# 2004 United States presidential election in Tennessee

"none" is preferred when the title is sufficiently descriptive; see [[WP:SDNONE]]
The 2004 United States presidential election in Tennessee was held on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 11 representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
Tennessee was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 14.30% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise a red state. In the past 14 presidential elections, the Republican nominee won ten of them. The state trended more Republican by 10.43 points from Bush's performance in 2000. Bush won most of the counties and congressional districts in the state. Third-party and independent candidates made up just 0.68% of the vote.
As of 2024, this is the last time that the following counties have voted Democratic in a presidential election: Trousdale County, Humphreys County, Grundy County, Lake County, Benton County, Overton County, Smith County, Lauderdale County, Van Buren County, Stewart County, Perry County, and Clay County.

## Primary elections
### Democratic primary

The 2004 Tennessee Democratic presidential primary was held on February 10, 2004. John Kerry won with 41.0% of the vote and was awarded 31 delegates. John Edwards came second with 26.5% of the vote and 20 delegates. Wesley Clark came third with 23.1% of the vote and 18 delegates. All other candidates did not receive any delegates
2004 Tennessee Democratic presidential primary :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Delegates |
| | Democratic | John Kerry | 151,527 | 41.02% | 31 |
| | Democratic | John Edwards | 97,914 | 26.51% | 20 |
| | Democratic | Wesley Clark | 85,315 | 23.10% | 18 |
| | Democratic | Howard Dean (withdrawn) | 16,128 | 4.37% | 0 |
| | Democratic | Al Sharpton | 6,107 | 1.65% | 0 |
| | Democratic | Joe Lieberman | 3,213 | 0.87% | 0 |
| | Democratic | Uncommitted | 2,727 | 0.74% | 0 |
| | Democratic | Carol Moseley Braun (withdrawn) | 2,490 | 0.67% | 0 |
| | Democratic | Dennis Kucinich | 2,279 | 0.62% | 0 |
| | Democratic | Dick Gephardt (withdrawn) | 1,402 | 0.38% | 0 |
| | Democratic | Lyndon LaRouche | 283 | 0.08% | 0 |
| Totals | Totals | Totals | 626,738 | 100.00% | 69 |

### Republican primary

The 2004 Tennessee Republican presidential primary was held on February 10, 2004. Incumbent president George W. Bush won the primary and all of the state's delegates.
2004 Tennessee Republican presidential primary :
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
| George W. Bush (incumbent) | 94,557 | 95.45% | 52 |
| Write-ins | 4,504 | 4.55% | |
| Total | 99,061 | 100% | 52 |

## General election
### Predictions

Elections in Tennessee :
Federal government
U.S. President
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1800
1804
1808
1812
1816
1820
1824
1828
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Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
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2024
Republican
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
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2024
U.S. Senate
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1803
1809
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1835
1841
1844
1847
1851
1853
1858
1866
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1875
1877
1883
1887
1889
1893
1895
1899
1901
1905
1907
1911
1913
1916
1918
1922
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1928
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1934
1936
1940
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1946
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1952
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1976
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1982
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1988
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U.S. House
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2002
2004
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2010
2012
2014
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2020
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2024
Special elections
Senate
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1798
1799
1809
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1821
1825
1829
1838
1839
1840
1843
1857
1877
1898
1905
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1930
1934
1938
1964
1994
House
At-large
1797
1801
1st
1910
1961
2nd
1815
1891
1939
1964
1988
3rd
1939
4th
1837
1874
1875
5th
1814
1975
1988
6th
1939
7th
1932
1939
8th
1845
1958
1969
9th
1940 :
State government
State elections
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
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2024
Gubernatorial elections
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1797
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1946
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1962
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1970
1974
1978
1982
1986
1990
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014
2018
2022
State Senate elections
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
House of Representatives elections
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024 :
Ballot measures
2006
Amendment 1
2014
Amendment 1
2022
Amendment 1
Amendment 3
Nashville measures
Nashville Charter Amendment 1
Let's Move Nashville :
Local elections
Hamilton County mayoral elections
2018
2022
Chattanooga mayoral elections
2013
2017
2021
2025
Knox County mayoral elections
2010
2014
2018
2022
Knoxville mayoral elections
1983
1987
1991
1995
1999
2003
2007
2011
2015
2019
2023
Shelby County mayoral elections
2010
2014
2018
2022
Memphis mayoral elections
2011
2015
2019
2023
Clarksville Mayoral elections
2006
2010
2014
2018
2022
Jackson Mayoral elections
2015
2019
2023
Murfreesboro Mayoral elections
2014
2018
2022
Nashville Mayoral elections
2007
2011
2015
2018 (sp)
2019
2023 :
Government :
vte :
There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.
| Source | Ranking |
| D.C. Political Report | Lean R |
| Associated Press | Lean R |
| CNN | Likely R |
| Cook Political Report | Lean R |
| Newsweek | Solid R |
| New York Times | Solid R |
| Rasmussen Reports | Likely R |
| Research 2000 | Solid R |
| Washington Post | Likely R |
| Washington Times | Solid R |
| Zogby International | Likely R |
| Washington Dispatch | Likely R |

### Polling

Bush won every single pre-election poll, and won each with at least 49%. The final 3 polls averaged Bush leading 56% to 40%.

### Fundraising

Bush raised $4,636,916. Kerry raised $1,187,742.

### Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall election.
United States presidential election in Tennessee, 2004 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Running mate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes |
| | Republican | George W. Bush (incumbent) | Dick Cheney (incumbent) | 1,384,375 | 56.81% | 11 |
| | Democratic | John Kerry | John Edwards | 1,036,477 | 42.51% | 0 |
| | Independent | Ralph Nader | Peter Camejo | 8,992 | 0.37% | 0 |
| | Libertarian | Michael Badnarik | Richard Campagna | 4,866 | 0.20% | 0 |
| | Constitution Party | Michael Peroutka | Chuck Baldwin | 2,570 | 0.11% | 0 |
| | Green Party | David Cobb | Pat LaMarche | 33 | 0.00% | 0 |
| | Socialist | Walt Brown | Mary Alice Herbert | 6 | 0.00% | 0 |
| Totals | Totals | Totals | Totals | 2,437,919 | 100.00% | 11 |
| Voter turnout (Voting age population) | Voter turnout (Voting age population) | Voter turnout (Voting age population) | Voter turnout (Voting age population) | Voter turnout (Voting age population) | Voter turnout (Voting age population) | 54.8% |

### By county

| County | George W. Bush Republican | George W. Bush Republican | John Kerry Democratic | John Kerry Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total |
| Anderson | 18,510 | 58.42% | 12,896 | 40.70% | 276 | 0.87% | 5,614 | 17.72% | 31,682 |
| Bedford | 8,351 | 60.93% | 5,268 | 38.44% | 87 | 0.63% | 3,083 | 22.49% | 13,706 |
| Benton | 3,161 | 44.58% | 3,869 | 54.57% | 60 | 0.85% | -708 | -9.99% | 7,090 |
| Bledsoe | 2,849 | 59.24% | 1,927 | 40.07% | 33 | 0.69% | 922 | 19.17% | 4,809 |
| Blount | 33,241 | 68.24% | 15,047 | 30.89% | 424 | 0.88% | 18,194 | 37.35% | 48,712 |
| Bradley | 25,951 | 72.82% | 9,431 | 26.46% | 255 | 0.72% | 16,520 | 46.36% | 35,637 |
| Campbell | 7,859 | 55.67% | 6,163 | 43.65% | 96 | 0.68% | 1,696 | 12.02% | 14,118 |
| Cannon | 2,931 | 53.48% | 2,515 | 45.89% | 35 | 0.64% | 416 | 7.59% | 5,481 |
| Carroll | 6,605 | 56.18% | 5,070 | 43.12% | 82 | 0.70% | 1,535 | 13.06% | 11,757 |
| Carter | 15,768 | 70.67% | 6,395 | 28.66% | 150 | 0.67% | 9,373 | 42.01% | 22,313 |
| Cheatham | 9,676 | 61.64% | 5,918 | 37.70% | 103 | 0.66% | 3,758 | 23.94% | 15,697 |
| Chester | 4,086 | 64.28% | 2,242 | 35.27% | 29 | 0.45% | 1,844 | 29.01% | 6,357 |
| Claiborne | 6,448 | 61.18% | 4,034 | 38.27% | 58 | 0.55% | 2,414 | 22.91% | 10,540 |
| Clay | 1,650 | 49.15% | 1,675 | 49.90% | 32 | 0.96% | -25 | -0.75% | 3,357 |
| Cocke | 8,297 | 67.40% | 3,935 | 31.96% | 79 | 0.65% | 4,362 | 35.44% | 12,311 |
| Coffee | 11,793 | 58.48% | 8,243 | 40.87% | 131 | 0.65% | 3,550 | 17.61% | 20,167 |
| Crockett | 3,242 | 56.66% | 2,459 | 42.97% | 21 | 0.37% | 783 | 13.69% | 5,722 |
| Cumberland | 15,144 | 64.07% | 8,327 | 35.23% | 166 | 0.70% | 6,817 | 28.84% | 23,637 |
| Davidson | 107,839 | 44.51% | 132,737 | 54.78% | 1,726 | 0.71% | -24,898 | -10.27% | 242,302 |
| Decatur | 2,566 | 52.59% | 2,268 | 46.48% | 45 | 0.92% | 298 | 6.11% | 4,879 |
| DeKalb | 3,685 | 51.37% | 3,445 | 48.03% | 43 | 0.60% | 240 | 3.34% | 7,173 |
| Dickson | 10,567 | 54.76% | 8,597 | 44.55% | 134 | 0.69% | 1,970 | 10.21% | 19,298 |
| Dyer | 8,447 | 61.17% | 5,287 | 38.29% | 75 | 0.54% | 3,160 | 22.88% | 13,809 |
| Fayette | 8,962 | 60.81% | 5,696 | 38.65% | 79 | 0.53% | 3,266 | 22.16% | 14,737 |
| Fentress | 4,293 | 64.07% | 2,371 | 35.39% | 36 | 0.54% | 1,922 | 28.68% | 6,700 |
| Franklin | 9,129 | 53.46% | 7,800 | 45.68% | 148 | 0.87% | 1,329 | 7.78% | 17,077 |
| Gibson | 10,596 | 55.13% | 8,511 | 44.28% | 114 | 0.59% | 2,085 | 10.85% | 19,221 |
| Giles | 6,163 | 53.42% | 5,273 | 45.71% | 101 | 0.87% | 890 | 7.71% | 11,537 |
| Grainger | 4,907 | 65.19% | 2,569 | 34.13% | 51 | 0.68% | 2,338 | 31.06% | 7,527 |
| Greene | 16,382 | 67.71% | 7,635 | 31.56% | 177 | 0.73% | 8,747 | 36.15% | 24,194 |
| Grundy | 2,107 | 42.75% | 2,789 | 56.58% | 33 | 0.67% | -682 | -13.83% | 4,929 |
| Hamblen | 14,742 | 66.05% | 7,433 | 33.30% | 143 | 0.64% | 7,309 | 32.75% | 22,318 |
| Hamilton | 78,547 | 57.36% | 57,302 | 41.85% | 1,087 | 0.79% | 21,245 | 15.51% | 136,936 |
| Hancock | 1,756 | 68.84% | 777 | 30.46% | 18 | 0.69% | 979 | 38.38% | 2,551 |
| Hardeman | 4,704 | 44.95% | 5,685 | 54.32% | 77 | 0.74% | -981 | -9.37% | 10,466 |
| Hardin | 6,087 | 61.15% | 3,834 | 38.52% | 33 | 0.33% | 2,253 | 22.63% | 9,954 |
| Hawkins | 13,447 | 66.46% | 6,684 | 33.04% | 102 | 0.51% | 6,763 | 33.42% | 20,233 |
| Haywood | 3,140 | 41.60% | 4,359 | 57.75% | 49 | 0.65% | -1,219 | -16.15% | 7,548 |
| Henderson | 6,585 | 65.22% | 3,448 | 34.15% | 63 | 0.63% | 3,137 | 31.07% | 10,096 |
| Henry | 7,340 | 55.70% | 5,732 | 43.50% | 105 | 0.80% | 1,608 | 12.20% | 13,177 |
| Hickman | 4,359 | 50.26% | 4,263 | 49.15% | 51 | 0.59% | 96 | 1.11% | 8,673 |
| Houston | 1,440 | 40.02% | 2,126 | 59.09% | 32 | 0.89% | -686 | -19.07% | 3,598 |
| Humphreys | 3,261 | 41.85% | 4,485 | 57.55% | 47 | 0.60% | -1,224 | -15.70% | 7,793 |
| Jackson | 2,026 | 40.07% | 2,998 | 59.30% | 32 | 0.64% | -972 | -19.23% | 5,056 |
| Jefferson | 11,625 | 67.53% | 5,469 | 31.77% | 121 | 0.70% | 6,156 | 35.76% | 17,215 |
| Johnson | 4,634 | 71.51% | 1,812 | 27.96% | 34 | 0.53% | 2,822 | 43.55% | 6,480 |
| Knox | 110,803 | 62.10% | 66,013 | 37.00% | 1,603 | 0.90% | 44,790 | 25.10% | 178,419 |
| Lake | 1,039 | 43.84% | 1,317 | 55.57% | 14 | 0.59% | -278 | -11.73% | 2,370 |
| Lauderdale | 4,164 | 47.96% | 4,474 | 51.53% | 44 | 0.51% | -310 | -3.57% | 8,682 |
| Lawrence | 9,959 | 59.79% | 6,592 | 39.57% | 107 | 0.64% | 3,367 | 20.22% | 16,658 |
| Lewis | 2,819 | 55.78% | 2,192 | 43.37% | 43 | 0.85% | 627 | 12.41% | 5,054 |
| Lincoln | 7,829 | 62.85% | 4,546 | 36.49% | 82 | 0.66% | 3,283 | 26.36% | 12,457 |
| Loudon | 14,041 | 70.69% | 5,708 | 28.74% | 115 | 0.58% | 8,333 | 41.95% | 19,864 |
| McMinn | 11,980 | 66.54% | 5,891 | 32.72% | 132 | 0.73% | 6,089 | 33.82% | 18,003 |
| McNairy | 5,787 | 58.31% | 4,101 | 41.32% | 36 | 0.36% | 1,686 | 16.99% | 9,924 |
| Macon | 4,670 | 62.83% | 2,738 | 36.84% | 25 | 0.34% | 1,932 | 25.99% | 7,433 |
| Madison | 21,679 | 56.05% | 16,840 | 43.54% | 156 | 0.40% | 4,839 | 12.51% | 38,675 |
| Marion | 5,862 | 51.01% | 5,548 | 48.28% | 82 | 0.71% | 314 | 2.73% | 11,492 |
| Marshall | 5,825 | 54.88% | 4,722 | 44.48% | 68 | 0.64% | 1,103 | 10.40% | 10,615 |
| Maury | 17,505 | 58.27% | 12,379 | 41.20% | 159 | 0.53% | 5,126 | 17.07% | 30,043 |
| Meigs | 2,500 | 60.50% | 1,595 | 38.60% | 37 | 0.90% | 905 | 21.90% | 4,132 |
| Monroe | 10,123 | 65.02% | 5,354 | 34.39% | 91 | 0.58% | 4,769 | 30.63% | 15,568 |
| Montgomery | 28,627 | 58.42% | 20,070 | 40.96% | 301 | 0.61% | 8,557 | 17.46% | 48,998 |
| Moore | 1,668 | 60.13% | 1,084 | 39.08% | 22 | 0.79% | 584 | 21.05% | 2,774 |
| Morgan | 4,401 | 59.80% | 2,924 | 39.73% | 35 | 0.48% | 1,477 | 20.07% | 7,360 |
| Obion | 7,859 | 58.06% | 5,549 | 41.00% | 127 | 0.94% | 2,310 | 17.06% | 13,535 |
| Overton | 3,941 | 46.31% | 4,518 | 53.09% | 51 | 0.60% | -577 | -6.78% | 8,510 |
| Perry | 1,522 | 48.32% | 1,579 | 50.13% | 49 | 1.55% | -57 | -1.81% | 3,150 |
| Pickett | 1,600 | 60.49% | 1,033 | 39.05% | 12 | 0.46% | 567 | 21.44% | 2,645 |
| Polk | 3,924 | 58.57% | 2,724 | 40.66% | 52 | 0.77% | 1,200 | 17.91% | 6,700 |
| Putnam | 15,637 | 59.14% | 10,566 | 39.96% | 239 | 0.91% | 5,071 | 19.18% | 26,442 |
| Rhea | 7,301 | 66.05% | 3,665 | 33.16% | 88 | 0.79% | 3,636 | 32.89% | 11,054 |
| Roane | 14,467 | 61.99% | 8,706 | 37.30% | 165 | 0.70% | 5,761 | 24.69% | 23,338 |
| Robertson | 15,331 | 60.54% | 9,865 | 38.96% | 127 | 0.50% | 5,466 | 21.58% | 25,323 |
| Rutherford | 52,200 | 61.84% | 31,647 | 37.49% | 562 | 0.67% | 20,553 | 24.35% | 84,409 |
| Scott | 4,509 | 59.11% | 3,086 | 40.46% | 33 | 0.44% | 1,423 | 18.65% | 7,628 |
| Sequatchie | 2,951 | 59.22% | 1,986 | 39.86% | 46 | 0.92% | 965 | 19.36% | 4,983 |
| Sevier | 22,143 | 71.50% | 8,621 | 27.84% | 206 | 0.67% | 13,522 | 43.66% | 30,970 |
| Shelby | 158,137 | 41.91% | 216,945 | 57.50% | 2,200 | 0.58% | -58,808 | -15.59% | 377,282 |
| Smith | 3,739 | 47.76% | 4,044 | 51.66% | 45 | 0.57% | -305 | -3.90% | 7,828 |
| Stewart | 2,675 | 47.91% | 2,860 | 51.23% | 48 | 0.86% | -185 | -3.32% | 5,583 |
| Sullivan | 42,555 | 67.94% | 19,637 | 31.35% | 447 | 0.72% | 22,918 | 36.59% | 62,639 |
| Sumner | 40,181 | 64.84% | 21,458 | 34.63% | 329 | 0.53% | 18,723 | 30.21% | 61,968 |
| Tipton | 14,178 | 65.41% | 7,379 | 34.04% | 120 | 0.56% | 6,799 | 31.37% | 21,677 |
| Trousdale | 1,314 | 41.18% | 1,851 | 58.01% | 26 | 0.82% | -537 | -16.83% | 3,191 |
| Unicoi | 5,030 | 67.40% | 2,374 | 31.81% | 59 | 0.80% | 2,656 | 35.59% | 7,463 |
| Union | 4,145 | 61.77% | 2,524 | 37.62% | 41 | 0.61% | 1,621 | 24.15% | 6,710 |
| Van Buren | 1,120 | 47.72% | 1,209 | 51.51% | 18 | 0.76% | -89 | -3.79% | 2,347 |
| Warren | 7,503 | 52.10% | 6,808 | 47.28% | 89 | 0.62% | 695 | 4.82% | 14,400 |
| Washington | 29,735 | 66.07% | 14,944 | 33.20% | 327 | 0.73% | 14,791 | 32.87% | 45,006 |
| Wayne | 3,999 | 66.83% | 1,951 | 32.60% | 34 | 0.56% | 2,048 | 34.23% | 5,984 |
| Weakley | 7,817 | 57.92% | 5,588 | 41.40% | 91 | 0.67% | 2,229 | 16.52% | 13,496 |
| White | 5,269 | 55.49% | 4,147 | 43.68% | 79 | 0.84% | 1,122 | 11.81% | 9,495 |
| Williamson | 57,451 | 72.13% | 21,732 | 27.28% | 467 | 0.59% | 35,719 | 44.85% | 79,650 |
| Wilson | 28,924 | 65.07% | 15,277 | 34.37% | 251 | 0.56% | 13,647 | 30.70% | 44,452 |
| Totals | 1,383,336 | 56.81% | 1,035,160 | 42.51% | 16,453 | 0.68% | 348,176 | 14.30% | 2,434,949 |

#### Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

* Bedford (Largest city: Shelbyville)
* Campbell (Largest city: LaFollette)
* Cannon (Largest city: Woodbury)
* Crockett (Largest city: Bells)
* Decatur (Largest city: Parsons)
* DeKalb (Largest city: Smithville)
* Dickson (Largest city: Dickson)
* Franklin (Largest city: Winchester)
* Gibson (Largest city: Humboldt)
* Giles (Largest city: Pulaski)
* Henry (Largest city: Paris)
* Hickman (Largest city: Centerville)
* Lewis (Largest city: Hohenwald)
* Marion (Largest city: Jasper)
* Marshall (Largest city: Lewisburg)
* Robertson (Largest city: Springfield)
* Warren (Largest city: McMinnville)
* White (Largest city: Sparta)

### By congressional district

Bush won 7 of 9 congressional districts, including three held by Democrats.
| District | Bush | Kerry | Representative |
| 1st | 68% | 31% | William L Jenkins |
| 2nd | 64% | 35% | John J. Duncan Jr. |
| 3rd | 61% | 38% | Zach Wamp |
| 4th | 58% | 41% | Lincoln Davis |
| 5th | 48% | 52% | Jim Cooper |
| 6th | 60% | 40% | Bart Gordon |
| 7th | 66% | 33% | Marsha Blackburn |
| 8th | 53% | 47% | John S. Tanner |
| 9th | 30% | 70% | Harold Ford Jr. |

## Electors

Technically the voters of Tennessee cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Tennessee is allocated 11 electors because it has 9 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 11 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 11 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 9 were pledged to Bush/Cheney:
* Susan Anderson
* Betty Cannon
* Winfield Dunn
* Geneva Williams Harrison
* Brock Hill
* Bruce Montgomery
* Claude Ramsey
* Bob Rial
* John Ryder
* Mark Tipps
* Sally Wall

## Analysis

While the Republicans control slightly more than half of the state, Democrats have strong support in the cities of Memphis and Nashville and in parts of Middle Tennessee and in West Tennessee north and east of Memphis The latter area includes a large rural African-American population.
Despite Tennessee being a swing state from the 1950s to the 2000s, it was not seriously contested in 2004. Vice President Al Gore, a former U.S. Senator from Tennessee, lost his home state in 2000 albeit by a thin margin. The majority of voters support for Republican George W. Bush increased in 2004, with his margin of victory in the state increasing from 4% in 2000 to 14% in 2004. Southern Democratic nominees (e.g., Lyndon B. Johnson, Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton) usually fare better in Tennessee, especially among split-ticket voters outside the metropolitan areas.
As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last election in which Trousdale County, Humphreys County, Grundy County, Lake County, Benton County, Overton County, Smith County, Lauderdale County, Van Buren County, Stewart County, Perry County, and Clay County voted for the Democratic candidate, as John McCain would outperform Bush in the state four years later.