# 2011 Castilian-Manchegan regional election

The 2011 Castilian-Manchegan regional election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 8th Cortes of the autonomous community of Castilla–La Mancha. All 49 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), which had formed the government of the region since the first election in 1983, lost the vote to the opposition People's Party (PP) under María Dolores de Cospedal, which gained overall control of the Cortes for the first time. As a result of the election, Dolores de Cospedal replaced outgoing José María Barreda as President of the Junta of Communities of Castilla–La Mancha.

## Overview
### Electoral system

The Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Castilla–La Mancha, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Castilian-Manchegan Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Junta of Communities. Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Castilla–La Mancha and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2011 required for Castilian-Manchegan people abroad to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).
The 49 members of the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Additionally, the use of the D'Hondt method might result in an effective threshold over three percent, depending on the district magnitude. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Albacete, Ciudad Real, Cuenca, Guadalajara and Toledo. Each constituency was allocated a fixed number of seats: 10 for Albacete, 11 for Ciudad Real, 8 for Cuenca, 8 for Guadalajara and 12 for Toledo.
The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.

### Election date

The term of the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha expired four years after the date of their previous election. Elections to the Cortes were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 27 May 2007, setting the election date for the Cortes on Sunday, 22 May 2011.
The President of the Junta of Communities had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the candidate from the party with the highest number of seats was to be deemed automatically elected.

## Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 25 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha (24 until 17 November 2007).
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | Lead |
| 2011 regional election | 22 May 2011 | — | 76.0 | 43.4 24 | 48.1 25 | 3.8 0 | 1.8 0 | 4.7 |
| GAD/COPE | 16 May 2011 | ? | 75 | 44.1 22/24 | 49.6 25/27 | – | – | 5.5 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público | 16 May 2011 | ? | ? | 47.5 25 | 46.5 24 | – | – | 1.0 |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 | 14 May 2011 | ? | ? | 43.9 23/25 | 46.6 24/26 | 4.5 0 | – | 2.7 |
| Metroscopia/El País | 11–12 May 2011 | 1,800 | ? | 42.2 21/24 | 47.9 25/28 | – | – | 5.7 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 9–11 May 2011 | 1,000 | ? | 44.6 22/25 | 48.4 24/27 | 3.9 0 | – | 3.8 |
| NC Report/La Razón | 3–10 May 2011 | ? | ? | 46.9 24 | 46.3 25 | – | – | 0.6 |
| NC Report/La Razón | 25 Apr 2011 | ? | ? | 47.9 24/25 | 46.8 24/25 | 4.6 0 | – | 1.1 |
| Celeste-Tel/Terra | 13–20 Apr 2011 | 900 | ? | 46.1 25 | 48.3 24 | 4.6 0 | – | 2.2 |
| CIS | 17 Mar – 17 Apr 2011 | 1,990 | ? | 45.0 24 | 46.3 25 | 4.4 0 | 0.8 0 | 1.3 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 11–14 Apr 2011 | 1,000 | ? | 43.9 22/24 | 49.3 25/27 | 3.6 0 | – | 5.4 |
| Ikerfel/Vocento | 8–11 Apr 2011 | 1,850 | ? | 42.5 21/23 | 48.6 26/28 | – | – | 6.1 |
| GAD/ABC | 28 Feb – 1 Mar 2011 | 1,000 | ? | 44.0 22/24 | 50.3 25/27 | – | – | 6.3 |
| PSOE | 26 Jan – 5 Feb 2011 | 2,000 | ? | 44.5 25 | 43.9 24 | – | – | 0.6 |
| Celeste-Tel/La Tribuna | 11 Jan 2011 | ? | ? | 47.2 25 | 45.3 24 | 4.4 0 | 2.1 0 | 1.9 |
| NC Report/La Razón | 30 Dec – 3 Jan 2011 | ? | ? | 48.2 24/25 | 46.2 24/25 | – | – | 2.0 |
| DYM/ABC | 20–30 Dec 2010 | 514 | ? | 45.6 23 | 50.8 26 | – | – | 5.2 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 17–22 Dec 2010 | 1,000 | ? | 43.7 20/25 | 50.0 24/29 | – | – | 6.3 |
| Demoscopia y Servicios/PP | 2–4 Nov 2010 | 1,500 | ? | 42.2 22 | 46.9 27 | 5.9 0 | 4.2 0 | 4.7 |
| Demoscopia y Servicios/PP | 11–14 Oct 2010 | 1,500 | ? | 41.3 22 | 47.4 27 | – | – | 6.1 |
| Sigma Dos/PP | 29 Jun – 2 Jul 2010 | ? | ? | 41.4 22 | 47.4 27 | – | – | 6.0 |
| Celeste-Tel/La Tribuna | 28 Jun 2010 | ? | 71.1 | 47.4 25 | 45.0 24 | 4.2 0 | 2.5 0 | 2.4 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 21–25 May 2010 | 1,000 | ? | 41.4 20/23 | 49.7 26/29 | 4.1 0 | – | 8.3 |
| Noxa/PSOE | 14 Mar 2010 | ? | ? | 48.1 25/26 | 44.1 23/24 | 3.1 0 | 3.3 0 | 4.0 |
| PP | 4–14 Mar 2010 | 2,000 | ? | 44.8 24 | 45.6 25 | 4.1 0 | 3.0 0 | 0.8 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público | 1–8 Mar 2010 | 795 | ? | 46.1 25 | 44.6 24 | 3.2 0 | 3.2 0 | 1.5 |
| 2009 EP election | 7 Jun 2009 | — | 51.7 | 39.9 21 | 51.5 28 | 3.0 0 | 2.6 0 | 11.6 |
| 2008 general election | 9 Mar 2008 | — | 80.0 | 44.5 23 | 49.4 26 | 2.9 0 | 1.1 0 | 4.9 |
| 2007 regional election | 27 May 2007 | — | 73.7 | 52.0 26 | 42.4 21 | 3.4 0 | – | 9.6 |

## Results
### Overall

← Summary of the 22 May 2011 Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha election results → :
| Parties and alliances | Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Popular vote | Popular vote | Seats | Seats |
| Parties and alliances | Parties and alliances | Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− |
| | People's Party (PP) | 564,954 | 48.11 | +5.73 | 25 | +4 |
| | Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 509,738 | 43.40 | –8.56 | 24 | –2 |
| | United Left of Castilla–La Mancha (IUCLM) | 44,302 | 3.77 | +0.35 | 0 | ±0 |
| | Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) | 20,554 | 1.75 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) | 4,128 | 0.35 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | Castilian Party (PCAS)$^1$ | 2,752 | 0.23 | ±0.00 | 0 | ±0 |
| | The Greens–Green Group (LV–GV) | 2,375 | 0.20 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | Ecolo–Greens Guadalajara (Ecolo–V) | 1,673 | 0.14 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | Citizens for Blank Votes (CenB) | 1,615 | 0.14 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | Union of Independent Citizens of Toledo (UCIT) | 1,430 | 0.12 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | Castilian Unity (UdCa) | 745 | 0.06 | –0.05 | 0 | ±0 |
| | Citizens of Democratic Centre (CCD) | 507 | 0.04 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| Blank ballots | Blank ballots | 19,643 | 1.67 | +0.39 | | |
| Total | Total | 1,174,416 | | | 49 | +2 |
| Valid votes | Valid votes | 1,174,416 | 98.69 | –0.56 | | |
| Invalid votes | Invalid votes | 15,570 | 1.31 | +0.56 | | |
| Votes cast / turnout | Votes cast / turnout | 1,189,986 | 75.96 | +2.22 | | |
| Abstentions | Abstentions | 376,655 | 24.04 | –2.22 | | |
| Registered voters | Registered voters | 1,566,641 | | | | |
| Sources |||||||
| Footnotes: $^1$ Castilian Party results are compared to Commoners' Land totals in the 2007 election. |||||||
Popular vote
PP
48.11%
PSOE
43.40%
IUCLM
3.77%
UPyD
1.75%
Others
1.30%
Blank ballots
1.67% :
Seats
PP
51.02%
PSOE
48.98% :

### Distribution by constituency

| Constituency | PP | PP | PSOE | PSOE |
| Constituency | % | S | % | S |
| Albacete | 48.4 | 5 | 41.7 | 5 |
| Ciudad Real | 46.1 | 5 | 46.3 | 6 |
| Cuenca | 47.4 | 4 | 46.6 | 4 |
| Guadalajara | 49.8 | 5 | 38.0 | 3 |
| Toledo | 49.1 | 6 | 42.9 | 6 |
| Total | 48.1 | 25 | 43.4 | 24 |
| Sources |||||

## Aftermath

Investiture María Dolores de Cospedal (PP) :
| Ballot → | Ballot → | 21 June 2011 |
| Required majority → | Required majority → | 25 out of 49 Y |
| | Yes • PP (25) | 25 / 49 |
| | No • PSOE (24) | 24 / 49 |
| | Abstentions | 0 / 49 |
| | Absentees | 0 / 49 |
| Sources |||