# Fort Rouge (electoral district)

Fort Rouge (French: Fort-Rouge) is a provincial electoral division in the Canadian province of Manitoba. It was created by redistribution in 1957, and formally came into existence in the general election of 1958. The riding was eliminated in 1989, and re-established in 1999. It is located in the central section of the City of Winnipeg.
Fort Rouge is bordered on the east by St. Boniface, to the south by Fort Garry-Riverview, to the north by Logan, and to the west by River Heights. The actual Legislative Assembly of Manitoba building is located across the river from Fort Rouge.
The riding's population in 1996 was 20,364. In 1999, the average family income was $49,361, and the unemployment rate was 8.70%. 39.6% of Fort Rouge's residents are listed as low-income, the sixth-highest rate in the province. Almost 80% of occupied dwelling are rentals, and over 20% of households are single-parent families. Almost 25% of Fort Rouge's residents have a university degree—one of the highest rates in the province.
Fort Rouge has an immigrant population of 20%. Eight per cent of the riding's residents are aboriginal. The service sector accounts for 21% of Fort Rouge's industry, with a further 11% in social services.
The seat was held by the Progressive Conservatives from 1958 to 1973, and was a rare bastion of Liberal strength in the province from 1973 to 1981. Lloyd Axworthy was the riding's representative from 1973 to 1979; for a time, he was the only Liberal in the legislature. Roland Penner's election for the New Democratic Party in 1981, however, foretold of future NDP successes in the riding. Though Jim Carr would win the riding back for the Liberals in 1988, the seat would be broken into Crescentwood, Broadway and Osborne for the 1990 election. By the time the seat was reestablished in 1999, Crescentwood, Broadway and Osborne would all have NDP representatives, with Crescentwood MLA Tim Sale becoming the first MLA of the reestablished Fort Rouge. It has been continuously represented by the NDP since the riding was reestablished in 1999.
In the 2007, 2011 and 2016 provincial elections the Liberals were the main challengers to the NDP, though the party would continue to hold the seat with Jennifer Howard. In 2016, Liberal leader Rana Bokhari ran in Fort Rouge, losing to the NDP star candidate Wab Kinew. At the 2015 federal election, according to Elections Canada data, Fort Rouge voted heavily Liberal. In the 2019 and 2023 elections, the Progressive Conservatives finished second behind the NDP, with the Liberals falling behind Green candidate James Beddome in 2019.
The district is represented by NDP leader and Premier Wab Kinew.

## List of provincial representatives

| Assembly | Years | Member | Party |
| Riding created from Winnipeg South |||||
| 25th | 1958–1959 | Gurney Evans | Progressive Conservative |
| 26th | 1959–1962 | Gurney Evans | Progressive Conservative |
| 27th | 1962–1966 | Gurney Evans | Progressive Conservative |
| 28th | 1966–1969 | Gurney Evans | Progressive Conservative |
| 29th | 1969–1973 | Inez Trueman | Progressive Conservative |
| 30th | 1973–1977 | Lloyd Axworthy | Liberal |
| 31st | 1977–1979 | Lloyd Axworthy | Liberal |
| 31st | 1979–1981 | June Westbury | Liberal |
| 32nd | 1981–1986 | Roland Penner | New Democratic |
| 33rd | 1986–1988 | Roland Penner | New Democratic |
| 34th | 1988–1990 | Jim Carr | Liberal |
| Riding dissolved into Broadway, Crescentwood and Osborne |||||
| Riding re-created from Broadway, Crescentwood and Osborne |||||
| 37th | 1999–2003 | Tim Sale | New Democratic |
| 38th | 2003–2007 | Tim Sale | New Democratic |
| 39th | 2007–2011 | Jennifer Howard | New Democratic |
| 40th | 2011–2016 | Jennifer Howard | New Democratic |
| 41st | 2016–2019 | Wab Kinew | New Democratic |
| 42nd | 2019–2023 | Wab Kinew | New Democratic |
| 43rd | 2023–present | Wab Kinew | New Democratic |

## Opinion polls

| Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | NDP | Liberal | PC | Green | Other |
| Mainstreet Research/Postmedia | March 22, 2016 | HTML | 29 | 32 | 30 | 8 | |

## Election results
### 1958

1958 Manitoba general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Progressive Conservative | Gurney Evans | 3,647 | 54.83 |
| | Liberal–Progressive | James Edward "Jimmy" Wilson | 1,862 | 27.99 |
| | Co-operative Commonwealth | Ernest Draffin | 1,143 | 17.18 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 6,652 | – |
| Rejected | Rejected | Rejected | 26 | – |
| Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | 12,010 | 55.60 |
| Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. |||||||

### 1959

1959 Manitoba general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Gurney Evans | 4,352 | 56.34 | 1.52 |
| | Liberal–Progressive | Jerry Marrin | 1,947 | 25.21 | -2.78 |
| | Co-operative Commonwealth | Robert C. Murdoch | 1,425 | 18.45 | 1.27 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 7,724 | – | – |
| Rejected | Rejected | Rejected | 55 | – |
| Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | 12,183 | 63.85 | 8.25 |
| Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. |||||||

### 1962

1962 Manitoba general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Gurney Evans | 3,507 | 52.94 | -3.41 |
| | Liberal | Brock McArthur | 2,128 | 32.12 | 6.91 |
| | New Democratic | William R. Reid | 990 | 14.94 | -3.51 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 6,625 | – | – |
| Rejected | Rejected | Rejected | 76 | – |
| Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | 11,989 | 55.89 | -7.96 |
| Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. |||||||

### 1966

1966 Manitoba general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Gurney Evans | 3,767 | 46.72 | -6.22 |
| | Liberal | Francis C. Muldoon | 2,451 | 30.40 | -1.72 |
| | New Democratic | Len Green | 1,845 | 22.88 | 7.94 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 8,063 | – | – |
| Rejected | Rejected | Rejected | 22 | – |
| Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | 13,105 | 61.69 | 5.80 |
| Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. |||||||

### 1969

1969 Manitoba general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Inez Trueman | 2,750 | 38.53 | -8.19 |
| | New Democratic | Una Decter | 2,446 | 34.27 | 11.39 |
| | Liberal | Jane Sayler Heffelfinger | 1,941 | 27.20 | -3.20 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 7,137 | – | – |
| Rejected | Rejected | Rejected | 51 | – |
| Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | 12,328 | 58.31 | -3.39 |
| Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. |||||||

### 1973

1973 Manitoba general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Lloyd Axworthy | 4,181 | 36.49 | 9.30 |
| | New Democratic | Samia Friesen | 3,614 | 31.54 | -2.73 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Inez Trueman | 3,531 | 30.82 | -7.71 |
| | Independent | Lane McDonald | 131 | 1.14 | – |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 11,457 | – | – |
| Rejected | Rejected | Rejected | 79 | – |
| Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | 14,340 | 80.45 | 22.14 |
| Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. |||||||

### 1977

1977 Manitoba general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Lloyd Axworthy | 4,153 | 39.54 | 3.05 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Julian Hugh McDonald | 3,486 | 33.19 | 2.37 |
| | New Democratic | Ermano Barone | 2,863 | 27.26 | -4.28 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 10,502 | – | – |
| Rejected | Rejected | Rejected | 55 | – |
| Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | 14,272 | 73.97 | -6.48 |
| Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. |||||||

### 1979 by-election

Manitoba provincial by-election, October 16, 1979 :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | June Westbury | 2,659 | 39.22 | -0.33 |
| | New Democratic | Victor Steven "Vic" Savino | 2,291 | 33.79 | 6.53 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Julian Hugh McDonald | 1,830 | 26.99 | -6.20 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 6,780 | – | – |
| Rejected | Rejected | Rejected | N/A | – |
| Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | N/A | – | – |
| Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. |||||||

### 1981

1981 Manitoba general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | New Democratic | Roland Penner | 4,342 | 44.57 | 10.77 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Perry Schulman | 2,843 | 29.18 | 2.19 |
| | Liberal | June Westbury | 2,415 | 24.79 | -14.43 |
| | Progressive | Bud Boyce | 143 | 1.47 | – |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 9,743 | – | – |
| Rejected | Rejected | Rejected | 77 | – |
| Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | 13,671 | 71.83 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. |||||||

### 1986

1986 Manitoba general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | New Democratic | Roland Penner | 4,223 | 48.86 | 4.30 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Robert P. Haier | 2,590 | 29.97 | 0.79 |
| | Liberal | Lionel Ditz | 1,683 | 19.47 | -5.31 |
| | Libertarian | Clancy Smith | 101 | 1.17 | – |
| | Communist | Nigel Hanrahan | 46 | 0.53 | – |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 8,643 | – | – |
| Rejected | Rejected | Rejected | 53 | – |
| Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | Eligible voters / Turnout | 13,517 | 64.33 | -7.50 |
| Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. |||||||

### 1988

vte1988 Manitoba general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Jim Carr | 5,127 | 48.91 | 29.44 |
| | New Democratic | Roland Penner | 2,912 | 27.78 | -21.08 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Robert Haier | 2,303 | 21.97 | -8.00 |
| | Progressive | Gordon Pratt | 75 | 0.72 | – |
| | Libertarian | Dennis Owens | 66 | 0.63 | -0.54 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 10,483 | – | – |
| Rejected | Rejected | Rejected | 50 | – |
| Eligible voters / turnout | Eligible voters / turnout | Eligible voters / turnout | 15,057 | 69.95 | 5.62 |
| | Liberal gain from New Democratic | Liberal gain from New Democratic | Swing | Swing | +25.22 |
| Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. |||||||

### 1999

vte1999 Manitoba general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | Expenditures |
| | New Democratic | Tim Sale | 4,759 | 48.68 | $25,152.00 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Ron Paley | 2,971 | 30.39 | $26,322.65 |
| | Liberal | John Shanski | 1,870 | 19.13 | $24,461.96 |
| | Green | Alex Reid | 176 | 1.80 | $256.65 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 9,776 | – |
| Rejected | Rejected | Rejected | 52 | – |
| Eligible voters / turnout | Eligible voters / turnout | Eligible voters / turnout | 14,064 | 69.88 |
| Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. |||||||

### 2003

vte2003 Manitoba general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | New Democratic | Tim Sale | 4,118 | 57.63 | 8.95 | $16,724.33 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Mark Francis | 1,409 | 19.72 | -10.67 | $8,860.98 |
| | Liberal | David Henteleff | 1,212 | 16.96 | -2.17 | $4,299.83 |
| | Green | Mikel Magnusson | 355 | 4.97 | 3.17 | $48.24 |
| | Libertarian | Jim Weidman | 51 | 0.71 | – | $0.00 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 7,145 | – | – |
| Rejected | Rejected | Rejected | 59 | – |
| Eligible voters / turnout | Eligible voters / turnout | Eligible voters / turnout | 13,182 | 54.65 | -15.23 |
| Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2003). Statement of Votes for the 38th Provincial General Election, June 3, 2003 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. |||||||

### 2007

vte2007 Manitoba general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | New Democratic | Jennifer Howard | 3,828 | 46.97 | -10.67 | $25.968.04 |
| | Liberal | Paul Hesse | 2,488 | 30.53 | 13.56 | $23,866.84 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Christine Waddell | 1,202 | 14.75 | -4.97 | $11,369.89 |
| | Green | Gerald H. Enns | 511 | 6.27 | 1.30 | $905.51 |
| | Independent | Ron Nash | 92 | 1.13 | – | $261.98 |
| | Communist | Frank Komarniski | 29 | 0.36 | – | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 8,150 | – | – |
| Rejected | Rejected | Rejected | 53 | – |
| Eligible voters / turnout | Eligible voters / turnout | Eligible voters / turnout | 13,169 | 62.29 | 7.64 |
| Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2007). Statement of Votes for the 39th Provincial General Election, May 22, 2007 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. |||||||

### 2011

vte2011 Manitoba general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | New Democratic | Jennifer Howard | 4,501 | 51.26 | 4.29 | $28,361.23 |
| | Liberal | Paul Hesse | 2,031 | 23.13 | -7.40 | $31,673.03 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Sonny Dominique | 1,770 | 20.16 | 5.41 | $17,369.18 |
| | Green | Stephen Weedon | 478 | 5.44 | -0.83 | $24.14 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 8,780 | – | – |
| Rejected | Rejected | Rejected | 54 | – |
| Eligible voters / turnout | Eligible voters / turnout | Eligible voters / turnout | 14,429 | 61.22 | -1.07 |
| Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2011). Statement of Votes for the 40th Provincial General Election, October 4, 2011 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. "Election Returns: 40th General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2011. Retrieved September 12, 2018. |||||||

### 2016

vte2016 Manitoba general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | New Democratic | Wab Kinew | 3,360 | 37.63 | -13.63 | $39,199.49 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Audrey Gordon | 2,571 | 28.80 | 8.64 | $42,245.54 |
| | Liberal | Rana Bokhari | 1,792 | 20.07 | -3.06 | $30,238.82 |
| | Green | Grant Sharp | 983 | 11.01 | 5.57 | $322.90 |
| | Manitoba | Matthew Ostrove | 175 | 1.96 | – | $945.26 |
| | Communist | Paula Ducharme | 47 | 0.53 | – | $33.67 |
| Total valid votes / expense limit | Total valid votes / expense limit | Total valid votes / expense limit | 8,928 | – | – | $44,855.00 |
| Rejected | Rejected | Rejected | 125 | – |
| Eligible voters / turnout | Eligible voters / turnout | Eligible voters / turnout | 13,896 | 65.15 | 3.92 |
| | New Democratic hold | New Democratic hold | Swing | Swing | –11.04 |
| Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2016). Statement of Votes for the 41st Provincial General Election, April 19, 2016 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. "Election Returns: 41st General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2016. Retrieved September 10, 2018. |||||||

### 2019

vte2019 Manitoba general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | New Democratic | Wab Kinew | 5,055 | 51.24 | 13.60 | $23,922.64 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Edna Nabess | 1,857 | 18.82 | -9.97 | $7,290.07 |
| | Green | James Beddome | 1,580 | 16.01 | 5.00 | $8,974.33 |
| | Liberal | Cyndy Friesen | 1,290 | 13.08 | -7.00 | $8,223.63 |
| | Manitoba First | Michael McCracken | 54 | 0.55 | -1.41 | $582.58 |
| | Manitoba Forward | Bradley Hebert | 30 | 0.30 | – | $0.00 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 9,866 | – | – |
| Rejected | Rejected | Rejected | 47 | – |
| Eligible voters / turnout | Eligible voters / turnout | Eligible voters / turnout | 16,870 | 58.76 | -6.39 |
| Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2019). Statement of Votes for the 42nd Provincial General Election, September 10, 2019 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. "Candidate Election Returns". Elections Manitoba. Elections Manitoba. Retrieved March 2, 2020. |||||||

### 2023

vte2023 Manitoba general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | New Democratic | Wab Kinew | 6,761 | 70.57 | +19.33 | $23,088.15 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Rejeanne Caron | 1,566 | 16.34 | -2.48 | $0.00 |
| | Liberal | Katherine Johnson | 1,152 | 12.02 | -1.05 | $5,193.76 |
| | Communist | Robert Crooks | 102 | 1.06 | – | $106.40 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 9,581 | 99.59 | – | $64,588.00 |
| Total rejected and declined ballots | Total rejected and declined ballots | Total rejected and declined ballots | 39 | 0.41 | – |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 9,620 | 58.04 | -0.73 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 16,576 |
| | New Democratic hold | New Democratic hold | Swing | Swing | +10.90 |
| Source(s) Source: Elections Manitoba |||||||