# 2012 United States Senate election in Ohio

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The 2012 United States Senate election in Ohio took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican Josh Mandel, the Ohio State Treasurer. Brown was unopposed in the Democratic primary while Mandel won the Republican primary with 63% of the vote.

## Democratic primary
### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Sherrod Brown (incumbent) | 522,827 | 100.00% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 522,827 | 100.00% |

## Republican primary
### Candidates
#### Filed

* Russell Bliss
* David Dodt
* Donna Glisman, retired entrepreneur
* Eric LaMont Gregory, medical scientist
* Josh Mandel, Ohio State Treasurer
* Michael Pryce, surgeon

#### Withdrew

* Kevin Coughlin, former Ohio state senator (dropped out)

#### Declined

* Jim Tressel, Ohio State football coach

### Endorsements

Josh Mandel was endorsed by Rob Portman, U.S. Senator (R-OH); Jim DeMint, U.S. Senator (R-SC); Jim Jordan, U.S. Congressman (R-OH); Club for Growth; National Rifle Association of America; Tea Party Express; John McCain, U.S. Senator (R-AZ); Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator (R-FL); Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey; Afghanistan & Iraq Veterans for Congress (AIVC); Buckeye Firearms Association National Right to Life Committee; Ohio Right to Life; and National Federation of Independent Business

### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Josh Mandel | 580,525 | 63.00% |
| | Republican | Michael Pryce | 130,370 | 14.15% |
| | Republican | Donna Glisman | 114,183 | 12.39% |
| | Republican | David Dodt | 47,278 | 5.13% |
| | Republican | Eric Gregory | 47,123 | 5.11% |
| | Republican | Russell Bliss | 1,927 | 0.21% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 921,406 | 100.00% |

## General election
### Candidates

* Sherrod Brown (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Senator
* Josh Mandel (Republican), Ohio State Treasurer
* Scott Rupert Archived February 1, 2016, at the Wayback Machine (Independent), truck driver

### Debates

* Complete video of debate, October 15, 2012 - C-SPAN
* Complete video of debate, October 25, 2012 - C-SPAN

### Campaign

In 2006, U.S. Representative Sherrod Brown defeated two-term incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Mike DeWine 56%-44% 2006 election. Over the next six years, he established a very liberal, progressive, and populist record. The National Journal named Brown the most liberal U.S. Senator in the past two years. The Washington Post called him a "modern-day Paul Wellstone." One article said "Brown is way to the left of Ohio in general, but probably the only person who could outwork Brown is Portman." Brown is the only candidate the 60 Plus Association targeted in the 2012 election cycle.
Mandel, 34, was elected state treasurer in 2010. Before that, he was a Lyndhurst City Councilman and Ohio State Representative. He was criticized as Ohio Treasurer for not fulfilling his pledge to serve a four-year term and for not attending any of the Board of Deposit monthly meetings. However, Mandel raised a lot of money. He was called a rising star in the Republican Party and was called "the rock star of the party." He was also compared to Marco Rubio.
Mandel's campaign was singled out by the independent fact-checking group Politifact for its "casual relationship with the truth" and its tendency to "double down" after inaccuracies were pointed out. The fact-checking group wrote: "For all the gifts Mandel has, from his compelling personal narrative as an Iraq war veteran to a well-oiled fundraising machine, whoppers are fast becoming a calling card of his candidacy."
Mandel raised $7.2 million through the first quarter of 2012. He had $5.3 million cash on hand, trailing Brown's $6.3 million. However, Mandel benefited from massive support from conservative out-of-state superPACs, which raise unlimited amounts of money from anonymous donors. These outside groups, including Crossroads GPS, aired over $60 million in TV advertising supporting Mandel and attacking Brown, outspending Democratically aligned outside groups by more than five-to-one. Mandel's campaign was aided by over $1 million spent primarily on attack ads by a 501(c)(4) organization called the Government Integrity Fund. The group was funded by anonymous donors and run by lobbyist Tom Norris of Columbus, Ohio-based Cap Square Solutions.

### Endorsements

Brown was endorsed by the Cleveland Plain Dealer, the Columbus Dispatch, the Toledo Blade, the Youngstown Vindicator, The Cincinnati Enquirer, and the Akron Beacon-Journal.
Mandel was endorsed by the Warren Tribune-Chronicle and the Marietta Times.

### Fundraising

| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
| Sherrod Brown (D) | $8,132,882 | $3,379,775 | $6,273,316 | $0 |
| Josh Mandel (R) | $7,286,390 | $1,999,397 | $5,286,993 | $0 |
| Scott Rupert (I) | $3,153 | $2,594 | $389 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission |||||

#### Top contributors

| Sherrod Brown | Contribution | Josh Mandel | Contribution |
| JStreetPAC | $71,175 | Club for Growth | $172,904 |
| Ohio State University | $69,470 | Senate Conservatives Fund | $114,400 |
| Kohrman, Jackson & Krantz | $59,500 | Suarez Corp | $90,000 |
| Cleveland Clinic | $57,971 | Kasowitz Benson Torres & Friedman | $41,600 |
| Forest City Enterprises | $51,600 | American Financial Group | $32,750 |
| American Electric Power | $42,350 | Cintas Corp | $30,000 |
| Squire Sanders | $39,400 | Sullivan & Cromwell | $25,475 |
| Baker & Hostetler | $38,906 | Susquehanna International Group | $22,500 |
| Case Western Reserve University | $35,450 | Timken Company | $22,500 |
| Vorys, Sater, Seymour and Pease | $34,167 | Crawford Group | $22,000 |

#### Top industries

| Sherrod Brown | Contribution | Josh Mandel | Contribution |
| Lawyers/Law Firms | $1,587,113 | Retired | $480,900 |
| Retired | $942,717 | Financial Institutions | $397,140 |
| Health Professionals | $536,954 | Real Estate | $371,057 |
| Real Estate | $435,066 | Lawyers/Law Firms | $362,515 |
| Lobbyists | $393,651 | Leadership PACs | $320,050 |
| Education | $369,722 | Republican/Conservative | $278,924 |
| Leadership PACs | $318,975 | Manufacturing & Distributing | $276,600 |
| Hospitals/Nursing Homes | $286,072 | Misc Finance | $205,350 |
| Insurance | $223,983 | Retail Industry | $166,650 |
| Financial Institutions | $204,350 | Pro-Israel | $163,000 |

### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Lean D | November 1, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg Political Report | Lean D | November 2, 2012 |
| Real Clear Politics | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown (D) | Josh Mandel (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | March 10–13, 2011 | 559 | ±4.1% | 48% | 32% | — | 21% |
| Quinnipiac | May 10–16, 2011 | 1,379 | ±2.6% | 45% | 31% | 2% | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 565 | ±4.1% | 48% | 31% | — | 21% |
| Quinnipiac | July 12–18, 2011 | 1,659 | ±4.1% | 49% | 34% | 1% | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 11–14, 2011 | 792 | ±3.5% | 48% | 33% | — | 19% |
| Quinnipiac | September 20–25, 2011 | 1,301 | ±2.7% | 49% | 36% | — | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | 581 | ±4.1% | 48% | 40% | — | 12% |
| Quinnipiac | October 17–23, 2011 | 1,668 | ±2.4% | 49% | 34% | 1% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 4–6, 2011 | 1,421 | ±2.6% | 48% | 35% | — | 14% |
| Quinnipiac | January 9–16, 2012 | 1,610 | ±2.4% | 47% | 32% | 1% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–29, 2012 | 820 | ±3.4% | 47% | 36% | — | 17% |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 8, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 44% | 40% | 4% | 12% |
| Quinnipiac | February 7–12, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 48% | 35% | 4% | 17% |
| NBC News/Marist | February 29 – March 2, 2012 | 3,079 | ±1.8% | 47% | 37% | — | 16% |
| Quinnipiac | March 20–26, 2012 | 1,246 | ±2.8% | 46% | 36% | 3% | 14% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 26, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 43% | 43% | 3% | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 18, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 44% | 41% | 3% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 3–6, 2012 | 875 | ±3.3% | 45% | 37% | — | 19% |
| Quinnipiac | May 2–7, 2012 | 1,069 | ±3.0% | 46% | 40% | 1% | 13% |
| NBC News/Marist | May 17–20, 2012 | 1,103 | ±3.0% | 51% | 37% | — | 12% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 29, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 47% | 42% | 3% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 21–24, 2012 | 673 | ±3.8% | 46% | 39% | — | 15% |
| Quinnipiac | June 19–25, 2012 | 1,237 | ±2.8% | 50% | 34% | 1% | 14% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 18, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 46% | 42% | 4% | 8% |
| Magellan Strategies | July 23–24, 2012 | 597 | ±4.0% | 45% | 38% | 12% | 5% |
| Quinnipiac | July 24–30, 2012 | 1,193 | ±2.8% | 51% | 39% | 1% | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 13, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 44% | 44% | 3% | 9% |
| Quinnipiac | August 15–21, 2012 | 1,253 | ±2.8% | 48% | 45% | 1% | 10% |
| Ohio Poll | August 16–21, 2012 | 847 | ±3.4% | 48% | 47% | — | 5% |
| Columbus Dispatch | August 15–25, 2012 | 1,758 | ±2.1% | 44% | 44% | — | 12% |
| Gravis Marketing | September 7–8, 2012 | 1,548 | ±2.7% | 47% | 42% | — | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 7–9, 2012 | 1,072 | ±3.0% | 48% | 40% | — | 11% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll | September 9–11, 2012 | 979 | ±3.1% | 49% | 42% | — | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 12, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 49% | 41% | 3% | 7% |
| Ohio Newspaper Organization | September 13–18, 2012 | 861 | ±3.3% | 52% | 45% | 1% | 2% |
| Fox News Poll | September 16–18, 2012 | 1,009 | ±3.0% | 47% | 40% | 1% | 9% |
| Gravis Marketing | September 21–22, 2012 | 594 | ±4.3% | 44% | 43% | — | 13% |
| Washington Post | September 19–23, 2012 | 934 | ±4.0% | 53% | 41% | — | 6% |
| CBS/New York Times/Quinnipiac | September 18–24, 2012 | 1,162 | ±4.0% | 50% | 40% | — | 10% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist | September 30 – October 1, 2012 | 931 | ±3.2% | 50% | 41% | 1% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 4, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 46% | 46% | 2% | 6% |
| SurveyUSA | October 5–8, 2012 | 808 | ±3.5% | 42% | 38% | 4% | 16% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll | October 7–9, 2012 | 994 | ±3.1% | 52% | 41% | 1% | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 10, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 47% | 46% | 2% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 12–13, 2012 | 880 | ±3.3% | 49% | 42% | — | 9% |
| Survey USA | October 12–15, 2012 | 613 | ±4.0% | 43% | 38% | 4% | 14% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 17, 2012 | 750 | ±4.0% | 49% | 44% | 1% | 5% |
| CBS News/Quinnipiac | October 17–20, 2012 | 1,548 | ±3.0% | 51% | 42% | — | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 18–20, 2012 | 532 | ±4.3% | 49% | 44% | — | 7% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 18–20, 2012 | 550 | ±4.2% | 52% | 45% | 3% | — |
| Suffolk | October 18–21, 2012 | 600 | unknown | 46% | 39% | 6% | 10% |
| Pharos Research | October 19–21, 2012 | 810 | ±3.4% | 52% | 41% | — | 7% |
| SurveyUSA | October 20–22, 2012 | 725 | ±4.2% | 43% | 42% | 3% | 12% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 23, 2012 | 750 | ±4.0% | 48% | 44% | 2% | 5% |
| Cincinnati Enquirer/Ohio News | October 18–23, 2012 | 1,015 | ±3.1% | 51% | 47% | 1% | 2% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 27, 2012 | 730 | ±3.6% | 48% | 47% | — | 5% |
| CBS/Quinnipiac University | October 23–28, 2012 | 1,110 | ±3.0% | 51% | 42% | — | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 26–28, 2012 | 718 | ±3.7% | 53% | 42% | — | 6% |
| Pharos Research | October 26–28, 2012 | 765 | ±3.5% | 53% | 43% | — | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 28, 2012 | 750 | ±4.0% | 50% | 48% | 1% | 1% |
| SurveyUSA | October 26–29, 2012 | 603 | ±4.1% | 46% | 41% | 3% | 10% |
| University of Cincinnati/Ohio Poll | October 25–30, 2012 | 1,182 | ±2.9% | 49% | 44% | 4% | 3% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | October 29–31, 2012 | 885 | ±3.8% | 49% | 41% | 4% | 6% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist | October 31 – November 1, 2012 | 971 | ±3.1% | 50% | 45% | 1% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | November 1, 2012 | 750 | ±4.0% | 48% | 48% | 2% | 2% |
| Columbus Dispatch | October 24 – November 3, 2012 | 1,501 | ±2.2% | 51% | 45% | 4% | — |
| Ohio Poll/Univ. of Cincinnati | October 31 – November 4, 2012 | 901 | ±3.3% | 51% | 47% | 3% | — |
| SurveyUSA | November 1–4, 2012 | 803 | ±3.5% | 44% | 41% | 4% | 9% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | November 2–4, 2012 | 572 | ±4.1% | 52% | 46% | 2% | — |
| Public Policy Polling | November 3–4, 2012 | 1,000 | ±3.1% | 54% | 44% | — | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | November 4, 2012 | 750 | ±4% | 50% | 48% | 1% | 1% |
Democratic primary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown | Other/ Undecided |
| American Public Polling | January 23, 2012 | 1,600 | ±3% | 77% | 23% |
| American Public Polling | February 6, 2012 | 1,600 | ±3% | 84% | 16% |
| American Public Polling | February 13, 2012 | 1,600 | ±3% | 81% | 19% |
| American Public Polling | February 20–27, 2012 | 1,600 | ±3% | 91% | 9% |
Republican primary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kevin Coughlin | Josh Mandel | Other/ Undecided |
| Quinnipiac | July 12–18, 2011 | 563 | ±4.1% | 12% | 35% | 46% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 11–14, 2011 | 400 | ±4.9% | 12% | 31% | 57% |
| Quinnipiac | September 20–25, 2011 | 423 | ±4.8% | 12% | 33% | 53% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ken Blackwell | Kevin Coughlin | Josh Mandel | Other/ Undecided |
| Quinnipiac | May 10–16, 2011 | 1,379 | ±2.6% | 33% | 5% | 17% | 46% |
General election
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown (D) | Ken Blackwell (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Quinnipiac | May 10–16, 2011 | 1,379 | ±2.6% | 44% | 35% | 2% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 565 | ±4.1% | 51% | 33% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown (D) | Drew Carey (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | March 10–13, 2011 | 559 | ±4.1% | 49% | 34% | — | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown (D) | Kevin Coughlin (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Quinnipiac | May 10–16, 2011 | 1,379 | ±2.6% | 44% | 28% | 3% | 23% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 565 | ±4.1% | 51% | 30% | — | 19% |
| Quinnipiac | July 12–18, 2011 | 1,659 | ±4.1% | 50% | 32% | 1% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 11–14, 2011 | 792 | ±3.5% | 47% | 33% | — | 20% |
| Quinnipiac | September 20–25, 2011 | 1,301 | ±2.7% | 53% | 32% | — | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | 581 | ±4.1% | 48% | 37% | — | 15% |
| Quinnipiac | October 17–23, 2011 | 1,668 | ±2.4% | 51% | 30% | 1% | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown (D) | Mike DeWine (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | 510 | ±4.3% | 43% | 43% | — | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown (D) | Jon Husted (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | 510 | ±4.3% | 43% | 38% | — | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 10–13, 2011 | 559 | ±4.1% | 49% | 34% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown (D) | Jim Jordan (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | 510 | ±4.3% | 43% | 35% | — | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 10–13, 2011 | 559 | ±4.1% | 49% | 30% | — | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 565 | ±4.1% | 49% | 31% | — | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 11–14, 2011 | 792 | ±3.5% | 47% | 35% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown (D) | Steve LaTourette (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | March 10–13, 2011 | 559 | ±4.1% | 48% | 30% | — | 22% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown (D) | Mary Taylor (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | 510 | ±4.3% | 40% | 38% | — | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 10–13, 2011 | 559 | ±4.1% | 49% | 30% | — | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | 565 | ±4.1% | 50% | 31% | — | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown (D) | Jim Tressel (R) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | August 11–14, 2011 | 792 | ±3.5% | 46% | 34% | — | 20% |

### Results

United States Senate election in Ohio, 2012 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Democratic | Sherrod Brown (incumbent) | 2,762,766 | 50.70% | −5.46% |
| | Republican | Josh Mandel | 2,435,744 | 44.70% | +0.88% |
| | Independent | Scott Rupert | 250,618 | 4.60% | N/A |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 5,449,128 | 100.00% | N/A |
| | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold |

#### Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

* Harrison (Largest city: Cadiz)
* Hocking (Largest city: Logan)
* Jackson (Largest city: Jackson)
* Lawrence (Largest city: Ironton)
* Noble (Largest city: Caldwell)
* Vinton (Largest city: McArthur)
* Seneca (Largest city: Tiffin)
* Huron (Largest city: Norwalk)
* Columbiana (Largest city: Salem)
* Carroll (Largest city: Carrollton)
* Tuscarawas (largest city: New Philadelphia)
* Guernsey (Largest city: Cambridge)
* Coshocton (Largest city: Coshocton)
* Geauga (Largest city: Chardon)
* Medina (Largest city: Medina)
* Morgan (Largest city: McConnelsville)
* Washington (Largest city: Marietta)
* Muskingum (Largest city: Zanesville)
* Perry (Largest city: New Lexington)

#### Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

* Hamilton (largest municipality: Cincinnati)

#### By congressional district

Brown won 6 of 16 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans to the House.
| District | Brown | Mandel | Representative |
| 1st | 47.20% | 49.13% | Steve Chabot |
| 2nd | 44.52% | 51.01% | Jean Schmidt (112th Congress) |
| 2nd | 44.52% | 51.01% | Brad Wenstrup (113th Congress) |
| 3rd | 68.41% | 27.73% | Mike Turner (112th Congress) |
| 3rd | 68.41% | 27.73% | Joyce Beatty (113th Congress) |
| 4th | 40.48% | 54.19% | Jim Jordan |
| 5th | 43.26% | 51.76% | Bob Latta |
| 6th | 44.46% | 49.92% | Bill Johnson |
| 7th | 44.18% | 49.81% | Steve Austria (112th Congress) |
| 7th | 44.18% | 49.81% | Bob Gibbs (113th Congress) |
| 8th | 36.53% | 58.92% | John Boehner |
| 9th | 66.47% | 28.93% | Marcy Kaptur |
| 10th | 48.52% | 47.74% | Dennis Kucinich (112th Congress) |
| 10th | 48.52% | 47.74% | Mike Turner (113th Congress) |
| 11th | 81.90% | 15.71% | Marcia Fudge |
| 12th | 44.27% | 51.09% | Pat Tiberi |
| 13th | 63.80% | 30.99% | Betty Sutton (112th Congress) |
| 13th | 63.80% | 30.99% | Tim Ryan (113th Congress) |
| 14th | 48.07% | 47.14% | Steve LaTourette (112th Congress) |
| 14th | 48.07% | 47.14% | Dave Joyce (113th Congress) |
| 15th | 46.15% | 48.89% | Steve Stivers |
| 16th | 46.46% | 48.47% | Jim Renacci |