# 2022 Sicilian regional election

The 2022 Sicilian regional election for the renewal of the Sicilian Regional Assembly and the election of the President of Sicily were held on 25 September, 2022. Renato Schifani, candidate of the centre-right coalition, easily won the election, becoming the next president of the region.

## Electoral system

The Sicilian Parliament is elected with a mixed system: 62 MPs are chosen with a form of proportional representation using a largest remainder method with open lists and a 5% threshold, while 8 MPs (7+1) are elected using Party bloc vote.
| AG | CL | CT | EN | ME | PA | RG | SR | TP | Total |
| 6 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 62 |

## Background
### Progressive camp primary election

On 18 June a press conference was held between the leaders of Democratic Party, Five Star Movement, Italian Left, Green Europe, Article One, Italian Socialist Party and One Hundred Steps for Sicily. They presented the guidelines for the Progressive camp primary election, which was held on 23 July. The deadline for the candidacies was set for June 30. Caterina Chinnici won the primary election with 44% of votes, ahead of Barbara Floridia (32%) and Claudio Fava (23%).
| Candidate | Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
| | Caterina Chinnici | Democratic Party | 14,552 | 44.77% |
| | Barbara Floridia | Five Star Movement | 10,317 | 31.74% |
| | Claudio Fava | One Hundred Steps for Sicily | 7,547 | 23.22% |
| Total | Total | Total | | 100% |

## Parties and candidates

Below is a list of the parties and their respective leaders in the election.
| Political party or alliance | Political party or alliance | Constituent lists | Constituent lists | Previous result | Previous result | Candidate | Ref. |
| Political party or alliance | Political party or alliance | Constituent lists | Constituent lists | Votes (%) | Seats | Candidate | Ref. |
| | Centre-right coalition | | Forza Italia | 16.4 | 12 | Renato Schifani | |
| | Centre-right coalition | | Populars and Autonomists – Us With Sicily | 7.1 | 5 | Renato Schifani | |
| | Centre-right coalition | | Brothers of Italy (incl. DB) | 5.6 | 3 | Renato Schifani | |
| | Centre-right coalition | | Italy First – League | 5.6 | 3 | Renato Schifani | |
| | Centre-right coalition | | Christian Democracy (incl. UDC) | — | — | Renato Schifani | |
| | Five Star Movement | Five Star Movement | Five Star Movement | 26.7 | 19 | Nuccio Di Paola | |
| | Centre-left coalition | | Democratic Party (incl. PSI) | 13.0 | 11 | Caterina Chinnici | |
| | | One Hundred Steps for Sicily (incl. Art.1, SI and EV) | 5.2 | 1 | | Caterina Chinnici | |
| | Free Sicilians | Free Sicilians | Free Sicilians | 0.7 | – | Eliana Esposito | |
| | Action – Italia Viva (incl. Together and PSS) | Action – Italia Viva (incl. Together and PSS) | Action – Italia Viva (incl. Together and PSS) | — | — | Gaetano Armao | |
| | De Luca's coalition | | South calls North | — | — | Cateno De Luca | |
| | De Luca's coalition | | Sicilia Vera | — | — | Cateno De Luca | |

## Opinion polling
### Candidates

Exit poll
| Date | Polling firm | Sample size | Schifani | Di Paola | Chinnici | De Luca | Armao | Others | Lead |
| 25 Sep 2022 | Opinio | – | 37–41 | 13–17 | 15.5–19.5 | 24–28 | 1.5–3.5 | 1.5–3.5 | 13.0 |
| 1–8 Sep 2022 | SWG | 1,800 | 33–37 | 10–14 | 17–21 | 26–30 | 1–3 | 2–6 | 7.0 |
| 7 Sep 2022 | Noto | 1,000 | 41.0 | 15.0 | 25.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 |
| 2–6 Sep 2022 | Ipsos | 1,200 | 28.7 | 19.5 | 22.1 | 23.5 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 5.2 |
| 1–3 Sep 2022 | Tecnè | 2,000 | 37–41 | 11–15 | 25–29 | 13–17 | 3–5 | 2–3 | 12.0 |
| 26–29 Aug 2022 | Tecnè | 2,000 | 38–42 | 8–12 | 27–31 | 12–16 | 3–5 | 2–4 | 11.0 |

#### Hypothetical candidates

| Date | Polling firm | Musumeci | Cancelleri | Micari | Fava | De Luca | No-one | Lead |
| 26 Jun 2021 | Keix | 26.1 | 22.1 | 6.0 | 13.2 | — | 31.0 | 4.0 |
| 26 Jun 2021 | Keix | 28.1 | 27.1 | — | — | — | 44.8 | 1.0 |
| 26 Jun 2021 | Keix | 24.2 | 21.1 | — | — | 13.8 | 40.9 | 3.1 |
| 26 Jun 2021 | Keix | 23.6 | — | — | 21.1 | 14.6 | TBA | 2.5 |
| 26 Jun 2021 | Keix | 28.5 | — | — | 25.4 | — | TBA | 3.1 |

### Parties

| Date | Polling firm | Sample size | CDX | CDX | CDX | CDX | CDX | CDX | CDX | CDX | M5S | CSX | CSX | CSX | CSX | CSX | CSX | IV | A | +E | Others | Lead |
| Date | Polling firm | Sample size | FI | MpA/NcI | UDC–CP–IS | #DB | FdI | Lega | CI | Other | M5S | PD | CPpS | Art.1 | SI | EV | Other | IV | A | +E | Others | Lead |
| 9–14 March 2022 | Keix | 1,920 | 10.3 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 6.8 | 15.4 | 7.8 | — | — | 22.9 | 9.8 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | — | — | 3.3 | 0.6 | — | — | 7.5 |
| 16 February 2022 | Demopolis | — | 14.0 | — | — | — | 26.0 | 9.0 | — | — | 21.0 | 18.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.8 | 5.0 |
| 23 December 2021 | Noto | — | 11 | 3.5 | — | 9 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 3.5 | 15.0 | 17.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 |
| 26 June 2021 | Keix | — | 9.2 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 8.1 | 13.7 | 10.5 | — | — | 22.7 | 13.9 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 0.7 | — | — | 4.2 | 3.1 | — | — | 9.0 |

## Results

Seats :
| | Renato Schifani | 887,215 | 42.05 | 7 |
| | Renato Schifani | 887,215 | 42.05 | 7 | | Brothers of Italy | 282,345 | 15.10 | 11 |
| | Renato Schifani | 887,215 | 42.05 | 7 | | Forza Italia | 275,736 | 14.75 | 11 |
| | Renato Schifani | 887,215 | 42.05 | 7 | | Italy First – League | 127,454 | 6.80 | 4 |
| | Renato Schifani | 887,215 | 42.05 | 7 | | Populars and Autonomists | 127,096 | 6.80 | 3 |
| | Renato Schifani | 887,215 | 42.05 | 7 | | Christian Democracy | 121,691 | 6.51 | 4 |
| | Renato Schifani | 887,215 | 42.05 | 7 | Total | Total | 934,322 | 49.96 | 33 |
| | Cateno De Luca | 505,386 | 23.95 | 1 |
| | Cateno De Luca | 505,386 | 23.95 | 1 | | South calls North | 254,453 | 13.61 | 7 |
| | Cateno De Luca | 505,386 | 23.95 | 1 | | Sicilia Vera | 50,877 | 2.72 | – |
| | Cateno De Luca | 505,386 | 23.95 | 1 | | Sicilian Pride | 18,165 | 0.97 | – |
| | Cateno De Luca | 505,386 | 23.95 | 1 | | Land of Love | 3,390 | 0.18 | – |
| | Cateno De Luca | 505,386 | 23.95 | 1 | | Young Sicilians | 3,042 | 0.16 | – |
| | Cateno De Luca | 505,386 | 23.95 | 1 | | Sicilian Autonomy | 3,042 | 0.16 | – |
| | Cateno De Luca | 505,386 | 23.95 | 1 | | Sicily Feat | 2,702 | 0.14 | – |
| | Cateno De Luca | 505,386 | 23.95 | 1 | | Work in Sicily | 1,793 | 0.10 | – |
| | Cateno De Luca | 505,386 | 23.95 | 1 | | Enough Mafias | 1,356 | 0.07 | – |
| | Cateno De Luca | 505,386 | 23.95 | 1 | Total | Total | 336,390 | 18.11 | 7 |
| | Caterina Chinnici | 341,252 | 16.17 | – |
| | Caterina Chinnici | 341,252 | 16.17 | – | | Democratic Party | 238,761 | 12.77 | 11 |
| | Caterina Chinnici | 341,252 | 16.17 | – | | One Hundred Steps for Sicily | 55,599 | 2.97 | – |
| | Caterina Chinnici | 341,252 | 16.17 | – | Total | Total | 294,360 | 15.74 | 11 |
| | Nuccio di Paola | 321,142 | 15.22 | – | | Five Star Movement | 254,974 | 13.64 | 11 |
| | Gaetano Armao | 43,835 | 2.08 | – | | Action – Italia Viva | 39,788 | 2.13 | – |
| | Eliana Esposito | 10,973 | 0.52 | – | | Free Sicilians | 7,654 | 0.41 | – |
| Blank and invalid votes | Blank and invalid votes | 140,596 | 6.25 | | | | | | |
| Total candidates | Total candidates | 2,250,399 | 100.00 | 8 | Total parties | Total parties | 1,869,863 | 100.00 | 62 |
| Registered voters/turnout | Registered voters/turnout | 4,609,984 | 48.82 | | | | | | |
| Source: Regione Sicilia ||||||||||
Popular vote
FdI
15.10%
FI
14.75%
M5S
13.64%
ScN
13.61%
PD
12.77%
Lega
6.80%
PeA
6.80%
DC
6.51%
CPpS
2.97%
SV
2.72%
A–IV
2.13% :
President
Schifani
42.05%
De Luca
23.95%
Chinnici
16.17%
Di Paola
15.22%
Armao
2.08%
Esposito
0.52% :