# 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Oyo State

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Oyo State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria. Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

## Background

Oyo State is a large, Yoruba-majority southwestern state; the state has vast agricultural and service sectors but it faces large security issues from both inter-ethnic violence and conflict between herders and farmers along with a large number of out-of-school children.
Politically, the 2019 elections in the state were categorized as a large swing towards the PDP as the party's presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar narrowly won the state after Buhari had won it in 2015, PDP nominee Seyi Makinde won the gubernatorial race by 17%, and the PDP gained a majority in the House of Assembly. For the Senate, the APC won back two Senate seats it lost through defections while the PDP gained a APC-held seat; in the House of Representatives, the APC won the majority of the seats.

## Polling

| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting |
| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Tinubu APC | Obi LP | Kwankwaso NNPP | Abubakar PDP | Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting |
| BantuPage | December 2022 | N/A | 37% | 11% | 0% | 18% | – | 21% | 3% | 10% |
| Nextier (Oyo crosstabs of national poll) | 27 January 2023 | N/A | 14.6% | 36.9% | 7.8% | 27.2% | 2.9% | 10.7% | – | – |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Oyo crosstabs of national poll) | 22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 39% | 38% | – | 13% | 1% | 10% | – | – |

## Projections

| Source | Projection | Projection | As of |
| Africa Elects | Lean Tinubu | Lean Tinubu | 24 February 2023 |
| Dataphyte |
| Dataphyte | Tinubu: | 37.84% | 11 February 2023 |
| Dataphyte | Obi: | 19.95% | 11 February 2023 |
| Dataphyte | Abubakar: | 25.11% | 11 February 2023 |
| Dataphyte | Others: | 17.10% | 11 February 2023 |
| Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence | Tinubu | Tinubu | 17 February 2023 |
| SBM Intelligence | Tinubu | Tinubu | 15 December 2022 |
| ThisDay |
| ThisDay | Tinubu: | 40% | 27 December 2022 |
| ThisDay | Obi: | 15% | 27 December 2022 |
| ThisDay | Kwankwaso: | 10% | 27 December 2022 |
| ThisDay | Abubakar: | 20% | 27 December 2022 |
| ThisDay | Others/Undecided: | 15% | 27 December 2022 |
| The Nation | Tinubu | Tinubu | 12-19 February 2023 |

## General election
### Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Oyo State :
| Party | Party | Candidate | % |
| | A | Christopher Imumolen | |
| | AA | Hamza al-Mustapha | |
| | ADP | Yabagi Sani | |
| | APP | Osita Nnadi | |
| | AAC | Omoyele Sowore | |
| | ADC | Dumebi Kachikwu | |
| | APC | Bola Tinubu | |
| | APGA | Peter Umeadi | |
| | APM | Princess Chichi Ojei | |
| | BP | Sunday Adenuga | |
| | LP | Peter Obi | |
| | NRM | Felix Johnson Osakwe | |
| | New Nigeria Peoples Party | Rabiu Kwankwaso | |
| | PRP | Kola Abiola | |
| | PDP | Atiku Abubakar | |
| | SDP | Adewole Adebayo | |
| | YPP | Malik Ado-Ibrahim | |
| | ZLP | Dan Nwanyanwu | |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 100.00% |
| Invalid or blank votes | Invalid or blank votes | Invalid or blank votes | N/A |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | |

#### By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial District | Bola Tinubu APC | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Others | Total valid votes |
| Senatorial District | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Total valid votes |
| Oyo Central Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Oyo North Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Oyo South Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |

#### By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal Constituency | Bola Tinubu APC | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Others | Total valid votes |
| Federal Constituency | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Total valid votes |
| Afijio/Atiba/Oyo East/Oyo West Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Akinyele/Lagelu Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Atisbo/Saki East/Saki West Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Egbeda/Ona-Ara Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ibadan North East/Ibadan South East Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ibadan North Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ibadan North West/Ibadan South West Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ibarapa Central/Ibarapa North Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ibarapa East/Ido Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Irepo/Olorunsogo/Orelope Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Iseyin/Kajola/Iwajowa/Itesiwaju Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ogbomosho North/Ogbomosho South/Orire Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ogo-Oluwa/Surulere Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Oluyole Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |

#### By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.
| Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) |
| Local government area | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) |
| Afijio | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Akinyele | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Atiba | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Atisbo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Egbeda | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ibadan North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ibadan North-East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ibadan North-West | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ibadan South-East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ibadan South-West | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ibarapa Central | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ibarapa East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ibarapa North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ido | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Irepo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Iseyin | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Itesiwaju | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Iwajowa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Kajola | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Lagelu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ogbomosho North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ogbomosho South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ogo Oluwa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Olorunsogo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Oluyole | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ona Ara | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Orelope | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ori Ire | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Oyo East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Oyo West | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Saki East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Saki West | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Surulere | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |