# 2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

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vte :
The 2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch was re-elected to his fourth and final term.
New Hampshire is one of only two states where the Governor serves for a two-year term, the other being neighboring Vermont. Lynch was re-elected by landslide margins in 2006 and 2008, and enjoyed historically high approval ratings. In early 2010, his approval rating showed a downward trend, with an April poll indicating that his approval had fallen below 50% (44% approve, 42% disapprove). After the primary elections in mid-September, Lynch's approval rating rebounded (51% approve, 38% disapprove).

## Democratic primary
### Candidates
#### Declared

* John Lynch, incumbent Governor
* Timothy Robertson, state representative
* Frank Sullivan

### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | John Lynch (incumbent) | 49,832 | 87.5 |
| | Democratic | Timothy Robertson | 3,771 | 6.6 |
| | Democratic | Frank Sullivan | 3,377 | 5.9 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 56,980 | 97.3 |

## Republican primary
### Candidates
#### Declared

* Frank Robert Emiro Sr., state representative
* Jack Kimball, businessman
* John Stephen, former Health and Human Services Commissioner
* Karen Testerman, conservative activist

#### Declined

* Kelly Ayotte, New Hampshire Attorney General
* Frank Guinta, Mayor of Manchester
* Chuck Morse, former State Senator
* John E. Sununu, former U.S. Senator

### Polling

| Poll source | Dates administered | Jack Kimball | John Stephen | Karen Testerman |
| Public Policy Polling | September 11–12, 2010 | 24% | 45% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 23–25, 2010 | 15% | 26% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 17–18, 2010 | 10% | 29% | 15% |

### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | John Stephen | 77,962 | 61.6 |
| | Republican | Jack Kimball | 31,581 | 24.9 |
| | Republican | Karen Testerman | 12,708 | 10.0 |
| | Republican | Frank Emiro | 4,394 | 3.5 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 126,645 | 96.7 |

## General election
### Candidates

* John Babiarz, Libertarian
* John Lynch, Democratic
* John Stephen, Republican

### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Cook Political Report | Tossup | October 14, 2010 |
| Rothenberg | Lean D | October 28, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics | Lean D | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D | October 28, 2010 |
| CQ Politics | Likely D | October 28, 2010 |

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | John Lynch (D) | John Stephen (R) |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 27, 2010 | 51% | 45% |
| WMUR/UNH | October 7–12, 2010 | 51% | 38% |
| American Research Group | October 3–5, 2010 | 51% | 41% |
| Granite State Poll | October 1, 2010 | 51% | 34% |
| American Research Group | September 22–26, 2010 | 42% | 40% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 15, 2010 | 48% | 46% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 11–12, 2010 | 51% | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 5, 2010 | 50% | 39% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 23–25, 2010 | 51% | 34% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 26, 2010 | 47% | 35% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 17–18, 2010 | 47% | 36% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 7, 2010 | 47% | 37% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 8, 2010 | 50% | 35% |
| Granite State Poll | January 27-February 3, 2010 | 50% | 30% |
With Kimball
| Poll Source | Dates Administered | John Lynch (D) | Jack Kimball (R) |
| Public Policy Polling | July 23–25, 2010 | 52% | 29% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 26, 2010 | 50% | 31% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 17–18, 2010 | 47% | 35% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 7, 2010 | 50% | 34% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 8, 2010 | 51% | 32% |
| Research 2000 | February 1–3, 2010 | 59% | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports | January 12, 2010 | 51% | 32% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 14, 2009 | 52% | 31% |
With Morse
| Poll Source | Dates Administered | John Lynch (D) | Chuck Morse (R) |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 14, 2009 | 51% | 29% |
With Sununu
| Poll Source | Dates Administered | John Lynch (D) | John Sununu (R) |
| Granite State Poll | September 25-October 2, 2009 | 50% | 37% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 14, 2009 | 48% | 43% |
With Testerman
| Poll Source | Dates Administered | John Lynch (D) | Karen Testerman (R) |
| Public Policy Polling | July 23–25, 2010 | 52% | 28% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 26, 2010 | 51% | 32% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 17–18, 2010 | 47% | 29% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 7, 2010 | 50% | 33% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 8, 2010 | 54% | 28% |
| Rasmussen Reports | January 12, 2010 | 53% | 30% |

### Results

2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Democratic | John Lynch (incumbent) | 240,346 | 52.63% | −17.57% |
| | Republican | John Stephen | 205,616 | 45.03% | +17.43% |
| | Libertarian | John Babiarz | 10,089 | 2.21% | +0.02% |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 537 | <0.01% | N/A |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 456,588 | 100.00% | N/A |
| | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold |

#### Counties that swung from Democratic to Republican

* Rockingham (largest municipality: Derry)