# Elmwood—Transcona

Elmwood—Transcona (formerly Winnipeg—Transcona) is a federal electoral district in Manitoba, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1988. Its population in 2021 was 101,691.

## History

The riding was created in 1987 from Winnipeg North Centre and Winnipeg—Birds Hill ridings.
It was previously named Winnipeg—Transcona from 1987 to 2003.
The riding gained territory from Kildonan—St. Paul and a fraction from Saint Boniface during the 2012 electoral redistribution.
Following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, the riding will lose the area north of Leighton Avenue and west of Raleigh Street to Kildonan—St. Paul and will gain the Navin, Norcan and Dugald areas from Provencher,

## Geography

Elmwood–Transcona is located in the northeastern corner of Winnipeg, covering the East Kildonan, Elmwood, Transcona and part of the North Kildonan sections of the city. It covers the neighbourhoods of Chalmers, Eaglemere, East Elmwood, Glenelm, Grassie, Kern Park, Canterbury Park, Kildonan Crossing, Meadows, Munroe East, Munroe West, Peguis, Raidisson, Regent, Rossmere, Transcona South, Mission Gardens, Melrose, Kildare-Redonda, Kildonan Drive, Talbot-Grey, Transcona Yards, Tyne-Tees, Valley Gardens and Victoria West. It covers 50 km$^2$.
In the 2019 and 2021 elections, the NDP have been stronger in the western, more urban part of the riding, especially in Elmwood. Their best neighbourhood in both elections was Glenelm in the West Elmwood Area. The Conservatives saw their best results in the eastern, more suburban part of the riding. Their best neighbourhood in both elections was the Transcona South/Transcona Yards area.

## Demographics

As of the Canada 2021 Census
Languages: 75.4% English, 4.5% Tagalog, 4.2% Punjabi, 2.6% French, 1.5% German, 1.4% Spanish, 1.0% Ukrainian
Religions: 50.9% Christian (21.8% Catholic, 4.0% United Church, 2.4% Anglican, 2.4% Lutheran, 2.1% Pentecostal, 1.7% Christian Orthodox, 1.3% Anabaptist, 15.2% Other), 4.2% Sikh, 2.2% Muslim, 1.4% Hindu, 39.4% None Median income: $40,800 (2020) Average income: $46,120 (2020)
Racial groups in Elmwood—Transcona (2011−2021) :
| Racial group | 2021 | 2021 | 2016 | 2016 | 2011 | 2011 |
| Racial group | Pop. | % | Pop. | % | Pop. | % |
| European | 57,705 | 57.4% | 59,230 | 64.96% | 62,565 | 73.64% |
| Indigenous | 14,230 | 14.15% | 12,395 | 13.59% | 10,385 | 12.22% |
| Filipino | 8,655 | 8.61% | 6,765 | 7.42% | 3,725 | 4.38% |
| Southeast Asian | 1,470 | 1.46% | 1,030 | 1.13% | 1,065 | 1.25% |
| Black | 6,735 | 6.7% | 3,910 | 4.29% | 1,915 | 2.25% |
| South Asian | 6,425 | 6.39% | 3,850 | 4.22% | 1,800 | 2.12% |
| Latin American | 1,875 | 1.86% | 1,440 | 1.58% | 1,615 | 1.9% |
| Chinese | 1,035 | 1.03% | 990 | 1.09% | 865 | 1.02% |
| Korean | 115 | 0.11% | 170 | 0.19% | 100 | 0.12% |
| Japanese | 160 | 0.16% | 215 | 0.24% | 125 | 0.15% |
| Arab | 595 | 0.59% | 260 | 0.29% | 150 | 0.18% |
| West Asian | 250 | 0.25% | 220 | 0.24% | 195 | 0.23% |
| Other/multiracial | 1,290 | 1.28% | 695 | 0.76% | 455 | 0.54% |
| Total responses | 100,540 | 98.87% | 91,185 | 98.33% | 84,960 | 98.9% |
| Total population | 101,691 | 100% | 92,738 | 100% | 85,906 | 100% |
| Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses. Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries. |||||||

## Riding associations

Riding associations are the local branches of political parties:
| Party | Association name | CEO |
| Conservative | Elmwood–Transcona Conservative Association | Daniel Mulder |
| Liberal | Elmwood–Transcona Federal Liberal Association | David Engel |
| New Democratic | Elmwood–Transcona Federal NDP Riding Association | Michelle Scebenski |

## Members of Parliament

| Parliament | Years | Member | Party |
| Winnipeg—Transcona Riding created from Winnipeg North Centre and Winnipeg—Birds Hill |||||
| 34th | 1988–1993 | Bill Blaikie | New Democratic |
| 35th | 1993–1997 | Bill Blaikie | New Democratic |
| 36th | 1997–2000 | Bill Blaikie | New Democratic |
| 37th | 2000–2004 | Bill Blaikie | New Democratic |
| Elmwood—Transcona |||||
| 38th | 2004–2006 | Bill Blaikie | New Democratic |
| 39th | 2006–2008 | Bill Blaikie | New Democratic |
| 40th | 2008–2011 | Jim Maloway | New Democratic |
| 41st | 2011–2015 | Lawrence Toet | Conservative |
| 42nd | 2015–2019 | Daniel Blaikie | New Democratic |
| 43rd | 2019–2021 | Daniel Blaikie | New Democratic |
| 44th | 2021–2024 | Daniel Blaikie | New Democratic |
| 44th | 2024–present | Leila Dance | New Democratic |

## Election results

2025 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes |
| | New Democratic | Leila Dance |
| | Conservative | Colin Reynolds |
| | Liberal | Ian MacIntyre |
| | People's | Sarah Couture |
| Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters |
vteCanadian federal by-election, September 16, 2024 Resignation of Daniel Blaikie :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | New Democratic | Leila Dance | 13,597 | 48.18 | -1.51 |
| | Conservative | Colin Reynolds | 12,415 | 44.00 | +15.87 |
| | Liberal | Ian MacIntyre | 1,362 | 4.83 | -9.92 |
| | Green | Nicolas Geddert | 360 | 1.28 | -0.34 |
| | People's | Sarah Couture | 353 | 1.25 | -4.57 |
| | Canadian Future | Zbig Strycharz | 132 | 0.47 | — |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 28,219 | 99.62 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 107 | 0.38 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 28,326 | 39.16 | -20.46 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 72,325 |
| | New Democratic hold | New Democratic hold | Swing | Swing | -8.73 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
2021 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| New Democratic | 20,001 | 49.12 |
| Conservative | 11,585 | 28.45 |
| Liberal | 6,057 | 14.88 |
| People's | 2,423 | 5.95 |
| Green | 647 | 1.59 |
| Others | 5 | 0.01 |
vte2021 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | New Democratic | Daniel Blaikie | 20,791 | 49.69 | +4.07 | $63,992.50 |
| | Conservative | Rejeanne Caron | 11,768 | 28.13 | -9.32 | $53,284.18 |
| | Liberal | Sara Mirwaldt | 6,169 | 14.74 | +2.42 | $10,073.29 |
| | People's | Jamie Cumming | 2,435 | 5.82 | +4.64 | $276.86 |
| | Green | Devlin Hinchey | 676 | 1.62 | -1.80 | $0.00 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 41,839 | 99.26 | – | $106,782.98 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 314 | 0.74 | +0.03 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 42,153 | 59.62 | -2.72 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 70,701 |
| | New Democratic hold | New Democratic hold | Swing | Swing | +6.69 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
vte2019 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | New Democratic | Daniel Blaikie | 19,786 | 45.63 | +11.49 | $84,787.58 |
| | Conservative | Lawrence Toet | 16,240 | 37.45 | +3.45 | $90,425.22 |
| | Liberal | Jennifer Malabar | 5,346 | 12.33 | -17.18 | $35,581.50 |
| | Green | Kelly Manweiler | 1,480 | 3.41 | +1.05 | none listed |
| | People's | Noel Gautron | 512 | 1.18 | – | $2,119.25 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 43,364 | 99.28 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 313 | 0.72 | +0.30 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 43,677 | 62.34 | -3.26 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 70,062 |
| | New Democratic hold | New Democratic hold | Swing | Swing | +4.02 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
vte2015 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | New Democratic | Daniel Blaikie | 14,709 | 34.14 | -10.67 | $109,753.17 |
| | Conservative | Lawrence Toet | 14,648 | 34.00 | -12.92 | $127,718.93 |
| | Liberal | Andrea Richardson-Lipon | 12,713 | 29.51 | +24.32 | $23,842.58 |
| | Green | Kim Parke | 1,016 | 2.36 | -0.71 | – |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 43,086 | 99.58 | | $199,824.02 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 182 | 0.42 | – |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 43,268 | 66.60 | – |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 65,961 |
| | New Democratic gain from Conservative | New Democratic gain from Conservative | Swing | Swing | +1.12 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
2011 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| Conservative | 16,086 | 46.91 |
| New Democratic | 15,364 | 44.81 |
| Liberal | 1,779 | 5.19 |
| Green | 1,053 | 3.07 |
| Others | 7 | 0.02 |
vte2011 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Lawrence Toet | 15,298 | 46.40 | +5.66 | – |
| | New Democratic | Jim Maloway | 14,998 | 45.49 | -0.29 | – |
| | Liberal | Ilona Niemczyk | 1,660 | 5.03 | -1.59 | – |
| | Green | Ellen Young | 1,017 | 3.08 | -2.78 | – |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 32,973 | 99.66 | | – |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 112 | 0.34 | +0.02 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 33,085 | 55.93 | +1.89 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 59,154 | – | – |
| | Conservative gain from New Democratic | Conservative gain from New Democratic | Swing | Swing | +2.97 |
Source: Elections Canada
vte2008 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | New Democratic | Jim Maloway | 14,355 | 45.77 | −5.07 | $73,584.88 |
| | Conservative | Thomas Steen | 12,776 | 40.74 | +8.61 | $60,628.72 |
| | Liberal | Wes Penner | 2,079 | 6.63 | −5.68 | $30,542.33 |
| | Green | Chris Hrynkow | 1,839 | 5.86 | +2.23 | $847.16 |
| | Christian Heritage | Robert Scott | 312 | 0.99 | −0.09 | $2,735.85 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 31,361 | 99.68 | – | $77,369.61 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 100 | 0.32 | −0.08 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 31,461 | 54.04 | −4.16 |
| Electors on the lists | Electors on the lists | Electors on the lists | 58,216 |
| | New Democratic hold | New Democratic hold | Swing | Swing | −6.84 |
vte2006 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | New Democratic | Bill Blaikie | 16,967 | 50.85 | −1.14 | $40,314.57 |
| | Conservative | Linda West | 10,720 | 32.13 | +6.02 | $68,007.66 |
| | Liberal | Tanya Parks | 4,108 | 12.31 | −4.50 | $12,622.61 |
| | Green | Tanja Hutter | 1,211 | 3.63 | +1.17 | $240.77 |
| | Christian Heritage | Robert Scott | 363 | 1.09 | −0.23 | $706.54 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 33,369 | 99.60 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 133 | 0.40 | +0.12 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 33,502 | 58.20 | +7.55 |
| Electors on the lists | Electors on the lists | Electors on the lists | 57,561 |
| | New Democratic hold | New Democratic hold | Swing | Swing | −3.58 |
| Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada. |||||||
vte2004 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | New Democratic | Bill Blaikie | 15,221 | 51.99 | +3.84 | $37,459.54 |
| | Conservative | Bryan McLeod | 7,644 | 26.11 | −5.58 | $33,737.79 |
| | Liberal | Tanya Parks | 4,923 | 16.81 | −1.55 | $20,165.52 |
| | Green | Elijah Gair | 719 | 2.46 | – | $204.72 |
| | Christian Heritage | Robert Scott | 386 | 1.32 | – | $2,599.64 |
| | Marijuana | Gavin Whittaker | 311 | 1.06 | – | – |
| | Communist | Paul Sidon | 74 | 0.25 | – | $654.57 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 29,278 | 99.73 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 80 | 0.27 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 29,358 | 50.65 |
| Electors on the lists | Electors on the lists | Electors on the lists | 57,965 |
| | New Democratic hold | New Democratic hold | Swing | Swing | +4.71 |
| Percentage change figures are factored for redistribution. Conservative Party percentages are contrasted with the combined Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative percentages from 2000. |||||||
| Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada. |||||||
2000 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| New Democratic | 15,205 | 48.15 |
| Canadian Alliance | 7,967 | 25.23 |
| Liberal | 5,801 | 18.37 |
| Progressive Conservative | 2,041 | 6.46 |
| Others | 566 | 1.79 |

### Winnipeg—Transcona, 1996–2003

vte2000 Canadian federal election: Winnipeg—Transcona :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | New Democratic | Bill Blaikie | 15,680 | 47.85 | −2.42 | $35,468.07 |
| | Alliance | Shawn Rattai | 8,336 | 25.44 | +8.21 | $21,800.25 |
| | Liberal | Bret Dobbin | 6,041 | 18.43 | −3.03 | $17,596.32 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Chris Brewer | 2,133 | 6.51 | −2.46 | – |
| | Green | C. David Nickarz | 229 | 0.70 | – | – |
| | Christian Heritage | Robert Scott | 146 | 0.45 | −0.83 | $3,639.93 |
| | Independent | Theresa Ducharme | 118 | 0.36 | −0.13 | – |
| | Communist | James Hogaboam | 87 | 0.27 | | $263.77 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 32,770 | 99.61 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 127 | 0.39 | −0.21 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 32,897 | 58.38 | −1.97 |
| Electors on the lists | Electors on the lists | Electors on the lists | 56,345 |
| | New Democratic hold | New Democratic hold | Swing | Swing | −5.31 |
| Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada. |||||||
vte1997 Canadian federal election: Winnipeg—Transcona :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | New Democratic | Bill Blaikie | 16,640 | 50.27 | +11.01 | $37,996 |
| | Liberal | Rosemary Broadbent | 7,105 | 21.46 | −16.90 | $25,771 |
| | Reform | Helen Sterzer | 5,703 | 17.23 | +3.42 | $19,506 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Glenn Buffie | 2,968 | 8.97 | +4.01 | $7,682 |
| | Christian Heritage | Robert Scott | 423 | 1.28 | | $3,633 |
| | Independent | Theresa Ducharme | 161 | 0.49 | | $111 |
| | Marxist–Leninist | Ken Kalturnyk | 104 | 0.31 | | $11 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 33,104 | 99.40 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 199 | 0.60 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 33,303 | 60.36 |
| Electors on the lists | Electors on the lists | Electors on the lists | 55,177 |
| | New Democratic hold | New Democratic hold | Swing | Swing | +13.95 |
| Percentage change figures are factored for redistribution. |||||||
| Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada. |||||||
1993 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| New Democratic | 15,731 | 39.26 |
| Liberal | 15,371 | 38.36 |
| Reform | 5,531 | 13.80 |
| Progressive Conservative | 1,985 | 4.95 |
| Others | 1,453 | 3.63 |

### Winnipeg—Transcona, 1987–1996

vte1993 Canadian federal election: Winnipeg—Transcona :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | New Democratic | Bill Blaikie | 16,074 | 38.86 | −2.26 | $33,353 |
| | Liberal | Art Miki | 15,855 | 38.33 | +6.45 | $45,977 |
| | Reform | Helen Sterzer | 5,829 | 14.09 | – | $7,111 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Brett Eckstein | 2,112 | 5.11 | −20.51 | $13,422 |
| | National | Marnie Johnston | 900 | 2.18 | – | $14,483 |
| | Christian Heritage | Robert Scott | 362 | 0.88 | – | $2,688 |
| | Natural Law | Geoff Danyluk | 150 | 0.36 | – | $78 |
| | Marxist–Leninist | Ken Kalturnyk | 42 | 0.10 | −0.17 | $216 |
| | Canada Party | Bill Tataryn | 39 | 0.09 | – | $0 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 41,363 | 100.00 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 144 | 0.35 | +0.04 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 41,507 | 70.15 | −5.32 |
| Electors on the lists | Electors on the lists | Electors on the lists | 59,169 |
| | New Democratic hold | New Democratic hold | Swing | Swing | −4.36 |
| Source: Thirty-fifth General Election, 1993: Official Voting Results, Published by the Chief Electoral Officer of Canada. Financial figures taken from official contributions and expenses provided by Elections Canada. |||||||
vte1988 Canadian federal election: Winnipeg—Transcona :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | New Democratic | Bill Blaikie | 17,361 | 41.13 |
| | Liberal | Shirley Timm-Rudolph | 13,460 | 31.88 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Mike Thompson | 10,815 | 25.62 |
| | Western Independence | Fred Cameron | 308 | 0.73 |
| | Independent | Gerry West | 156 | 0.37 |
| | Marxist–Leninist | Karen Naylor | 115 | 0.27 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 42,215 | 100.00 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 130 | 0.31 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 42,345 | 75.47 |
| Electors on the lists | Electors on the lists | Electors on the lists | 56,110 | |