# 2025 Newfoundland and Labrador general election

The 2025 Newfoundland and Labrador general election will take place on or before November 24, 2025 to elect members to the 51st General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador.

## Current party standings

Standings in the 50th General Assembly :
| Affiliation | Affiliation | Leader | House members | House members |
| Affiliation | Affiliation | Leader | 2021 election results | Current standings |
| | Liberal | Andrew Furey | 22 | 22 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Tony Wakeham | 13 | 14 |
| | New Democratic | Jim Dinn | 2 | 2 |
| | Independent | N/A | 3 | 2 |

## Incumbents not running for re-election

The following MHAs have announced that they are not running in the upcoming provincial election:
Liberal
* Andrew Furey (Humber-Gros Morne)
* Andrew Parsons (Burgeo-La Poile)

## Timeline

* March 31, 2021 – PC leader Ches Crosbie resigns and MHA David Brazil is appointed interim leader and interim Leader of the Opposition.
* October 19, 2021 – St. John's Centre MHA Jim Dinn was named interim leader of the New Democratic Party, following the resignation of Alison Coffin.
* July 6, 2022 – A cabinet shuffle takes place, Haggie and Osborne switch portfolios.
* March 28, 2023 – Jim Dinn is acclaimed permanent NDP leader.
* June 14, 2023 – Premier Furey shuffles his cabinet.
* October 13–15, 2023 – The Progressive Conservative party leadership convention is held at the Sheraton Hotel in St. John’s. MHA Tony Wakeham is elected leader on the second ballot.
* November 10, 2023 – Conception Bay East-Bell Island MHA David Brazil announced his resignation as MHA effective 29 December 2023.
* January 22, 2024 – Cabinet Minister and Fogo Island-Cape Freels MHA Derrick Bragg dies of cancer at the age of 59.
* January 28, 2024 – Conception Bay East-Bell Island by-election is moved to 30 January from its original date of 29 January due to a storm warning.
* January 30, 2024 – Conception Bay East-Bell Island by-election is held. Liberal candidate Fred Hutton is elected, gaining the seat from the Progressive Conservatives.
* February 29, 2024 – MHA Fred Hutton is appointed Minister of Housing and Minister responsible for the Newfoundland and Labrador Housing Corporation.
* March 1, 2024 – Baie Verte-Green Bay MHA Brian Warr resigns.
* April 15, 2024 – Fogo Island-Cape Freels by-election. Progressive Conservative candidate Jim McKenna is elected, gaining the seat from the Liberals.
* May 27, 2024 – Baie Verte-Green Bay by-election. Progressive Conservative candidate Lin Paddock is elected, gaining the seat from the Liberals.
* July 5, 2024 – Health Minister and Waterford Valley MHA Tom Osborne resigns. John Hogan is named interim Health Minister.
* July 16, 2024 – Torngat Mountains MHA Lela Evans rejoins the PC Party.
* July 19, 2024 – Premier Furey shuffles his cabinet. Scott Reid enters cabinet.
* August 22, 2024 – Waterford Valley by-election was held. Liberal Jamie Korab was elected.
* January 6, 2025 – Special session of the House of Assembly to debate the Churchill Falls MOU.
* February 25, 2025 – Andrew Furey announces his pending resignation as premier, as leader of the Liberal party and as an MHA.

### Changes in MHAs/seats held

Changes in seats held (2021–present) :
| Seat | Before | Before | Before | Before | Change | Change | Change |
| Seat | Date | Member | Party | Reason | Date | Member | Party |
| Torngat Mountains | October 25, 2021 | Lela Evans | █ PC | Resignation from PC caucus | | | █ Independent |
| Torngat Mountains | March 7, 2022 | Lela Evans | █ Independent | Joined the NDP caucus | | | █ New Democratic |
| Torngat Mountains | July 16, 2024 | Lela Evans | █ New Democratic | Re-joined the PC caucus | | | █ PC |
| Lake Melville | September 12, 2022 | Perry Trimper | █ Independent | Joined the Liberal caucus | | | █ Liberal |
| Conception Bay East-Bell Island | December 29, 2023 | David Brazil | █ PC | Resigned from House of Assembly | January 30, 2024 | Fred Hutton | █ Liberal |
| Fogo Island-Cape Freels | January 22, 2024 | Derrick Bragg | █ Liberal | Death of incumbent | April 15, 2024 | Jim McKenna | █ PC |
| Baie Verte-Green Bay | March 1, 2024 | Brian Warr | █ Liberal | Resigned from House of Assembly | May 27, 2024 | Lin Paddock | █ PC |
| Waterford Valley | July 5, 2024 | Tom Osborne | █ Liberal | Resigned from House of Assembly | August 22, 2024 | Jamie Korab | █ Liberal |

## Opinion polls

| Polling firm | Dates conducted | Link | Liberal | PC | NDP | Others | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead |
| | Feb. 25, 2025 | Andrew Furey announces his resignation as premier and Liberal leader. | Andrew Furey announces his resignation as premier and Liberal leader. | Andrew Furey announces his resignation as premier and Liberal leader. | Andrew Furey announces his resignation as premier and Liberal leader. | Andrew Furey announces his resignation as premier and Liberal leader. | Andrew Furey announces his resignation as premier and Liberal leader. | Andrew Furey announces his resignation as premier and Liberal leader. | Andrew Furey announces his resignation as premier and Liberal leader. | Andrew Furey announces his resignation as premier and Liberal leader. |
| Narrative Research | Nov 4–19, 2024 | | 50% | 40% | 10% | 0% | ±5.2% | 350 | Telephone | 10% |
| Narrative Research | Aug 6–16, 2024 | | 43% | 35% | 19% | 2% | ±5.2% | 350 | Telephone | 8% |
| Narrative Research | May 7–29, 2024 | | 38% | 41% | 19% | 2% | ±6.8% | 208 | Telephone | 3% |
| Narrative Research | Feb 7–18, 2024 | | 43% | 33% | 23% | 1% | ±5.2% | 350 | Telephone | 10% |
| Narrative Research | Nov 2–26, 2023 | | 44% | 38% | 16% | 3% | ±5.0% | 388 | Telephone | 6% |
| | Oct 14, 2023 | Tony Wakeham is elected leader of the PCs. | Tony Wakeham is elected leader of the PCs. | Tony Wakeham is elected leader of the PCs. | Tony Wakeham is elected leader of the PCs. | Tony Wakeham is elected leader of the PCs. | Tony Wakeham is elected leader of the PCs. | Tony Wakeham is elected leader of the PCs. | Tony Wakeham is elected leader of the PCs. | Tony Wakeham is elected leader of the PCs. |
| Abacus Data | Sep 19–25, 2023 | | 40% | 38% | 21% | 1% | ±4.5% | 341 | Online | 2% |
| Narrative Research | Aug 1–11, 2023 | | 40% | 37% | 23% | 0% | ±5.2% | 350 | Telephone | 3% |
| Narrative Research | May 4–15, 2023 | | 50% | 31% | 17% | 2% | ±5.2% | 350 | Telephone | 19% |
| | Mar 28, 2023 | Jim Dinn is acclaimed permanent NDP leader. | Jim Dinn is acclaimed permanent NDP leader. | Jim Dinn is acclaimed permanent NDP leader. | Jim Dinn is acclaimed permanent NDP leader. | Jim Dinn is acclaimed permanent NDP leader. | Jim Dinn is acclaimed permanent NDP leader. | Jim Dinn is acclaimed permanent NDP leader. | Jim Dinn is acclaimed permanent NDP leader. | Jim Dinn is acclaimed permanent NDP leader. |
| Narrative Research | Feb 17–21, 2023 | | 46% | 36% | 17% | 0% | ±5.2% | 350 | Telephone | 10% |
| Narrative Research | Nov 3–27, 2022 | | 47% | 34% | 16% | 3% | ±4.2% | 535 | Telephone | 13% |
| Narrative Research | Aug 3–23, 2022 | | 40% | 42% | 16% | 1% | ±6.0% | 260 | Telephone | 2% |
| Angus Reid | Jun 7–13, 2022 | | 36% | 45% | 12% | 6% | ±7.0% | 201 | Online | 9% |
| Narrative Research | May 5–24, 2022 | | 48% | 32% | 17% | 3% | ±5.9% | 275 | Telephone | 16% |
| Angus Reid | Mar 10–15, 2022 | | 43% | 44% | 10% | 4% | ±7.0% | 196 | Online | 1% |
| Narrative Research | Feb 8–21, 2022 | | 49% | 32% | 15% | 3% | ±5.2% | 350 | Telephone | 17% |
| Angus Reid | Jan 7–12, 2022 | | 37% | 44% | 15% | 4% | ±8.0% | 155 | Online | 7% |
| MQO Research | Nov 19 – Dec 5, 2021 | | 47% | 31% | 18% | 4% | ±5.5% | 400 | Telephone | 16% |
| Narrative Research | Nov 2–23, 2021 | | 48% | 27% | 23% | 2% | ±3.5% | 800 | Telephone | 21% |
| | Oct 19, 2021 | Alison Coffin resigns as leader of the NDP; Jim Dinn becomes interim leader. | Alison Coffin resigns as leader of the NDP; Jim Dinn becomes interim leader. | Alison Coffin resigns as leader of the NDP; Jim Dinn becomes interim leader. | Alison Coffin resigns as leader of the NDP; Jim Dinn becomes interim leader. | Alison Coffin resigns as leader of the NDP; Jim Dinn becomes interim leader. | Alison Coffin resigns as leader of the NDP; Jim Dinn becomes interim leader. | Alison Coffin resigns as leader of the NDP; Jim Dinn becomes interim leader. | Alison Coffin resigns as leader of the NDP; Jim Dinn becomes interim leader. | Alison Coffin resigns as leader of the NDP; Jim Dinn becomes interim leader. |
| Angus Reid | Sep 29 – Oct 3, 2021 | | 39% | 39% | 17% | 5% | N/A | 203 | Online | Tie |
| Narrative Research | Aug 9–29, 2021 | | 53% | 28% | 18% | 1% | ±4.9% | 400 | Telephone | 25% |
| MQO Research | Jun 12 – Jul 10, 2021 | | 56% | 26% | 15% | 2% | ±4.9% | 400 | Telephone | 30% |
| Angus Reid | Jun 2–7, 2021 | | 50% | 39% | 8% | 2% | ±2.0% | 153 | Online | 11% |
| Narrative Research | May 11–26, 2021 | | 54% | 30% | 14% | 2% | ±3.5% | 800 | Telephone | 24% |
| | Apr 8, 2021 | Andrew Furey and his cabinet sworn in. | Andrew Furey and his cabinet sworn in. | Andrew Furey and his cabinet sworn in. | Andrew Furey and his cabinet sworn in. | Andrew Furey and his cabinet sworn in. | Andrew Furey and his cabinet sworn in. | Andrew Furey and his cabinet sworn in. | Andrew Furey and his cabinet sworn in. | Andrew Furey and his cabinet sworn in. |
| | Mar 31, 2021 | Ches Crosbie resigns as leader of the PCs; David Brazil becomes interim leader. | Ches Crosbie resigns as leader of the PCs; David Brazil becomes interim leader. | Ches Crosbie resigns as leader of the PCs; David Brazil becomes interim leader. | Ches Crosbie resigns as leader of the PCs; David Brazil becomes interim leader. | Ches Crosbie resigns as leader of the PCs; David Brazil becomes interim leader. | Ches Crosbie resigns as leader of the PCs; David Brazil becomes interim leader. | Ches Crosbie resigns as leader of the PCs; David Brazil becomes interim leader. | Ches Crosbie resigns as leader of the PCs; David Brazil becomes interim leader. | Ches Crosbie resigns as leader of the PCs; David Brazil becomes interim leader. |
| 2021 general election | Mar 25, 2021 | HTML | 48.24% | 38.80% | 8.02% | 4.93% | — | — | — | 9.44% |
| Polling firm | Dates conducted | Link | | | | Others | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead |
| Polling firm | Dates conducted | Link | Liberal | PC | NDP | Others | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead |