# 2014 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

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Government :
vte :
The 2014 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Governor Tom Corbett was defeated by Tom Wolf, becoming the first incumbent Pennsylvania governor to lose re-election since William Bigler in 1854, and the first Republican to ever do so. This was the only governorship Democrats flipped in the 2014 midterms. Wolf was sworn in on January 20, 2015, marking the most recent time the Pennsylvania governor's office changed partisan control.
Corbett was considered vulnerable, as reflected in his low approval ratings. An August 2013 Franklin & Marshall College poll found that only 17% of voters thought Corbett was doing an "excellent" or "good" job, only 20% thought he deserved to be reelected, and 62% said the state was "off on the wrong track". Politico called Corbett the most vulnerable incumbent governor in the country, The Washington Post ranked the election as the most likely for a party switch, and the majority of election forecasters rated it "likely Democratic".
Democrats flipped the counties of Erie, Lawrence, Beaver, Alleghany, Greene, Fayette, Cambria, Centre, Clinton, Northumberland, Dauphin, Luzerne, Monroe, Northampton, Carbon, Schuylkill, Lehigh, Berks, Bucks, and Chester. Meanwhile, this is the last time these counties have voted Democratic in a statewide election: Lawrence, Greene, Fayette, Cambria, Clinton, Northumberland, Carbon, and Schuylkill.
This is the first Pennsylvania gubernatorial election since 1982 in which the winner was of the same party as the incumbent president, and the first time since 1934 this occurred during a Democratic administration. This also remains the last time that a Pennsylvania gubernatorial election has been decided by a single-digit margin, as Democrats have won each subsequent election by large double-digit margins. Additionally, it was the most recent election where Pennsylvania voted for a gubernatorial candidate of a different party from fellow Rust Belt states Michigan and Wisconsin.

## Background

Democrats and Republicans have alternated in the governorship of Pennsylvania every eight years from 1950 to 2010. This has been referred to as "the cycle", but it was broken with a Democratic Party win in 2014. Pennsylvania has also voted against the party of the sitting president in 18 of the last 19 gubernatorial contests dating back to 1938; Democrats lost 16 of the previous 17 Pennsylvania gubernatorial races with a Democratic president in the White House, a pattern begun in 1860. The last incumbent governor to be defeated for re-election was Democrat William Bigler in 1854. Until 1968, governors could only serve one term; the state constitution now allows governors to serve two consecutive terms. Libertarian nominee Ken Krawchuk failed to file the paperwork to be on the ballot in time and was excluded from the election as a result.

## Republican primary

Incumbent Tom Corbett filed to run, as did Bob Guzzardi, an attorney and conservative activist. However, Guzzardi failed to file a statement of financial interests as required by law, after being told by an employee of the State Department that it was unnecessary. Four Republicans, backed by the state Republican Party, sued to have him removed from the race. The case reached the state Supreme Court, which ordered that Guzzardi's name be struck from the ballot. NASCAR Camping World Truck Series veteran Norm Benning backed Governor Corbett during the later half of the NASCAR season with "Re-Elect Tom Corbett" posted on his truck.

### Candidates
#### Declared

* Tom Corbett, incumbent governor of Pennsylvania

#### Disqualified

* Bob Guzzardi, attorney, businessman and conservative activist

#### Declined

* Bruce Castor, Montgomery County Commissioner
* Jim Gerlach, U.S. Representative and candidate for governor in 2010
* Tom Smith, businessman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012
* Pat Toomey, U.S. Senator

### Endorsements

Elected officials
* Jim Cawley, Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania
* Jim Christiana, Pennsylvania state representative from the 15th District
* Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey and Chairman of the Republican Governors Association
* Hal English, Pennsylvania state representative from the 30th District
* Mike Kelly, U.S. Representative of Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district
* Tim Murphy, U.S. Representative of Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district
* Sandra Schultz Newman, former and first female Justice of the Supreme Court of Pennsylvania
* Rick Perry, Governor of Texas and former candidate for U.S. President in 2012
* Tom Ridge, former Governor of Pennsylvania
* Rick Santorum, former U.S. Senator of Pennsylvania and former candidate for U.S. President in 2012
* Mark Schweiker, former Governor of Pennsylvania
* John J. Taylor, Pennsylvania state representative from the 177th District
* Glenn Thompson, U.S. Representative of Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district
* Dick Thornburgh, former Governor of Pennsylvania
* Pat Toomey, U.S. Senator of Pennsylvania
* Mike Turzai, Pennsylvania House Majority Leader from the 28th District
* Randy Vulakovich, Pennsylvania state senator from the 40th District
* Kim Ward, Pennsylvania state senator from the 39th District
Individuals
* David L. Cohen, Executive Vice-President of Comcast Corporation and Democratic fundraiser/donor
* Robert Gleason, Chairman of the Republican Party of Pennsylvania
* Arnold Palmer, professional golfer
* Michael Reagan, son of President Ronald Reagan
Others
* National Right to Life Committee
* Republican Governors Association
* Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Corbett | Bob Guzzardi | Undecided |
| Gravis Marketing | January 22, 2014 | 956 | ± ? | 42% | 23% | 35% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Corbett | Someone else | Undecided |
| Gravis Marketing | January 22, 2014 | 956 | ± ? | 38% | 41% | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 491 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–10, 2013 | 373 | ± 5.1% | 37% | 49% | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 490 | ± 6% | 45% | 37% | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Corbett | Bruce Castor | Jim Gerlach | Mike Kelly | Tom Smith | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 491 | ± 4.4% | 42% | — | 31% | — | — | 26% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 491 | ± 4.4% | 42% | — | — | 31% | — | 27% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–10, 2013 | 373 | ± 5.1% | 43% | 23% | — | — | — | 35% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–10, 2013 | 373 | ± 5.1% | 37% | — | — | — | 33% | 30% |
| Harper Polling | February 27–28, 2013 | | ± | 49.04% | 21.07% | — | — | — | 29.89% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 490 | ± 6% | 51% | 11% | — | — | — | 38% |

### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Tom Corbett (incumbent) | Unopposed | Unopposed |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 373,465 | 100.00% |

## Democratic primary
### Candidates
#### Declared

* Rob McCord, Pennsylvania Treasurer
* Katie McGinty, former secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection
* Allyson Schwartz, U.S. Representative
* Tom Wolf, businessman and former secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Revenue

#### Withdrew

* John Hanger, former Secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection
* Jo Ellen Litz, Lebanon County Commissioner (failed to qualify)
* Max Myers, businessman and former pastor
* Ed Pawlowski, Mayor of Allentown
* Jack Wagner, former Pennsylvania Auditor General, candidate for governor in 2010 and candidate for Mayor of Pittsburgh in 2013

#### Declined

* Bob Casey Jr., U.S. Senator
* Scott Conklin, state representative and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2010
* Kathy Dahlkemper, former U.S. Representative
* Eugene DePasquale, Pennsylvania Auditor General
* Kathleen Kane, Pennsylvania Attorney General
* Tom Knox, businessman, candidate for Mayor of Philadelphia in 2007 and candidate for governor in 2010
* Daylin Leach, state senator (running for Congress)
* Patrick Murphy, former U.S. Representative
* Michael Nutter, Mayor of Philadelphia
* Ed Rendell, former governor
* Joe Sestak, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010
* Josh Shapiro, chairman of the Montgomery County Board of Commissioners
* Tim Solobay, state senator
* Michael J. Stack III, state senator (running for lieutenant governor)

### Endorsements

Individuals
* Bryan Barbin, state representative
* Ryan Bizzarro, state representative
* John Blake, state senator
* Michael B. Carroll, state representative
* John Cordisco, former state representative and Bucks County Democratic Committee chairman
* Dom Costa, state representative
* Florindo Fabrizio, state representative
* Jaret Gibbons, state representative
* Neal Goodman, state representative
* Joseph Gurzenda, former state senator
* Kevin Haggerty, state representative
* Ted Harhai, state representative
* Sid Michaels Kavulich, state representative
* Deberah Kula, state representative
* Jennifer Mann, former state representative
* Joe Markosek, state representative
* Robert Matzie, state representative
* Ed Pawlowski, Mayor of Allentown
* Chris Sainato, state representative
* Tim Seip, former state representative
* Pam Snyder, state representative
* Tim Solobay, state senator
* Sean Wiley, state senator
* John Wozniak, state senator
* John Yudichak, state senator
Organizations
* American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Council 13
* Bakery, Confectionery, Tobacco Workers and Grain Millers Local 464
* International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 5
* International Union of Operating Engineers Local 66
* National Union of Hospital and Health Care Employees District 1199c
* Pennsylvania Conference of Teamsters
* Pennsylvania State Education Association
* United Food and Commercial Workers Local 1776
Individuals
* Lester R. Brown, founder and President of the Earth Policy Institute
* Carol Browner, former EPA Administrator and former director of the White House Office of Energy and Climate Change Policy
* Peter Daley, state representative
* Anthony M. DeLuca, state representative
* Kathryn S. Fuller, former president and CEO of the World Wildlife Foundation
* Al Gore, former Vice President of the United States
* Patty Kim, state representative
* Jonathan Lash, former president of the World Resources Institute
* Carl Pope, former executive director of the Sierra Club
* Bill Richardson, former Governor of New Mexico
* Robert Rubin, former United States Secretary of the Treasury
Organizations
* Amalgamated Transit Union Local 85
Individuals
* Bob Brady, U.S. Representative
* Jay Costa, state senator
* Maggie Hassan, Governor of New Hampshire
* Brian Sims, state representative and former president of Equality Pennsylvania
Organizations
* EMILY's List
* International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 98
* Pennsylvania Association of Staff Nurses and Allied Professionals
* Pennsylvania State Council of Sheet Metal Workers
* Pittsburgh Federation of Teachers
* Planned Parenthood Pennsylvania PAC
* United Mine Workers of America
* United Steelworkers Local 10-1
Individuals
* Jim Brewster, state senator
* Frank Burns, state representative
* Andy Dinniman, state senator
* Patrick Dougherty, Indiana County district attorney
* Michael F. Doyle, U.S. Representative
* Dwight E. Evans, state representative
* Jim Ferlo, state senator
* Mike Finnerty, Pittsburgh city councilman
* Marty Flynn, state representative
* Rich Fitzgerald, Allegheny County Executive
* Wayne D. Fontana, state senator
* Edward Gainey, state representative
* Rick Gray, Mayor of Lancaster
* John Hanger, former Secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection
* Vincent Hughes, state senator
* Ron Klink, former U.S. Representative
* Bill Kortz, state representative
* Eddie Day Pashinski, state representative
* Bill Peduto, mayor of Pittsburgh
* Josh Shapiro, chairman of the Montgomery County Board of Commissioners
* Mark Singel, former lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania
* Matthew H. Smith, state senator
* Mike Sturla, state representative
* Rob Teplitz, state senator
* Jake Wheatley, state representative
* Robin Wiessmann, former state treasurer
Newspapers
* The Patriot-News
* Philadelphia Daily News
* Philadelphia Tribune
* Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
* Pottstown Mercury
* York Daily Record

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Hanger | Tom Knox | Jo Ellen Litz | Robert McCord | Kathleen McGinty | Max Myers | Ed Pawl- owski | Allyson Schwartz | Joe Sestak | Tim Solobay | Mike Stack | Jack Wagner | Tom Wolf | Other | Unde- cided |
| Muhlenberg | May 13–15, 2014 | 414 | ±5% | — | — | — | 11% | 7% | — | — | 16% | — | — | — | — | 41% | — | 25% |
| Harper | May 12–13, 2014 | 559 | ±4.14% | — | — | — | 15% | 5% | — | — | 15% | — | — | — | — | 50% | — | 16% |
| F&M College | May 6–12, 2014 | 530 | ±4.3% | — | — | — | 11% | 6% | — | — | 19% | — | — | — | — | 41% | 3% | 20% |
| Muhlenberg | April 28–30, 2014 | 417 | ±5% | — | — | — | 13% | 3% | — | — | 14% | — | — | — | — | 42% | — | 28% |
| GQR** | Mar. 31–Apr. 3, 2014 | 600 | ±? | — | — | — | 14% | 5% | — | — | 12% | — | — | — | — | 52% | — | 16% |
| F&M College | March 25–31, 2014 | 524 | ±4.3% | — | — | — | 8% | 6% | — | — | 9% | — | — | — | — | 40% | 6% | 31% |
| Harper | Feb. 22–23, 2014 | 501 | ±4.38% | 7% | — | — | 8% | 6% | — | — | 14% | — | — | — | 7% | 40% | — | 19% |
| F&M College | Feb. 18–23, 2014 | 548 | ±4.2% | 1% | — | — | 3% | 1% | — | — | 9% | — | — | — | — | 36% | 1% | 48% |
| PPP | Nov. 22–25, 2013 | 436 | ±4.7% | 8% | — | 2% | 10% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 21% | — | — | — | 17% | 2% | — | 27% |
| Harper | Nov. 9–10, 2013 | 649 | ±3.85% | 7% | — | — | 12% | 15% | — | 6% | 22% | — | — | — | — | 5% | — | 34% |
| GHY^ | Aug. 27–29, 2013 | 506 | ± 4.4% | — | — | — | 6% | 6% | — | — | 25% | — | — | — | — | 6% | — | 57% |
| BSG* | July 16–18, 2013 | 800 | ±3.46% | — | — | — | 10% | 15% | — | — | 34% | — | — | — | — | 11% | — | 30% |
| Quinnipiac | May 30–Jun. 4, 2013 | 460 | ± 4.6% | 1% | — | — | 4% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 18% | — | — | 1% | — | 2% | 1% | 63% |
| Quinnipiac | April 19–24, 2013 | 547 | ± 4.2% | 0% | — | — | 3% | — | — | 1% | 15% | 15% | — | 1% | — | 3% | 2% | 60% |
| GSG | March 9–12, 2013 | 601 | ± 4% | 1% | — | — | 5% | 5% | — | 3% | 18% | 15% | 3% | 1% | — | 2% | — | 47% |
| GSG | March 9–12, 2013 | 601 | ± 4% | 1% | — | — | 7% | 7% | — | 3% | 21% | — | 3% | 2% | — | 2% | — | 54% |
| GSG | March 9–12, 2013 | 601 | ± 4% | — | — | — | 12% | — | — | — | 31% | — | — | — | — | 7% | — | 49% |
| GQR** | March 2–7, 2013 | 602 | ±3.99% | 1% | 1% | — | 7% | 3% | — | — | 16% | 21% | — | 2% | — | 3% | 1% | 45% |
| Harper | Feb. 27–28, 2013 | ? | ±? | 0.82% | 2.88% | — | 7% | — | — | — | 18.52% | 19.75% | — | — | — | 1.23% | — | 49.79% |
* ** Internal poll for the Tom Wolf campaign
* ^ Internal poll for the Kathleen McGinty campaign
* * Internal poll for the Allyson Schwartz campaign

### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Tom Wolf | 488,917 | 57.86% |
| | Democratic | Allyson Schwartz | 149,027 | 17.64% |
| | Democratic | Rob McCord | 142,311 | 16.84% |
| | Democratic | Katie McGinty | 64,754 | 7.66% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 845,009 | 100.00% |

## General election
### Candidates

* Tom Corbett (R), incumbent governor
* Paul Glover (G), activist
* Jonathan D. Jewell (I), Independent
* Ken Krawchuk (L), technology consultant and nominee for governor in 1998 and 2002
* Tom Wolf (D), former secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Revenue

### Debates

* Complete video of debate, September 22, 2014
* Complete video of debate, October 8, 2014

### Spending

As of mid-October, Wolf had raised $27.6 million and spent $21.1 million while Corbett had raised $20.6 million and spent $19.3 million. The two campaigns had run over 21,000 television ads, costing over $13 million.

### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Likely D (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report | Likely D (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics | Likely D (flip) | November 3, 2014 |

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Corbett (R) | Tom Wolf (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Muhlenberg College | October 27–29, 2014 | 409 | ± 5% | 39% | 51% | 6% | 4% |
| Magellan Strategies | October 27–28, 2014 | 1,433 | ± 2.6% | 43% | 50% | — | 7% |
| Harper Polling | October 26–27, 2014 | 680 | ± 3.76% | 40% | 50% | — | 10% |
| Franklin & Marshall | October 20–26, 2014 | 326 LV | ± 5.1% | 40% | 53% | 1% | 5% |
| Franklin & Marshall | October 20–26, 2014 | 738 RV | ± 3.4% | 37% | 53% | 1% | 9% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 3,111 | ± 3% | 39% | 52% | 0% | 8% |
| Magellan Strategies | October 13–14, 2014 | 1,131 | ± 2.9% | 42% | 49% | — | 9% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 30 – October 5, 2014 | 907 | ± 3.3% | 38% | 55% | 2% | 5% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 3,283 | ± 2% | 41% | 50% | 0% | 9% |
| Robert Morris University | September 26–29, 2014 | 500 | ± 4% | 34% | 57% | — | 9% |
| Mercyhurst University | September 15–24, 2014 | 479 | ± 4.48% | 28% | 43% | 2% | 27% |
| Franklin & Marshall | September 15–22, 2014 | 231 LV | ± 6.4% | 37% | 57% | 2% | 5% |
| Franklin & Marshall | September 15–22, 2014 | 520 RV | ± 4.3% | 33% | 54% | 4% | 9% |
| Magellan Strategies | September 17–18, 2014 | 1,120 | ± 2.9% | 40% | 49% | — | 11% |
| Muhlenberg College | September 16–18, 2014 | 429 | ± 5% | 33% | 54% | 4% | 9% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 3–8, 2014 | 1,161 | ± 2.9% | 35% | 59% | 2% | 4% |
| Harper Polling | September 2–3, 2014 | 665 | ± 3.2% | 41% | 52% | — | 7% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 3,560 | ± 2% | 39% | 50% | 2% | 10% |
| Robert Morris University | August 18–22, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 25% | 56% | — | 20% |
| Franklin & Marshall | August 18–25, 2014 | 520 | ± 4.3% | 24% | 49% | 1% | 25% |
| Magellan Strategies | July 30–31, 2014 | 1,214 | ± 2.83% | 38% | 50% | — | 12% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 4,150 | ± ? | 39% | 52% | 2% | 7% |
| Franklin & Marshall | June 23–29, 2014 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 25% | 47% | 1% | 27% |
| Quinnipiac University | May 29 – June 2, 2014 | 1,308 | ± 2.7% | 33% | 53% | 1% | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 30 – June 1, 2014 | 835 | ± 3.4% | 30% | 55% | — | 15% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 27–28, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 31% | 51% | 4% | 14% |
| Quinnipiac University | February 19–24, 2014 | 1,405 | ± 2.6% | 33% | 52% | 1% | 13% |
| Gravis Marketing | January 22–23, 2014 | 717 | ± 4% | 34% | 41% | — | 24% |
| Quinnipiac University | December 11–16, 2013 | 1,061 | ± 3% | 37% | 44% | 1% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 32% | 44% | — | 24% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 6–11, 2013 | 1,116 | ± 2.9% | 39% | 39% | 2% | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–10, 2013 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 33% | 42% | — | 25% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 41% | 29% | — | 30% |
With Corbett
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Corbett (R) | John Hanger (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Quinnipiac University | February 19–24, 2014 | 1,405 | ± 2.6% | 37% | 40% | 4% | 20% |
| Quinnipiac University | December 11–16, 2013 | 1,061 | ± 3% | 42% | 37% | 2% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 32% | 51% | — | 16% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 6–11, 2013 | 1,116 | ± 2.9% | 42% | 41% | 2% | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–10, 2013 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 34% | 41% | — | 25% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 41% | 37% | — | 21% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Corbett (R) | Kathleen Kane (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 42% | 42% | — | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Corbett (R) | Tom Knox (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Quinnipiac University | March 6–11, 2013 | 1,116 | ± 2.9% | 40% | 39% | 1% | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Corbett (R) | Robert McCord (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Quinnipiac University | February 19–24, 2014 | 1,405 | ± 2.6% | 36% | 43% | 4% | 17% |
| Gravis Marketing | January 22–23, 2014 | 717 | ± 4% | 36% | 48% | — | 16% |
| Quinnipiac University | December 11–16, 2013 | 1,061 | ± 3% | 39% | 42% | 2% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 31% | 50% | — | 18% |
| Quinnipiac University | May 30–June 4, 2013 | 1,032 | ± 3.1% | 35% | 43% | 1% | 20% |
| Quinnipiac University | April 19–24, 2013 | 1,235 | ± 2.8% | 35% | 44% | 1% | 20% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 6–11, 2013 | 1,116 | ± 2.9% | 42% | 38% | 1% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–10, 2013 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 34% | 45% | — | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 41% | 35% | — | 24% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Corbett (R) | Kathleen McGinty (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Quinnipiac University | February 19–24, 2014 | 1,405 | ± 2.6% | 38% | 40% | 3% | 18% |
| Quinnipiac University | December 11–16, 2013 | 1,061 | ± 3% | 37% | 44% | 1% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 32% | 47% | — | 21% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Corbett (R) | Michael Nutter (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 41% | 38% | — | 21% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Corbett (R) | Ed Pawlowski (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Quinnipiac University | December 11–16, 2013 | 1,061 | ± 3% | 39% | 41% | 2% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 33% | 45% | — | 22% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 6–11, 2013 | 1,116 | ± 2.9% | 38% | 44% | 2% | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Corbett (R) | Ed Rendell (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 40% | 46% | — | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Corbett (R) | Allyson Schwartz (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Quinnipiac University | February 19–24, 2014 | 1,405 | ± 2.6% | 38% | 44% | 3% | 15% |
| Gravis Marketing | January 22–23, 2014 | 717 | ± 4% | 35% | 44% | — | 21% |
| Quinnipiac University | December 11–16, 2013 | 1,061 | ± 3% | 37% | 45% | 1% | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 33% | 48% | — | 20% |
| Benenson Strategy Group | August 6–8, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 41% | 49% | — | 10% |
| Quinnipiac University | May 30–June 4, 2013 | 1,032 | ± 3.1% | 35% | 45% | 1% | 19% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | April 30–May 2, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 34% | 46% | — | 20% |
| Quinnipiac University | April 19–24, 2013 | 1,235 | ± 2.8% | 34% | 47% | 2% | 17% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 6–11, 2013 | 1,116 | ± 2.9% | 39% | 42% | 1% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–10, 2013 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 34% | 45% | — | 21% |
| Benenson Strategy Group | January 15–17, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 42% | 50% | — | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 41% | 34% | — | 25% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Corbett (R) | Joe Sestak (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Quinnipiac University | April 19–24, 2013 | 1,235 | ± 2.8% | 34% | 48% | 1% | 17% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 6–11, 2013 | 1,116 | ± 2.9% | 38% | 47% | 1% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–10, 2013 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 34% | 45% | — | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2013 | 675 | ± 3.8% | 42% | 36% | — | 23% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Corbett (R) | Mike Stack (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Quinnipiac University | March 6–11, 2013 | 1,116 | ± 2.9% | 39% | 40% | 1% | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Corbett (R) | Jack Wagner (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Quinnipiac University | February 19–24, 2014 | 1,405 | ± 2.6% | 37% | 44% | 3% | 15% |
| Quinnipiac University | December 11–16, 2013 | 1,061 | ± 3% | 36% | 48% | 1% | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 30% | 50% | — | 20% |
With Gerlach
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jim Gerlach (R) | Allyson Schwartz (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 31% | 39% | — | 29% |
With Guzzardi
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bob Guzzardi (R) | Robert McCord (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Gravis Marketing | January 22–23, 2014 | 717 | ± 4% | 31% | 43% | — | 26% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bob Guzzardi (R) | Allyson Schwartz (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Gravis Marketing | January 22–23, 2014 | 717 | ± 4% | 33% | 42% | — | 25% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bob Guzzardi (R) | Tom Wolf (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Gravis Marketing | January 22–23, 2014 | 717 | ± 4% | 30% | 38% | — | 31% |
With Kelly
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Kelly (R) | Allyson Schwartz (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 33% | 41% | — | 27% |

### Results

2014 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Democratic | Tom Wolf Mike Stack | 1,920,355 | 54.93% | +9.42% |
| | Republican | Tom Corbett (incumbent) Jim Cawley (incumbent) | 1,575,511 | 45.07% | −9.42% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 3,495,866 | 100.00% | N/A |
| | Democratic gain from Republican | Democratic gain from Republican | Democratic gain from Republican | Democratic gain from Republican | Democratic gain from Republican |

### Results by county

| County | Tom Wolf Democratic | Tom Wolf Democratic | Tom Corbett Republican | Tom Corbett Republican | Margin | Margin | Total votes cast |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total votes cast |
| Adams | 11,130 | 39.86% | 16,790 | 60.14% | -5,660 | -20.28% | 27,920 |
| Allegheny | 207,017 | 58.30% | 148,057 | 41.70% | 58,960 | 16.60% | 355,074 |
| Armstrong | 7,195 | 38.45% | 11,520 | 61.55% | -4,325 | -23.10% | 18,715 |
| Beaver | 24,456 | 51.21% | 23,302 | 48.79% | 1,154 | 2.42% | 47,758 |
| Bedford | 4,786 | 34.59% | 9,050 | 65.41% | -4,264 | -30.82% | 13,836 |
| Berks | 51,840 | 50.90% | 50,005 | 49.10% | 1,835 | 1.80% | 101,845 |
| Blair | 12,800 | 41.94% | 17,718 | 58.06% | -4,918 | -16.12% | 30,518 |
| Bradford | 5,082 | 33.91% | 9,905 | 66.09% | -4,823 | -32.18% | 14,987 |
| Bucks | 103,812 | 52.33% | 94,584 | 47.67% | 9,228 | 4.66% | 198,396 |
| Butler | 20,171 | 36.03% | 35,818 | 63.97% | -15,647 | -27.94% | 55,989 |
| Cambria | 22,021 | 54.58% | 18,325 | 45.42% | 3,696 | 9.16% | 40,346 |
| Cameron | 609 | 43.88% | 779 | 56.12% | -170 | -12.24% | 1,388 |
| Carbon | 9,163 | 53.81% | 7,864 | 46.19% | 1,299 | 7.62% | 17,027 |
| Centre | 22,393 | 57.59% | 16,489 | 42.41% | 5,904 | 15.18% | 38,882 |
| Chester | 80,701 | 51.80% | 75,097 | 48.20% | 5,604 | 3.60% | 155,798 |
| Clarion | 4,371 | 40.51% | 6,418 | 59.49% | -2,047 | -18.98% | 10,789 |
| Clearfield | 9,682 | 46.45% | 11,161 | 53.55% | -1,479 | -7.10% | 20,843 |
| Clinton | 4,583 | 53.84% | 3,929 | 46.16% | 654 | 7.68% | 8,512 |
| Columbia | 6,572 | 43.36% | 8,585 | 56.64% | -2,013 | -13.28% | 15,157 |
| Crawford | 9,994 | 43.05% | 13,219 | 56.95% | -3,225 | -13.90% | 23,213 |
| Cumberland | 31,311 | 41.78% | 43,625 | 58.22% | -12,314 | -16.44% | 74,936 |
| Dauphin | 40,376 | 50.80% | 39,111 | 49.20% | 1,265 | 1.60% | 79,487 |
| Delaware | 110,934 | 60.91% | 71,180 | 39.09% | 39,754 | 21.82% | 182,114 |
| Elk | 4,273 | 48.51% | 4,536 | 51.49% | -263 | -2.98% | 8,809 |
| Erie | 42,115 | 58.09% | 30,389 | 41.91% | 11,726 | 16.18% | 72,504 |
| Fayette | 18,102 | 57.96% | 13,129 | 42.04% | 4,973 | 15.92% | 31,231 |
| Forest | 815 | 49.85% | 820 | 50.15% | -5 | -0.30% | 1,635 |
| Franklin | 12,461 | 32.47% | 25,913 | 67.53% | -13,452 | -35.06% | 38,374 |
| Fulton | 1,111 | 29.54% | 2,650 | 70.46% | -1,539 | -40.92% | 3,761 |
| Greene | 5,230 | 56.18% | 4,080 | 43.82% | 1,150 | 12.36% | 9,310 |
| Huntingdon | 5,500 | 43.15% | 7,247 | 56.85% | -1,747 | -13.70% | 12,747 |
| Indiana | 10,223 | 45.59% | 12,199 | 54.41% | -1,976 | -8.82% | 22,422 |
| Jefferson | 4,375 | 36.97% | 7,458 | 63.03% | -3,083 | -26.06% | 11,833 |
| Juniata | 2,172 | 32.89% | 4,431 | 67.11% | -2,259 | -34.22% | 6,603 |
| Lackawanna | 41,680 | 69.74% | 18,081 | 30.26% | 23,599 | 39.48% | 59,761 |
| Lancaster | 57,594 | 40.91% | 83,179 | 59.09% | -25,585 | -18.18% | 140,773 |
| Lawrence | 11,996 | 51.79% | 11,166 | 48.21% | 830 | 3.58% | 23,162 |
| Lebanon | 13,629 | 37.48% | 22,738 | 62.52% | -9,109 | -25.04% | 36,367 |
| Lehigh | 44,658 | 54.76% | 36,894 | 45.24% | 7,764 | 9.52% | 81,552 |
| Luzerne | 41,609 | 56.07% | 32,605 | 43.93% | 9,004 | 12.14% | 74,214 |
| Lycoming | 10,997 | 35.36% | 20,106 | 64.64% | -9,109 | -29.28% | 31,103 |
| McKean | 2,945 | 35.67% | 5,311 | 64.33% | -2,366 | -28.66% | 8,256 |
| Mercer | 14,466 | 48.44% | 15,397 | 51.56% | -931 | -3.12% | 29,863 |
| Mifflin | 3,492 | 32.30% | 7,318 | 67.70% | -3,826 | -35.40% | 10,810 |
| Monroe | 19,864 | 56.90% | 15,046 | 43.10% | 4,818 | 13.80% | 34,910 |
| Montgomery | 156,200 | 59.86% | 104,726 | 40.14% | 51,474 | 19.72% | 260,926 |
| Montour | 2,123 | 42.27% | 2,900 | 57.73% | -777 | -15.46% | 5,023 |
| Northampton | 40,753 | 54.99% | 33,354 | 45.01% | 7,399 | 9.98% | 74,107 |
| Northumberland | 10,852 | 50.43% | 10,666 | 49.57% | 186 | 0.86% | 21,518 |
| Perry | 4,344 | 33.36% | 8,679 | 66.64% | -4,335 | -33.28% | 13,023 |
| Philadelphia | 333,539 | 88.05% | 45,268 | 11.95% | 288,271 | 76.10% | 378,807 |
| Pike | 5,365 | 41.53% | 7,553 | 58.47% | -2,188 | -16.94% | 12,918 |
| Potter | 1,524 | 32.68% | 3,140 | 67.32% | -1,616 | -34.64% | 4,664 |
| Schuylkill | 20,544 | 54.48% | 17,168 | 45.52% | 3,376 | 8.96% | 37,712 |
| Snyder | 3,982 | 40.82% | 5,772 | 59.18% | -1,790 | -18.36% | 9,754 |
| Somerset | 9,599 | 42.20% | 13,150 | 57.80% | -3,551 | -15.60% | 22,749 |
| Sullivan | 778 | 36.99% | 1,325 | 63.01% | -547 | -26.02% | 2,103 |
| Susquehanna | 4,300 | 35.52% | 7,805 | 64.48% | -3,505 | -28.96% | 12,105 |
| Tioga | 3,541 | 30.87% | 7,929 | 69.13% | -4,388 | -38.26% | 11,470 |
| Union | 4,784 | 47.15% | 5,362 | 52.85% | -578 | -5.70% | 10,146 |
| Venango | 6,333 | 44.90% | 7,771 | 55.10% | -1,438 | -10.20% | 14,104 |
| Warren | 4,965 | 44.49% | 6,194 | 55.51% | -1,229 | -11.02% | 11,159 |
| Washington | 29,058 | 48.22% | 31,203 | 51.78% | -2,145 | -3.56% | 60,261 |
| Wayne | 6,087 | 44.40% | 7,621 | 55.60% | -1,534 | -11.20% | 13,708 |
| Westmoreland | 45,501 | 42.84% | 60,716 | 57.16% | -15,215 | -14.32% | 106,217 |
| Wyoming | 3,491 | 44.35% | 4,381 | 55.65% | -890 | -11.30% | 7,872 |
| York | 52,386 | 42.94% | 69,604 | 57.06% | -17,218 | -14.12% | 121,990 |
| Totals | 1,920,355 | 54.93% | 1,575,511 | 45.07% | 344,844 | 9.86% | 3,495,866 |

#### Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

* Allegheny (largest city: Pittsburgh)
* Beaver (largest city: Beaver)
* Berks (largest borough: Reading)
* Bucks (largest municipality: Bensalem)
* Cambria (largest municipality: Johnstown)
* Carbon (largest municipality: Lehighton)
* Centre (largest municipality: State College)
* Chester (largest municipality: West Chester)
* Clinton (largest city: Lock Haven)
* Dauphin (largest municipality: Harrisburg)
* Erie (largest municipality: Erie)
* Fayette (largest borough: Uniontown)
* Greene (largest municipality: Waynesburg)
* Lawrence (largest municipality: New Castle)
* Lehigh (largest municipality: Allentown)
* Luzerne (largest municipality: Wilkes-Barre)
* Monroe (largest borough: Stroudsburg)
* Northampton (largest municipality: Bethlehem)
* Northumberland (largest borough: Sunbury)
* Schuylkill (largest city: Pottsville)

#### By congressional district

Corbett won 10 of 18 congressional districts, despite losing statewide to Wolf. However, at the time, most of the districts were gerrymanders drawn by Republican legislators. Wolf won the 6th, 7th and 8th districts, which all elected Republicans to the House.
| District | Corbett | Wolf | Representative |
| 1st | 16% | 84% | Bob Brady |
| 2nd | 8% | 92% | Chaka Fattah |
| 3rd | 54% | 46% | Mike Kelly |
| 4th | 56% | 44% | Scott Perry |
| 5th | 51% | 49% | Glenn Thompson |
| 6th | 49% | 51% | Jim Gerlach |
| 6th | 49% | 51% | Ryan Costello |
| 7th | 48% | 52% | Patrick Meehan |
| 8th | 48% | 52% | Mike Fitzpatrick |
| 9th | 55% | 45% | Bill Shuster |
| 10th | 59% | 41% | Tom Marino |
| 11th | 53% | 47% | Lou Barletta |
| 12th | 53% | 47% | Keith Rothfus |
| 13th | 30% | 70% | Brendan Boyle |
| 14th | 30% | 70% | Mike Doyle |
| 15th | 50% | 50% | Charlie Dent |
| 16th | 54% | 46% | Joe Pitts |
| 17th | 39% | 61% | Matt Cartwright |
| 18th | 54% | 46% | Tim Murphy |