# 2020 New Brunswick general election

The 2020 New Brunswick general election was held on September 14, 2020, to elect members of the 60th New Brunswick Legislature. The Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick, led by Blaine Higgs, won a majority government.
The writs of election were issued by Lieutenant Governor Brenda Murphy on August 17, 2020, after a request was made by Premier Blaine Higgs to dissolve the legislature.
The election was scheduled to take place on October 17, 2022, as determined by the fixed-date provisions of the Legislative Assembly Act, which requires a general election to be held every four years on the third Monday in October. However, Premier Higgs called a snap election after negotiations failed with the other parties that would have avoided an election until the fixed date in 2022 or the end of the COVID-19 pandemic.
At 8:55 p.m. ADT, CBC News declared a Progressive Conservative majority government.

## Background
### Aftermath of the 2018 election

The 2018 provincial election resulted in no party winning a majority of seats in the legislature for the first time since the 1920 provincial election. On election night, Blaine Higgs claimed victory for the Progressive Conservative Party, saying his team had received a mandate from New Brunswickers; however, Liberal Party leader and incumbent premier Brian Gallant stated his intention to remain in office with a minority government by securing support on a vote-by-vote basis. Over the following days, Lieutenant Governor Jocelyne Roy-Vienneau met with both leaders and gave permission to Gallant to continue in office and attempt to seek the confidence of the Legislative Assembly; while Higgs was told that if Gallant was unable to secure the confidence of the Assembly, Higgs would be called on to form government.
After the election, both Kris Austin of the People's Alliance and David Coon of the Green Party were noncommittal in their support. Gallant pursued a partnership with the Green Party and ruled out any arrangement with the Progressive Conservative Party or People's Alliance because Gallant did not believe that they shared the Liberal Party’s “values”. Higgs initially ruled out any formal agreements with other parties, but later said that a four-year agreement would be ideal for stability. On September 28, 2018, Austin agreed to support a Progressive Conservative minority government on a "bill-by-bill basis" for eighteen months, though no formal agreement was made.
On November 2, 2018, the Progressive Conservatives introduced a motion of no confidence in the Legislative Assembly, resulting in a 25–23 vote against the Liberals. Subsequently, Gallant resigned as Premier and recommended to the Lieutenant Governor that Higgs be given the opportunity to form government. Higgs' minority government was sworn into office on November 9, 2018.
On November 15, 2018, Gallant announced his resignation as leader of the Liberal Party. He was succeeded by Kevin Vickers on April 24, 2019.

### Speculation of an early election

The PC minority government's seat total dropped to 20 after the death of MLA Greg Thompson on September 10, 2019 and the resignation of Deputy Premier Robert Gauvin on February 14, 2020. Gauvin's resignation came after the PC government announced health reforms, including the nightly closure of six hospital emergency rooms across the province as a cost reduction measure. Despite the Progressive Conservatives quickly backtracking on their proposals, the Liberals and the Greens said that they would not support the government at the next confidence vote, while the People's Alliance specifically did not rule out a vote of non-confidence. The next confidence vote was scheduled for March 20, 2020 to approve the PC government's proposed budget for the upcoming fiscal year; however, by that time, the People's Alliance decided to continue supporting the government and Green MLAs were allowed to vote freely on the budget. Furthermore, after COVID-19 was declared a pandemic on March 11, 2020, all parties decided to co-operate with each other—thus, avoiding a spring election.
By the summer, however, COVID-19 cases had stayed low for several weeks and Premier Blaine Higgs began to hint at the possibility of a fall election, arguing that stability was required for the next phase of the pandemic and economic recovery. The Progressive Conservatives carried out candidate riding nominations on August 8, 2020, continuing speculation of when an election might be called. On the following Monday, Higgs made an offer to the opposition parties to avoid an election until 2022 or the end of the pandemic; negotiations ultimately failed, however, and a snap election was called on August 17, 2020.

### Summary of seat changes

Changes in seats held (2018–2020) :
| Seat | Before | Before | Before | Before | Change | Change | Change |
| Seat | Date | Member | Party | Reason | Date | Member | Party |
| Saint Croix | 10 September 2019 | Greg Thompson | █ PC | Death | | | |
| Shediac Bay-Dieppe | 7 October 2019 | Brian Gallant | █ Liberal | Resignation | | | |
| Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou | 14 February 2020 | Robert Gauvin | █ PC | Left the party | | | █ Independent |

## Results

Summary of the 2020 Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick election :
| Party | Party | Leader | Candidates | Votes | Votes | Votes | Votes | Votes | Votes | Seats | Seats | Seats |
| Party | Party | Leader | Candidates | # | ± | % | Change (pp) | Change (pp) | Change (pp) | 2018 | 2020 | ± |
| | Progressive Conservative | Blaine Higgs | 49 | 147,790 | 26,490 | 39.34 | 7.45 | | 7.45 | 22 | 27 / 49 | 5 |
| | Liberal | Kevin Vickers | 49 | 129,025 | 14,766 | 34.35 | -3.46 | | | 21 | 17 / 49 | 4 |
| | Green | David Coon | 47 | 57,252 | 12,066 | 15.24 | 3.36 | | 3.36 | 3 | 3 / 49 | |
| | People's Alliance | Kris Austin | 36 | 34,526 | 13,334 | 9.19 | -3.39 | | | 3 | 2 / 49 | 1 |
| | New Democratic | Mackenzie Thomason | 33 | 6,220 | 12,819 | 1.66 | -3.35 | | |
| | Independent | | 9 | 685 | 2,136 | 0.18 | -0.56 |
| | KISS | Gerald Bourque | 4 | 139 | 227 | 0.04 | -0.06 |
| Total | Total | Total | 227 | 375,637 | 375,637 | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| Rejected ballots | Rejected ballots | Rejected ballots | Rejected ballots | 1,266 | 146 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 376,903 | 4,872 | 66.14% | 1.29 |
| Registered voters | Registered voters | Registered voters | Registered voters | 569,862 | 18,809 |
* ↑ "Recapitulation". Report of the Chief Electoral Officer Fortieth General Provincial Election September 14, 2020 (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. pp. 18–21. ISBN 978-1-4605-2631-6. Archived (PDF) from the original on September 19, 2024. Retrieved June 10, 2024.
* ↑ Interim leader

### Synopsis of results

2020 New Brunswick general election - synopsis of riding results :
| Riding | Winning party | Winning party | Winning party | Winning party | Winning party | Winning party | Winning party | Winning party | Winning party | Winning party | Turnout | Votes | Votes | Votes | Votes | Votes | Votes | Votes | Votes |
| Riding | 2018 | 2018 | 1st place | 1st place | Votes | Share | Margin # | Margin % | 2nd place | 2nd place | Turnout | PC | Lib | Green | PA | NDP | KISS | Ind | Total |
| Albert | | PC | | PC | 5,040 | 62.35% | 3,984 | 49.28% | | Green | 63.2% | 5,040 | 921 | 1,056 | 977 | – | – | 90 | 8,084 |
| Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore | | Lib | | Lib | 4,163 | 63.76% | 2,595 | 39.75% | | PC | 60.6% | 1,568 | 4,163 | 798 | – | – | – | – | 6,529 |
| Bathurst West-Beresford | | Lib | | Lib | 3,730 | 55.84% | 1,745 | 26.12% | | PC | 61.2% | 1,985 | 3,730 | 965 | – | – | – | – | 6,680 |
| Campbellton-Dalhousie | | Lib | | Lib | 4,540 | 65.20% | 3,171 | 45.54% | | PC | 63.6% | 1,369 | 4,540 | 1,054 | – | – | – | – | 6,963 |
| Caraquet | | Lib | | Lib | 5,928 | 72.27% | 4,638 | 56.54% | | Green | 75.1% | 985 | 5,928 | 1,290 | – | – | – | – | 8,203 |
| Carleton | | PC | | PC | 3,536 | 47.87% | 1,627 | 22.03% | | PA | 65.1% | 3,536 | 1,239 | 581 | 1,909 | 80 | 41 | – | 7,386 |
| Carleton-Victoria | | Lib | | PC | 3,330 | 45.22% | 391 | 5.31% | | Lib | 63.5% | 3,330 | 2,939 | 372 | 610 | 113 | – | – | 7,364 |
| Carleton-York | | PC | | PC | 4,750 | 57.83% | 3,226 | 39.27% | | PA | 66.5% | 4,750 | 940 | 890 | 1,524 | 110 | – | – | 8,214 |
| Dieppe | | Lib | | Lib | 4,564 | 60.16% | 2,884 | 38.02% | | PC | 66.0% | 1,680 | 4,564 | 1,142 | – | 200 | – | – | 7,586 |
| Edmundston-Madawaska Centre | | Lib | | Lib | 5,236 | 74.47% | 3,856 | 54.84% | | PC | 62.7% | 1,380 | 5,236 | 415 | – | – | – | – | 7,031 |
| Fredericton North | | Lib | | PC | 3,227 | 41.13% | 763 | 9.72% | | Green | 66.3% | 3,227 | 1,464 | 2,464 | 591 | 100 | – | – | 7,846 |
| Fredericton South | | Green | | Green | 4,213 | 54.01% | 1,871 | 23.98% | | PC | 67.4% | 2,342 | 895 | 4,213 | 234 | 117 | – | – | 7,801 |
| Fredericton West-Hanwell | | PC | | PC | 4,726 | 52.88% | 2,981 | 33.36% | | Green | 70.5% | 4,726 | 1,510 | 1,745 | 825 | 131 | – | – | 8,937 |
| Fredericton-Grand Lake | | PA | | PA | 3,759 | 46.42% | 1,280 | 15.81% | | PC | 69.0% | 2,479 | 749 | 1,005 | 3,759 | 87 | 18 | – | 8,097 |
| Fredericton-York | | PA | | PC | 3,730 | 42.41% | 1,620 | 18.42% | | Green | 69.0% | 3,730 | 872 | 2,110 | 1,991 | 68 | 24 | – | 8,795 |
| Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West | | PC | | PC | 4,740 | 66.47% | 4,014 | 56.29% | | Lib | 61.8% | 4,740 | 726 | 686 | 688 | 291 | – | – | 7,131 |
| Gagetown-Petitcodiac | | PC | | PC | 4,773 | 59.09% | 3,470 | 42.96% | | PA | 67.3% | 4,773 | 867 | 1,003 | 1,303 | 131 | – | – | 8,077 |
| Hampton | | PC | | PC | 4,351 | 60.52% | 3,267 | 45.44% | | Lib | 60.2% | 4,351 | 1,084 | 816 | 687 | 251 | – | – | 7,189 |
| Kent North | | Green | | Green | 4,021 | 47.47% | 1,088 | 12.84% | | Lib | 68.3% | 1,363 | 2,933 | 4,021 | – | – | – | 154 | 8,471 |
| Kent South | | Lib | | Lib | 5,148 | 55.22% | 2,331 | 25.01% | | PC | 73.9% | 2,817 | 5,148 | 996 | 243 | 118 | – | – | 9,322 |
| Kings Centre | | PC | | PC | 4,583 | 61.54% | 3,577 | 48.03% | | Green | 64.9% | 4,583 | 911 | 1,006 | 693 | 254 | – | – | 7,447 |
| Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston | | Lib | | Lib | 4,583 | 66.54% | 2,820 | 40.94% | | PC | 61.1% | 1,763 | 4,583 | 542 | – | – | – | – | 6,888 |
| Memramcook-Tantramar | | Green | | Green | 3,425 | 41.61% | 523 | 6.35% | | Lib | 67.1% | 1,678 | 2,902 | 3,425 | 192 | – | – | 34 | 8,231 |
| Miramichi | | PA | | PA | 3,527 | 45.11% | 1,288 | 16.47% | | Lib | 70.9% | 1,508 | 2,239 | 398 | 3,527 | 92 | – | 54 | 7,818 |
| Miramichi Bay-Neguac | | Lib | | Lib | 3,561 | 43.56% | 810 | 9.91% | | PC | 67.7% | 2,751 | 3,561 | 825 | 898 | 139 | – | – | 8,174 |
| Moncton Centre | | Lib | | Lib | 2,448 | 38.91% | 723 | 11.49% | | Green | 58.4% | 1,642 | 2,448 | 1,725 | 308 | 168 | – | – | 6,291 |
| Moncton East | | Lib | | PC | 3,525 | 45.17% | 766 | 9.82% | | Lib | 62.3% | 3,525 | 2,759 | 989 | 378 | 153 | – | – | 7,804 |
| Moncton Northwest | | PC | | PC | 4,111 | 51.50% | 1,663 | 20.83% | | Lib | 62.6% | 4,111 | 2,448 | 702 | 493 | 229 | – | – | 7,983 |
| Moncton South | | Lib | | PC | 2,734 | 42.09% | 768 | 11.82% | | Lib | 57.9% | 2,734 | 1,966 | 1,245 | 331 | 220 | – | – | 6,496 |
| Moncton Southwest | | PC | | PC | 3,679 | 52.13% | 2,118 | 30.01% | | Lib | 57.8% | 3,679 | 1,561 | 927 | 667 | 224 | – | – | 7,058 |
| New Maryland-Sunbury | | PC | | PC | 5,342 | 57.76% | 3,879 | 41.94% | | Green | 67.7% | 5,342 | 1,048 | 1,463 | 1,254 | 141 | – | – | 9,248 |
| Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton | | PC | | PC | 3,374 | 44.25% | 1,302 | 17.08% | | Lib | 61.9% | 3,374 | 2,072 | 1,306 | 745 | 127 | – | – | 7,624 |
| Portland-Simonds | | PC | | PC | 3,170 | 55.10% | 1,516 | 26.35% | | Lib | 52.1% | 3,170 | 1,654 | 483 | 282 | 164 | – | – | 5,753 |
| Quispamsis | | PC | | PC | 5,697 | 68.11% | 4,472 | 53.46% | | Lib | 68.7% | 5,697 | 1,225 | 528 | 414 | 501 | – | – | 8,365 |
| Restigouche West | | Lib | | Lib | 5,022 | 62.15% | 3,267 | 40.43% | | Green | 70.2% | 1,247 | 5,022 | 1,755 | – | – | 56 | – | 8,080 |
| Restigouche-Chaleur | | Lib | | Lib | 3,823 | 55.66% | 1,927 | 28.06% | | Green | 61.8% | 1,149 | 3,823 | 1,896 | – | – | – | – | 6,868 |
| Riverview | | PC | | PC | 4,695 | 60.08% | 3,414 | 43.69% | | Lib | 65.0% | 4,695 | 1,281 | 800 | 778 | 261 | – | – | 7,815 |
| Rothesay | | PC | | PC | 4,265 | 61.28% | 2,802 | 40.26% | | Lib | 62.3% | 4,265 | 1,463 | 719 | 413 | – | – | 100 | 6,960 |
| Saint Croix | | PC | | PC | 3,570 | 45.18% | 1,024 | 12.96% | | PA | 64.7% | 3,570 | 401 | 1,238 | 2,546 | 147 | – | – | 7,902 |
| Saint John East | | PC | | PC | 3,507 | 56.36% | 1,868 | 30.02% | | Lib | 55.2% | 3,507 | 1,639 | 394 | 434 | 248 | – | – | 6,222 |
| Saint John Harbour | | Lib | | PC | 2,181 | 41.40% | 957 | 18.17% | | Green | 48.2% | 2,181 | 1,207 | 1,224 | 186 | 309 | – | 161 | 5,268 |
| Saint John Lancaster | | PC | | PC | 3,560 | 54.24% | 2,089 | 31.83% | | Lib | 62.7% | 3,560 | 1,471 | 938 | 394 | 201 | – | – | 6,564 |
| Shediac Bay-Dieppe | | Lib | | Lib | 5,839 | 60.14% | 2,868 | 29.54% | | PC | 70.2% | 2,971 | 5,839 | – | 371 | 528 | – | – | 9,709 |
| Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé | | Lib | | Lib | 4,949 | 53.67% | 2,496 | 27.07% | | Green | 70.0% | 1,820 | 4,949 | 2,453 | – | – | – | – | 9,222 |
| Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou | | PC | | Lib | 6,834 | 83.78% | 6,120 | 75.03% | | PC | 74.1% | 714 | 6,834 | 609 | – | – | – | – | 8,157 |
| Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin | | PC | | PC | 3,887 | 47.97% | 1,619 | 19.98% | | PA | 71.9% | 3,887 | 1,760 | – | 2,268 | 188 | – | – | 8,103 |
| Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins | | PC | | PC | 4,366 | 56.29% | 3,045 | 39.26% | | PA | 63.9% | 4,366 | 971 | 969 | 1,321 | 129 | – | – | 7,756 |
| Tracadie-Sheila | | Lib | | Lib | 6,175 | 69.55% | 4,116 | 46.36% | | PC | 74.6% | 2,059 | 6,175 | 645 | – | – | – | – | 8,879 |
| Victoria-La Vallée | | Lib | | Lib | 4,365 | 60.24% | 2,294 | 31.66% | | PC | 64.4% | 2,071 | 4,365 | 426 | 292 | – | – | 92 | 7,246 |
* ↑ "Summary of Votes Received by Candidate". Report of the Chief Electoral Officer Fortieth General Provincial Election September 14, 2020 (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. pp. 7–16. ISBN 978-1-4605-2631-6. Archived (PDF) from the original on September 19, 2024. Retrieved June 10, 2024.
* ↑ "Recapitulation". Report of the Chief Electoral Officer Fortieth General Provincial Election September 14, 2020 (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. pp. 18–21. ISBN 978-1-4605-2631-6. Archived (PDF) from the original on September 19, 2024. Retrieved June 10, 2024.
* ↑ Robert Gauvin was previously elected as the PC MLA for Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou.
    = Francophone-majority constituency
    = Open seat
    = Turnout is above provincial average
    = Winning candidate was in previous Legislature
    = Incumbent had switched allegiance
    = Previously incumbent in another riding
    = Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
    = Incumbency arose from byelection gain
    = Other incumbents renominated
    = Previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
    = Multiple candidates

### Incumbent MLAs who were defeated

| Party | Name | Riding | Year elected | Seat held by party since | Defeated by | Party |
| Liberal | Monique LeBlanc | Moncton East | 2014 | 2014 | Daniel Allain | Progressive Conservative |
| Liberal | Stephen Horsman | Fredericton North | 2014 | 2014 | Jill Green | Progressive Conservative |
| Liberal | Andrew Harvey | Carleton-Victoria | 2014 | 2014 | Margaret Johnson | Progressive Conservative |
| People's Alliance | Rick DeSaulniers | Fredericton-York | 2018 | 2018 | Ryan Cullins | Progressive Conservative |

### Results by region

| Party name | Party name | Party name | Northern | Miramichi | Southeastern | Southern | Capital Region | Upper River Valley | Total |
| | Progressive Conservative | Seats | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 27 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Popular vote | 18.35% | 33.81% | 37.92% | 57.46% | 45.03% | 33.63% | 39.34% |
| | Liberal | Seats | 8 | 1 | 5 | – | – | 3 | 17 |
| | Liberal | Popular vote | 66.63% | 31.38% | 36.19% | 16.66% | 14.35% | 51.13% | 34.35% |
| | Green | Seats | – | – | 2 | – | 1 | – | 3 |
| | Green | Popular vote | 14.93% | 5.08% | 18.26% | 11.76% | 22.83% | 6.50% | 15.24% |
| | People's Alliance | Seats | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | – | 2 |
| | People's Alliance | Popular vote | 0.00% | 27.78% | 5.39% | 10.53% | 16.41% | 7.83% | 9.19% |
| | New Democratic | Seats | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| | New Democratic | Popular vote | 0.00% | 1.74% | 1.99% | 3.26% | 1.32% | 0.54% | 1.66% |
| | Other | Seats | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| | Other | Popular vote | 0.09% | 0.22% | 0.25% | 0.34% | 0.06% | 0.37% | 0.22% |
| Total seats | Total seats | Total seats | 8 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 49 |

### Detailed analysis

Position attained in seats contested :
| Party | Seats | Second | Third | Fourth |
| Liberal | 17 | 17 | 9 | 6 |
| Progressive Conservative | 27 | 14 | 8 | – |
| Green | 3 | 12 | 24 | 8 |
| People's Alliance | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 |
| New Democratic | – | – | 1 | 5 |
| Other | – | – | – | 2 |
Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results :
| Parties | Parties | Seats |
| █ Progressive Conservative | █ Liberal | 26 |
| █ Progressive Conservative | █ Green | 8 |
| █ Progressive Conservative | █ People's Alliance | 7 |
| █ Liberal | █ Green | 7 |
| █ People's Alliance | █ Liberal | 1 |
| Total | Total | 49 |

## Campaign
### Election call and initial reaction

At his election announcement, Progressive Conservative leader Blaine Higgs blamed the Liberals for the failure of negotiations that would have avoided an election until 2022 or the end of the pandemic. In response, Liberal leader Kevin Vickers and Green Party leader David Coon criticized Higgs for calling an election during a pandemic. Vickers insisted that the negotiations would have given unlimited power to Higgs and the PCs, and an election should have been held after the end of the pandemic. Meanwhile, People's Alliance leader Kris Austin asked New Brunswickers to vote for his party to ensure accountability of the next government by electing another minority legislature.

### Impact of COVID-19

From the outset of the campaign, Higgs was asked about the potential impact of COVID-19 on the election. He initially caused confusion when he said that he would be able to suspend the election, if necessary, even though New Brunswick's Chief Electoral Officer Kim Poffenroth said that an election could not be stopped after it had been called. Additionally, Higgs suggested that he could turn to the COVID-19 emergency order declared by the province under the Emergency Measures Act (EMA), despite the fact that election timelines are exempt from the EMA. However, he remained firm that he did not intend to suspend the election. Higgs also shared that, because of COVID-19, PC candidates were instructed to avoid door-to-door campaigning and mailbox flyers during the election.

### Candidate controversies

Roland Michaud, PC candidate in Victoria-La Vallée, was ordered to withdraw from the election by Blaine Higgs after a transphobic meme posted on Michaud's Facebook page became public; Michaud chose to remain and run as an independent. He remained on the ballot with his original affiliation because the papers had already been printed, as did other repudiated candidates.
John Wayne Gardner, Liberal candidate in Saint Croix, was ousted by party leader Kevin Vickers after an anti-LGBTQ2I tweet from 2017 came to light; Gardner announced later the same day that he would continue to run as an independent.
Louis Bérubé, PC candidate in Restigouche West, was allowed to remain as party candidate after transphobic social media comments mentioned in a 2016 Acadie Nouvelle story resurfaced. The party cited Bérubé's earlier apologies for his comments and his successful vetting before running for the Green Party in the 2019 election as reasons for his retention.
Heathere Collins, PANB candidate in Memramcook-Tantramar, was dropped by party leader Kris Austin after 2019 anti-Muslim Tweets came to light. The candidate, whose Elections NB registration disagreed with her Twitter account about how to spell her first name, remained in the election.

## Opinion polls
### Voting Intentions in New Brunswick since the 2018 Election

| Polling firm | Last day of polling | Link | PC | Liberal | PA | Green | NDP |
| Election 2020 | September 14, 2020 | HTML | 39.34 | 34.35 | 9.19 | 15.24 | 1.66 |
| Forum Research Inc. | September 13, 2020 | HTML | 37 | 30 | 8 | 21 | 4 |
| Mainstreet Research | September 12, 2020 | HTML | 37 | 30 | 7 | 21 | 4 |
| EKOS | September 12, 2020 | HTML | 32 | 32 | 10 | 18 | 4 |
| Oraclepoll Research | September 3, 2020 | PDF | 42 | 33 | 2 | 18 | 6 |
| MQO Research | August 30, 2020 | HTML | 43 | 27 | 5 | 17 | 6 |
| Mainstreet Research | August 27, 2020 | PDF | 38 | 32 | 7 | 19 | 4 |
| Leger/Acadie Nouvelle | August 26, 2020 | PDF | 40 | 32 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| Narrative Research | August 23, 2020 | HTML | 44 | 33 | 2 | 14 | 7 |
| Angus Reid | May 24, 2020 | HTML | 39 | 26 | 13 | 17 | 4 |
| Narrative Research | May 20, 2020 | HTML | 48 | 30 | 3 | 15 | 5 |
| Innovative Research Group | May 7, 2020 | PDF | 33 | 37 | 6 | 13 | 10 |
| Narrative Research | March 12, 2020 | HTML | 39 | 28 | 4 | 20 | 8 |
| MQO Research | February 27, 2020 | PDF | 37 | 31 | 4 | 21 | 4 |
| Narrative Research | November 22, 2019 | HTML | 37 | 31 | 3 | 21 | 7 |
| Narrative Research | August 23, 2019 | PDF | 36 | 29 | 8 | 18 | 6 |
| Narrative Research | June 13, 2019 | HTML | 42 | 25 | 6 | 18 | 8 |
| MQO Research | May 6, 2019 | PDF | 40 | 30 | 5 | 20 | 3 |
| 24 April 2019 | Kevin Vickers becomes leader of the Liberal Party | Kevin Vickers becomes leader of the Liberal Party | Kevin Vickers becomes leader of the Liberal Party | Kevin Vickers becomes leader of the Liberal Party | Kevin Vickers becomes leader of the Liberal Party | Kevin Vickers becomes leader of the Liberal Party | Kevin Vickers becomes leader of the Liberal Party |
| Corporate Research Associates | February 19, 2019 | PDF | 42 | 29 | 9 | 14 | 6 |
| MQO Research | February 10, 2019 | PDF | 46 | 32 | 8 | 11 | 3 |
| Mainstreet Research | January 15, 2019 | HTML | 40.2 | 27.3 | 12.4 | 15 | 4.5 |
| Corporate Research Associates | November 24, 2018 | PDF Archived 2018-12-15 at the Wayback Machine | 30 | 35 | 12 | 17 | 6 |
| 9 November 2018 | Blaine Higgs is sworn in as Premier of New Brunswick leading a PC minority government, following the resignation of Brian Gallant and his Liberal minority government. | Blaine Higgs is sworn in as Premier of New Brunswick leading a PC minority government, following the resignation of Brian Gallant and his Liberal minority government. | Blaine Higgs is sworn in as Premier of New Brunswick leading a PC minority government, following the resignation of Brian Gallant and his Liberal minority government. | Blaine Higgs is sworn in as Premier of New Brunswick leading a PC minority government, following the resignation of Brian Gallant and his Liberal minority government. | Blaine Higgs is sworn in as Premier of New Brunswick leading a PC minority government, following the resignation of Brian Gallant and his Liberal minority government. | Blaine Higgs is sworn in as Premier of New Brunswick leading a PC minority government, following the resignation of Brian Gallant and his Liberal minority government. | Blaine Higgs is sworn in as Premier of New Brunswick leading a PC minority government, following the resignation of Brian Gallant and his Liberal minority government. |
| MQO Research | November 5, 2018 | PDF | 36 | 29 | 11 | 21 | 3 |
| 2 November 2018 | Premier Brian Gallant's Liberal minority government loses a non-confidence vote | Premier Brian Gallant's Liberal minority government loses a non-confidence vote | Premier Brian Gallant's Liberal minority government loses a non-confidence vote | Premier Brian Gallant's Liberal minority government loses a non-confidence vote | Premier Brian Gallant's Liberal minority government loses a non-confidence vote | Premier Brian Gallant's Liberal minority government loses a non-confidence vote | Premier Brian Gallant's Liberal minority government loses a non-confidence vote |
| Mainstreet Research | November 2, 2018 | HTML | 33.7 | 33.7 | 12.7 | 15.7 | 3 |
| Election 2018 | September 24, 2018 | HTML | 31.89 | 37.80 | 12.58 | 11.88 | 5.01 |

## Candidates
### Retiring incumbents

The following sitting MLAs have announced that they would not seek re-election:
* Brian Kenny, Liberal MLA for Bathurst West-Beresford since 2014, and previously MLA for Bathurst from 2003 to 2014.
* Bruce Northrup, Progressive Conservative MLA for Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins since 2014, and previously MLA for Kings East from 2006 to 2014.
* Gerry Lowe, Liberal MLA for Saint John Harbour since 2018.
* Carl Urquhart, Progressive Conservative MLA for Carleton-York since 2014, and previously MLA for York from 2006 to 2014.
* Stewart Fairgrieve, Progressive Conservative MLA for Carleton since 2015.
Legend
* bold denotes cabinet minister, speaker or party leader
* † denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election or was defeated in nomination contest
* # denotes an incumbent seeking re-election in a new district
NOTE: Candidates' names are as registered with Elections New Brunswick

### Northern

| Electoral district | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Incumbent |
| Electoral district | Progressive Conservatives | Progressive Conservatives | Liberal | Liberal | Green | Green | PANB | PANB | NDP | NDP | Other | Other | Incumbent | Incumbent |
| Restigouche West | | Louis Bérubé 1247 15.4% | | Gilles LePage 5022 62.2% | | Charles Thériault 1755 21.7% | | | | | | Travis Pollock (KISS) 56 0.7% | Gilles LePage |
| Campbellton-Dalhousie | | Charles D. Stewart 1369 19.7% | | Guy H. Arseneault 4540 65.2% | | Marie-Christine Allard 1054 15.1% | | | | | | | Guy Arseneault |
| Restigouche-Chaleur | | Louis Robichaud 1149 16.7% | | Daniel Guitard 3823 55.7% | | Marie Larivière 1896 27.6% | | | | | | | Daniel Guitard |
| Bathurst West-Beresford | | Anne Bard-Lavigne 1985 29.7% | | René Legacy 3730 55.8% | | Pierre Duguay-Boudreau 965 14.4% | | | | | | | Brian Kenny† |
| Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore | | Amanda Keast 1568 24.0% | | Denis Landry 4163 63.8% | | Robert Kryzsko 798 12.2% | | | | | | | Denis Landry |
| Caraquet | | Kevin J. Haché 985 12.0% | | Isabelle Thériault 5928 72.3% | | Marie-Christine Haché 1290 15.7% | | | | | | | Isabelle Thériault |
| Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou | | Jean-Gérard Chiasson 714 8.8% | | Eric Mallet 6834 83.8% | | Marie Leclerc 609 7.5% | | | | | | | Robert Gauvin# |
| Tracadie-Sheila | | Diane Carey 2059 23.2% | | Keith Chiasson 6175 69.5% | | Chris LeBlanc 645 7.3% | | | | | | | Keith Chiasson |

### Miramichi

| Electoral district | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Incumbent |
| Electoral district | Progressive Conservatives | Progressive Conservatives | Liberal | Liberal | Green | Green | PANB | PANB | NDP | NDP | Other | Other | Incumbent | Incumbent |
| Miramichi Bay-Neguac | | Robert Trevors 2751 33.7% | | Lisa Harris 3561 43.6% | | Curtis Bartibogue 825 10.1% | | Thomas L'Huillier 898 11.0% | | Douglas Mullin 139 1.7% | | | Lisa Harris |
| Miramichi | | Charles Barry 1508 19.3% | | Kevin Vickers 2239 28.6% | | Joshua Shaddick 398 5.1% | | Michelle Conroy 3527 45.1% | | Eileen Clancy Teslenko 92 1.2% | | Tristan Sutherland (Ind.) 54 0.7% | Michelle Conroy |
| Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin | | Jake Stewart 3887 48.0% | | Josh McCormack 1760 21.7% | | | | Art O'Donnell 2268 28.0% | | Glenna Hanley 188 2.3% | | | Jake Stewart |

### Southeastern

| Electoral district | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Incumbent |
| Electoral district | Progressive Conservatives | Progressive Conservatives | Liberal | Liberal | Green | Green | PANB | PANB | NDP | NDP | Other | Other | Incumbent | Incumbent |
| Kent North | | Stephen Robertson 1363 16.1% | | Bertrand LeBlanc 2933 34.6% | | Kevin Arseneau 4021 47.5% | | | | | | Roger Richard (Ind.) 154 1.8% | Kevin Arseneau |
| Kent South | | Raymond (Bou) Duplessis 2817 30.2% | | Benoit Bourque 5148 55.2% | | Eva P. Rehak 996 10.7% | | Lisa Godin 243 2.6% | | Sue Shedd 118 1.3% | | | Benoît Bourque |
| Shediac Bay-Dieppe | | Mathieu Gérald Caissie 2971 30.6% | | Robert Gauvin 5839 60.1% | | | | Phillip Coombes 371 3.8% | | Delphine Daigle 528 5.4% | | | Vacant |
| Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé | | Marie-Paule Martin 1820 19.7% | | Jacques LeBlanc 4949 53.7% | | Gilles Cormier 2453 26.6% | | | | | | | Jacques LeBlanc |
| Memramcook-Tantramar | | Carole Duguay 1678 20.4% | | Maxime Bourgeois 2902 35.3% | | Megan Mitton 3425 41.6% | | Heathere Collins 192 2.3% | | | | Jefferson George Wright (Ind.) 34 0.4% | Megan Mitton |
| Dieppe | | Patricia Arsenault 1680 22.1% | | Roger Melanson 4564 60.2% | | Mélyssa Boudreau 1142 15.1% | | | | Pamela Boudreau 200 2.6% | | | Roger Melanson |
| Moncton East | | Daniel Allain 3525 45.2% | | Monique LeBlanc 2759 35.4% | | Phylomène Zangio 989 12.7% | | Michel Norman Guitare 378 4.8% | | Christopher Wanamaker 153 2.0% | | | Monique LeBlanc |
| Moncton Centre | | Jean Poirier 1642 26.1% | | Rob McKee 2448 38.9% | | Carole Chan 1725 27.4% | | Aaron Richter 308 4.9% | | James Caldwell 168 2.7% | | | Rob McKee |
| Moncton South | | Greg Turner 2734 42.1% | | Tyson Milner 1966 30.3% | | Josephine Watson 1245 19.2% | | Marilyn Crossman-Riel 331 5.1% | | Rebecca Rogers 220 3.4% | | | Cathy Rogers† |
| Moncton Northwest | | Ernie Steeves 4111 51.5% | | Mark Black 2448 30.7% | | Laura Sanderson 702 8.8% | | Shawn Soucoup 493 6.2% | | Cyprien Okana 229 2.9% | | | Ernie Steeves |
| Moncton Southwest | | Sherry Wilson 3679 52.1% | | René Ephestion 1561 22.1% | | Claire Kelly 927 13.1% | | Susan Matthews 667 9.5% | | Juliana McIntosh 224 3.2% | | | Sherry Wilson |
| Riverview | | R. Bruce Fitch 4695 60.1% | | Heath Johnson 1281 16.4% | | Rachel Pletz 800 10.2% | | Troy Berteit 778 10.0% | | John Nuttall 261 3.3% | | | R. Bruce Fitch |
| Albert | | Mike Holland 5040 62.3% | | Kelley Nagle 921 11.4% | | Jenny O'Neill 1056 13.1% | | Sharon Buchanan 977 12.1% | | | | James Wilson (Ind.) 90 1.1% | Mike Holland |
| Gagetown-Petitcodiac | | Ross Wetmore 4773 59.1% | | John (Jake) Urquhart 867 10.7% | | Marilyn Merritt-Gray 1003 12.4% | | Craig Dykeman 1303 16.1% | | Ryan Jewkes 131 1.6% | | | Ross Wetmore |

### Southern

| Electoral district | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Incumbent |
| Electoral district | Progressive Conservatives | Progressive Conservatives | Liberal | Liberal | Green | Green | PANB | PANB | NDP | NDP | Other | Other | Incumbent | Incumbent |
| Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins | | Tammy Scott-Wallace 4366 56.3% | | Cully Robinson 971 12.5% | | Tim Thompson 969 12.5% | | Jim Bedford 1321 17.0% | | Jonas Lanz 129 1.7% | | | Bruce Northrup† |
| Hampton | | Gary E. Crossman 4351 60.5% | | Carley Parish 1084 15.1% | | John Carl Sabine 816 11.4% | | Sharon Bradley-Munn 687 9.6% | | Alex White 251 3.5% | | | Gary Crossman |
| Quispamsis | | Blaine M. Higgs 5697 68.1% | | Robert Hunt 1225 14.6% | | Addison Fach 528 6.3% | | Sara Hall 414 4.9% | | Caitlin Grogan 501 6.0% | | | Blaine Higgs |
| Rothesay | | Hugh J. (Ted) Flemming 4265 61.3% | | Jason Hickey 1463 21.0% | | Ann McAllister 719 10.3% | | Mike Griffin 413 5.9% | | | | Neville (NB) Barnett (Ind.) 44 0.6% Liz Kramer (Ind.) 56 0.6% | Ted Flemming |
| Saint John East | | Glen Savoie 3507 56.4% | | Phil Comeau 1639 26.3% | | Gerald Irish 394 6.3% | | Patrick Kemp 434 7.0% | | Josh Floyd 248 4.0% | | | Glen Savoie |
| Portland-Simonds | | Trevor A. Holder 3170 55.1% | | Tim Jones 1654 28.8% | | Stefan Warner 483 8.4% | | Darella (Lindsay) Jackson 282 4.9% | | Erik Heinze-Milne 164 2.9% | | | Trevor Holder |
| Saint John Harbour | | Arlene Dunn 2181 41.4% | | Alice (Ms McKim) McKim 1207 22.9% | | Brent Harris 1224 23.2% | | Tony Gunn 186 3.5% | | Courtney Pyrke 309 5.9% | | Mike (Dok) Cyr (Ind.) 47 0.9% Arty Watson (Ind.) 114 2.2% | Gerry Lowe† |
| Saint John Lancaster | | K. Dorothy Shephard 3560 54.2% | | Sharon Teare 1471 22.4% | | Joanna Killen 938 14.3% | | Paul Seelye 394 6.0% | | Don Durant 201 3.1% | | | Dorothy Shephard |
| Kings Centre | | Bill Oliver 4583 61.5% | | Paul Adams 911 12.2% | | Bruce Dryer 1006 13.5% | | William Edgett 693 9.3% | | Margaret Anderson Kilfoil 254 3.4% | | | Bill Oliver |
| Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West | | Andrea Anderson-Mason 4740 66.5% | | Tony Mann 726 10.2% | | Lois P. Mitchell 686 9.6% | | Vincent P. Edgett 688 9.6% | | Sharon R. Greenlaw 291 4.1% | | | Andrea Anderson-Mason |
| Saint Croix | | Kathy Bockus 3570 45.2% | | John Wayne Gardner 401 5.1% | | Kim Reeder 1238 15.7% | | Rod Cumberland 2546 32.2% | | Brad McKinney 147 1.9% | | | Vacant |

### Capital Region

| Electoral district | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Incumbent |
| Electoral district | Progressive Conservatives | Progressive Conservatives | Liberal | Liberal | Green | Green | PANB | PANB | NDP | NDP | Other | Other | Incumbent | Incumbent |
| Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton | | Mary E. Wilson 3374 44.3% | | Steven Burns 2072 27.2% | | Gail Costello 1306 17.1% | | Craig Rector 745 9.8% | | Natasha M. Akhtar 127 1.7% | | | Mary E. Wilson |
| Fredericton-Grand Lake | | Roy Wiggins 2479 30.6% | | Eldon Hunter 749 9.3% | | Ken Washburn 1005 12.4% | | Kris Austin 3759 46.4% | | Greg Cook 87 1.1% | | Grenville Woollacott (KISS) 18 0.2% | Kris Austin |
| New Maryland-Sunbury | | Jeff Carr 5342 57.8% | | Chris Pelkey 1048 11.3% | | Jen Smith 1463 15.8% | | Morris Shannon 1254 13.6% | | Chris Thompson 141 1.5% | | | Jeff Carr |
| Fredericton South | | Brian MacKinnon 2342 30.0% | | Nicole Picot 895 11.5% | | David Coon 4213 54.0% | | Wendell Betts 234 3.0% | | Geoffrey Noseworthy 117 1.5% | | | David Coon |
| Fredericton North | | Jill Green 3227 41.1% | | Stephen Horsman 1464 18.7% | | Luke Randall 2464 31.4% | | Allen Price 591 7.5% | | Mackenzie Thomason 100 1.3% | | | Stephen Horsman |
| Fredericton-York | | Ryan Cullins 3730 42.4% | | Randy McKeen 872 9.9% | | Melissa Fraser 2110 24.0% | | Rick DeSaulniers 1991 22.6% | | Steven J. LaForest 68 0.8% | | Gerald Bourque (KISS) 24 0.3% | Rick DeSaulniers |
| Fredericton West-Hanwell | | Dominic Cardy 4726 52.9% | | Chris Duffie 1510 16.9% | | Susan Jonah 1745 19.5% | | Mel Keeling 825 9.2% | | Armand Cormier 131 1.5% | | | Dominic Cardy |
| Carleton-York | | Richard Ames 4750 57.8% | | Robert Kitchen 940 11.4% | | Louise Comeau 890 10.8% | | Gary Lemmon 1524 18.6% | | Jarrett Oldenburg 110 1.3% | | | Carl Urquhart† |

### Upper River Valley

| Electoral district | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Candidates | Incumbent |
| Electoral district | Progressive Conservatives | Progressive Conservatives | Liberal | Liberal | Green | Green | PANB | PANB | NDP | NDP | Other | Other | Incumbent | Incumbent |
| Carleton | | Bill Hogan 3536 47.9% | | Theresa Blackburn 1239 16.8% | | Greg Crouse 581 7.9% | | Graham Gill 1909 25.8% | | Shawn Oldenburg 80 1.1% | | Andy Walton (KISS) 41 0.6% | Stewart Fairgrieve† |
| Carleton-Victoria | | Margaret Johnson 3330 45.2% | | Andrew Harvey 2939 39.9% | | Rowan Patrick Miller 372 5.1% | | Terry Leigh Sisson 610 8.3% | | Meriet Gray Miller 113 1.5% | | | Andrew Harvey |
| Victoria-La Vallée | | Roland Michaud 2071 28.6% | | Chuck Chiasson 4365 60.2% | | Nathanaël Denis Lavoie 426 5.9% | | André Jobin 292 4.0% | | | | Danny Zolondek (Ind.) 92 1.3% | Chuck Chiasson |
| Edmundston-Madawaska Centre | | Joanne Bérubé Gagné 1380 19.6% | | Jean-Claude (JC) D'Amours 5236 74.5% | | Marco Morency 415 5.9% | | | | | | | Jean-Claude (JC) D'Amours |
| Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston | | Marie-Eve Castonguay 1763 25.6% | | Francine Landry 4583 66.5% | | Marie-Soleil Lussier 542 7.9% | | | | | | | Francine Landry |