# 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Abia State

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Abia State was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria. Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, were also held on the same date while state elections were held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
Peter Obi — the nominee of the Labour Party — received 88.4% of the vote and won the state by over 300,000 votes, a 82.3% margin of victory, over runner-up Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party at 6.1%. The other two major contenders, Bola Tinubu (All Progressives Congress) and Rabiu Kwankwaso (New Nigeria People's Party), trailed with 2.4% and 0.3%, respectively.

## Background

Abia State is a small, Igbo-majority southeastern state; although it is one of the most developed states in the nation, Abia has faced challenges in security as both the nationwide kidnapping epidemic and separatist violence have heavily affected the region. Originally launched ostensibly to defend ethnic Igbos from herdsmen and government attacks, the separatist organization Indigenous People of Biafra's Eastern Security Network began violently enforcing economically destructive weekly lockdowns in 2021 and swiftly were criticized for committing human rights abuses against civilians it was meant to protect. These atrocities coupled with law enforcement brutality and herder–farmer clashes worsened the security situation prior to the election.
Politically, the 2019 elections were categorized as a solidification of the Abia PDP's control but a slight expansion of the APC on the federal level. Statewise, incumbent PDP Governor Okezie Ikpeazu won re-election with over 60% of the vote and the vast majority of House of Assembly seats were won by the PDP. On the other hand, while the PDP was still successful federally, it lost ground only winning seven House of Representatives seats and two Senate seats compared to all nine and all three in 2015. For the presidency, Abia was easily won by PDP nominee Atiku Abubakar with about 68% but still swung towards the APC and had strikingly low turnout.

## Polling

| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting |
| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Tinubu APC | Obi LP | Kwankwaso NNPP | Abubakar PDP | Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting |
| BantuPage | January 2023 | N/A | 1% | 83% | 3% | 3% | – | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Nextier (Abia crosstabs of national poll) | 27 January 2023 | N/A | 1.5% | 93.8% | – | 1.5% | – | 3.1% | – | – |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Abia crosstabs of national poll) | 22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 2% | 17% | – | 2% | 2% | 78% | – | – |

## Projections

| Source | Projection | Projection | As of |
| Africa Elects | Safe Obi | Safe Obi | 24 February 2023 |
| Dataphyte |
| Dataphyte | Tinubu: | 14.38% | 11 February 2023 |
| Dataphyte | Obi: | 62.79% | 11 February 2023 |
| Dataphyte | Abubakar: | 18.99% | 11 February 2023 |
| Dataphyte | Others: | 3.84% | 11 February 2023 |
| Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence | Obi | Obi | 17 February 2023 |
| SBM Intelligence | Obi | Obi | 15 December 2022 |
| ThisDay |
| ThisDay | Tinubu: | 10% | 27 December 2022 |
| ThisDay | Obi: | 60% | 27 December 2022 |
| ThisDay | Kwankwaso: | – | 27 December 2022 |
| ThisDay | Abubakar: | 15% | 27 December 2022 |
| ThisDay | Others/Undecided: | 15% | 27 December 2022 |
| The Nation | Obi | Obi | 12-19 February 2023 |

## General election
### Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Abia State :
| Party | Party | Candidate | % |
| | A | Christopher Imumolen | |
| | AA | Hamza al-Mustapha | |
| | ADP | Yabagi Sani | |
| | APP | Osita Nnadi | |
| | AAC | Omoyele Sowore | |
| | ADC | Dumebi Kachikwu | |
| | APC | Bola Tinubu | |
| | APGA | Peter Umeadi | |
| | APM | Princess Chichi Ojei | |
| | BP | Sunday Adenuga | |
| | LP | Peter Obi | |
| | NRM | Felix Johnson Osakwe | |
| | New Nigeria Peoples Party | Rabiu Kwankwaso | |
| | PRP | Kola Abiola | |
| | PDP | Atiku Abubakar | |
| | SDP | Adewole Adebayo | |
| | YPP | Malik Ado-Ibrahim | |
| | ZLP | Dan Nwanyanwu | |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 100.00% |
| Invalid or blank votes | Invalid or blank votes | Invalid or blank votes | N/A |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | |

#### By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial district | Bola Tinubu APC | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Others | Total valid votes |
| Senatorial district | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Total valid votes |
| Abia Central Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Abia North Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Abia South Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |

#### By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal constituency | Bola Tinubu APC | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Others | Total valid votes |
| Federal constituency | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Total valid votes |
| Aba North/Aba South Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Arochukwu/Ohafia Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Bende Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Isiala Ngwa North/Isiala Ngwa South Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Isuikwuato/Umunneochi Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Obingwa/Ugwunagbo/Osisioma Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ukwa East/Ukwa West Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Umuahia North/Umuahia South/Ikwuano Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |

#### By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.
| Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) |
| Local government area | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) |
| Aba North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Aba South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Arochukwu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Bende | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ikwuano | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Isiala Ngwa North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Isiala Ngwa South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Isuikwuato | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Obi Ngwa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ohafia | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Osisioma | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ugwunagbo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ukwa East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ukwa West | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Umuahia North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Umuahia South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Umu Nneochi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |