# 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine

Elections in Maine :
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Question 5 :
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vte :
The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Maine, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election and an election to the U.S. Senate. Democrats would not win both of Maine's congressional districts again until 2018.

## Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Maine, 2012 :
| Party | Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats before | Seats after | +/– |
| | Democratic | 427,819 | 61.66% | 2 | 2 | - |
| | Republican | 265,982 | 38.34% | 0 | 0 | - |
| Totals | Totals | 693,801 | 100% | 2 | 2 | - |

## Redistricting

Unlike most states, which will pass or have passed redistricting laws to redraw the boundaries of their congressional districts based on the 2010 United States census in advance of the 2012 elections, Maine law requires that redistricting be done in 2013. In March 2011, a lawsuit was filed asking a U.S. district judge to ensure redistricting is completed in time for the 2012 elections. According to the Census, the 1st district had a population of 8,669 greater than that of the 2nd district. The Maine Democratic Party, which opposes the lawsuit, was granted intervenor status, and argues that the lawsuit constitutes an attempt by the Maine Republican Party to force Representatives Chellie Pingree and Mike Michaud, both of whom are Democrats, to run in the same district. On June 9, 2011, a panel of three federal judges agreed that failing to redistrict would be unconstitutional, and that the state should redraw the boundaries of its districts immediately.
Governor Paul LePage will call a special session of the Maine Legislature on September 27 to consider a redistricting plan. On August 15, both Republicans and Democrats released redistricting proposals. The Republican plan would move Lincoln County, Knox County (including Pingree's hometown of North Haven) and Sagadahoc County from the 1st district to the 2nd, and move Oxford County and Androscoggin County from the 2nd district to the 1st, thereby making the 2nd district more favorable to Republicans. The Democratic plan, meanwhile, would not significantly change the current districts: only Vassalboro would be moved from the 1st district to the 2nd.

## District 1

Democrat Chellie Pingree, who had represented Maine's 1st congressional district since 2009, was gathering signatures to run for the U.S. Senate, but she decided not to run. State senator Cynthia Dill and state representative Jon Hinck, both of whom are Democrats, picked up petitions to run in the 1st district. However, after Pingree stepped out of the Senate race, Dill and Hinck returned, campaigning for U.S. Senate.

### Democratic primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Chellie Pingree, incumbent U.S. Representative

##### Withdrawn

* Cynthia Dill, state senator
* Jon Hinck, state representative

#### Primary results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Chellie Pingree (incumbent) | 31,965 | 100.0 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 31,965 | 100.0 |

### Republican primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Jon Courtney, State Senate majority leader

##### Eliminated in primary

* Patrick Calder, merchant marine

##### Declined

* Markham Gartley, former Secretary of State of Maine
* Shawn Moody, independent candidate for Governor in 2010
* Richard Snow, businessman

#### Primary results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Jonathan Courtney | 14,558 | 50.4 |
| | Republican | Patrick Calder | 14,330 | 49.6 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 28,888 | 100.0 |

### Independents
#### Declined

* Shawn Moody, independent candidate for Governor in 2010

### General election
#### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chellie Pingree (D) | Jon Courtney (R) | Undecided |
| MPRC/Maine People's Alliance (D) | November 1–3, 2012 | 469 | ± 3.3% | 62% | 34% | 4% |
| Pan Atlantic SMS Group | September 24–28, 2012 | 198 | ± 7.0% | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| MPRC/Maine People's Alliance (D) | September 15–17, 2012 | 444 | ± 4.3% | 60% | 32% | 8% |
| Critical Insights (Portland Press Herald) | June 20–25, 2012 | 615 | ± 4.0% | 57% | 31% | 12% |
| Maine People's Resource Center (D) | March 31–April 2, 2012 | 522 | ± 4.3% | 61% | 28% | 11% |

#### Results

Maine's 1st congressional district, 2012 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Chellie Pingree (incumbent) | 236,363 | 64.8 |
| | Republican | Jonathan Courtney | 128,440 | 35.2 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 364,803 | 100.0 |
| | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold |

## District 2

Democrat Mike Michaud, who had represented Maine's 2nd congressional district since 2003, decided not to run for the U.S. Senate, and was running for a sixth term in the United States House of Representatives. David Costa, a concierge at the Portland Harbor Hotel; Wellington Lyons, a lawyer; and David Lemoine, a former state treasurer, had taken out papers to seek the Democratic nomination to succeed Michaud had he run for Senate. Emily Cain, the minority leader of the Maine House of Representatives, had also planned to seek the Democratic nomination in the 2nd district if Michaud decided to run for the Senate seat.

### Democratic primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Mike Michaud, incumbent U.S. Representative

##### Declined

* Emily Cain, minority leader of the Maine House of Representatives
* David Costa, concierge at the Portland Harbor Hotel
* David Lemoine, former State Treasurer
* Wellington Lyons, lawyer

#### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Mike Michaud (incumbent) | 21,895 | 100.0 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 21,895 | 100.0 |

### Republican primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Kevin Raye, Maine Senate president

##### Eliminated in primary

* Blaine Richardson, retired naval veteran

##### Declined

* Jason Levesque, businessman and nominee for this seat in 2010

#### Primary results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Kevin Raye | 18,703 | 60.0 |
| | Republican | Blaine R. Richardson | 12,465 | 40.0 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 31,168 | 100.0 |

### General election
#### Endorsements

Organizations
* Blue Dog Coalition
Organizations
* National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program

#### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Michaud (D) | Kevin Raye (R) | Undecided |
| MPRC/Maine People's Alliance (D) | November 1–3, 2012 | 469 | ± 3.3% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| Eaton River Strategies/Scientific Marketing & Analysis (R-Raye) | October 10–11, 2012 | 1,200 | ± 2.8% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
| Normington, Petts & Associates (D-Michaud) | October 8–9, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 58% | 33% | 9% |
| Pan Atlantic SMS Group | September 24–28, 2012 | 202 | ± 6.9% | 52% | 32% | 16% |
| MPRC/Maine People's Alliance (D) | September 15–17, 2012 | 410 | ± 4.3% | 56% | 37% | 7% |
| Normington, Petts & Associates (D-Michaud) | June 25–27, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 62% | 30% | 8% |
| Critical Insights (Portland Press Herald) | June 20–25, 2012 | 615 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 35% | 18% |
| Maine People's Resource Center (D) | March 31–April 2, 2012 | 471 | ± 4.5% | 53% | 37% | 10% |
| Normington, Petts & Associates (D-Michaud) | January 23–25, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 55% | 32% | 13% |

#### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |

#### Results

Maine's 2nd congressional district, 2012 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Mike Michaud (incumbent) | 191,456 | 58.2 |
| | Republican | Kevin Raye | 137,542 | 41.8 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 328,998 | 100.0 |
| | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold |