# Velyka Novosilka Offensive

vteRussian invasion of Ukraine :
Timeline
February – April 2022
April – August 2022
August – November 2022
November 2022 – June 2023
June – August 2023
September – November 2023
December 2023 – March 2024
April – July 2024
August – December 2024
January 2025 – present
Prelude
Casualties
Territorial control
map
List of engagements
War crimes
Attacks on civilians
Economic impact
Peace negotiations
Collaboration with Russia
Russian emigration
Nuclear risk
Humanitarian impacts
Russian annexation
Treatment of prisoners of war :
A military engagement between the Russian Armed Forces and Ukrainian Armed Forces for control over the Ukrainian town of Velyka Novosilka and the nearby area began in November 2024.

## Background

On March 12, 2022, after 15 days of fighting, Russian troops captured the nearby city of Volnovakha, located on a highway between Donetsk and Mariupol. The Ukrainian troops then retreated to the town of Velyka Novosilka. Two days later, fighting began in the settlement.

## Prior clashes
### Early capture efforts (2022)

Between March 14 and 16, Russian forces achieved significant progress in their offensive originating from Volnovakha, breaking through the eastern sector of the Velyka Novosilka line. This advance included capturing several villages such as Volodymyrivka, Blahodatne, Mykilske, Pavlivka, and Vodiane. By March 16, the Ukrainian General Staff confirmed that Russian troops had launched an offensive on Velyka Novosilka, reporting some gains. Throughout April, Russian troops repeatedly shelled residential areas in Velyka Novosilka, intensifying the conflict.

#### Stalemate in the region

Following the initial offensive, a prolonged stalemate ensued. By mid-May, the U.S. Department of Defense reported that Russian forces near Velyka Novosilka appeared focused on completing the Siege of Mariupol rather than pressing further assaults on the town. Despite renewed Russian efforts to advance on August 24 and 31, Ukrainian forces successfully repelled these attacks. By December, reports of Russian troop buildups south of the town indicated reconnaissance missions rather than a well-prepared offensive, reflecting their limited operational capabilities. Concurrently, attempts to capture the nearby city of Vuhledar resulted in severe Russian losses and limited progress, further contributing to the deadlock.

### Ukrainian counteroffensive (2023)

Between June and October 2023, Ukrainian forces made significant strides in southern Donetsk Oblast during their counteroffensive against Russian positions. On June 4 they achieved limited gains around Rivnopil and southwest of Velyka Novosilka, sparking speculation about a broader counteroffensive. By June 11, Ukrainian troops had recaptured Neskuchne, Blahodatne, and Makarivka, overcoming entrenched Russian defenses, including fortified positions in schools and near rivers. The Ukrainian military claimed Russian forces destroyed a dam on the Mokri Yaly river to slow down their advance.
At the late of June, fighting escalated around Rivnopil, which Ukraine claimed had been liberated on June 24, but this was only confirmed on June 26. Operations continued into July, focusing on Staromaiorske, where Ukrainian forces faced extremely difficult conditions, including mine-filled roads and systematic defensive strategies employed by the Russian side. On July 26, Staromaiorske was successfully recaptured, a significant achievement praised by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. In August, attention shifted to Urozhaine, considered a "stronghold of Russia." After intense fighting and heavy resistance, Urozhaine was liberated on August 16, with retreating Russian forces suffering heavy losses.

### Second Russian offensive (2024)

On June 10, 2024, Russian advances north of the village of Staromaiorske reportedly resulted in the capture of the entire settlement. Subsequently, on July 13, Russian forces successfully took control of Urozhaine. On July 18, Ukrainian authorities confirmed that their forces had withdrawn from the village, claiming that, despite Russian casualties amounting to over a hundred to several hundred fatalities "each day," their defensive positions had been destroyed, along with the village itself.

## Battle
### Aftermath of the fall of Vuhledar and initial advances (11 November 2024 – 12 January 2025)

The capture of Vuhledar by the Russian army on 1 October resulted in a renewed opening of the southeastern Donetsk front. Vuhledar functioned as a Ukrainian stronghold in this section of the frontline for over two years. With the fall of this city Russian forces had the ability of starting advances towards Velyka Novosilka, which is located about 30 km to the west. One week later, the Russian Defence Ministry reported that the village of Zolota Nyva was under Russian control.
In early November, the Russian military began assault operations to the west of Velyka Novosilka around the Zaporizhzhia – Donetsk border, retaking the settlement of Rivnopil on November 13. The following week, Russian forces intensified their assault efforts towards Velyka Novosilka from the east. At the same time, Russian forces also expanded the front to the northeast reaching the outskirts of Rozdolne, threatening to cut off the Velyka Novosilka – Bahatyr – Pokrovsk road. With these flanking maneuvers from the east, Russian assault groups attempt to bypass the Ukrainian fortifications, which are mainly built and aimed to stop attacks from the south.
Russian forces entered the warehouses located southeast of Velyka Novosilka on November 23, bringing the frontline up to the outskirts of the town, and subsequently captured the buildings on November 24. Meanwhile in the northeast, elements of Russia's 37th Motor Rifle Brigade and 40th Naval Infantry Brigade raised the flag in the center of Rozdolne, confirming that Russian forces had taken full control of the village by November 29.
Starting in December, Russian forces launched an assault north of Velyka Novosilka where they entered the village of Novyi Komar, thus cutting the T0518 road towards Bahatyr. Meanwhile in the west, the Russian army also improved their positions seizing the settlement of Novodarivka on December 3. A counterattack by the Ukrainian forces a few days later resulted in regaining full control of Novyi Komar and Rozdolne. At the same time, Russian troops started advances to the south of Velyka Novosilka along the Mokri Yaly river where they captured the village of Blahodatne.
A second Russian assault towards Novyi Komar occurred in mid December, where elements of the 40th Naval Infantry Brigade managed to entrench themselves in the southern part of the village. In the south, Russian forces continued advances along the river bank, pressuring the village of Makarivka from three sides. Due to near encirclement, the Ukrainian group was forced to retreat northwards. The Russian Defence Ministry announced that their forces took full control over Novyi Komar by December 19, which was corroborated by a Ukrainian military observer, who confirmed the claim and further reported that Russian forces had also reoccupied Rozdolne.
On 23 December, published footage indicated that Makarivka had fallen under Russian control, while Russia also claimed to have captured the village of Storozheve. The following day, footage was published of Russian forces raising their flag over the northern part of Storozheve, confirming the village's capture. On December 26, Russian forces advanced westward of Vremivka and severed Highway O-0510, which connects Velyka Novosilka to Huliaipole.

### Encirclement of Velyka Novosilka (13 January 2025 – present)

In early to mid-January 2025, Russian forces advanced to the eastern bank of the Mokri Yaly River southwest of Novyi Komar. At the same time, Russian forces were also indicated to have seized Neskuchne, southwest of Velyka Novosilka. A few days later, Russian forces were reported to have entered the village of Vremivka, directly to the west of Velyka Novosilka.
On 17 January, Russian forces raised their flag over Vremivka, indicating that it had been captured. The next day, Russian troops managed to break through Ukrainian defenses in the eastern part of Velyka Novosilka and advanced as far as the cemetery area.

## Casualties
### Civilian casualties

During the early capture efforts, the Governor of Donetsk Oblast, Pavlo Kyrylenko, reported that two civilians were killed due to shelling by Russian forces. On December 3, 2024, BBC Ukraine and Russia reported that at least 95% of the population, approximately 4,900 residents of the town of Velyka Novosilka, had been displaced.

### Military casualties
#### Russian

Ukrainian media reported that Russian troops are trying to move towards Makarivka and claimed that the Russian army lost more than 50 people killed and seriously wounded, as well as 50 wounded.
On December 3, 2024, the spokesperson for the Tavria Operational Command, Vladyslav Voloshyn, reported that the Russian forces had suffered heavy losses
On December 8, the 425th Skala Separate Assault Battalion reported that they had captured two Russian soldiers after launching a counterattack in the village of Rozdolne
On December 23, the spokesperson for the Tavria Operational Command, Vladyslav Voloshyn, reported that approximately 200 soldiers were killed, and dozens of vehicles were destroyed daily by the Ukrainian Defense Forces. Voloshyn added that 8 tanks and up to 15 armored vehicles were destroyed on December 22, while 4 tanks and up to 5 armored fighting vehicles were destroyed the following day.

#### Ukrainian

On November 16, Russian media claimed that the Russian military successfully repelled a counterattack by assault groups from the Armed Forces of Ukraine, resulting in Ukrainian armed forces losses of up to 140 personnel, two tanks, two armored combat vehicles, six vehicles, and two 2S3 Akatsiya self-propelled artillery units
On November 24, 2024, Ukrainian media reported that Russian Armed Forces executed five out of six Ukrainian soldiers captured near the settlement of Novodarivka in the Polohy district of Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
On December 8, when Russian forces successfully occupied the village of Blahodatne, the Russian Ministry of Defense reported that the Armed Forces of Ukraine had lost up to 190 soldiers, two 2S3 Akatsiya self-propelled artillery units, two MaxxPro armored combat vehicles, and one M109 howitzer within a single day, at the same time Russian media claimed that Russian forces had captured a serviceman from the separate Presidential brigade
On December 11, Russian media reported that Russian forces defeated the formations of two ground defense brigades and one National Guard brigade, with Ukrainian Armed Forces losses per day amounting to up to 150 military personnel, HMMWV and MaxxPro armored combat vehicles made in the U.S., three vehicles, one 2S22 Bohdana self-propelled artillery unit, two 2S3 Akatsiya self-propelled howitzers, and one 2S1 Gvozdika self-propelled artillery mount.
On December 22, the drone systems battalion of the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade released drone footage showing the execution of Ukrainian prisoners. Ivan Sekach, a press officer for the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade of Ukraine, explained that there were six Ukrainian soldiers at the position, two of whom were killed during artillery shelling, and the remainder were executed by Russian soldiers.
In early January 2025, Russian forces executed three soldiers from the 141st Separate Infantry Brigade after their position was overrun. At the same time, the Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine reported that it was investigating the execution of two prisoners of war by Russian soldiers near the village of Vremivka.

## Analysis
### Strategic value

Velyka Novosilka is seen as a strategic point in the Donbas due to its location close to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. The settlement is, together with Kurakhove, one of the few remaining Ukrainian-controlled strongholds in southern Donetsk Oblast. Therefore, it also functions as a regional logistical hub for the Ukrainian forces.
The Institute for the Study of War assessed on November 24 that the Russian military command is planning to advance from Velyka Novosilka into eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast to envelop the Ukrainian forces in the Pokrovsk – Kurakhove area from the west. This will also threaten important Ukrainian ground lines of communication running from Zaporizhzhia into western Donetsk Oblast.
The UK Ministry of Defence has stated that Velyka Novosilka serves as a "linchpin of Ukraine's front line."
The village of Shevchenko, nearby Velyka Novosilka, is noted to be of major geo-economic importance, being located in close proximity to lithium worth hundreds of billions of dollars, stored in the Shevchenko lithium deposit. Russian occupation authorities began planning the exploitation of the deposit in January 2024. Russian-Israeli writer Edward Topol argues that by seizing Ukrainian lithium, Russia aims to keep Russian momentum and pressure on the European energy market with a monopoly on European lithium.

### Tactics

A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces are utilizing a new "carousel" tactic during their raids on Urozhaine. The milblogger stated that this "carousel" tactic enables Russian tanks to fire continuously on Ukrainian forces, both while stationary and while maneuvering. The milblogger further explained that as one tank is engaged in firing at Ukrainian forces, the crew of a second tank positions itself behind the first tank to reload.