# 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Bayelsa State

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Bayelsa State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria. Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

## Background

Bayelsa State is a small state in the South South mainly populated by Ijaw peoples; although its oil reserves make it one of the most resource-rich states in the nation, Bayelsa has faced challenges in security and environmental degradation in large part due to years of systemic corruption and illegal oil bunkering.
Politically, the state's early 2019 elections were categorized as the continuation of the PDP's dominance albeit with the APC making considerable gains by gaining one senate and two House of Representatives seats. The APC also gained ground in the assembly election and Bayelsa also was the state that swung the most towards Buhari in the presidential election, although that could be chalked up to former Governor Goodluck Jonathan no longer being PDP nominee. Later in 2019, the swing towards the APC dramatically increased as its gubernatorial nominee David Lyon won by a large margin but Diri was declared victor after Lyon was disqualified before the inauguration.

## Polling

| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting |
| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Tinubu APC | Obi LP | Kwankwaso NNPP | Abubakar PDP | Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting |
| BantuPage | January 2023 | N/A | 9% | 27% | 2% | 13% | – | 13% | 20% | 16% |
| Nextier (Bayelsa crosstabs of national poll) | 27 January 2023 | N/A | 11.4% | 62.9% | – | 20.0% | – | 5.7% | – | – |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Bayelsa crosstabs of national poll) | 22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 9% | 41% | – | 47% | – | 2% | – | – |

## Projections

| Source | Projection | Projection | As of |
| Africa Elects | Lean Obi | Lean Obi | 24 February 2023 |
| Dataphyte |
| Dataphyte | Tinubu: | 20.87% | 11 February 2023 |
| Dataphyte | Obi: | 45.03% | 11 February 2023 |
| Dataphyte | Abubakar: | 28.05% | 11 February 2023 |
| Dataphyte | Others: | 6.05% | 11 February 2023 |
| Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence | Abubakar | Abubakar | 17 February 2023 |
| SBM Intelligence | Abubakar | Abubakar | 15 December 2022 |
| ThisDay |
| ThisDay | Tinubu: | 20% | 27 December 2022 |
| ThisDay | Obi: | 30% | 27 December 2022 |
| ThisDay | Kwankwaso: | – | 27 December 2022 |
| ThisDay | Abubakar: | 40% | 27 December 2022 |
| ThisDay | Others/Undecided: | 10% | 27 December 2022 |
| The Nation | Abubakar | Abubakar | 12-19 February 2023 |

## General election
### Results

| Candidate | Candidate | Running mate | Party | Votes | % |
| | Atiku Abubakar | Ifeanyi Okowa | PDP | 68,818 | 41.63 |
| | Peter Obi | Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed | LP | 49,975 | 30.23 |
| | Bola Tinubu | Kashim Shettima | APC | 42,572 | 25.75 |
| | Rabiu Kwankwaso | Isaac Idahosa | NNPP | 540 | 0.33 |
| | Other candidates | – | Others | 3,420 | 2.07 |
| Total | Total | Total | Total | 165,325 | 100.00 |
| Valid votes | Valid votes | Valid votes | Valid votes | 165,325 | 95.50 |
| Invalid/blank votes | Invalid/blank votes | Invalid/blank votes | Invalid/blank votes | 7,786 | 4.50 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 177,368 | – |
| Registered voters/turnout | Registered voters/turnout | Registered voters/turnout | Registered voters/turnout | 1,056,862 | 16.78 |
| Source: ||||||

#### By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial district | Bola Tinubu APC | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Others | Total valid votes |
| Senatorial district | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Total valid votes |
| Bayelsa Central Senatorial District | 18,438 | 21.72% | 34,560 | 40.70% | 30,056 | 35.40% | 413 | 0.49% | 1,439 | 1.69% | 84,906 |
| Bayelsa East Senatorial District | 15,133 | 35.79% | 14,905 | 35.26% | 10,801 | 25.55% | 87 | 0.21% | 1,351 | 3.20% | 42,277 |
| Bayelsa West Senatorial District | 9,001 | 23.60% | 19,353 | 50.74% | 9,118 | 23.91% | 40 | 0.10% | 630 | 1.65% | 38,142 |
| Totals | 42,572 | 25.75% | 68,818 | 41.62% | 49,975 | 30.23% | 540 | 0.33% | 3,420 | 2.07% | 165,325 |

#### By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal constituency | Bola Tinubu APC | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Others | Total valid votes |
| Federal constituency | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Total valid votes |
| Brass/Nembe Federal Constituency | 6,689 | 33.68% | 8,543 | 43.02% | 4,080 | 20.54% | 40 | 0.20% | 508 | 2.56% | 19,860 |
| Ogbia Federal Constituency | 8,444 | 37.67% | 6,362 | 28.38% | 6,721 | 29.98% | 47 | 0.21% | 843 | 3.76% | 22,417 |
| Sagbama/Ekeremor Federal Constituency | 9,001 | 23.60% | 19,353 | 50.74% | 9,118 | 23.91% | 40 | 0.10% | 630 | 1.65% | 38,142 |
| Southern Ijaw Federal Constituency | 7,650 | 32.22% | 11,280 | 47.51% | 4,400 | 18.53% | 190 | 0.80% | 224 | 0.94% | 23,744 |
| Yenagoa/Kolokuna/Opokuma Federal Constituency | 10,788 | 17.64% | 23,280 | 38.06% | 25,656 | 41.95% | 223 | 0.36% | 1,215 | 1.99% | 61,162 |
| Totals | 42,572 | 25.75% | 68,818 | 41.62% | 49,975 | 30.23% | 540 | 0.33% | 3,420 | 2.07% | 165,325 |

#### By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.
| Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) |
| Local government area | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) |
| Brass | 3,684 | 29.70% | 6,209 | 50.06% | 2,273 | 18.32% | 25 | 0.20% | 213 | 1.72% | 12,404 | 13.86% |
| Ekeremor | 4,398 | 24.00% | 9,113 | 49.73% | 4,489 | 24.49% | 16 | 0.09% | 310 | 1.69% | 18,326 | 13.71% |
| Kolokuma/Opokuma | 4,137 | 24.63% | 8,972 | 53.42% | 3,395 | 20.21% | 34 | 0.20% | 259 | 1.54% | 16,797 | 26.65% |
| Nembe | 3,005 | 40.30% | 2,334 | 31.30% | 1,807 | 24.24% | 15 | 0.20% | 295 | 3.96% | 7,456 | 7.81% |
| Ogbia | 8,444 | 37.67% | 6,362 | 28.38% | 6,721 | 29.98% | 47 | 0.21% | 843 | 3.76% | 22,417 | 20.89% |
| Sagbama | 4,603 | 23.23% | 10,240 | 51.68% | 4,629 | 23.36% | 24 | 0.12% | 320 | 1.61% | 19,816 | 17.13% |
| Southern Ijaw | 7,650 | 32.22% | 11,280 | 47.51% | 4,400 | 18.53% | 190 | 0.80% | 224 | 0.94% | 23,744 | 13.50% |
| Yenagoa | 6,651 | 14.99% | 14,308 | 32.25% | 22,261 | 50.18% | 189 | 0.43% | 956 | 2.15% | 44,365 | 21.41% |
| Totals | 42,572 | 25.75% | 68,818 | 41.62% | 49,975 | 30.23% | 540 | 0.33% | 3,420 | 2.07% | 165,325 | 16.38% |