.2% |
| KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA | October 28 – 31, 2012 | Obama | 54% | Romney | 40% | 14 | 555 LV | ±4.2% |
| KCTS9/University of Washington | October 18 – 31, 2012 | Obama | 57.1% | Romney | 36.4% | 20.7 | 632 LV | ±3.9% |
| Strategies 360 | October 17 – 20, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 39% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Washington Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 15 – 16, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 45% | 5 | 574 LV | Not reported |
| KCTS9/University of Washington | October 1–16, 2012 | Obama | 51.9% | Romney | 42.9% | 9 | 644 LV | ±3.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 14, 2012 | Obama | 55% | Romney | 42% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA | October 12 – 14, 2012 | Obama | 54% | Romney | 40% | 14 | 543 LV | ±4.3% |
| YouGov | October 4–11, 2012 | Obama | 56% | Romney | 39% | 17 | 748 LV | ±4.3% |
| KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA | September 28 – 30, 2012 | Obama | 56% | Romney | 36% | 20 | 540 LV | ±4.3% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 26, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 41% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Gravis Marketing | September 21–22, 2012 | Obama | 56% | Romney | 39% | 17 | 625 LV | ±4.6% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 39% | 14 | 880 LV | Not reported |
| Elway Research | September 9–12, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 36% | 17 | 405 RV | ±5.0% |
| Washington Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 7–9, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 42% | 11 | 563 LV | Not reported |
| KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA | September 7–9, 2012 | Obama | 54% | Romney | 38% | 16 | 524 LV | ±4.4% |

### West Virginia

5 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 56%–43% (Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

### Wisconsin

10 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | November 2 – 3, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 48% | 3 | 1,256 LV | ±2.8% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | November 1–3, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 46% | 7 | 482 LV | ±4.5% |
| YouGov | October 31 – November 3, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 46% | 4 | 1,225 LV | ±3.1% |
| USAction/Project New America/Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | November 1–2, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 42% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| We Ask America | October 30 – November 1, 2012 | Obama | 51.5% | Romney | 44.8% | 6.7 | 1,210 LV | ±3% |
| Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R) | October 30–31, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 1,074 LV | ±3% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 30, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
| Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 29–30, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 46% | 5 | 825 LV | ±3.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 29, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 49% | Tie | 750 LV | ±4% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 28–29, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,065 LV | ±3% |
| St. Norbert College | October 25–29, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 42% | 9 | 402 LV | ±5% |
| Marquette Law School | October 25–28, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 43% | 8 | 1,243 LV | ±2.8% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 25, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 49% | Tie | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 24–25, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 43% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D) | October 23–24, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 45% | 6 | 827 LV | ±3.4% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 18–20, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 46% | 5 | 469 LV | Not reported |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 18, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 48% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Project New America/Grove Insight (D) | October 17–18, 2012 | Obama | 47% | Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | October 15 – 17, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 46% | 2 | 625 LV | ±4% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | October 15 – 17, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 45% | 6 | 1,013 LV | ±3.1% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 15, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 47% | 3 | 1,000 LV | ±3% |
| Marquette Law School | October 11–14, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 870 LV | ±3.4% |
| YouGov | October 4 – 11, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 47% | 4 | 638 LV | ±4.9% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | October 4–9, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 47% | 3 | 1,327 LV | ±2.7% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 9, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 49% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 8, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 46% | 4 | 1,000 LV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 4 – 6, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 47% | 2 | 979 LV | ±3.1% |
| Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) | October 1, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 44% | 7 | 1,000 LV | ±3.0% |
| JZ Analytics | September 29–30, 2012 | Obama | 48.9% | Romney | 38.8% | 10.1 | 414 LV | ±4.9% |
| Marquette Law School | September 27 – 30, 2012 | Obama | 53% | Romney | 42% | 11 | 894 LV | ±3.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 18 – 19, 2012 | Obama | 52% | Romney | 45% | 7 | 842 LV | ±3.4% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | September 16 – 18, 2012 | Obama | 50% | Romney | 45% | 5 | 968 LV | ±3.2% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | September 17, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 46% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | September 11–17, 2012 | Obama | 51% | Romney | 45% | 6 | 1,485 LV | ±3.0% |
| Marquette Law School | September 13–16, 2012 | Obama | 54% | Romney | 40% | 14 | 601 LV | ±4% |
| YouGov | September 7–14, 2012 | Obama | 48% | Romney | 47% | 1 | 753 LV | Not reported |
| Democracy for America/Public Policy Polling (D) | September 12–13, 2012 | Obama | 49% | Romney | 48% | 1 | 959 LV | ±3.16% |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| We Ask America | September 20 – 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52.5% | Mitt Romney | 41.0% | Gary Johnson | 1.2% | 12 | 1,238 LV | ±2.8% |

### Wyoming

3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 69%–29% (Republican in 2008) 65%–33%
No polls conducted