# St. Mary's South

St. Mary's South is a parliamentary constituency in the parish of Saint Mary, Antigua and Barbuda. A by-election was held in the constituency on 24 October 2023.

## Polling districts

St. Mary's South has three polling districts; "A", "B", and "C". Polling District "A" includes Jolly Hill, Bolans, Christian Valley, Willocks, Roses, Orange Valley, Picarts, Ffryes, and Valley Church. Polling District "B" includes Crabs Hill and Johnsons Point. Polling District "C" includes Urlings, Cades Bay, and Brooks.
2023 results for Polling District "A" :
| Polling Station | Party | Votes |
| Station 1 (A-C) | ABLP | 124 |
| Station 1 (A-C) | UPP | 103 |
| Station 1 (A-C) | DNA | 4 |
| Station 1 (A-C) | Invalid | 0 |
| Station 2 (D-H) | ABLP | 156 |
| Station 2 (D-H) | UPP | 136 |
| Station 2 (D-H) | DNA | 2 |
| Station 2 (D-H) | Invalid | 0 |
| Station 3 (I-L) | ABLP | 108 |
| Station 3 (I-L) | UPP | 84 |
| Station 3 (I-L) | DNA | 1 |
| Station 3 (I-L) | Invalid | 2 |
| Station 4 (M-R) | ABLP | 111 |
| Station 4 (M-R) | UPP | 97 |
| Station 4 (M-R) | DNA | 1 |
| Station 4 (M-R) | Invalid | 1 |
| Station 5 (S-X) | ABLP | 158 |
| Station 5 (S-X) | UPP | 125 |
| Station 5 (S-X) | DNA | 3 |
| Station 5 (S-X) | Invalid | 1 |
| Total | Votes | Percentage |
| UPP | 636 | 52.25% |
| ABLP | 566 | 46.50% |
| DNA | 11 | 0.90% |
| Rejected | 4 | 0.32% |
| | 1,217 | 100% |
| Registered Voters | 1,635 | |
2023 results for Polling District "B" :
| Polling Station | Party | Votes |
| Station 1 (A-W) | ABLP | 139 |
| Station 1 (A-W) | UPP | 66 |
| Station 1 (A-W) | DNA | 0 |
| Station 1 (A-W) | Invalid | 0 |
| Total | Votes | Percentage |
| ABLP | 139 | 67.80% |
| UPP | 66 | 32.19% |
| DNA | 0 | 0.00% |
| Rejected | 0 | 0.00% |
| | 205 | 100% |
| Registered Voters | 264 | |
2023 results for Polling District "C" :
| Polling Station | Party | Votes |
| Station 1 (A-J) | ABLP | 131 |
| Station 1 (A-J) | UPP | 149 |
| Station 1 (A-J) | DNA | 0 |
| Station 1 (A-J) | Invalid | 0 |
| Station 2 (K-W) | ABLP | 99 |
| Station 2 (K-W) | UPP | 137 |
| Station 2 (K-W) | DNA | 1 |
| Station 2 (K-W) | Invalid | 1 |
| Total | Votes | Percentage |
| UPP | 286 | 55.21% |
| ABLP | 230 | 44.40% |
| DNA | 1 | 0.19% |
| Rejected | 1 | 0.19% |
| | 518 | 100% |
| Registered Voters | 689 | |

## Electoral history
### Voting trends

| Party | 1971 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1989 | 1994 | 1999 | 2004 | 2009 | 2014 | 2018 | 2023 |
| ABLP | 38.26% | 32.88% | 60.19% | 71.55% | 56.06% | 45.68% | 42.69% | 39.04% | 40.83% | 52.09% | - | 44.54% |
| UPP | - | - | - | 28.45% | 29.87% | 51.51% | 53.22% | 60.96% | 58.50% | 47.91% | - | 54.69% |
| PLM | 61.74% | 67.12% | 37.53% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Others | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.27% | 0.00% | 14.07% | 2.82% | 4.08% | 0.00% | 0.66% | 0.00% | - | 0.62% |
| Valid | 860 | 1,323 | 1,452 | 1,188 | 1,279 | 1,561 | 1,567 | 1,647 | 1,805 | 1,937 | - | 1,935 |
| Invalid | 20 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 22 | - | 5 |
| Total | 880 | 1,334 | 1,457 | 1,195 | 1,285 | 1,565 | 1,573 | 1,653 | 1,813 | 1,959 | - | 1,940 |
| Registered | 1,453 | 1,372 | 1,842 | 1,948 | 2,108 | 2,437 | 2,607 | 1,782 | 2,176 | 2,131 | - | 2,588 |
| Turnout | 60.56% | 97.23% | 79.10% | 61.34% | 60.96% | 64.22% | 60.34% | 92.76% | 83.32% | 91.93% | - | 74.96% |

### 2023 by-election

On October 24, 2023, a by-election was conducted in the Antiguan seat of St. Mary's South in response to the resignation of Kelvin Simon, the sitting UPP member of parliament, due to challenges to his candidacy. It was Antigua and Barbuda's second election since Prime Minister Gaston Browne emerged victorious in the country's general election in 2023 with a narrow win.

## Members of parliament

| Year | Winner | Party | % Votes |
| 1971 | Victor McKay | PLM | 61.74% |
| 1976 | Victor McKay | PLM | 67.12% |
| 1980 | Hugh Marshall | ALP | 60.19% |
| 1984 | Hugh Marshall | ALP | 71.55% |
| 1989 | Hugh Marshall | ALP | 56.06% |
| 1994 | Hilson Baptiste | UPP | 51.51% |
| 1999 | Hilson Baptiste | UPP | 53.22% |
| 2004 | Hilson Baptiste | UPP | 60.96% |
| 2009 | Hilson Baptiste | UPP | 58.50% |
| 2014 | Samantha Marshall | ABLP | 52.09% |
| 2018 | Samantha Marshall | ABLP | 50.35% |
| 2023 | Kelvin Simon | UPP | 54.69% |

## Demographics
### Constituency

Bolans, Crabb Hill, Johnson's Point, and Urlings are the major settlements in the constituency.
The following are the census districts in those villages.
* 80101 Bolans Jolly Beach_1
* 80102 Bolans Jolly Beach_2
* 80103 Bolans Jolly Beach_3
* 80200 Bolans Tottenham Park
* 80300 Bolans Hill
* 80401 Bolans Jolly Hill_1
* 80402 Bolans Jolly Hill_2
* 80403 Bolans Jolly Hill_3
* 80500 Bolans Central West
* 80600 Bolans Central East
* 80700 Bolans Clinic
* 81300 Urlings St. Mary's Church
* 81400 Urlings Central
* 81500 Urlings West
* 81600 Urlings School
* 81700 Johnsons Point
* 81800 Crabbs Hill
* 82700 Boggy Peak (includes Ffryes)
Country of birth data in Bolans, Ffryes, Crabb Hill, Johnson's Point, and Urlings :
| Q58. Country of birth | Counts | % |
| Africa | 19 | 0.55% |
| Other Latin or North American countries | 6 | 0.18% |
| Antigua and Barbuda | 2,576 | 74.59% |
| Other Caribbean countries | 12 | 0.34% |
| Canada | 38 | 1.10% |
| Other Asian countries | 13 | 0.37% |
| Other European countries | 64 | 1.87% |
| Dominica | 78 | 2.26% |
| Dominican Republic | 13 | 0.37% |
| Guyana | 149 | 4.31% |
| Jamaica | 157 | 4.56% |
| Monsterrat | 19 | 0.55% |
| St. Kitts and Nevis | 8 | 0.24% |
| St. Lucia | 15 | 0.43% |
| St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 0.18% |
| Trinidad and Tobago | 18 | 0.52% |
| United Kingdom | 90 | 2.60% |
| USA | 121 | 3.52% |
| USVI United States Virgin Islands | 21 | 0.61% |
| Not Stated | 30 | 0.86% |
| Total | 3,453 | 100.00% |
Religion data in Bolans, Ffryes, Crabb Hill, Johnson's Point, and Urlings :
| Q49 Religion | Counts | % |
| Adventist | 322 | 9.34% |
| Anglican | 1,126 | 32.65% |
| Baptist | 51 | 1.47% |
| Church of God | 57 | 1.65% |
| Evangelical | 92 | 2.66% |
| Jehovah Witness | 16 | 0.46% |
| Methodist | 181 | 5.24% |
| Moravian | 298 | 8.64% |
| Nazarene | 126 | 3.64% |
| None/no religion | 248 | 7.20% |
| Pentecostal | 282 | 8.18% |
| Rastafarian | 55 | 1.59% |
| Roman Catholic | 192 | 5.57% |
| Weslyan Holiness | 190 | 5.51% |
| Other | 82 | 2.39% |
| Don't know/Not stated | 131 | 3.80% |
| Total | 3,448 | 100.00% |
| NotApp : | 5 | |
Ethnic data in Bolans, Ffryes, Crabb Hill, Johnson's Point, and Urlings :
| Q48 Ethnic | Counts | % |
| African descendent | 3,061 | 88.65% |
| Caucasian/White | 213 | 6.18% |
| East Indian/India | 24 | 0.70% |
| Mixed (Black/White) | 25 | 0.73% |
| Mixed (Other) | 72 | 2.08% |
| Hispanic | 5 | 0.15% |
| Syrian/Lebanese | 3 | 0.09% |
| Other | 23 | 0.67% |
| Don't know/Not stated | 25 | 0.73% |
| Total | 3,453 | 100.00% |

#### Polling District "A"

The following census districts comprise the villages of Jolly Hill, Bolans, and Ffryes.
* 80101 Bolans Jolly Beach_1
* 80102 Bolans Jolly Beach_2
* 80103 Bolans Jolly Beach_3
* 80200 Bolans Tottenham Park
* 80300 Bolans Hill
* 80401 Bolans Jolly Hill_1
* 80402 Bolans Jolly Hill_2
* 80403 Bolans Jolly Hill_3
* 80500 Bolans Central West
* 80600 Bolans Central East
* 80700 Bolans Clinic
* 82700 Boggy Peak (includes Ffryes)

#### Polling District "B"

The following census districts comprise the villages of Johnsons Point and Crabbs Hill.
* 81700 Johnsons Point
* 81800 Crabbs Hill

#### Polling District "C"

The following census districts comprise Urlings, Cades Bay, and Brooks.
* 81300 Urlings St. Mary's Church
* 81400 Urlings Central
* 81500 Urlings West
* 81600 Urlings School