# North East Hampshire (UK Parliament constituency)

North East Hampshire is a constituency represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament by Alex Brewer, a Liberal Democrat.

## History

The constituency was created in 1997 from parts of the seats of Aldershot and East Hampshire. It was represented at Westminster by James Arbuthnot until 2015 when he was succeeded by Ranil Jayawardena. The constituency has, since its creation, given large majorities to the Conservatives, and in 2015, Jayawardena was elected with a lead of 29,916 votes, or 55.4%. This made North East Hampshire the safest Conservative seat at that election in both percentage and numerical terms. Nevertheless, at the 2024 General Election the seat was gained by the Liberal Democrats with a swing of over 20%.

## Boundaries

1997–2010: The District of Hart wards of Church Crookham, Crondall, Eversley, Fleet Courtmoor, Fleet Pondtail, Fleet West, Hartley Wintney, Hook, Long Sutton, Odiham, and Whitewater, and the District of East Hampshire wards of Binsted, Bramshott and Liphook, Froyle and Bentley, Grayshott, Headley, Selborne, Whitehill Bordon and Whitehill, and Whitehill Lindford.
2010–2024: The District of Hart wards of Church Crookham East, Church Crookham West, Crondall, Eversley, Fleet Central, Fleet Courtmoor, Fleet North, Fleet Pondtail, Fleet West, Greywell, Hartley Wintney, Hook, Long Sutton, Odiham, Yateley East, Yateley North, and Yateley West, and the Borough of Basingstoke and Deane wards of Calleva, Pamber, Sherborne St John, and Upton Grey and The Candovers.
This constituency was slightly altered for the 2010 general election. The seat's southernmost part was transferred to East Hampshire while it gained some wards from Basingstoke and additional Hart wards from Aldershot.
2024–present: Further to the 2023 periodic review of Westminster constituencies which came into effect for the 2024 general election, the constituency is composed of the following (as they existed on 1 December 2020):
* The Borough of Basingstoke and Deane wards of: Basing & Upton Grey; Bramley.
* The District of Hart wards of: Crookham East; Crookham West and Ewshot; Fleet Central; Fleet East; Fleet West; Hartley Wintney; Hook; Odiham; Yateley West.
Revised boundaries largely arising from changes to local authority ward structures since the previous review.
Towns and villages in the constituency include Bramley, Church Crookham, Elvetham Heath, Eversley, Ewshot, Fleet, Greywell, Hartley Wintney, Herriard, Hook, Odiham, Old Basing, Sherfield on Loddon, Silchester, Upton Grey and Yateley (west).

## Constituency profile

The seat includes significant software, hardware and military sectors and a significant proportion of Basingstoke, Bracknell and City of London commuters, particularly the latter towards Hook railway station on the South West Main Line; the average income level is higher than the national average. This area also has low unemployment and a high proportion of semi-detached and detached properties.

## Members of Parliament

East Hampshire and Aldershot prior to 1997
| Election | Member | Party |
| 1997 | James Arbuthnot | Conservative |
| 2015 | Ranil Jayawardena | Conservative |
| 2024 | Alex Brewer | Liberal Democrats |

## Elections
### Elections in the 2020s

General election 2024: North East Hampshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal Democrats | Alex Brewer | 21,178 | 38.1 | +15.7 |
| | Conservative | Ranil Jayawardena | 20,544 | 36.9 | −24.9 |
| | Reform UK | Paul Morton | 6,673 | 12.0 | N/A |
| | Labour | Bradley Phillips | 5,057 | 9.1 | −1.1 |
| | Green | Mohamed Miah | 1,425 | 2.5 | −0.4 |
| | Monster Raving Loony | Howling Laud Hope | 340 | 0.6 | −0.4 |
| | Hampshire Ind. | Duncan Stone | 274 | 0.4 | N/A |
| | Libertarian | Alex Zychowski | 69 | 0.1 | N/A |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 634 | 1.1 | |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 55,560 | 72.4 | −5.0 |
| Registered electors | Registered electors | Registered electors | 76,975 | | |
| | Liberal Democrats gain from Conservative | Liberal Democrats gain from Conservative | Swing | +20.3 | |

### Elections in the 2010s

2019 notional result :
| Party | Party | Vote | % |
| | Conservative | 35,124 | 61.9 |
| | Liberal Democrats | 12,691 | 22.4 |
| | Labour | 5,808 | 10.2 |
| | Green | 1,700 | 3.0 |
| | Others | 1,407 | 2.5 |
| Turnout | Turnout | 56,730 | 77.4 |
| Electorate | Electorate | 73,306 |
General election 2019: North East Hampshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Ranil Jayawardena | 35,280 | 59.5 | −6.0 |
| | Liberal Democrats | Graham Cockarill | 15,069 | 25.4 | +13.3 |
| | Labour | Barry Jones | 5,760 | 9.7 | −7.6 |
| | Green | Culann Walsh | 1,754 | 3.0 | +0.4 |
| | Independent | Tony Durrant | 831 | 1.4 | N/A |
| | Monster Raving Loony | Howling Laud Hope | 576 | 1.0 | N/A |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 20,211 | 34.1 | −14.1 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 59,270 | 75.1 | −2.2 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | −9.6 | |
General election 2017: North East Hampshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Ranil Jayawardena | 37,754 | 65.5 | −0.4 |
| | Labour | Barry Jones | 9,982 | 17.3 | +7.5 |
| | Liberal Democrats | Graham Cockarill | 6,987 | 12.1 | +1.6 |
| | Green | Chas Spradbery | 1,476 | 2.6 | −1.8 |
| | UKIP | Mike Gascoigne | 1,061 | 1.8 | −7.0 |
| | Independent | Robert Blay | 367 | 0.6 | N/A |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 27,772 | 48.2 | −7.2 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 57,627 | 76.3 | +3.4 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | −3.95 | |
General election 2015: North East Hampshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Ranil Jayawardena | 35,573 | 65.9 | +5.3 |
| | Liberal Democrats | Graham Cockarill | 5,657 | 10.5 | −15.0 |
| | Labour | Amran Hussain | 5,290 | 9.8 | 0.0 |
| | UKIP | Robert Blay$^1$ | 4,732 | 8.8 | +4.6 |
| | Green | Andrew Johnston | 2,364 | 4.4 | N/A |
| | Monster Raving Loony | Mad Max Bobetsky | 384 | 0.7 | N/A |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 29,916 | 55.4 | +20.3 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 54,000 | 72.9 | −0.4 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | +10.15 | |
$^1$: After nominations were closed, Blay was suspended from UKIP after threatening to shoot his Conservative opponent. His name still appeared on ballot papers as it was too late to remove him.
General election 2010: North East Hampshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | James Arbuthnot | 32,075 | 60.6 | +7.5 |
| | Liberal Democrats | Denzil Coulson | 13,478 | 25.5 | −1.6 |
| | Labour | Barry Jones | 5,173 | 9.8 | −6.8 |
| | UKIP | Ruth Duffin | 2,213 | 4.2 | +0.9 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 18,597 | 35.1 | +8.6 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 52,939 | 73.3 | +8.5 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | +4.55 | |

### Elections in the 2000s

General election 2005: North East Hampshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | James Arbuthnot | 25,407 | 53.7 | +0.5 |
| | Liberal Democrats | Adam Carew | 12,858 | 27.2 | +4.2 |
| | Labour | Kevin McGrath | 7,630 | 16.1 | −3.8 |
| | UKIP | Paul Birch | 1,392 | 2.9 | −1.0 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 12,549 | 26.5 | −3.7 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 47,287 | 64.8 | +3.2 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | −1.8 | |
General election 2001: North East Hampshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | James Arbuthnot | 23,379 | 53.2 | +2.3 |
| | Liberal Democrats | Michael Plummer | 10,122 | 23.0 | +0.3 |
| | Labour | Barry Jones | 8,744 | 19.9 | +3.9 |
| | UKIP | Graham Mellstrom | 1,702 | 3.9 | +3.0 |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 13,257 | 30.2 | +2.0 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 43,947 | 61.6 | −12.0 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | +1.0 | |

### Elections in the 1990s

General election 1997: North East Hampshire :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | James Arbuthnot | 26,017 | 50.9 | |
| | Liberal Democrats | Ian Mann | 11,619 | 22.7 | |
| | Labour | Peter Dare | 8,203 | 16.0 | |
| | Referendum | Winston Rees | 2,420 | 4.7 | |
| | Independent | Keki Jessavala | 2,400 | 4.7 | |
| | UKIP | Christopher Berry | 452 | 0.9 | |
| Majority | Majority | Majority | 14,398 | 28.2 | |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 51,111 | 73.6 | |
| | Conservative win (new seat) | Conservative win (new seat) | Conservative win (new seat) | Conservative win (new seat) | Conservative win (new seat) |