# 2027 New South Wales state election

The 2027 New South Wales state election will be held on 13 March 2027 to elect the 59th Parliament of New South Wales, including all 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly and 21 of the 42 seats in the Legislative Council. The election will be conducted by the NSW Electoral Commission.
The incumbent Labor minority government, led by Premier Chris Minns, will seek to win a second four-year term in office. They will be challenged by the Liberal/National coalition, led by Mark Speakman. The Greens, the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party, other minor parties and several independents will also contest the election.
New South Wales has compulsory voting, with optional preferential, instant runoff voting in single-member seats for the lower house, and single transferable voting with optional preferential above-the-line voting in the proportionally represented upper house.

## Background

At the previous state election held in 2023, the Australian Labor Party (ALP), led by Chris Minns, won the election after spending 12 years in Opposition. The election saw Labor win 45 seats to the Coalition's 36 seats on election day, allowing Labor to form an initial minority government. The Greens retained their three seats, while the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers lost all three of their seats as a result of their MPs resigning from the party to become independents.
In the Legislative Council (the Upper House), 21 of the 42 seats were up for election. Both the Coalition and Labor won 15 seats each, however after the election of Ben Franklin as President of the Legislative Council, the Coalition's effective vote on the floor on the council was reduced to 14. The Greens won 4 seats in the Legislative Council. One Nation won 3 seats, which is its largest representation in New South Wales and currently its largest in any Australian parliament (including the federal Parliament). Meanwhile, the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party retained its two seats, the Animal Justice Party lost one of its two seats and two parties (the Legalise Cannabis Party and the Liberal Democrats) won their first ever seats in the New South Wales Parliament.
Since the 2023 state election, there have been five by-elections: in Northern Tablelands, Pittwater, Epping, Hornsby and one pending in Port Macquarie.

## Date

The parliament has fixed four-year terms with the election held on the fourth Saturday in March, though the Governor may dissolve the house sooner on the advice of the Premier. Additionally, Section 24B, Paragraph 4 of the Constitution Act 1902 states that “The Legislative Assembly may be dissolved within 2 months before the Assembly is due to expire if the general election would otherwise be required to be held during the same period as a Commonwealth election, during a holiday period or at any other inconvenient time.” Since 27 March 2027 is Holy Saturday, it is highly unlikely that an election will be held on this day, given the number of citizens of New South Wales who travel or are otherwise occupied during the Easter long weekend. Two months before this date is 27 January 2027; however, since all Australian elections must by law take place on a Saturday, the earliest possible date for the 2027 New South Wales state election (other than by early dissolution) is Saturday 30 January 2027. As of 18 February 2025, the NSW government's media statement was published advising that due to the Easter Holidays on 27 March 2027, it is being brought forward by two weeks early, 13 March 2027. The 2027 Election is the first time that the election has fallen on the Easter weekend since four-year term parliaments were approved by NSW electors at a referendum in 1995.

## Pre-election pendulum

Extended content :
Labor seats (45) :
| Seat | Member | Party | Margin |
| Marginal ||||
| Penrith | Karen McKeown | ALP | 1.6% |
| East Hills | Kylie Wilkinson | ALP | 1.8% |
| Monaro | Steve Whan | ALP | 2.4% v NAT |
| Camden | Sally Quinnell | ALP | 2.9% |
| South Coast | Liza Butler | ALP | 3.7% |
| Riverstone | Warren Kirby | ALP | 3.7% |
| Fairly safe ||||
| The Entrance | David Mehan | ALP | 7.8% |
| Liverpool | Charishma Kaliyanda | ALP | 8.4% |
| Parramatta | Donna Davis | ALP | 8.5% |
| Leppington | Nathan Hagarty | ALP | 8.7% |
| Prospect | Hugh McDermott | ALP | 8.8% |
| Heathcote | Maryanne Stuart | ALP | 9.9% |
| Safe ||||
| Bega | Michael Holland | ALP | 10.4% |
| Cabramatta | Tri Vo | ALP | 11.8% |
| Coogee | Marjorie O'Neill | ALP | 12.2% |
| Strathfield | Jason Yat-Sen Li | ALP | 13.1% |
| Londonderry | Prue Car | ALP | 13.6% |
| Lismore | Janelle Saffin | ALP | 15.0% v NAT |
| Rockdale | Steve Kamper | ALP | 15.4% |
| Swansea | Yasmin Catley | ALP | 15.4% |
| Gosford | Liesl Tesch | ALP | 15.4% |
| Shellharbour | Anna Watson | ALP | 17.1% v IND |
| Summer Hill | Jo Haylen | ALP | 16.8% v GRN |
| Very safe ||||
| Kogarah | Chris Minns | ALP | 18.3% |
| Maroubra | Michael Daley | ALP | 18.6% |
| Maitland | Jenny Aitchison | ALP | 18.6% |
| Port Stephens | Kate Washington | ALP | 19.0% |
| Wyong | David Harris | ALP | 19.2% |
| Macquarie Fields | Anoulack Chanthivong | ALP | 19.9% |
| Blacktown | Stephen Bali | ALP | 20.1% |
| Bankstown | Jihad Dib | ALP | 20.3% |
| Charlestown | Jodie Harrison | ALP | 21.1% |
| Fairfield | David Saliba | ALP | 21.1% |
| Granville | Julia Finn | ALP | 21.5% |
| Blue Mountains | Trish Doyle | ALP | 21.9% |
| Mount Druitt | Edmond Atalla | ALP | 22.3% |
| Newcastle | Tim Crakanthorp | ALP | 22.6% |
| Heffron | Ron Hoenig | ALP | 23.2% |
| Campbelltown | Greg Warren | ALP | 23.3% |
| Cessnock | Clayton Barr | ALP | 23.4% v ONP |
| Auburn | Lynda Voltz | ALP | 24% |
| Keira | Ryan Park | ALP | 24.3% |
| Wollongong | Paul Scully | ALP | 24.3% |
| Canterbury | Sophie Cotsis | ALP | 25.7% |
| Wallsend | Sonia Hornery | ALP | 31.8% |
Liberal/National seats (36) :
| Seat | Member | Party | Margin |
| Marginal ||||
| Ryde | Jordan Lane | LIB | 0.1% |
| Holsworthy | Tina Ayyad | LIB | 0.4% |
| Pittwater | Jacqui Scruby | IND | 0.7% LIB v IND |
| Oatley | Mark Coure | LIB | 0.8% |
| Terrigal | Adam Crouch | LIB | 1.2% |
| Goulburn | Wendy Tuckerman | LIB | 1.3% |
| Drummoyne | Stephanie Di Pasqua | LIB | 1.3% |
| Winston Hills | Mark Taylor | LIB | 1.8% |
| Miranda | Eleni Petinos | LIB | 2.3% |
| Willoughby | Tim James | LIB | 2.6% v IND |
| Tweed | Geoff Provest | NAT | 3.6% |
| Upper Hunter | Dave Layzell | NAT | 3.8% |
| Manly | James Griffin | LIB | 4.8% v IND |
| Epping | Monica Tudehope | LIB | 4.8% |
| Lane Cove | Anthony Roberts | LIB | 5.5% |
| North Shore | Felicity Wilson | LIB | 5.6% v IND |
| Fairly safe ||||
| Hornsby | James Wallace | LIB | 8.0% |
| Hawkesbury | Robyn Preston | LIB | 9.9% |
| Safe ||||
| Wahroonga | Alister Henskens | LIB | 10.5% |
| Badgerys Creek | Tanya Davies | LIB | 10.5% |
| Castle Hill | Mark Hodges | LIB | 10.9% |
| Kellyville | Ray Williams | LIB | 10.9% |
| Oxley | Michael Kemp | NAT | 12.8% |
| Vaucluse | Kellie Sloane | LIB | 12.8% v IND |
| Coffs Harbour | Gurmesh Singh | NAT | 13.2% |
| Davidson | Matt Cross | LIB | 14.0% |
| Cronulla | Mark Speakman | LIB | 14.0% |
| Clarence | Richie Williamson | NAT | 14.5% |
| Tamworth | Kevin Anderson | NAT | 15.8% v IND |
| Myall Lakes | Tanya Thompson | NAT | 15.9% |
| Albury | Justin Clancy | LIB | 16.3% |
| Port Macquarie | Leslie Williams | LIB | 16.7% |
| Very safe ||||
| Dubbo | Dugald Saunders | NAT | 18.7% |
| Bathurst | Paul Toole | NAT | 23.6% |
| Cootamundra | Steph Cooke | NAT | 32.3% |
| Northern Tablelands | Brendan Moylan | NAT | 33.8% |
Crossbench seats (12) :
| Seat | Member | Party | Margin |
| Marginal ||||
| Wollondilly | Judy Hannan | IND | 1.8% v LIB |
| Kiama | Gareth Ward | IND | 1.8% v ALP |
| Balmain | Kobi Shetty | GRN | 1.8% v ALP |
| Wakehurst | Michael Regan | IND | 4.4% v LIB |
| Fairly safe ||||
| Ballina | Tamara Smith | GRN | 7.7% v NAT |
| Safe ||||
| Newtown | Jenny Leong | GRN | 12.1% v ALP |
| Sydney | Alex Greenwich | IND | 15.8% v ALP |
| Murray | Helen Dalton | IND | 16.0% v NAT |
| Barwon | Roy Butler | IND | 16% v NAT |
| Very safe ||||
| Orange | Philip Donato | IND | 22.0% v NAT |
| Wagga Wagga | Joe McGirr | IND | 22.2% v NAT |
| Lake Macquarie | Greg Piper | IND | 24.3% v ALP |

## Registered parties

Fourteen parties are registered with the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC). Bold text indicates parliamentary parties.