# 2024 Indian general election in Manipur

The 2024 Indian general election was held in Manipur on 19 April and 26 April to elect two members of the 18th Lok Sabha, from the constituencies of Inner Manipur and Outer Manipur. The election got scheduled in the midst of year-long ethnic violence between the valley-based Meitei community and the hill-based Kuki-Zo community. There were reports of violence and intimidation by armed militias during the campaigning as well as polling but, on the whole, the election got conducted peacefully. Opposition Indian National Congress candidates, Bimol Akoijam and Alfred Kanngam Arthur, won the two seats respectively.

## Background

The 2024 Indian general election got scheduled in the midst of a year-long ethnic violence in Manipur between the Meitei and Kuki-Zo communities, which has seen more than 200 people killed and around 60,000 people displaced. The violence resulted in complete geographic separation of the two communities within a month of the onset of violence, with the Meiteis having fled the hill districts and the Kuki-Zo having fled the Imphal Valley. The violence nevertheless continued with arm-toting militias launching attacks on the opposite community and 'village defence volunteers' defending their villages. Over 6,000 guns that had been looted from the state's armouries remain with the militants and other civilian activists.
The Inner Manipur constituency, which covers the Imphal Valley, has fielded six candidates, including one from the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and one from the opposition Indian National Congress (INC, Congress).
The Outer Manipur constituency, which covers the surrounding hill districts and reserved for the state's Scheduled Tribe (Kuki-Zo and Naga) communities, only Naga candidates have contested. The Kuki-Zo community decided not to field any candidates. The BJP decided to support its NDA ally Naga People's Front, while the INC fielded a candidate from the Naga community.

## Election Schedule

| Poll event | Phase | Phase |
| Poll event | I | II |
| Notification Date | 20 March | 28 March |
| Last Date for filing nomination | 27 March | 4 April |
| Scrutiny of nomination | 28 March | 5 April |
| Last Date for withdrawal of nomination | 30 March | 8 April |
| Date of poll | 19 April | 26 April |
| Date of counting of votes/Result | 4 June 2024 | 4 June 2024 |
| No. of constituencies | 1+1⁄2 | 1⁄2 |

## Parties and alliances
### National Democratic Alliance

| Party | Flag | Symbol | Leader | Contesting Seats |
| Bharatiya Janata Party | | | Sailesh Nigthoujam | 1 |
| Naga People's Front | | | Lorho S. Pfoze | 1 |
| Total | Total | Total | Total | 2 |

### Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance

| Party | Party | Flag | Symbol | Leader | Contesting Seats |
| | Indian National Congress | | | | 2 |

### Others

| Party | Party | Symbol | Contesting Seats |
| | Republican Party of India (Athawale) | | 1 |

## Candidates

| Constituency | Constituency | | | | | | |
| Constituency | Constituency | NDA | NDA | NDA | INDIA | INDIA | INDIA |
| 1 | Inner Manipur | | BJP | Thounaojam Basanta Kumar Singh | | INC | Angomcha Bimol Akoijam |
| 2 | Outer Manipur | | NPF | Kachui Timothy Zimik | | INC | Alfred Kan-Ngam Arthur |

## Surveys and polls
### Opinion Polls

| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of Error | | | | Lead |
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of Error | NDA | INDIA | Others | Lead |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024 | ±5% | 2 | 0 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023 | ±3% | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023 | ±3% | 1 | 1 | 0 | Tie |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023 | ±3% | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | August 2023 | ±3% | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | NDA |
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of Error | | | | Lead |
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of Error | NDA | INDIA | Others | Lead |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024 | ±5% | 50% | 34% | 16% | 16 |

### Exit Polls

| Polling agency | | | | Lead |
| Polling agency | NDA | INDIA | Others | Lead |
| Actual Results | 0 | 2 | 0 | INDIA |

## Campaigning, threats and boycott calls

The leading Meitei militia group, Arambai Tenggol with 60,000 cadres, announced "restrictions" on campaigning on 30 March 2024. It discouraged election campaigns, feasts, the use of loudspeakers, flag raising and election meetings, claiming that such events are more divisive than unifying, and would potentially lead to conflicts and violence. Manipur's state government as well as the central government stayed silent in the face of such impositions.
On 19 March, unidentified gunmen opened fire on the Congress Party's Outer Manipur candidate, Alfred Kanngam Arthur, while he was participating in a village-level consultative meeting in the Ukhrul district. The candidate was unhurt. On 28 March, the Congress Party's Inner Manipur candidate Bimol Akoijam was threatened by unidentified miscreants at his home. They gave an ultimatum to his family to send him for a meeting the following day. The Congress Party expressed deep concern and requested the police to provide protection to the candidate. On 14 April, miscreants opened fire at a campaign site in Moirang where Akoijam was expected to organise a campaign meeting the following day. Perceiving the threat, Akoijam cancelled the meeting. Two days later, armed miscreants again disrupted an election meeting at Kumbi. Akoijam confided to the press the extent of threats he was receiving and commented that these were from "my own community" [Meiteis].
A week before the first phase of polling, armed militants, alleged to belong to Arambai Tenggol, attacked a border region of Kangpokpi district in the Thoubal river valley, called Phailengmol Island Block, and killed two Kuki-Zo village defence volunteers. Graphic videos of their corpses being dragged, mutilated and body parts displayed were circulated.
The gruesome attacks and display caused the Kuki-Zo civil society organisations to come out with calls for boycotting the general election, saying "no justice, no vote". The Global Kuki-Zomi-Hmar Women Community, including journalists social workers, politicians and leaders, had earlier written to the Chief Election Commissioner, informing him of its decision to boycott the polls. Following the Phailengmol attack, the Kuki National Assembly and Kuki Inpi have also joined the fray. On 16 April, the Kuki Inpi Sadar Hills (covering the Kangpokpi district) asked all Kuki residents of the district to abstain from voting. Kuki Inpi Churachandpur issued a directive asking its residents to vote against the ruling BJP and its allied partners, which included the Naga People's Front.
The Naga civil society organisation United Naga Council asked the Naga community to support the consensus candidate chosen by the Naga People's Front. It asked for "unity" in the Naga community.

## Polling

The poll for the two Lok Sabha seats of Manipur was scheduled to be held on two days. During the Phase 1 polling on 19 April, it was held for Inner Manipur and three districts (Kangpokpi, Chandel and Churachandpur) of Outer Manipur. During the Phase 2 polling on 26 April, it was held in the remaining districts.
During the Phase 1 polling, several chaotic scenes were witnessed in many parts of the Imphal Valley. At Moirang Kampu (in Imphal East), a group of unidentified miscreants arrived in an SUV, had an argument in the polling booth and then fired a few rounds at the people from their vehicle. A 72-year old man was hit by a bullet. The enraged voters then destroyed the polling devices. Assault and firing was also reported from at least three other locations (Arapati Maning in Imphal East, Wangoo in Kakching and Thamnapokpi in Bishnupur). Several other polling stations in the Valley districts were captured by armed miscreants, with video clips flooding the social media. Many fingers were pointed at Arambai Tenggol militants. In one clip, the Congress candidate Bimol Akoijam is seen complaining to senior police officials about his polling agent having been threatened by armed miscreants and the agent having had to leave the polling station. The state unit of the Congress party filed a complaint with the chief election officer for the state alleging booth capturing, voter intimidation and other irregularities at 36 polling booths in Inner Manipur and 11 polling booths in the Sugnu area of Outer Manipur. The Election Commission ordered a re-poll at 11 polling booths, which was held on 22 April with over 81% voter turnout.
In the Outer Manipur constituency, the Kuki-Zo people in the Kangpokpi district were reported to have abstained from voting as per the instructions of Kuki Inpi Sadar Hills. News reports mentioned empty polling stations with "complete zero turnout". The election commission reported 22% voter turnout, which is mainly attributed to the Nepali and Naga voters in the district. In Churachandpur district, early news reports mentioned poor turnout, but the election commission data at the end of polling showed 64% turnout in the Churachandpur assembly constituency and 72% in the Saikot assembly constituency, with similar figures in other constituencies. The polling agent of Naga People's Front alleged large-scale booth capturing by armed militants in these constituencies, requesting a re-poll from the election commission. "All our voters and workers were threatened with arms and chased away by the militants", wrote the polling agent.
During Phase 2 polling, there were reports that armed militias were forcing voters to vote only for the Naga People's Front (NDA) candidate, Timothy Zimik. In an Ukhrul district polling booth, the irate voters destroyed the electronic voting machine. The cadres of NSCN-IM were blamed. The Election Commission claimed that the polling was peaceful and 76% votes were polled. However, the Congress-led INDIA alliance said there were reports of booth capturing at 17 polling stations. Repolling was ordered at six polling stations.

## Results
### Results by alliance or party

| Alliance/ Party | Alliance/ Party | Alliance/ Party | Alliance/ Party | Popular vote | Popular vote | Popular vote | Seats | Seats | Seats |
| Alliance/ Party | Alliance/ Party | Alliance/ Party | Alliance/ Party | Votes | % | ±pp | Contested | Won | +/− |
| | INDIA | | INC | 7,52,491 | 47.59 | 22.88 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| | NDA |
| | NDA | | NPF | 299,536 | 18.87 | 3.68 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| | NDA | | BJP | 2,62,217 | 16.58 | 17.75 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Total | Total | Total | Total | 5,60,575 | 35.45 | 21.43 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| | RPI(A) | RPI(A) | RPI(A) | 135,640 | 8.58% | new | 1 | 0 | |
| | IND | IND | IND | 122,212 | 7.73% | 2.41 | 5 | 0 | |
| | NOTA | NOTA | NOTA | 10,237 | 0.65% | 0.34 | | | |
| Total | Total | Total | Total | 1,581,155 | 100% | - | 10 | 2 | - |

### Results by constituency

| Constituency | Constituency | Turnout | Winner | Winner | Winner | Winner | Winner | Winner | Winner | Runner Up | Runner Up | Runner Up | Runner Up | Runner Up | Runner Up | Runner Up | Margin |
| Constituency | Constituency | Turnout | Party | Party | Alliance | Alliance | Candidate | Votes | % | Party | Party | Alliance | Alliance | Candidate | Votes | % | Margin |
| 1 | Inner Manipur | 80.37% | | INC | | INDIA | Angomcha Bimol Akoijam | 3,74,017 | 46.93 | | BJP | | NDA | Thounaojam Basanta Kumar Singh | 2,64,216 | 33.16 | 1,09,801 |
| 2 | Outer Manipur | 76.84% | | INC | | INDIA | Alfred Kan-Ngam Arthur | 3,84,954 | 48.32 | | NPF | | NDA | Kachui Timothy Zimik | 2,99,536 | 37.6 | 85,418 |

## Aftermath

Indian National Congress won both the seats in the election. The Inner Manipur seat was won by Bimol Akoijam with a margin of over 100,000 votes from his nearest rival Thounaojam Basant Kumar Singh of the Bharatiya Janata Party. The Outer Manipur seat was won by Alfred Kanngam Arthur with a margin of 85,000 over his nearest rival K. Timothy Zimik of Naga People's Front.
The results were interpreted as representing popular dissatisfaction with the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party in managing the ethnic violence that has plagued the state for over a year and the apparent apathy from the central leadership. In the Imphal Valley region, it was said that people were pointing fingers at the ruling party for the first time, and blaming it for letting militias like Arambai Tenggol function with impunity.
The United Naga Council, which had urged the Naga community to support the Naga People's Front candidate, ostracised the three Naga candidates that stood against him, including the winning candidate Alfred Kanngam Arthur. It announced a seven-year social boycott against them, claiming that they "purposively defied" the organisation and worked against the spirit of unity.

## Assembly segments wise lead of Parties

| Party | Party | Party | Party | Assembly segments | Current Position in the Assembly |
| | INDIA | | INC | 36 | 5 |
| | INDIA | Total | Total | 36 | 5 |
| | NDA | | NPF | 13 | 2 |
| | NDA | | BJP | 9 | 37 |
| | NDA | | NPP | Did Not Contest | 7 |
| | NDA | | JD(U) | Did Not Contest | 1 |
| | NDA | Total | Total | 22 | 50 |
| | Others | | KPA | Did Not Contest | 2 |
| | Others | | Independents | 2 | 3 |
| | Others | Total | Total | 2 | 5 |
| Total | Total | Total | Total | 60 | 60 |