# 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Osun State

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Osun State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria. Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

## Background

Osun State is a small, Yoruba-majority southwestern state with vast natural areas and rich cultural heritage but facing an underdeveloped agricultural sector and high debt. The state's 2019 elections were competitiveness with presidential incumbent Muhammadu Buhari barely winning the state and all three Senate races being fairly close. Of the Senate elections, two seats went to the APC and one went to the PDP while the House of Representatives elections went 6 APC and 3 PDP. Contrastly, the APC won a large majority in the State House of Assembly. Two years later, Ademola Adeleke (PDP) unseated Gboyega Oyetola (APC)—the incumbent Governor, winning by 3.5% of the vote; however, the election result was overturned by the tribunal and the court dispute continues as of January 2023.

## Polling

| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting |
| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Tinubu APC | Obi LP | Kwankwaso NNPP | Abubakar PDP | Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting |
| BantuPage | January 2023 | N/A | 18% | 8% | 0% | 21% | – | 40% | 4% | 10% |
| Nextier (Osun crosstabs of national poll) | 27 January 2023 | N/A | 17.6% | 19.1% | – | 76% | 2.9% | – | – | – |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Osun crosstabs of national poll) | 22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 2% | 7% | – | 1% | – | 89% | – | – |

## Projections

| Source | Projection | Projection | As of |
| Africa Elects | Likely Tinubu | Likely Tinubu | 24 February 2023 |
| Dataphyte |
| Dataphyte | Tinubu: | 38.27% | 11 February 2023 |
| Dataphyte | Obi: | 19.99% | 11 February 2023 |
| Dataphyte | Abubakar: | 25.18% | 11 February 2023 |
| Dataphyte | Others: | 16.56% | 11 February 2023 |
| Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence | Tinubu | Tinubu | 17 February 2023 |
| SBM Intelligence | Abubakar | Abubakar | 15 December 2022 |
| ThisDay |
| ThisDay | Tinubu: | 35% | 27 December 2022 |
| ThisDay | Obi: | 5% | 27 December 2022 |
| ThisDay | Kwankwaso: | 5% | 27 December 2022 |
| ThisDay | Abubakar: | 35% | 27 December 2022 |
| ThisDay | Others/Undecided: | 20% | 27 December 2022 |
| The Nation | Tinubu | Tinubu | 12-19 February 2023 |

## General election
### Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Osun State :
| Party | Party | Candidate | % |
| | A | Christopher Imumolen | |
| | AA | Hamza al-Mustapha | |
| | ADP | Yabagi Sani | |
| | APP | Osita Nnadi | |
| | AAC | Omoyele Sowore | |
| | ADC | Dumebi Kachikwu | |
| | APC | Bola Tinubu | |
| | APGA | Peter Umeadi | |
| | APM | Princess Chichi Ojei | |
| | BP | Sunday Adenuga | |
| | LP | Peter Obi | |
| | NRM | Felix Johnson Osakwe | |
| | New Nigeria Peoples Party | Rabiu Kwankwaso | |
| | PRP | Kola Abiola | |
| | PDP | Atiku Abubakar | |
| | SDP | Adewole Adebayo | |
| | YPP | Malik Ado-Ibrahim | |
| | ZLP | Dan Nwanyanwu | |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 100.00% |
| Invalid or blank votes | Invalid or blank votes | Invalid or blank votes | N/A |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | |

#### By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial District | Bola Tinubu APC | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Others | Total valid votes |
| Senatorial District | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Total valid votes |
| Osun Central Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Osun East Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Osun West Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |

#### By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal Constituency | Bola Tinubu APC | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Others | Total valid votes |
| Federal Constituency | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Total valid votes |
| Atakunmosa East/Atakunmosa West/ Ilesa East/Ilesa West Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ayedaade/Isokan/Irewole Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Aiyedire/Iwo/Ola-Oluwa Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Boluwaduro/Ifedayo/Ila Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ede North/Ede South/Egbedore/Ejigbo Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ife Central/Ife East/Ife North/Ife South Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Irepodun/Olorunda/Osogbo/Orolu Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Obokun/Oriade Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Odo-Otin/Boripe/Ifelodun Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |

#### By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.
| Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) |
| Local government area | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) |
| Aiyedaade | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Aiyedire | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Atakunmosa East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Atakunmosa West | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Boluwaduro | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Boripe | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ede North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ede South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Egbedore | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ejigbo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ife Central | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ife East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ife North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ife South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ifedayo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ifelodun | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ila | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ilesa East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ilesa West | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Irepodun | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Irewole | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Isokan | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Iwo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Obokun | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Odo Otin | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ola Oluwa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Olorunda | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Oriade | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Osogbo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |