# 2007 Navarrese regional election

The 2007 Navarrese regional election was held on Sunday, 27 May 2007, to elect the 8th Parliament of the Chartered Community of Navarre. All 50 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The election saw the ruling coalition formed by the Navarrese People's Union (UPN) and Convergence of Democrats of Navarre (CDN) losing the absolute majority it had enjoyed in the previous legislature, with the newly-formed Navarre Yes (NaBai) alliance—formed by Aralar, Basque Solidarity (EA), the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) and Assembly (Batzarre)—emerging as the second political force in the region, with the Socialist Party of Navarre (PSN–PSOE) coming in a close third place with its best result since 1991. Negotiations for a coalition government between NaBai, PSN–PSOE and United Left (IUN) ensued, with PSN's candidate Fernando Puras being expected to head the cabinet, but the talks were thwarted by decision from the PSOE's national leadership. As a result, Miguel Sanz was able to be re-elected as president of Navarre for a fourth term thanks to the PSN not opposing his investiture.

## Overview
### Electoral system

The Parliament of Navarre was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the Chartered Community of Navarre, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Reintegration and Enhancement of the Foral Regime of Navarre Law, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Navarre and in full enjoyment of their political rights.
The 50 members of the Parliament of Navarre were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally.

### Election date

The term of the Parliament of Navarre expired four years after the date of its previous election, with elections to the Parliament being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 27 May 2007.
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Navarre and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a thirty-day period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.

## Parliamentary composition

The Parliament of Navarre was officially dissolved on 3 April 2007, after the publication of the dissolution decree in the Official Gazette of Navarre. The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the time of dissolution.
Parliamentary composition in April 2007 :
| Groups | Groups | Parties | Parties | Legislators | Legislators |
| Groups | Groups | Parties | Parties | Seats | Total |
| | Navarrese People's Union Parliamentary Group | | UPN | 23 | 23 |
| | Socialists of the Parliament of Navarre Parliamentary Group | | PSN–PSOE | 11 | 11 |
| | United Left of Navarre Parliamentary Group | | IU | 4 | 4 |
| | Aralar Parliamentary Group | | Aralar | 4 | 4 |
| | Convergence of Democrats of Navarre Parliamentary Group | | CDN | 4 | 4 |
| | Basque Solidarity Parliamentary Group | | EA | 3 | 3 |
| | Mixed Group | | EAJ/PNV | 1 | 1 |

## Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in Navarre, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
| Candidacy | Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Leading candidate | Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. |
| Candidacy | Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Leading candidate | Leading candidate | Ideology | Votes (%) | Seats | Gov. | Ref. |
| | UPN | List Navarrese People's Union (UPN) | | Miguel Sanz | Conservatism Christian democracy Regionalism | 41.48% | 23 | Y | |
| | PSN–PSOE | List Socialist Party of Navarre (PSN–PSOE) | | Fernando Puras | Social democracy | 21.15% | 11 | N | |
| | NaBai | List Aralar (Aralar) Basque Solidarity (EA) Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV) Assembly (Batzarre) | | Patxi Zabaleta | Basque nationalism Progressivism | 17.82% | 8 | N | |
| | IUN/NEB | List United Left of Navarre (IUN/NEB) – Communist Party of the Basque Country (PCE/EPK) – Revolutionary Workers' Party (POR) | | Jon Erro | Socialism Communism | 8.77% | 4 | N | |
| | CDN | List Convergence of Democrats of Navarre (CDN) | | Juan Cruz Alli | Christian democracy Regionalism | 7.65% | 4 | Y | |

## Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

### Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 26 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Navarre.

#### Color key

Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | CDN | | | PNV | | | Lead |
| 2007 regional election | 27 May 2007 | — | 73.8 | 42.2 22 | 22.5 12 | 4.3 2 | | 4.4 2 | | | | – | 23.6 12 | 18.6 |
| Ipsos/RTVE–FORTA | 27 May 2007 | ? | ? | 36.8 19/21 | 22.3 11/13 | 5.0 2 | | 3.3 1 | | | | – | 26.9 14/16 | 9.9 |
| Opina/El País | 14–17 May 2007 | ? | ? | 40.0 22 | 26.0 14 | 5.0 2 | | 1.4 0 | | | | – | 23.5 12 | 14.0 |
| Celeste-Tel/Terra | 9–15 May 2007 | ? | ? | 39.6 21/22 | 20.1 11 | 6.9 3 | | 5.4 2/3 | | | | – | 23.2 12/13 | 16.4 |
| CIES/Diario de Navarra | 3–11 May 2007 | 1,505 | 76 | 41.2 21/23 | 22.1 11/12 | 5.7 2/3 | | 5.5 2/3 | | | | (6.9) | 23.9 12/13 | 17.3 |
| Opina/Cadena SER | 8 May 2007 | 1,000 | ? | 38.0 21 | 24.5 13 | 7.0 3 | | 3.0 0 | | | | – | 23.0 13 | 13.5 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 27 Apr–8 May 2007 | 500 | ? | 43.3 22/24 | 23.4 12/13 | 6.8 3 | | 3.2 1 | | | | – | 20.5 10/11 | 19.9 |
| CIS | 9 Apr–6 May 2007 | 1,189 | ? | 38.7 20/21 | 18.6 10 | 6.4 3 | | 5.9 3 | | | | – | 25.8 13/14 | 12.9 |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 | 2–5 May 2007 | 503 | 71.5 | 43.0 22/23 | 20.2 10/11 | 7.2 3/4 | | 4.8 2 | | | | 3.6 0/2 | 20.5 10/11 | 22.5 |
| Quor/Diario de Noticias | 20–24 Apr 2007 | 1,100 | ? | 37.0 20/21 | 25.7 12/13 | 7.0 3 | | 5.1 2 | | | | – | 25.0 12 | 11.3 |
| Intereconomía | 23 Mar 2007 | 1,006 | ? | 46.0 25 | 20.0 11 | 7.0 3 | | 6.0 3 | | | | – | 15.0 8 | 26.0 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 16–24 Nov 2006 | ? | ? | ? 21/23 | ? 10/11 | ? 3 | | ? 2 | | | | – | ? 12/13 | ? |
| CIES/Diario de Navarra | 25 Oct–6 Nov 2006 | 960 | 72 | 40.7 21 | 21.9 11 | 8.2 4 | | 7.4 3 | | | | – | 20.9 11 | 18.8 |
| CIES/Diario de Navarra | 25 Oct–6 Nov 2006 | 960 | 72 | 39.4 21 | 21.2 11 | 7.9 4 | | 7.2 3 | | | | 5.6 2 | 17.8 9 | 18.2 |
| CIES/Diario de Navarra | 18–30 May 2006 | 1,600 | 72 | 38.1 21 | 21.6 12 | 8.5 4 | 8.9 4 | 5.7 3 | 5.0 2 | 3.1 1 | 2.4 0 | 6.3 3 | – | 16.5 |
| CIES/Diario de Navarra | 28 Sep–5 Oct 2005 | 800 | ? | 41.0 22 | 25.2 13 | 8.1 4 | 10.1 5 | 5.5 2 | 6.4 3 | 3.0 1 | | – | – | 15.8 |
| CIES/Diario de Navarra | 28 Sep–5 Oct 2005 | 800 | ? | 39.2 22 | 24.1 13 | 7.5 3 | 8.9 4 | 5.3 2 | 6.2 3 | 2.1 0 | | 6.0 3 | – | 15.1 |
| 2004 EP election | 13 Jun 2004 | — | 46.2 | 45.2 (25) | 34.9 (19) | 4.3 (2) | 4.4 (2) | 0.9 (0) | 4.8 (2) | – | 2.1 (0) | – | – | 10.3 |
| 2004 general election | 14 Mar 2004 | — | 76.2 | 37.6 (20) | 33.6 (18) | 5.9 (3) | | 1.4 (0) | | | | – | 18.0 (9) | 4.0 |
| 2003 regional election | 25 May 2003 | — | 70.7 | 41.5 23 | 21.2 11 | 8.8 4 | 7.8 4 | 7.7 4 | 7.4 4 | 2.6 0 | | – | – | 20.3 |

### Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | CDN | | | ? | N | Lead |
| 2007 regional election | 27 May 2007 | — | 30.1 | 16.0 | 3.1 | | 3.1 | | 16.9 | — | 24.6 | 13.2 |
| CIS | 9 Apr–6 May 2007 | 1,189 | 21.1 | 12.4 | 2.9 | | 1.6 | | 12.5 | 35.2 | 8.8 | 8.6 |
| 2004 EP election | 13 Jun 2004 | — | 19.7 | 15.1 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 2.1 | – | — | 53.1 | 4.6 |
| 2004 general election | 14 Mar 2004 | — | 27.8 | 24.9 | 4.4 | | 1.2 | | 13.4 | — | 22.4 | 2.9 |
| 2003 regional election | 25 May 2003 | — | 28.0 | 14.3 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.0 | – | — | 27.7 | 13.7 |

### Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | CDN | | Other/ None | ? | Lead |
| Opina/Cadena SER | 8 May 2007 | 1,000 | 29.4 | 21.3 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 17.2 | 7.2 | 19.5 | 8.1 |
| CIS | 9 Apr–6 May 2007 | 1,189 | 26.2 | 18.6 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 15.5 | 12.8 | 21.9 | 7.6 |

### Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | CDN | | Other/ None | ? | Lead |
| Opina/Cadena SER | 8 May 2007 | 1,000 | 56.8 | 13.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 25.4 | 43.1 |
| CIS | 9 Apr–6 May 2007 | 1,189 | 61.2 | 8.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 27.2 | 52.5 |

### Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Government of Navarre.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | | Other/ None/ Not care | ? | Lead |
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Sanz UPN | Puras PSN | Erro IUN | Alli CDN | Zabaleta NaBai | Other/ None/ Not care | ? | Lead |
| CIS | 9 Apr–6 May 2007 | 1,189 | 27.4 | 13.8 | 2.8 | 4.9 | 13.8 | 4.1 | 33.2 | 13.6 |

## Results

← Summary of the 27 May 2007 Parliament of Navarre election results → :
| Parties and alliances | Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Popular vote | Popular vote | Seats | Seats |
| Parties and alliances | Parties and alliances | Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− |
| | Navarrese People's Union (UPN) | 139,132 | 42.19 | +0.71 | 22 | –1 |
| | Navarre Yes (NaBai)$^1$ | 77,872 | 23.62 | +5.80 | 12 | +4 |
| | Socialist Party of Navarre (PSN–PSOE) | 74,158 | 22.49 | +1.34 | 12 | +1 |
| | Convergence of Democrats of Navarre (CDN) | 14,412 | 4.37 | –3.28 | 2 | –2 |
| | United Left of Navarre (IUN/NEB) | 14,337 | 4.35 | –4.43 | 2 | –2 |
| | Navarrese Cannabis Representation (RCN/NOK) | 4,705 | 1.43 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | Carlist Party (EKA) | 541 | 0.16 | –0.17 | 0 | ±0 |
| Blank ballots | Blank ballots | 4,581 | 1.39 | –0.99 | | |
| Total | Total | 329,738 | | | 50 | ±0 |
| Valid votes | Valid votes | 329,738 | 94.74 | +1.22 | | |
| Invalid votes | Invalid votes | 18,301 | 5.26 | –1.22 | | |
| Votes cast / turnout | Votes cast / turnout | 348,039 | 73.79 | +3.09 | | |
| Abstentions | Abstentions | 123,614 | 26.21 | –3.09 | | |
| Registered voters | Registered voters | 471,653 | | | | |
| Sources |||||||
| Footnotes: $^1$ Navarre Yes results are compared to the combined totals of Aralar, Basque Solidarity–Basque Nationalist Party and Assembly in the 2003 election. |||||||
Popular vote
UPN
42.19%
NaBai
23.62%
PSN–PSOE
22.49%
CDN
4.37%
IUN/NEB
4.35%
RCN/NOK
1.43%
EKA
0.16%
Blank ballots
1.39% :
Seats
UPN
44.00%
NaBai
24.00%
PSN–PSOE
24.00%
CDN
4.00%
IUN/NEB
4.00% :

## Aftermath

Investiture processes to elect the president of the Government of Navarre required for an absolute majority—more than half the votes cast—to be obtained in the first ballot. If unsuccessful, a new ballot would be held 24 hours later requiring only of a simple majority—more affirmative than negative votes—to succeed. If such majorities were not achieved, successive candidate proposals would be processed under the same procedure. In the event of the investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a thirty-day period from the first ballot, the Parliament would be automatically dissolved and a snap election called.
Investiture Miguel Sanz (UPN) :
| Ballot → | Ballot → | 10 August 2007 | 11 August 2007 |
| Required majority → | Required majority → | 26 out of 50 N | Simple Y |
| | Yes • UPN (22) • CDN (2) | 24 / 50 | 24 / 50 |
| | No • NaBai (12) • PSN (11) (on 10 Aug) • IUN (2) | 25 / 50 | 14 / 50 |
| | Abstentions • PSN (1) (on 12 Aug) | 0 / 50 | 1 / 50 |
| | Absentees | 0 / 50 | 0 / 50 |
| Sources ||||