# 2014 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

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vte :
The 2014 United States Senate election in Massachusetts was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, concurrently with the election of the Governor of Massachusetts, other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey ran for re-election to a first full term in office. Primary elections were held on September 9, 2014. Markey was unopposed for the Democratic nomination; Hopkinton Selectman Brian Herr was also unopposed for the Republican nomination.

## Background

Incumbent Democratic Senator John Kerry, serving since 1985, had planned to run for re-election to a sixth term, but on December 15, 2012, it was announced that the long-time Massachusetts senator and 2004 presidential nominee would be nominated as United States Secretary of State under President Barack Obama. Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick appointed Mo Cowan as a temporary replacement for Kerry, after he was confirmed as secretary of state and therefore resigned his senate seat. There was a special election on June 25, 2013, to finish the term, which was won by Ed Markey, the 37-year Democratic incumbent from Massachusetts's 5th congressional district.

## Democratic primary
### Candidates
#### Declared

* Ed Markey, incumbent U.S. Senator

#### Withdrew

* John Kerry, U.S. Secretary of State and former U.S. Senator

#### Declined

* Mo Cowan, former U.S. Senator

## Republican primary
### Candidates
#### Declared

* Brian Herr, Hopkinton Selectman

#### Did not qualify

* Frank Addivinola, attorney, candidate for Massachusetts's 5th congressional district in 2012 and 2013
* J. Mark Inman, contestant on The X Factor in 2011

#### Declined

* Keith Ablow, psychiatrist and Fox News contributor
* Charlie Baker, former state cabinet secretary and nominee for governor in 2010 (ran for governor)
* Scott Brown, former U.S. Senator (ran for the U.S. Senate in New Hampshire)
* Gabriel E. Gomez, businessman, former Navy SEAL and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2013
* Richard Tisei, former State Senate Minority Leader, nominee for lieutenant governor in 2010 and nominee for MA-06 in 2012 (ran for Congress)
* William Weld, former governor of Massachusetts and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1996
* Daniel Winslow, former state representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2013

## Independent
### Candidates
#### Withdrew

* Bruce Skarin, government research scientist

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Solid D | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ed Markey (D) | Brian Herr (R) | Other | Undecided |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,846 | ± 4.9% | 61% | 34% | 2% | 3% |
| Boston Globe | September 14–16, 2014 | 407 | ± 4.85% | 53% | 27% | — | 21% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 16–17, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 49% | 31% | 5% | 15% |
| WBUR/MassINC | September 16–21, 2014 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 58% | 30% | 1% | 11% |
| WNEU | September 20–28, 2014 | 416 LV | ± 5% | 56% | 34% | — | 10% |
| WNEU | September 20–28, 2014 | 536 RV | ± 4% | 52% | 34% | — | 14% |
| Suffolk University | September 25–28, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 54% | 30% | — | 16% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 2,389 | ± 2% | 54% | 31% | 1% | 14% |
| WBUR/MassINC | October 1–4, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 56% | 30% | 1% | 13% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 2,218 | ± 3% | 54% | 32% | 0% | 14% |
| WBUR/MassINC | October 22–25, 2014 | 494 | ± 4.4% | 57% | 32% | 1% | 9% |
| Umass Amherst | October 20–27, 2014 | 591 LV | ± 4.4% | 53% | 37% | — | 9% |
| Umass Amherst | October 20–27, 2014 | 800 RV | ± 3.8% | 52% | 32% | — | 15% |
| Suffolk University | October 27–29, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 49% | 34% | — | 17% |
| WNEU | October 21–30, 2014 | 430 LV | ± 5% | 54% | 34% | — | 12% |
| WNEU | October 21–30, 2014 | 522 RV | ± 4% | 53% | 31% | — | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 30 – November 2, 2014 | 887 | ± 3.3% | 52% | 38% | — | 10% |
With Markey
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ed Markey (D) | Frank Addivinola (R) | Other | Undecided |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,901 | ± 4.9% | 59% | 34% | 2% | 5% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 3,361 | ± 2% | 53% | 28% | 2% | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ed Markey (D) | Scott Brown (R) | Other | Undecided |
| MassInc | July 17–20, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 43% | 38% | 2% | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 46% | 45% | — | 9% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ed Markey (D) | Gabriel Gomez (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 53% | 35% | — | 12% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ed Markey (D) | Richard Tisei (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 54% | 27% | — | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ed Markey (D) | Bill Weld (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 47% | 41% | — | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ed Markey (D) | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided |
| WBUR/MassINC | March 14–16, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 29% | — | 21% |
With Kerry
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Kerry (D) | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | September 13–16, 2012 | 1,051 | ± 3.3% | 54% | 33% | — | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 9–11, 2012 | 1,051 | ± 3.0% | 53% | 32% | — | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 1–2, 2012 | 1,089 | ± 3.0% | 54% | 30% | — | 15% |

### Results

United States Senate election in Massachusetts, 2014 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Democratic | Ed Markey (incumbent) | 1,289,944 | 61.87% | +7.07% |
| | Republican | Brian Herr | 791,950 | 37.98% | −6.62% |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 3,078 | 0.15% | -0.06% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 2,084,972 | 100.00% | N/A |
| | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold |

#### Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

* Barnstable (largest municipality: Barnstable)
* Bristol (largest municipality: New Bedford)
* Hampden (largest municipality: Springfield)
* Plymouth (largest municipality: Brockton)
* Worcester (largest municipality: Worcester)

#### By congressional district

Markey won all 9 congressional districts.
| District | Herr | Markey | Representative |
| 1st | 37.63% | 62.37% | Richard Neal |
| 2nd | 41.99% | 58.01% | Jim McGovern |
| 3rd | 42.04% | 57.96% | Niki Tsongas |
| 4th | 41.38% | 58.62% | Joe Kennedy III |
| 5th | 30.65% | 69.35% | Katherine Clark |
| 6th | 42.06% | 57.94% | John F. Tierney |
| 7th | 15.62% | 84.38% | Michael Capuano |
| 8th | 39.06% | 60.96% | Stephen Lynch |
| 9th | 44.54% | 55.46% | Bill Keating |