# 2023 Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol provincial elections

The 2023 Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol provincial elections took place on 22 October 2023. It determined two seats for Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol out of 21 in the Conference of Regions and Autonomous Provinces.

## Background

Since the 2018 Italian general election, many changes started to occur in the Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol political landscape. For the first time since the 1996 Italian general election, the centre-right coalition managed to defeat the centre-left coalition in Trentino in a general election. Shortly thereafter, the Trentino Tyrolean Autonomist Party (PATT) decided to run separately (German: Blockfrei), leading to the first victory of the Maurizio Fugatti-led centre-right coalition in a provincial election in Trentino since the start of the Second Italian Republic with the 1994 Italian general election.
In South Tyrol, the traditionally dominant-party system led by the South Tyrolean People's Party (SVP) lost its majority in the 2013 Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol provincial elections. In the 2018 general election, the SVP and the Democratic Party of the centre-left coalition lost their majority, forcing SVP to form a coalition with Lega Alto Adige Südtirol due to the ethnischer Proporz [it; de] system (Italian: proporzionale etnica). In the 2019 European Parliament election in Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol, the SVP broke their traditional alliance with the PD and joined forces with the centre-right Forza Italia. Similarly in the 2022 general election SVP and PATT decided to run separated from the centre-left and joined forced with some centre-right autonomist parties like Trentino Project.
After Brothers of Italy became largest party in Trentino in the 2022 general election, FdI proposed Francesca Gerosa as the new centre-right candidate. This led to a conflict with PATT, which joined the centre-right coalition in an election for the first time since 2001, which strongly spoke against her.

## Trentino

In Trentino, the president is elected directly by the people; the candidate who gains the most votes is elected president.

### Parties and candidates

| Political party or alliance | Political party or alliance | Constituent lists | Constituent lists | Previous result | Previous result | Candidate |
| Political party or alliance | Political party or alliance | Constituent lists | Constituent lists | Votes (%) | Seats | Candidate |
| | Centre-right coalition | | Trentino League (LT) | 13.05 | 5 | Maurizio Fugatti |
| | Centre-right coalition | | Brothers of Italy (FdI) | 12.35 | 5 | Maurizio Fugatti |
| | Centre-right coalition | | Fugatti for President | 10.73 | 4 | Maurizio Fugatti |
| | Centre-right coalition | | Trentino Tyrolean Autonomist Party–Popular Autonomists (PATT–AP) (incl. PT) | 8.18 | 3 | Maurizio Fugatti |
| | Centre-right coalition | | La Civica (LC) | 4.85 | 2 | Maurizio Fugatti |
| | Centre-right coalition | | Fassa Association (Fassa) | 0.87 | 1 | Maurizio Fugatti |
| | Centre-right coalition | | Forza Italia (FI) | 2.02 | 0 | Maurizio Fugatti |
| | Centre-right coalition | | Union of the Centre (UDC) | 0.59 | 0 | Maurizio Fugatti |
| | Democratic Alliance for Trentino | | Democratic Party (PD) (incl. Futura) | 13.9 | 4 | Francesco Valduga |
| | Democratic Alliance for Trentino | | Campobase (CB) | 4.0 | 1 | Francesco Valduga |
| | Democratic Alliance for Trentino | | Greens and Left Alliance (AVS) | 1.4 | 0 | Francesco Valduga |
| | Democratic Alliance for Trentino | | Action (Az) | — | — | Francesco Valduga |
| | Democratic Alliance for Trentino | | Italia Viva (IV) | — | — | Francesco Valduga |
| | Democratic Alliance for Trentino | | Fascegn | — | — | Francesco Valduga |
| | Democratic Alliance for Trentino | | Autonomy House (CA) | — | — | Francesco Valduga |
| | Five Star Movement (M5S) | Five Star Movement (M5S) | Five Star Movement (M5S) | 7.2 | 1 | Alex Marini |
| | People's Wave | | People's Union | 0.8 | 0 | Filippo Degasperi |
| | People's Wave | | Wave | — | — | Filippo Degasperi |
| | People's Wave | | My Valley | — | — | Filippo Degasperi |
| | Alliance for Trentino | | Us with Divina for President (NcD) | — | — | Sergio Divina |
| | Alliance for Trentino | | Popular Alternative (AP) | — | — | Sergio Divina |
| | Alliance for Trentino | | Youth for Divina | — | — | Sergio Divina |
| | Sovereign Popular Democracy (DSP) | Sovereign Popular Democracy (DSP) | Sovereign Popular Democracy (DSP) | — | — | Marco Rizzo |
| | Alternative | Alternative | Alternative | — | — | Elena Dardo |

### Opinion polling
#### Candidates

| Date | Polling firm | Sample size | Fugatti | Valduga | Marini | Degasperi | Divina | Rizzo | Dardo | Others | Lead |
| 2–3 October 2023 | BiDiMedia | 1,000 | 42.7 | 35.9 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 9.0 | 3.2 | 0.5 | — | 6.8 |
| 12–17 September 2023 | TermometroPolitico | 1,000 | 35 | 36 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 6 | — | 3 | 1 |

#### Political parties

| Date | Polling firm | Sample size | Centre-right | Centre-right | Centre-right | Centre-right | Centre-right | Centre-right | Centre-right | Centre-right | Centre-right | Centre-left | Centre-left | Centre-left | Centre-left | Centre-left | Centre-left | Centre-left | Centre-left | M5S | Onda Popolare | Onda Popolare | Onda Popolare | Alliance for Trentino | Alliance for Trentino | Alliance for Trentino | Alliance for Trentino | DSP | Alt. | Lead |
| Date | Polling firm | Sample size | Trentino League | PATT–PT–AP | LC | FI | UdC | FdI | Fassa | NM | Fugatti | PD | Futura | CB | AVS | Az | IV | CA | Fascegn | M5S | UP | Onda | LMV | TAL | NcD | AP | GDP | DSP | Alt. | Lead |
| 2–3 October 2023 | BiDiMedia | 1,000 | 10.6 | 6.7 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 13.6 | 1.1 | — | 5.6 | 16.3 | — | 6.8 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | — | 3.5 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 2.7 |
| 11–14 July 2023 | Winpoll | 850 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 20 | — | 2 | — | 18 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | 7 | 4 | 4 | — | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 |

### Results

2023 Trentino provincial election results :
| Candidates | Candidates | Votes | % | Seats | Parties | Parties | Votes | % | Seats | +/− |
| | Maurizio Fugatti | 129,758 | 51.82 | 1 |
| | Maurizio Fugatti | 129,758 | 51.82 | 1 | | Trentino League | 30,347 | 13.05 | 5 | –8 |
| | Maurizio Fugatti | 129,758 | 51.82 | 1 | | Brothers of Italy | 28,714 | 12.35 | 5 | +4 |
| | Maurizio Fugatti | 129,758 | 51.82 | 1 | | Fugatti for President | 24,953 | 10.73 | 4 | New |
| | Maurizio Fugatti | 129,758 | 51.82 | 1 | | Trentino Tyrolean Autonomist Party | 19,011 | 8.18 | 3 | –3 |
| | Maurizio Fugatti | 129,758 | 51.82 | 1 | | La Civica | 11,285 | 4.85 | 2 | ±0 |
| | Maurizio Fugatti | 129,758 | 51.82 | 1 | | Forza Italia | 4,708 | 2.02 | 0 | –1 |
| | Maurizio Fugatti | 129,758 | 51.82 | 1 | | Fassa Association | 2,018 | 0.87 | 1 | ±0 |
| | Maurizio Fugatti | 129,758 | 51.82 | 1 | | Union of the Centre | 1,362 | 0.59 | 0 | ±0 |
| | Maurizio Fugatti | 129,758 | 51.82 | 1 | Total | Total | 122,398 | 52.64 | 20 | –4 |
| | Francesco Valduga | 93,888 | 37.50 | 1 |
| | Francesco Valduga | 93,888 | 37.50 | 1 | | Democratic Party | 38,689 | 16.64 | 7 | +3 |
| | Francesco Valduga | 93,888 | 37.50 | 1 | | Campobase | 19,553 | 8.41 | 3 | +2 |
| | Francesco Valduga | 93,888 | 37.50 | 1 | | Autonomy House | 9,968 | 4.29 | 1 | New |
| | Francesco Valduga | 93,888 | 37.50 | 1 | | Greens and Left Alliance | 7,565 | 3.25 | 1 | +1 |
| | Francesco Valduga | 93,888 | 37.50 | 1 | | Fascegn | 3,634 | 1.56 | 0 | ±0 |
| | Francesco Valduga | 93,888 | 37.50 | 1 | | Italia Viva | 3,399 | 1.46 | 0 | New |
| | Francesco Valduga | 93,888 | 37.50 | 1 | | Action | 3,302 | 1.42 | 0 | New |
| | Francesco Valduga | 93,888 | 37.50 | 1 | Total | Total | 86,110 | 37.03 | 12 | +5 |
| | Filippo Degasperi | 9,533 | 3.81 | 1 |
| | Filippo Degasperi | 9,533 | 3.81 | 1 | | Wave | 5,864 | 2.52 | 0 | New |
| | Filippo Degasperi | 9,533 | 3.81 | 1 | | My Valley | 1,204 | 0.52 | 0 | New |
| | Filippo Degasperi | 9,533 | 3.81 | 1 | | People's Union | 1,088 | 0.47 | 0 | ±0 |
| | Filippo Degasperi | 9,533 | 3.81 | 1 | Total | Total | 8,156 | 3.51 | 0 | — |
| | Marco Rizzo | 5,651 | 2.26 | 0 | | Sovereign Popular Democracy | 5,457 | 2.35 | 0 | New |
| | Sergio Divina | 5,558 | 2.22 | 0 |
| | Sergio Divina | 5,558 | 2.22 | 0 | | Popular Alternative | 2,261 | 0.97 | 0 | New |
| | Sergio Divina | 5,558 | 2.22 | 0 | | Us with Divina for President | 1,845 | 0.79 | 0 | New |
| | Sergio Divina | 5,558 | 2.22 | 0 | | Youth for Divina | 642 | 0.28 | 0 | New |
| | Sergio Divina | 5,558 | 2.22 | 0 | Total | Total | 4,748 | 2.04 | 0 | — |
| | Alex Marini | 4,796 | 1.92 | 0 | | Five Star Movement | 4,523 | 1.95 | 0 | –1 |
| | Elena Dardo | 1,205 | 0.48 | 0 | | Alternative | 1,121 | 0.48 | 0 | New |
| Total candidates | Total candidates | 250,389 | 100 | 3 | Total parties | Total parties | 232,513 | 100 | 32 | ±0 |
| Source: Autonomous Province of Trento |||||||||||

## South Tyrol
### Parties

| Name | Name | Name | Ideology | Leading candidate(s) | 2018 result | 2018 result | Current seats |
| Name | Name | Name | Ideology | Leading candidate(s) | Votes (%) | Seats | Current seats |
| | SVP | South Tyrolean People's Party | Christian democracy Regionalism | Arno Kompatscher | 41.9% | 15 / 35 | 14 / 35 |
| | TK | Team K | Liberalism Regionalism | Paul Köllensperger Maria Elisabeth Rieder | 15.2% | 6 / 35 | 4 / 35 |
| | Lega | League – United for Alto Adige | Right-wing populism Regionalism | Christian Bianchi | 11.4% | 4 / 35 | 3 / 35 |
| | V–G–V | Greens (incl. SI) | Eco-socialism Regionalism | Brigitte Foppa | 6.8% | 3 / 35 | 3 / 35 |
| | dF | Die Freiheitlichen | National conservatism Separatism | Sabine Zoderer | 6.2% | 2 / 35 | 2 / 35 |
| | STF | South Tyrolean Freedom | National conservatism Separatism | Sven Knoll | 6.2% | 2 / 35 | 2 / 35 |
| | PD | Democratic Party (incl. PSI) | Social democracy | Sandro Repetto | 3.8% | 1 / 35 | 1 / 35 |
| | M5S | Five Star Movement | Populism | Diego Nicolini | 2.4% | 1 / 35 | 1 / 35 |
| | FdI | Brothers of Italy | National conservatism | Marco Galateo | 1.7% | 1 / 35 | 1 / 35 |
| | FI | Forza Italia (incl. UdC) | Liberal conservatism | Carlo Vettori | 1.0% | 0 / 35 | 1 / 35 |
| | FSmW | For South Tyrol with Widmann | Christian democracy Regionalism | Thomas Widmann | DNE | DNE | 1 / 35 |
| | Enzian | Enzian | COVID-19 scepticism Regionalism | Josef Unterholzner | DNE | DNE | 1 / 35 |
| | Vita | Vita | COVID-19 scepticism Anti-establishment | Renate Holzeisen | DNE | DNE | 0 / 35 |
| | JWA | JWA List | Separatism Right-wing populism | Jürgen Wirth Anderlan | DNE | DNE | 0 / 35 |
| | CD | Centre-Right | Conservatism | Filippo Maturi | DNE | DNE | 0 / 35 |
| | LC | La Civica (incl. Az, IV) | Liberalism | Emanuela Albieri | DNE | DNE | 0 / 35 |

### Opinion polling

| Date | Polling firm | Sample size | SVP | TK | Lega | V-G-V | dF | STF | PD | M5S | FdI | FI | Enzian | FSmW | JWA | Vita | Others | Lead |
| Sep 2023 | Insa | 1,000 | 35 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | — | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 23 |
| Aug–Sep 2023 | Apollis | 1,002 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 4 | — | 7 | 2 | — | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18 |
| Jul 2023 | Insa | 1,000 | 37 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 4 | 25 |
| Apr 2023 | Demox | – | 36.5 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 24 |
| Feb–Mar 2023 | Apollis | – | 40 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 4 | 26 |
| Early 2023 | Komma (leak, incomplete) | – | 36.5 | TBA | 5 | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | 5 | 8 | 1.5 | TBA | — | — | — | – | N/A |
| Aug 2022 | Apollis | – | 37 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | — | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | 20 |
| Jan 2022 | Apollis | – | 42 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 5 | 28 |
| Jul 2021 | Apollis | 1,001 | 43 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | — | 0 | — | — | — | 4 | 30 |
| 21 Oct 2018 | 2018 provincial election | 284,361 | 41.9 | 15.2 | 11.4 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 4.0 | 26.7 |

### Results

| | South Tyrolean People's Party | 97,092 | 34.53 | 13 | −2 |
| | Team K | 31,201 | 11.09 | 4 | −2 |
| | South Tyrolean Freedom | 30,583 | 10.88 | 4 | +2 |
| | Greens | 25,445 | 9.05 | 3 | ±0 |
| | Brothers of Italy | 16,747 | 5.96 | 2 | +1 |
| | JWA List | 16,596 | 5.90 | 2 | New |
| | Die Freiheitlichen | 13,836 | 4.92 | 2 | ±0 |
| | Democratic Party | 9,707 | 3.45 | 1 | ±0 |
| | For South Tyrol with Widmann | 9,646 | 3.43 | 1 | ±0 |
| | League–United for Alto Adige | 8,541 | 3.04 | 1 | −3 |
| | La Civica | 7,301 | 2.60 | 1 | New |
| | Vita | 7,222 | 2.57 | 1 | New |
| | Five Star Movement | 2,086 | 0.74 | – | −1 |
| | Enzian | 1,990 | 0.71 | – | New |
| | Forza Italia | 1,625 | 0.58 | – | ±0 |
| | Centre-Right | 1,601 | 0.57 | – | New |
| Total | Total | 281,219 | 100.00 | 35 | – |
| Valid votes | Valid votes | 281,219 | 96.87 | | |
| Invalid/blank votes | Invalid/blank votes | 9,080 | 3.13 | | |
| Total votes | Total votes | 290,299 | 100.00 | | |
| Registered voters/turnout | Registered voters/turnout | 429,841 | 67.54 | | |
| Source: Official Results ||||||
Popular vote
SVP
34.53%
TK
11.09%
STF
10.88%
Grüne
9.05%
FdI
5.96%
JWA
5.90%
dF
4.92%
PD
3.45%
Widmann
3.43%
Lega
3.04%
Civica
2.60%
Vita
2.57%
M5S
0.74%
Enzian
0.71%
FI
0.58%
CD
0.57% :