# 2023 Ceuta Assembly election

The 2023 Ceuta Assembly election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 8th Assembly of the autonomous city of Ceuta. All 25 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

## Electoral system

The Assembly of Ceuta was the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Ceuta. Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Ceuta and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allowed Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.
The 25 members of the Assembly of Ceuta were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied.
The Mayor-President was indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause required that mayoral candidates earned the vote of an absolute majority of councillors, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly was to be automatically appointed to the post. In the event of a tie, the appointee would be determined by lot.

## Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.

## Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

### Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 13 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Ceuta.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | MDyC | | | | CY! | CA | Lead |
| 2023 Assembly election | 28 May 2023 | — | 54.8 | 34.3 9 | 21.0 6 | 20.6 5 | 11.2 3 | | 0.7 0 | 0.6 0 | 10.0 2 | – | 13.3 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 11–17 May 2023 | 250 | ? | 34.1 9 | 25.0 7 | 21.3 5 | 10.3 2 | | 0.8 0 | – | 7.4 2 | – | 9.1 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 4–10 May 2023 | 250 | ? | 33.4 9 | 25.3 7 | 21.6 5 | 10.4 2 | | 0.8 0 | – | 7.4 2 | – | 8.1 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 26 Apr–3 May 2023 | 250 | ? | 33.5 9 | 25.5 7 | 21.2 5 | 10.5 2 | | 0.8 0 | – | 7.5 2 | – | 8.0 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 19–25 Apr 2023 | 250 | ? | 33.5 9 | 25.8 7 | 20.8 5 | 10.2 2 | | 0.6 0 | – | 7.8 2 | – | 7.7 |
| GAD3/RTVCE | 20–24 Apr 2023 | 803 | ? | 39.3 11 | 19.5 5 | 21.3 5/6 | 10.8 2/3 | | 0.3 0 | 1.1 0 | 6.0 1 | – | 18.0 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 12–18 Apr 2023 | 250 | ? | 29.7 8 | 25.6 7 | 20.2 6 | 9.7 2 | | 0.6 0 | – | 8.3 2 | 4.9 0 | 4.1 |
| SyM Consulting | 7–11 Apr 2023 | 818 | 49.6 | 24.9 6/7 | 21.9 6 | 31.8 8 | 10.7 2/3 | | – | – | 7.3 2 | – | 6.9 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 5–11 Apr 2023 | 250 | ? | 30.4 9 | 25.1 7 | 19.9 5 | 9.8 2 | | 0.6 0 | – | 8.3 2 | 4.9 0 | 5.3 |
| Dialoga Consultores/CeutaTV | 9 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 35.0 9/11 | 31.2 8/10 | 18.9 4/6 | 5.5 1/2 | | 0.3 0 | 0.3 0 | 3.5 0 | 4.2 0/1 | 3.8 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 | 250 | ? | 31.0 9 | 24.7 7 | 19.5 5 | 9.8 2 | | 0.6 0 | – | 8.4 2 | 4.8 0 | 6.3 |
| GAD3/El Pueblo de Ceuta | 23 Jan–10 Feb 2023 | 1,004 | ? | 38.4 11 | 21.9 6 | 19.1 5 | 9.6 2 | | 0.4 0 | – | 5.0 1 | 3.1 0 | 16.5 |
| SyM Consulting | 5–9 Dec 2022 | 1,279 | 52.8 | 25.4 6/7 | 20.2 5 | 32.8 9 | 7.4 1/2 | | – | – | 9.3 3 | 1.9 0 | 7.4 |
| GAD3/El Pueblo de Ceuta | 2–14 Sep 2022 | 684 | ? | 36.3 10 | 20.2 5 | 18.4 5 | 7.1 2 | | 0.4 0 | – | 6.0 1 | 9.9 2 | 16.1 |
| SyM Consulting | 6–10 Jul 2022 | 1,116 | 53.8 | 25.4 7 | 20.8 5/6 | 31.9 8/9 | 9.2 2 | | – | – | 7.2 2 | 2.2 0 | 6.5 |
| NC Report/El Faro de Ceuta | 3 Feb 2022 | ? | 57.9 | 33.8 9 | 27.4 8 | 23.4 6 | 5.1 1 | | 1.4 0 | 1.4 0 | 5.7 1 | – | 6.4 |
| SyM Consulting | 16–19 Dec 2021 | 740 | 56.0 | 23.8 6 | 22.1 6 | 32.9 8/9 | 11.6 3 | | – | – | 5.8 1/2 | – | 9.1 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 30 Sep 2021 | ? | ? | 28.6 8 | 23.6 6 | 25.7 7 | 10.3 2 | 9.0 2 | 1.5 0 | – | – | – | 2.9 |
| SyM Consulting | 20–23 May 2021 | 732 | 53.2 | 26.6 7 | 23.3 6 | 28.2 7/8 | 10.1 2/3 | 7.8 2 | – | – | – | – | 1.6 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 15 Feb 2021 | 400 | ? | 31.7 9 | 21.1 6 | 22.4 6 | 10.2 2 | 10.4 2 | 1.9 0 | – | – | – | 9.3 |
| SyM Consulting | 9–12 Dec 2020 | 652 | 49.8 | 25.0 7 | 20.1 5/6 | 28.3 7/8 | 8.9 2 | 12.7 3 | – | – | – | – | 3.3 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 16 Aug–26 Sep 2020 | ? | ? | 38.9 10 | 22.1 6 | 15.6 4 | 10.9 3 | 8.9 2 | 2.3 0 | – | – | – | 16.8 |
| SyM Consulting | 12–13 Sep 2020 | 687 | 50.8 | 29.8 8 | 20.5 5/6 | 23.4 6/7 | 11.4 3 | 9.7 2 | – | – | – | – | 6.4 |
| SyM Consulting | 22–23 Jun 2020 | 564 | 59.3 | 35.4 9/10 | 26.1 7 | 14.5 4 | 8.3 2/3 | 9.2 2 | 1.8 0 | – | – | – | 9.3 |
| SyM Consulting | 25–26 May 2020 | 541 | 65.9 | 39.3 10/11 | 18.2 5 | 8.4 2 | 16.8 4/5 | 12.0 3 | 1.4 0 | – | – | – | 21.1 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 1 Apr–15 May 2020 | ? | ? | 40.0 11 | 24.2 7 | 16.4 4 | 7.6 2 | 6.4 1 | 2.4 0 | – | – | – | 15.8 |
| SyM Consulting | 1–2 Feb 2020 | 534 | 61.7 | 39.1 10/11 | 24.9 7 | 7.9 2 | 12.5 3 | 10.1 2/3 | 1.6 0 | – | – | – | 14.2 |
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 54.0 | 22.3 (6) | 31.3 (9) | 35.2 (10) | 2.5 (0) | – | 3.4 (0) | 3.9 (0) | – | – | 3.9 |
| 2019 Assembly election | 26 May 2019 | — | 54.5 | 31.1 9 | 25.6 7 | 22.4 6 | 7.0 2 | 6.2 1 | 4.5 0 | 1.5 0 | – | – | 5.5 |

## Results

← Summary of the 28 May 2023 Assembly of Ceuta election results → :
| Parties and alliances | Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Popular vote | Popular vote | Seats | Seats |
| Parties and alliances | Parties and alliances | Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− |
| | People's Party (PP) | 11,774 | 34.34 | +3.22 | 9 | ±0 |
| | Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 7,198 | 21.00 | –4.60 | 6 | –1 |
| | Vox (Vox) | 7,073 | 20.63 | –1.74 | 5 | –1 |
| | Movement for Dignity and Citizenship (MDyC) | 3,848 | 11.22 | +4.26 | 3 | +1 |
| | Ceuta Now! (Ceuta Ya!)$^1$ | 3,442 | 10.04 | +3.82 | 2 | +1 |
| | Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS) | 239 | 0.70 | –3.84 | 0 | ±0 |
| | We Can (Podemos)$^2$ | 192 | 0.56 | –0.93 | 0 | ±0 |
| | Free (LB) | 122 | 0.36 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| Blank ballots | Blank ballots | 394 | 1.15 | +0.55 | | |
| Total | Total | 34,282 | | | 25 | ±0 |
| Valid votes | Valid votes | 34,282 | 98.84 | –0.30 | | |
| Invalid votes | Invalid votes | 403 | 1.16 | +0.30 | | |
| Votes cast / turnout | Votes cast / turnout | 34,685 | 54.79 | +0.25 | | |
| Abstentions | Abstentions | 28,616 | 45.21 | –0.25 | | |
| Registered voters | Registered voters | 63,301 | | | | |
| Sources |||||||
| Footnotes: $^1$ Ceuta Now! results are compared to Caballas Coalition totals in the 2019 election.$^2$ We Can results are compared to the totals of United We Can–United Left–Equo in the 2019 election. |||||||
Popular vote
PP
34.34%
PSOE
21.00%
Vox
20.63%
MDyC
11.22%
CY!
10.04%
Others
1.61%
Blank ballots
1.15% :
Seats
PP
36.00%
PSOE
24.00%
Vox
20.00%
MDyC
12.00%
CY!
8.00% :

## Aftermath

Investiture :
| Ballot → | Ballot → | 17 June 2023 | 17 June 2023 |
| Required majority → | Required majority → | 13 out of 25 | 13 out of 25 |
| | Juan Jesús Vivas (PP) • PP (9) | 9 / 25 | Y |
| | Fatima Hamed (MDyC) • MDyC (3) | 3 / 25 | N |
| | Mohamed Mustafa (Ceuta Ya!) • Ceuta Ya! (2) | 2 / 25 | N |
| | Blank ballots • PSOE (6) • Vox (5) | 11 / 25 | 11 / 25 |
| | Absentees | 0 / 25 | 0 / 25 |
| Sources ||||