# 2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania

"none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see [[WP:SDNONE]]
Elections in Pennsylvania :
Federal government
U.S. President
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U.S. Senate
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U.S. House of Representatives
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2024 :
State government
Governor
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Lieutenant Governor
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Attorney General
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Auditor General
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State Treasurer
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State Senate
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State House of Representatives
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Elections by year
State elections
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2025 :
Philadelphia
Mayoral elections
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City Council elections
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Other municipal elections
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Pittsburgh
Mayors
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Allentown
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Lancaster
Mayors
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Harrisburg
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Government :
vte :
The 2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania took place on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States elections in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Pennsylvania voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote.
On April 26, 2016, in the presidential primaries, voters selected the Democratic, Republican, and Green parties' respective nominees for president. Pennsylvania is a closed primary state, meaning voters must have been previously registered with a particular political party in order to vote for one of that parties' candidates, to participate in their respective party primary.
In the general election, Donald Trump, the Republican nominee, won Pennsylvania by 44,292 votes out of more than 6 million cast, a margin of 0.72% and the narrowest margin in a presidential election since 1840, when William Henry Harrison defeated Martin Van Buren by just 0.12%. Pennsylvania voted 2.82% more Republican than the nation-at-large, marking the first time since 1948 that it voted to the right of the nation.
Before the election, Pennsylvania was expected to be close as polling showed the results within the margin of error, but many election experts viewed that Clinton had an edge. However, on Election Day, Pennsylvania unexpectedly swung to Donald Trump. Trump carried 56 of the state's 67 counties, predominantly rural or suburban counties, while Clinton carried much of the Philadelphia metropolitan area as well as other cities including Pittsburgh, Harrisburg and Scranton. Nonetheless, some areas of traditional Democratic strength such as Luzerne County, where Wilkes-Barre is located, saw swings in margins of up to 25% toward Donald Trump. He was the first Republican nominee for president to win the state of Pennsylvania since George H. W. Bush in 1988.

## Primaries
### Democratic primary

Pennsylvania Democratic primary, April 26, 2016 :
| Candidate | Popular vote | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | Estimated delegates | Estimated delegates |
| Candidate | Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total |
| Hillary Clinton | 935,107 | 55.61% | 106 | 20 | 126 |
| Bernie Sanders | 731,881 | 43.53% | 83 | 0 | 83 |
| Rocky De La Fuente | 14,439 | 0.86% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 1,681,427 | 100% | 189 | 20 | 209 |
| Source: ||||||

### Republican primary

Pennsylvania Republican primary, April 26, 2016 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Donald Trump | 902,593 | 56.61% | 17 | 42 | 59 |
| Ted Cruz | 345,506 | 21.67% | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| John Kasich | 310,003 | 19.44% | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Ben Carson (withdrawn) | 14,842 | 0.93% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marco Rubio (withdrawn) | 11,954 | 0.75% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 9,577 | 0.60% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | Unprojected delegates: | Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Total: | 1,594,475 | 100.00% | 17 | 54 | 71 |
| Source: The Green Papers ||||||

### Green Party

Pennsylvania held a series of caucuses throughout April, culminating with a meeting on April 30 in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, where delegates were assigned.
Pennsylvania Green Party presidential caucuses, April 17, 2016 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | National delegates |
| Jill Stein | - | - | 8 |
| William Kreml | - | - | 1 |
| Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza Curry | - | - | - |
| Darryl Cherney | - | - | - |
| Kent Mesplay | - | - | - |
| Total | - | 100.00% | 9 |

## Democratic National Convention

From July 25 to July 28, 2016, Philadelphia hosted the 2016 Democratic National Convention. It was held at the Wells Fargo Center with ancillary meetings at the Pennsylvania Convention Center. Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was chosen as the party's nominee for president by a 59.67% majority of delegates present at the convention roll call, winning the nomination, while runner-up rival Senator Bernie Sanders received 39.16% of votes from delegates. Clinton then became the first female candidate to be formally nominated by a major national party as a presidential candidate in the United States. Her running mate, Senator Tim Kaine, the junior United States senator from Virginia, was chosen by delegates as the party's nominee for vice president by acclamation.

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| CNN | Lean D | November 4, 2016 |
| Cook Political Report | Lean D | November 7, 2016 |
| Electoral-vote.com | Lean D | November 6, 2016 |
| NBC | Lean D | November 7, 2016 |
| RealClearPolitics | Tossup | November 6, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report | Lean D | November 7, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D | November 7, 2016 |

### Results

2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Donald TrumpMike Pence | 2,970,733 | 48.18 |
| | Democratic | Hillary ClintonTim Kaine | 2,926,441 | 47.46 |
| | Libertarian | Gary JohnsonBill Weld | 146,715 | 2.38 |
| | Green | Jill SteinAjamu Baraka | 49,941 | 0.81 |
| | Constitution | Darrell L. CastleScott N. Bradley | 21,572 | 0.35 |
| | Independent | Evan McMullin (write-in)Mindy Finn (write-in) | 6,472 | 0.10 |
| | Independent | Bernie Sanders (write-in) | 6,060 | 0.10 |
| | Republican | John Kasich (write-in) | 302 | 0.00 |
| | Independent | Lynn Kahn (write-in)Kathleen Monahan (write-in) | 3 | 0.00 |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 37,239 | 0.60 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 6,165,478 | 100% |
| | Republican win | Republican win | Republican win | Republican win |

#### By county

| County | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Gary Johnson Libertarian | Gary Johnson Libertarian | Jill Stein Green | Jill Stein Green | Darrell Castle Constitution | Darrell Castle Constitution | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total votes cast |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total votes cast |
| Adams | 31,423 | 65.48% | 14,219 | 29.63% | 1,251 | 2.61% | 405 | 0.84% | 191 | 0.40% | 501 | 1.04% | 17,204 | 35.85% | 47,990 |
| Allegheny | 259,480 | 39.48% | 367,617 | 55.94% | 16,102 | 2.45% | 5,097 | 0.78% | 1,818 | 0.28% | 7,075 | 1.08% | -108,137 | -16.46% | 657,189 |
| Armstrong | 23,484 | 73.70% | 7,178 | 22.53% | 685 | 2.15% | 141 | 0.44% | 130 | 0.41% | 246 | 0.77% | 16,306 | 51.17% | 31,864 |
| Beaver | 48,167 | 57.03% | 32,531 | 38.52% | 2,022 | 2.39% | 496 | 0.59% | 355 | 0.42% | 891 | 1.05% | 15,636 | 18.51% | 84,462 |
| Bedford | 19,552 | 82.59% | 3,645 | 15.40% | 260 | 1.10% | 102 | 0.43% | 78 | 0.33% | 38 | 0.16% | 15,907 | 67.19% | 23,675 |
| Berks | 96,626 | 52.49% | 78,437 | 42.61% | 5,247 | 2.85% | 1,974 | 1.07% | 781 | 0.42% | 1,020 | 0.55% | 18,189 | 9.88% | 184,085 |
| Blair | 39,135 | 70.72% | 13,958 | 25.22% | 1,256 | 2.27% | 338 | 0.61% | 222 | 0.40% | 432 | 0.79% | 25,177 | 45.50% | 55,341 |
| Bradford | 18,141 | 69.81% | 6,369 | 24.51% | 893 | 3.44% | 137 | 0.53% | 168 | 0.65% | 278 | 1.07% | 11,772 | 45.30% | 25,986 |
| Bucks | 164,361 | 47.64% | 167,060 | 48.42% | 8,556 | 2.48% | 3,121 | 0.90% | 1,199 | 0.35% | 745 | 0.22% | -2,699 | -0.78% | 345,042 |
| Butler | 64,431 | 65.71% | 28,586 | 29.15% | 3,064 | 3.12% | 615 | 0.63% | 382 | 0.39% | 973 | 0.99% | 35,845 | 36.56% | 98,051 |
| Cambria | 42,258 | 66.45% | 18,867 | 29.67% | 1,270 | 2.00% | 413 | 0.65% | 264 | 0.42% | 517 | 0.81% | 23,391 | 36.78% | 63,589 |
| Cameron | 1,589 | 71.90% | 531 | 24.03% | 53 | 2.40% | 6 | 0.27% | 7 | 0.32% | 24 | 1.09% | 1,058 | 47.87% | 2,210 |
| Carbon | 18,743 | 64.65% | 8,936 | 30.82% | 691 | 2.38% | 265 | 0.91% | 141 | 0.49% | 217 | 0.75% | 9,807 | 33.83% | 28,993 |
| Centre | 35,274 | 45.63% | 37,088 | 47.97% | 2,644 | 3.42% | 798 | 1.03% | 344 | 0.44% | 1,159 | 0.94% | -1,814 | -2.34% | 77,307 |
| Chester | 116,114 | 42.53% | 141,682 | 51.90% | 7,930 | 2.90% | 2,247 | 0.82% | 827 | 0.30% | 4,198 | 1.54% | -25,568 | -9.37% | 272,998 |
| Clarion | 12,576 | 71.21% | 4,273 | 24.20% | 469 | 2.66% | 115 | 0.65% | 102 | 0.58% | 125 | 0.71% | 8,303 | 47.01% | 17,660 |
| Clearfield | 24,932 | 72.16% | 8,200 | 23.73% | 776 | 2.25% | 220 | 0.64% | 143 | 0.41% | 279 | 0.81% | 16,732 | 48.43% | 34,550 |
| Clinton | 10,022 | 64.64% | 4,744 | 30.60% | 470 | 3.03% | 121 | 0.78% | 37 | 0.24% | 111 | 0.71% | 5,278 | 34.04% | 15,505 |
| Columbia | 18,004 | 63.16% | 8,934 | 31.34% | 883 | 3.10% | 265 | 0.93% | 142 | 0.50% | 278 | 0.97% | 9,070 | 31.82% | 28,506 |
| Crawford | 24,987 | 66.08% | 10,971 | 29.01% | 1,046 | 2.77% | 271 | 0.72% | 217 | 0.57% | 321 | 0.85% | 14,016 | 37.07% | 37,813 |
| Cumberland | 69,076 | 55.94% | 47,085 | 38.13% | 3,975 | 3.22% | 939 | 0.76% | 542 | 0.44% | 1,869 | 1.51% | 21,991 | 17.81% | 123,486 |
| Dauphin | 60,863 | 46.18% | 64,706 | 49.10% | 3,498 | 2.65% | 1,177 | 0.89% | 628 | 0.48% | 911 | 0.69% | -3,843 | -2.92% | 131,783 |
| Delaware | 110,667 | 36.97% | 177,402 | 59.27% | 5,992 | 2.00% | 2,588 | 0.86% | 985 | 0.33% | 1,702 | 0.57% | -66,735 | -22.30% | 299,336 |
| Elk | 10,025 | 68.91% | 3,853 | 26.49% | 401 | 2.76% | 79 | 0.54% | 68 | 0.47% | 121 | 0.83% | 6,172 | 42.42% | 14,547 |
| Erie | 60,069 | 48.01% | 58,112 | 46.44% | 3,871 | 3.09% | 1,139 | 0.91% | 488 | 0.39% | 1,450 | 1.16% | 1,957 | 1.57% | 125,129 |
| Fayette | 34,590 | 63.94% | 17,946 | 33.17% | 853 | 1.58% | 232 | 0.43% | 146 | 0.27% | 332 | 0.61% | 16,644 | 30.77% | 54,099 |
| Forest | 1,684 | 69.59% | 626 | 25.87% | 60 | 2.48% | 19 | 0.79% | 13 | 0.54% | 18 | 0.74% | 1,058 | 43.72% | 2,420 |
| Franklin | 49,768 | 70.59% | 17,465 | 24.77% | 1,712 | 2.43% | 450 | 0.64% | 336 | 0.48% | 775 | 1.10% | 32,303 | 45.82% | 70,506 |
| Fulton | 5,694 | 83.47% | 912 | 13.37% | 93 | 1.36% | 37 | 0.54% | 35 | 0.51% | 51 | 0.75% | 4,782 | 70.10% | 6,822 |
| Greene | 10,849 | 68.37% | 4,482 | 28.25% | 284 | 1.79% | 83 | 0.52% | 66 | 0.42% | 104 | 0.66% | 6,367 | 40.12% | 15,868 |
| Huntingdon | 14,494 | 72.96% | 4,539 | 22.85% | 425 | 2.14% | 96 | 0.48% | 152 | 0.77% | 160 | 0.81% | 9,955 | 50.11% | 19,866 |
| Indiana | 24,888 | 65.29% | 11,528 | 30.24% | 936 | 2.46% | 220 | 0.58% | 198 | 0.52% | 352 | 0.92% | 13,360 | 35.05% | 38,122 |
| Jefferson | 15,192 | 77.53% | 3,650 | 18.63% | 432 | 2.20% | 110 | 0.56% | 94 | 0.48% | 117 | 0.60% | 11,542 | 58.90% | 19,595 |
| Juniata | 8,273 | 78.45% | 1,821 | 17.27% | 201 | 1.91% | 71 | 0.67% | 88 | 0.83% | 91 | 0.86% | 6,452 | 61.18% | 10,545 |
| Lackawanna | 48,384 | 46.34% | 51,983 | 49.79% | 1,935 | 1.85% | 896 | 0.86% | 258 | 0.25% | 948 | 0.91% | -3,599 | -3.45% | 104,404 |
| Lancaster | 137,914 | 56.33% | 91,093 | 37.21% | 8,555 | 3.49% | 2,021 | 0.83% | 1,529 | 0.62% | 3,720 | 1.52% | 46,821 | 19.12% | 244,832 |
| Lawrence | 25,428 | 61.90% | 14,009 | 34.11% | 870 | 2.12% | 248 | 0.60% | 198 | 0.48% | 323 | 0.79% | 11,419 | 27.79% | 41,076 |
| Lebanon | 40,525 | 64.84% | 18,953 | 30.32% | 1,647 | 2.64% | 422 | 0.68% | 298 | 0.48% | 658 | 1.05% | 21,572 | 34.52% | 62,503 |
| Lehigh | 73,690 | 45.28% | 81,324 | 49.97% | 4,027 | 2.47% | 1,402 | 0.86% | 550 | 0.34% | 1,740 | 1.07% | -7,634 | -4.69% | 162,733 |
| Luzerne | 78,688 | 57.90% | 52,451 | 38.60% | 2,339 | 1.72% | 1,178 | 0.87% | 327 | 0.24% | 918 | 0.68% | 26,237 | 19.30% | 135,901 |
| Lycoming | 35,627 | 69.68% | 13,020 | 25.46% | 1,311 | 2.56% | 384 | 0.75% | 223 | 0.44% | 566 | 1.11% | 22,607 | 44.22% | 51,131 |
| McKean | 11,635 | 70.67% | 4,025 | 24.45% | 408 | 2.48% | 151 | 0.92% | 77 | 0.47% | 168 | 1.02% | 7,610 | 46.22% | 16,464 |
| Mercer | 31,544 | 59.70% | 18,733 | 35.45% | 1,370 | 2.59% | 415 | 0.79% | 247 | 0.47% | 530 | 1.00% | 12,811 | 24.25% | 52,839 |
| Mifflin | 14,094 | 75.28% | 3,877 | 20.71% | 476 | 2.54% | 80 | 0.43% | 74 | 0.40% | 120 | 0.64% | 10,217 | 54.57% | 18,721 |
| Monroe | 33,386 | 47.69% | 33,918 | 48.45% | 1,502 | 2.15% | 758 | 1.08% | 188 | 0.27% | 256 | 0.36% | -532 | -0.76% | 70,008 |
| Montgomery | 162,731 | 37.10% | 256,082 | 58.38% | 10,934 | 2.49% | 3,704 | 0.84% | 1,236 | 0.28% | 3,965 | 0.90% | -93,351 | -21.28% | 438,652 |
| Montour | 5,288 | 61.80% | 2,857 | 33.39% | 287 | 3.35% | 73 | 0.85% | 51 | 0.60% | 0 | 0.00% | 2,431 | 28.41% | 8,556 |
| Northampton | 71,736 | 49.62% | 66,275 | 45.84% | 3,690 | 2.55% | 1,371 | 0.95% | 450 | 0.31% | 1,047 | 0.72% | 5,461 | 3.78% | 144,569 |
| Northumberland | 25,427 | 68.89% | 9,788 | 26.52% | 931 | 2.52% | 296 | 0.80% | 180 | 0.49% | 285 | 0.77% | 15,639 | 42.37% | 36,907 |
| Perry | 15,616 | 73.07% | 4,632 | 21.67% | 619 | 2.90% | 163 | 0.76% | 128 | 0.60% | 213 | 1.00% | 10,984 | 51.40% | 21,371 |
| Philadelphia | 108,748 | 15.32% | 584,025 | 82.30% | 7,115 | 1.00% | 6,679 | 0.94% | 1,064 | 0.15% | 1,987 | 0.28% | -475,277 | -66.98% | 709,618 |
| Pike | 16,061 | 61.06% | 9,268 | 35.24% | 494 | 1.88% | 226 | 0.86% | 71 | 0.27% | 183 | 0.70% | 6,793 | 25.82% | 26,303 |
| Potter | 6,251 | 79.49% | 1,302 | 16.56% | 165 | 2.10% | 35 | 0.45% | 31 | 0.39% | 80 | 1.01% | 4,949 | 62.93% | 7,864 |
| Schuylkill | 44,001 | 69.42% | 16,770 | 26.46% | 1,414 | 2.23% | 449 | 0.71% | 235 | 0.37% | 516 | 0.81% | 27,231 | 42.96% | 63,385 |
| Snyder | 11,725 | 71.12% | 4,002 | 24.28% | 455 | 2.76% | 111 | 0.67% | 70 | 0.42% | 123 | 0.75% | 7,723 | 46.84% | 16,486 |
| Somerset | 27,379 | 75.90% | 7,376 | 20.45% | 678 | 1.88% | 166 | 0.46% | 174 | 0.48% | 300 | 0.83% | 20,003 | 55.45% | 36,073 |
| Sullivan | 2,291 | 72.68% | 750 | 23.79% | 65 | 2.06% | 14 | 0.44% | 16 | 0.51% | 16 | 0.51% | 1,541 | 48.89% | 3,152 |
| Susquehanna | 12,891 | 67.69% | 5,123 | 26.90% | 568 | 2.98% | 192 | 1.01% | 89 | 0.47% | 180 | 0.95% | 7,768 | 40.79% | 19,043 |
| Tioga | 13,614 | 73.56% | 3,901 | 21.08% | 548 | 2.96% | 139 | 0.75% | 123 | 0.66% | 182 | 0.98% | 9,713 | 52.48% | 18,507 |
| Union | 10,622 | 60.02% | 6,180 | 34.92% | 450 | 2.54% | 143 | 0.81% | 73 | 0.41% | 228 | 1.29% | 4,442 | 25.43% | 17,696 |
| Venango | 16,021 | 68.09% | 6,309 | 26.81% | 733 | 3.12% | 149 | 0.63% | 136 | 0.58% | 182 | 0.77% | 9,712 | 41.28% | 23,530 |
| Warren | 12,477 | 67.06% | 5,145 | 27.65% | 549 | 2.95% | 130 | 0.70% | 133 | 0.71% | 172 | 0.92% | 7,332 | 39.41% | 18,606 |
| Washington | 61,386 | 60.03% | 36,322 | 35.52% | 2,643 | 2.58% | 733 | 0.72% | 366 | 0.36% | 817 | 0.80% | 25,064 | 24.51% | 102,267 |
| Wayne | 16,244 | 67.63% | 7,008 | 29.18% | 466 | 1.94% | 206 | 0.86% | 94 | 0.39% | 0 | 0.00% | 9,236 | 38.45% | 24,018 |
| Westmoreland | 116,522 | 63.50% | 59,669 | 32.52% | 4,367 | 2.38% | 936 | 0.51% | 557 | 0.30% | 1,441 | 0.79% | 56,853 | 30.98% | 183,492 |
| Wyoming | 8,837 | 66.63% | 3,811 | 28.74% | 323 | 2.44% | 116 | 0.87% | 57 | 0.43% | 118 | 0.89% | 5,026 | 37.89% | 13,262 |
| York | 128,528 | 61.78% | 68,524 | 32.94% | 6,484 | 3.12% | 1,568 | 0.75% | 882 | 0.42% | 2,043 | 0.98% | 60,004 | 28.84% | 208,029 |
| Totals | 2,970,742 | 48.17% | 2,926,458 | 47.45% | 146,719 | 2.38% | 49,941 | 0.81% | 21,572 | 0.35% | 51,506 | 0.83% | 44,284 | 0.72% | 6,166,938 |
* Democratic — +>15%
* Democratic — +12.5-15%
* Democratic — +7.5-10%
* Democratic — +5-7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5-5%
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%
* Republican — +10-12.5%
* Republican — +12.5-15%
* Republican — +>15%
* Democratic — +>15%
* Democratic — +12.5-15%
* Democratic — +7.5-10%
* Democratic — +5-7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5-5%
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%
* Republican — +10-12.5%
* Republican — +12.5-15%
* Republican — +>15%
* Democratic  Hold  Gain from Republican Republican  Hold  Gain from Democratic

##### Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

* Erie (largest city: Erie)
* Luzerne (largest city: Wilkes-Barre)
* Northampton (largest city: Bethlehem)

##### Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

* Chester (largest borough: West Chester)

#### By congressional district

Trump won 12 of 18 congressional districts, including one which elected a Democrat, while Clinton won six, including two that elected a Republican.
| District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
| 1 | 18% | 80% | Bob Brady |
| 2 | 8% | 90% | Chaka Fattah |
| 2 | 8% | 90% | Dwight Evans |
| 3 | 61% | 35% | Mike Kelly |
| 4 | 59% | 37% | Scott Perry |
| 5 | 62% | 34% | Glenn Thompson |
| 6 | 48% | 48% | Ryan Costello |
| 7 | 47% | 49% | Patrick Meehan |
| 8 | 48% | 48% | Mike Fitzpatrick |
| 8 | 48% | 48% | Brian Fitzpatrick |
| 9 | 70% | 27% | Bill Shuster |
| 10 | 66% | 30% | Tom Marino |
| 11 | 60% | 36% | Lou Barletta |
| 12 | 59% | 38% | Keith Rothfus |
| 13 | 32% | 65% | Brendan Boyle |
| 14 | 31% | 66% | Mike Doyle |
| 15 | 52% | 44% | Charlie Dent |
| 16 | 51% | 44% | Joe Pitts |
| 16 | 51% | 44% | Lloyd Smucker |
| 17 | 53% | 43% | Matt Cartwright |
| 18 | 58% | 39% | Tim Murphy |

## Analysis

2016 was the first presidential election since 1948 in which the Democratic nominee won the popular vote without the state. Pennsylvania's vote for Donald Trump, along with that of Wisconsin and Michigan, marked the fall of the Democratic Blue Wall, a bloc of over 240 electoral votes that voted solidly Democratic from 1992 to 2012. Pennsylvania was one of the eleven states to have voted twice for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 which Hillary Clinton lost in 2016. Although Wisconsin eventually delivered the Trump victory, when the Clinton campaign learned that they had lost Pennsylvania, they knew that they had lost the election. While political analysts generally agree that Clinton met her turnout targets for Democratic voters, especially among the key counties of Bucks and Montgomery, Republican voter turnout was unexpectedly high in 2016, leading to a Trump win regardless of the Clinton campaign hitting their targets. Trump became the first Republican ever to win the White House without carrying Chester or Dauphin Counties, as well as the first to do so without carrying Centre County since Benjamin Harrison in 1888, and the first to do so without carrying Monroe County since Calvin Coolidge in 1924. He also became the first Republican to win Pennsylvania without carrying any of Philadelphia's suburban counties. Trump was the first Republican nominee for president to win the Luzerne and Northampton counties since 1988. He was the first Republican to win Erie County since 1984.