# Hwasong-13

The Hwasong-13 (Korean: 《화성-13》형; Hancha: 火星 13型; lit. Mars Type 13), also known as Nodong-C (Korean: 노동-시; Hancha: 蘆洞-C) or KN-08 under the U.S. naming convention, was a cancelled North Korean road-mobile intercontinental ballistic missile believed to have been under development starting around 2012 until its cancellation in 2017. The changes shown in the mock-up displayed in October 2015 indicated a change from a three- to two-stage design.

## Development

Mock-ups of the missile were first displayed during a military parade in April 2012 to mark the 100th anniversary of Kim Il Sung. Six missiles were carried on 16-wheel transporter erector launchers (TELs), similar in size to those used by the Russian RT-2PM2 Topol-M missiles. The TELs are thought to be based on WS-51200 frames made by Wanshan Special Vehicle in China, possibly using technology from Minsk Automobile Plant. UN investigators have concluded that the TELs were Chinese WS51200 trucks exported to North Korea for lumber transport. The North Koreans converted them into TELs by installing hydraulic gear and controls to erect a missile. Despite being converted to fire a missile, the truck would not be likely to survive damage from the rocket exhaust like a purpose-built TEL, making it a single-use launcher.
Mock-ups were again paraded in 2013, with fewer discrepancies among them compared to the previous year. The Hwasong-13 was paraded again to celebrate the 70th anniversary of the founding of Workers' Party of Korea on 11 October 2015. In this parade, the missile featured a modified smaller-in-length but larger-in-diameter third stage plus re-entry vehicle section design, which has led to suggestions that North Korea might have perfected nuclear warhead miniaturization.
According to 38 North, the Hwasong-13's dimensions are estimated to be about 17.1 m (56 ft) long, with the first and second stage diameter of about 1.9 m (6.2 ft), reducing to about 1.25 m (4.1 ft) for the third stage. Liquid-fueled ICBMs generally only have two stages for best performance, with a few exceptions (usually when an existing design is upgraded). Its three stage design is puzzling.
In early 2015, the U.S. Department of Defense announced that although they had not seen the Hwasong-13 tested, they believed North Korea had the ability to put a nuclear weapon on a Hwasong-13, and it was prudent to plan for that threat. Theoretically, it poses a threat to the U.S. mainland, able to deliver a 500–700 kg (1,100–1,500 lb) payload 7,500–9,000 km (4,700–5,600 mi) to the American west coast. Practically speaking however, its accuracy is likely "barely adequate" to target large cities, mobility would be limited to paved roads, and the system will require 1–2 hours of pre-launch fueling. In 2017, speculations were published that the KN-08 may achieve an "emergency operational status" by 2020.
On 2 December 2017, it was reported that the missile was canceled and that the development team was sent to assist development of the Hwasong-12 IRBM, the Hwasong-14 ICBM, and the Hwasong-15 ICBM. In an interview for Difesa Online, a military-focused website, on 27 November 2017, German analyst Norbert Brugge claimed that Hwasong-10 and Hwasong-13 were likely canceled due to an inability to solve engine problems.

### List of Hwasong-13 tests

| Attempt | Date | Location | Pre-launch announcement / detection | Outcome | Additional notes |
| 1 (Unconfirmed) | 15 October 2016, 12:03 pm Pyongyang Standard Time | Kusong | None | Failure (South Korea and United States) | Initially, the US military identified these tests as failed tests of Hwasong-10, without specifying details. North Korea kept silent on these reports. Five days after the first test, a second launch took place just hours before the start of the final 2016 US presidential election debate. According to The Washington Post, based on the burn scars in satellite imagery, which is bigger than any Hwasong-10 tests, the missile used for the test could be Hwasong-13 (KN-08). It is also possible that the missile using for the tests could be Pukguksong-2 or Hwasong-12. |
| 2 (Unconfirmed) | 20 October 2016, 7:00 am Pyongyang Standard Time | Kusong | None | Failure (South Korea and United States) | Initially, the US military identified these tests as failed tests of Hwasong-10, without specifying details. North Korea kept silent on these reports. Five days after the first test, a second launch took place just hours before the start of the final 2016 US presidential election debate. According to The Washington Post, based on the burn scars in satellite imagery, which is bigger than any Hwasong-10 tests, the missile used for the test could be Hwasong-13 (KN-08). It is also possible that the missile using for the tests could be Pukguksong-2 or Hwasong-12. |

## 2015 version

The mock-up displayed by North Korea in October 2015 was significantly different compared to previous models, with two stages rather than three. Overall size was somewhat reduced, with larger fuel tanks for the two stages. It was no longer built with extensive riveting, suggesting a more modern structural design, with reduced weight.
On 31 March 2016, The Washington Free Beacon reported that the missile displayed in 2015 was a new missile—called KN-08 Mod 2, or KN-14 (based on United States's naming convention)—rather than a KN-08. The report quickly circulated in Japanese, Chinese, Taiwanese, and South Koreanmedia.
The Hwasong-13's 2015 version (KN-08 Mod 2) was originally referred to by Western sources as the "Hwasong-14". However, analysts now believe that the missile was inaccurately designated. On 4 July, 2017, North Korea test launched a newly revealed ICBM, officially designated as Hwasong-14, which appeared to have no substantial relationship with the 2015 version. The Hwasong-13's 2015 version, which has never been test fired, is now referred to as the KN-14 under United States's naming convention.

### Reactions from Chinese military expert

CCTV-4 aired a 9-minute-long interview with a Chinese military expert discussing the 2015 version of Hwasong-13 (KN-08 Mod 2) and North Korea's potential future developments in ICBM technology. The Chinese expert estimated that North Korea could have a true ICBM within range of the US mainland between 2021 and 2026 if they can successfully master their Hwasong-10 missile. He stated that the technology and theory behind an Intermediate-range ballistic missile is exactly the same as an ICBM, except that an ICBM involves more stage separation in order for the missile to have a longer range. North Korea has successfully demonstrated their stage separation technology in two satellite launches: the Kwangmyŏngsŏng-3 Unit 2 in 2012, and Kwangmyŏngsŏng-4 in 2016. However, the expert noted two weakness of North Korea's missile development program. One is that the North Korean missiles are based on older missile designs. Since North Korea has conducted only minimal flight tests (compared to other countries with active missile development programs), flaws in these older designs have continued into new missile development. The other aspect is that all of North Korea's ballistic missiles except the Hwasong-11 (at the time of the interview) were liquid fueled, and therefore the preparation, fueling, and launch takes hours. This amount of time would give enemies—such as the United States or South Korea—time to conduct airstrikes and destroy the missiles before they could be launched. North Korea may also be studying Soviet encapsulation techniques such as those used in the UR-100 ICBM, where each missile comes pre-fueled in a maintenance-free capsule with a mean time between overhauls of several years and a preparation time before launch reduced to minutes. This appears to have been proven with the successful test launches of the Pukguksong-2 solid-fueled ballistic missile, in both land (Pukguksong-2) and submarine launched (Pukguksong-1) variants in 2017.