# Toronto—St. Paul's (federal electoral district)

Toronto—St. Paul's is a federal electoral district in Toronto, Ontario, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1935. Before the 2015 election, the riding was known as St. Paul's.
The small but densely populated riding covers the area to the north and northwest of Downtown Toronto, often called Midtown Toronto. Prior to the 2006 election, the riding was for forty years a federal “bellwether” riding; always voting for the party that would form the next government. The seat was also a Liberal stronghold for 30 years starting with the 1993 Liberal landslide, and it would continue to vote that way even in the 2011 election, when the party under Michael Ignatieff was reduced to 3rd place for the first time and won only 34 seats nationwide. The streak was broken in a by-election on June 24, 2024, when Conservative candidate Don Stewart won the seat after it was vacated by the resignation of Carolyn Bennett.
The riding has a large Jewish population, currently the fifth-largest in Canada at 10.9 percent behind Thornhill, Mount Royal, Eglinton—Lawrence and York Centre.

## Geography

As of 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, the riding includes the southern two-thirds of the wealthy Toronto neighbourhood of Forest Hill, plus the neighbourhoods of Deer Park, Davisville Village, Chaplin Estates, South Hill, Humewood-Cedarvale, the southern two-thirds of Fairbank, and the northern half of Summerhill.
In the last couple of federal elections, the Liberals have been strong throughout the riding, but were particularly strong in middle-class areas such as Fairbank and in Rosehill (a sub neighbourhood of Deer Park). They were also especially strong in Davisville Village in 2019, but this support has dropped. Their weakest neighbourhood in both elections was the more upper-class Forest Hill, which is the strongest neighbourhood for the Conservatives. For the NDP, their strongest neighbourhoods have been Davenport, Tarragon Village and Humewood.
Following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, the riding will gain the remainder of Davisville Village from Don Valley West, the area north of the CPR (Moore Park area) in University—Rosedale, and lose the area south of Vaughan Road and west of Winona Drive (in Oakwood Village) to the riding of Davenport. The changes will come into effect in the next Canadian federal election.

## Demographics

According to the 2021 Canadian census
Ethnic groups: 63.9% White, 6.3% South Asian, 6.0% Black, 5.0% Chinese, 4.5% Filipino, 4.1% Latin American, 2.0% West Asian, 1.8% Korean, 1.1% Indigenous, 1.0% Arab, 1.0% Southeast Asian Languages: 62.3% English, 3.7% Spanish, 2.9% Portuguese, 2.2% Tagalog, 1.8% French, 1.8% Mandarin, 1.6% Italian, 1.5% Russian, 1.5% Persian, 1.3% Korean, 1.3% Cantonese Religions: 40.9% Christian (21.1% Catholic, 3.7% Anglican, 3.5% Christian Orthodox, 2.1% United Church, 10.5% Other), 15.1% Jewish, 3.7% Muslim, 3.2% Hindu, 1.1% Buddhist, 34.8% None
Median income: $50,400 (2020) Average income: $96,000 (2020)

## History

The riding of Toronto—St. Pauls was created in 1933 from parts of the Toronto East Centre, Toronto Northeast, Toronto South and Toronto West Centre ridings.
It consisted initially of the central part of the City of Toronto ("Downtown Toronto"). It was bounded on the south by Toronto Bay, on the east by Sherbourne Street and on the north and west by a line drawn from Sherbourne Street west along Bloor Street, north along Yonge Street, northwest along the belt line railway, south and west along the western limit of the city, south along Dunvegan Road, east along St. Clair Avenue, south along Poplar Plains Road, west along Dupont Street, south along St. George and Beverley Streets, east along Queen Street, south along John Street.
In 1947, it was redefined to consist of the part of the city of Toronto bounded on the south by Toronto Bay, on the east by a line drawn from the Bay north along Sherbourne Street, west along Bloor Street East and north along Yonge Street, on the north by the south boundary of Ward Nine of the city of Toronto, and on the west by a line drawn from the Bay north on John Street, west along Queen Street West, north on Beverley Street and along St. George Street, east along Dupont Street, north along Davenport Road and Poplar Plains Road, west along St. Clair Avenue West, north along Dunvegan Road, east and north along the city limit to the southern boundary of Ward Nine.
In 1966, the southern part of the riding, what would be considered to be "Downtown Toronto" was removed from the electoral district (added to Rosedale electoral district) and the riding was shifted northward redefined to consist of the part of Metropolitan Toronto bounded by a line drawn from Bloor Street, north along Yonge Street, northwest along the Canadian National Railway line, north along Elmsthorpe Avenue, west along Eglinton Avenue, north along Castlewood Road, west along Briar Hill Avenue, south along Old Park Road and Glen Cedar Road, southeast along Claxton Boulevard, south along Bathurst Street and east along Bloor Street to Yonge Street.
In 1976, the riding lost its territory south of CP Railway to Spadina, while its eastern boundary was moved to Yonge Street, taking in a chunk of Eglinton, and its western boundary was shifted westward, following (from south to north) Christie Street, St. Clair Avenue, Humewood Drive, the Toronto city limit, Vaughan Road, Eglinton Avenue and the city limit again, taking in parts of York South and Trinity.
In 1987, it was redefined to consist of the part of the cities of Toronto and York bounded by a line drawn from the Canadian Pacific Railway line north along Ossington Avenue, east along Davenport Road, north along Winona Drive, west along Eglinton Avenue West, north and east along the eastern limit of the City of York, east and north along the northern limit of the City of Toronto, south along Yonge Street and westerly along the CPR line to Ossington Avenue (removing lands between the CPR lands and Bloor Street).
In 1996, it was redefined to consist of the part of the cities of Toronto and York bounded by a line drawn from the Canadian Pacific Railway north along Ossington Avenue, east along Davenport Road, north along Winona Drive, west along Eglinton Avenue West, north along the eastern limit of the City of York, east along the northern limit of the City of Toronto, south along Bathurst Street, southeast along the Belt Line (formerly the Canadian National Railway), east along Eglinton Avenue West, north along Yonge Street, east along Broadway Avenue, south and east along the eastern limit of the City of Toronto, west along the south side of the Mount Pleasant Cemetery, south along the ravine situated east of Avoca Avenue, west along Rosehill Avenue, south and east along the west side of the Rosehill Reservoir, west along Woodlawn Avenue East, south along Yonge Street, and west along the Canadian Pacific Railway to Ossington Avenue.
In 2003, it was redefined to consist of the part of the City of Toronto bounded by a line drawn from the Canadian Pacific Railway north along Ossington Avenue, east along Davenport Road, north along Winona Drive, west along Holland Park Avenue, north along Oakwood Avenue, west along Rogers Road, north along Dufferin Street, east along Eglinton Avenue West, north along Yonge Street, east along Broadway Avenue, south along the former eastern limit of the City of Toronto, west along the south side of the Mount Pleasant Cemetery, southeast along the Don River Tributary situated east of Avoca Avenue, west along Rosehill Avenue, south along the west side of the Rosehill Reservoir, west along Jackes Avenue, south along Yonge Street and west along the Canadian Pacific Railway to Ossington Avenue.
In the 2012 electoral redistribution, St. Paul's lost territory to Don Valley West, gained a small fraction from Davenport and was renamed Toronto—St. Paul's.
Following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, the riding will gain the remainder of Davisville Village from Don Valley West, and the area north of the CPR (Moore Park area) in University—Rosedale. It will lose the area south of Vaughan Road and west of Winona Drive (in Oakwood Village) to Davenport.

### Churches named for St. Paul in the electoral district

From its creation until 1966, the electoral district included two prominent churches named for St. Paul the apostle: St. Paul's, Bloor Street at 227 Bloor Street East, which is the largest Anglican church in Toronto by seating capacity; and St. Paul's-Avenue Road United Church at Avenue Road and Webster Avenue, which was the church of many of Toronto's elite. The electoral district ceased to include 227 Bloor Street East after a redefinition of the district's boundaries in 1966. In 1980, the congregation at St. Paul's-Avenue Road United Church moved to 427 Bloor Street West during a church merger creating Trinity-St. Paul's United Church. The electoral district ceased to include 427 Bloor Street West after a boundary redefinition in 1987. Therefore, Toronto—St. Paul's no longer contains a St. Paul's.

## Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:
| Parliament | Years | Member | Party |
| St. Paul's Riding created from Toronto East Centre, Toronto Northeast, Toronto South and Toronto West Centre |||||
| 18th | 1935–1940 | Douglas Ross | Conservative |
| 19th | 1940–1945 | Douglas Ross | National Government |
| 20th | 1945–1949 | Douglas Ross | Progressive Conservative |
| 21st | 1949–1953 | James Rooney | Liberal |
| 22nd | 1953–1957 | Roland Michener | Progressive Conservative |
| 23rd | 1957–1958 | Roland Michener | Progressive Conservative |
| 24th | 1958–1962 | Roland Michener | Progressive Conservative |
| 25th | 1962–1963 | Ian Wahn | Liberal |
| 26th | 1963–1965 | Ian Wahn | Liberal |
| 27th | 1965–1968 | Ian Wahn | Liberal |
| 28th | 1968–1972 | Ian Wahn | Liberal |
| 29th | 1972–1974 | Ron Atkey | Progressive Conservative |
| 30th | 1974–1979 | John Roberts | Liberal |
| 31st | 1979–1980 | Ron Atkey | Progressive Conservative |
| 32nd | 1980–1984 | John Roberts | Liberal |
| 33rd | 1984–1988 | Barbara McDougall | Progressive Conservative |
| 34th | 1988–1993 | Barbara McDougall | Progressive Conservative |
| 35th | 1993–1997 | Barry Campbell | Liberal |
| 36th | 1997–2000 | Carolyn Bennett | Liberal |
| 37th | 2000–2004 | Carolyn Bennett | Liberal |
| 38th | 2004–2006 | Carolyn Bennett | Liberal |
| 39th | 2006–2008 | Carolyn Bennett | Liberal |
| 40th | 2008–2011 | Carolyn Bennett | Liberal |
| 41st | 2011–2015 | Carolyn Bennett | Liberal |
| Toronto—St. Paul's |||||
| 42nd | 2015–2019 | Carolyn Bennett | Liberal |
| 43rd | 2019–2021 | Carolyn Bennett | Liberal |
| 44th | 2021–2024 | Carolyn Bennett | Liberal |
| 44th | 2024–present | Don Stewart | Conservative |

## Election results
### Toronto—St. Paul's, 2015–present

2025 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes |
| | Conservative | Don Stewart |
| | Liberal | Leslie Church |
| | New Democratic | Bruce Levy |
| Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters |
vteCanadian federal by-election, June 24, 2024 Resignation of Carolyn Bennett :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Don Stewart | 15,565 | 42.11 | +16.81 |
| | Liberal | Leslie Church | 14,932 | 40.40 | -8.82 |
| | New Democratic | Amrit Parhar | 4,073 | 11.02 | -5.81 |
| | Green | Christian Cullis | 1,057 | 2.86 | -3.13 |
| | People's | Dennis Wilson | 238 | 0.64 | -2.02 |
| | Independent | Jonathan Schachter | 97 | 0.26 | |
| | Independent | Mário Stocco | 82 | 0.22 | |
| | Marxist–Leninist | Meñico Turcotte | 59 | 0.16 | |
| | Rhinoceros | Sean Carson | 51 | 0.14 | |
| | Independent | Thibaud Mony | 51 | 0.14 | |
| | Independent | Glen MacDonald | 42 | 0.11 | |
| | Independent | Mélodie Anderson | 39 | 0.11 | |
| | Independent | Demetrios Karavas | 37 | 0.10 | |
| | No Affiliation | Stephen Davis | 36 | 0.10 | |
| | Independent | Jordan Wong | 31 | 0.08 | |
| | Marijuana | Danny Légaré | 30 | 0.08 | |
| | Independent | Alex Banks | 27 | 0.07 | |
| | Centrist | Ali Mohiuddin | 26 | 0.07 | |
| | Independent | Jaël Champagne Gareau | 23 | 0.06 | |
| | Independent | Michael Bednarski | 18 | 0.05 | |
| | Independent | John Dale | 18 | 0.05 | |
| | Independent | Pierre Larochelle | 17 | 0.05 | |
| | Independent | Joshua Bram Hieu Pham | 17 | 0.05 | |
| | Independent | Marie-Hélène LeBel | 16 | 0.04 | |
| | Independent | Guillaume Paradis | 16 | 0.04 | |
| | Independent | Daniel Andrew Graham | 13 | 0.04 | |
| | Independent | Pierre Granger | 13 | 0.04 | |
| | Independent | Julie St-Amand | 13 | 0.04 | |
| | Independent | Loren Hicks | 12 | 0.03 | |
| | Independent | Matéo Martin | 12 | 0.03 | |
| | Independent | Blake Hamilton | 11 | 0.03 | |
| | Independent | Line Bélanger | 10 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Charles Currie | 10 | 0.03 | |
| | Independent | Cory Deville | 10 | 0.03 | |
| | Independent | Alexandra Engering | 10 | 0.03 | |
| | Independent | Daniel Stuckless | 10 | 0.03 | |
| | Independent | Erle Stanley Bowman | 9 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Anthony Hamel | 9 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Pascal St-Amand | 9 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Sébastien CoRhino | 8 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Mark Dejewski | 8 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Daniel Gagnon | 8 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Agnieszka Marszalek | 8 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Olivier Renaud | 8 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Patrick Strzalkowski | 8 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Donald Gagnon | 7 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Benjamin Teichman | 7 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | MarthaLee Aykroyd | 6 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Myriam Beaulieu | 6 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Kubera Desai | 6 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Donovan Eckstrom | 6 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Kevin Krisa | 6 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Lorant Polya | 6 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Roger Sherwood | 6 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Elliot Wand | 6 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Michal Wieczorek | 6 | 0.02 | |
| | Independent | Maxime Boivin | 5 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Martin Acetaria Caesar Jubinville | 5 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Jean-Denis Parent Boudreault | 4 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Léthycia-Félix Corriveau | 4 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Ysack Dupont | 4 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Dji-Pé Frazer | 4 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Zornitsa Halacheva | 4 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Alain Lamontagne | 4 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Renée Lemieux | 4 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Danimal Preston | 4 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Spencer Rocchi | 4 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Yogo Shimada | 4 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Darcy Vanderwater | 4 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Mylène Bonneau | 3 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Guillaume Gagnier-Michel | 3 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Kerri Hildebrandt | 3 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Krzysztof Krzywinski | 3 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Connie Lukawski | 3 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Wallace Richard Rowat | 3 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Gavin Vanderwater | 3 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Alain Bourgault | 2 | 0.01 | |
| | No Affiliation | Manon Marie Lili Desbiens | 2 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Gerrit Dogger | 2 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Samuel Ducharme | 2 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Yusuf Kadir Nasihi | 2 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Winston Neutel | 2 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Jacques Saintonge | 2 | 0.01 | |
| | Independent | Felix-Antoine Hamel | 0 | 0.00 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 36,962 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | | 43.52 | -21.96 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 84,934 |
| | Conservative gain from Liberal | Conservative gain from Liberal | Swing | Swing | +12.76 |
2021 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| Liberal | 30,023 | 49.51 |
| Conservative | 16,076 | 26.51 |
| New Democratic | 9,638 | 15.89 |
| Green | 3,373 | 5.56 |
| People's | 1,513 | 2.50 |
| Others | 18 | 0.03 |
vte2021 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Liberal | Carolyn Bennett | 26,429 | 49.22 | -5.09 | $88,807.52 |
| | Conservative | Stephanie Osadchuk | 13,587 | 25.30 | +3.69 | $26,751.24 |
| | New Democratic | Sidney Coles | 9,036 | 16.83 | +1.05 | $31,250.09 |
| | Green | Phil De Luna | 3,214 | 5.99 | -0.77 | $30,817.63 |
| | People's | Peter Remedios | 1,432 | 2.67 | +1.12 | $1,412.77 |
| Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | 53,698 | 98.93 | – | $112,245.61 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 580 | 1.07 | +0.43 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 54,278 | 65.48 | -4.91 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 82,891 |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | -4.39 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
vte2019 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Liberal | Carolyn Bennett | 32,494 | 54.31 | -0.95 | $88,263.67 |
| | Conservative | Jae Truesdell | 12,933 | 21.61 | -5.37 | $95,161.27 |
| | New Democratic | Alok Mukherjee | 9,442 | 15.78 | +1.06 | $48,947.09 |
| | Green | Sarah Climenhaga | 4,042 | 6.76 | +3.72 | $447.10 |
| | People's | John Kellen | 923 | 1.54 | - | $0.00 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 59,834 | 99.04 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 384 | 0.64 | +0.20 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 60,218 | 70.39 | -2.15 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 85,544 |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | +2.21 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
2015 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Liberal | Carolyn Bennett | 31,481 | 55.26 | +15.33 | $128,256.52 |
| | Conservative | Marnie MacDougall | 15,376 | 26.99 | -5.43 | $186,719.71 |
| | New Democratic | Noah Richler | 8,386 | 14.72 | -7.91 | $53,022.76 |
| | Green | Kevin Farmer | 1,729 | 3.03 | -1.44 | $3,643.09 |
| Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | 56,972 | 99.56 | | $210,412.41 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 252 | 0.44 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 57,224 | 72.54 | – |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 78,885 |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | +10.38 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
2011 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| Liberal | 19,563 | 39.92 |
| Conservative | 15,887 | 32.42 |
| New Democratic | 11,088 | 22.63 |
| Green | 2,195 | 4.48 |
| Libertarian | 267 | 0.54 |

### St. Paul's, 1935–2015

2011 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Liberal | Carolyn Bennett | 22,409 | 40.60 | -10.01 |
| | Conservative | Maureen Harquail | 17,864 | 32.37 | +5.51 |
| | New Democratic | William Molls | 12,124 | 21.97 | +9.13 |
| | Green | Jim McGarva | 2,495 | 4.52 | -4.58 |
| | Libertarian | John Kittredge | 303 | 0.55 | -0.05 |
| Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | 55,195 | 99.50 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 276 | 0.50 | +0.00 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 55,471 | 66.54 | +2.56 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 83,367 | – | – |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | -7.76 |
2008 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Liberal | Carolyn Bennett | 26,286 | 50.61 | +0.35 | $69,331 |
| | Conservative | Heather Jewell | 13,948 | 26.86 | +1.09 | $53,617 |
| | New Democratic | Anita Agrawal | 6,666 | 12.83 | -6.36 | $13,606 |
| | Green | Justin Erdman | 4,726 | 9.10 | +4.32 | $3,526 |
| | Libertarian | John Kittredge | 312 | 0.60 | – | $182 |
| Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | 51,938 | 99.51 | $86,488 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 258 | 0.49 | +0.05 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 52,196 | 63.98 | -8.20 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 81,588 | – | – |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | -0.37 |
2006 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Carolyn Bennett | 29,295 | 50.26 | -8.13 |
| | Conservative | Peter Kent | 15,021 | 25.77 | +5.39 |
| | New Democratic | Paul Summerville | 11,189 | 19.20 | +3.46 |
| | Green | Kevin Farmer | 2,785 | 4.78 | -0.72 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 58,290 | 99.56 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 258 | 0.44 | +0.05 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 58,548 | 72.17 | +4.05 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 81,121 | – | – |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | -6.76 |
2004 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Carolyn Bennett | 32,171 | 58.39 | +3.12 |
| | Conservative | Barry Cline | 11,226 | 20.38 | -11.58* |
| | New Democratic | Norman Tobias | 8,667 | 15.73 | +6.30 |
| | Green | Peter Elgie | 3,031 | 5.50 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 55,095 | 99.61 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 216 | 0.39 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 55,311 | 68.12 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 81,196 | – | – |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | +7.35 |
*Comparison to total of Progressive Conservative and Canadian Alliance vote in 2000. Votes compared to 2000 transposed result.
2000 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| Liberal | 25,631 | 55.27 |
| Progressive Conservative | 9,483 | 20.45 |
| Canadian Alliance | 5,338 | 11.51 |
| New Democratic | 4,375 | 9.43 |
| Others | 1,548 | 3.34 |
2000 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Carolyn Bennett | 25,358 | 54.01 | -0.24 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Barry Cline | 10,099 | 21.51 | -2.17 |
| | Alliance | Theo Caldwell | 5,457 | 11.62 | +4.30 |
| | New Democratic | Guy Hunter | 4,451 | 9.48 | -2.91 |
| | Green | Don Roebuck | 769 | 1.64 | +0.41 |
| | Marijuana | Andrew Potter | 514 | 1.09 | |
| | Canadian Action | Mark Till | 128 | 0.27 | -0.10 |
| | Marxist–Leninist | Barbara Seed | 88 | 0.19 | -0.09 |
| | Natural Law | Ron Parker | 83 | 0.18 | -0.28 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 46,947 | 99.62 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 181 | 0.38 | -0.27 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 47,128 | 59.25 | -9.86 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 79,543 | – | – |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | +0.97 |
Note: Canadian Alliance vote is compared to the Reform vote in 1997 election.
1997 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Carolyn Bennett | 26,389 | 54.26 | -0.26 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Peter Atkins | 11,520 | 23.69 | +0.64 |
| | New Democratic | Michael Halewood | 6,028 | 12.39 | +6.97 |
| | Reform | Francis Floszmann | 3,564 | 7.33 | -4.89 |
| | Green | Don Roebuck | 597 | 1.23 | |
| | Natural Law | Neil Dickie | 221 | 0.45 | |
| | Canadian Action | Daniel Widdicombe | 182 | 0.37 | |
| | Marxist–Leninist | Fernand Deschamps | 135 | 0.28 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 48,636 | 99.34 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 322 | 0.66 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 48,958 | 69.11 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 70,843 | – | – |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | -0.45 |
1993 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| Liberal | 27,664 | 54.52 |
| Progressive Conservative | 11,692 | 23.04 |
| Reform | 6,201 | 12.22 |
| New Democratic | 2,754 | 5.43 |
| Others | 2,431 | 4.79 |
1993 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Barry Campbell | 27,775 | 54.30 | +13.46 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Isabel Bassett | 12,499 | 24.44 | -23.10 |
| | Reform | Paul Chaplin | 5,727 | 11.20 | |
| | New Democratic | David Jacobs | 2,641 | 5.16 | -4.84 |
| | National | Mario Godlewski | 1,259 | 2.46 | |
| | Green | Jim Harris | 481 | 0.94 | +0.28 |
| | Natural Law | Rick C. Weberg | 313 | 0.61 | |
| | Independent | Jim Conrad | 245 | 0.48 | |
| | Libertarian | Rick Stenhouse | 108 | 0.21 | -0.44 |
| | Marxist–Leninist | David Gershuny | 75 | 0.15 | |
| | Abolitionist | Marion Velma Joyce | 17 | 0.03 | |
| | Commonwealth of Canada | Mike Twose | 11 | 0.02 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 51,151 | 100.00 |
| | Liberal gain from Progressive Conservative | Liberal gain from Progressive Conservative | Swing | Swing | +18.28 |
1988 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Barbara McDougall | 25,206 | 47.53 | -0.7 |
| | Liberal | Aideen Nicholson | 21,655 | 40.84 | +4.4 |
| | New Democratic | Diane Bull | 5,303 | 10.00 | -3.4 |
| | Green | Philip Sarazen | 348 | 0.66 | |
| | Libertarian | Christian P. Sorensen | 346 | 0.65 | |
| | Communist | John MacClennan | 171 | 0.32 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 53,029 | 100.00 |
| | Progressive Conservative hold | Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | -2.6 |
1984 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | % |
| Progressive Conservative | 48.2 |
| Liberal | 36.4 |
| New Democratic | 13.4 |
| Others | 1.9 |
1984 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Barbara McDougall | 20,914 | 47.56 | +8.02 |
| | Liberal | John Roberts | 16,659 | 37.88 | -7.37 |
| | New Democratic | John Webb | 5,545 | 12.61 | -0.79 |
| | Green | Joell Vanderwagen | 514 | 1.17 | |
| | Libertarian | Jocelyne Demers | 210 | 0.48 | +0.07 |
| | Communist | Gerry Van Houten | 99 | 0.23 | +0.03 |
| | Commonwealth of Canada | William Gerby | 36 | 0.08 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 43,977 | 100.00 |
| | Progressive Conservative gain from Liberal | Progressive Conservative gain from Liberal | Swing | Swing | +7.70 |
1980 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | John Roberts | 17,905 | 45.25 | +3.95 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Ron Atkey | 15,643 | 39.54 | -4.55 |
| | New Democratic | James Lockyer | 5,301 | 13.40 | +0.10 |
| | Rhinoceros | Liza Armour | 311 | 0.79 | +0.52 |
| | Libertarian | Dan A. Kornitzer | 162 | 0.41 | -0.33 |
| | Independent | Robert Smith | 108 | 0.27 | |
| | Communist | Mel Doig | 76 | 0.19 | -0.03 |
| | Independent | Naomi Jolliffe | 37 | 0.09 | |
| | Marxist–Leninist | Keith Ramdeen | 22 | 0.06 | -0.01 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 39,565 | 100.00 |
| | Liberal gain from Progressive Conservative | Liberal gain from Progressive Conservative | Swing | Swing | +4.25 |
1979 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Ron Atkey | 19,161 | 44.09 | +0.96 |
| | Liberal | John Roberts | 17,949 | 41.30 | -4.85 |
| | New Democratic | James Lockyer | 5,779 | 13.30 | +3.47 |
| | Libertarian | Ronald F. Bailey | 325 | 0.75 | |
| | Rhinoceros | Jacques Gauthier | 117 | 0.27 | |
| | Communist | Ruth Fitzgerald | 97 | 0.22 | |
| | Marxist–Leninist | Nola Moore | 29 | 0.07 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 43,457 | 100.00 |
| | Progressive Conservative gain from Liberal | Progressive Conservative gain from Liberal | Swing | Swing | +2.90 |
1974 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | % |
| Liberal | 46.15 |
| Progressive Conservative | 43.13 |
| New Democratic | 9.83 |
| Others | 0.89 |
1974 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | John Roberts | 16,124 | 45.54 | +6.23 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Ron Atkey | 15,010 | 42.39 | -0.15 |
| | New Democratic | Lukin Robinson | 3,913 | 11.05 | -0.82 |
| | Communist | Barbara Cameron | 165 | 0.47 | |
| | Independent | Richard Carl Bolster | 138 | 0.39 | |
| | Marxist–Leninist | Crawford McNair | 56 | 0.16 | +0.03 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 35,406 | 100.00 |
| | Liberal gain from Progressive Conservative | Liberal gain from Progressive Conservative | Swing | Swing | +3.19 |
1972 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Ron Atkey | 15,676 | 42.54 | +11.73 |
| | Liberal | Ian Wahn | 14,484 | 39.31 | -20.10 |
| | New Democratic | Mary Boyce | 4,376 | 11.88 | +4.11 |
| | Independent | Kay Macpherson | 2,044 | 5.55 | |
| | Independent | Elizabeth Hill | 133 | 0.36 | |
| | Social Credit | John Bilan | 87 | 0.24 | |
| | Independent | Crawford McNair | 48 | 0.13 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 36,848 | 100.00 |
| | Progressive Conservative gain from Liberal | Progressive Conservative gain from Liberal | Swing | Swing | +15.91 |
1968 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Ian Wahn | 20,981 | 59.4 | +10.9 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Barry Lowes | 10,882 | 30.8 | -1.6 |
| | New Democratic | Robert Fenn | 2,743 | 7.8 | -11.3 |
| | Independent | W.J. Russell Taylor | 420 | 1.2 | |
| | Communist | Rae Allan Murphy | 292 | 0.8 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 35,318 | 100.0 |
1965 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Ian Wahn | 12,251 | 48.5 | -8.2 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Ward Markle | 8,204 | 32.5 | +4.6 |
| | New Democratic | Alan Rimmer | 4,821 | 19.1 | +5.5 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 25,276 | 100.0 |
1963 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Ian Wahn | 15,891 | 56.7 | +14.8 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Joel W. Aldred | 7,795 | 27.8 | -13.6 |
| | New Democratic | Don Stevenson | 3,794 | 13.5 | +0.2 |
| | Social Credit | Neil Carmichael | 543 | 1.9 | -0.2 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 28,023 | 100.0 |
1962 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Ian Wahn | 11,140 | 41.9 | +16.3 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Roland Michener | 11,013 | 41.4 | -23.4 |
| | New Democratic | Don Stevenson | 3,533 | 13.3 | +3.7 |
| | Social Credit | Neil Carmichael | 563 | 2.1 | |
| | Independent | Douglas Campbell | 328 | 1.2 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 26,577 | 100.0 |
Note: NDP vote is compared to CCF vote in 1958 election.
1958 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Roland Michener | 18,213 | 64.8 | +7.9 |
| | Liberal | Joseph S. Williams | 7,212 | 25.7 | -2.6 |
| | Co-operative Commonwealth | Margot Thompson | 2,686 | 9.6 | -2.9 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 28,111 | 100.0 |
1957 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Roland Michener | 13,243 | 56.9 | +15.4 |
| | Liberal | James Rooney | 6,586 | 28.3 | -11.0 |
| | Co-operative Commonwealth | Margot Thompson | 2,906 | 12.5 | -3.6 |
| | Social Credit | Burton Ford | 533 | 2.3 | +0.7 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 23,268 | 100.0 |
1953 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Roland Michener | 9,738 | 41.5 | +3.0 |
| | Liberal | James Rooney | 9,223 | 39.3 | -2.4 |
| | Co-operative Commonwealth | Andrew Brewin | 3,786 | 16.1 | -3.7 |
| | Communist | Annie Buller Guralnick | 369 | 1.6 | |
| | Social Credit | Neil Carmichael | 363 | 1.5 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 23,479 | 100.0 |
1949 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | James Rooney | 14,000 | 41.7 | +1.6 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Roland Michener | 12,922 | 38.5 | -2.2 |
| | Co-operative Commonwealth | Andrew F. Brewin | 6,677 | 19.9 | +3.6 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 33,599 | 100.0 |
1945 Canadian federal election: St. Paul's :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Douglas Ross | 12,390 | 40.7 | -10.6 |
| | Liberal | James Rooney | 12,211 | 40.1 | -8.6 |
| | Co-operative Commonwealth | Andrew F. Brewin | 4,958 | 16.3 | |
| | Labor–Progressive | William Kashtan | 895 | 2.9 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 30,454 | 100.0 |
Note: Progressive Conservative vote is compared to "National Government" vote in 1940 election.
1940 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | National Government | Douglas Ross | 15,591 | 51.3 | +10.3 |
| | Liberal | James Rooney | 14,816 | 48.7 | +9.8 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 30,407 | 100.0 |
Note: "National Government" vote is compared to Conservative vote in 1935 election.
1935 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Conservative | Douglas Ross | 10,852 | 40.9 |
| | Liberal | Salter Hayden | 10,322 | 38.9 |
| | Reconstruction | James Robertson | 2,713 | 10.2 |
| | Co-operative Commonwealth | Ted Jolliffe | 2,628 | 9.9 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 26,515 | 100.0 |