# 2010 New Brunswick general election

The 2010 New Brunswick general election was held on September 27, 2010, to elect 55 members to the 57th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly, the governing house of the province of New Brunswick, Canada. The incumbent Liberal government won 13 seats, while the opposition Progressive Conservatives won a landslide majority of 42 seats in the legislature. As leader of the PC party, David Alward became New Brunswick's 32nd premier.
The Lieutenant-Governor of New Brunswick – acting on the advice of the Premier – would have originally been able to call an election earlier or as late as 2011; however a bill in the 56th Legislature has fixed election dates to the fourth Monday of September every four years beginning with this election.
With the defeat of Liberals, this election marked the first time in New Brunswick's history that a political party was voted out of office after just one term.

## Timeline
### 2006

* October 10, 2006 - Organizers for the Green Party of Canada in New Brunswick announce plans to form a provincial Green Party in time to field a full slate of candidates in this election.
* November 5, 2006 - Allison Brewer resigns as leader of the New Democratic Party. She will be replaced on an interim basis by Pat Hanratty and permanently upon the election of a new leader in late 2007.
* December 12, 2006 - An opinion poll conducted November 10 to December 7 by Corporate Research Associates showed the Liberals enjoying an unprecedented lead in opinion polls, standing at 65% in contrast to 27% for the Progressive Conservatives, 6% for the New Democrats and 2% for the Greens.
* December 13, 2006 - Bernard Lord resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservatives and announces he will resign his seat in the legislature on January 31, 2007.

### 2007

* March 5, 2007 - Liberal Chris Collins wins Lord's former seat in Moncton East changing the standings in the legislature to 30 Liberals, 25 Progressive Conservatives.
* April 17, 2007 - Progressive Conservatives Joan MacAlpine-Stiles and Wally Stiles cross the floor and join the Liberals changing the standings in the legislature to Liberals 32, Progressive Conservatives 23.
* May 29, 2007 - Government House Leader Stuart Jamieson tables Bill 75 which would fix election dates to the fourth Monday of September every four years beginning on September 27 in 2010.
* October 13, 2007 - The NDP elect Roger Duguay as their new leader.

### 2008

* May 17, 2008 - The Green Party of New Brunswick is formed. Mike Milligan is elected as the interim leader of the party until a convention can be held in the fall.
* October 18, 2008 – David Alward is elected as leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.
* November 3, 2008 - Progressive Conservative Jack Carr holds a seat previously held by fellow Progressive Conservative Keith Ashfield who was elected as Conservative MP for Fredericton restoring the standings in the legislature to 32 Liberals, 23 Progressive Conservatives.

### 2009

* March 9, 2009 - Liberal Burt Paulin wins a seat previously held by Progressive Conservative Percy Mockler changing the standings in the legislature to 33 Liberals, 22 Progressive Conservatives.
* December 25, 2009 - Premier Shawn Graham "says he's ready to fight the next election on his controversial plan to sell NB Power to Hydro-Québec."

### 2010

* January 4, 2010 - Justice Minister Michael Murphy unexpectedly resigns his seat to "spend more time with his family and return to practising law".
* February 5, 2010 - Cabinet Minister Stuart Jamieson is forced to leave his cabinet post for suggesting that the NB power deal be put to a referendum.
* March 24, 2010 - Premier Shawn Graham announces that the proposed sale of NB Power has been canceled.
* May 10, 2010 - Premier Shawn Graham shuffles the New Brunswick cabinet. Bernard LeBlanc is reinstated as minister of justice, and also named the first minister responsible for public engagement. Brian Kenny is promoted to the tourism portfolio. Cheryl Lavoie enters cabinet as minister of state for seniors. Donald Arseneault gains title of deputy premier.
* May 19, 2010 - Progressive Conservatives release Vision for Citizen Engagement and Responsible Government, a pre-campaign document that outlines the PC strategy to improve citizen engagement.
* June 9, 2010 - People's Alliance officially forms the newest N.B. political party under the leadership of former Tory Kris Austin.
* September 27, 2010 - David Alward is elected into office as Premier of New Brunswick.

## Results

Summary of the 2010 Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick election :
| Party | Party | Leader | Candidates | Votes | Votes | Votes | Votes | Votes | Votes | Seats | Seats | Seats |
| Party | Party | Leader | Candidates | # | ± | % | Change (pp) | Change (pp) | Change (pp) | 2006 | 2010 | ± |
| | Progressive Conservative | David Alward | 55 | 181,397 | 3,815 | 48.80 | 1.33 | | 1.33 | 26 | 42 / 55 | 16 |
| | Liberal | Shawn Graham | 55 | 128,078 | 48,365 | 34.45 | -12.70 | | | 29 | 13 / 55 | 16 |
| | New Democratic | Roger Duguay | 55 | 38,686 | 19,490 | 10.41 | 5.28 | | 5.28 |
| | Green | Jack MacDougall | 49 | 16,943 | 16,943 | 4.56 | 4.56 | | 4.56 |
| | People's Alliance | Kris Austin | 14 | 4,363 | 4,363 | 1.17 | 1.17 | | 1.17 |
| | Independent | | 7 | 2,275 | 1,340 | 0.61 | 0.36 |
| Total | Total | Total | 235 | 371,742 | 371,742 | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| Rejected ballots | Rejected ballots | Rejected ballots | Rejected ballots | 3,160 | 69 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 374,902 | 2,345 | 69.56% | 2.04 |
| Registered voters | Registered voters | Registered voters | Registered voters | 538,965 | 19,723 |
* ↑ "Recapitulation". Report of the Chief Electoral Officer Thirty-Seventh General Election September 27, 2010 (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. 2010. pp. 20–23.
    = New party

### Synopsis of results

2010 New Brunswick general election - synopsis of riding results :
| Riding | Winning party | Winning party | Winning party | Winning party | Winning party | Winning party | Winning party | Winning party | Winning party | Winning party | Turnout | Votes | Votes | Votes | Votes | Votes | Votes | Votes |
| Riding | 2006 | 2006 | 1st place | 1st place | Votes | Share | Margin # | Margin % | 2nd place | 2nd place | Turnout | PC | Lib | NDP | Green | PA | Ind | Total |
| Albert | | PC | | PC | 3,985 | 62.28% | 2,712 | 42.38% | | Lib | 67.46% | 3,985 | 1,273 | 409 | 448 | 284 | – | 6,399 |
| Bathurst | | Lib | | Lib | 2,899 | 44.99% | 78 | 1.21% | | PC | 69.55% | 2,821 | 2,899 | 620 | 104 | – | – | 6,444 |
| Campbellton-Restigouche Centre | | Lib | | PC | 3,914 | 54.92% | 1,461 | 20.50% | | Lib | 73.94% | 3,914 | 2,453 | 524 | 236 | – | – | 7,127 |
| Caraquet | | Lib | | Lib | 3,661 | 50.08% | 620 | 8.48% | | PC | 81.26% | 3,041 | 3,661 | 406 | 202 | – | – | 7,310 |
| Carleton | | PC | | PC | 3,885 | 61.76% | 2,176 | 34.59% | | Lib | 69.75% | 3,885 | 1,709 | 316 | 380 | – | – | 6,290 |
| Centre-Péninsule-Saint-Sauveur | | Lib | | Lib | 4,652 | 63.87% | 3,168 | 43.49% | | PC | 79.43% | 1,484 | 4,652 | 1,148 | – | – | – | 7,284 |
| Charlotte-Campobello | | PC | | PC | 2,977 | 48.09% | 1,461 | 23.60% | | Lib | 68.61% | 2,977 | 1,516 | 798 | 498 | 401 | – | 6,190 |
| Charlotte-The Isles | | Lib | | Lib | 3,176 | 51.36% | 892 | 14.42% | | PC | 70.81% | 2,284 | 3,176 | 303 | 174 | 247 | – | 6,184 |
| Dalhousie-Restigouche East | | Lib | | Lib | 3,634 | 46.34% | 1,005 | 12.82% | | PC | 76.90% | 2,629 | 3,634 | 1,406 | 173 | – | – | 7,842 |
| Dieppe Centre-Lewisville | | PC | | Lib | 4,542 | 46.28% | 1,116 | 11.37% | | PC | 68.39% | 3,426 | 4,542 | 1,152 | 694 | – | – | 9,814 |
| Edmundston-Saint-Basile | | PC | | PC | 5,551 | 75.89% | 4,192 | 57.31% | | Lib | 69.85% | 5,551 | 1,359 | 223 | 182 | – | – | 7,315 |
| Fredericton-Fort Nashwaak | | Lib | | PC | 3,582 | 47.29% | 1,006 | 13.28% | | Lib | 65.61% | 3,582 | 2,576 | 866 | 550 | – | – | 7,574 |
| Fredericton-Lincoln | | Lib | | PC | 2,713 | 39.60% | 249 | 3.63% | | Lib | 64.97% | 2,713 | 2,464 | 1,009 | 665 | – | – | 6,851 |
| Fredericton-Nashwaaksis | | Lib | | PC | 3,720 | 47.56% | 960 | 12.27% | | Lib | 69.93% | 3,720 | 2,760 | 601 | 741 | – | – | 7,822 |
| Fredericton-Silverwood | | Lib | | PC | 2,955 | 38.50% | 448 | 5.84% | | Lib | 67.39% | 2,955 | 2,507 | 1,234 | 912 | – | 67 | 7,675 |
| Fundy-River Valley | | Lib | | PC | 3,629 | 57.52% | 1,814 | 28.75% | | Lib | 68.38% | 3,629 | 1,815 | 427 | 221 | 217 | – | 6,309 |
| Grand Falls-Drummond-Saint-André | | Lib | | PC | 3,057 | 49.16% | 347 | 5.58% | | Lib | 73.38% | 3,057 | 2,710 | 292 | 159 | – | – | 6,218 |
| Grand Lake-Gagetown | | Lib | | PC | 3,190 | 44.73% | 1,072 | 15.03% | | Lib | 77.73% | 3,190 | 2,118 | 234 | 174 | 1,416 | – | 7,132 |
| Hampton-Kings | | PC | | PC | 4,302 | 57.49% | 2,634 | 35.20% | | Lib | 68.66% | 4,302 | 1,668 | 1,193 | 320 | – | – | 7,483 |
| Kent | | Lib | | Lib | 3,817 | 55.35% | 1,995 | 28.93% | | PC | 77.54% | 1,822 | 3,817 | 1,040 | 217 | – | – | 6,896 |
| Kent South | | PC | | PC | 5,054 | 60.37% | 2,607 | 31.14% | | Lib | 78.26% | 5,054 | 2,447 | 499 | 372 | – | – | 8,372 |
| Kings East | | PC | | PC | 4,470 | 66.74% | 3,055 | 45.61% | | Lib | 67.37% | 4,470 | 1,415 | 487 | 326 | – | – | 6,698 |
| Lamèque-Shippagan-Miscou | | PC | | PC | 4,270 | 58.89% | 1,971 | 27.18% | | Lib | 80.94% | 4,270 | 2,299 | 682 | – | – | – | 7,251 |
| Madawaska-les-Lacs | | PC | | PC | 3,378 | 54.17% | 1,393 | 22.34% | | Lib | 70.88% | 3,378 | 1,985 | 229 | – | – | 644 | 6,236 |
| Memramcook-Lakeville-Dieppe | | Lib | | Lib | 3,423 | 50.82% | 1,252 | 18.59% | | PC | 69.63% | 2,171 | 3,423 | 708 | 433 | – | – | 6,735 |
| Miramichi Bay-Neguac | | Lib | | PC | 2,908 | 42.71% | 363 | 5.33% | | Lib | 76.89% | 2,908 | 2,545 | 1,131 | 92 | 132 | – | 6,808 |
| Miramichi Centre | | Lib | | PC | 3,183 | 48.08% | 622 | 9.40% | | Lib | 74.29% | 3,183 | 2,561 | 379 | 174 | 323 | – | 6,620 |
| Miramichi-Bay du Vin | | Lib | | Lib | 3,290 | 49.65% | 676 | 10.20% | | PC | 75.41% | 2,614 | 3,290 | 507 | 215 | – | – | 6,626 |
| Moncton East | | PC | | Lib | 2,641 | 41.58% | 179 | 2.82% | | PC | 59.80% | 2,462 | 2,641 | 650 | 599 | – | – | 6,352 |
| Moncton North | | Lib | | PC | 2,349 | 44.95% | 439 | 8.40% | | Lib | 55.47% | 2,349 | 1,910 | 511 | 365 | 91 | – | 5,226 |
| Moncton West | | PC | | PC | 2,981 | 48.52% | 975 | 15.87% | | Lib | 61.54% | 2,981 | 2,006 | 576 | 503 | – | 78 | 6,144 |
| Moncton Crescent | | PC | | PC | 4,168 | 50.56% | 1,628 | 19.75% | | Lib | 61.36% | 4,168 | 2,540 | 806 | 729 | – | – | 8,243 |
| Nepisiguit | | Lib | | PC | 2,454 | 41.03% | 510 | 8.53% | | Lib | 71.76% | 2,454 | 1,944 | 1,474 | 109 | – | – | 5,981 |
| New Maryland-Sunbury West | | PC | | PC | 4,099 | 63.60% | 2,591 | 40.20% | | Lib | 72.25% | 4,099 | 1,508 | 549 | 289 | – | – | 6,445 |
| Nigadoo-Chaleur | | Lib | | Lib | 3,649 | 49.77% | 851 | 11.61% | | PC | 73.38% | 2,798 | 3,649 | 706 | 179 | – | – | 7,332 |
| Oromocto | | PC | | PC | 3,660 | 81.21% | 3,093 | 68.63% | | Lib | 58.78% | 3,660 | 567 | 280 | – | – | – | 4,507 |
| Petitcodiac | | PC | | PC | 4,133 | 55.69% | 2,361 | 31.81% | | Lib | 68.40% | 4,133 | 1,772 | 661 | 856 | – | – | 7,422 |
| Quispamsis | | Lib | | PC | 4,076 | 50.67% | 1,324 | 16.46% | | Lib | 69.29% | 4,076 | 2,752 | 918 | 298 | – | – | 8,044 |
| Restigouche-La-Vallée | | PC | | PC | 3,727 | 53.49% | 1,238 | 17.77% | | Lib | 75.45% | 3,727 | 2,489 | 550 | 202 | – | – | 6,968 |
| Riverview | | PC | | PC | 4,358 | 62.88% | 2,731 | 39.40% | | Lib | 65.15% | 4,358 | 1,627 | 458 | 488 | – | – | 6,931 |
| Rogersville-Kouchibouguac | | PC | | Lib | 3,438 | 46.04% | 269 | 3.60% | | PC | 82.83% | 3,169 | 3,438 | 860 | – | – | – | 7,467 |
| Rothesay | | PC | | PC | 3,372 | 56.64% | 1,682 | 28.25% | | Lib | 67.21% | 3,372 | 1,690 | 534 | 357 | – | – | 5,953 |
| Saint John East | | Lib | | PC | 2,135 | 37.86% | 269 | 4.77% | | Lib | 54.66% | 2,135 | 1,866 | 1,335 | 303 | – | – | 5,639 |
| Saint John Harbour | | Lib | | PC | 1,333 | 30.68% | 7 | 0.16% | | Lib | 49.94% | 1,333 | 1,326 | 1,203 | 236 | – | 247 | 4,345 |
| Saint John Lancaster | | Lib | | PC | 3,429 | 50.75% | 1,143 | 16.92% | | Lib | 66.74% | 3,429 | 2,286 | 688 | 246 | 108 | – | 6,757 |
| Saint John Portland | | PC | | PC | 2,925 | 50.18% | 863 | 14.81% | | Lib | 62.31% | 2,925 | 2,062 | 573 | 189 | 80 | – | 5,829 |
| Saint John-Fundy | | Lib | | PC | 2,908 | 52.02% | 1,174 | 21.00% | | Lib | 57.62% | 2,908 | 1,734 | 592 | 185 | 171 | – | 5,590 |
| Shediac-Cap-Pelé | | Lib | | Lib | 5,243 | 61.36% | 3,123 | 36.55% | | PC | 73.48% | 2,120 | 5,243 | 668 | 409 | – | 104 | 8,544 |
| Southwest Miramichi | | Lib | | PC | 3,786 | 58.57% | 1,835 | 28.39% | | Lib | 75.61% | 3,786 | 1,951 | 201 | 203 | 323 | – | 6,464 |
| Tantramar | | PC | | PC | 2,707 | 56.68% | 1,801 | 37.71% | | Lib | 66.29% | 2,707 | 906 | 511 | 652 | – | – | 4,776 |
| Tracadie-Sheila | | PC | | PC | 3,806 | 48.83% | 1,295 | 16.61% | | NDP | 83.10% | 3,806 | 1,478 | 2,511 | – | – | – | 7,795 |
| Victoria-Tobique | | Lib | | PC | 2,687 | 52.85% | 647 | 12.73% | | Lib | 68.16% | 2,687 | 2,040 | 97 | 120 | – | 140 | 5,084 |
| Woodstock | | PC | | PC | 4,672 | 67.31% | 3,677 | 52.98% | | Ind | 68.67% | 4,672 | 709 | 278 | 102 | 185 | 995 | 6,941 |
| York | | PC | | PC | 3,576 | 56.18% | 2,143 | 33.67% | | Lib | 71.69% | 3,576 | 1,433 | 998 | 358 | – | – | 6,365 |
| York North | | PC | | PC | 4,492 | 63.33% | 3,255 | 45.89% | | Lib | 69.31% | 4,492 | 1,237 | 675 | 304 | 385 | – | 7,093 |
* ↑ "Summary of Votes Received by Candidate". Report of the Chief Electoral Officer Thirty-Seventh General Election September 27, 2010 (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. 2010. pp. 8–19.
* ↑ "Recapitulation". Report of the Chief Electoral Officer Thirty-Seventh General Election September 27, 2010 (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. 2010. pp. 20–23.
    = Open seat
    = Turnout is above provincial average
    = Winning candidate was in previous Legislature
    = Incumbent had switched allegiance
    = Previously incumbent in another riding
    = Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
    = Incumbency arose from byelection gain
    = Other incumbents renominated
    = Previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
    = Multiple candidates

### Results by region

| Party Name | Party Name | Party Name | Central | North East | North West | South East | South West | Total |
| | Progressive Conservative | Seats | 9 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 42 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Popular Vote | 52.26% | 43.93% | 59.76% | 45.24% | 50.41% | 48.84% |
| | Liberal | Seats | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
| | Liberal | Popular Vote | 27.72% | 40.52% | 28.86% | 37.78% | 31.04% | 34.42% |
| | New Democratic | Seats | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| | New Democratic | Popular Vote | 10.48% | 12.88% | 4.45% | 9.58% | 12.07% | 10.41% |
| | Green | Seats | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| | Green | Popular Vote | 6.46% | 1.81% | 2.56% | 6.83% | 4.50% | 4.54% |
| | People's Alliance | Seats | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| | People's Alliance | Popular Vote | 2.97% | 0.86% | 0.41% | 0.38% | 1.65% | 1.18% |
| | Independent | Seats | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| | Independent | Popular Vote | 0.11% | 0.00% | 3.95% | 0.19% | 0.34% | 0.61% |
| Total seats | Total seats | Total seats | 9 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 55 |

### Results by place

Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party :
| Parties | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th |
| █ Progressive Conservative | 42 | 13 | | | |
| █ Liberal | 13 | 40 | 2 | | |
| █ New Democratic | | 1 | 43 | 9 | 2 |
| █ Independent | | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| █ Green | | | 6 | 36 | 6 |
| █ People's Alliance | | | 2 | 4 | 8 |

## Target ridings

The following is a list of ridings which were narrowly lost by the indicated party. For instance, under the Liberal column are the 10 seats in which they came closest to winning from the Conservatives, while under the Conservative column are the 10 seats in which they came closest to winning from the Liberals. Listed is the name of the riding, and the margin, in terms of percentage of the vote, by which the party lost.
These ridings are likely to be targeted by the specified party because the party lost them by a very slim margin in the 2006 election.
Up to 10 are shown, with a maximum margin of victory of 15%. No party or independent candidate, other than the Liberals or Progressive Conservatives, came within 15% of winning any seats.
* Indicates incumbent not running again.
To clarify further; this is a list of provincial general election winners with their party in parentheses, and their margin as a percentage of the vote over the party whose list the seat is on (not the same as the margin of victory if the party potentially "targeting" the seat in that list did not finish second in the previous election). "Won" means that the targeting party won the seat from the incumbent party. "Held" means the incumbent party held the seat.
| Liberal | Progressive Conservative |
| Dieppe Centre-Lewisville 0.7%* (won) Rothesay 1.5% (held) York 2.4% (held) Charlotte-Campobello 4.4%* (held) Saint John Portland 4.6% (held) Moncton West 4.8%* (won by PCs) New Maryland-Sunbury West 9.0% (held) Tracadie-Sheila 10.1% (held) Moncton Crescent 12.9% (held) Woodstock 13.0% (held) | Fredericton-Nashwaaksis 2.0% (won) Bathurst 2.8% (held) Grand Lake-Gagetown 3.0%* (won) Fundy-River Valley 3.3% (won) Moncton North 4.3%* (won by PCs) Fredericton-Silverwood 6.5% (won) Nepisiguit 6.9% (won) Kent 7.0% (held) Quispamsis 7.3% (won) Southwest Miramichi 7.6% (won) |
The ridings of Moncton East, Moncton West, Restigouche-La-Vallée and Petitcodiac are also likely to be targeted by the Conservatives as all have switched to the Liberals since the 2006 election. Moncton East and Restigouche-La-Vallée were carried by the Liberals in by-elections while the MLAs for Moncton West and Petitcodiac crossed the floor from the PCs to the Liberals.

## Opinion polls

| Polling Firm | Date of Polling | Link | Liberal | Progressive Conservative | New Democratic | Green | People's Alliance |
| CBC News/L'Acadie Nouvelle | September 20, 2010 | HTML | 37 | 47 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| Abacus Data | September 19, 2010 | PDF | 38 | 42 | 11 | 6 | 2 |
| Corporate Research Associates | September 19, 2010 | HTML | 36 | 46 | 11 | 6 | 1 |
| Corporate Research Associates | September 18, 2010 | HTML | 38 | 45 | 10 | 6 | 1 |
| Corporate Research Associates | September 17, 2010 | HTML | 37 | 49 | 9 | 4 | 1 |
| Corporate Research Associates | September 16, 2010 | HTML | 38 | 48 | 9 | 5 | 1 |
| Corporate Research Associates | September 15, 2010 | HTML | 38 | 48 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| Corporate Research Associates | September 14, 2010 | HTML | 37 | 50 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| Corporate Research Associates | September 13, 2010 | HTML | 37 | 49 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| Corporate Research Associates | September 12, 2010 | HTML | 38 | 49 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| Corporate Research Associates | September 11, 2010 | HTML | 41 | 46 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| Corporate Research Associates | September 9, 2010 | HTML | 41 | 45 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| Corporate Research Associates | September 8, 2010 | HTML | 43 | 45 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| Corporate Research Associates | September 7, 2010 | HTML | 43 | 43 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| Corporate Research Associates | September 6, 2010 | HTML | 43 | 41 | 11 | 4 | 1 |
| Corporate Research Associates | September 5, 2010 | HTML | 43 | 41 | 11 | 4 | 1 |
| Corporate Research Associates | September 4, 2010 | HTML | 43 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 |
| Corporate Research Associates | September 1, 2010 | HTML | 42 | 43 | 10 | 3 | 2 |
| Corporate Research Associates | August 24, 2010 | PDF | 41 | 36 | 16 | 6 | 1 |
| Corporate Research Associates | May 31, 2010 | PDF | 37 | 42 | 16 | 5 | — |
| Corporate Research Associates | March 9, 2010 | PDF | 36 | 42 | 18 | 4 | — |
| Corporate Research Associates | December 2, 2009 | PDF | 36 | 46 | 14 | 4 | — |
| Léger Marketing | November 22, 2009 | PDF | 33 | 45 | 19 | — | — |
| Corporate Research Associates | September, 2009 | HTML | 41 | 35 | 22 | 2 | — |
| Corporate Research Associates | May, 2009 | HTML | 41 | 40 | 16 | 3 | — |
| Corporate Research Associates | February, 2009 | HTML | 50 | 34 | 13 | 3 | — |
| Corporate Research Associates | November, 2008 | HTML | 45 | 38 | 13 | 4 | — |
| Corporate Research Associates | August, 2008 | HTML | 49 | 34 | 14 | 4 | — |
| Corporate Research Associates | May, 2008 | HTML | 51 | 36 | 11 | 2 | — |
| Corporate Research Associates | February, 2008 | HTML | 63 | 26 | 8 | 2 | — |
| Corporate Research Associates | November, 2007 | HTML | 53 | 32 | 10 | 4 | — |
| Corporate Research Associates | August, 2007 | HTML | 60 | 30 | 7 | 2 | — |
| Corporate Research Associates | May, 2007 | HTML | 53 | 33 | 10 | 4 | — |
| Corporate Research Associates | February, 2007 | HTML | 59 | 27 | 11 | 2 | — |
| Corporate Research Associates | November, 2006 | HTML | 65 | 27 | 6 | 2 | — |
| Election 2006 | September 18, 2006 | HTML | 47.1 | 47.5 | 5.1 | — | — |

## Candidates
### Retiring incumbents

The following sitting MLAs have announced that they will not seek re-election.
* Tony Huntjens, Progressive Conservative MLA for Charlotte-Campobello since 2006, and previously MLA for Western Charlotte from 1999 to 2006.
* Roly MacIntyre, Liberal MLA for Saint John East since 2006, and previously MLA for Saint John Champlain from 1995 to 1999 and 2003 to 2006.
* Jeannot Volpé, Progressive Conservative MLA for Madawaska-les-Lacs since 1995.
* Joan MacAlpine-Stiles, Liberal MLA (Originally Progressive Conservative) for Moncton West since 1999.
* Stuart Jamieson, Liberal MLA for Saint John-Fundy, first elected from 1987 to 1999, and re-elected in 2003.
* Eugene McGinley, Liberal MLA, first elected from 1972 to 1978 as MLA for Bathurst, and re-elected in 2003 as MLA for Grand Lake-Gagetown.
* Cy LeBlanc, Progressive Conservative MLA elected in 1999 and re-elected in 2003 in the Dieppe-Memramcook riding. He was re-elected again in 2006 in the Dieppe Centre-Lewisville riding.
* Mike Murphy, Liberal MLA, Moncton North. Serving, Minister of Justice, former Minister of Health.

### Candidates by riding

Legend
* bold denotes cabinet minister or party leader
* italics denotes a potential candidate who has not received his/her party's nomination
* † denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election

#### Northeast

| Electoral district | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Incumbent |
| Electoral district | Liberal | Liberal | PC | PC | NDP | NDP | Green | Green | Other | Other | Incumbent | Incumbent |
| 1. Campbellton-Restigouche Centre | | Roy Boudreau 2,453 34.42% | | Greg Davis 3,914 54.92% | | Widler Jules 524 7.35% | | Lynn Morrison Hemson 236 3.31% | | | Roy Boudreau |
| 2. Dalhousie-Restigouche East | | Donald Arseneault 3,631 46.53% | | Joseph Elias 2,593 33.23% | | Ray Godin 1,413 18.11% | | Susan Smissaert 167 2.14% | | | Donald Arseneault |
| 3. Nigadoo-Chaleur | | Roland Haché 3,649 49.77% | | Fred Albert 2,798 38.16% | | Serge Beaubrun 706 9.63% | | Mathieu LaPlante 179 2.44% | | | Roland Haché |
| 4. Bathurst | | Brian Kenny 2,899 44.99% | | Nancy McKay 2,821 43.78% | | Sebastien Duke 620 9.62% | | Hazel Hachey 104 1.61% | | | Brian Kenny |
| 5. Nepisiguit | | Cheryl Lavoie 1,946 32.49% | | Ryan Riordon 2,456 41.01% | | Pierre Cyr 1,476 24.65% | | Patrice Des Lauriers 111 1.85% | | | Cheryl Lavoie |
| 6. Caraquet | | Hédard Albert 3,663 - (50.07%) | | Philip Chiasson 3,041 - (41.57%) | | Claudia Julien 406 - (5.55%) | | Mathieu Chayer 206 - (2.82%) | | | Hédard Albert |
| 7. Lamèque-Shippagan-Miscou | | Alonzo Rail 2,304 - (31.74%) | | Paul Robichaud 4,272 - (58.84%) | | Armel Chiasson 684 - (9.42%) | | | | | Paul Robichaud |
| 8. Centre-Péninsule-Saint-Sauveur | | Denis Landry 4,655 - (63.85%) | | Anike Robichaud 1,487 - (20.40%) | | Francois Rousselle 1,149 - (15.76%) | | | | | Denis Landry |
| 9. Tracadie-Sheila | | Norma McGraw 1,480 - (18.96%) | | Claude Landry 3,808 - (48.78%) | | Roger Duguay 2,518 - (32.26%) | | | | | Claude Landry |
| 10. Miramichi Bay-Neguac | | Carmel Robichaud 2,546 - (37.36%) | | Serge Robichaud 2,908 - (42.67%) | | Marc-Alphonse Leclair 1,132 - (16.61%) | | Filip Vanicek 93 - (1.36%) | | Thomas L'Huillier (PANB) 136 - (2.00%) | Carmel Robichaud |
| 11. Miramichi-Bay du Vin | | Bill Fraser 3,290 - (49.62%) | | Joan Cripps 2,615 - (39.44%) | | Kelly Clancy-King 510 - (7.69%) | | Ronald Mazerolle 216 - (3.26%) | | | Bill Fraser |
| 12. Miramichi Centre | | John Foran 2,552 - (38.56%) | | Robert Trevors 3,187 - (48.16%) | | Douglas Mullin 379 - (5.73%) | | Dylan Schneider 175 - (2.64%) | | Frances Connell (PANB) 325 - (4.91%) | John Foran |
| 13. Southwest Miramichi | | Rick Brewer 1,952 - (30.17%) | | Jake Stewart 3,792 - (58.60%) | | Jason Robar 200 - (3.09%) | | Jimmy Lawlor 204 - (3.15%) | | Wes Gullison (PANB) 323 - (4.99%) | Rick Brewer |

#### Southeast

| Electoral district | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Incumbent |
| Electoral district | Liberal | Liberal | PC | PC | NDP | NDP | Green | Green | Other | Other | Incumbent | Incumbent |
| 14. Rogersville-Kouchibouguac | | Bertrand LeBlanc 3,442 - (46.03%) | | Jimmy Bourque 3,174 - (42.45%) | | Alida Fagan 861 - (11.52%) | | | | | vacant |
| 15. Kent | | Shawn Graham 3,722 - (55.72%) | | Bruce Hickey 1,720 - (25.75%) | | Susan Levi-Peters 1,023 - (15.31%) | | Garry Sanipass 215 - (3.22%) | | | Shawn Graham |
| 16. Kent South | | Martin Goguen 2,447 - (29.20%) | | Claude Williams 5,055 - (60.33%) | | Oscar Doucet 503 - (6.00%) | | Luc LeBreton 374 - (4.46%) | | | Claude Williams |
| 17. Shediac-Cap-Pelé | | Victor Boudreau 5,244 - (61.33%) | | Janice Brun 2,121 - (24.81%) | | Yves Leger 669 - (7.82%) | | Natalie Arsenault 409 - (4.78%) | | Charles Vautour (Ind.) 107 - (1.25%) | Victor Boudreau |
| 18. Tantramar | | Beth Barczyk 911 - (19.02%) | | Mike Olscamp 2,712 - (56.62%) | | Bill Evans 513 - (10.71%) | | Margaret Tusz-King 654 - (13.65%) | | | Mike Olscamp |
| 19. Memramcook-Lakeville-Dieppe | | Bernard LeBlanc 3,426 - (50.82%) | | Fortunat Duguay 2,174 - (32.25%) | | Denis Brun 707 - (10.49%) | | Fanny Leblanc 435 - (6.45%) | | | Bernard LeBlanc |
| 20. Dieppe Centre-Lewisville | | Roger Melanson 4,541 - (46.24%) | | Dave Maltais 3,429 - (34.91%) | | Agathe Lapointe 1,174 - (11.95%) | | Paul LeBreton 677 - (6.89%) | | | Cy LeBlanc† |
| 21. Moncton East | | Chris Collins 2,694 - (41.54%) | | Karen Nelson 2,528 - (38.98%) | | Teresa Sullivan 626 - (9.65%) | | Roy MacMullin 637 - (9.82%) | | | Chris Collins |
| 22. Moncton West | | Anne Marie Picone Ford 1,995 - (32.50%) | | Susan Stultz 2,983 - (48.59%) | | Shawna Gagne 580 - (9.45%) | | Carrie Sullivan 503 - (8.19%) | | Barry Renouf (Ind.) 78 - (1.27%) | Joan MacAlpine-Stiles† |
| 23. Moncton North | | Kevin Robart 1,912 - (36.54%) | | Marie-Claude Blais 2,349 - (44.90%) | | Jean Guimond 512 - (9.79%) | | Greta Doucet 367 - (7.01%) | | Carl Bainbridge (PANB) 92 - (1.76%) | vacant |
| 24. Moncton Crescent | | Russ Mallard 2,538 - (30.77%) | | John Betts 4,171 - (50.57%) | | Cyprien Okana 809 - (9.81%) | | Mike Milligan 730 - (8.85%) | | | John Betts |
| 25. Petitcodiac | | Wally Stiles 1,769 - (23.84%) | | Sherry Wilson 4,135 - (55.74%) | | Leta Both 666 - (8.98%) | | Bethany Thorne-Dykstra 849 - (11.44%) | | | Wally Stiles |
| 26. Riverview | | Lana Hansen 1,626 - (23.47%) | | Bruce Fitch 4,357 - (62.89%) | | Darryl Pitre 457 - (6.60%) | | Steven Steeves 488 - (7.04%) | | | Bruce Fitch |
| 27. Albert | | Claude Curwin 1,252 - (19.54%) | | Wayne Steeves 4,009 - (62.57%) | | Anthony Crandall 412 - (6.43%) | | Vernon Woolsey 448 - (6.99%) | | Lucy Rolfe (PANB) 286 - (4.46%) | Wayne Steeves |
^a - Collins won the seat in a by-election on March 5, 2007. The seat was previously held by Progressive Conservative former premier Bernard Lord.
^b - MacAlpine-Stiles crossed the floor to the Liberals on April 17, 2007. She previously sat as a Progressive Conservative.
^c - Stiles crossed the floor to the Liberals on April 17, 2007. He previously sat as a Progressive Conservative.

#### Southwest

| Electoral district | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Incumbent |
| Electoral district | Liberal | Liberal | PC | PC | NDP | NDP | Green | Green | Other | Other | Incumbent | Incumbent |
| 28. Kings East | | George Horton 1,418 - (21.14%) | | Bruce Northrup 4,476 - (66.73%) | | Robert Murray 487 - (7.26%) | | Jenna Milligan 327 - (4.87%) | | | Bruce Northrup |
| 29. Hampton-Kings | | Kit Hickey 1,668 - (22.28%) | | Bev Harrison 4,302 - (57.47%) | | Julie Drummond 1,193 - (15.93%) | | Pierre Roy 323 - (4.31%) | | | Bev Harrison |
| 30. Quispamsis | | Mary Schryer 2,752 - (34.24%) | | Blaine Higgs 4,075 - (50.70%) | | Matt Doherty 911 - (11.33%) | | Mark Woolsey 300 - (3.73%) | | | Mary Schryer |
| 31. Saint John-Fundy | | Gary Keating 1,736 - (30.98%) | | Glen Savoie 2,913 - (51.99%) | | Lise Lennon 594 - (10.60%) | | Matthew Clark 187 - (3.34%) | | Glenn McAllister (PANB) 173 - (3.09%) | Stuart Jamieson† |
| 32. Rothesay | | Victoria Clarke 1,694 - (28.40%) | | Margaret-Ann Blaney 3,374 - (56.57%) | | Pamela Scichilone 535 - (8.97%) | | Sharon Murphy-Flatt 361 - (6.05%) | | | Margaret-Ann Blaney |
| 33. Saint John East | | Kevin McCarville 1,867 - (33.06%) | | Glen Tait 2,137 - (37.84%) | | Sandy Harding 1,338 - (23.69%) | | Ann McAllister 305 - (5.40%) | | | Roly MacIntyre† |
| 34. Saint John Harbour | | Ed Doherty 1,326 - (30.45%) | | Carl Killen 1,333 - (30.66%) | | Wayne Dryer 1,203 - (27.63%) | | Patty Higgins 236 - (5.45%) | | John Campbell (Ind.) 247 - (5.81%) | Ed Doherty |
| 35. Saint John Portland | | Dan Joyce 2,062 - (35.31%) | | Trevor Holder 2,926 - (50.10%) | | Jeremy Higgins 576 - (9.86%) | | Stefan Warner 192 - (3.29%) | | Lisa Cromwell (PANB) 84 - (1.44%) | Trevor Holder |
| 36. Saint John Lancaster | | Abel LeBlanc 2,287 - (33.81%) | | Dorothy Shephard 3,433 - (50.75%) | | Habib Kilisli 688 - (10.17%) | | Mary Ellen Carpenter 247 - (3.65%) | | Wendy Coughlin (PANB) 110 - (1.63%) | Abel LeBlanc |
| 37. Fundy-River Valley | | Jack Keir 1,815 - (28.74%) | | Jim Parrott 3,633 - (57.53%) | | David Sullivan 427 - (6.76%) | | Stephanie Coburn 222 - (3.52%) | | Edward Hoyt (PANB) 218 - (3.45%) | Jack Keir |
| 38. Charlotte-The Isles | | Rick Doucet 3,176 - (51.27%) | | Sharon Tucker 2,286 - (36.90%) | | Sharon Greenlaw 305 - (4.92%) | | Burt Folkins 180 - (2.91%) | | Theresa James (PANB) 248 - (4.00%) | Rick Doucet |
| 39. Charlotte-Campobello | | Annabelle Juneau 1,516 - (24.46%) | | Curtis Malloch 2,980 - (48.08%) | | Lloyd Groom 798 - (12.88%) | | Janice Harvey 500 - (8.07%) | | John Craig (PANB) 404 - (6.52%) | Tony Huntjens† |

#### Central

| Electoral district | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Incumbent |
| Electoral district | Liberal | Liberal | PC | PC | NDP | NDP | Green | Green | Other | Other | Incumbent | Incumbent |
| 40. Oromocto | | Georgina Jones 569 - (12.62%) | | Jody Carr 3,662 - (81.23%) | | Beau Davidson 277 - (6.14%) | | | | | Jody Carr |
| 41. Grand Lake-Gagetown | | Barry Armstrong 2,108 - (29.16%) | | Ross Wetmore 3,290 - (45.51%) | | J.R. Magee 237 - (3.28%) | | Sandra Burtt 175 - (2.42%) | | Kris Austin (PANB) 1,419 - (19.63%) | Eugene McGinley† |
| 42. Fredericton-Nashwaaksis | | T.J. Burke 2,712 - (35.28%) | | Troy Lifford 3,656 - (47.56%) | | Dana Brown 592 - (7.70%) | | Jack MacDougall 727 - (9.46%) | | | T.J. Burke |
| 43. Fredericton-Fort Nashwaak | | Kelly Lamrock 2,586 - (34.16%) | | Pam Lynch 3,571 - (47.17%) | | Andy Scott 861 - (11.37%) | | Kathleen MacDougall 553 - (7.30%) | | | Kelly Lamrock |
| 44. Fredericton-Lincoln | | Greg Byrne 2,178 - (35.31%) | | Craig Leonard 2,437 - (39.51%) | | Jason Purdy 945 - (15.32%) | | Tracey Waite 608 - (9.86%) | | | Greg Byrne |
| 45. Fredericton-Silverwood | | Rick Miles 2,469 - (32.53%) | | Brian Macdonald 2,931 - (38.62%) | | Tony Myatt 1,220 - (16.07%) | | Jim Wolstenholme 903 - (11.90%) | | Jim Andrews (Ind.) 67 - (0.88%) | Rick Miles |
| 46. New Maryland-Sunbury West | | Larry DeLong 1,502 - (23.33%) | | Jack Carr 4,097 - (63.65%) | | Jesse Travis 547 - (8.50%) | | Ellen Comer 291 - (4.52%) | | | Jack Carr |
| 47. York | | Winston Gamblin 1,486 - (22.95%) | | Carl Urquhart 3,614 - (55.82%) | | Sharon Scott-Levesque 1,012 - (15.63%) | | Jean Louis Deveau 362 - (5.59%) | | | Carl Urquhart |
| 48. York North | | Eugene Price 1,232 - (17.39%) | | Kirk MacDonald 4,486 - (63.33%) | | Genevieve MacRae 675 - (9.53%) | | Jarrod Currie 305 - (4.31%) | | Steven Hawkes (PANB) 386 - (5.45%) | Kirk MacDonald |
    ^d - Carr won the seat in a by-election on November 3, 2008. The seat was previously held by fellow Progressive Conservative Keith Ashfield.

#### Northwest

| Electoral district | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Incumbent |
| Electoral district | Liberal | Liberal | PC | PC | NDP | NDP | Green | Green | Other | Other | Incumbent | Incumbent |
| 49. Woodstock | | Jeff Bradbury 710 - (10.22%) | | David Alward 4,673 - (67.27%) | | Conrad Anderson 280 - (4.03%) | | Todd Antworth 103 - (1.48%) | | Dale Allen (Ind.) 996 - (14.34%) David Kennedy (PANB) 185 - (2.66%) | David Alward |
| 50. Carleton | | Peter Cook 1,711 - (27.17%) | | Dale Graham 3,884 - (61.67%) | | Jacob Elsinga 319 - (5.07%) | | Tegan Wong-Daugherty 384 - (6.10%) | | | Dale Graham |
| 51. Victoria-Tobique | | Larry Kennedy 2,039 - (40.05%) | | Wes McLean 2,684 - (52.72%) | | David Burns 109 - (2.14%) | | Wayne Sabine 118 - (2.32%) | | Carter Edgar (Ind.) 141 - (2.77%) | Larry Kennedy |
| 52. Grand Falls-Drummond-Saint-André | | Ron Ouellette 2,715 - (43.60%) | | Danny Soucy 3,058 - (49.11%) | | Maureen Michaud 292 - (4.69%) | | Cécile Martel Robitaille 162 - (2.60%) | | | Ron Ouellette |
| 53. Restigouche-La-Vallée | | Burt Paulin 2,492 - (35.72%) | | Martine Coulombe 3,727 - (53.43%) | | Alain Martel 551 - (7.90%) | | André Arpin 206 - (2.95%) | | | Burt Paulin |
| 54. Edmundston-Saint-Basile | | Michelle Daigle 1,362 - (18.60%) | | Madeleine Dubé 5,551 - (75.81%) | | Michel Thebeau 226 - (3.09%) | | Michelle Simard 183 - (2.50%) | | | Madeleine Dubé |
| 55. Madawaska-les-Lacs | | Jocelyn Lévesque 1,989 - (31.85%) | | Yvon Bonenfant 3,380 - (54.13%) | | Nicole Theriault 230 - (3.68%) | | | | Jean-Marc Nadeau (Ind.) 645 - (10.33%) | Jeannot Volpé† |
    ^e - Paulin won the seat in a by-election on March 9, 2009. The seat was previously held by Progressive Conservative Percy Mockler.