# 2024 United States presidential election in Missouri

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The 2024 United States presidential election in Missouri took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Missouri voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Missouri has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
Prior to the election, all major news organizations considered Missouri a state Trump would win, or a red state. Formerly a bellwether state, Missouri has trended towards the Republican Party in recent years and since the late 2010s has been considered a GOP stronghold at both the federal and state levels.
As he did in the previous two presidential elections, Republican Donald Trump easily won Missouri in 2024, this time by an 18.4% margin.

## Primary elections
### Republican caucuses

The Missouri Republican caucuses was held on March 2, 2024, alongside the Republican caucuses in Idaho and Michigan.
Missouri Republican caucus, March 2, 2024 :
| Candidate | State delegates | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | State delegates | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Donald Trump | 924 | 100.00 | 54 | 0 | 54 |
| Nikki Haley | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Stuckenberg | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 924 | 100 | 54 | 0 | 54 |

### Democratic primary

The Missouri Democratic primary was held on March 23, 2024, alongside the Democratic primary in Louisiana.
Missouri Democratic primary, March 22, 2024 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total |
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 16,295 | 85.3% | 61 | | |
| Uncommitted | 2,229 | 11.7% | 3 | | |
| Marianne Williamson | 298 | 1.6% | | | |
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 178 | 0.9% | | | |
| Stephen Lyons (withdrawn) | 40 | 0.2% | | | |
| Jason Palmer | 36 | 0.2% | | | |
| Armando Perez-Serrato | 24 | 0.1% | | | |
| Total: | 19,100 | 100.0% | 64 | 6 | 70 |

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Cook Political Report | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
| 538 | Solid R | October 18, 2024 |
| RCP | Likely R | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |

### Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| Research Co. | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 54% | 39% | 7% |
| ActiVote | October 6–27, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 42% | – |
| ActiVote | September 8 – October 10, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 57% | 43% | – |
| Emerson College | September 12–13, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 53% | 43% | 4% |
| Emerson College | September 12–13, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 55% | 43% | 2% |
| Change Research (D) | September 11–13, 2024 | 1,237 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
| GQR (D) | September 6–12, 2024 | 645 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 44% | 1% |
| | August 23, 2024 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. |
| | August 19–22, 2024 | Democratic National Convention | Democratic National Convention | Democratic National Convention | Democratic National Convention | Democratic National Convention |
| ActiVote | July 25 – August 22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 59% | 41% | – |
| YouGov/Saint Louis University | August 8–16, 2024 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 54% | 41% | 5% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
| Remington Research Group (R)/Missouri Scout | October 28–29, 2024 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 54% | 40% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| Emerson College | June 17–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 40% | 7% |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 509 (LV) | – | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| Emerson College | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,830 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 49% | 32% | 19% |
| Remington Research Group (R)/Missouri Scout | October 10–11, 2023 | 806 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
| SurveyUSA | October 27 – November 1, 2022 | 991 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 34% | 14% |
| Emerson College | October 26–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 37% | 9% |
| Emerson College | September 23–27, 2022 | 1,160 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
| SurveyUSA | September 14–18, 2022 | 830 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 52% | 35% | 13% |
| SurveyUSA | July 24–27, 2022 | 1,981 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
| SurveyUSA | May 11–15, 2022 | 1,412 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 35% | 15% |
| Remington Research Group (R)/Missouri Scout | September 18–20, 2021 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 55% | 36% | 9% |
| Remington Research Group (R)/Missouri Scout | April 21–22, 2021 | 933 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 38% | 9% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
| Emerson College | June 17–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 35% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 509 (LV) | – | 45% | 42% | 13% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
| John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 509 (LV) | – | 51% | 36% | 13% |

### Results

2024 United States presidential election in Missouri :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Donald TrumpJD Vance | 1,751,986 | 58.49 | +1.69 |
| | Democratic | Kamala HarrisTim Walz | 1,200,599 | 40.08 | −1.33 |
| | Libertarian | Chase OliverMike ter Maat | 23,876 | 0.80 | −0.56 |
| | Green | Jill SteinButch Ware | 17,135 | 0.57 | +0.44 |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 1,731 | 0.06 | -0.23 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 2,995,327 | 100.00 | N/A |

#### By county

| County | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total |
| Adair | 6,771 | 65.80% | 3,334 | 32.40% | 186 | 1.80% | 3,437 | 33.40% | 10,291 |
| Andrew | 7,407 | 75.22% | 2,312 | 23.48% | 128 | 1.30% | 5,095 | 51.74% | 9,847 |
| Atchison | 2,152 | 79.32% | 529 | 19.50% | 32 | 1.18% | 1,623 | 59.82% | 2,713 |
| Audrain | 7,699 | 73.16% | 2,688 | 25.54% | 136 | 1.30% | 5,011 | 47.62% | 10,523 |
| Barry | 13,138 | 81.27% | 2,873 | 17.77% | 154 | 0.96% | 10,265 | 63.50% | 16,165 |
| Barton | 5,159 | 85.77% | 820 | 13.63% | 36 | 0.60% | 4,339 | 72.14% | 6,015 |
| Bates | 6,702 | 80.17% | 1,563 | 18.70% | 95 | 1.13% | 5,139 | 61.47% | 8,360 |
| Benton | 8,526 | 79.17% | 2,166 | 20.11% | 77 | 0.72% | 6,360 | 59.06% | 10,769 |
| Bollinger | 5,365 | 87.08% | 756 | 12.27% | 40 | 0.65% | 4,609 | 74.81% | 6,161 |
| Boone | 39,673 | 43.90% | 48,452 | 53.61% | 2,250 | 2.49% | -8,779 | -9.71% | 90,375 |
| Buchanan | 22,606 | 62.96% | 12,598 | 35.09% | 701 | 1.95% | 10,008 | 27.87% | 35,905 |
| Butler | 14,549 | 81.16% | 3,160 | 17.63% | 217 | 1.21% | 11,389 | 63.53% | 17,926 |
| Caldwell | 3,771 | 80.18% | 888 | 18.88% | 44 | 0.94% | 2,883 | 61.30% | 4,703 |
| Callaway | 15,206 | 70.87% | 5,926 | 27.62% | 323 | 1.51% | 9,280 | 43.25% | 21,455 |
| Camden | 19,597 | 76.49% | 5,724 | 22.34% | 301 | 1.17% | 13,873 | 54.15% | 25,622 |
| Cape Girardeau | 29,315 | 72.32% | 10,561 | 26.05% | 661 | 1.63% | 18,754 | 46.27% | 40,537 |
| Carroll | 3,708 | 81.76% | 789 | 17.40% | 38 | 0.84% | 2,919 | 64.36% | 4,535 |
| Carter | 2,488 | 86.93% | 364 | 12.72% | 10 | 0.35% | 2,124 | 74.21% | 2,862 |
| Cass | 38,792 | 65.36% | 19,753 | 33.28% | 804 | 1.36% | 19,039 | 32.08% | 59,349 |
| Cedar | 6,064 | 84.36% | 1,060 | 14.75% | 64 | 0.89% | 5,004 | 69.61% | 7,188 |
| Chariton | 3,179 | 77.75% | 875 | 21.40% | 35 | 0.85% | 2,304 | 56.35% | 4,089 |
| Christian | 38,379 | 75.57% | 11,850 | 23.33% | 560 | 1.10% | 26,529 | 52.24% | 50,789 |
| Clark | 2,679 | 80.38% | 628 | 18.84% | 26 | 0.78% | 2,051 | 61.54% | 3,333 |
| Clay | 67,688 | 51.75% | 60,345 | 46.14% | 2,756 | 2.11% | 7,343 | 5.61% | 130,789 |
| Clinton | 8,235 | 73.09% | 2,855 | 25.34% | 177 | 1.57% | 5,380 | 47.75% | 11,267 |
| Cole | 26,686 | 66.46% | 12,874 | 32.06% | 592 | 1.48% | 13,812 | 34.40% | 40,152 |
| Cooper | 6,393 | 72.10% | 2,347 | 26.47% | 127 | 1.43% | 4,046 | 45.63% | 8,867 |
| Crawford | 8,742 | 80.56% | 2,007 | 18.49% | 103 | 0.95% | 6,735 | 62.07% | 10,852 |
| Dade | 3,480 | 83.13% | 671 | 16.03% | 35 | 0.84% | 2,809 | 67.10% | 4,186 |
| Dallas | 6,907 | 81.83% | 1,458 | 17.27% | 76 | 0.90% | 5,449 | 64.56% | 8,441 |
| Daviess | 3,185 | 81.15% | 701 | 17.86% | 39 | 0.99% | 2,484 | 63.29% | 3,925 |
| DeKalb | 3,885 | 80.70% | 870 | 18.07% | 59 | 1.23% | 3,015 | 62.63% | 4,814 |
| Dent | 6,013 | 84.65% | 1,025 | 14.43% | 65 | 0.92% | 4,988 | 70.22% | 7,103 |
| Douglas | 6,242 | 85.64% | 996 | 13.66% | 51 | 0.70% | 5,246 | 71.98% | 7,289 |
| Dunklin | 8,096 | 80.55% | 1,885 | 18.75% | 70 | 0.70% | 6,211 | 61.80% | 10,051 |
| Franklin | 40,126 | 72.04% | 14,694 | 26.38% | 879 | 1.58% | 25,432 | 45.66% | 55,699 |
| Gasconade | 6,370 | 79.65% | 1,555 | 19.44% | 72 | 0.91% | 4,815 | 60.21% | 7,997 |
| Gentry | 2,651 | 80.53% | 616 | 18.71% | 25 | 0.76% | 2,035 | 61.82% | 3,292 |
| Greene | 85,956 | 59.33% | 55,971 | 38.63% | 2,949 | 2.04% | 29,985 | 20.70% | 144,876 |
| Grundy | 3,582 | 81.34% | 784 | 17.80% | 38 | 0.86% | 2,798 | 63.54% | 4,404 |
| Harrison | 3,293 | 85.64% | 534 | 13.89% | 18 | 0.47% | 2,759 | 71.75% | 3,845 |
| Henry | 8,286 | 75.80% | 2,535 | 23.19% | 111 | 1.01% | 5,751 | 52.61% | 10,932 |
| Hickory | 4,108 | 80.23% | 978 | 19.10% | 34 | 0.67% | 3,130 | 61.13% | 5,120 |
| Holt | 1,982 | 84.13% | 357 | 15.15% | 17 | 0.72% | 1,625 | 68.98% | 2,356 |
| Howard | 3,534 | 71.18% | 1,341 | 27.01% | 90 | 1.81% | 2,193 | 44.17% | 4,965 |
| Howell | 15,733 | 82.71% | 3,073 | 16.16% | 215 | 1.13% | 12,660 | 66.55% | 19,021 |
| Iron | 3,644 | 80.66% | 824 | 18.24% | 50 | 1.10% | 2,820 | 62.42% | 4,518 |
| Jackson | 125,610 | 39.29% | 187,026 | 58.50% | 7,092 | 2.21% | -61,416 | -19.21% | 319,728 |
| Jasper | 39,084 | 72.32% | 13,943 | 25.80% | 1,014 | 1.88% | 25,141 | 46.52% | 54,041 |
| Jefferson | 80,796 | 67.42% | 36,965 | 30.85% | 2,072 | 1.73% | 43,831 | 36.57% | 119,833 |
| Johnson | 16,298 | 68.80% | 6,960 | 29.38% | 430 | 1.82% | 9,338 | 39.42% | 23,688 |
| Knox | 1,479 | 81.71% | 311 | 17.18% | 20 | 1.11% | 1,168 | 64.53% | 1,810 |
| Laclede | 14,155 | 82.59% | 2,756 | 16.08% | 228 | 1.33% | 11,399 | 66.51% | 17,139 |
| Lafayette | 12,720 | 73.75% | 4,294 | 24.90% | 234 | 1.35% | 8,426 | 48.85% | 17,248 |
| Lawrence | 15,001 | 81.12% | 3,248 | 17.56% | 243 | 1.32% | 11,753 | 63.56% | 18,492 |
| Lewis | 3,565 | 79.47% | 872 | 19.44% | 49 | 1.09% | 2,693 | 60.03% | 4,486 |
| Lincoln | 24,866 | 77.38% | 6,908 | 21.50% | 359 | 1.12% | 17,958 | 55.88% | 32,133 |
| Linn | 4,437 | 78.02% | 1,183 | 20.80% | 67 | 1.18% | 3,254 | 57.22% | 5,687 |
| Livingston | 5,395 | 78.50% | 1,422 | 20.69% | 56 | 0.81% | 3,973 | 57.81% | 6,873 |
| Macon | 6,300 | 80.37% | 1,481 | 18.89% | 58 | 0.74% | 4,819 | 61.48% | 7,839 |
| Madison | 4,721 | 82.06% | 986 | 17.14% | 46 | 0.80% | 3,735 | 64.92% | 5,753 |
| Maries | 3,987 | 83.31% | 755 | 15.78% | 44 | 0.91% | 3,232 | 67.53% | 4,786 |
| Marion | 9,991 | 75.96% | 3,032 | 23.05% | 130 | 0.99% | 6,959 | 52.91% | 13,153 |
| McDonald | 7,843 | 83.76% | 1,423 | 15.20% | 98 | 1.04% | 6,420 | 68.56% | 9,364 |
| Mercer | 1,545 | 86.22% | 235 | 13.11% | 12 | 0.67% | 1,310 | 73.11% | 1,792 |
| Miller | 10,826 | 83.21% | 2,067 | 15.89% | 118 | 0.90% | 8,759 | 67.32% | 13,011 |
| Mississippi | 3,404 | 76.51% | 1,015 | 22.81% | 30 | 0.68% | 2,389 | 53.70% | 4,449 |
| Moniteau | 5,877 | 80.78% | 1,313 | 18.05% | 85 | 1.17% | 4,564 | 62.73% | 7,275 |
| Monroe | 3,476 | 79.40% | 857 | 19.58% | 45 | 1.02% | 2,619 | 59.82% | 4,378 |
| Montgomery | 4,776 | 79.63% | 1,170 | 19.51% | 52 | 0.86% | 3,606 | 60.12% | 5,998 |
| Morgan | 7,725 | 79.35% | 1,914 | 19.66% | 96 | 0.99% | 5,811 | 59.69% | 9,735 |
| New Madrid | 5,203 | 76.39% | 1,561 | 22.92% | 47 | 0.69% | 3,642 | 53.47% | 6,811 |
| Newton | 22,923 | 78.50% | 5,867 | 20.09% | 410 | 1.41% | 17,056 | 58.41% | 29,200 |
| Nodaway | 6,909 | 71.08% | 2,674 | 27.51% | 137 | 1.41% | 4,235 | 43.57% | 9,720 |
| Oregon | 3,884 | 84.20% | 696 | 15.09% | 33 | 0.71% | 3,188 | 69.11% | 4,613 |
| Osage | 6,657 | 85.95% | 1,009 | 13.03% | 79 | 1.02% | 5,648 | 72.92% | 7,745 |
| Ozark | 4,044 | 84.60% | 698 | 14.60% | 38 | 0.80% | 3,346 | 70.00% | 4,780 |
| Pemiscot | 3,917 | 74.21% | 1,331 | 25.22% | 30 | 0.57% | 2,586 | 48.99% | 5,278 |
| Perry | 7,986 | 81.13% | 1,757 | 17.85% | 101 | 1.02% | 6,229 | 63.28% | 9,844 |
| Pettis | 13,907 | 73.45% | 4,703 | 24.84% | 325 | 1.71% | 9,204 | 48.61% | 18,935 |
| Phelps | 13,658 | 70.46% | 5,379 | 27.75% | 348 | 1.79% | 8,279 | 42.71% | 19,385 |
| Pike | 6,151 | 78.33% | 1,618 | 20.60% | 84 | 1.07% | 4,533 | 57.73% | 7,853 |
| Platte | 29,381 | 50.49% | 27,566 | 47.37% | 1,242 | 2.14% | 1,815 | 3.12% | 58,189 |
| Polk | 12,691 | 79.78% | 2,948 | 18.53% | 269 | 1.69% | 9,743 | 61.25% | 15,908 |
| Pulaski | 11,579 | 74.21% | 3,765 | 24.13% | 260 | 1.66% | 7,814 | 50.08% | 15,604 |
| Putnam | 2,021 | 84.92% | 347 | 14.58% | 12 | 0.50% | 1,674 | 70.34% | 2,380 |
| Ralls | 4,575 | 79.19% | 1,154 | 19.98% | 48 | 0.83% | 3,421 | 59.21% | 5,777 |
| Randolph | 8,322 | 75.46% | 2,571 | 23.31% | 135 | 1.23% | 5,751 | 52.15% | 11,028 |
| Ray | 8,602 | 73.53% | 2,927 | 25.02% | 170 | 1.45% | 5,675 | 48.51% | 11,699 |
| Reynolds | 2,560 | 83.69% | 472 | 15.43% | 27 | 0.88% | 2,088 | 68.26% | 3,059 |
| Ripley | 5,002 | 86.18% | 763 | 13.15% | 39 | 0.67% | 4,239 | 73.03% | 5,804 |
| Saline | 6,498 | 69.65% | 2,726 | 29.22% | 106 | 1.13% | 3,772 | 40.43% | 9,330 |
| Schuyler | 1,588 | 81.65% | 334 | 17.17% | 23 | 1.18% | 1,254 | 64.48% | 1,945 |
| Scotland | 1,537 | 80.05% | 358 | 18.65% | 25 | 1.30% | 1,179 | 61.40% | 1,920 |
| Scott | 13,786 | 78.87% | 3,525 | 20.17% | 169 | 0.96% | 10,261 | 58.70% | 17,480 |
| Shannon | 3,364 | 83.72% | 625 | 15.56% | 29 | 0.72% | 2,739 | 68.16% | 4,018 |
| Shelby | 2,691 | 82.50% | 550 | 16.86% | 21 | 0.64% | 2,141 | 65.64% | 3,262 |
| St. Charles | 130,588 | 57.42% | 92,226 | 40.56% | 4,594 | 2.02% | 38,362 | 16.86% | 227,408 |
| St. Clair | 3,982 | 79.61% | 959 | 19.17% | 61 | 1.22% | 3,023 | 60.44% | 5,002 |
| St. Francois | 21,521 | 74.99% | 6,811 | 23.73% | 366 | 1.28% | 14,710 | 51.26% | 28,698 |
| St. Louis | 187,982 | 37.39% | 305,635 | 60.79% | 9,121 | 1.82% | -117,653 | -23.40% | 502,738 |
| St. Louis City | 19,342 | 16.53% | 94,458 | 80.75% | 3,179 | 2.72% | -75,116 | -64.22% | 116,979 |
| Ste. Genevieve | 7,031 | 71.72% | 2,629 | 26.82% | 143 | 1.46% | 4,402 | 44.90% | 9,803 |
| Stoddard | 11,783 | 86.42% | 1,736 | 12.73% | 115 | 0.85% | 10,047 | 73.69% | 13,634 |
| Stone | 15,357 | 80.07% | 3,620 | 18.87% | 202 | 1.06% | 11,737 | 61.20% | 19,179 |
| Sullivan | 2,035 | 82.62% | 408 | 16.57% | 20 | 0.81% | 1,627 | 66.05% | 2,463 |
| Taney | 21,236 | 79.17% | 5,329 | 19.87% | 259 | 0.96% | 15,907 | 59.30% | 26,824 |
| Texas | 9,855 | 85.51% | 1,589 | 13.79% | 81 | 0.70% | 8,266 | 71.72% | 11,525 |
| Vernon | 7,112 | 79.01% | 1,774 | 19.71% | 115 | 1.28% | 5,338 | 59.30% | 9,001 |
| Warren | 14,915 | 73.96% | 4,970 | 24.65% | 281 | 1.39% | 9,945 | 49.31% | 20,166 |
| Washington | 8,424 | 82.03% | 1,747 | 17.01% | 99 | 0.96% | 6,677 | 65.02% | 10,270 |
| Wayne | 5,030 | 86.03% | 783 | 13.39% | 34 | 0.58% | 4,247 | 72.64% | 5,847 |
| Webster | 15,984 | 80.67% | 3,653 | 18.44% | 177 | 0.89% | 12,331 | 62.23% | 19,814 |
| Worth | 904 | 81.81% | 190 | 17.19% | 11 | 1.00% | 714 | 64.62% | 1,105 |
| Wright | 7,850 | 87.42% | 1,057 | 11.77% | 73 | 0.81% | 6,793 | 75.65% | 8,980 |
| Totals | 1,751,986 | 58.32% | 1,200,599 | 39.97% | 51,382 | 1.71% | 551,387 | 18.35% | 3,003,967 |
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%

#### By congressional district

Trump won six of eight congressional districts.
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
| 1st | 20.53% | 77.65% | Cori Bush (118th Congress) |
| 1st | 20.53% | 77.65% | Wesley Bell (119th Congress) |
| 2nd | 53.10% | 45.19% | Ann Wagner |
| 3rd | 62.66% | 35.88% | Blaine Luetkemeyer (118th Congress) |
| 3rd | 62.66% | 35.88% | Bob Onder (119th Congress) |
| 4th | 70.51% | 28.21% | Mark Alford |
| 5th | 37.53% | 60.69% | Emanuel Cleaver |
| 6th | 68.83% | 29.97% | Sam Graves |
| 7th | 70.68% | 28.09% | Eric Burlison |
| 8th | 76.50% | 22.52% | Jason Smith |

## Analysis

Missouri is a Midwestern state with heavy Southern cultural influence, having been a Southern border state and contested between the Union and Confederacy during the Civil War. A nigh-infallible bellwether state for the bulk of the 20th century well into the 2000s (backing the winner of all but one presidential election for a century, from 1904 to 2004, the exception being 1956 by just 0.22% and less than 4,000 votes), Missouri has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. It is widely understood to have lost its bellwether status when Democrat Barack Obama of neighboring Illinois failed to carry the state in either of his presidential victories, followed by Republican Donald Trump carrying it by more than 15% in all three of his election bids.
As half the state is located in the conservative Bible Belt, with the southern portion of the state being part of the Upland South, Missouri has drifted away from being a political bellwether towards the Republican Party in the 21st century and is now a strongly red state, with Republicans occupying every statewide office since 2023. Democratic strength in Missouri is nowadays largely limited to the Kansas City and St. Louis areas, as well as the college town of Columbia.
Democrat Kamala Harris won the same jurisdictions that Joe Biden did in 2020, as did Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Obama in 2012: Jackson County, home to Kansas City; Boone County, home to Columbia; the independent city of St. Louis; and St. Louis County, which contains many of St. Louis's closest suburbs.