# 2012 Queensland state election

The 2012 Queensland state election was held on 24 March 2012 to elect all 89 members of the Legislative Assembly, a unicameral parliament.
The Labor Party (ALP), led by Premier Anna Bligh, was defeated by the opposition Liberal National Party (LNP), led by Campbell Newman in a landslide victory. It is only the sixth time that Queenslanders have ousted a sitting government since 1915. The ALP was attempting to win a ninth consecutive election victory, having won every general election since 1989, despite being out of office between 1996 and 1998. Katter's Australian Party contested its first election. Before the election, it held two seats whose members had been elected as LNP candidates.
Labor suffered one of the worst defeats of a state government since Federation, and the worst defeat of a sitting government in Queensland history. From 51 seats in 2009, it was reduced to only seven seats, suffering a swing of 15.6 percentage points. The LNP won a majority for the first time in its history, jumping from 34 to 78 seats to win the largest majority government in Queensland history. It was the first outright non-Labor majority since the Queensland Nationals won their last victory in 1986. Katter's Australian Party won two seats, though leader Aidan McLindon lost his own seat. The remaining two seats were taken by independents. Newman took office two days after the election.
Historically, Queenslanders have given their governments long tenures in office. The 2012 election marked only the sixth change of government in the state since 1915.

## Background

In choosing 24 March, Bligh made the unusual step of announcing the election date two months prior. Bligh was criticised for selecting a date which required the postponement of local government elections. Bligh has said that date allowed Queenslanders to view the final report of the Commission of Inquiry into the 2010–11 Queensland floods before they vote. Normal practice in Australia is for parliament to be dissolved at the time of the election announcement. However, Bligh did not formally ask Governor Penelope Wensley to dissolve Parliament until 19 February. Wensley granted the request, formally beginning the 35-day campaign. By not asking for a dissolution in January, Bligh avoided placing the government in caretaker mode for 25 days.

### Leadership of the Liberal National Party

Campbell Newman was elected leader of the LNP in early 2011 while he was the Lord Mayor of Brisbane. Standard practice calls for an MP from a safe seat to resign so that a newly elected leader can get into parliament via a by-election, though this is not universally followed. However, when Newman won the leadership in 2011, a by-election could not be arranged. For this reason, Jeff Seeney was elected as interim parliamentary leader of the LNP and Leader of the Opposition. Newman led the LNP election team from outside of parliament, often sitting at the galleries, and simultaneously contested the seat of Ashgrove as the LNP candidate.

### Disendorsed candidates

The Liberal National Party disendorsed two candidates for the Gold Coast seat of Broadwater. Richard Townson was caught drink driving with a blood alcohol content of 0.07 when he was in a police random breath test. Cameron Caldwell was disendorsed when he confirmed he had attended a Gold Coast swingers' club.
The Australian Labor Party disendorsed candidate Peter Watson for the seat of Southern Downs and expelled him from the party for making racist and homophobic remarks online.

### Katter appeal on ballot papers

On 2 March 2012, Katter's Australian Party sought an injunction in the Supreme Court of Queensland to have more than 2 million ballot papers shredded and reprinted. The party said the Queensland Electoral Commission used the party's abbreviated name, "The Australian Party", instead of its registered name, "Katter's Australian Party (Qld Division)", which the party claimed could confuse voters. Bligh said that her lawyers had advised her to reschedule the election if Katter's challenge succeeded.
On 7 March, Supreme Court Justice Roslyn Atkinson referred the matter to the Queensland Court of Appeal as matters of constitutional law in the case were outside her jurisdiction. The Court of Appeal rejected the constitutional arguments and dismissed the appeal the following day.

## Key dates

| Date | Event |
| 19 February 2012 | Writ of election issued by the Governor |
| 25 February 2012 | Close of electoral rolls |
| 27 February 2012 | Close of nominations |
| 24 March 2012 | Polling day, between the hours of 8am and 6pm |
| 26 March 2012 | Interim Newman Ministry was sworn in |
| 3 April 2012 | Full Newman Ministry sworn |
| 23 April 2012 | Writ returned and results formally declared |
| 15 May 2012 | 54th Parliament convened |

## Retiring members
### Labor

* Julie Attwood (Mount Ommaney) — Announced 16 January 2012
* Desley Boyle (Cairns) — Announced 17 February 2011
* Paul Lucas (Lytton) — Announced 15 September 2011
* Carolyn Male (Pine Rivers) — Announced 3 February 2012
* John Mickel (Logan) — Announced 10 August 2011
* Lindy Nelson-Carr (Mundingburra) — Announced 28 March 2011
* Neil Roberts (Nudgee) — Announced 12 December 2011
* Stephen Robertson (Stretton) — Announced 27 March 2011
* Robert Schwarten (Rockhampton) — Announced 17 February 2011
* Judy Spence (Sunnybank) — Announced 15 December 2010

### Liberal National

* Mike Horan (Toowoomba South) — Announced 26 March 2011

### Independent

* Dorothy Pratt (Nanango) — Announced 15 April 2011

## Results

The estimated two-party preferred result was 37.2% for Labor and 62.8% for the LNP, a swing of 13.7% from Labor's result of 2009.
The LNP had been unbackable favourites to win the election. By the time the writs were issued, they had led opinion polling for over a year, and had been ahead of Labor on all but one Newspoll since 2010.
The LNP swept Labor from power in a massive landslide, taking 78 seats to Labor's seven on a two-party-preferred swing of 13.7 points away from Labor. The 44-seat loss is double the 22-seat loss suffered by the Nationals in the 1989 election, the previous record for the worst defeat of a sitting government in Queensland history. The 13.7-percent swing is one of the largest against a sitting state government in Australia since World War II.
In the process, the LNP won many seats considered Labor heartland. It broke Labor's longstanding grip on Brisbane, taking all but three of the city's 40 seats, some on swings of 10 points or more. By comparison, Labor went into the election holding all but six seats in the capital, which had been its power base for over 20 years. In every election since the "one vote, one value" reforms of the Goss government, Labor had won at least 30 seats in Brisbane. The LNP also won every seat on the Gold Coast while strengthening its hold on its traditional heartlands in provincial and rural Queensland. Ten members of Bligh's cabinet were defeated. Newman won Ashgrove handily, defeating Labor's Kate Jones on a 13-point swing, almost double the 7-point swing he needed to take the seat off Labor.
ABC News called the election for the LNP at 6:48 pm Queensland time, less than an hour after counting began. Bligh conceded defeat at 8:25 pm, and Newman publicly claimed victory 20 minutes later.
The day after the election, Bligh resigned as premier and Queensland Labor leader. She also announced she was resigning from parliament on 30 March and retiring from politics, triggering a by-election in her seat of South Brisbane. An hour later, Newman, who at the time did not know that Bligh had resigned, announced that he would be sworn in as premier on 26 March, heading an interim three-man cabinet composed of himself, Seeney and Tim Nicholls. Although Newman's victory was beyond doubt, counting was still under way in some seats. Bligh handed in her resignation later on the afternoon of 25 March, but remained as caretaker until Newman was sworn in the next day.
Labor was reduced to its smallest presence in the legislature on record, outdoing its previous low in 1974, when it was cut down to a "cricket team" of only 11 members at the height of Joh Bjelke-Petersen's power. Indeed, Michael Madigan of The Courier-Mail wrote that Labor had been reduced to a "water polo squad."
Although Labor came up two seats short of official party status in the legislature, Newman promised that Labor would be "properly resourced as an opposition".
| | Liberal National | 1,214,553 | 49.66 | 8.06 | 78 | 44 |
| | Labor | 652,092 | 26.66 | 15.59 | 7 | 44 |
| | Katter's Australian Party | 282,098 | 11.53 | New | 2 | New |
| | Greens | 184,147 | 7.53 | 0.84 | 0 | 0 |
| | Independents | 77,282 | 3.16 | 3.42 | 2 | 2 |
| | Family First | 33,269 | 1.36 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 |
| | One Nation | 2,525 | 0.10 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | Total | 2,445,966 | 100.00 | – | 89 | – |
| Valid votes | Valid votes | 2,445,966 | 97.85 | | | |
| Invalid/blank votes | Invalid/blank votes | 53,797 | 2.15 | 0.21 | | |
| Total votes | Total votes | 2,499,763 | 100.00 | – | | |
| Registered voters/turnout | Registered voters/turnout | 2,746,844 | 91.00 | 0.07 | | |
| Two-party-preferred |||||
| | Liberal National | | 62.8 | 13.7 |
| | Labor | | 37.2 | 13.7 |
| Total | Total | | |
| Source: The two-party preferred summary is an estimate by Antony Green using a methodology by Malcolm Mackerras. |||||
Popular vote
LNP
49.66%
Labor
26.66%
Katter's
11.53%
Greens
7.53%
Family First
1.36%
One Nation
0.10%
Independents
3.16% :
Two-party preferred vote
LNP
62.80%
Labor
37.20% :
Seats
LNP
87.64%
Labor
7.87%
Katter's
2.25%
Independents
2.25% :

## Seats changing hands

| Seat | 2009 Election | 2009 Election | 2009 Election | 2009 Election | Swing | 2012 Election | 2012 Election | 2012 Election | 2012 Election |
| Seat | Party | Party | Member | Margin | Swing | Margin | Member | Party | Party |
| Albert | | Labor | Margaret Keech | 6.47 | –18.36 | 11.89 | Mark Boothman | Liberal National | |
| Algester | | Labor | Karen Struthers | 9.21 | –18.36 | 9.15 | Anthony Shorten | Liberal National | |
| Ashgrove | | Labor | Kate Jones | 7.10 | –12.79 | 5.70 | Campbell Newman | Liberal National | |
| Barron River | | Labor | Steve Wettenhall | 2.32 | –11.81 | 9.48 | Michael Trout | Liberal National | |
| Brisbane Central | | Labor | Grace Grace | 5.97 | –10.85 | 4.88 | Robert Cavallucci | Liberal National | |
| Broadwater | | Labor | Peta-Kaye Croft | 2.03 | –13.32 | 11.29 | Verity Barton | Liberal National | |
| Bulimba | | Labor | Di Farmer | 7.77 | –7.91 | 0.14 | Aaron Dillaway | Liberal National | |
| Burleigh | | Labor | Christine Smith | 4.90 | –15.95 | 11.05 | Michael Hart | Liberal National | |
| Cairns | | Labor | Desley Boyle | 4.15 | –13.03 | 8.87 | Gavin King | Liberal National | |
| Capalaba | | Labor | Michael Choi | 9.67 | –13.40 | 3.73 | Steve Davies | Liberal National | |
| Chatsworth | | Labor | Steve Kilburn | 0.14 | –14.08 | 13.94 | Steve Minnikin | Liberal National | |
| Cook | | Labor | Jason O'Brien | 2.24 | –5.68 | 3.43 | David Kempton | Liberal National | |
| Dalrymple | | Liberal National | Shane Knuth$^1$ | 5.18 | –20.40 | 15.22 | Shane Knuth | Katter's Australian | |
| Everton | | Labor | Murray Watt | 1.39 | –14.54 | 13.15 | Tim Mander | Liberal National | |
| Ferny Grove | | Labor | Geoff Wilson | 4.49 | –14.02 | 9.52 | Dale Shuttleworth | Liberal National | |
| Greenslopes | | Labor | Cameron Dick | 6.94 | –9.40 | 2.45 | Ian Kaye | Liberal National | |
| Ipswich | | Labor | Rachel Nolan | 16.71 | –20.90 | 4.19 | Ian Berry | Liberal National | |
| Ipswich West | | Labor | Wayne Wendt | 9.55 | –16.71 | 7.16 | Sean Choat | Liberal National | |
| Kallangur | | Labor | Mary-Anne O'Neill | 4.63 | –17.06 | 12.43 | Trevor Ruthenberg | Liberal National | |
| Keppel | | Labor | Paul Hoolihan | 7.62 | –14.02 | 6.39 | Bruce Young | Liberal National | |
| Logan | | Labor | John Mickel | 13.93 | –18.73 | 4.80 | Michael Pucci | Liberal National | |
| Lytton | | Labor | Paul Lucas | 12.21 | –13.79 | 1.58 | Neil Symes | Liberal National | |
| Mansfield | | Labor | Phil Reeves | 4.39 | –15.53 | 11.14 | Ian Walker | Liberal National | |
| Maryborough | | Independent | Chris Foley | 16.83 | –17.14 | 0.31 | Anne Maddern | Liberal National | |
| Morayfield | | Labor | Mark Ryan | 9.13 | –14.71 | 5.57 | Darren Grimwade | Liberal National | |
| Mount Coot-tha | | Labor | Andrew Fraser | 5.25 | –10.60 | 5.36 | Saxon Rice | Liberal National | |
| Mount Isa | | Labor | Betty Kiernan | 5.72 | 15.76 | 10.04 | Robbie Katter | Katter's Australian | |
| Mount Ommaney | | Labor | Julie Attwood | 4.79 | –21.27 | 16.48 | Tarnya Smith | Liberal National | |
| Mundingburra | | Labor | Lindy Nelson-Carr | 6.59 | –16.78 | 10.19 | David Crisafulli | Liberal National | |
| Murrumba | | Labor | Dean Wells | 7.21 | –16.74 | 9.52 | Reg Gulley | Liberal National | |
| Nanango | | Independent | Dorothy Pratt | 2.90 | -11.88 | 8.98 | Deb Frecklington | Liberal National | |
| Nudgee | | Labor | Neil Roberts | 4.26 | –17.37 | 3.11 | Jason Woodforth | Liberal National | |
| Pine Rivers | | Labor | Carolyn Male | 4.61 | –18.27 | 13.66 | Seath Holswich | Liberal National | |
| Pumicestone | | Labor | Carryn Sullivan | 4.99 | –17.06 | 12.07 | Lisa France | Liberal National | |
| Redcliffe | | Labor | Lillian van Litsenburg | 5.57 | –15.67 | 10.10 | Scott Driscoll | Liberal National | |
| Sandgate | | Labor | Vicky Darling | 12.37 | –15.24 | 2.87 | Kerry Millard | Liberal National | |
| Southport | | Labor | Peter Lawlor | 3.48 | –18.20 | 14.72 | Rob Molhoek | Liberal National | |
| Springwood | | Labor | Barbara Stone | 4.08 | –19.48 | 15.39 | John Grant | Liberal National | |
| Stafford | | Labor | Stirling Hinchliffe | 7.29 | –14.35 | 7.06 | Chris Davis | Liberal National | |
| Stretton | | Labor | Stephen Robertson | 9.48 | −19.04 | 9.55 | Freya Ostapovitch | Liberal National | |
| Sunnybank | | Labor | Judy Spence | 10.79 | −21.02 | 10.23 | Mark Stewart | Liberal National | |
| Thuringowa | | Labor | Craig Wallace | 8.47 | −9.85 | 1.38 | Sam Cox | Liberal National | |
| Toowoomba North | | Labor | Kerry Shine | 3.22 | –12.80 | 9.58 | Trevor Watts | Liberal National | |
| Townsville | | Labor | Mandy Johnstone | 4.02 | −8.84 | 4.83 | John Hathaway | Liberal National | |
| Waterford | | Labor | Evan Moorhead | 16.46 | −17.50 | 1.04 | Mike Latter | Liberal National | |
| Whitsunday | | Labor | Jan Jarratt | 3.24 | −13.91 | 10.67 | Jason Costigan | Liberal National | |
| Yeerongpilly | | Labor | Simon Finn | 8.73 | −10.17 | 1.44 | Carl Judge | Liberal National | |
* Members listed in italics did not contest their seat at this election.
* $^1$ Shane Knuth was elected as a member of the Liberal National Party, but resigned and joined Katter's Australian Party in 2011.
* The Liberal National Party also retained the seats of Beaudesert, where the sitting Liberal National member had resigned and contested the election as a member of Katter's Australian Party. The Liberal National Party also retained the seat of Burnett, where the sitting Liberal National member had resigned and contested the election as an Independent.

## Subsequent changes

* On 30 March 2012, former Premier Anna Bligh (South Brisbane) resigned. At the by-election on 28 April 2012, Jackie Trad retained the electorate for the Labor Party.
* On 28 November 2012, Ray Hopper (Condamine) resigned from the Liberal National Party and joined Katter's Australian Party.
* On 30 November 2012, Carl Judge (Yeerongpilly) resigned from the Liberal National Party and sat as an Independent. He then joined the Palmer United Party on 7 June 2013, but resigned on 8 October 2014 and again sat as an Independent.
* On 1 December 2012, Alex Douglas (Gaven) resigned from the Liberal National Party and sat as an Independent. He then joined the Palmer United Party on 7 Jun 2013, but resigned on 18 August 2014 and again sat as an Independent.
* On 19 April 2013, Scott Driscoll (Redcliffe) resigned from the Liberal National Party and sat as an Independent. On 19 November 2013 he resigned. At the by-election on 22 February 2014, Yvette D'Ath gained the seat for the Labor Party.
* On 23 May 2014, Chris Davis (Stafford) resigned. At the by-election on 19 July 2014, Anthony Lynham gained the seat for the Labor Party.

## Retiring MPs

The following Members of Parliament stood down at the election:

### Labor

* Julie Attwood (Mount Ommaney) – announced 16 January 2012
* Desley Boyle (Cairns) – announced 17 February 2011
* Paul Lucas (Lytton) – announced 15 September 2011
* Carolyn Male (Pine Rivers) – announced 3 February 2012
* John Mickel (Logan) – announced 10 August 2011
* Lindy Nelson-Carr (Mundingburra) – announced 28 March 2011
* Neil Roberts (Nudgee) – announced 12 December 2011
* Stephen Robertson (Stretton) – announced 27 March 2011
* Robert Schwarten (Rockhampton) – announced 17 February 2011
* Judy Spence (Sunnybank) – announced 15 December 2010

### LNP

* Mike Horan (Toowoomba South) – announced 26 March 2011

### Independent

* Dorothy Pratt (Nanango) – announced 15 April 2011

## Polling

Newspoll and Galaxy polling was conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes usually consist of around 800-1000 electors, with the declared margin of error at around ±3 percent.

### Graphical summary
#### Better Premier and leadership approval graphical summary
## Newspaper endorsements

| Newspaper | Endorsement | Endorsement |
| The Australian | | Liberal National |
| The Courier-Mail | | Liberal National |