# Cardigan (electoral district)

Cardigan is a federal electoral district in Prince Edward Island, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1968.
The electoral district was created in 1966 from parts of the ridings of King's and Queen's, with minor modifications to its boundaries since.
Following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, at the first election held after April 22, 2024. It will lose all of its territory in North Shore and the North Shore Fire District, plus everything west of Highway 6 between them to Malpeque.

## Geography

Under the Representation Order, the geographic boundaries of this riding are described as follows:
   Consisting of:
       (a) the County of Kings;
       (b) that part of the County of Queens comprised of: lots 35, 36, 37, 48, 49, 50, 57, 58, 60 and 62; the Town of Stratford; and
       (c) Governors Island and all other islands adjacent to the County of Kings and to the above-mentioned lots.
(See the map of Cardigan riding.)

## Political geography

In the 2008 election, every poll except two voted Liberal. The only two polls that didn't, voted Conservative. These two polls were centred in the town of Georgetown, Prince Edward Island.

## Demographics

Visible Minorities and Aboriginals :
| Group | 2021 Census | 2021 Census | 2016 Census | 2016 Census |
| Group | Population | % of total | Population | % of total |
| Aboriginal | 1,730 | 4.5 | 820 | 2.3 |
| Visible Minority | 2,125 | 5.5 | 1,220 | 3.4 |
| All other | 34,480 | 90.0 | 33,695 | 94.3 |
| Total | 38,335 | 100.0 | 35,735 | 100.0 |
Population by mother tongue :
| Group | 2021 Census | 2021 Census | 2016 Census | 2016 Census | 2011 Census | 2011 Census |
| Group | Population | % of total | Population | % of total | Population | % of total |
| English | 35,375 | 89.4 | 33,850 | 93.2 | 34,200 | 95.5 |
| French | 550 | 1.4 | 505 | 1.4 | 560 | 1.6 |
| English and French | 180 | 0.5 | 70 | 0.2 | 80 | 0.2 |
| All other | 3,445 | 8.7 | 1,910 | 5.2 | 965 | 2.7 |
| Total | 39,550 | 100.0 | 36,335 | 100.0 | 35,805 | 100.0 |
Mobility over previous five years :
| Group | 2021 Census | 2021 Census | 2016 Census | 2016 Census |
| Group | Population | % of total | Population | % of total |
| At the same address | 22,840 | 62.7 | 24,095 | 71.3 |
| In the same constituency | 2,815 | 7.7 | 3,620 | 10.7 |
| In the same province | 5,820 | 16.0 | 3,250 | 9.6 |
| From another province | 3,595 | 9.9 | 2,050 | 6.1 |
| From another country | 1,330 | 3.7 | 775 | 2.3 |
| Total aged 5 or over | 36,400 | 100.0 | 33,790 | 100.0 |

### Members of parliament

This riding has elected the following members of parliament:
| Parliament | Years | Member | Party |
| Cardigan Riding created from King's and Queen's |||||
| 28th | 1968–1972 | Melvin McQuaid | Progressive Conservative |
| 29th | 1972–1974 | Daniel J. MacDonald | Liberal |
| 30th | 1974–1979 | Daniel J. MacDonald | Liberal |
| 31st | 1979–1980 | Wilbur MacDonald | Progressive Conservative |
| 32nd | 1980–1980 | Daniel J. MacDonald | Liberal |
| 32nd | 1981–1984 | Bennett Campbell | Liberal |
| 33rd | 1984–1988 | Pat Binns | Progressive Conservative |
| 34th | 1988–1993 | Lawrence MacAulay | Liberal |
| 35th | 1993–1997 | Lawrence MacAulay | Liberal |
| 36th | 1997–2000 | Lawrence MacAulay | Liberal |
| 37th | 2000–2004 | Lawrence MacAulay | Liberal |
| 38th | 2004–2006 | Lawrence MacAulay | Liberal |
| 39th | 2006–2008 | Lawrence MacAulay | Liberal |
| 40th | 2008–2011 | Lawrence MacAulay | Liberal |
| 41st | 2011–2015 | Lawrence MacAulay | Liberal |
| 42nd | 2015–2019 | Lawrence MacAulay | Liberal |
| 43rd | 2019–2021 | Lawrence MacAulay | Liberal |
| 44th | 2021–present | Lawrence MacAulay | Liberal |

## Election results
### 2021

2021 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| Liberal | 10,955 | 50.56 |
| Conservative | 6,697 | 30.91 |
| New Democratic | 2,117 | 9.77 |
| Green | 1,042 | 4.81 |
| People's | 711 | 3.28 |
| Others | 143 | 0.66 |
vte2021 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Liberal | Lawrence MacAulay | 11,175 | 50.58 | +1.23 | $47,596.44 |
| | Conservative | Wayne Phelan | 6,817 | 30.85 | +1.80 | $38,354.38 |
| | New Democratic | Lynne Thiele | 2,168 | 9.81 | +3.13 | $3,739.79 |
| | Green | Michael MacLean | 1,064 | 4.82 | -9.02 | $5,906.70 |
| | People's | Kevin Hardy | 725 | 3.28 | – | $1,431.55 |
| | Christian Heritage | Fred MacLeod | 145 | 0.66 | -0.42 | $627.12 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 21,994 | 98.66 | – | $90,511.54 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 199 | 0.89 | -0.15 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 22,293 | 72.71 | -2.28 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 30,659 |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | -0.24 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||

### 2019

vte2019 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Liberal | Lawrence MacAulay | 10,939 | 49.35 | −15.68 | $42,720.95 |
| | Conservative | Wayne Phelan | 6,439 | 29.05 | +12.89 | none listed |
| | Green | Glen Beaton | 3,068 | 13.84 | +7.46 | $13,490.35 |
| | New Democratic | Lynne Thiele | 1,481 | 6.68 | −4.45 | $0.00 |
| | Christian Heritage | Christene Squires | 240 | 1.08 | −0.23 | $278.30 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 22,167 | 98.96 | | $85,990.53 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 232 | 1.04 | +0.61 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 22,399 | 74.99 | −3.17 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 29,869 |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | −14.29 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||

### 2015

vte2015 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Liberal | Lawrence MacAulay | 14,621 | 65.03 | +15.40 | $57,014.46 |
| | Conservative | Julius Patkai | 3,632 | 16.15 | –22.22 | $36,428.35 |
| | New Democratic | Billy Cann | 2,503 | 11.13 | +0.84 | $13,760.96 |
| | Green | Teresa Doyle | 1,434 | 6.38 | +4.61 | $7,232.74 |
| | Christian Heritage | Christene Squires | 295 | 1.31 | – | $2,681.69 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 22,485 | 99.57 | | $170,761.91 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 96 | 0.43 | –0.08 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 22,581 | 78.16 | -0.13 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 28,889 |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | +18.81 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||

### 2011

vte2011 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Liberal | Lawrence MacAulay | 10,486 | 49.63 | -3.18 | $40,566.83 |
| | Conservative | Michael Currie | 8,107 | 38.37 | +8.48 | $60,502.86 |
| | New Democratic | Lorne Cudmore | 2,164 | 10.24 | +2.11 | $1,837.23 |
| | Green | Leslie Stewart | 373 | 1.77 | -1.96 | $1,714.72 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 21,130 | 100.0 | – | $69,835.73 |
| Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | 108 | 0.51 | -0.02 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 21,238 | 78.29 | +8.03 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 27,127 |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | -5.83 |
| Sources: |||||||

### 2008

vte2008 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Liberal | Lawrence MacAulay | 10,105 | 52.81 | -3.35 | $35,000.12 |
| | Conservative | Sid McMullin | 5,661 | 29.59 | -4.09 | $29,907.51 |
| | New Democratic | Mike Avery | 1,556 | 8.13 | +0.66 | $1,316.84 |
| | Independent | Larry McGuire | 1,101 | 5.75 | – | none listed |
| | Green | Emma Daughton | 710 | 3.71 | +1.02 | $2,546.13 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 19,133 | 100.0 | – | $67,487 |
| Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | 101 | 0.53 | -0.03 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 19,234 | 70.26 | -5.07 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 27,374 |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | +0.37 |

### 2006

vte2006 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Liberal | Lawrence MacAulay | 11,542 | 56.16 | +2.78 | $38,353.41 |
| | Conservative | Don Gillis | 6,923 | 33.68 | +0.44 | $62,756.67 |
| | New Democratic | Edith Perry | 1,535 | 7.47 | -2.68 | $1,532.80 |
| | Green | Haida Arsenault-Antolick | 553 | 2.69 | -0.54 | $679.02 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 20,533 | 100.0 | – | $63,115 |
| Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | 116 | 0.56 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 20,649 | 75.33 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 27,411 |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | +1.17 |

### 2004

vte2004 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Liberal | Lawrence MacAulay | 11,064 | 53.38 | +6.56 | $54,157.07 |
| | Conservative | Peter McQuaid | 6,889 | 33.24 | -14.78 | $59,824.10 |
| | New Democratic | Dave MacKinnon | 2,103 | 10.15 | +5.09 | $20,929.08 |
| | Green | Jeremy Stiles | 670 | 3.23 | – | $1,315.34 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 20,726 | 100.0 | – | $61,091 |
| Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | 137 | 0.66 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 20,863 | 76.2 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 27,656 |
| | Liberal notional hold | Liberal notional hold | Swing | Swing | +10.67 |
| Changes from 2000 are based on redistributed results. Change for the Conservatives is based on the combined totals of the Progressive Conservatives and the Canadian Alliance. |||||||
2000 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| Liberal | 9,132 | 46.85 |
| Progressive Conservative | 8,765 | 44.96 |
| New Democratic | 987 | 5.06 |
| Alliance | 596 | 3.06 |
| Others | 14 | 0.07 |

### 2000

vte2000 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Lawrence MacAulay | 8,545 | 48.06 | +3.01 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Kevin MacAdam | 8,269 | 46.51 | +2.05 |
| | Alliance | Darrell Hickox | 500 | 2.81 | |
| | New Democratic | Deborah Kelly Hawkes | 465 | 2.62 | -7.88 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 17,779 | 100.00 |

### 1997

vte1997 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Lawrence MacAulay | 7,555 | 45.05 | -16.59 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Dan Hughes | 7,456 | 44.46 | +11.79 |
| | New Democratic | Larry Duchesne | 1,761 | 10.50 | +4.81 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 16,772 | 100.00 |

### 1993

vte1993 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Lawrence MacAulay | 10,115 | 61.64 | +10.02 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Wilbur MacDonald | 5,360 | 32.67 | -11.26 |
| | New Democratic | Reg Phelan | 934 | 5.69 | +1.23 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 16,409 | 100.00 |

### 1988

vte1988 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Lawrence MacAulay | 9,325 | 51.62 | +9.48 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Pat Binns | 7,936 | 43.93 | -9.43 |
| | New Democratic | Gertrude Partridge | 805 | 4.46 | -0.04 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 18,066 | 100.00 |

### 1984

vte1984 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Pat Binns | 10,566 | 53.36 | +6.44 |
| | Liberal | Bennett Campbell | 8,344 | 42.14 | -6.90 |
| | New Democratic | Lorne Cudmore | 891 | 4.50 | +0.45 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 19,801 | 100.00 |

### 1981 by-election

Canadian federal by-election, 13 April 1981 On the death of Daniel J. MacDonald, 30 September 1980 :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Bennett Campbell | 8,166 | 49.04 | +0.86 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Wilbur MacDonald | 7,813 | 46.92 | +2.02 |
| | New Democratic | Aubrey Cantello | 674 | 4.05 | -1.86 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 16,653 | 100.00 |

### 1980

vte1980 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Daniel J. MacDonald | 8,590 | 48.18 | +1.51 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Wilbur MacDonald | 8,006 | 44.90 | -3.21 |
| | New Democratic | Aubrey Cantelo | 1,054 | 5.91 | +0.69 |
| | Independent | Arthur D. Reddin | 180 | 1.01 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 17,830 | 100.00 |

### 1979

vte1979 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Wilbur MacDonald | 8,219 | 48.11 | +5.98 |
| | Liberal | Daniel J. MacDonald | 7,972 | 46.67 | -7.32 |
| | New Democratic | George MacFarlane | 892 | 5.22 | +1.94 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 17,083 | 100.00 |

### 1974

vte1974 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Daniel J. MacDonald | 6,958 | 53.99 | +9.45 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Leo James Walsh | 5,429 | 42.13 | +0.95 |
| | New Democratic | Martin Gerard Kenny | 423 | 3.28 | -10.99 |
| | Independent | A. Neil Harpham | 77 | 0.60 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 12,887 | 100.00 |

### 1972

vte1972 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Daniel J. MacDonald | 5,528 | 44.54 | -4.21 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Alfred Kenneth Fraser | 5,111 | 41.18 | -8.35 |
| | New Democratic | Aquinas Ryan | 1,771 | 14.27 | +12.51 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 12,410 | 100.00 |

### 1968

vte1968 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Progressive Conservative | Melvin McQuaid | 5,717 | 49.53 |
| | Liberal | John Mullally | 5,623 | 48.75 |
| | New Democratic | Spurgeon Joseph Hazelden | 203 | 1.76 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 11,543 | 100.00 |

## Student vote results
### 2011 election

In 2011, a student vote was conducted at participating Canadian schools to parallel the 2011 Canadian federal election results. The vote was designed to educate students and simulate the electoral process for persons who have not yet reached the legal majority. Schools with a large student body that reside in another electoral district had the option to vote for candidates outside of the electoral district where they were physically located.
2011 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Liberal | Lawrence MacAulay | 456 | 35.82 |
| | Conservative | Michael Currie | 352 | 27.65 |
| | New Democratic | Lorne Cudmore | 244 | 19.17 |
| | Green | Leslie Stewart | 221 | 17.36 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 1,273 | 100.00 |