# 2016 Kentucky House of Representatives election

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The 2016 Kentucky House of Representatives elections were held on November 8, 2016, as part of the biennial United States elections. All 100 of Kentucky's state representatives were up for reelection. In Kentucky, members of the House of Representatives serve two-year terms. Accordingly, they are up for reelection in both presidential and midterm election years.
Republicans gained 17 seats in the election, winning the chamber outright. This ended nearly 100 years of Democratic control of the house, as the last time that Republicans won a majority was in 1919. Republicans performed well in rural districts and flipped many seats held by Democrats, including Democratic Speaker Greg Stumbo who lost reelection. Together with Republican governor Matt Bevin, this was the first time in history that Republicans gained a trifecta in the state.
A numbered map of the house districts at the time can be viewed here.

## Retiring incumbents

Brad Montell resigned in October 2016. Thomas Kerr resigned in September 2016.

### Democratic

* 23rd: Johnny Bell: Retired.
* 46th: Larry Clark: Retired.
* 70th: Mike Denham: Retired.
* 94th: Leslie A. Combs: Retired.

### Republican

* 48th: Bob DeWeese: Retired.
* 50th: David Floyd: Retired.

## Defeated incumbents
### In primary elections
#### Democratic

* 41st: Tom Riner (first elected in 1981) lost renomination to Attica Scott, who won the general election.

### Republican

* 33rd: Ronald Crimm (first elected in 1996) lost renomination to Jason Nemes, who won the general election.

### In general elections
#### Democratic

* 8th: Jeffrey R. Taylor (elected in March 2016) lost to Walker Thomas.
* 11th: David Watkins (first elected in 2006) lost to Robby Mills.
* 13th: Jim Glenn (first elected in 2006) lost to DJ Johnson.
* 14th: Tommy Thompson (first elected in 2002) lost to Matt Castlen.
* 15th: Brent Yonts (first elected in 1996) lost to Melinda Gibbons Prunty.
* 16th: Martha Jane King (first elected in 2008) lost to Jason Petrie.
* 24th: Terry Mills (first elected in 2010) lost to Brandon Reed.
* 49th: Linda H. Belcher (first elected in 2008) lost to Dan Johnson.
* 62nd: Chuck Tackett (elected in March 2016) lost to Phillip Pratt.
* 78th: Tom McKee (first elected in 1996) lost to Mark Hart.
* 81st: Rita Smart (first elected in 2010) lost to C. Wesley Morgan.
* 84th: Fitz Steele (first elected in 2008) lost to Chris Fugate.
* 91st: Cluster Howard (first elected in 2014) lost to Toby Herald.
* 92nd: John Short (first elected in 2010) lost to John Blanton.
* 95th: Greg Stumbo (first elected in 1979) lost to Larry L. Brown.
* 97th: Hubert Collins (first elected in 1990) lost to Scott Wells.
* 98th: Lew Nicholls (elected in March 2016) lost to Danny Bentley.

### Republican

* 38th: Denver Butler (first elected in 2012) lost to McKenzie Cantrell.

## Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Governing | Tossup | October 12, 2016 |

## Closest races

Seats where the margin of victory was under 10%:
* District 81, 0.42% gain
* District 49, 0.84% gain
* District 100, 0.88%
* District 94, 1.46%
* District 13, 1.58% gain
* District 38, 1.74% gain
* District 93, 2.76%
* District 87, 3.00%
* District 92, 3.04% gain
* District 11, 3.24% gain
* District 8, 3.74% gain
* District 37, 4.02%
* District 6, 4.76%
* District 95, 5.90% gain
* District 28, 6.54%
* District 27, 7.68%
* District 24, 8.14% gain
* District 98, 8.22% gain
* District 72, 8.50%
* District 78, 8.88% gain

## Results by district

| District | Democratic | Democratic | Republican | Republican | Total |
| District | % | Vote | % | Vote | Total |
| 1 | 29.80% | 5,963 | 70.20% | 14,046 | 20,009 |
| 2 | 39.53% | 7,647 | 60.47% | 11,699 | 19,346 |
| 3 | 55.36% | 9,869 | 44.64% | 7,958 | 17,827 |
| 4 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 15,065 | 15,065 |
| 5 | 30.88% | 6,153 | 69.12% | 13,770 | 19,923 |
| 6 | 52.38% | 11,399 | 43.16% | 9,393 | 21,764 |
| 7 | 37.01% | 7,750 | 62.99% | 13,189 | 20,939 |
| 8 | 48.13% | 6,103 | 51.87% | 6,577 | 12,680 |
| 9 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 11,425 | 11,425 |
| 10 | 55.19% | 10,712 | 44.81% | 8,698 | 19,410 |
| 11 | 48.38% | 9,117 | 51.62% | 9,728 | 18,845 |
| 12 | 38.80% | 8,059 | 61.20% | 12,711 | 20,770 |
| 13 | 49.21% | 8,170 | 50.79% | 8,434 | 16,604 |
| 14 | 36.45% | 7,775 | 63.55% | 13,554 | 21,329 |
| 15 | 42.93% | 7,973 | 57.07% | 10,597 | 18,570 |
| 16 | 34.60% | 5,788 | 65.40% | 10,938 | 16,726 |
| 17 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 17,761 | 17,761 |
| 18 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 14,996 | 14,996 |
| 19 | 31.07% | 5,614 | 68.93% | 12,455 | 18,069 |
| 20 | 58.23% | 8,561 | 41.77% | 6,140 | 14,701 |
| 21 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 13,728 | 13,728 |
| 22 | 100.00% | 12,115 | 0.00% | 0 | 12,115 |
| 23 | 38.46% | 7,154 | 61.54% | 11,445 | 18,599 |
| 24 | 45.93% | 8,972 | 8,972 | 10,563 | 19,535 |
| 25 | 27.57% | 5,187 | 72.43% | 13,629 | 18,816 |
| 26 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 14,565 | 14,565 |
| 27 | 53.84% | 9,056 | 46.16% | 7,763 | 16,819 |
| 28 | 53.27% | 8,953 | 46.73% | 7,854 | 16,807 |
| 29 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 17,535 | 17,535 |
| 30 | 76.79% | 12,678 | 23.21% | 3,833 | 16,511 |
| 31 | 57.89% | 12,085 | 42.11% | 8,792 | 20,877 |
| 32 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 15,243 | 15,243 |
| 33 | 44.39% | 11,291 | 55.61% | 14,146 | 25,437 |
| 34 | 100.00% | 19,596 | 0.00% | 0 | 19,596 |
| 35 | 100.00% | 13,913 | 0.00% | 0 | 13,913 |
| 36 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 21,458 | 21,458 |
| 37 | 52.01% | 7,387 | 47.99% | 6,817 | 14,204 |
| 38 | 50.87% | 7,600 | 49.13% | 7,341 | 14,941 |
| 39 | 55.84% | 10,839 | 44.16% | 8,572 | 19,411 |
| 40 | 73.55% | 11,038 | 26.45% | 3,970 | 15,008 |
| 41 | 100.00% | 13,257 | 0.00% | 0 | 13,257 |
| 42 | 87.26% | 15,896 | 12.74% | 2,320 | 18,216 |
| 43 | 76.18% | 13,173 | 23.82% | 4,120 | 17,293 |
| 44 | 100.00% | 13,538 | 0.00% | 0 | 13,538 |
| 45 | 39.39% | 9,991 | 60.61% | 15,375 | 25,366 |
| 46 | 55.31% | 9,939 | 44.69% | 8,032 | 17,971 |
| 47 | 100.00% | 13,033 | 0.00% | 0 | 13,033 |
| 48 | 42.81% | 11,302 | 57.19% | 15,097 | 26,399 |
| 49 | 49.58% | 9,186 | 50.42% | 9,342 | 18,528 |
| 50 | 36.37% | 7,457 | 63.63% | 13,048 | 20,505 |
| 51 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 16,344 | 16,344 |
| 52 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 13,376 | 13,376 |
| 53 | 27.58% | 6,127 | 72.42% | 16,091 | 22,218 |
| 54 | 33.13% | 6,245 | 66.87% | 12,607 | 18,852 |
| 55 | 24.99% | 5,597 | 75.01% | 16,797 | 22,394 |
| 56 | 59.63% | 12,590 | 40.37% | 8,525 | 21,115 |
| 57 | 100.00% | 15,747 | 0.00% | 0 | 15,747 |
| 58 | 38.66% | 7,894 | 61.34% | 12,527 | 20,421 |
| 59 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 19,159 | 19,159 |
| 60 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 19,737 | 19,737 |
| 61 | 24.39% | 4,958 | 75.61% | 15,373 | 20,331 |
| 62 | 42.31% | 9,288 | 57.69% | 12,662 | 21,950 |
| 63 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 18,728 | 18,728 |
| 64 | 30.90% | 6,807 | 69.10% | 15,220 | 22,027 |
| 65 | 100.00% | 10,099 | 0.00% | 0 | 10,099 |
| 66 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 18,743 | 18,743 |
| 67 | 100.00% | 9,232 | 0.00% | 0 | 9,232 |
| 68 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 20,003 | 20,003 |
| 69 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 13,892 | 13,892 |
| 70 | 56.18% | 10,049 | 43.82% | 7,839 | 17,888 |
| 71 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 16,951 | 16,951 |
| 72 | 54.25% | 9,668 | 45.75% | 8,154 | 17,822 |
| 73 | 39.60% | 7,464 | 60.40% | 11,385 | 18,849 |
| 74 | 42.77% | 8,142 | 57.23% | 10,894 | 19,036 |
| 75 | 61.61% | 9,816 | 38.39% | 6,116 | 15,932 |
| 76 | 100.00% | 15,028 | 0.00% | 0 | 15,028 |
| 77 | 100.00% | 13,245 | 0.00% | 0 | 13,245 |
| 78 | 45.56% | 7,562 | 54.44% | 9,035 | 16,597 |
| 79 | 59.36% | 11,909 | 40.64% | 8,155 | 20,064 |
| 80 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 13,698 | 13,698 |
| 81 | 49.79% | 8,980 | 50.21% | 9,056 | 18,036 |
| 82 | 21.53% | 3,639 | 78.47% | 13,265 | 16,904 |
| 83 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 16,813 | 16,813 |
| 84 | 36.91% | 6,012 | 63.09% | 10,278 | 16,290 |
| 85 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 15,858 | 15,858 |
| 86 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 14,497 | 14,497 |
| 87 | 51.50% | 7,224 | 48.50% | 6,804 | 14,028 |
| 88 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 20,242 | 20,242 |
| 89 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 15,479 | 15,479 |
| 90 | 0.00% | 0 | 100.00% | 12,758 | 12,758 |
| 91 | 44.79% | 7,161 | 55.21% | 8,828 | 15,989 |
| 92 | 48.48% | 7,287 | 51.52% | 7,745 | 15,032 |
| 93 | 51.38% | 7,363 | 48.62% | 6,968 | 14,331 |
| 94 | 50.73% | 8,393 | 49.27% | 8,153 | 16,546 |
| 95 | 47.05% | 8,466 | 52.95% | 9,528 | 17,994 |
| 96 | 41.95% | 6,760 | 58.05% | 9,353 | 16,113 |
| 97 | 42.28% | 6,978 | 57.72% | 9,525 | 16,503 |
| 98 | 45.89% | 8,330 | 54.11% | 9,823 | 18,153 |
| 99 | 66.00% | 11,143 | 34.00% | 5,741 | 16,884 |
| 100 | 50.44% | 9,215 | 49.56% | 9,055 | 18,270 |
| Totals | 39.93% | 695,707 | 60.01% | 1,045,502 | 1,742,181 |