# 2007 Murcian regional election

The 2007 Murcian regional election was held on Sunday, 27 May 2007, to elect the 7th Regional Assembly of the autonomous community of the Region of Murcia. All 45 seats in the Regional Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

## Overview
### Electoral system

The Regional Assembly of Murcia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Murcia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Murcian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.
Voting for the Regional Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Region of Murcia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. The 45 members of the Regional Assembly of Murcia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, which were established by law as follows:
* District One (comprising the municipalities of Lorca, Aguilas, Puerto Lumbreras, Totana, Alhama de Murcia, Librilla, Aledo and Mazarrón).
* District Two (comprising the municipalities of Cartagena, La Unión, Fuente Alamo de Murcia, Torre-Pacheco, San Javier, San Pedro del Pinatar and Los Alcázares).
* District Three (comprising the municipalities of Murcia, Alcantarilla, Beniel, Molina de Segura, Alguazas, Las Torres de Cotillas, Lorquí, Ceutí, Cieza, Abarán, Blanca, Archena, Ricote, Ulea, Villanueva del Río Segura, Ojós, Fortuna, Abanilla and Santomera).
* District Four (comprising the municipalities of Caravaca, Cehegín, Calasparra, Moratalla, Bullas, Pliego, Mula, Albudeite and Campos del Río).
* District Five (comprising the municipalities of Yecla and Jumilla).
Each constituency was entitled to an initial minimum of one seat, with the remaining 40 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations.

### Election date

The term of the Regional Assembly of Murcia expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Regional Assembly were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the election date for the Regional Assembly on Sunday, 27 May 2007.
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Regional Assembly of Murcia and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Regional Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.

## Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the Region of Murcia, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
| Candidacy | Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Leading candidate | Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. |
| Candidacy | Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Leading candidate | Leading candidate | Ideology | Votes (%) | Seats | Gov. | Ref. |
| | PP | List People's Party (PP) | | Ramón Luis Valcárcel | Conservatism Christian democracy | 56.66% | 28 | Y | |
| | PSOE | List Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | | Pedro Saura | Social democracy | 34.11% | 16 | N | [5] [6] |
| | (IU+LV)RM | List United Left of the Region of Murcia (IURM) The Greens (LV) | | José Antonio Pujante | Socialism Communism | 7.23% | 1 | N | |

## Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 23 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Regional Assembly of Murcia.

### Color key

Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | Lead |
| 2007 regional election | 27 May 2007 | — | 68.0 | 58.3 29 | 32.0 15 | 6.3 1 | 26.3 |
| Ipsos/RTVE–FORTA | 27 May 2007 | ? | ? | ? 27/30 | ? 15/17 | ? 1/2 | ? |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 | 19 May 2007 | ? | ? | ? 28/29 | ? 15/16 | ? 1 | ? |
| Celeste-Tel/Terra | 9–15 May 2007 | ? | ? | 56.2 27/28 | 34.8 16/17 | 5.8 1 | 21.4 |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 | 14 May 2007 | ? | ? | ? 29 | ? 15 | ? 1 | ? |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 27 Apr–8 May 2007 | 600 | ? | 58.8 29/31 | 33.1 14/16 | 4.3 0/1 | 25.7 |
| CIS | 9 Apr–6 May 2007 | 1,492 | ? | 57.2 28 | 33.1 16 | 6.2 1 | 24.1 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 16–24 Nov 2006 | ? | ? | ? 27/28 | ? 16/17 | ? 1 | ? |
| Emurtel/PP | 25 Apr–3 May 2006 | 1,050 | ? | 56.3 | 33.9 | 4.7 | 22.4 |
| 2004 EP election | 13 Jun 2004 | — | 49.1 | 58.9 | 36.4 | 2.8 | 22.5 |
| 2004 general election | 14 Mar 2004 | — | 77.1 | 57.4 | 35.0 | 4.3 | 22.4 |
| 2003 regional election | 25 May 2003 | — | 70.0 | 56.7 28 | 34.1 16 | 5.7 1 | 22.6 |

## Results
### Overall

← Summary of the 27 May 2007 Regional Assembly of Murcia election results → :
| Parties and alliances | Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Popular vote | Popular vote | Seats | Seats |
| Parties and alliances | Parties and alliances | Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− |
| | People's Party (PP) | 379,011 | 58.30 | +1.64 | 29 | +1 |
| | Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 207,998 | 32.00 | –2.11 | 15 | –1 |
| | United Left+The Greens of the Region of Murcia ((IU+LV)RM)$^1$ | 40,633 | 6.25 | –0.98 | 1 | ±0 |
| | Regional Citizens' Coalition (CCR) | 8,139 | 1.25 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL) | 3,744 | 0.58 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | National Democracy (DN) | 1,006 | 0.15 | +0.11 | 0 | ±0 |
| | Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) | 774 | 0.12 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | Centrist Party (PCTR) | 124 | 0.02 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| Blank ballots | Blank ballots | 8,642 | 1.33 | –0.20 | | |
| Total | Total | 650,071 | | | 45 | ±0 |
| Valid votes | Valid votes | 650,071 | 99.24 | +0.04 | | |
| Invalid votes | Invalid votes | 4,972 | 0.76 | –0.04 | | |
| Votes cast / turnout | Votes cast / turnout | 655,043 | 68.01 | –1.97 | | |
| Abstentions | Abstentions | 308,178 | 31.99 | +1.97 | | |
| Registered voters | Registered voters | 963,221 | | | | |
| Sources |||||||
| Footnotes: $^1$ United Left+The Greens of the Region of Murcia results are compared to the combined totals of United Left and The Greens in the 2003 election. |||||||
Popular vote
PP
58.30%
PSOE
32.00%
(IU+LV)RM
6.25%
CCR
1.25%
Others
0.87%
Blank ballots
1.33% :
Seats
PP
64.44%
PSOE
33.33%
(IU+LV)RM
2.22% :

### Distribution by constituency

| Constituency | PP | PP | PSOE | PSOE | IU–LV | IU–LV |
| Constituency | % | S | % | S | % | S |
| One | 55.2 | 5 | 33.0 | 2 | 8.6 | − |
| Two | 57.4 | 7 | 32.2 | 4 | 4.7 | − |
| Three | 61.6 | 13 | 29.8 | 6 | 5.9 | 1 |
| Four | 50.6 | 2 | 41.9 | 2 | 5.8 | − |
| Five | 49.0 | 2 | 34.6 | 1 | 10.7 | − |
| Total | 58.3 | 29 | 32.0 | 15 | 6.3 | 1 |
| Sources |||||||

## Aftermath

Investiture Ramón Luis Valcárcel (PP) :
| Ballot → | Ballot → | 26 June 2007 |
| Required majority → | Required majority → | 23 out of 45 Y |
| | Yes • PP (29) | 29 / 45 |
| | No • PSOE (15) • IU–LV–RM (1) | 16 / 45 |
| | Abstentions | 0 / 45 |
| | Absentees | 0 / 45 |
| Sources |||